GOLD Drops $60 – Bearish Bias Holds Below 3365GOLD | OVERVIEW
As expected, gold continued its bearish momentum, dropping from the 3430 level and delivering a move of approximately $60.
For today, the bearish bias remains valid as long as the price stays below 3365, with potential targets at 3337 and 3320.
However, if the price reverses and stabilizes above 3365, it could signal a shift to bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Support: 3355 · 3337 · 3320
Resistance: 3374 · 3388
Gold
Gold Futures (GC1!) Long Setup – 0.5 Fib Bounce🟡 Gold Futures (GC1!) Long Setup – 0.5 Fib Bounce
After nailing the long from the bottom and perfectly shorting the top, we’re stepping back in for another calculated move.
📉 Price pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, aligning perfectly with the upward trendline support and a key HVN on the Volume Profile.
📈 Entered long at 3,365 with a tight stop below 3,354 (0.3% risk), targeting the descending trendline near 3,444 for a clean 7.7R setup.
🧠 Context:
Price reacted hard at resistance, but volume support and structure still lean bullish.
Clear invalidation if we break trend and lose 3,350 support cluster.
Let’s see if this bounce gets legs. 🚀
Wait for 3330 to buy the bottom and reduce unnecessary operation#XAUUSD
We have made good profits from short selling yesterday. Currently, gold has fallen to 3350📎. The 4HMACD death cross has increased in volume and is expected to continue to decline. Consider going long near 3330📈. I don’t think it is prudent to bottom out at 3340. Move forward steadily on Friday and reduce unnecessary operations⚖️.
🚀 BUY 3335-3330
🚀 TP 3345-3362
GOLD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,347.64.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,425.86 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold dips on profit-taking, long-term outlook still bullishGold prices continued to decline this morning as investors locked in profits following the precious metal’s recent rally above $3,400.
In the short term, further downside is possible if profit-taking persists and capital flows shift toward equities, especially as U.S. stock markets hover near record highs. However, gold remains a favored safe-haven asset for the long run amid ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
Markets are also turning their focus to the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting on July 29–30. While the Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady this time, many investors still anticipate a potential rate cut in September. A low interest rate environment typically supports non-yielding assets like gold.
GOLD continues to correct down, good news from trade situationOANDA:XAUUSD has fallen sharply again, currently trading around $3,360/oz, reflecting the easing of global trade tensions, affecting demand for safe-haven assets. The US Dollar and US Treasury yields have also increased, affecting gold prices.
The US Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ), which tracks the greenback against six other currencies, rose to 97.56.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note US10Y rose to 4.386%. The US real yield, calculated by subtracting inflation expectations from nominal interest rates, rose nearly 3.5 basis points to 2.046%.
Markets are increasingly optimistic about such deals after the United States and Japan reached a trade deal, and the European Union could be next. In addition, rising stock markets and low volatility have kept gold's gains in check.
The United States and the European Union are moving toward a potential trade deal that would include a 15% tariff on EU goods and zero tariffs on some items.
The European Commission said Thursday that a negotiated trade solution with the United States is within reach.
“Our focus is on reaching a negotiated outcome with the United States,” a European Commission spokesperson told reporters about the EU-U.S. tariff talks. “We believe that such an outcome is achievable.” The European Commission has repeatedly said that its current priority is to reach a deal with the United States to avoid the 30% tariffs that U.S. President Trump has proposed to impose on EU products starting August 1.
On the economic data front, initial jobless claims in the United States unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting the job market remains solid.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Thursday that initial jobless claims fell to 217,000 in the week ended July 19, below expectations of 227,000 and down from 221,000 the previous week.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is heading for its third consecutive day of decline since hitting the bullish target level sent to readers in the weekly edition on Sunday at $3,430.
Despite the sharp decline, gold still has enough technical conditions for an uptrend given its current position and structure.
Specifically, gold is still above the EMA21, which is considered the nearest support at the moment. Along with that, the uptrend price channel is the short-term trend. However, for gold to qualify for a short-term bullish cycle, it needs to be confirmed by price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target is $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430.
