GOLD → Consolidation. Long squeeze before growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD has broken through resistance at 3353-3357 since the session opened, and bulls are currently trying to keep the market in the buying zone. Should we expect a long squeeze before growth?
Gold is in local consolidation after breaking through a key level. The price is still in the consolidation phase formed during a week-and-a-half correction. The price reached a three-week high of $3,374 on Monday but fell after the EU's conciliatory statements. Investors are awaiting US inflation data and Chinese GDP figures as they assess the prospects for a Fed rate cut. Heightened geopolitical and trade tensions are keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Technically, gold has entered a local buying zone, but there is a fairly complex resistance zone above it, and consolidation is needed to break through it. Such patterns could include a retest of support and a liquidity grab before growth.
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3357, 3353, 3345
There is a possibility of a retest of eql 3353 in a long squeeze format and a return to resistance at 3373 for a breakout. I also do not rule out a retest of the key level of 3345. The global trend is bullish, with the price locally in a fairly wide range, with an emphasis on the support zone of 3345-3355. If the bulls can hold this zone overall, the market will have a good chance of rising to 3400-3450
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold
USDJPY – Tactical Short in Weekly Supply or Bullish Breakout?COT & MACRO FLOW (Commitment of Traders)
USD INDEX
Non-commercials still biased short: Longs 16,208 vs Shorts 20,194 (slightly improved, but still negative).
Commercials remain net long, but the open interest is declining → no strong conviction from smart money.
JPY
Non-commercials added significantly to their short exposure (+6,751), while cutting longs (-4,432).
Commercials also cut long exposure heavily (-20,405).
The structure shows institutional bias is clearly bearish on JPY.
Conclusion: JPY weakness confirmed by both commercial and non-commercial flows. USD slightly weaker, but JPY is weaker → supports USDJPY bullish bias.
SEASONALITY (JULY)
USD/JPY tends to be weak in July across most historical averages (5y, 10y, 15y, 20y).
July is historically bearish for USDJPY, especially in the second half of the month.
This seasonality contrasts with COT flows → mixed bias.
RETAIL SENTIMENT
60% of retail traders are SHORT → supports contrarian long view.
Retail volume shows imbalance in positioning, another contrarian bullish signal.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (DAILY CHART)
Price is testing a key weekly FVG zone between 148.4 and 149.2.
RSI has re-entered the overbought region, suggesting potential exhaustion.
Price bounced from the monthly bullish order block (143.5–144.0).
A clear move above 149.50 could invalidate short setups.
🧩 TRADE IDEA (SETUP)
Watch for price to retest 148.4–149.50 zone and react.
RSI divergence + seasonality could offer a short opportunity with confirmation (e.g. engulfing on Daily/H4).
If price breaks above 149.5 with volume → look for continuation to 152.00.
✅ FINAL BIAS
Macro and institutional flows remain in favor of USDJPY longs, but:
Seasonality turns bearish in the second half of July
Price is reaching strong resistance
Retail sentiment supports the long thesis
→ Tactical Short from 149-150 only with confirmation. Otherwise, long continuation above 150.
GOLD again targets $3,371, new bullish cycle conditionToday (Tuesday, July 15), in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD maintained a slight recovery trend, currently at around 3,360 USD/ounce.
The spot OANDA:XAUUSD rose to a 3-week high on Monday, but quickly fell back and finally closed lower. Trump's open attitude towards trade negotiations has improved the market's risk-on sentiment and negatively impacted gold, a safe-haven asset. But gold still has a lot of potential risks for price increases, and personally, the fundamental trend for gold has not changed.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report today (Tuesday).
According to a Reuters survey, economists expect the US CPI to increase year-on-year in June to 2.7% from 2.4% the previous month, while the core CPI is expected to increase year-on-year to 3% from 2.8%.
The survey also showed that the US CPI is expected to increase 0.3% month-on-month in June, and the core CPI is also expected to increase 0.3% month-on-month.
According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool", the market believes that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates in July and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in September is about 30%.
If the US core CPI rises by 0.4% or more in June, this could prompt market participants to reassess the possibility of a rate cut in September. In this case, the US Dollar could hold steady and push gold prices lower. On the other hand, if the data is lower than expected, gold will become more attractive while a weaker Dollar will be positive for gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After gold reached the resistance target of attention to readers in the weekly publication at 3,371 USD, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement, it fell slightly but is now recovering positively.
