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Beware of the market's trap of luring more investors, short 3335Regarding recent trading strategies, I believe you have also seen my trading win rate. I often inform the future trend of gold several hours or even days in advance, because my many years of trading experience have made me an excellent poisonous wolf in the trading market. Now I see a lot of bullish voices in the market, but my wolf’s sense of smell has discovered danger signals. In the short term, I think that without the influence of news, the market needs to digest the overbought momentum of the bulls. From the 4H chart, the middle track of the Bollinger Band is at 3332, which is very close to the strong support of 3330 given by us during the day. Therefore, I think that at least within 4 hours, gold will fall back to test the support below 3340-3330, or even 3320. Since most people want to follow the crowd, let them go. They will only fall into the trap set by the market. Let's prove with facts whether following the wolf pack will make you hungry or well fed. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
3
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on XAUUSD? Gold has successfully broken above its descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure and growing bullish momentum. A pullback toward the broken trendline is now likely, as price may retest the breakout zone. Once the pullback is completed, we anticipate a bullish continuation and a move toward higher levels. As long as price holds above the identified support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid. Will gold resume its rally after the pullback? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
44
Gold Roadmap=>Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) currently appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) . The Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) was broken with the help of the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , the upper line of this classic pattern having served as an important resistance line for us in previous ideas . In terms of Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) within the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It is currently completing the next five impulse waves . Wave 5 of these waves could end in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect Gold to rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and of course, given the momentum of gold approaching PRZ , we can also look for Short positions in PRZ . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,329 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
17
XAUUSD - Gold Awaits Tariff News?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. We remain bullish on the commodity and can expect to see $3,400. A correction towards the demand zones would provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity. Gold markets experienced significant volatility this past week, largely driven by global trade developments and speculation over future Federal Reserve actions. Although gold posted a positive weekly performance, it remained confined within its recent trading range and continued to trade cautiously. Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, noted, “Gold saw declines on Monday and Tuesday, but a three-day rally brought the week to a positive close. It appears that the announcement of new U.S. tariffs played a major role in this rebound. However, it remains uncertain whether the consolidation phase following the historic high near $3,500 has concluded.” Adam Button, head of currency strategy at Forexlive.com, said that since the passage of the “Big, Beautiful Bill” last week, markets have split into two opposing camps. “The optimists are enthusiastically buying equities, while the pessimists are flocking to precious metals. The bulls believe the budget deficit could stimulate growth, but the bears are concerned about the long-term burden of repaying it.” He continued: “This divide is evident across the market. Bearish capital is flowing into bitcoin, silver, and gold. While retail traders are largely focused on bitcoin and silver, gold remains the preferred safe haven for central banks and global reserve managers. These institutions are likely observing Trump’s policies and the political landscape carefully before reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar and reallocating reserves toward gold.” He added, “Among retail traders, patience seems to have worn thin, and many are ready to enter the market aggressively.” Button also stated that the markets are no longer reacting seriously to Trump’s tariff rhetoric. “The reaction of the Canadian dollar after the 35% tariff announcement on Thursday clearly reflected this indifference. Even the Brazilian real barely moved despite facing unexpected tariffs. Now all eyes are on the potential tariffs on Europe—an announcement that could come at any moment and serve as a key test. Still, I expect the market will shrug it off. The only question is whether that indifference lasts an hour or even less.” Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank has issued a warning that financial markets may be underestimating the risk of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell being dismissed by Trump. According to Bloomberg, George Saravelos, the bank’s senior strategist, said that such a move could result in a 3–4% drop in the U.S. dollar and a 30–40 basis point surge in Treasury yields within a single day. He emphasized that removing Powell would be a significant blow to the Fed’s independence and would raise concerns about direct political interference in monetary policymaking. The market’s long-term response would depend on Trump’s nominee to replace Powell, how other Fed officials react, and the overall state of the economy. Deutsche Bank also warned that the U.S.’s weak external financing position could amplify market volatility well beyond the initial shock. Looking ahead to next week, investors will be closely watching developments around trade tariffs, but special attention will also be paid to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June. According to the ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), prices in the manufacturing sector have slightly accelerated, while price components in the non-manufacturing sector have dropped notably. Since manufacturing only accounts for 10% of U.S.GDP, the risks to CPI appear skewed to the downside. A slowdown in inflation may lead some market participants to reassess the likelihood of a July rate cut—potentially halting the recent upward momentum of the U.S. dollar. On Wednesday, June’s Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be released, followed by June retail sales figures on Thursday. Additionally, Friday will see the preliminary results of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey for July. This report is closely watched for its one-year inflation expectations. The annual rate surged to 6.6% in May before dropping to 5% in June. If this downward trend continues, it could reinforce the view that inflation risks are easing, potentially leading to a modest pullback in the dollar.