gold and inflation in 1970s stagflation fomc member repeatedly saying this is not stagflation like 1970s
but gold bug on social media constantly pump stagflation narrative after gold historic run from $2000 to $3000 in just one year
with usa cpi and gold chart in one image you can get idea
how gold moved in last stagflation crisis with big political news : when paul volcker comes into fed and when Ronald Reagan wins election
gold first makes double top before multi year bear market
inflation peaked after volcker get fed control but before election result.
is this is really replay of 1970s ?
we got same old president trump and same old fed chair powell
✅ biden forced fed to do big size 50bps cut pre election to choose inflation over higher unemployment which is stagflation
✅ in his first term trump in election year March 2020 use covid as excuse to cut 0% and do QE and trillion dollar fiscal policy stimulus check. choosing inflation over high employment which is stagflation but it was biden who has to face most of the inflation spike to 9%
✅trump raise tariff to 100 years high to choose high employment over inflation which is recession
✅ in next 4 years it will be clear is this replay of 70s or not.
in future we will have more inflation and gold price data to confirm
Gold
XAU/USD) Bullish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on a 2-hour timeframe, with a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown
1. Trend & Structure:
Uptrend Channel: Price is moving within a clear upward channel, respecting the trendline.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: Indicates strong bullish momentum.
2. Key Zones:
Key Support Level (Yellow Box): Around $3,158.49 – this is the "safe entry point" if price pulls back.
First Entry Point: Around $3,222.76 – likely a breakout entry above a local resistance.
Target Point: $3,378.01 – a projected bullish target based on continuation.
3. Indicators:
RSI (14): Currently above 70 (overbought zone), but still climbing. There's bullish strength, but a pullback may occur soon.
200 EMA: Positioned below current price, confirming the bullish bias.
Mr SMC Trading point
4. Expected Scenarios (2 Paths):
Bullish Continuation: Price keeps rising, respecting the uptrend and hitting the target.
Pullback and Bounce: Price may retrace to the support zone or trendline, then bounce back up to target.
Summary of Idea:
This is a buy setup:
Buy at breakout above $3,222.76 (First Entry)
Safer buy at $3,158.49 (Support Re-test)
Target: $3,378.01
Watch RSI for pullback clues.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Silver Massive C&H Bull Market 400%+ gains Lifetime opportunity🏆 Silver Market Update (April 13th, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️Long-term outlook 2weeks/candle
▪️Massive C&H formation in progress
▪️40 USD breakout pending now
▪️PT BULLS 400%+ gains BUY/HOLD
▪️Price Target BULLS 125/150 USD
▪️Bull market still pending
▪️BUY/HOLD now or miss out on gains
📢 Silver Market Update – April 2025
📈Silver is widely used in electronics due to its exceptional electrical and thermal conductivity, making it ideal for various applications, including printed circuit boards, connectors, and contact surfaces.
🚀 It is also employed in devices like touch screens, batteries, and solar panels. Silver's high conductivity, solderability, and resistance to corrosion and oxidation contribute to its popularity in the electronics industry.
EURUSD Monthly : BULL-Market will be Start for EURHI Guys,
As you can see, the trend line has been broken very strongly and with the structure changing to lower time frames as well, given the easing of the political crises in Europe. Weakening of the Dollar Index We have entered a new round of strength gains in EURUSD.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 13/april/26
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important support & resistance levels/zone on Gold for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$GLD - bullish momentum soon to stallHello, I was bullish on AMEX:GLD for a bit and now examining the charts, multiple frames, this may be setting up for a good short. If geopolitics and tariff talks deescalate then this should cool off. The Elliot wave placed indicates some time for a correction/pull back on this hot commodity and the candle on the Daily from Friday is a spinning stop doji which can indicate reversal in an uptrend. Also, we have so many gaps up that happened in 3 day span, crazy actually. I labeled areas of targets to fill these gaps. Expecting a retracement to $280.
WSL.
[XAU/USD & DXY] – Long-Term Outlook📌 – Long-Term Outlook: Is Gold Entering a New Bull Cycle as USD Weakens?
📊 Technical Analysis – Gold & DXY
The divergence between Gold and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has become increasingly clear:
🔹 Gold (XAU/USD):
Price has broken the previous high at 3,190 and is now testing 3,219 – a fresh all-time high on the daily chart.