Currently, gold is trading in the range of 3,360 USD, the price action above the lower edge of the long-term rising price channel with support from the EMA21, gold is now likely to continue to retest the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level.
If gold breaks above $3,371 it will be eligible for a new bullish cycle, with the target then being around $3,400 in the short term, more so than $3,430.
On the other hand, the RSI is pointing up, maintaining activity above 50, and this should be considered a positive signal in terms of momentum. It shows that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead.
However, as of now, gold is still neutral in terms of trend, with conditions gradually tilting towards the possibility of price increase.
Along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,340 – $3,310
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3390 - 3388⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3394
→Take Profit 1 3382
↨
→Take Profit 2 3376
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3300
→Take Profit 1 3312
↨
→Take Profit 2 3318
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: Bullish Continuation Play- 15 July 20244‑Hour Technical Outlook — Bullish Bias Above Key BOS Zone
Gold remains in a strong structural uptrend on the 4‑hour chart, carving out a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Price is consolidating just below recent swing highs around $3,360, suggesting accumulation after last week’s impulsive rally.
We saw a Break of Structure (BOS) above $3,340, confirming bullish control and establishing that area as a critical flip zone. Unless price closes decisively below that BOS, the directional bias remains bullish.
📐 Key Confluences & Zones on 4‑Hour
🔹 Fibonacci Retracement (Swing: $3,280 → $3,360):
38.2%: ~$3,331 — aligns perfectly with BOS & prior resistance turned support.
61.8%: ~$3,313 — deeper, but still within bullish context.
🔹 Supply & Demand Zones:
Supply (Resistance): $3,355–$3,360 — recent highs, likely containing resting sell‑side liquidity.
Demand (Support): $3,331–$3,335 — a bullish order block and fair value gap (imbalance) reside here.
Deeper Demand: $3,313–$3,315 — secondary buy zone if the market hunts liquidity deeper.
🔹 Liquidity Profile:
Buy‑side stops likely rest above $3,360 — breakout target.
Sell‑side liquidity below $3,331 could trigger a shakeout before higher.
🧠 ICT/SMC Concepts Observed:
✅ BOS confirmed at $3,340, favoring longs.
✅ FVG/imbalance between $3,338–$3,342 suggests price may “fill” before next impulse.
✅ Recent wick above $3,355 hints at minor buy‑side liquidity grab — but no confirmed CHoCH (change of character) yet.
✅ Bullish order block formed at $3,331–$3,333, acting as strong support.
📈 1‑Hour Intraday Playbook — Aligned With Bullish Bias
On the 1‑hour chart, momentum remains constructive above $3,331. Intraday traders can look for these setups:
1️⃣ Buy the Retest
Entry: $3,335 (within 4H OB & FVG)
Stop‑loss: $3,327 (below demand)
Targets:
🔸 T1: $3,355
🔸 T2: $3,380 (next resistance)
2️⃣ Breakout Long
Entry: Break and close above $3,360
Stop‑loss: $3,350
Targets:
🔸 T1: $3,380
🔸 T2: $3,406 (1.272 Fib ext.)
3️⃣ Deeper Pullback Buy
Entry: $3,313–$3,315 (61.8% Fib + deeper demand)
Stop‑loss: $3,305
Targets: back toward $3,355–$3,380
🎯 The Golden Setup:
✅ Long from $3,335, stop‑loss $3,327, targeting $3,355–$3,380.
Why? This setup aligns BOS, bullish OB, FVG, 38.2% Fib, and current trend structure — highest confluence and best risk/reward ratio (~1:3).
🔎 Summary Table — Key Levels for Today
📈 Bullish Continuation Above $3,331
🟢 Strong Buy Zone $3,331–$3,335
🟢 Deeper Demand $3,313–$3,315
🔴 Resistance / Supply $3,355–$3,360
🚨 Bullish Invalidation Below $3,331
Bias remains bullish as long as $3,331 holds. Look for reaction in the $3,331–$3,335 zone to join institutional flows.
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3356.28, which is a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 50% FIb retracement.
Our take profit will be at 3329.51, a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 3374.95, a swing-high resistance level.
