Gold
XAUUSD: 19/2Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2950-3000, support below 2852
Four-hour resistance 2950, support below 2896
Gold operation suggestions: Gold stabilized at 2890 yesterday and ushered in a strong unilateral rise. The Asian and European sessions slightly retreated and stabilized at 2892 and quickly bottomed out and rebounded. The European session continued to break through the 2907 mark and continued to be strong. The US bulls further raised their heads and stood on the 2920 mark and accelerated to break through 2936 and closed strongly at almost the highest point of the day.
From the current 4-hour trend, the support below is around 2869, and the short-term pressure above is around 2950. Overall, rely on this range to keep selling high and buying low. Patiently wait for key points to enter the market
BUY:2930near SL:2925
BUY:2920near SL:2915
XAU/USD : Time for BUY? Let's see! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold broke above the $2,902.5 resistance yesterday and continued its bullish movement, successfully hitting the next targets at $2,914 and $2,919!
I hope you made the most of this analysis! 🚀
The next potential move depends on whether gold stabilizes above $2,914. If it does, we could see further growth toward $2,922 and $2,928 as the next upside targets.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Hits New Highs –Will Tariff Tensions Push It Toward $3,000?Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 19, 2025
Gold continues its bullish momentum, hitting a new all-time high, driven by safe-haven demand amid trade war tensions and economic concerns. U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 25% tariff on autos has fueled further upside, along with expectations that central banks will continue buying gold to diversify reserves.
Investors are also watching the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes, which could impact short-term market sentiment. However, any bearish impact from today’s FOMC minutes release is expected to be short-lived, keeping gold's bullish outlook intact.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Gold remains bullish above 2,935, with the next upside targets at 2,956 and 2,974.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 2,935 could lead to a retest of the 2,920 breakout zone. Further weakness below this level may push the price toward 2,909 and 2,895.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 2,935
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2,956, 2,974
🔹 Support Levels: 2,920, 2,909, 2,895
📈 Directional Bias: As long as gold trades above 2,935, the bullish trend remains dominant, targeting 2,956+. A break below 2,935 could trigger a correction before resuming the uptrend.
💬 Will gold push toward $3,000 on tariff tensions, or will we see a pullback first? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
xauusd video analysis for the weekXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025
This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns.
1. Fundamental Drivers
A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold.
B. Monetary Policy and Inflation
Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices.
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold.
C. Central Bank Demand
Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand.
2. Technical Analysis
A. Short-Term Signals (February–March)
Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary).
Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier).
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets.
Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level.
3. Momentum Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages (MA):
50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support.
200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength.
Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
4. Chart Patterns and Trends
Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920.
Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest.
5. Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000.
Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850.
Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively.
Bullish Targets/ Resistance
2890
2906
2928
2934
2959
2972
2987
3023
Bearish/Support
2872
2857
2841
2807
2781
XAUUSD ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025
This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns.
1. Fundamental Drivers
A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold.
B. Monetary Policy and Inflation
Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices.
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold.
C. Central Bank Demand
Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand.
2. Technical Analysis
A. Short-Term Signals (February–March)
Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary).
Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier).
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets.
Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level.
3. Momentum Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages (MA):
50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support.
200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength.
Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
4. Chart Patterns and Trends
Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920.
Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest.
5. Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000.
Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850.
Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively.
Bullish Targets/ Resistance
2890
2906
2928
2934
2959
2972
2987
3023
Bearish/Support
2872
2857
2841
2807
2781
XAUUSD Gold - Looking Where to NextHi Everyone i hope your enjoying your weekend and have been catching some good trades recently.
What a great year so far. My previous targets i posted all hit with 100% accuracy.
The range levels were all respected and played out perfectly.
Looking ahead to whats next for gold the range top of 2935 proved to be strong resistance with gold selling off twice from this level so there is a high probability we trace back at least for a mid range test before attempting to go higher again.
We can also not rule out returning to the range bottom of 2775 but the reaction to each level will guide us better. Fundamentally and technically gold is still very strong and profit taking should not be mistaken for a huge correction just yet.
