Gold
Newmont Corp | NEM | Long at $48.00While gold prices have soared recently, gold mining stocks have lagged. Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM , the world's largest gold mining corporation, may be undervalued if the miners take off to catch up to the gold demand/price. Currently sitting near $48.00 and at a historical moving average that it will need to break to show a true trend reversal, NYSE:NEM is in a personal buy zone. Now, the price may break down at the simple moving average and test the patience of shareholders, but the long game may benefit those who can tolerate the volatility.
Target #1 = $57.00
Target #2 = $71.00
GOLD: Long Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3396.6
Sl - 3389.4
Tp - 3413.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Try a R/R1 BuyThis signal is based on a 60% win rate backtested strategy...
1st order:
Buy @ 3418.3
SL: 3410
TP: 3426
2nd order:
Buy Limit @ 3414
SL: 3410
TP: 3426
Manage your Risk...
GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,393.80 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,414.38.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,622 (UPDATE)Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up.
Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
XAUUSD - Is the gold bullish trend over?!Gold is trading in its ascending channel on the four-hour timeframe, above the EMA200 and EMA50. We should wait for consolidation or not above the drawn trend line to determine the future path of gold, which can be entered after its failure in the formed line, and on the other hand, if gold corrects towards the demand zone, it can be purchased in the short term with appropriate risk-reward.
Over the past week, the gold market moved within a narrow, calm range and showed little reaction to encouraging inflation data—until geopolitical developments once again shifted the landscape. Heightened tensions in the Middle East brought safe-haven demand back to the forefront of traders’ minds.
Following initial reports of regional unrest, gold quickly climbed from $3,324 to a weekly high of $3,377. Although the price saw a brief correction down to around $3,345, it resumed its upward momentum and opened Thursday’s trading session just one dollar below the symbolic $3,400 mark.
Rich Checkan, President and CEO of Asset Strategies International, commented on these recent geopolitical developments, stating: “The market’s direction is clear: it’s upward. With tensions rising following Israel’s attack on Iran, there’s no doubt gold will continue its climb next week.”
Darin Newsom, senior analyst at Barchart.com, also pointed to rising risks both domestically and globally: “Gold is on an upward path. Domestic unrest in the U.S., escalating conflict in the Middle East, broad selling of the U.S. dollar by other countries, and expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady—all support gold’s rise.”
Meanwhile, Daniel Pavilonis, senior broker at RJO Futures, analyzed the simultaneous reactions of gold and oil amid the recent Middle East tensions, looking for clues on their future direction. He explained: “Oil’s behavior can serve as an indicator for gold, as both are seen as inflation hedges and are sensitive to bond yields.”
Surprised that gold hasn’t yet reclaimed its April highs, Pavilonis emphasized: “If tensions escalate further, we could see additional gains. But if Iran moves toward negotiations or a truce, gold could remain elevated but range-bound, similar to the past two months. Breaking previous highs would require a stronger catalyst and a more significant worsening of the crisis.” He noted that while geopolitical tensions are currently the primary driver of gold’s strength, such rallies are typically short-lived.
Pavilonis added: “We saw a similar pattern last April—gold and oil spiked sharply but quickly corrected. Back then, trade war concerns with China persisted, inflation rates had fallen noticeably, and the initial supportive factors for gold gradually faded. Now, once again, a fresh geopolitical shock has emerged that may temporarily drive gold higher.”
After a week where market attention focused mainly on U.S. inflation data, investors’ focus in the coming days will shift to central bank policy decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates.
The trading week begins Monday with the release of the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an early view of industrial activity in New York. That same day, the Bank of Japan will announce its latest interest rate decision, potentially setting a new tone for Asian markets and the yen’s value.
On Tuesday, U.S. May retail sales data will be published—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness could bolster market expectations for a rate cut.
Wednesday will be the pivotal day, as the Federal Reserve reveals its rate decision. While markets have fully priced in a pause in tightening, attention will focus on Jerome Powell’s remarks for any hints of rate cuts in the coming months. Also on Wednesday, May housing starts data and weekly jobless claims will be released.
With U.S. markets closed Thursday for Juneteenth, the spotlight will shift to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England, both of which could impact currency market volatility. The week wraps up Friday with the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, a leading gauge closely watched by traders to assess the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. Northeast.