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GOLD Local Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a retest of
The horizontal support
Level of 3343$ and as
We are locally bullish
Biases we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Back above $3,300, GOLD may remain neutral, tax focusOANDA:XAUUSD reclaimed the psychologically important level of $3,300/ounce last week, but while gold is still receiving some support as a safe haven amid economic and geopolitical risks, its upside momentum may be limited as the market shifts its attention to other commodities.
Gold prices ended last week on a generally bullish note, rising back above $3,300 an ounce after US President Trump unexpectedly announced a series of new trade policies. Spot gold prices rose about 0.5% last week on Friday.
Although the market initially doubted Trump’s self-imposed July 9 deadline, the overall market reaction remained steady and the renewed risk appetite helped the S&P 500 hit a new record high, somewhat undermining gold’s safe-haven appeal. The July deadline has been pushed back to August 1, but the global trade conflict is far from over. Gold has regained support after initial pressure after Trump announced a new trade policy on copper imports, along with a series of news stories about the relationship between Trump and the FED sent to readers throughout the past week.
A sharp rise in copper prices will also add to inflationary pressures, exacerbate economic uncertainty and raise concerns about recession and stagflation. In this context, gold is expected to continue to receive support from potential risks.
In addition to fierce competition in the commodity market, gold may remain fundamentally neutral in the short term, as economic data will support the Fed's neutral monetary policy. The key market focus next week will be the June Consumer Price Index (CPI). The Fed has made it clear that it is in no rush to raise interest rates while inflation risks remain high.
However, traders still need to be cautious and closely monitor the situation surrounding the tariff war initiated by Trump, which will directly affect the price of gold. In case of negative news, the gold price will receive support and vice versa if positive news appears in the market.
Over the weekend, US President Trump once again used the tariff tactic, announcing that he would impose a 30% tax on imports from the EU and Mexico, causing a strong reaction from the international community. This move not only casts a shadow over the relationship between Europe and the United States, as well as between the United States and Mexico, but also adds further uncertainty to the global trade model. EU politicians, businesses and academics were quick to respond, calling for unity to protect their interests, while Mexico stressed the need to maintain national sovereignty and pledged to respond calmly.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has a 3-day rally, and the upside momentum has reached the important target resistance at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Gold's upside momentum is also limited by this Fibonacci retracement level, specifically it has slightly dropped to $3,355/oz.
But overall, gold is still not in a position to form a specific trend, and the indicators and positions are mainly showing the possibility of continuing to accumulate sideways.
For gold to have the conditions for a new bullish cycle, it needs to bring price activity above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430.
Meanwhile, a pullback, which sees gold sell below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, would open the door to a bearish cycle, with a target of around $3,246 in the short term, rather than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement.
RSI hovering around 50 also suggests a hesitant market sentiment, so the short-term bias for gold is neutral.
Along with that, notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,310 – $3,300
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3410
→Take Profit 1 3398
↨
→Take Profit 2 3392
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3340 - 3342⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3336
→Take Profit 1 3348
↨
→Take Profit 2 3354
Market Watch UPDATES! Stock Indices, Gold, Silver, US OILWelcome to the Market Watch Updates for Monday, July 14th.
In this video, we will give the forecast updates for the following markets:
S&P500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, GOLD, SILVER and US OIL.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Today's summary and tomorrow's market forecast📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
Bros, I had some things to deal with just now so I went out for a while. Now I come back to share my ideas. When the market is blindly chasing longs, I chose to give a bearish trading opportunity. I know that after I proposed the idea of shorting to test the support level of 3340-3330 below, many people were skeptical and even looked at it with a sarcastic attitude. After all, most people in the market are long. But facts and results have proved that only by following the trend can there be better room for operation. When doing transactions, you must first have a clear goal. Those who follow the crowd will often only blame their mistakes on others or luck.
