Gold Forming Triangle Pattern in Wave IV - Potential BreakoutXAU/USD is currently displaying a textbook triangle consolidation pattern as part of what appears to be wave IV in its Elliott Wave sequence. This corrective structure is developing after a strong upward move and shows clear converging trendlines with alternating A-B-C swings.
Technical Analysis:
Price consolidating near $3,044 level with minor bearish bias labelled wave ((D))
A-B-C internal wave structure visible inside consolidation
Potential wave ((iii)) price target at $3082.37
Triangle patterns typically represent consolidation before continuation of the primary trend. If this pattern completes as expected, we could see a final wave V impulse in the coming sessions.
Watch for a breakout from this triangle formation - volume should increase to confirm the validity of the move. Target exit or adjust stops based on the direction of the breakout.
Gold
XAUUSD Starting the new bullish wave.Gold is trading inside a Channel Up, where it just priced a new Higher Low today.
The MA50 (1h) held and the price should now kick start the new bullish wave.
All previous ones have been at least +2.05%.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 3085 (+2.05%).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is trading inside a Channel Down that has already started a bullish wave. An early bullish signal.
Please like, follow and comment!!
2 more reasons to buy gold? Israel is sending a delegation to Washington for strategic talks on Iran, while Trump has reportedly given Tehran a two-month deadline for a nuclear deal—so far, Iran isn’t engaging.
So, the question is: Are we headed towards military conflict or a significant wave of sanctions?
Meanwhile, protests erupted after Erdoğan’s main rival was arrested, triggering a sharp selloff in Turkish markets. The lira hit record lows, forcing the central bank to intervene with nearly $10 billion in currency sales.
Turkey’s inflation remains elevated at 39%, with interest rates at 42.5%. Continued lira weakness could push inflation higher, forcing further rate hikes and adding to the country’s economic instability.
GOLD Trending Higher - Will Buyers Push Toward 3,012?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,012 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list time post signals 💯 reached target point 3059. ). Analysis update on gold. Gold look 👀 patterns chart 📉 sellers recover and strong 💪. 30M time frame 🖼️ looking short trend 📉 target 🎯 point 3001 that entry buying said good luck 💯
Key Resistance level 3042 + 3046
Key Support level 3006 - 3001
Mr SMC Trading point
Palee support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another Piptastic day on the charts with our analysis playing out perfectly.
After completing all our Bullish targets yesterday we confirmed the gap to 3049 remained open after cross and lock above 3029.
- This was hit perfectly today completing this target. No further cross and lock above 3049 confirmed the rejection into the lower Goldturn for the bounce just like we said!!
We will now see price play between both these Goldturns until we see a cross and lock on either level to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2993 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3011 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3011 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3029 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3029 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3049 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3049 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3068
BEARISH TARGETS
2968
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2968 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2942
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2942 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2906 - 2886
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Have you seen gold? New all-time high – $3,000+ per ounce!The price of Gold vs. the US Dollar (XAU/USD) has hit a new record, surpassing $3,050 per ounce!
The main drivers behind this surge include escalating conflict in the Middle East and concerns over a slowing US economy. Additionally, US trade wars with China, Canada, and Mexico continue to push global gold prices higher.
The Middle Eastern conflict escalated after Israeli airstrikes on Hamas targets in Gaza, driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Another contributing factor is weak US retail sales data for February, which grew only +0.2% instead of the expected +0.7%, heightening recession fears. Moreover, ongoing trade wars — linked to import tariffs introduced by Donald Trump — are putting pressure on global markets, further increasing gold’s appeal as a protective asset.
April gold futures are currently trading around $3,000 per ounce. Since the beginning of 2025, the precious metal has gained over 14% , reinforcing its status as a reliable asset during uncertain times.
Major investment banks forecast further price growth:
UBS Group expects $3,200 per ounce by year-end.
Macquarie Group forecasts a rise to $3,500 in Q2.
BNP Paribas predicts an average price above $3,000 throughout 2025.
Analysts at FreshForex emphasize that in times of global uncertainty and rising risks, gold remains the ultimate safe-haven asset, expecting new all-time highs ahead. Seize the opportunity now!
For our valued readers, we’re offering an insane 202% bonus on deposits over $202! Simply contact support with promo code 202GOLD , fund your account, and trade with TRIPLE capital!
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My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3031.1
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3042.3
My Stop Loss - 3025.2
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
MarketBreakdown | GOLD, GBPUSD, DOLLAR INDEX, EURAUD
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #GOLD XAUUSD 1H time frame 🥇
Earlier on Sunday, I shared a completed head & shoulders pattern on Gold.
Its neckline was respected and the price bounced from that, setting a new historic high.
That same neckline is now a perfect base for a new head & shoulders pattern.
The plan remains the same, if the price violates and closes below that
a correctional movement will be expected.