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to spike down into potentially the extension level 3310 and then give us the tap and bounce we wanted to be able to capture the long trade in to the 3345-50 region initially. It was those higher resistance levels that we said we would stick with and the bias was bearish below. This move resulted in a decent long trade upside into the region we wanted, and then the decline we witnessed mid-week completing all of our bearish target levels which were shared with everyone. On top of that, we got the bounce we wanted for the long trade but only back up into the 3335 level which was an Excalibur active target. The rest, we just sat and watched on Friday as unless we were already in the move, the only thing we could have done is get in with the volume, which isn’t a great idea with the limited pull backs. All in all, a great week in Camelot not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade with the DAX swing trade being a point to point swing move executed with precision by the team. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We’ll keep it simple again this week but will say this, there seems we may see a curveball on the way this week. With tariff news over the weekend we may see price open across the markets with gaps, one thing we will say is if you see these gaps, don’t gap chase until you see a clean reversal! We have the higher level here of 3375-85 resistance and lower support here 3350-45. If support holds on open we may see that push upside into the red box which is the one that needs to be monitored. Failure to breach can result in a correction all the way back down into the 3335 level initially. Again, this lower support level is the key level for this week and needs to be monitored for a breach which should then result in a completed correction of the move. Our volume indicators are suggesting a higher high can take place here and if we do get a clean reversal we should see this pull back deeply. As usual we will follow the strategy that has been taught and let Excalibur guide the way. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360, 3373, 3375 and 3383 for now Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340, 3335, 3329, 3320 and 3310 for now RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3340, 3335, 3329, 3322 and 3310 in extension of the move It’s a HUGE RANGE this week so play caution, wait for the right set ups, don’t treat it like it’s your every day market condition. News from Tuesday so expect Monday to be choppy! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
29
XAU/USD : Gold at a Turning Point – Rejection or Breakout Ahead?By analyzing the TVC:GOLD (XAUUSD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed to $3330 today, entering a key supply zone, which triggered a pullback down to $3310. Gold is now trading around $3317, and I’m watching several potential setups closely. Scenario 1: If gold stabilizes below $3320, we could see a bearish move toward $3296. Scenario 2: If price breaks above the $3333 resistance, it may enter the next supply zone between $3341 and $3351, which could trigger a strong rejection—potentially offering a 100 to 400 pip move. Now let’s break down the key levels to watch: Supply zones: $3320, $3333, $3342, $3358 Demand zones: $3303, $3296, $3289, $3278 Monitor how price reacts to each of these zones — they may provide excellent opportunities.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
58
Gold Eyes CPI as Tariffs BiteGold (XAU/USD) continues to push higher, recently hitting $3,360. The latest catalyst: escalating trade tensions, as President Trump imposes a fresh round of 30% tariffs on EU and Mexican goods. This is boosting safe-haven demand and weighing on the dollar, albeit modestly. Still, with the Federal Reserve signalling a cautious stance on rate cuts, gold may need an additional spark to clear long-term resistance. Chart Setup: • Current Resistance: Gold is trading just below $3,365, a multi-session ceiling. • Indicators: The RSI remains above 50, reflecting bullish momentum. • Breakout Potential: A strong CPI print tomorrow could challenge this uptrend. But if CPI cools, gold could test the $3,400 psychological barrier. • Pullback Risk: A drop below $3,350 (23.6% Fibonacci) could bring us back to the $3,340–$3,320 support zone. Markets are on edge ahead of Tuesday's U.S. CPI report, which may significantly influence inflation expectations, Fed policy, and safe-haven demand.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by FDGCapital
Gold another bullish breakout supported at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 3387 – initial resistance 3400 – psychological and structural level 3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 3290 – minor support 3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
Want to Know What Happens in Crypto? Check Silver InsteadThe Gold/Silver ratio is one of the key indicators that highlights major turning points in modern economic history. Similarly, the ETH/BTC ratio is widely followed as a gauge of strength in the crypto market and the beginning of altcoin seasons. Interestingly, these two ratios also appear to correlate well with each other. As adoption of both Ethereum and Bitcoin has grown, the Gold/Silver and BTC/ETH ratios have started to move more closely together. They often follow similar patterns, with tops and bottoms forming one after the other. For clarity, this analysis uses the BTC/ETH ratio rather than ETH/BTC. Historically, BTC/ETH tends to lead during market tops, followed by a similar move in the Gold/Silver ratio. This pattern has been observed repeatedly since 2020. When it comes to bottoms, the timing between the two ratios is usually tighter, as seen during the 2020, 2021, and 2024 lows. The latest signal came from a top in the BTC/ETH ratio, and the Gold/Silver ratio now appears to be following that move. Given the cyclical nature of crypto markets, both ETH and silver could be at the early stages of new upward trends. For a potential trend reversal, it may be wise to keep a closer eye on silver in the coming weeks.