On the other hand, RSI is still holding above 50, and 50 in this case acts as momentum support. Therefore, gold still has room to rise.
In case gold is sold below EMA21, it may suffer a further decline with the next target around $3,310 in the short term, more than $3,300 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. And if gold loses the support at the 0.382% Fibonacci level, it will qualify for a bearish cycle.
Intraday, the current position of gold price is still tilted towards the upside, and the notable price points will be listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,310 – $3,300
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3410
→Take Profit 1 3398
↨
→Take Profit 2 3392
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3329 - 3331⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3326
→Take Profit 1 3337
↨
→Take Profit 2 3343
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 1h on TradingView, dated July 25, 202Current Price and Trend:
The current price is shown as 3,359.330, and the last traded price is 3,359.005.
The chart indicates a downtrend in recent sessions, with the price having fallen significantly from higher levels around 3,380.000 to 3,390.000 down to the current levels.
There's a dashed red line (possibly a trendline or resistance) indicating a downward slope.
Key Zones and Levels Identified:
Resistance/Stop Loss Zone (Red Rectangle):
This zone is marked from approximately 3,365.000 up to 3,370.000.
A "S/L" (Stop Loss) level is explicitly marked at 3,370.000. This suggests that a short position (selling) is being considered, with a stop loss placed above this resistance.
Entry Point (Grey Line):
An entry point for a trade is indicated by a grey horizontal line at 3,359.330. This is very close to the current price, suggesting a potential entry for a short trade.
Profit Target Zones (Grey Rectangle with Green Labels):
Three "Profit" levels are identified below the entry point:
3,351.700
3,344.870
3,332.480
These levels suggest potential targets for taking profit on a short position. The grey shaded rectangle represents the area where these profit targets lie, extending downwards from the entry point.
50% - Order Block (Teal Rectangle):
At the bottom left of the chart, there's a large teal-colored rectangle labeled "50% - Order Block."
This typically represents an area where significant institutional buying interest (or an accumulation of orders) is expected, potentially acting as strong support. The price has previously bounced off this area.
Possible Trading Strategy Implied:
The setup suggests a potential short-selling strategy for Gold Spot / USD, likely based on a continuation of the downtrend or a retest of previous resistance levels.
Entry: Around 3,359.330 (current price level).
Stop Loss: At or above 3,370.000, to limit potential losses if the price moves against the short position.
Take Profit: Phased profit-taking at 3,351.700, 3,344.870, and 3,332.480.
Target Support: The ultimate target appears to be within the "50% - Order Block" zone, suggesting the expectation of the price reaching or testing this strong support area.
Considerations and Further Analysis Needed:
Confirmation: The chart doesn't show any specific indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) that might confirm the downtrend or potential entry.
Volume: Volume analysis would be beneficial to assess the strength of price movements.
News/Fundamentals: Any upcoming economic data or geopolitical events could significantly impact gold prices.
Risk-Reward Ratio: A calculation of the risk-reward for each profit target would be useful to determine the attractiveness of the trade.
Market Structure: A deeper analysis of the market structure (higher highs/lows, lower highs/lows) could provide more context.
NordKern - XAUUSD InsightNordKern | Simplified Insight OANDA:XAUUSD – Short Opportunity Ahead
Gold is now near our important level at 3370, offering a shorting opportunity considering recent events and technical action.
Gold Price Decline – What's Behind It?
In the last two sessions (July 23–24), gold has retreated strongly owing to a set of global as well as market-specific circumstances:
1. Trade Deal Optimism
Advances in U.S.–Japan and U.S.–EU trade discussions lessened worldwide uncertainty, decreasing demand for gold as a safe-haven.
2. Higher U.S. Yields
Higher Treasury yields are rendering non-yielding assets such as gold less appealing, adding to downward pressure.
