XAUUSD Showing Strength on the 4H Chart📈 XAUUSD Gold 🟡 has been demonstrating strong resilience, maintaining a clear bullish trend on this 4H timeframe. Price action continues to align with an upward trajectory, with my target set at the previous high marked on the chart 🎯.
A pullback is expected, potentially offering an opportunity to enter at a discount before a continuation toward the target zone 🚀.
⚠️ Not financial advice—always manage risk appropriately!
Gold
GOLD nears $3,000 as trade tensions escalateOANDA:XAUUSD have surged to an all-time high, just shy of the key $3,000-an-ounce mark as global trade tensions and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut push them closer to a record high. They have risen nearly 14% this year, following a 27% gain in 2024.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump on Thursday threatened to impose 200% tariffs on wine, champagne and other alcoholic beverages from France and the rest of the European Union, marking a further escalation in global trade tensions.
Trump tweeted Thursday that he would impose import tariffs if the European Union continues to impose duties on U.S. whiskey exports. The EU's move is in retaliation for Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs that took effect on Wednesday.
Trump also had harsher words for the European Union. The EU has been one of the United States' closest allies for decades. Trump posted on his Truth Social platform: "The European Union is one of the most hostile and abusive tax and tariff organizations in the world, and their sole purpose is to take advantage of the United States. They just put a disgusting 50% tariff on whiskey. If this tariff is not removed immediately, the United States will soon put a 200% tariff on all wine, champagne and spirits coming from France and other EU member states. This will be a tremendous boon to the American wine and champagne industry."
Trump’s trade policy changes have boosted the price of gold, an asset favored by investors during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
In addition, the Wall Street Journal reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin had rejected plans for an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine, which also contributed to the safe-haven buying of gold.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said Thursday that Russia will not agree to an immediate end to fighting in Ukraine and called for further discussions on ending the war permanently, The Wall Street Journal reported. Moscow’s military is now advancing rapidly, aiming to push Ukrainian troops out of the Kursk region. Putin said any ceasefire at this stage would be in Ukraine’s interests because Russia is winning on the battlefield and there are many issues that need to be resolved before a ceasefire can be reached.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, said its holdings rose to 907.82 tonnes on February 25, the highest since August 2023. Meanwhile, data from China's central bank showed China bought gold for a fourth straight month in February.
Over the weekend, data on US consumer confidence and inflation expectations will be less in the spotlight than tariffs and geopolitical headlines.
For economic data, readers can find more details in the signature section through brief comments during the day.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is down slightly year-to-date after approaching the important raw price level of $3,000.
The current correction is also not significant as the uptrend will still dominate the chart with the price channel as the nearest support at present, the main support is noted by the EMA21 and the other support is the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has not yet risen above the overbought zone, indicating that there is still room for upside.
Intraday, as long as gold remains above the price channel and the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level, its main short-term outlook remains bullish. Even if gold falls below the aforementioned support area, it remains in an overall bullish trend, so the current declines should be viewed as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
Next, the target will be the full price point of $3,000 in the short term and more at the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level.
The notable positions for the day are listed as follows.
Support: $2,977 – $2,956
Resistance: $3,000 – $3,021
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3037 - 3035⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3041
→Take Profit 1 3029
↨
→Take Profit 2 3023
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2949 - 2951⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
→Take Profit 1 2957
↨
→Take Profit 2 2963
Wheaton precious Metals can push on to $90It could be a HOT summer for the gold and silver bugs
And the speculators in the mining sector!
WPM ( formerly Silver Wheaton #SLW)
Has a broken out of a inverse head and shoulders
Two targets provided
Also important to note this inv head and shoulders is a continuation pattern not a bottom pattern.
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,990.27
1st Support: 2,955.64
1st Resistance: 3,004.91
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GOLD PLAYGROUND AROUND $3000-$3100? FED SPEECH NEXT WEEK!!!GOLD currently trade at $2987 when i write this idea. GOLD bullish momentum started when CPI data released followed by PPI data. Both of data show inflation slowdown. Last Tuesday, job opening data also showed us a neutral level and we can conclude that the labor market is still in slow pace. A week ago NFP also showed us weak data and slow down in labor market. Fundamentally, this labor market slow down and inflation that coming up in a lower level will give THE FED to cut rate in the next May or June.
Besides all that the trade war still heating up and there is no clear way how to end the geopolitical war in Russia - Ukraine and also Middle East. Traders seems just make early entry and buying GOLD as safe haven commodity and assume THE FED will cost lower borrowing rate.
Technically, GOLD just broke it's resistance trendline on symmetrical triangle pattern. It's just indicates that bullish movement of this instrument still going on and we don't know where it will stop. I see $3032 as the next level if $2986-$2987 broke up.