The MA13, MA34, and MA200 are showing a perfect “bullish fan” formation, indicating a sustainable uptrend rather than a short-term pump.
The key support zone around 3,164 – 3,118 remains critical for any healthy pullback.
🔻 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY):
Price has decisively broken below the psychological 100.55 support and is now hovering near 99.78.
If DXY fails to hold above 99.7, the next downside target could be 97.5 in the coming quarter.
The technical structure is clearly bearish, confirming USD weakness across the board.
→ This negative correlation aligns with macro expectations: a weaker dollar is fueling gold’s bullish momentum.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis – Macro Drivers
US PPI & CPI both come in lower than expected:
Inflation is showing clear signs of cooling.
Markets are now pricing in a possible rate cut as early as June.
Shift in Fed tone – from hawkish to neutral:
While not officially declared, recent Fed statements have been more dovish, supporting risk assets and weakening the dollar.
Strong safe-haven demand remains:
Geopolitical risks and economic uncertainty continue to push capital into gold, especially as USD enters a weakening phase.
🧭 Long-Term Perspective
Gold is potentially entering a new bull cycle. With consecutive ATH breakouts and favorable macro conditions (falling inflation, expected rate cuts, USD weakness), gold could push to even higher levels into Q2 and Q3.
The USD faces downside pressure in the coming months, especially if the Fed signals a firm pivot toward easing.
⚠️ Strategy Caution
Short-term corrections may occur, especially after such a sharp rise.
However, any pullbacks into key support zones could present strategic long opportunities for longer-term investors.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Is this the beginning of a major bull cycle in gold, or do you expect deeper pullbacks before continuation?
Drop your analysis and charts below! 👇👇👇
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Overview For 4-12 : Thank youThis video is mostly a big thank you for all the great comments and questions over the past few weeks.
I've been posting these videos on TradingView for almost a year and the types of viewers/followers I've been gaining is incredible.
You guys & gals have really impressed me with your questions and engagement. Many of you follow me for months without ever commenting or asking any questions.
I received a call from a client/follower in Alberta last night and he reported last week's gains at over 300% by following my videos.
I received a message from another TV follower saying he's been following my videos for many months and, after a bad loss a few years back, he has decided to give trading another go.
I've stated it before and I'll keep saying it.. I'm not trying to scam you out of anything. I'm trying to show you the RIGHT SKILLS and TECHNIQUES for you to learn to become a better, more skilled trader.
The way I look at it is like this...
If I can teach you half of what I know and see on the charts, then you guys will be able to achieve so much greater success and have gained/retained the knowledge to do it on your own.
You watch me do it over and over on these charts. Guess what - you are LEARNING at the same time.
Now, after a couple of years of doing this and following my videos, you've GAINED an education on how to trade more efficiently, manage risk more efficiently, and achieve your trading goals (I hope).
Right now, I'm getting messages/comments from people saying they are making 200%, 300%, 500%, or more every week or two from my videos.
That is absolutely incredible. I just want to urge you to remember I'm not 100% perfect in predicting the markets. No one EVER really is 100% perfect at it.
In the long run, as long as you don't get super greedy, you'll survive any minor losses and live to trade another day.
That is probably the most important thing I can teach you - trade within a proper scale to your RISK LEVEL. Never BET THE FARM on your trades. Always have a 50% to 70% cash reserve.
Anyway. Thank you. I really appreciate all of you.
Hope you enjoy this video.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
GOLD Analysis: Will buyers push toward 3,230?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both upper and lower boundaries. The recent price action suggests buyers are currently in control, indicating the potential for continued upside.
Given the strength of the current bullish momentum, there is a strong likelihood that price may break above the key resistance zone. If that happens, it could come back to retest the level as support before continuing higher. A successful retest would reinforce the bullish structure and open the door for a potential move toward the 3,230 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
However, if price fails to break above the resistance zone, it could signal weakening bullish momentum and open the door for a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Always confirm your setups and manage your risk accordingly.
Best of luck!
SPX/GOLD ratio near to key supportcrossing below moving average of 200 months could trigger a secular movement in favour of gold.
Potential global debt colapse and lack of confidence in USD + high valuation, mag-7 concentration and high growths expectations on AI are macro/fundamental facts that supports this idea.