GOLD LIVE TRADE SIGNAL – June 16, 2025 (Price: $3415)🔵 Setup: BUY on Breakout — targeting continuation after corrective pullback
📉 Market Structure:
Bullish impulse completed a clear 5-wave Elliott structure
Current pullback forming a potential Wave 2 or IV
Price sitting above the breakout zone (~3391.6 support)
✅ Trade Details:
Entry: Buy @ 3422 (on bullish candle close above local resistance zone)
Stop Loss: 3408 (below consolidation low)
Target 1: 3445
Target 2: 3468
RRR: ~1:2.3
Confidence: HIGH — strong momentum wave + clean structure
🔍 Technical Confluence:
Wave (2) retracement respected
Channel breakout held (blue ascending)
Minor resistance around 3420 is being retested
Volume likely to spike in NY session
Caution: Avoid entry if price breaks below 3391.6 – would invalidate short-term structure.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-16 : Up-Down-Up PatternToday's Up-Down-Up Pattern suggests the markets will transition into a moderate upward trending price bar - which is quite interesting in the world we have today.
War and a big weekend of events, protests and other new items could drive market trends over the next few days.
Still, the SPY Cycle Pattern for today is an Up-Down-Up - which suggests last Thursday was an Up bar, last Friday was a Down bar, and today should be an Up bar.
The Gold/Silver pattern is a POP pattern in Counter-trend.
I believe the US markets are benefiting as a safe-haven for capital as the global turmoil drives global investors to seek safety and security for their capital.
That means as long as the world continues to spin out of control, the US markets and the US-Dollar will act as a moderate safe-haven for capital.
Gold and Silver should also benefit from this global chaos.
Bitcoin is benefiting from the strength of the US markets (and the technology sector) as well.
Let's see how this week start to play out. I'm waiting for some more news.
Could be very interesting this week.
Get some.
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Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold pullback supported at 3377Gold (XAU/USD) is trading lower during the first half of the European session, ending a three-day winning streak that had pushed it near a two-month high earlier on Monday. A stronger performance in equity markets is reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
However, losses are limited due to a few key factors:
Ongoing Middle East tensions are keeping risk sentiment in check.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2025 are weighing on the US Dollar, supporting gold.
Traders are cautious ahead of the upcoming two-day FOMC meeting starting Tuesday.
Despite the dip, gold is holding above the $3,400 level.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3444
Resistance Level 2: 3460
Resistance Level 3: 3483
Support Level 1: 3377
Support Level 2: 3360
Support Level 3: 3340
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,327.72.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,385.41.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
xauusd Entry Level:
3,416.000 USD
Price is currently at 3,425.640 USD, so the entry was already triggered and the position is active and in profit.
Stop-Loss (SL):
3,407.500 USD
Positioned below the minor FVG area; protects against deeper downside if structure fails.
Take-Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: 3,423.000 USD (short-term scalp zone — already reached)
TP2: 3,439.000 USD (medium-term resistance)
TP3: 3,452.500 USD (strong upside target; likely near a previous high)
Shift Stop to entry after reaching TP1
GOLD Eyes New Highs Amid Geopolitical Risk and Bullish StructureGOLD – Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold, Eyes on New Highs if Tensions Escalate
Gold futures pared some gains after approaching fresh record highs earlier in the session. The metal rallied strongly on Friday as escalating Middle East tensions — particularly between Israel and Iran — drove investors toward safe-haven assets.
Analysts note that if the conflict intensifies further in the coming days, new highs could be within reach for gold.
Technical Outlook:
A short-term correction toward 3404 or 3390 is likely. However, as long as the price holds above this support zone, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward 3448, with potential to reach 3486.
For a bearish shift, the price must break below the 3391–3381 area with at least a confirmed 1H close, which would open the path toward 3347.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3431, 3449, 3486
• Support: 3404, 3391, 3381
XAUUSD Strong break-out ahead to $3700.Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a Channel Up, while being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is similar to the December 19 2024 - January 30 2025 Channel Up, which when it broke above the previous Higher High Resistance, it rose straight to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, as long as the 1D MA50 supports, we are looking for a medium-term bullish break-out, possible by the end of July, targeting at least 3700.
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Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold Above $3,440Gold rose to around $3,440 per ounce on Monday, staying near April’s record highs, as escalating Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand. Weekend clashes between Israel and Iran raised fears of broader conflict.
Markets now look ahead to upcoming central bank meetings, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve. While rates are expected to remain unchanged, investors are watching for signals on future cuts. Last week’s weaker inflation data has increased expectations for a potential rate cut by September.
Traders are also awaiting details on President Donald Trump’s upcoming tariff decisions, expected in the coming weeks.
Resistance is seen at $3,430, while support holds at $3,392.
Toward $3,500? Gold Faces Key Policy DecisionsGold is currently trading around $3,438 and continues to show positive momentum. After a week focused on inflation data, the gold market is now shifting its attention to interest rate decisions and policy guidance from major central banks.
The week begins with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, a key indicator of economic activity in the New York region. Following that, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision, and investors are closely watching to see whether the BoJ will continue normalizing its interest rates.