I do see a dynamic supply zone running almost central to the main trend so we need to keep a eye on where price closes.
Plan: Wait for body closes of candles
Close and hold above 2894 to continue up. Retest and Reject 2894 to continue down.
GOLD → Bullish trend, but the price depends on the newsFX:XAUUSD bounces off previously tested trend support and gives a chance for possible upside. Economic risks are still high and gold as a safe haven is in demand
Investors are cautious ahead of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia where they will discuss a possible end to the conflict in Ukraine.
Weak risk appetite is supporting the dollar, also helped by comments from Fed officials. They express concern about inflation and call for caution in cutting rates. The attention of market participants is directed to the upcoming speeches of the Fed members and the publication of the minutes of the January meeting
Technically, the price broke 2905 in the Asian session, at the moment this area plays an important role as support. The first target is 2922, the second target is 2938
Resistance levels: 2922, 2938
Support levels: 2905, 2893
The most likely scenario is a retest of support amid the global uptrend, as liquidity below 2905 is still of interest to the market. But, the price may continue to rise due to imbalance from the bullish side. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 2915 may also trigger a rise.
Regards R. Linda!
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed flat with a doji candle, facing resistance at previous highs. As mentioned yesterday, there was a possibility of a pullback to the 5-day moving average, and while the market did not fully correct to that level, it did consolidate and pull the 5-day MA higher, suggesting a preparatory phase for further upside.
On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line remain upward-facing, indicating that buying dips remains the preferred strategy. However, since trading volume remains relatively low and market flows appear mixed, it is advisable to take profits quickly when buying dips rather than holding for extended gains.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared at the highs, meaning that a pullback toward the upper boundary of the previous range is possible. Given the doji candle on the daily chart, traders should be cautious about chasing longs in the pre-market session. If the MACD turns downward, selling pressure could intensify.
That said, the MACD and signal line remain well above the zero line, suggesting that rebound attempts are likely. While the sell signal remains active, short positions should be managed with strict stop-loss levels.
Tonight, the FOMC meeting minutes will be released, so be mindful of potential volatility during the regular session and after-hours trading.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, testing $72 as resistance while forming a potential double-bottom pattern. The MACD on the daily chart is approaching a key decision point, where it will either bullishly cross above the signal line or turn lower again, determining the next directional move.
Since the signal line is near the zero level, the next buy or sell signal is likely to trigger a significant price move. Additionally, the ongoing Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations remain a key geopolitical risk factor, as any developments could lead to increased oil price volatility.
From a technical perspective, oil remains within a range-bound structure, making buying dips the most effective approach. A break below $70 would be a bearish signal, while sustained movement above $72 could confirm a breakout.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has moved above the zero line, lifting the signal line upward. While a short-term pullback is possible, as long as the MACD does not form a bearish crossover, buying pressure could strengthen further.
Gold
Gold closed higher, rebounding from previous levels. Yesterday’s price action confirmed that the MACD used the signal line as support and turned higher, reinforcing the bullish trend.
Since the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, the daily chart remains in a buy-biased structure, meaning that until a confirmed bearish crossover occurs, the market should still be approached with a buy-on-dip mindset.
However, if gold moves above its previous high but the MACD fails to exceed its previous peak, a bearish divergence could form, increasing the risk of a sharp correction. Traders should remain aware of this scenario and avoid chasing long positions at elevated levels.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the signal line near the zero level, generating a strong upward wave. However, the market is approaching key resistance zones, and if another rally occurs, a bearish divergence could develop, reinforcing the need for cautious positioning.
Buying at major support levels remains the safest strategy, while avoiding breakout trades is advisable.
With the FOMC meeting minutes set for release tonight, overnight positions in gold should be managed carefully due to the potential for increased volatility.
Despite high market volatility, trends remain clear across different asset classes, making trading conditions manageable. Instead of attempting countertrend trades, focus on following the prevailing trend and capitalizing on structured setups.Wishing you a successful trading day!