Are You Taking the Right Risks in Trading? RISK Per Trade Basics
What portion of your equity should you risk for your trading positions?
In the today's article, I will reveal the types of risks related to your position sizing.
Quick note: your risk per trade will be defined by the distance from your entry point to stop loss in pips and the lot size.
🟢Risking 1-2% of your trading account per trade will be considered a low risk.
With such a risk, one can expect low returns but a high level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is optimal for conservative and newbie traders.
With limited account drawdowns, one will remain psychologically stable during the negative trading periods.
🟡2-5% risk per trade is a medium risk. With such a risk, one can expect medium returns but a moderate level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is suitable for experienced traders who are able to take losses and psychologically resilient to big drawdowns and losing streaks.
🔴5%+ risk per trade is a high risk.
With such a risk, one can expect high returns but a low level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is appropriate for rare, "5-star" trading opportunities where all stars align and one is extremely confident in the positive outcome.
That winner alone can bring substantial profits, while just 2 losing trades in a row will burn 10% of the entire capital.
🛑15%+ risk per trade is considered to be a stupid risk.
With such a risk, one can blow the entire trading account with 4-5 trades losing streak.
Taking into consideration the fact that 100% trading setups does not exist, such a risk is too high to be taken.
The problem is that most of the traders does not measure the % risk per trade and use the fixed lot.
Never make such a mistake, and plan your risks according to the scale that I shared with you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD Bull Market Price Target is 7 500 USD accumulate on dips🏆 Gold Market Long-Term Update 12/24 months
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️2weeks/candle price chart
▪️Gold Bull market in progress
▪️1976/1979 650% gains - Bull Market 1
▪️1999/2012 650% gains - Bull Market 2
▪️2016/2027 650% gains- Bull Market 3
▪️Price Target BULLS 7500 USD
▪️650% gains off the lows
▪️will hit in 2026/2027
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️BUY/HOLD physical gold
▪️BUY/HOLD GLD/GDX
WHY USDCAD IS DROPPING ?? DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD is currently reacting from a strong daily supply zone after a sustained upside move, and we are now seeing clear signs of bearish structure forming. Price has broken through multiple short-term supports and is now trading around the 1.38600 level, sitting right above a key demand zone that held in late 2023. Given the aggressive sell-off and rejection from the 1.43400–1.44500 resistance range, the market appears to be preparing for a deeper retracement. My bearish target is 1.34600, which aligns with the previous major demand level and psychological support.
Technically, the chart shows two strong bearish engulfing moves from supply, followed by lower highs and lower lows. This shift in structure combined with repeated rejections from resistance zones indicates the momentum is shifting in favor of sellers. If the current zone fails to hold on the retest bounce, we could see a strong continuation leg down. I expect a minor correction toward 1.41600 before further downside resumes, offering an ideal risk-reward short setup for swing traders.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian Dollar remains firm, supported by strong crude oil prices as WTI holds above $85 amid geopolitical tensions and production cuts. At the same time, recent U.S. data has shown mixed signals, with sticky inflation keeping the Fed cautious, but slowing job growth and consumer spending raising concerns. If oil prices remain elevated and Fed rate cut expectations increase later this quarter, the USDCAD pair is likely to stay under pressure.
With CAD strength driven by energy markets and the USD facing headwinds from softening macro indicators, this setup aligns both technically and fundamentally for a bearish continuation. I’ll be watching for clean rejections from the 1.40000–1.41600 resistance zone before loading more shorts toward 1.34600. Patience is key — this could be a high-probability move in the coming weeks.
Gold TA 25.4.5Hello everyone, I hope you're doing well. In the 1-hour timeframe, the price of gold has taken a downward trend and has formed two lower lows. There is a very strong order block visible on the chart, and I expect that after the price retraces to this order block, it will react and continue to move down. We will wait for the price to reach this order block, then in the 5-minute timeframe, we will take the right trades and enter a short position. Keep in mind that in higher timeframes, the market is moving upwards, so short positions carry higher risk.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 25.Apr.5
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Bitcoin TA 25.4.12Bitcoin is currently correcting towards the range of 87 to 90 thousand dollars, and after that, we will enter a short position if we see a valid setup. The target levels are 74 thousand dollars, 70 thousand dollars, and lower targets can also be observed in this view. We will wait for the valid setup before entering the short position.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: @GPTradersHub
📅 25.Apr.12
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Gold (XAUUSD) — Technical and Fundamental Analysis 2HTechnical Outlook
On the 4H chart, gold is forming a rising structure and is currently trading near the 3236–3260 resistance zone, aligned with the 1.272 Fibonacci extension. This area is expected to act as a short-term cap, with a potential corrective move ahead.
