SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-15 : BLANK pattern day.As I stated in this video, last night I looked through the data and could not find any reference for this pattern going back more than 11 years. Same thing for tomorrow's pattern.
That means these are very RARE pattern setups and we'll have to watch to see how price action plays out today.
If there were no reference points over 11+ years of Daily price data (more than 2500 Daily Price Bars), then this is something very unique.
I believe today will act like a Reversal Bar. Potentially rallying off a lower opening price and setting up a type of Gap Lower Rally type of pattern - but that is just a guess.
At this point, trade smaller quantities until we see how price reacts this morning.
Gold and Silver make a BIG MOVE overnight - breaking above the $3300/$33 levels I suggested were critical psychological levels.
This is an INCREDIBLE rally in metals (thanks, China).
At this point, if you were long metals like I was, you can thank me all you want.
Be aware that metals will likely pause a bit above this psychological level, then start to move higher again.
The next big target is $3600-$3750 for Gold.
Bitcoin is doing exactly what I stated it would do - rolling into a top as demand for BTCUSD wanes. I believe the next low for BTCUSD will be closer to $60k-$63k. Pay attention.
Going to be a good day for everyone holding Gold/Silver/Miners CALLS (like I kept suggesting).
GOT SOME.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Gold
Long-term forecastGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3350, support 3200
Four-hour chart resistance 3320, support 3245
One-hour chart resistance 3320, support 3280.
Gold rose more than 2% in a single day, and the price was outside the upper track of the Bollinger Band. There is a short-term overbought repair demand, but the overall upward trend remains unchanged. Look for buying opportunities near support.
If the NY time period breaks through 3320 and reaches a new high again, the short-term target will be 3350; if it falls below 3280, it may
probe the support near 3245.
3000/3100/3200/3300 The historical stage highs are broken again. 3300 will be a new starting point, and the next stage target is 3400
Therefore, today's strategy continues to follow the trend, buy after standing firm at 3320, and look at 3350.
After falling below 3280, follow the sell, and the target is near the previous high of 3246.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis Update
🔹 Timeframes Observed: H1, M30, and M15
Gold (XAUUSD) has officially broken the trendline on all three lower timeframes — 1 Hour, 30 Minutes, and 15 Minutes — indicating a clear shift in market structure towards the downside.
🔹 Key Support Level:
The next critical confirmation of bearish continuation will occur if price breaks below the $3116 support zone. A clean break and retest of this level can serve as strong validation for further downside movement.
🔹 Target Zones:
If the bearish momentum sustains, price may head towards the following levels:
🎯 Target 1: $3195
🎯 Target 2: $3172
🎯 Target 3: $3132
🔹 Stop Loss:
To manage risk effectively, a recommended stop loss is placed at $3250. This helps protect against unexpected price spikes or false breakouts.
🔹 EMA Confluence:
The 21 EMA on the M30 timeframe has been broken, adding another layer of confirmation to the bearish bias. This EMA break often signals a shift in short- to mid-term trend direction.
⚠️ Important Note on Fundamentals:
While technicals currently show a bearish setup, it's essential to monitor fundamental drivers closely — including economic news releases, central bank statements, tariffs, and geopolitical events — as any significant development can invalidate technical patterns and shift market sentiment instantly.
XAUUSD Gold Analysis XAUUSD formed a symmetrical triangle pattern (converging trendlines), followed by a breakdown of the ascending trendline, suggesting bearish momentum.
Price has broken below the ascending support trendline and is currently testing a minor consolidation zone, indicating potential for further downside.
🔻 Bearish Setup:
Entry Point:
Current price around $3,223.36, just below the broken ascending trendline.
Ideal sell entry confirmation has occurred with the break of the ascending trendline support.
🎯 Downside Targets:
Target 1:
$3,194.752
This level aligns with previous structure support and is the first take-profit zone.
Target 2:
$3,176.149
A deeper support zone formed by previous price action. If price continues bearish momentum, it will likely react here.
Target 3:
$3,132.646
This is a major support zone and the final take-profit level based on the chart. Reaching here would confirm a full bearish move.
🛑 Stop Loss Placement:
$3,247.014
Placed above the upper resistance trendline and recent swing high. If price breaks above this level, it invalidates the bearish pattern.
📈 Key Chart Details:
Candlestick Behavior: Multiple rejections at the upper trendline suggest strong resistance.
Volume: Volume spike at the breakdown level would further confirm bearish bias (not visible in the current image, but important to monitor).
Risk-Reward: The setup shows a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, especially if holding till Target 3.
⚠️ Potential Considerations:
Watch for fakeouts or retests of the broken trendline. A retest of $3,230-$3,235 could occur before further decline.