3. Technical & Profit-Taking
Following a recent rally, gold was exposed to selling. Stop-loss and profit-taking triggers hastened the fall.
Summary of Key Drivers
U.S. Trade Deals: Reduced geopolitical risk
Higher Treasury Yields: Decreased gold's relative attractiveness
Technical Selling: Enhanced the downward trend
Trade Setup – Bearish Bias
Entry : 3374.4
Stop Loss : 3387.3
Take Profit : 3345.4
Extended Target : 3322
Key Notes:
- Trade Deal Optimism: U.S.–Japan and U.S.–EU agreements eased global tensions, reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
- Yield Pressure: Rising U.S. Treasury yields made gold less attractive compared to interest-bearing alternatives.
- Technical Selling: Profit-taking and stop-loss triggers accelerated the decline after gold’s recent rally.
This setup remains tactically driven. Manage risk carefully and monitor for any renewed political shifts.
Gold – Bear-to-Bull Transition in Motion?🧠 MJTrading:
TVC:GOLD – 8H Chart: Bulls, It’s Your Move.
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
The impulsive move from 3000 to 3500 wasn’t just a trend — it was a statement of strength.
That rally carved the ATH, then left behind weeks of digestion and structural compression.
Now, the market may be setting up for its next decision.
Notice how each bearish leg has been shrinking — a classic behavioral signal that sellers are losing momentum — possibly a shift in control underway.
We’re also pressing above the downtrend line from the ATH (3500), while the uptrend from 3000 remains clean and respected.
We’re now testing the 3400 zone — a key battleground.
📍 If bulls want to reclaim the momentum and show dominance, this is the moment to act.
🔹 1st Support: 3363–3377
🔹 2nd Support: Rising trendline
🎯 Target Zone: 3455–3500+ (Liquidity Pool & ATH proximity)
⚠️ Break back inside the triangle could delay the breakout narrative.
⚠️ If momentum fails to increase from here, and bulls can’t break out with conviction, the market is likely to remain range-bound for longer — extending the sideways phase between 3250–3500.
💭 If you’re watching for a new ATH… stay sharp, stay structured — the market rewards patience and readiness.
“If the structure speaks to you, let it echo, boost it.”
📐 MJTrading 🚀
What do you think?
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #MarketStructure #LiquiditySweep #AnythingCanHappen
#MJTrading
#ChartDesigner
Psychology Always Matters:
Click on them for the caption...
XAU/USD | Watching for Potential Drop Toward $3391! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that gold continued its bullish move after holding above $3409, successfully hitting the $3440 target and delivering over 200 pips in returns! After reaching this key supply zone, gold corrected down to $3415 and is now trading around $3421. If the price stabilizes below $3431, we can expect further downside movement, with the next bearish targets at $3415, $3404, and $3391. If this scenario fails, an alternative setup will be shared.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
From 3,430 USD GOLD falls below 3,400 USD on optimistic newsOANDA:XAUUSD has suffered a sharp sell-off after rising sharply earlier in the week. Media reports said the United States and the European Union were getting closer to reaching a tariff deal, and the news weighed on safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell below $3,400 an ounce on Wednesday, down more than 1.2%, following news that the United States and the European Union were close to signing a deal similar to the one Washington and Tokyo signed on Tuesday. It is now trading below that key base point.
The European Union and the United States are moving toward a trade deal that could see more EU goods hit with a 15 percent U.S. import tariff, two diplomats said. Earlier, U.S. President Donald Trump reached a trade deal with Japan that would cut auto tariffs to 15 percent.
Optimism about an imminent U.S.-EU trade deal overshadowed a decline in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.05 percent on the day to 97.160.
U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.396%. U.S. real yields, calculated by subtracting inflation expectations from nominal yields, rose nearly 4 basis points to 1.994%.
Gold tends to gain in value during times of uncertainty and low-interest-rate environments because gold itself does not generate interest, and in low-interest-rate environments, the opportunity cost of holding gold is relatively low.