🔹 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3236, 3260
Support: 3132–3140 (trendline), 3082 (horizontal zone)
🔹 Formations:
Potential retracement setup after an extended impulse
Expected correction toward 3132–3140 (rising trendline)
If support holds, price may resume the uptrend toward 3308 (1.414 Fibonacci extension)
🔹 Indicators:
RSI near overbought zone
MACD shows momentum weakening
EMA 50/200 continue to support the bullish trend
Fundamental Drivers
Inflation concerns and soft landing expectations support safe-haven flows
Market is pricing in potential Fed rate cuts in H2 2025
Central banks continue to accumulate gold reserves
Dollar weakness provides additional support for gold prices
Scenario
Base case:
Rejection at 3236–3260 → pullback to 3132–3140 → continuation toward 3308
Alternative:
Break above 3260 → direct move to 3308.
Break below 3132 → possible slide toward 3082.
Potential outside week and bullish potential for AUCEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:AUC above the level of the potential outside week noted on 28th March (i.e.: above the level of $0.56).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 26th March (i.e.: below $0.515), should the trade activate.
Investors seek refuge and gold is providing it!! The US dollar, equity and bond markets have all been hit hard and money has not turned to US treasuries either. I guess confidence on anything directly related to the USA is very low right now. No surprise that investors chose to place their faith in Gold, a precious metal that has been bullish since 2016.
However, finding a suitable entry especially in a parabolic trend is not easy. I am hoping for a pullback, perhaps in the region between 3175-3153 as shown on my chart. This region has acted as resistance earlier this month and recently, price broke above it. A pullback has not occurred yet and I am hoping this will happen this week. In the event that it does, that will provide traders a good location for entry and stop placement. Price will also narrow the gap it currently has with the 20ema (mean reversion).
Initial target can be the current high of 3245.40, with the strong possibility that price will extend even higher.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk.
If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Barrick Gold (strong buy) I want you guys take a look at some things real quick
Current Environment Macro Landscape:
Defensive + Hard Assets -
Gold, Miners, Energy, Real Estate (inflation hedges)
AI & Mega Cap Tech -
MSFT, NVDA, AMZN — inflows
China / Trade War Plays -
FCX, CAT, Global Industrials
Reflation / Commodity Rotation-
Oil, Copper, Uranium, Ag plays
gold:
safe haven play amid geopolitical risk and tariffs
Strong correlation with real interest rates + USD — lower rates + weaker dollar = bullish
Tariffs = inflationary = bullish for gold
Strong gold reserve base + relatively low AISC
copper:
1. China Tariffs = Industrial Policy Countermoves
If the U.S. imposes more tariffs on China, China could respond with stimulus or infrastructure spending — which increases demand for copper.
China is the world’s largest consumer of copper, and its response to tariffs often includes pro-growth policies.
2. Copper is Critical for EVs, Grids, and Renewables
Global push toward electrification, clean energy, EVs, etc., requires a massive amount of copper.
Demand is secular, not cyclical — even if tariffs temporarily suppress growth, the long-term demand curve is strong.
3. Tight Supply Outlook
Copper supply is constrained globally. Many copper mines are aging, with long lead times for new projects.
Barrick is developing world-class copper assets (e.g., Reko Diq in Pakistan — one of the largest undeveloped copper-gold deposits in the world).
lets not forget the most revenue being generated from operations comes from their Nevada mines.. US PRODUCTION
gold barrick isnt the only mining company money is moving to, take some thought into moving money to commodities
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan - Sniper EntriesXAUUSD Daily Trading Plan - Sniper Entries 🚀
🔹 Price Action Overview:
Trend: Bullish (H1, H4, M15)
Current Price: ~3,217
Market Sentiment: Positive, with strong bullish momentum, consolidating after breaking recent highs.