Monitor economic news/events like U.S. inflation, Fed announcements, or geopolitical tensions as they heavily impact gold.
✅ Conclusion:
This is a high-probability short setup for XAUUSD, with confirmation from:
Symmetrical triangle breakdown,
Lower highs,
Clear downside targets,
Well-defined stop-loss.
If bearish momentum continues and fundamentals align, gold could slide toward $3,132, completing the full projected move.
Gold Skyrockets Like It's 2011: Are We There Yet?Gold has been on a powerful run since breaking above the 2100 resistance level in March 2024. After just one year of relentless gains and a return of over 60%, it has become one of the top-performing assets. But the big question now is: how far can this rally go? To the moon?
It's difficult to predict how far prices can climb during these kinds of parabolic moves. In 2011, the final green monthly bar alone rose 17% from open to high. These FOMO-fueled surges often lead to euphoric tops followed by painful bear markets. So, are we there yet?
Since Richard Nixon ended the dollar's gold backing and introduced the modern fiat system, gold's status as a safe haven has become even more prominent. Whenever there are heightened risks, whether geopolitical, fiscal, or related to the fiat money system, investors tend to flock to gold. The 2011 rally was a clear example of this. After the 2008 financial crisis and the quantitative easing that followed, gold became the go-to asset for both preserving value and speculative opportunity.
A similar pattern has unfolded following the COVID-19 shock. The Federal Reserve returned to aggressive quantitative easing, while both the Trump and Biden administrations increased fiscal spending, including direct payments to households. This surge in money supply and concerns about fiat stability, along with rising government debt, helped trigger another major gold rally. With the added risk of a trade war, the rally has accelerated further, pushing gold beyond 3300 and creating a situation that closely mirrors 2011.
Looking at the money supply-to-gold ratio and the US federal debt-to-gold ratio, gold now appears to be testing trendline levels. Its recent surge has made metrics like M2 and federal debt seem relatively smaller, which may be a sign that the rally is approaching exhaustion.
Still, history shows that final euphoric moves can stretch even higher before a true top is formed. Rather than trying to predict the peak, it's often better to wait for signs of price stabilization. Gold typically offers a second opportunity, often forming two peaks with the second lower than the first, before entering a bear phase.
In 1980, gold fell more than 60% within two years. After the 2011 top, it declined nearly 40%. Even if the retreat expected to be milder this time, gold could still offer a 20% or greater downside opportunity once the top is in.
Smart money has already started to take profits gradually. Net managed money positions in the COT report have decreased by 40% since January, as we discussed in our earlier post:
Gold follows the trend. Buy after a pullbackGold opened sharply higher in the Asian session and hit a new record high. It broke through the 3230 mark in the late trading and stabilized. The price continued to rise in the trend and broke through the adjustment range of yesterday. There was no technical trend during the day. The large-volume rise occurred in the Asian session, and the price continued to hit a new record high. As investors turned to safe-haven assets amid the uncertainty brought by the continued tariff plan of US President Trump, additional tariffs could exacerbate the ongoing trade war and slow global economic growth.
As global stock markets bottomed, the pressure on gold finally eased, and the precious metal eventually rose sharply to a record high. This rise was very fierce because everyone rushed into the gold market, hoping to use it as a safe haven against the stagflation caused by the trade war. From a more macro perspective, gold is still in an upward trend because currency yields may continue to fall because the threshold for rate hikes remains very high.
Potential risks include another sharp sell-off in the stock market or a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. In the short term, given that gold's long positions are too concentrated, if the trade war eases, gold prices are likely to experience a deeper correction, so it is necessary to pay close attention to developments in this regard. The current environment still supports the rise of gold, but the road to gold price rise will not be smooth, and there may be a temporary correction in the middle.
Gold Asian session safe-haven directly broke through the new high, and the short-term adjustment of gold ended. Finally, the adjustment was completed in a volatile manner. This kind of strong bullish market with a breakthrough will basically not have a big decline. Since gold has chosen to break upward, it will follow the trend. Any decline in gold is an opportunity to buy.
The 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to diverge upward, then the gold bulls will continue to exert their strength. After gold breaks through 3245, then gold 3245 has formed support in the short term. Buy on dips when gold falls back to 3245. After gold surges in the Asian session, you must wait patiently for the opportunity to pull back. If it falls back to around 3245, you can continue to buy.
Key points:
First support: 3253, second support: 3240, third support: 3225
First resistance: 3280, second resistance: 3300, third resistance: 3315
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3245-3248, SL: 3236, TP: 3280-3290;
Sell: 3293-3295, SL: 3304, TP: 3250-3240;
The recent investment risk is extremely high, and the real-time trend can change at any time. Please be cautious about trading signals.
GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3304.2
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3283.9
My Stop Loss - 3314.6
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold surges to a new high, market analysis and operation layoutToday, the price of gold has been rising all the way in the Asian session, reaching a high of around 3317. From the perspective of the general trend, the overall trend of gold remains bullish. The high point we see now is only a temporary high point. It is very likely that the European and American sessions will break through again in the later period, so don't blindly guess the top.
At present, the relative low point has risen by nearly 80 points, and there is a trend of further hitting new highs. Once it breaks the high again, it will continue to hit the 3330-50 line. Therefore, we still maintain the main decline in intraday trading.
If the European session maintains a small sideways fluctuation, then the US session will most likely launch an upward attack again. What needs to be focused on at the moment is the extent of the bulls' callback repair. In view of the current volatile market, a drop of tens of dollars may only be a normal adjustment of the bulls, not a trend reversal. At present, the lower support can refer to the low point of 3280, which can also be used as an important reference for European market operations. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3330-3350, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3275-3280.
Bros, when you keep up with the pace of trading, you must control the risks reasonably.
Intraday gold operation suggestions
sell 3330-3340
TP 3320-3310
buy 3280-3290
TP 3310-3330
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
GOLD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,290.99.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,179.46 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD soars over $50, heading for new ATHSpot OANDA:XAUUSD surged, with an intraday gain of more than $50, now trading around $3,281/oz to fresh all-time highs.
OANDA:XAUUSD hit a record high as the Trump administration launched investigations that could widen the trade war, boosting demand for safe-haven assets, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday. U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday launched an investigation into the need to impose tariffs on critical minerals, the latest move in the widening trade war.
According to a White House fact sheet, the executive order signed by Trump on Tuesday directs the secretary of commerce to initiate a Section 232 investigation under the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 to “assess the impact of imports of these materials on the security and resilience of the United States.”
On Wednesday, gold traders will focus on U.S. retail sales data for March, as well as speeches from Federal Reserve officials, primarily Chairman Jerome Powell.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After gaining support from the 3,200USD price level, which is an important support for readers to pay attention to in the weekly publication, gold has skyrocketed towards the weekly target level of 3,295USD.
Currently, there is no resistance that can prevent the gold price from heading towards 3,295USD, and the uptrend is still absolutely dominant on the technical chart.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index is just approaching the overbought zone and is not giving any signal of a possible correction in the short term. Therefore, in terms of momentum, gold can still continue to increase in price.
During the day, the upward trend of gold prices will be noticed again at the following positions.
Support: 3,245 – 3,223 – 3,200 USD
Resistance: 3,295 – 3,300 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3315 - 3313⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3319
→Take Profit 1 3307
↨
→Take Profit 2 3301
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3223 - 3225⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3219
→Take Profit 1 3231
↨
→Take Profit 2 3237
Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions📌 Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions: How Far Can It Go? 🧨📈
Gold has reached another all-time high (ATH) as geopolitical tensions between the United States and China intensify. Markets have become incredibly sensitive, reacting sharply to political rhetoric and economic policy shifts from the world’s most powerful leaders.
As investors grow increasingly uneasy, gold continues to serve its role as a safe haven — but the real question now isn't whether gold will rise, but rather: how high can it go?
🌍 Geopolitical Sensitivity at its Peak
A single tariff threat or retaliation can trigger gold to surge by $30–$50.
Conversely, a pause in policy or a diplomatic “cool down” can cause price to drop hundreds of points.
In this environment, political narratives are driving markets more than technical setups.
This is one of those rare moments where fundamentals and news flow completely overshadow traditional chart signals. Even textbook candle confirmations are losing reliability — clean bullish closures are often followed by equally strong bearish rejections.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones:
3,280 / 3,268 / 3,258 / 3,240 / 3,230
Resistance Zones:
3,292 / 3,302 / 3,310/ 3330
⚙️ Trading Zones
🔽 Sell Zone:
Entry: 3,330 – 3,332
SL: 3,336
TP: 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,315 → 3,310 → 3,300
📈 Buy Zone #1:
Entry: 3,270 – 3,268
SL: 3,264
TP: 3,274 → 3,278 → 3,282 → 3,286 → 3,290 → 3,300
📈 Buy Zone #2:
Entry: 3,240 – 3,238
SL: 3,234
TP: 3,245 → 3,250 → 3,255 → 3,260 → 3,264 → 3,268 → 3,274 → 3,280 → OPEN
⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Advisory
With geopolitical tensions rising and volatility surging, trading gold requires extra caution. Avoid chasing momentum blindly — even strong confirmations can flip without warning.
This is a market driven by emotions, news headlines, and global uncertainty, not just technicals. Always stick to your trading plan, and more importantly: respect your SL/TP at all times.