by ftdsystem
XAU/USD Update: Ready for a 12% Surge?Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Is XAU/USD about to explode or crash? We’ve formed a symmetrical triangle pattern , and its breakout triggers could deliver solid profits for longs or shorts. Let’s dive into the details with the Daily timeframe to see the big picture. ✔️ Daily Timeframe: Our HWC is strongly bullish. After hitting $ 3,497.80 , we entered a secondary retracement phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. If we break resistance at $ 3,444.18 , my targets are the next ceiling at $ 3,494.50 and, long-term, $ 3,796.64 . But if we break support at $ 3,796.64 , it could signal a major trend change from uptrend to downtrend, opening shorts. Next supports are $ 3,206.32 and $ 3,019.31 —use these as your targets. 📊 Key Insight : Risk management is key to surviving financial markets. Stick to max 1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe. 📉 Market Context: Markets are predicting a major recession in the U.S. economy. If it happens, Gold will be the only safe-haven asset. So, I personally favor riding Gold’s uptrend. This historic drop screams one thing: global markets are losing faith in U.S. monetary and fiscal policies, big time. And that’s a loud wake-up call for investors: It’s time to bulletproof your portfolio. What’s that mean? Your stocks, real estate, cash, bonds , you name it... They’re slowly but surely turning to Gold . 💬 Let’s Talk! Which Gold trigger are you eyeing? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticLab
1
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 14Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3412, support below 3339 Four-hour chart resistance 3400, support below 3349 One-hour chart resistance 3390, support below 3353 Gold news analysis: In the Asian market on Monday, spot gold hit a high of 3374, a new high since June 23. Trump announced last weekend that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the European Union from August 1, further heating up the market's concerns about international trade and providing momentum for gold prices to rise. Gold prices rose 1% last Friday, closing at 3357, as investors sought safe-haven assets after US President Trump announced multiple tariff measures. Analysts said the uncertainty premium has returned to the market again. Last week, Trump stepped up his tariff offensive against Canada, saying that the United States would impose a 35% tariff on Canadian imports in August and planned to impose a comprehensive tariff of 15% or 20% on most other trading partners. Trump also announced last week that he would impose a 50% tariff on imported copper and a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour level 3349--53 range support, and the upper pressure focuses on the suppression near the 3400-3412 range. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3350. If the four-hour level stabilizes above this position, continue to buy on dips. Buy: 3350near Buy: 3356near
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD (Gold) - Future Outlook (as of mid-July 2025)In continuation :- The future outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) is a complex interplay of various macroeconomic factors, geopolitical developments, and market sentiment. As of mid-July 2025, several key themes are likely to shape its trajectory: Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Expectations (Central Bank Actions): Impact: Gold is a non-yielding asset. Therefore, its attractiveness is highly sensitive to interest rate movements. Higher interest rates (or expectations of them) tend to increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, as investors can earn more from interest-bearing assets like bonds. Conversely, lower rates or a more dovish stance from central banks (like the U.S. Federal Reserve, ECB, BoJ) reduce this opportunity cost, making gold more appealing. Current Context: As of mid-2025, markets are closely watching central bank rhetoric regarding potential rate cuts. If inflation continues to moderate, leading to clearer signals or actual rate cuts, this would likely be a positive catalyst for gold prices. However, if inflation proves stickier or central banks maintain a "higher for longer" policy, gold could face headwinds. Inflation Outlook: Impact: Gold has historically been considered a hedge against inflation and a store of value during periods of rising prices. Current Context: If inflation remains elevated or shows signs of re-accelerating, demand for gold as an inflation hedge could increase, providing support to prices. If inflation falls back significantly to central bank targets, this traditional appeal might lessen somewhat, unless other safe-haven drivers emerge. U.S. Dollar Strength: Impact: Gold is primarily priced in U.S. dollars. A stronger U.S. dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers holding other currencies, potentially dampening demand. A weaker dollar has the opposite effect, making gold cheaper and generally supportive of higher gold prices. Current Context: The dollar's strength is