If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
The gold market has largely recovered after the sharp sell-offGold prices have been suppressed, but this is about to end as supply is tight and gold flows out of London and the US could re-price gold.
Andy Schectman - President of Miles Franklin Precious Metals said that one of the most worrying problems in the current gold market is that it is increasingly difficult to find and buy physical gold. "Currently, the LBMA takes six to eight weeks to deliver gold - in essence, this is almost a form of default," he said.
In China, some major banks have announced they have run out of gold products due to strong demand. In South Korea, the country's mint has temporarily stopped selling gold bars because of tight supply.
The world's largest gold ETF - SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) has just withdrawn 16 tons of gold. He said this could be a sign that institutional investors are withdrawing physical gold from the fund, reflecting a loss of confidence in the "paper gold" market.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Breakout Soon?!
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a daily.
The recent formation of a higher low and 3 consequent equal highs
indicates a highly probable coming bullish movement.
As always, your perfect confirmation is a breakout.
The violation of the underlined blue resistance will give you a
strong bullish signal.
Growth will be expected then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD: Short-term strategyGold's daily surge hit the previous high again. After the previous M-top was formed, it retreated and tested the MA10-day moving average at 2877, then stopped at the 7/10-day moving average and continued to open upward. The RSI indicator continued to run above the high of 70, and the daily price structure was running in the bullish trend channel!
The short-term four-hour chart shows that after the price rose again above the 2900 mark, the MA10/7-day moving average formed a golden cross and opened upward and gradually moved up to 2917/23. The price is running in the upper and middle rail channels of the hourly and four-hour Bollinger bands. Today's trading idea is to buy at a low price during the intraday correction, and then consider selling at a high price.
At present, gold is in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. The daily line maintains a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintains a golden cross upward; the weekly line has risen for 7 consecutive weeks, strongly opening the upper rail space of the Bollinger band, and the bullish sentiment is high. Since the key point of 2906 has been successfully broken through and stabilized yesterday, the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of callback!
From the technical form of the small cycle, the support level is near 2913. It is worth noting that the 1-hour gold price broke through the position of 2913 after the bottom shock and sideways trading. Since 2877, the low point has been continuously raised and the high point has broken upward. As long as the bulls do not lose the support point of 2913 today, the upward direction will not change. Unless the position of 2913 is lost again in the future market, they will consider participating in selling. The bulls pay attention to the pressure of 2940-42.
Key points:
First support: 2928, second support: 2920, third support: 2913
First resistance: 2942, second resistance: 2948, third resistance: 2956
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2913-2915, SL: 2904, TP: 2930-2940;
SELL: 2948-2950, SL: 2959, TP: 2930-2920;
Trade Idea : XAUUSD LONG ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
• RSI at 71.71 (approaching overbought, but still room to run).
• MACD is strongly bullish, indicating momentum in favor of buying.
2. 15-Minute Chart:
• Pullbacks are getting bought aggressively.
• Price is making higher lows and breaking minor resistances.
• MACD remains bullish but shows slight overextension.
3. 3-Minute Chart:
• Strong bullish impulse with a recent breakout.
• RSI is above 70, confirming buying pressure.
• Momentum remains strong with no clear reversal signals.
Fundamental Analysis
• Gold is rallying amid macroeconomic uncertainty.
• US Dollar weakness could be contributing to the rise in gold prices.
• Interest rate expectations and inflation concerns support further upside for gold.
Trade Execution
Trade: Long XAU/USD
• Entry: 2935.00 (slight pullback to support for better RRR).
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2925.00 (below nearest support).
• Take-Profit (TP): 2955.00 (2:1 RRR). FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Trade Idea: XAUUSD SHORT (SELL STOP)Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong uptrend with price near resistance at 2931.99.
• MACD is bullish but shows signs of slowing momentum.
• RSI is at 70.66, indicating overbought conditions and a potential pullback.
2. 15-Minute Chart:
• Recent strong upward move approaching resistance.
• MACD shows weakening momentum.
• RSI is nearing overbought territory, suggesting a short-term pullback.
3. 3-Minute Chart:
• Price rejected at 2934.20 and forming a minor downtrend.
