Gold shorts are still at home next, and gold will continue to beIt is reasonable that gold rose in the early trading for risk aversion, but gold did not break through the resistance of 2877, but rose and fell. Then the rise of gold for risk aversion may be digested, and gold will continue to be short. Gold 2868-2875 can be directly shorted!
The 1-hour moving average of gold is still dead cross downward short arrangement divergence. Although the gold bulls seem to rebound strongly in the case of risk aversion, the situation has not been reversed yet. Gold will fall directly under the resistance of the moving average. Then the strength of gold bulls to continue to rise is not strong. Gold will continue to be short. Gold 2868-2875 can be directly shorted first.
The market changes rapidly. Gold bulls cannot turn the tide in the case of risk aversion. Then gold bulls may only be short-lived. Gold shorts will still be the main field in the future. Gold will continue to be short. However, gold should also pay attention to one thing today. If it does not fall for a long time, then the 1-hour moving average of gold may start to turn around, so it is necessary to give up the short first, and then readjust the thinking. If it can fall smoothly in the early trading, then gold shorts will continue to be the main field of shorts today.
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Gold
Gold price today: The decline continues!Dear traders! What do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD – Buy or Sell?
Yesterday, gold continued its downward trend, dropping $27 from its highest point in the previous session at $2,885 per ounce. On March 1, gold closed the week negatively at $2,858 per ounce.
The main reason for this sharp decline in gold prices was the strengthening US dollar. The USD Index surged to 107.66, its highest level in the past 10 days, as financial markets grew concerned over the US administration's aggressive trade policies.
Specifically, former President Donald Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, effective March 4. Additionally, he announced an extra 10% tariff on Chinese goods. This policy has fueled uncertainty in the market, pushing investors toward the USD as a safe-haven asset, which has negatively impacted gold.
Update gold today!Dear traders!
During the Asian session on Monday, gold is attracting some buyers, aiming for the $2,900 level. Geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to support the precious metal while putting pressure on the US dollar, further aiding gold’s short-term recovery.
However, from a technical perspective, gold remains below the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating that the bearish trend is still in control. The key resistance zone at $2,892 - $2,895 could be a crucial area where sellers re-enter the market. If gold fails to break above this level, we may see a renewed downward move, reinforcing the dominance of the bears.
Gold may drop to 2800, follow me and short gold!!Brothers, yesterday was "Black Friday". Gold went up and down, but it broke through many supports, so the trading rhythm next week will still be mainly shorting gold.
At present, gold stopped falling and rebounded after hitting around 2830, and finally closed at around 2858. Although it has recovered most of its lost ground, gold is not considered strong as long as it is below 2860, and the rebound can only be regarded as a technical rebound repair. Over the weekend, there was another unstable news from Russia and Ukraine. Gold may have room to continue its upward trend due to the influence of the news. However, I predict that even if gold continues to rebound, it will still encounter obstacles at 2880. Gold may have room to continue to rise with the help of the news, but I expect that even if gold continues to rebound, it will still be blocked at 2880. So in terms of trading, we first consider ambush gold short trading below 2880. If gold can fall below 2830, then gold will inevitably continue to the 2820-2810 area, or even 2800.
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Gold Market Outlook: A Key Resistance AheadHello passionate traders, what are your thoughts on gold prices?
At the start of the trading session, gold is rebounding to recover from last week's losses. The precious metal has gained over 60 pips and is approaching the key resistance level of $2,873. This zone is crucial as sellers are eyeing this level for potential short positions.
This week, all eyes will be on February’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, set to be released on Friday morning. Other major events include the flash CPI estimate for the Eurozone and the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report on Wednesday, the U.S. ISM Services PMI, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday.
Despite the sharp drop in gold prices, this is merely a normal retracement and nothing to be overly concerned about. From a technical standpoint, gold was overbought as investors attempted to push it toward the $3,000/oz mark. A bullish momentum is expected to return soon.