Is there any surprises in the next week? IF THE FED revised it's Federal Fund Rate to 3.4% or lower i see GOLD will play at $3000-$3100 for a few next month
Do you have any opinion guys?? Just give your comments below!
GOLD → Strong consolidation. What’s Next?OANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating within the 2926 - 2890 range. The overall market remains bullish, but there are signs of short-selling or pre-news selling ahead of the major economic data release scheduled for Wednesday.
Accordingly, the market is eagerly awaiting U.S. inflation and employment data, which could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next move. Despite a weaker dollar and rising expectations of monetary easing, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains cautious, signaling a measured approach to policy adjustments.
Meanwhile, gold demand remains strongly supported by China as the country ramps up its purchases. Additionally, growing concerns over stagflation in the U.S. further strengthen gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. However, traders are keeping a close watch on upcoming economic reports and the potential impact of China's tariffs on U.S. goods, which could introduce further market volatility.
The key focus now is 2926, where price action is shaping a potential accumulation phase before a breakout. If price stabilizes above this resistance, it could trigger a significant bullish impulse, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
However, a major challenge remains—if the price accelerates too quickly toward resistance, the risk of a false breakout increases. In such a scenario, the market may pull back to 2890 to test liquidity zones, ensuring structural confirmation before making a legitimate move back toward 2926 and beyond.
What are your thoughts on gold?
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Blood Moon Bottom? Lunar Study on Bitcoin Price Action.In my years as a commodity trader, it crossed my desk multiple times the incredible frequency in which full moons aligned with significant price action sessions amongst precious metals; almost with a degree of precision that is hard to believed if measured too closely.
Tonight there will be the first Blood Moon since 2022, which stood out to me on the session that gold set new all time highs and silver showed signs of incredible strength and momentum.
I was curious of the rarity of Blood Moons, and upon learning the date of the last occurrence, something stood out to me. I knew it was right around the time that the FTX disaster found a bottom, and a new bull market kicked off in equities on the back of AI exuberance.
Then I looked a little closer. They were not just close in proximity, but the last Blood Moon occurred nearly at literal Bitcoin bottoms in the wake of the FTX disaster .
Whoa. Okay, certainly there are coincidences out there, and I've seen technical analysis referred to as "astrology for men" enough times to exercise a little restraint on this topic, but I found it fascinating.
Will this Blood Moon mark a local low before resumption of bullish momentum? Will equities have marked a bottom too?
RSI around both events reached very similar levels too.
For those that want to investigate further, check out the 2014 Blood Moons on top of a Bitcoin chart.
GOLD READY TO SURGE? USD WEAKNESS SIGNALS A BIG MOVE!📌 Market Overview
The US Dollar (USD) has been weakening for the past three months, signaling significant shifts in global financial markets. The latest CPI report came in weaker than expected, putting additional short-term pressure on the USD. However, long-term projections suggest a possible recovery.
Meanwhile, Gold continues to gain momentum, benefiting from USD weakness on both fundamental and technical fronts. As per our previous analysis, the bullish trend remains intact, and we will continue looking for BUY opportunities at key support levels while monitoring resistance zones near all-time highs (ATH).
📊 CPI Impact on USD & GOLD – What’s Next?
🔹 Short-term USD Weakness, But Potential Recovery?
The lower-than-expected CPI report has increased bearish pressure on the USD.
However, in the long run, the USD may find stability and enter a recovery phase.
For now, USD weakness continues to support Gold’s upside potential, bringing it closer to key resistance zones.
🔸 Gold’s Strength – Will It Hit New All-Time Highs?
With USD weakening and market uncertainty rising, Gold remains a preferred safe-haven asset for investors.
Our primary strategy remains BUY on dips, anticipating further upside.
Tonight’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report could be a major catalyst for USD and Gold volatility.
📉 Key Technical Levels for GOLD
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
2,945 - 2,956 - 2,972 - 2,988
🔻 Major Support Levels:
2,931 - 2,922 - 2,914 - 2,906 - 2,898
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2,922 - 2,920
📍 SL: 2,916
🎯 TP: 2,926 - 2,930 - 2,935 - 2,940 - 2,950
🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,955 - 2,957
📍 SL: 2,961
🎯 TP: 2,950 - 2,946 - 2,942 - 2,938 - 2,930
⚡ PPI Report Tonight – Market Volatility Alert!
📌 The US Producer Price Index (PPI) report is set to release today, a key indicator of inflation at the production level.
📌 If PPI data is weaker than expected, USD could face further pressure, pushing Gold higher.
📌 On the other hand, stronger PPI figures could help the USD recover, leading to potential Gold corrections.
📢 Are you ready for high volatility? Stick to your TP/SL to keep your capital safe! 🚀🔥
💬 Will Gold hit a new all-time high, or is a USD recovery imminent? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
GOLD → Consolidating around 2921 — Poised for a Breakout!OANDA:XAUUSD continues its upward trajectory amid rising economic risks and a weakening dollar. The metal is currently testing resistance at 2921 and appears poised for further gains.