💬 How are you approaching gold in this macro environment? Share your views below – are you holding long or fading the rallies? 👇👇👇
Gold starts to surge, will it fall?In the early trading of the Asian market on Wednesday, spot gold rose slightly, once rising to around $3,275. Driven by safe-haven demand, US President Trump's uncertain tariff plan made investors nervous, and the relatively weak US dollar also provided support. The price of gold rose 0.59% on Tuesday to close at $3,229.27/.
According to US media, due to little progress in negotiations, the EU expects US tariffs to continue. Next is the EU's countermeasures. As one of the major trading partners of the United States, once the EU countermeasures, risk aversion will return; it is bound to constitute a wave of positives for gold bulls. This is also the reason why gold failed to successfully form a decent decline after several downward explorations at the beginning of this week; not only the EU, but also Japan, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, etc. will continue to counterattack!
The 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to diverge upward, then gold bulls will continue to exert their strength. After gold breaks through 3245, 3245 has formed support in the short term. If gold falls back to 3245 in the morning, buy on dips. The strength of the previous wave of gold in the morning is still there, so after the surge, you should wait patiently for adjustments and continue to buy. Gold fell back to around 3250 in the early Asian market, and you can continue to buy.
Since the gold bulls have broken through, then go long with the trend, just wait patiently for opportunities. The gold bulls are rising steadily, let us continue to cheer for the gold bulls.
Based on the above analysis
In the gold bull trend, consider the callback layout of long orders first in today's operation. Pay attention to the resistance of 3280-3285 US dollars on the top and the support of 3255-3250 US dollars on the bottom.
Operation strategy 1: Sell in the range: 3283--3284 SL:3295
TP: 3260--3255
Operation strategy 2: Buy in the range: 3257--3256 SL:3245
TP: 3280--3282
Gold Trades I'm taking Today 1
So this is how i'll be making my videos from now on, talking about trades i will be taking if triggered, and i update if it was a win or loss.
For this trade, I'm playing with descending triangles and waiting for a break. These patterns are my best but they are more functional on higher-timeframes. This is a 45: meaning it might work or it might not.
I'm learning to just go for it when it comes to gold because i've missed a lot of trades because i hesitated. Let's see how this one plays out..
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 3241.69, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 3278.31, aligning with the 161.8% Fibo extension.
The stop loss is placed at 3185.65, below a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Setup 15/04/2025🧠 Technical Analysis:
Trend Structure:
The price was following a short-term ascending channel (bullish structure).
Recently, price broke below the lower trendline, indicating a potential bearish shift.
Support Zones:
First support zone: 3210–3214
This is a minor support and could serve as the first potential bounce area.
Second support zone: 3189–3194
This is a stronger historical demand zone. Stronger bounce expected from here if the price continues falling.
Resistance Zone:
Around 3241–3245, which is the recent high and also aligns with prior resistance.
Price Action:
Bearish engulfing candles and a break below the trendline indicate bearish momentum in the short term.
Current price: ~3219. If selling pressure continues, price might retest 3210 or even 3190.
📉 Trading Signal:
✅ Buy Signal 1 – Aggressive Entry
Entry Zone: 3210–3214
SL: Below 3203
TP1: 3235
TP2: 3245
RR: ~1:2+
✅ Buy Signal 2 – Conservative Entry
Entry Zone: 3189–3194
SL: Below 3182
TP1: 3210
TP2: 3235
RR: ~1:3+
📌 Note: Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) near either support zone before entering.
🔄 Summary:
Price broke ascending structure = short-term bearish
Look to buy from 3210–3214 (aggressive) or 3189–3194 (conservative) on bullish confirmation.
Hit follow, like and comment.
Unpopular opinion, but I think it's time to short GoldThis melt-up is approaching resistance, and the symmetry on the chart is compelling. It could set up a great short opportunity as gold consolidates ahead of its next major move higher, likely in 2027.
However, if it breaks out of the current channel, we could be entering a true melt-up phase — and there's potential for significantly higher prices.
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,221.65 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,213.11.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Will Gold Retest 3170 ATHs in Sight Amid Rising Global TensionsXAU/USD has decisively broken above the significant 3170 resistance level, confirming bullish momentum and signaling a potential continuation of its long-term uptrend. This breakout is not just technical—it's backed by a growing fundamental storm.
With escalating geopolitical tensions, the ongoing trade war rhetoric surrounding Trump’s tariff policies, and persistent global macro uncertainty, gold is once again asserting its role as a premier safe haven asset. These drivers are creating the perfect backdrop for further upside, possibly pushing gold toward new all-time highs.
Currently, price is in a healthy correction phase, pulling back toward the former resistance zone at 3170, which now acts as strong support. A retest and confirmation in this area may offer a high-probability long setup for trend-followers and breakout traders alike.