Wishing you all a fantastic trading day!
Best regards!
Sorry, I choose to short gold in this round!!!Every time I write an analysis, I hope that my friends who read it can gain something. Gold fell again on Friday to a new low. Gold fell sharply again on Friday and hit a new low. In the 4H cycle, it bottomed out and rebounded due to the news at the end of the day. Although gold prices hit a low of 2832 in late trading, they ushered in a wave of rebound. However, because the price is still running in the middle of the Bollinger Bands and below the short-term 10 moving average, it has driven the short-term moving average downward to the 2866-2888 area. In the domain, other cyclical indicators maintain a short position, and the overall downward trend of Bollinger Bands intensifies. However, the macd indicator fast line turns upward, failing to give short sellers downward momentum, and the RSI indicator intentionally strengthens the upward potential above the 30 axis. Therefore, at the 4-hour level, the overall downward trend of gold prices after short-term correction can still be seen. As long as the rebound is not strong, gold still has room to fall. Then next week's opening will focus on the resistance near 2880, but as long as it is still under pressure and blocked below 2880, then gold can continue to be short. If gold breaks through 2880 strongly, then it is necessary to adjust its thinking. Pay attention to news changes over the weekend, and we will do further analysis on Monday.
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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases.
The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts.
Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again.
There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week.
In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning.
Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday.
The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut.
📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD
Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2735
Gold Declines as USD StrengthensGold ended today’s trading session fluctuating around $2,858, retreating further from its record high and marking a decline of over 200 pips by the session’s close. The drop came as the US dollar remained near its two-week high, following the latest inflation data aligning with expectations. This reinforced the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts, limiting gold’s upside momentum.
Losses in the stock market exacerbated the downward pressure on gold, extending the sell-off that began after the metal hit a fresh all-time high earlier in the week.
On Friday, US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data showed a 0.3% increase in January, in line with expectations, following an unchanged 0.3% rise in December. Despite the release, the report did not significantly impact Fed rate expectations, meaning it failed to provide a catalyst for a gold rebound.
After falling for several days in a row, where should gold go?Gold technical analysis: After the gold opened in early trading, the price shot straight up, with the opening price at the 2858 line, which is a strong short-term support level. After rising in early trading, according to market inertia, there is a high probability that the European market will continue to rise. The strong pressure above is at the 2885 line. When the price touches this point for the first time, short selling can be carried out during the day. Since the opening of the morning session was directly pulled up sharply, the entry position for long positions today will obviously not be too low. However, it should be noted that since the rebound of 2832, the possibility of directly hitting a new low again today is extremely small, so the probability of a direct sharp drop in price is unlikely. However, don’t think about gold too simply. The short trend does not mean that it will continue to fall without a counter-tick. It can be found that before gold fell, it made two supports near 2890. If it falls below 2890 later, then 2890 will change from a support to a suppression position. In the short term, the upper side focuses on the resistance of 2880-2890, and the lower side focuses on the support of 2860-2850.
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BEARS ARE TRAPPED - $2990's SOONAs illustrated, Im visualizing a strong beginning to a historical bullish MARCH.
On average in 15, 10, and 5 years, MARCH has been mostly bullish.
To anticipate a bullish march, FEB must make sense and leave a few clues that could indicate a healthy setup for a potential buy opportunity.
In this case, FEB made a natural correction toward the end of the month which makes total sense and it is completely appropriate and necessary to setup March for what COULD be next:
A STRONG BULLISH MARCH that could potentially take the yellow metal to see $3,000 USD/Oz for its first time in history.
The setup looks beautiful; with a bullish engulfing candle closing above previous candles, and such bounce having taken place below a major daily support and very near FEB's breaker block that served as a major support - trampoline level for the month (of February) to expand so strongly.
Market has grabbed liquidity at a discount price level, below the 50% retracement of the expansive move of FEB; yet another positive sign of a potential continuation to the upside since: THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND .
I could be off in my timing by 1 week; maybe 2 AT MOST..
But there will be a continuation simply because the demand for gold just keeps rising with all the BS going on around the world + USA's insane tariffs THAT COME INTO EFFECT IN MARCH ... JOIN THE DOTS @!#$% ...
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GOOD LUCK!
DeGRAM | GOLD retest of the supply areaGOLD is in an ascending channel below the trend lines.
Indicators are out of the oversold zone.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart is holding under the supply zone and 38.2% retracement level.
XAUUSD will continue to decline.
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Gold Turning Bearish on H4Gold trading at 2866.xx
It failed to hold above suggested weekly levels 2953/2958 by making high that was expected weekly resistance on long term charts that achieved low of 2832 on last Friday.
Now as per H4 charts gold is changing bullish direction that started on Jan 2025 to corrective or sideways direction with expected resistance around 2907/2916 that limit the upsides upon test and correct gold further to 2839/2831 that is my initial Goal now.
Please note failing to hold 2831/2830 may open 2790/2756.
Buyers should work with cautions
Monthly, Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, finding support at the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart. Due to the sharp decline last week, the 20,500 to 20,300 range was a technical rebound zone.
On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, bringing the index below the 5-day moving average and forming a range with the 10-day MA. For March, the 3-day and 5-day moving averages will act as resistance, while the 10-day MA serves as support. Since the monthly MACD is still above the signal line, even if corrections occur this month, rebound potential remains, meaning traders should be cautious about chasing shorts aggressively.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq fell below the 20-week MA, accelerating the sell-off. The MACD continues to slope downward, keeping further downside potential open, but since the signal line is still above zero, the index may consolidate between the 3-week and 5-week moving averages, making a range-bound strategy effective this week.
On the daily chart, both MACD and the signal line have dropped below zero, confirming a bearish market structure. The 21,000 level was broken decisively with a large bearish candle, meaning that if price struggles to reclaim this level, further downside toward the 240-day moving average is possible. If the Nasdaq falls to the 240-day MA, traders should prepare for a potential technical bounce, as historically, this level has provided support. Reviewing moving average dynamics could be helpful for understanding this scenario.
On the 240-minute chart, Friday’s low produced a strong rebound, making the MACD's potential golden cross a key signal to watch. As long as the recent lows hold, buying opportunities may exist, but since the signal line remains far above zero, selling pressure may persist on any rallies. Traders should avoid chasing long positions and focus on range trading. This week, traders should keep an eye on China’s National People's Congress (NPC) on Tuesday and the U.S. Employment Report on Friday, as both events could increase market volatility later in the week.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower within a narrow range, continuing its sideways movement. On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, causing the MACD to turn downward while still maintaining a range-bound structure. Although the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buyers are still attempting to hold support within this range. For now, oil should be traded as a large range-bound market.
On the weekly chart, last week’s doji candle suggests indecision, and this week, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, triggering a sell signal. However, since a weekly close is needed to confirm this, the possibility of a trend reversal remains open. If oil continues lower this week, the sell signal will be fully confirmed, but if price rebounds, last week’s doji candle could mark a reversal point. Key bullish catalysts include Trump’s potential tariffs on Canada and Mexico, as well as the possibility of stricter oil sanctions on Venezuela. Meanwhile, bearish factors include economic slowdown fears reducing oil demand.
On the daily chart, breaking above $70 remains the key bullish trigger, but since the MACD has yet to form a golden cross, confirming an end to the downtrend is premature. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, indicating a potential recovery after a pullback. For now, traders should buy dips cautiously, but breaking above $70 remains the key factor for further upside confirmation.
Gold
Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, gold has fallen from previous highs to the lower Bollinger Band, meaning that additional downside (overshooting below support) remains possible.
On the monthly chart, gold formed a doji candle, indicating uncertainty. If gold found support at the 3-day MA last month, this month, traders should watch for support at the 5-day MA, as it could provide a buying opportunity on pullbacks.