The U.S. dollar has broken its bullish structure, driven by comments from the U.S. Treasury regarding potential rate cuts. This intervention has significantly influenced market sentiment. Theoretically, gold is unlikely to decline further due to trade war risks and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. Additionally, weak ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further bullish momentum for gold.
Key levels to watch are 2913 and 2903, which have already been tested and tapped into liquidity zones. Now, all eyes are on 2927—if this level holds, gold could retreat back to the 2913-2903 support zone. However, a breakout above 2927 could fuel further upside, with the next targets at 2942-2956.
Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update for 3-13-25What a crazy day. The markets certainly decided to burn the longs almost all day.
I got a few messages from traders who continued trying to pick bottoms in this downtrend. FYI, that can be very dangerous.
If you are a short-term trader and are trying to pick a base/bottom all day today - you have to have a limit in terms of how much you are willing to risk within a single day.
I've seen dozens of traders blow up their accounts in a big, trending market.
Please learn from your actions. Develop a STOP POINT related to your trading decisions.
There is no reason to continue to try to execute "bounce" trades when the markets are trending as strongly as they are today.
This video should help you understand what I see as the potential over the next 5+ days.
We are still trying to hold above critical support near the 50% retracement level on the SPY.
Everything depends on what happens in DC and how the markets perceive risks.
Gold/Silver rallied very strong today. This is FEAR related to risks.
If the US government enters a shutdown, Gold and Silver could skyrocket much higher.
Get some.
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Gold surges, just $17 away from $3,000 Gold is sprinting to new all-time highs and approaching the $3000 level. The price has just reached $2983 at the time of writing, just $17 away from the key $3000 level.
Alex Ebkarian from Allegiance Gold forecasts “prices to trade between $3,000 and $3,200 this year,”.
Momentum is currently being driven by uncertainty around Trump tariffs and stalled ceasefire talks with Vladimir Putin, who has outlined sweeping conditions for any potential truce.
The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting next Wednesday could also be influencing prices. While the central bank is expected to keep its rate at 4.25%-4.50% until at least June, with the current economic environment, a change in guidance from the Fed might be warranted. A delay in the anticipated June rate cut wouldn't be helpful for the gold price
GOLD Strong Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price
Made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 2949$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further move
Up after the potential pullback
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD 1H AND 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UDATEHey Everyone,
Once again a smashing day on the markets with both our 1h and 4h charts, playing out as analysed.
We got our Bullish targets 2922, 2947 and 2968 all completed on our 1h chart, confirmed with cross and lock, giving us enough time from confirmation to target being hit.
Please see our 4h chart below, also completing our target at 2947, which we confirmed was open yesterday, giving enough time for the target to be hit today and now also finished off with 2978. We will now look for a test and lock for a further continuation or failure to lock above will see a rejection to find support at the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2922 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2922 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2947 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2947 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2968 DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold closes in on $3K after fresh breakoutGold finally ended weeks of consolidation to break to new record highs today.
It is now looking increasingly likely to reach and potentially surpass the $3,000 level in the coming days. The US dollar continues to remain largely under pressure and with yields declining and stock markets volatile, it remains an overall positive environment for the safe-haven metal.
Traders will continue to monitor the ongoing trade war between the US, and basically the rest of the world, for clues. This week, we have had weaker US inflation data, adding to the recent weakness in data. If we continue to see weakness in US data, then this is something that could well keep gold prices supported.
Countering this, could be any major de-escalation in the trade war, or progress in peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. These factors could reduce the metal’s haven appeal in favour of the more risk-sensitive stock markets.
From a technical point of view, the path of least resistance will be to the upside unless the market structure of higher highs and higher lows break. Key support now comes in at $2929-$2956, an area which was previously resistance. The bullish trend line is the line in the sand for me. A break below it, especially beath the most recent low of $2880 would mark a shift in the trend.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Gold Sell Off (1H UPDATE)If you remember on yesterday‘s video analysis, I said to watch out for two possible shorting zones if Gold was to go above its Wave 2 high. As expected gold pushed up towards our target $2,963.
I’m looking for some form of schematic to play out ahead of a Wave 5 sell off. If we do not see some sort of distribution schematic, then I will not be looking for a sell just yet. A slow down in bullish momentum will be one factor in creating a schematic.
GOLD hits Bullish targets, heading for all-time highAs tariff uncertainty pushed money into safe havens, cooling US inflation kept market expectations of a Fed rate cut intact and optimism over a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine cooled, OANDA:XAUUSD surged and broke out of its recent sideways consolidation trading range.
OANDA:XAUUSD surged past the $2,942/oz target on safe-haven demand. Weaker US CPI data also supported expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, pushing gold higher.