U.S., EU near trade deal
The Financial Times reported on Wednesday that the European Union and the United States are close to reaching a trade deal that would impose a 15% tariff on imports from Europe, similar to the one reached between US President Donald Trump and Japan this week.
The Financial Times reported that Brussels is likely to agree to so-called “reciprocal tariffs” to avoid tariffs that Trump has threatened to impose on EU goods of up to 30% from August 1.
“The agreement reached with Japan is clearly extortionate in terms. Most member states are swallowing their anger and are likely to accept the deal,” an EU diplomat said.
The two sides will exempt some products, including aircraft, spirits and medical equipment, from tariffs.
The agreement between the US and Japan has also left Brussels reluctant to accept higher reciprocal tariffs to avoid a damaging trade war, according to the Financial Times.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold reached its target at $3,430, it failed to break above this important resistance level and fell slightly. The decline brought gold back to test the support confluence area, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement with the lower edge of the price channel. And with the current position, gold still technically has enough conditions for a possible increase in price.
Specifically, gold is still in/above the supports from the short-term price channel, the long-term rising price channel and the support from the EMA21, as long as gold is still trading above the EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term. On the other hand, the short-term target is still at 3,430 USD, while once the 3,430 USD level is broken, it will provide the possibility of further upside with the next target at around 3,450 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high.
RSI remains above 50, far from the 80 – 100 area (overbought area). Showing that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices continues to favor upside and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,371 – 3,350 USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,430 – 3,450 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3421 - 3419⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3425
→Take Profit 1 3413
↨
→Take Profit 2 3407
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3354 - 3356⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3350
→Take Profit 1 3362
↨
→Take Profit 2 3368
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3354.1 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3361.01
Safe Stop Loss - 3350.5
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Be alert to new lows, pay attention to 3350 and go long at 3330📰 News information:
1. Tariff issues
2. Next week's NFP data
📈 Technical Analysis:
Last night, gold rebounded to only around 3377 before starting to fall back. Our judgment that the current rebound is weak is completely correct. 3350 is the support point of the bottoming out and rebounding to nearly $20 last night. Whether the European session can go down to 3350 will determine the trend of gold.
From the daily chart, the daily line has fallen for two consecutive days, suggesting that the price may continue to fall today. At present, we need to pay attention to this week's starting point of 3344-3345, and then the 3330 line below. The extreme decline is 3320-3310. At the same time, the narrowing of the daily Bollinger Bands is also paving the way for next week's NFP data.
From the 4H chart, the current MACD indicator crosses and increases in volume, and the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and SMA30 basically overlap near 3388. As for the hourly chart, the upper pressure is mainly concentrated near 3375-3377, which is also the high point of the rebound last night. If gold rebounds directly upward and encounters pressure and resistance at 3375-3385 for the first time, you can consider shorting and strictly implement stop loss.
Overall, if the current market falls to 3350-3345 for the first time and gets effective support, you can consider going long with a light position, defend 3340, and look to 3356-3362; if the decline is strong and continues to fall below 3350, the best stable long point for the day is 3330-3320, defend 3310, and earn $10-20 to leave the market.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3350-3345
TP 3356-3362
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3345-3360
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold - Bullish and here's whyPrice traveled within the Red Fork, until it broke the CIB Line, which is indicating a Change In Behavior.
From there on, sideways action, until the break of the Red U-MLH happened.
After the close above the Red U-MLH, price has tested it the 3rd time now. At the time of writing, the Bar looks like a PinBar. So it has good sepparation from the bottom, or a long Down-Wick. That's indicates good strenght.
To me this looks like a good long trade, but as everytime, play it save and don't let greed eat your brain ;-)
Gold - The clear top formation!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) just created a top formation:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past four months, Gold has overall been moving sideways. Following a previous blow-off rally of about +25%, this cycle is very similar to the 2008 bullish cycle. Bulls are starting to slow down which will most likely result in the creation of at least a short term top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
GOLD: clean pullback - now let’s see if support holdsGold continues to trade within an ascending channel on the 4H chart. After a local high, the price pulled back and is now approaching the key zone at 3333–3335. This area lines up with the 0.79 Fib retracement, the lower channel boundary, and a major volume cluster — a classic confluence zone.