On the weekly chart, gold has fallen to the 5-week MA, meaning that it has entered a range-bound structure. Since the lower support levels are still open, traders should avoid chasing long positions at highs and focus on buying lower. The U.S. Employment Report is due on Friday, which could increase volatility for gold.
On the daily chart, while the MACD is declining, the signal line remains well above zero, meaning that even if prices fall, rebound attempts are likely. On the 240-minute chart, further downside toward the 240-day moving average remains possible, but traders should watch for bottoming signals and potential support. If the MACD forms a golden cross, a strong rebound could follow, so monitoring short-term momentum shifts will be key.
February marked a transition to a range-bound market after an extended uptrend, suggesting that March could be a period of consolidation or further downside extension. Geopolitical risks have increased since Trump took office, and market volatility is rising due to key global events. Traders should focus on risk management and avoid overexposure. Wishing you a successful start to March! 🚀
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Next week's gold trend trading strategy:
Analysis of gold market trends:
The gold market showed an extremely complex trend this week. Since the plunge from the high of $2,950 last week, the market has repeatedly fallen and rebounded. It is worth noting that the gold price in the US market bottomed out and rose sharply on Friday. The US market also rose sharply after Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The US market also rose slightly on Thursday, and the US market rose strongly again yesterday. In this series of fluctuations, each time the key position is touched, it can trigger a rebound to varying degrees, which fully demonstrates the tenacious resistance of the bulls.
From the analysis of the market, the gold price experienced a sharp drop on Friday, and then rebounded strongly. The daily line finally closed with a medium-sized Yin line with a lower shadow of nearly 30 US dollars. In terms of the weekly line, it presents a large Yin line pattern, and a bearish engulfing pattern appears. A Yin line directly engulfs the previous two Yang lines, and successfully ends the nine-week continuous Yang trend. The monthly line is a medium Yang line, but the upper shadow is as long as 97 US dollars.
At present, the prospect of the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks is overshadowed, and the subsequent trends have attracted much attention. This is also one of the important driving factors for the rise in gold prices at the end of Friday. Looking ahead to next week, the United States will release non-agricultural data, and the eurozone will also announce interest rate decisions. In addition, US manufacturing data and the Federal Reserve Beige Book will also be released one after another, all of which will have a significant impact on the gold market.
After a sharp drop in gold this week, there is a need for a rebound correction in the short term. From the monthly line, the longer upper shadow line indicates that there may be a move to fill the upper shadow line in the early stage of the decline. The bearish engulfing pattern on the weekly line and the closing of the negative line after nine consecutive weeks of gains have significantly suppressed the bulls. However, the long lower shadow of the daily line on Friday shows that there is strong support below. On the 4-hour chart, after a short-term sharp drop, it has shown a serious oversold signal, so it is bound to usher in a rebound correction. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average, which were originally used as support, have turned into pressure points for subsequent rebounds after being broken. It is expected that gold prices will face downward pressure again when they rebound and test these two moving averages.
Taking all factors into consideration, the impact of Trump's tariffs has been basically digested. In the absence of new tariff news, the relevant tariff news is likely to be regarded as a factor that induces more buying. Next, the focus will be on whether there will be any new news from the U.S.-led Russia-Ukraine peace talks over the weekend, as well as the release of U.S. non-agricultural data. From a technical perspective, gold is expected to rebound before the $2835-2840 range is broken next week. If the Russia-Ukraine conflict does not deteriorate further, the overall trend of gold is expected to be mainly high and then fall, and the high-level short-selling strategy can continue to be adopted in terms of operation. However, it should be noted that if the situation between Russia and Ukraine deteriorates further, the market trend may change significantly. The upper resistance levels are $2880-2885, $2890-2895, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average; the lower support levels are $2835-2840, $2805-2810, and $2785-2770.