heavily influenced by U.S. interest rate differentials and the relative economic performance of the U.S. versus other major economies. A "risk-off" environment can also lead to dollar strength (as a safe-haven itself), which can create a counteracting force for gold. Geopolitical Risks and Economic Uncertainty: Impact: Gold is a classic "safe-haven" asset. In times of increased geopolitical tension, economic instability, financial market turmoil, or escalating conflicts, investor demand for gold typically surges as a store of value. Current Context: Global geopolitical landscape remains complex, with ongoing regional conflicts, trade disputes, and political uncertainties. Any escalation in these areas would likely contribute to increased safe-haven demand for gold. Similarly, if there are growing concerns about a global economic slowdown or recession, gold's appeal as a safe haven could strengthen. Central Bank Gold Demand: Impact: Central banks globally have been significant buyers of gold in recent years, diversifying their reserves away from the U.S. dollar. Their sustained buying provides a structural floor to gold demand. Current Context: Continued strong buying by central banks, particularly from emerging economies, is expected to remain a supportive factor for gold prices in the medium to long term. Overall Future Outlook (Mid-July 2025 Perspective): The outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) appears cautiously bullish in the medium term, with potential for continued appreciation. Positive Drivers: The primary drivers are the increasing likelihood of future interest rate cuts (even if gradual), potentially persistent underlying inflation concerns, and the ongoing elevated geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties. Continued strong central bank demand further underpins this outlook. Potential Headwinds: A significantly stronger-than-expected U.S. dollar (e.g., due to a major global "risk-off" event that drives dollar demand, or robust U.S. economic outperformance leading to delayed rate cuts) could provide a counteracting force. Rapid disinflation could also temper some of gold's appeal. In summary, Gold is likely to remain an important asset in investor portfolios, acting as both an inflation hedge and a safe haven. Its price action will be particularly sensitive to central bank policy shifts and global stability. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
OANDA:XAUUSD
by shoonya0000
Gold Bullish Above 3342 – Watching 3365 BreakoutGold Futures Rise on Trade & Geopolitical Tensions Gold continues to gain as renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and rising geopolitical risks weigh on market sentiment. While markets have become somewhat desensitized to Trump’s recurring trade rhetoric, concerns remain that resolutions may be delayed. Technical Outlook: As long as the price holds above 3342, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 3355 and 3365. A stable close above 3365 would open the way to 3395. However, a 1H close below 3342 may trigger a pullback to 3329. Pivot: 3342 Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3395 Support: 3329, 3319, 3309
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
8
XAU/USD technical analysis setup Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 6-hour timeframe, focusing on a key resistance zone that could trigger either a bullish breakout or a bearish reversal. --- Analysis Summary Current Price: $3,357.95 Trend Context: Price is testing a strong resistance zone with a possible breakout or rejection in play. --- Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout 1. Resistance Zone: $3,357–$3,372 Multiple previous rejections. A confirmed close above $3,372.77 signals bullish strength. 2. Upside Targets: Target 1: $3,393.87 Target 2: $3,452.08 3. Indicators: RSI at 63.74, approaching overbought but still with room to rally. EMA 200 is trending upward, supporting bullish bias. --- Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection 1. If price fails to close above $3,372.77, a rejection from resistance is likely. 2. Downside Targets: Reversal projected toward the key support zone at $3,246.97 EMA 200 at $3,300.97 may provide temporary support before breakdown. --- Trade Ideas Direction Entry Level Stop-Loss Target 1 Target 2 Bullish Close above $3,372 Below $3,346 $3,393.87 $3,452.08 Bearish Rejection from $3,357–$3,372 Above $3,380 $3,300 → $3,246.97 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary This is a critical decision point for Gold. A breakout above resistance can propel price to $3,450, while rejection could drive price back to $3,246. The reaction at the current zone will dictate the next major swing. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
16