Key News: Core PPI (m/m) and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment due today, watch for volatility during the New York session.
🚨 Potential Sniper Entry Zones:
1st Buy Entry Zone 📈
Price Range: 3,172 – 3,175
Why: Strong Order Block (OB) on M15 & M5, CHoCH confirming trend reversal with a clear liquidity grab.
Confirmation: Expect a bounce from support as price retraces into the zone, offering favorable risk/reward for a buy continuation.
Stop Loss (SL): 3,160 (tight risk management)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,200
TP2: 3,220
TP3: 3,240
2nd Buy Entry Zone 🛒
Price Range: 3,200 – 3,205
Why: Minor support with the market showing consistent bullish action around this zone.
Confirmation: Watch for market structure to hold; this will be a second-tier entry in case of shallow retracements.
Stop Loss (SL): 3,190
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,220
TP2: 3,240
TP3: 3,260
1st Sell Entry Zone 🔻
Price Range: 3,220 – 3,230
Why: Possible Premium zone as the price tests recent highs, near overbought conditions. Look for rejections here.
Confirmation: Watch for FVG & Price Action rejection signals.
Stop Loss (SL): 3,240
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,200
TP2: 3,180
TP3: 3,150
2nd Sell Entry Zone 🔻
Price Range: 3,240 – 3,250
Why: Testing the Premium area near previous highs; watch for signs of a strong reversal.
Confirmation: Look for Bearish Divergence or Order Block Rejections.
Stop Loss (SL): 3,260
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,220
TP2: 3,200
TP3: 3,180
⏰ Key Trading Hours:
New York Session (14:30 – 22:00 UTC+2): Pay attention to Core PPI data and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment for volatility. Watch for price reaction during these times to align with the entry zones.
🔑 Summary & Final Notes:
Buy Bias is dominant in this market given the recent strong bullish momentum. However, be mindful of resistance zones as price approaches key levels.
Ensure Risk-to-Reward is always favorable before entering.
Monitor key news events around 3:30 PM UTC for potential market reactions.
💬 Let's trade smart! Drop a comment below if you like the setup! 🔥 Follow and subscribe for more analysis!
USD/JPY Under Pressure – Bears Take the Lead After Break of Supp📊 USD/JPY Daily Technical Outlook – April 11, 2025
Overview:
The USD/JPY pair experienced a significant decline on Friday, opening at 145.22, reaching a high of 145.50, and a low of 142.04, before closing at 142.30. This downward movement reflects the continuation of the bearish trend from earlier in the week, influenced by safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen amid escalating trade tensions and weaker U.S. economic data.
Mitrade
📈 Current Market Structure:
After a period of consolidation, the pair broke below key support levels, signaling strong selling momentum. This move comes amid concerns over the U.S. economic outlook and increased demand for the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
143.45: The previous support level, now acting as immediate resistance. A break above this level could indicate a potential reversal.
145.08/145.91: A significant resistance zone. A move above this area could challenge the bearish outlook.
147.85: A major resistance area, which could be a target for buyers if the bullish trend resumes.
FOREX24.PRO
🔸 Key Support Levels:
142.04: The low for the day, which acts as immediate support. A stay above this level may prevent further declines.
Mitrade
139.59: A significant support level. A break below this could signal a continuation of the downtrend.
FX.co
137.92: Strong support, marking a previous high from March 2023.
FX.co
📐 Price Action Patterns:
The strong bearish candles in recent days indicate dominance by sellers. The breakout below previous support levels and the formation of lower lows support the continuation of the downtrend. However, traders should watch for potential reversal patterns as the price approaches key support areas.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario: If USD/JPY holds above 142.04, the pair may attempt a rebound towards 143.45 and potentially 145.08/145.91, driven by short-term profit-taking and potential easing of risk-off sentiment.
❌ Bearish Scenario: If USD/JPY fails to sustain above 142.04, a decline to 139.59 could occur. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards 137.92.
📌 Conclusion:
USD/JPY is exhibiting strong bearish momentum, influenced by safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen and concerns over the U.S. economic outlook. A sustained break below support levels could lead to further declines. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels and stay informed on global economic developments.
Mitrade
Note: This analysis is based on data available up to April 11, 2025. Always monitor the latest developments and apply appropriate risk management when trading.