2️⃣ #GBPUSD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks weak and shows a clear signs of a strong overbought state.
We see a breakout attempt of a rising parallel channel at the moment.
Daily candle close below that will trigger a correctional movement with a high probability.
3️⃣ DOLLAR INDEX #DXY daily time frame 💵
Dollar Index shows clear strength after 2 recent US fundamental releases.
The last obstacle for the bulls is the underlined blue resistance,
its breakout and a daily candle close above will trigger more growth.
4️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
It feels like the pair is returning to a global bullish trend.
The price has recently retraced and perfectly respected the underlined support.
With a high probability, we will see a test of a current high soon.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-20-25 : Flat-Down PatternToday's SPY Cycle pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will stay somewhat muted in trading range today.
I still believe the SPY/QQQ are in a moderate melt-up type of trend - attempting to reach a peak near the end of this week or early next week (see the patterns for March 24, 25, 26).
Even though I believe we are struggling to try to move higher, I do believe any failure of the SPY to move above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level would be a technical failure related to the breadth of this pullback.
Thus, I believe the markets have at least one more attempt to try to move higher over the next 5+ days before topping and rolling over into a broader downtrend.
Gold and Silver moved solidly lower this morning - almost like a Panic type of selling. I believe this is related to the Flat-Down pattern and I believe Gold/Silver will recover fairly quickly. I do believe this is a huge opportunity for Gold/Silver over the next 30+ days. I believe Gold will attempt to move above $3500-3600 before the end of April.
BTCUSD rolled higher yesterday by more than $4000 - just like I predicted.
Incredible.
And, that is another reason why I believe the SPY/QQQ have more room to the upside than we are seeing right now.
Remember this is a trader's market.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Gold - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation LowerH1 - Bearish divergence on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Followed by bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows structure
Strong bearish momentum
Potential drop after retraces if the strong resistance zone will not be broken.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD:20/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold Technology Analysis
Daily chart resistance is 3050-3100, support is 3000 below
Four-hour chart resistance 3080, support 3030 below
One-hour chart resistance 3054, support 3042 below
Analysis of gold news: Spot gold fluctuated narrowly on Thursday, and gold prices continued to rise after Fed Chairman Powell delivered a speech. Spot gold once broke through the $3,050/ounce mark, setting a historical record. The Fed announced the keeping interest rates unchanged at its latest policy meeting and hinted that interest rate cuts could be cut twice this year while slowing down the pace of balance sheet reduction. This series of measures has triggered a decline in the US dollar's gains and a decline in US Treasury yields, providing rising momentum for gold prices. This trading day requires attention to the Bank of England's interest rate resolution, changes in the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States, the United States' February existing home sales data and geopolitical situation related news.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold stabilized yesterday at the 3022 mark and continued to fluctuate strongly and break the high trend. Asian and European session prices rose slightly and pierced through the 3045 mark and fell under pressure. European session fluctuated and fell and stabilized at the 3022 mark. Then it rebounded and rose. The US session fell for the second time and stabilized at the 3026 mark. Then the gold price accelerated to pull up and broke through the 3050 mark and closed strongly at almost the highest point in the day.
Judging from the current trend analysis, the lower support is focused on the one-hour level 3042 and the four-hour level 3030 line, and the important support is focused on the daily level 3000 line. Relying on this position, it continues to be bullish. The target position above is still focused on breaking through new highs. Before the daily level falls below the lower support, it still keeps buying with the trend.
Buy: 3032near SL: 3028
Buy: 3042near SL: 3038
GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,031.48
Target Level: 2,966.31
Stop Loss: 3,074.79
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Skeptic | Gold Analysis: Risk Management Amid Weakening MomentumWelcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic, and today we’re analyzing XAUUSD.
In my previous analysis , our long trigger at 2994.16 was activated, and by now, you should be sitting on an R/R above 5. The major trend on the daily timeframe is s till uptrend , but we’re sensing more trend weakness than ever.
⚠️ This doesn’t mean we skip a long position when our trigger activates—just that we should manage risk more cautiously.
On the 1H timeframe , it seems we’ve formed an upward channel , with clean reactions to the mid-line, ceiling, and floor. It’s worth noting that during the formation of this channel:
RSI has been declining
ADX is also decreasing
This indicates reduced trader interest in maintaining the bullish channel and hints at potential trend weakness. Considering all this, we have a slight short bias today, meaning we might assign a bit more weight to the short side.
Short Setup:
Trigger: Break below 3024.52 (coinciding with RSI entering the oversold zone)
Long Setup:
Trigger: Break above 3057.64
Thanks for sticking around! Let me know your thoughts, and see you in the next analysis! 💪🔥
Happy Eid to all my Persian friends! <3 :)))
XAUUSD Technical insights and possible trading strategies **1. Trend Analysis (Bullish setup)
- The price is currently in an **uptrend**, confirmed by the **higher highs and higher lows**.