Short position profit, focus on 3355-3345 support📰 News information： 1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data 2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve 3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： The short-term bears have successfully hit the TP to realize profits, and the trading strategy is still valid. Continue to pay attention to the 3355-3345 support during the day. If effective support is obtained here, you can consider going long. For the rebound, the first TP can focus on the 3365 line. If the gold price breaks through 3380 in the future, it will not be far from 3400. If it falls below, pay attention to the support of 3330-3320 below. It is expected that this is the limit position of short-term bearishness. The impact of tariffs is still there, and the bullish trend remains optimistic in the short term, unless Europe, Japan and other countries have a new solution to tariffs. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3355-3345 TP 3365-3380-3400 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Early Week Pullback Ahead of Key Economic ReleasesGold Outlook – 14 July | Early Week Pullback Ahead of Key Economic Releases 🌍 Market Sentiment & Macro Overview Gold has started the week with a sharp retracement after filling prior liquidity gaps (FVG) from the past two weeks. This early weakness signals a risk-off tone as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of a heavy macroeconomic calendar and geopolitical trade discussions. This week’s high-impact events include: 📌 US CPI (Inflation Data) 📌 US PPI (Producer Prices) 📌 Unemployment Claims 📌 Retail Sales Figures These data points will likely set the tone for price action through the second half of the week, with potential for sharp moves in gold. 📉 Technical Snapshot – M30 Chart Structure Price swept minor liquidity above recent highs Pulled back by more than $15 from the short-term top Currently trading below the intraday VPOC (~3358), suggesting short-term bearish momentum If the selling pressure holds, we may see a move toward: ⚠️ 333x zone — initial liquidity pool ❗ 332x zone — deeper liquidity grab before any bullish reversal 🧭 Trading Plan – Key Zones and Setup 📥 Buy Setup: 3331 – 3329 (Zone of Interest) Stop Loss: 3325 Target Levels: TP1: 3335 TP2: 3340 TP3: 3344 TP4: 3350 TP5: 3360 – 3370 ✅ A highly reactive zone — ideal for intraday long setups if price sweeps into this area and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., volume spike or rejection wick). 📤 Sell Setup: 3393 – 3395 (Resistance Re-Test) Stop Loss: 3399 Target Levels: TP1: 3390 TP2: 3386 TP3: 3382 TP4: 3378 TP5: 3374 – 3370 – 3360 📉 Potential scalp zone if price retests resistance with signs of exhaustion. Monitor closely for bearish structure confirmation. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 3358 3368 3374 3394 Support Zones: 3349 3340 3331 3318 These zones remain relevant for both momentum trades and reversion setups. ⚠️ Strategy Considerations At the time of writing, gold is trading indecisively around the M30 VPOC. No clear breakout has occurred yet. ⏳ Wait for volume confirmation during the London session 🚫 Avoid impulsive entries based on emotions or FOMO ✅ Stick to your risk parameters and let price come to your level 🧠 Summary & Bias Gold is experiencing an early-week technical correction after recent strength. The market is in "wait-and-see" mode, with macro drivers likely to dictate direction from mid-week onwards. 📍 Watch the 3331–3329 zone closely — it remains the most attractive level for long setups. 📍 The 3393–3395 zone is a key area to fade strength if price struggles at resistance. Patience and precision are key this week. Let the market reveal its intention, and trade accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Two Bullish Entry's Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal 3311 Zone 🩸Bullish Break 3343 Zone ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
43
Market Structure & Technical Context 14 July 20241. Price Action & Market Structure Gold has broken recent swing highs above ~$3,360, marking a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) and signaling upward momentum continuity Recent pullback zones around $3,350–$3,340 formed a clear Higher Low (Change of Character) — textbook price action confirmation. 2. Fibonacci Retracement / Extension Measuring from the last swing low near ~$3,326 to swing high ~3,374: 38.2% retracement at ~$3,352 coincides with the current bounce zone. 50% retracement at ~$3,350 aligns with key structure support. Upside extension targets: 1.272 at ~$3,396, 1.618 at ~$3,425 — overlapping major resistance zones 3. ICT & Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Order Blocks (OBs) identified near $3,340–$3,342 (prior resistance turned support) — ideal demand zone. A recent Buy-side liquidity grab eclipsed above $3,360, sweeping stops and gathering liquidity before the breakout — classic ICT setup . A Fair Value Gap (imbalance) lies around $3,345–$3,350 — zone to expect value-driven retracement. Higher timeframe has clear SMC alignment: BOS above 3,360 with CHoCH already formed. 4. Major Supply / Demand & Support / Resistance Zones Demand: $3,340–$3,352 (OB + Fib + BOS confluence). Supply: $3,380–$3,385 (intraday swing high resistance), followed by zone at $3,396–$3,400. Key resistance at $3,360–$3,362 — confirmed supply pocket that needs to be reclaimed 5. Moving Average Confirmation The 4‑hour SMA/EMA 100–200 band is sloping up just below current price (~$3,340–$3,350), reinforcing the bullish context . 