Regarding the arrangements for future trading, first of all, 3375-3385 above is still an important short-term resistance. If today's closing is above 3360, then 3375 will most likely be tested again during the Asia-Europe trading session. Once it goes up again, it is very likely to break through the resistance area of 3375-3385. Before the US data, the price may stay at 3390 or 3400. On the contrary, if today's closing is below 3360, then the price still has room for adjustment. In this way, 3340 will not be the low point of this week. The bearish volatility in the Asian and European sessions will also test the strong support of 3330-3320.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
The Gold Retrace for Ultimate Entry!looking for price to continue with its pullback to find where exactly support is. Once we see price establish support we should get some type of signal for entry and price can continue with this bullish price action to make new highs. If we get a full 71.8% pullback that should make for a nice bull run. Just need to wait for the confirmations first before reacting cause we might get a lot of chop until then.
Beaish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,356.57
1st Support: 3,330.37
1st Resistance: 3,374.33
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XAUUSD 1440M forecast Based on the latest available information for July 15, 2025, the overall sentiment for XAUUSD (Gold) in the next 24 hours leans towards a bullish outlook, though with potential for short-term fluctuations and pullbacks.
Key Drivers for Bullish Outlook:
Escalating Trade Tensions: US President Donald Trump's ongoing tariff and trade policies are a significant factor. New tariffs and threats against various countries (EU, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Brazil, Canada) are creating global economic uncertainty, which typically boosts gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Geopolitical Uncertainty: Broader geopolitical risks, including those related to Russia and Ukraine, also contribute to safe-haven demand for gold.
Inflation Concerns: Tariffs are linked to inflation concerns. Gold performs strongly in a high-inflation environment, and market expectations are shifting towards a more gradual easing of interest rates by the Fed, allowing for inflation to be a potential driver.
Central Bank Demand: Central banks globally, particularly the US and China, continue to be strong buyers of gold, indicating a sustained structural trend of higher gold purchases.
Technical Support: Several analyses point to gold finding support at key levels (e.g., around $3340-3345, 200 EMA), suggesting potential for bounces and continuation of an upward trend.
"Buy on Dip" Strategy: Many analysts are recommending a "buy on dip" strategy, indicating an underlying bullish bias and viewing any short-term declines as buying opportunities.
Factors to Watch (Potential for Pullbacks/Volatility):
Short-Term Weakness/Consolidation: Some technical indicators suggest short-term weakness or consolidation, with gold testing resistance levels (e.g., $3375-3380, $3400).
US Dollar Strength: While trade tensions can weaken the dollar, there are mixed signals. A stronger US dollar can put downward pressure on gold prices as it makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Inflation Data and Fed Signals: Investors are closely watching US inflation data (CPI) and signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate cuts. While some expect cuts later in the year, any hawkish surprises could temper gold's rise.
Trade Deal Hopes: Any signs of de-escalation in trade tensions or progress towards agreements could temporarily reduce safe-haven demand for gold.
Specific Price Levels Mentioned:
Resistance: $3375-3380, $3400, $3432, $3450-3470, $3500 (all-time high).
Support: $3340-3345, $3325-3330, $3289-3303, $3240-3246.
In summary, the prevailing sentiment for XAUUSD over the next 24 hours appears to be bullish, driven by ongoing global trade tensions and safe-haven demand. However, be prepared for potential short-term pullbacks or consolidation as the market digests new information and tests key resistance levels.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD Triangle about to break upwards aggressively.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Triangle pattern since the April 22 High. It is now above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been turned into its Pivot and technically it is about to break upwards as it is running out of space.
As long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds, the market technically targets the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, which is what the last two Bullish Legs hit, which currently sits at 3770. A 1D RSI break above its own Lower Highs trend-line, could be an early buy signal.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We started the week with our Bullish target 3364 HIT, followed with no ema5 lock confirming the rejection. Bearish target remains open and may complete with the rejection.
We will continue with our plans to buy dips, utilising the support levels from the bearish targets and/or Goldturns. Also keeping in mind our 1h chart, although gave a nice push up , the full Bullish gap remains open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3297
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
"Ethereum Is The New Bitcoin" - Tom Lee ETH / Stablecoins Are the ChatGPT of Crypto
Stablecoins are exploding in adoption — just like ChatGPT took over AI and Ethereum is the engine driving that revolution. In this post, we break down 10 reasons why Tom Lee is extremely bullish on Ethereum and why it could be the single most important digital asset in the future of finance . If you're sleeping on ETH, this might be your wake-up call.
Top 10 Bullish Points from Tom Lee on Ethereum:
• Ethereum is the backbone of stablecoins , which Tom Lee compares to the “ChatGPT of crypto” due to their viral adoption and massive utility.