If buyers show up here and we get a bullish reversal candle, this becomes a valid long setup with a tight stop just below the level. First target is 3373 (0.5 Fib), followed by a potential retest of the high near 3439.
The structure remains intact, the pullback is orderly, and volume supports the move. As long as the channel holds - the bias stays bullish.
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,383.09
Target Level: 3,336.50
Stop Loss: 3,413.51
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Trend corrected, long funds reduced, sellers returned#XAUUSD
The current moving average is still spreading downward, and the 4-hour chart closed with a large negative line. The market has not yet given a clear feedback on the current trend. However, after a large amount of buying funds intervened, the gold price hit a high of around 3377 and then stagnated. The short-term bullish momentum has weakened, and there is a certain risk of a correction and decline. Sellers are beginning to return📉.
Currently, you can consider participating in short selling at 3370-3377💡. If it rebounds directly to 3400-3405, you can still short if it does not break🔍. The target is 3360 below, and 3350 or even 3330 if it breaks🎯.
🚀 SELL 3370-3377
🚀 TP 3360-3350
Gold Next Move Possible Hello Traders, Today I’m back with another idea.
As you know gold has changed the trend from bullish to the bearish.
The gold has fallen from the area 3438 to 3351. Now the current price is 3358.
I’m looking for the sell zone, In my view gold will drop till 3310.
I’m monitoring the sell zone 3364-3371, when the market touches the zone, I will add sell and my target will be 3310. Keep in bear my first target is 3351, second target is 3337 and the last target is 3310.
In the case if price breaks the 3377 area then we will have to wait until confirmation for another setup.
Stay Tune for every update.
Kindly share your ideas and leave positive comments. Thanks Everybody.
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (UPDATE)Just because our 'sell trade' is running in deep profits, does not mean we completely rule out the possibility of any alternative trades.
As long as Gold remains above Wave 2 high ($3,245), this Gold bullish bias remains an option. As traders we always have to be prepared to adapt to different market conditions.
Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead XAUUSD 24/07 – Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead
🧭 Market Outlook
Gold has dropped sharply from the 343x region, exactly as outlined in yesterday’s plan. Price has broken below the ascending trendline on the H1 chart and is now tapping into lower liquidity zones (FVG + OBS), signaling continuation of the short-term bearish move.
Key context to watch:
Traders are awaiting final decisions on US global trade policy agreements.
Next week’s FOMC meeting may confirm expectations of an interest rate cut.
Later today, markets will react to US PMI data and Jobless Claims, which could trigger volatility.
📊 Technical View
While the higher timeframe trend (D1/H4) remains bullish, the short-term structure has broken, and the market is now exploring unfilled liquidity pools below. Once these are swept, we anticipate a strong long-term BUY opportunity.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
📌 Short-Term Strategy:
Look for short-term SELL setups on retracements toward resistance zones. Wait for clear rejection signals before entering.
📌 Mid/Long-Term Strategy:
Prepare to BUY from major Key Levels once price taps into deep liquidity zones. Ensure confluence and good risk/reward before entering.
🔎 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Upper Resistance Zones:
3393 – 3404 – 3414 – 3420 – 3428
🔻 Lower Support Zones:
3375 – 3366 – 3352 – 3345 – 3330
🔽 Trade Setups
✅ BUY ZONE: 3352 – 3350
SL: 3345
TP: 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3414 – 3416
SL: 3420
TP: 3410 → 3406 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380
⚠️ Risk Reminder
No major economic news is scheduled for today, but unexpected political statements or geopolitical tensions could cause price spikes.
✔️ Always follow your SL/TP strictly.
✔️ Avoid entering without solid confirmation.
✔️ Watch how price reacts to the levels above.
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