1‑Hour Intraday Setups (Aligned with HTF Bullish Bias) Setup A: Pullback into 4‑Hour OB / Fair Value Gap Entry: Limit buy at $3,345–$3,350. Stop: Below $3,335 (below imbalance & BOS). TP1: $3,362 (former resistance). TP2: $3,380 (next supply block). Setup B: Breakout Retest of 3,360 Entry: Buy on retest of broken resistance at $3,360. Stop: Below $3,356. TP1: $3,380. TP2: $3,396 (Fib extension confluence). Setup C: Momentum Continuation Fresh Breakout Entry: Market buy on clear H1 BOS above $3,365. Stop: Below breakout candle low (~$3,360). TP: $3,396 (1.272 Fib) – extend to $3,425 if momentum strong. The Golden Setup: Setup A—buy from $3,345–$3,350—has strong confluences: 4‑hour demand OB + fair value gap, 38.2–50% Fib retracement, SMC BOS/imbalance alignment, ICT-style order block zone. This offers high edge with confluence clusters. ✔ Summary Report: Direction & Key Zones Directional Bias: Medium-term (4H): Bullish, confirmed by BOS above 3,360, higher lows, OB and Fibonacci alignment. 🔹 Primary Buy Zones: $3,345–$3,350 — 4H OB + fair value gap + Fib. $3,360 on retention — breakout retest zone. Momentum entry >$3,365. 🔹 Key Target Zones: First resistance: $3,360–$3,362. Next supply: $3,380–$3,385. Extension target: $3,396 (1.272 Fib), then $3,425 (1.618 Fib). 🔻 Watchdownside Risk: Daily invalidation if drop below $3,335 (4H OB break). Next support at $3,326–$3,330. 📋 Consolidated Table: Setups at a Glance Setup Entry Zone Stop Targets Golden $3,345–$3,350 $3,335 TP1: $3,362 / TP2: $3,380 Breakout Pullback $3,360 retest $3,356 $3,380 → $3,396 Momentum BOS >$3,365 (H1 BOS) < $3,360 $3,396 → $3,425 Final Thoughts On the 4‑hour chart, price is firmly in a bullish regime, supported by price structure, SMC, ICT concepts, and Fibonacci confluence. The $3,345–$3,350 zone is the highest‑probability entry for buyers, offering excellent risk/reward. The Golden Setup targets ~$3,380 and beyond, combining structure, gap fill, and liquidity strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold trend forecast for next week, continue to go longAfter the gold broke through on Friday, we started to turn long, and gold rose strongly. Gold finally rose as expected, and the gold bulls are still strong. If there is no major change in the news over the weekend, the decline next week will not be large, and we can continue to buy. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross upward and the bulls are arranged and diverge. The strength of gold bulls is still there, and the gold moving average support has also moved up to around 3330. After gold broke through 3330 yesterday, gold fell back to 3330 and stabilized and rose twice. The short-term gold 3330 has formed a strong support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 3330 next week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
The impact of tariffs continues, shorting is expected to retrace📰 News information： 1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data 2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve 3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： During the weekend, the Trump administration's tariff information continued to come out, causing a large amount of funds to flow into the safe-haven market, triggering an escalation of market risk aversion. Although the collapse in the previous tariff remarks did hit the market's buying enthusiasm to a certain extent, the strong rise on Friday also stimulated the market's buying enthusiasm again. This, whether it is on the way down or on the way up, has attracted retail investors to a certain extent. As we judged on gold on Friday and the weekend, short-term bulls are undoubtedly strong. However, I think it is very dangerous to continue to chase long positions at high levels. Therefore, I tend to short-term and then consider continuing to chase long positions after the market retreats to the support level. First of all, the CPI data will be released tomorrow. With inflation in the United States currently heating up, the Federal Reserve is undoubtedly resisting a rate cut in July. This has, to some extent, dampened the enthusiasm of bulls. Secondly, it is necessary to pay attention to the response of Europe and Japan to the tariff issue. Due to the timeliness, the current market expectations are undoubtedly limited. In the short term, the RSI indicator is already seriously overbought. For today's operation arrangement, it is recommended to short at the rebound of 3365-3375. If the gold price continues to maintain a strong trend in the short term and breaks through this resistance area, it is time to stop loss. First of all, we should pay attention to whether 3355-3345 can be broken. Once it falls below the support of 3355-3345, we will need to see the 3330 line below, and it may even fall below 3300. Therefore, we also need to take precautions and follow up. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3365-3375 TP 3355-3345 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3