The US consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.8% year-on-year in February, slightly below the 2.9% expected and down from January's 3.0%. The year-on-year increase in the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, eased to 3.1% from January's 3.3%.
Recent news of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine also cooled earlier optimism.
British news agency Reuters reported on Wednesday that Russian officials were skeptical about the U.S. proposal for a 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Wednesday that the Kremlin was still waiting for the United States to announce its proposal for a ceasefire in Ukraine. The Kremlin needs to hear the results of the U.S.-Ukraine talks before commenting on whether Russia can accept the ceasefire.
Commenting on a ceasefire proposal that has been accepted by both U.S. and Ukrainian officials, an influential Russian lawmaker insisted on Wednesday that any deal must be reached on Russian terms, not U.S.
A senior Russian source said President Vladimir Putin would be unlikely to agree to a ceasefire proposal without finalizing the terms and receiving some guarantees.
Ukraine accepted a US proposal for a 30-day ceasefire with Russia on Tuesday in exchange for the Trump administration resuming suspended military aid and intelligence sharing. The deal was announced by US and Ukrainian officials after eight hours of talks in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday.
Trump said US officials would meet with their Russian counterparts on Wednesday and he could meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin this week.
The World Gold Council (WGC) revealed that central banks continued to buy gold. The People's Bank of China and the National Bank of Poland added 10 tonnes and 29 tonnes of gold, respectively, in the first two months of 2025.
Traders will next keep a close eye on the release of the US producer price index (PPI) for February, initial jobless claims and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment data.
OANDA:XAUUSD technical outlook analysis
On the daily chart, as of the time of writing, gold has achieved all the bullish targets noted by readers in the weekly publication, along with all the conditions for the possibility of a price increase when there is no more resistance ahead other than the all-time high.
The short-term price channel is noted as the trend at the moment, along with the Relative Strength Index RSI maintaining above 50, surpassing 61, showing that the bullish momentum dominates the market and there is still a lot of room for price increase ahead because it is still quite far from reaching the overbought area.
The most notable supports now are the $2,929 level in the short term, followed by the EMA21 area.
Overall, the uptrend is dominating on the daily chart, with notable price levels listed below.
Support: $2,929 – $2,915
Resistance: $2,956
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2761 - 2974⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2980
→Take Profit 1 2968
↨
→Take Profit 2 2962
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2904 - 2906⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2900
→Take Profit 1 2912
↨
→Take Profit 2 2918
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 3-13-25 - Fear Settling InWith the US government only about 39 hours away from a complete SHUT DOWN, I want to warn everyone that metals are doing exactly what they are supposed to do - hedge risks. While the SPY/QQQ are continuing to melt downard.
I created this video to show you the Fibonacci Trigger levels on the 60 min SPY chart, which I believe are very important. Pause the video when I show you the proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system and pay attention to the fact that any upward price trend must rally above 563.85 in order to qualify as a new Bullish price trend.
That means we need to see a very solid price reversal from recent lows or an intermediate pullback (to the upside) which will set a new lower Bullish Fibonacci trigger level.
Overall, the SPY/QQQ are in a MELT DOWN mode and I expect this to last into early next week unless the US government reaches some agreement to extend funding.
This is not the time to try to load up on Longs/Calls.
The US and global markets are very likely to MELT DOWNWARD over the next 2 to 5+ days if the US government does SHUT DOWN.
FYI.
Gold and Silver may EXPLODE HIGHER.
Get some.
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GOLD: Short Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 2967.6
Stop Loss - 2975.0
Take Profit - 2951.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Gold Update | $3k+ Then DumpSimilar to my last gold post we're tracking price using another method, parallel channels and Elliott Impulse Wave.
Price finished correction wave 4 and is now on impulse wave 5 that will take us to $3k+
I'm interested in long positions only working with a 30d - MA. This will help with entries and further price movement on the way up.
HelenP. I Gold can make small correction and then continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A short while ago, the price was trading near the support zone, which aligned with the support level, before rebounding up to the resistance level. Following this movement, Gold made a correction, quickly reversed, and then repeated the corrective move once again. After that, the price climbed back to the resistance level and entered the resistance zone, where it consolidated for some time before beginning a decline within a triangle pattern. Within this structure, XAU broke below the 2935 level and dropped further to the trend line, also breaking through the 2865 support level. After this move, XAU reversed direction, rebounded from the trend line, and soon reclaimed the 2865 level. The price then nearly reached the resistance line of the triangle before making a correction back to the trend line. It later turned around again, climbed higher, and reached the resistance line. Currently, Gold is trading near this resistance line, and I anticipate a correction toward the trend line before rebounding upward, breaking out of the triangle, and surpassing the resistance level. Given this setup, my target is set at 2950 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️