• MACD is bearish, and RSI is recovering from oversold, indicating a possible continuation downward before any rebound.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold’s recent rally is likely fueled by safe-haven demand and macroeconomic factors, but current overbought technicals suggest a short-term pullback.
• Potential profit-taking at current levels could trigger a short-term retracement.
Trade Idea: Short Position
• Entry: 2931.00 (after confirmation of a rejection from resistance)
• Stop Loss (SL): 2936.00 (above recent high for protection)
• Take Profit (TP): 2921.00 (near previous support level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Post Market Update : Big Squeeze CloseToday is quite a day in terms of trading volatility and volume. We've not seen a low-volume day like today in the SPY for more than a year.
It is very likely this rally near the close of trading was more of a short-squeeze and not really a momentum breakout.
We'll see how things play out tomorrow. But, I'm not budging related to my expectations of a breakdown in the markets over the next 5-10+ days.
I see this market as completely over-cooked to the upside - and it seems to be evident in the lack of buying volume playing out.
My Custom Crash index is flat and topping. My Custom Volatility Index is flat and topping. My Custom US Leading Index is actually LOWER so far this week.
One thing is certain, there is a lot of open "air" below the 598 level on the SPY.
Buckle Up.
When it breaks - it may be a BIG BREAKDOWN setting up.
Get Some.
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GOLD STRONG BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅GOL D made a strong bullish
Rebound from the horizontal
Support below of 2868$ just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis and and is going up now
Which combined with the fact
That gold is trading in a strong
Long-term uptrend along the
Rising support line makes us
Bullish biased and IF we see a
Bullish breakout of the
Horizontal resistance level above
Around 2940$ this will serve as
A confirmation of our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation on Gold
SWING LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GOLD Very Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Strong uptrend but the
Price will soon hit a strong
Horizontal resistance level
Of 2943$ which is an
All-time-high so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Gold NEW ATH to $2,954?! (1H UPDATE)Gold’s absolutely rocketing today, so far running 430 PIPS in profit. We’re not too far from our TP!
However, I’d like to see some retracement back down towards $2,917 - $2,913 before hitting our TP. There’s a chance that Gold might be creating a complex 5 Sub-Wave (A,B,C,D,E) triangle. If this complex triangle wave shapes up, it’ll give us the opportunity to enter ANOTHER buy position🚀
Daily Market Outlook: BTC, DXY & Gold – Key Trade Setups (#5)The market still seems indecisive , but I’m here to find the best trade triggers for BTC and Forex. Let’s break it down.
📊 DXY – Breaking Key Support
DXY has entered a corrective phase after breaking below the 107.335 support.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
105.656 (Aligned with the 30% Fibonacci retracement)
103.367 (Aligned with the 60% Fibonacci retracement)
💡 106.602 could act as a short-term support, and if it breaks, it might be time to focus on USD pairs for potential setups.
🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Retesting ATH?
Gold rejected its all-time high at 2937.91 and now seems to be retesting this major resistance.
📊 What’s happening?
Gold is still in an uptrend, but momentum is fading.
Smaller bullish candles vs. larger bearish candles indicate possible exhaustion.
A correction could be healthy, but shorting remains risky in an uptrend.
📌 Trade Triggers:
✅ Long Entry: After a confirmed breakout above 2940
❌ Short Entry: Below 2879.74 (High risk due to trend direction)
📉 BTC – 95K Support Breaking?
BTC is attempting to break below the 95K support. If this level is lost, we could see a move toward 92K, 85K, and even 82K.
📌 Strategy:
✅ Short Trigger (Activated): 95245 (Yesterday’s signal)
✅ If You Missed It: Wait for a pullback or a new structure before entering.
Final Thoughts
⚠ This is a highly volatile market – avoid chasing trades and wait for confirmations.
⚠ If you’re not using risk management, these setups may not be suitable for you.
I’m Skeptic , see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! <3
GOLD Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Drop to 2,911$OANDA:XAUUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if sellers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, there is a high likelihood of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 2,911 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!