Next comes U.S. retail sales data for May — a crucial gauge of consumer spending, which remains the backbone of the U.S. economy. Any signs of weakness in consumer activity could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
However, the main focus remains the upcoming Fed meeting. While markets widely expect rates to be held steady, investors are awaiting clear signals from Chair Jerome Powell regarding the path and timing of potential rate cuts ahead.
According to Kitco’s weekly gold survey, professional analysts remain optimistic about gold’s outlook, while retail investors are showing more caution.
With central bank decisions approaching and geopolitical tensions lingering, investors need to stay alert. Risks such as rising social unrest in the U.S., escalating conflicts in the Middle East, and ongoing de-dollarization trends are all fueling demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Given expectations that the Fed will hold rates steady, gold maintains its defensive appeal. In my view, the precious metal may soon retest its highs near $3,500, as its role as a global safe haven becomes even more pronounced amid mounting uncertainty.
Beyond the News: Why I Trust the Charts When Trading GoldBased on the current structure, I believe gold is in the fifth wave of a larger Elliott Wave formation. On the higher time frame, the price action appears to be contained within a channel that resembles a leading diagonal pattern—where Wave 1 is typically the longest. From this perspective, I anticipate a potential retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the most recent upward move, or a test of the lower boundary of the channel before a reversal may occur.
My trading plan involves two potential entry strategies:
Enter at the 0.618 Fib retracement with a stop-loss set near the 0.881 level.
Wait for a bounce off the lower channel, followed by a pullback and a breakout above the start of the pullback before entering the position.
While no trader can be right all the time, having a structured plan with predefined take-profit and stop-loss levels is key to effective risk management and long-term survival in the markets.
Why I Favor Technical Over Fundamental Analysis
For those wondering why I rely more on technical analysis—especially Elliott Wave Theory—over fundamental news, here’s my reasoning:
I’ve found that news and earnings-based trades often behave irrationally. A company may report strong earnings and guidance, only to see its stock sell off, fake a rally the next day, and then sell off again. Conversely, a company with poor earnings may drop ahead of the report, only to rally immediately after. These inconsistencies made it difficult to build a reliable strategy based solely on fundamental data.
Over time, I observed that despite news events, the market often completes its technical structure—such as Elliott Wave formations and Fibonacci cycles—before fully reacting to news. In these cases, fundamental developments tend to accelerate or confirm the direction already implied by the technical setup, rather than override it.
Gold is no exception. While it's common to assume that the S&P 500 (ES) and gold move in opposite directions due to risk-on/risk-off dynamics, I’ve noticed that they can trend in the same direction when their respective Elliott Wave structures align. This doesn't eliminate the inverse correlation concept entirely, but it highlights the importance of integrating technical analysis into a fundamentally driven view for more precise entries and exits.
Ultimately, I view fundamentals as the fuel, and technicals as the engine that defines the path.
GOLD H4 Update: Bulls will target 3600/3750 USD Market Update🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update (June 16, 2025)
📊 Price & Technical Outlook
Current Spot Price: around $3,414
Technical Setup
* Gold consolidating above major support at \~\$3,180–3,200
* Testing resistance at \~\$3,380–3,400; breakout could push toward \$3,600
* Recent price action considered a healthy consolidation with upside potential
🏆 Bull Market Overview
* Pullback likely complete; supported by strong geopolitical and macro tailwinds
* Key price levels: \$3,000 / \$3,200 / \$3,400 (resistance near \$3,400)
* Bullish target: \$3,600, with further upside possible if momentum holds
* Short-term dips remain buying opportunities—“buy the dip” remains favored
⭐ Recommended Strategy
BUY/HOLD: Continue to accumulate on dips, using \$3,200–3,300 as entry zones
Target: Maintain bull target at \$3,600, with breakout opportunity above \$3,400
🏦 Macro & Market Drivers
Fed & Central Bank Outlook
* Investors positioning for possible Fed rate cuts later this year, likely totaling around 75 bps by end of 2025
* Ongoing dollar weakness supports gold
Geopolitical Tensions
* Middle East unrest, U.S.–Iran dynamics, and global evacuations are fueling safe-haven demand for gold
* Continued volatility in global hotspots likely to keep gold elevated
Risk Appetite & Market Behavior
* Both stocks and gold are climbing—an unusual “optimism + fear” scenario
* Central banks, especially in China, India, and Turkey, have been strong gold buyers in 2025
* Speculative positions in gold futures remain high
U.S.–China & Trade Tariffs
* Unresolved U.S.–China tariffs and tensions continue to support gold
* Any easing in trade friction could temper gold’s advance
📰 Latest Market Sentiment