- The **ascending trendline** acts as a dynamic support level.
- The **price is above the 50 EMA**, which usually signals a bullish trend.
- However, it's currently testing support, and a break below could shift momentum.
**2. Key Support & Resistance Levels**
- **Support Zone ($3,042 - $3,046, marked in red)**
- Price has previously bounced from this area.
- The **50 EMA** is also near this support, adding strength.
- If this level holds, it could act as a buying zone.
- **Resistance Zone ($3,050 - $3,060, marked in green)**
- Price faced rejection from this zone earlier.
- A breakout above this resistance could signal further upside.
- If the price fails to break, it may consolidate or retrace.
**3. Moving Averages Analysis**
- **7 EMA ($3,048.844) & 21 EMA ($3,047.889)**
- Short-term EMAs are **very close to price action**, indicating consolidation.
- If the **7 EMA crosses below the 21 EMA**, it could signal short-term weakness.
- **50 EMA ($3,042.649)**
- A **critical dynamic support** level.
- If the price bounces from here, the bullish trend remains intact.
- A breakdown could trigger a deeper pullback.
**4. Possible Trading Strategies**
**📈 Bullish Setup (Buy Scenario)**
- **Entry:** Look for **bullish confirmation (green candle, higher low)** near the support zone ($3,042 - $3,046).
- **Target:** Initial target near resistance at **$3,050 - $3,060**, then **$3,070+**.
- **Stop-Loss:** Below **$3,040** (just under the trendline and 50 EMA).
**📉 Bearish Setup (Sell Scenario)**
- **Entry:** If price **closes below $3,042**, it could indicate a breakdown.
- **Target:** Next support area around **$3,030** or lower.
- **Stop-Loss:** Above **$3,050** (in case of a false breakdown).
**5. Volume Confirmation**
- **Low volume near support** → Risk of breakdown.
- **High volume breakout above resistance** → Strong bullish move.
- **Divergence (price rising but volume dropping)** → Weak trend, possible reversal.
**Conclusion:**
- **Watch price action near $3,046 support**—a bounce could lead to new highs.
- **If support breaks, be ready for a pullback to $3,030 or lower.**
- **Confirm moves with volume before entering trades.**
XAUUSDTrade Setup:
Entry: Around $3,046 (current price region).
Stop Loss: $3,039, below a key support area (FVG zone).
Take Profit: $3,077, targeting a higher resistance level.
Key Zones:
FVG (Fair Value Gap) at $3,039: This is an area where price may find liquidity and potentially bounce.
Support at $3,045.59: Price is holding this level, and a break below might indicate further downside.
Resistance at $3,077: The take-profit level aligns with previous resistance.
Trade Idea:
Bullish Bias: The price may continue upwards if it holds above $3,045.
Risk-Reward: The setup has a favorable risk-reward ratio, with a stop loss around $3,039 and a target at $3,077.
keep stop lose
Gold Holds Near Record $3,050Gold hovered near a record $3,050, supported by Fed rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand. The Fed reaffirmed plans for 50 bps cuts this year amid rising economic uncertainty, driving gold.
Middle East tensions escalated as Israel resumed ground operations in Gaza after an airstrike ended a two-month ceasefire. The US continued strikes on Houthi targets, with Trump warning Iran over future incidents.
Trade concerns persisted ahead of new tariffs in April, following the US’s 25% duty on steel and aluminum in February.
Key resistance stands at $3082, with further levels at $3100 and $3,150. Support is at $3000, followed by $2,980 and $2,916.
Gold: Key Levels to Watch TodayGold is rising, forming a series of flag-like patterns. Only a few hours remain until the FOMC decision, which could determine the next leg of this move or break the short-term cycle, leading to a retest of the 3000 level. Key levels to watch are 3025 as support and 3045 as resistance.
On the downside, the first target is the 3000–3006 zone, which includes both the psychologically significant 3000 level and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
On the upside, a breakout could target 3075, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Could the price drop from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 3,052.78
1st Support: 3,020.46
1st Resistance: 3,059.37
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone?📊 XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup
🔹 Market Structure: Gold has been in a strong uptrend, with price currently consolidating near a key demand zone.
🔹 Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance: $3,050 - $3,060 (Potential target)
🟣 Demand Zone: $3,030 - $3,035 (Support area)
🟠 Deeper Support: $3,025 (Break below weakens bullish bias)
📈 Potential Trade Setup:
1️⃣ A possible pullback into the demand zone could attract buyers.
2️⃣ Price may wick below liquidity before reversing.
3️⃣ If support holds, we anticipate a move toward $3,050+.
✅ Entry Zone: $3,030 - $3,035
🎯 Target: $3,050 - $3,060
🚨 Stop Loss: Below $3,025
⚠️ Watch for price action confirmation before entering. A strong bullish candle from support could signal entry. Let the market show its hand! 🚀✨