GOLD I.T. Bottom WAVE 4 low is in place move to LONGThe chart posted is GOLD SPOT .I am Now moving to Bullish from my Bearish top of wave C or 3 . The Stop MUST be placed at the low we just saw . I will now project wave 5 of 5 of 5 target is 3031/3069 I will go with the LOWER of the two targets and would look for this TOP on march 10 to the 13th of march .in a super cycle peak .I will look for a major crash from this 5th wave top
GOLD Trend reversal, The Week Ahead 03rd March ’25The GOLD (XAUUSD) index pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the loss of longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be an overbought consolidation after reaching the all-time high on 20th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at the 2896 level, 20-day moving average and the rising support trend line zone. An oversold bounce back from the current levels and a bearish rejection at the 2896 level could target the downside support at 2790 followed by the 2770 (50 DMA) and 2743 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 2896 resistance and a daily above below that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of the 2920 level followed by 2950.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Are gold bulls back?Today, gold retraced its lowest to 2859 and then started to rebound. Gold is currently trading around 2870. Are gold bulls back?
After opening in the morning, it showed a volatile upward pattern. As far as the current trend of gold is concerned, although gold continues to rebound, this rebound is not strong and can only be regarded as a technical repair. From the hourly chart, the short-term resistance above is suppressed in the 2880-2890 area. When the price touches this area, we can consider shorting gold in a timely manner. The target area below is the 2865-2855 area.
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Gold's Resistance Battle: Breakout or Reversal?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($2,896-$2,878) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing microwave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to go down at least pivot points after breaking the Uptrend line , and in the next stage , the Support zone($2,845-$2,830) can be the next target .
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone($2,896-$2,878), we can expect more pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
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GOLD - Price can continue to grow and exit from wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The price started to grow inside the rising channel, first reaching the support line and then rising to the $2835 support level.
Next, Gold broke this level and continued to move up and rose to $2930 level, after which started to fall in wedge.
Gold exited from a channel and continued to decline near support line of wedge, but later it bounced to resistance area.
Long time XAU trades in this area and reached resistance line of wedge, after which turned around and started to fall.
Price broke $2930 level and fell to support line of wedge, after which bounced and made a gap.
So, I expect that Gold can correct little and then rise to $2930 level, exiting from wedge pattern.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-3-25 : Up-Down-UP Pattern CounterToday's pattern, and Up-Down-Up in counter-trend mode, suggests the markets will attempt to move downward after the open and attempt to retrace some (or most) of Friday's gain.
I do believe this downward price move is essential for the markets to build a moderate base before attempting to move higher into the march 11-16 topping pattern my research suggests will prompt another breakdown in price.
Ultimately, these moves up and down over the past 30+ days are establishing a sideways (mega-phone type) price structure that I warned was likely to happen more than 90+ days ago (back in December 2024).
What we are seeing right now is a rolling of price while uncertainty continues to drive capital away from technology, semis and innovation - moving into safety and security.
This will continue until July or August 2025, then capital will suddenly shift back into risk-ON in my opinion.
By the time everyone thinks the markets are breaking downward (crashing), that is when I think the markets will make a sudden shift toward growth and innovation as the US resumes a growth phase in late 2025 (carrying into 2026).
Currently, we are in a minor little "pause/rally" phase after the last bout of selling. This rally will likely end sometime after March 11 - leading to a breakdown in price starting between 3-14 and 3-17.
This is a trader's market.
Gold/Silver appear to have found a footing and seem to be bouncing. We'll see if Gold/Silver move above critical resistance and continue to rally higher.
BTCUSD has rebounded back to support/resistance, but has also moved into a new DUAL Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests increased price volatility for Bitcoin. I still believe we are moving into a very side-range consolidation pattern for Bitcoin.
I suggest staying fairly cautious today and setting up some trades for the pause/rally I expect to carry through this week for the SPY/QQQ. No need to get too greedy on a Monday.
Get some.
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