* Wall Street remains bullish on gold for the upcoming week, though some caution persists ahead of the upcoming Fed meeting
* Macro environment is seen as supportive for gold and other precious metals
* Gold’s rally is positively influencing the broader precious metals market
🌏 Demand Themes
* **Asian Buyers**: China may relax gold import quotas to manage currency, while India demand remains strong though can be seasonally slower
* **Central Banks**: Over 240 tonnes of gold added in Q1 by central banks, with China and India as top buyers
⚠️ Risks & Watchpoints
* Fed surprises: A more hawkish tone at the next meeting could push gold back toward \$3,200–3,300
* Geopolitical breakthroughs: Any stable resolutions could reduce safe-haven demand
* Large speculative position unwinds could create short-term volatility
🔎 Mid-Term Outlook Summary
| Scenario | Support | Resistance | Catalysts |
| --------- | ------------- | ---------- | ----------------------------------- |
| Base case | \$3,200–3,300 | \$3,400 | Rate cut expectations + geopolitics |
| Bull case | Above \$3,400 | \$3,600+ | Escalating risk, dovish Fed |
| Bear case | Below \$3,200 | — | Hawkish Fed, easing global tensions |
✔️ Final Take
* Technical and fundamental momentum supports a continued bull phase with key target at \$3,600
* Best strategy: accumulate on dips between \$3,200–3,300
* Key factors to watch: Fed’s next move (June 17), Middle East developments, U.S.–China trade actions, central bank buying
XAUUAD UPDATE 16- 6 +2025The chart you provided is a 45-minute time frame analysis for Gold CFDs (US$/OZ). Here's a breakdown of the key elements and what they suggest:
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Current Price
$3,414.93, down -18.42 (-0.54%)
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Analysis Summary
Price Action
The price has recently rejected from a resistance zone (around $3,445–$3,450).
It is currently pulling back, heading downward from this resistance.
Support Zones Highlighted
Multiple horizontal yellow zones mark previous support/resistance levels.
The key immediate support level lies near $3,400–$3,405.
A deeper support area is visible around $3,360–$3,365, and further below near $3,320.
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Forecast Indication (Based on Markings)
A short-term pullback (blue arrow up) may retest the breakdown level (~$3,430).
Then, a potential drop toward the next support at $3,360 is expected (blue arrow down).
A bearish continuation scenario is emphasized with a red downward arrow, suggesting price may head further down to the $3,320 area if $3,360 fails to hold.
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Implications for Traders
Bearish Bias: Suggested by the forecast arrows and recent resistance rejection.
Potential Setup:
Short on pullback near $3,430 (if price fails to reclaim this zone).
Target: $3,360 and possibly $3,320.
Stop-loss: Above $3,450 resistance.
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Would you like a trading plan or signal based on this analysis?
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would want the lower level red box to be tested and rejected in order to give us the move upside into that 3330-35 region where we wanted to monitor the price for the short. We managed to get a pin point move, however, we had to exit the short trades early due to the support level holding us up. We then continued to follow Excalibur and the red box indi’s which were suggesting higher pricing and by the end of the week we had completed all our bullish above target levels, plus Excalibur trade targets and LiTE again performed at 100% accuracy.
A phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade, analysis and post on.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
For this week we can expect some gaps on open which is going to make it difficult due to skewed data. We will however stick with the red box levels and the tools we have to make a plan for the two scenarios we may see potential of.
Scenario one:
Price opens and gaps upside, we’ll be looking for the levels of 3455-60 for a potential reaction in price, if achieved, an opportunity may be available to short there back down into the 3450, 3443 and 3435 levels.
Scenario two:
If we do open and gap downside, we’ll look for the levels of 3430-23 to hold us up, and if achieved, an opportunity to long there back up into the 3450-5 level and in extension of the move 3465 may be available.
It’s a difficult one again as no one knows how the market is going to open and what is going to happen. So we’ll update traders as much as we can during the day and the week with KOG’s bias of the day and red box target levels
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3465 with targets below 3425, 3420, 3410 and 3406
Bullish on break of 3465 with targets above 3477, 3485, 3492, 3495 and 3503
Red Boxes:
Break above 3435 for 3443, 3448, 3465 and 3476 in extension of the move
Break below 3420 for 3410, 3406, 3397, 3385 and 3380 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3500.Colleagues, I believe that, as with the euro, the upward five-wave impulse is not yet over. At the moment, I see the formation of wave “3” of the lower order and wave ‘3’ of the middle order, which means that the upward movement will continue at least to the resistance area of 3500 — this is the maximum of wave “3” of the higher order, which means that a correction is possible at this level.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