• Over 51% of all stablecoins operate on Ethereum , contributing to around 30% of the network’s total fees.
• Ethereum network fees could 10x as stablecoin usage grows from $250 billion to $2 trillion.
• Ethereum is positioned to lead the tokenization of real-world assets , including stocks and real estate.
• ETH could reach $10,000 if asset tokenization becomes a mainstream financial practice.
• Ethereum has a regulatory edge in the U.S. , making it the preferred platform for compliant financial innovation.
• A $250 million ETH treasury strategy is underway , aiming to use Ethereum as a long-term reserve asset.
• Institutions will buy and stake ETH to secure stablecoin networks, making ETH the “next Bitcoin.”
• Ethereum dominates the crypto ecosystem , with nearly 60% of activity including DeFi, NFTs, and dApps built on its chain.
• HODL ETH for long-term growth , as its utility, demand, and institutional support continue to rise.
Conclusion:
Ethereum isn’t just a Layer 1 blockchain — it’s becoming the core financial infrastructure for the digital age . As stablecoins expand and institutions enter, ETH could be the most asymmetric opportunity in crypto right now.
📢 Drop a like, leave your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to follow for more powerful macro + crypto insights. 👍👍
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (1H UPDATE)Taking a HIGH RISK ENTRY here for sell's. Bearish momentum seems to be kicking in, so I am willing to take a high risk entry, with a smaller lot size then usual.
Our second entry zone still sits higher around $3,400 so I am being careful here with tight risk management.
GOLD: Long Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3352.0
Sl - 3346.8
Tp - 3362.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,349.76 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,341.88..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD - 1H VIEWStill looking for a move lower in the coming weeks. There are 2 possible zones I would like to see Gold sell off from:
Zone 1: $3,356 - $3,340 (CMP)
Zone 2: $3,406 - $3,426
Being patient, with no current sells. This analysis is just my current theory. If $3,450 (Wave 2 high) is taken out, then we are heading towards $3,600+
The market is bullish, but I am bearish. Don't regret it.📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
This week, the US CPI data, consumer index, tariff issues and geopolitical situation are all key points to pay attention to. In the morning, both our long and short positions had good gains, making a good start to the week. The best way is to follow the trend and grab limited profits!
In the 4H cycle, the current trend shows a Zhendan upward pattern, and bulls still occupy the dominant low position in the short term. At the daily level, three consecutive positive days at the end of last week broke through the middle track, and the high point broke through the previous high, indicating that the short-term adjustment is over, and the rise in the market to test 3400 will be a high probability event. At present, the MACD daily line is bullish, the Bollinger Bands are flat, and the gold price is above the middle track. The bulls are strong, but there is still a need for a correction. Intraday trading focuses on the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, the US session will continue to rise, and if the European session is weak, the US session will bottom out again. In the short term, if it touches 3370-3375 again, you can consider shorting and look towards 3365-3355 SL 3380.
🎯 Trading Points:
sell 3370-3375
tp 3365-3355-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XUA/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 3-hour
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Gold (XAU/USD) 3H Technical Analysis Summary
Market Structure: Bullish breakout
Price has successfully broken above both the downtrend line and the support zone (highlighted in yellow), signaling a shift in structure from bearish to bullish.
Key Support Zone:
The yellow zone (~3,335–3,355) was previously a resistance area. After the breakout, it is acting as a strong support level and has been retested.
Trendlines:
Downtrend line: Broken and retested.
Uptrend line: Guiding current price action, supporting higher lows and forming an ascending channel.
200 EMA (blue line):
Price is trading above the EMA 200 (~3,331), confirming bullish bias and providing dynamic support.
Momentum (RSI 14):
RSI is around 67.85, showing strong bullish momentum.
Nearing overbought, so a minor pullback or consolidation could occur before continuation.
Volume:
Increase in buying volume near breakout area suggests institutional interest or strong buyer conviction.
Mr SMC trading point
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Conclusion:
Price has shifted into a bullish continuation pattern.
A successful break and retest of structure and trendlines increases the likelihood of further upside.
As long as price holds above the yellow support zone and the uptrend line, bullish momentum is favored.
Short-term pullbacks may offer new long opportunities.
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