XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart analysis is for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the idea shown:
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Key Points in the Analysis:
1. Current Price:
XAU/USD is around $2,982.92 at the time of the chart.
2. Trend:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook.
Price has been consistently rejected from the yellow supply zone (around 3,020–3,033).
EMA 200 (blue line) is above the current price, confirming downward momentum.
3. Rejection Zone:
Marked in yellow between 3,020 and 3,033. Labeled as “Reject points”.
Price failed to break above this zone multiple times.
4. Breakout Pattern:
Two descending rectangles highlight bearish continuation patterns.
A bearish flag or wedge is visible, followed by a breakout downward.
5. Target Zone:
Highlighted in yellow between 2,900 and 2,921, with target point at 2,920.615.
Price is expected to move down to this level.
6. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is declining and shows bearish divergence, supporting downside move.
Currently around 39.19, which is closer to oversold territory but still has room to drop.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Area: Rejection near 3,020–3,033 zone
Target: 2,920.615 (highlighted support zone)
Stop Loss: Could be placed above 3,033 (supply zone or EMA 200)
Confluence Factors:
EMA 200 rejection
Bearish RSI divergence
Repeated supply rejection
Breakout from bear flag structures
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold
XAUUSD Breakdown Setup – Gold Bears Eye $2,845 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its rising channel structure, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to potential bearish continuation. After a sharp rejection from the $3,167 high, price is currently consolidating just below the psychological $3,000 level, which now acts as resistance.
Key Technical Zones:
Current Price: $2,985
Resistance Zone: $3,000 – $3,005 (key rejection area)
Support Targets:
TP1: $2,923
TP2: $2,844
TP3: $2,832 (swing low)
Bearish Trade Setup:
📉 Entry Zone: If price retests and rejects the $3,000 resistance
📈 Invalidation Level: Break above $3,005
📉 Target Zones:
$2,923 – Previous structure support
$2,844 – $2,832 – Deeper support and channel base
Technical Confluence:
✅ Bearish flag formation following strong impulsive sell-off
✅ Channel break confirms shift in trend
✅ Lower highs and bearish momentum building beneath $3,000
✅ Strong psychological resistance at $3,000
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 8, 2025“Goldie’s mood swings: from drama queen to calculated killer.”
Gold decided to throw a tantrum after NFP and play peek-a-boo with everyone’s SL. But beneath the chaos lies structure—and we speak structure fluently. Let’s map this battlefield with sniper entries and cold logic. No guessing, just high confluence.
📌 Macro Context
🏛️ Geopolitical: Israel-Iran tensions still simmering. Headlines = spikes. Stay nimble.
💰 Fundamentals: Stronger USD post-NFP; Fed tone remains hawkish.
🔍 Technical Environment:
H1/H4 break of bullish structure
D1 printed a brutal engulfing candle
EMA 5/21/50 all pointing down on M30–H1, kissing goodbye to bullish hopes (for now)
“The spike was no accident. Smart money never sleeps.”
📉 Bias: Bearish intraday flow under OB 2980–3000
🔻 SELL SETUPS
🟥 SELL SETUP 1 – OB Rejection Sniper
📍 Entry: 2995–3000
🧠 Why: H1 valid OB + imbalance + bearish CHoCH on M5
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 2915
🛑 SL: 3008
💬 Classic OB rejection. Look for a wick grab then drop on LTF.
🟥 SELL SETUP 2 – Stop Hunt Pop
📍 Entry: 3010–3015
🧠 Why: Liquidity sweep above 3000, into bearish FVG zone
🎯 TP1: 2975
🎯 TP2: 2940
🛑 SL: 3019
💡 Ideal on a fast pump, then M1 bearish structure shift confirmation.
🟥 SELL SETUP 3 – EMA50 Tap & Fade
📍 Entry: 3035–3040
🧠 Why: Confluence of bearish trendline retest + EMA50 (H1)
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 2950
🛑 SL: 3046
🎯 Catch the fakeout bounce. Risk defined. Trend respected.
🟩 BUY SETUPS
🟩 BUY SETUP 1 – Deep Discount Bounce
📍 Entry: 2945–2955
🧠 Why: M30 OB + unmitigated FVG + 0.618 FIB
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 3030
🛑 SL: 2938
💬 Only valid if 2960 gets flushed cleanly with momentum shift.
🟩 BUY SETUP 2 – Retest of Previous Demand
📍 Entry: 2905–2915
🧠 Why: Unmitigated H4 OB zone + previous bounce structure
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 3000
🛑 SL: 2895
📈 Take this if we get heavy stop hunts early and DXY slows.
🟩 BUY SETUP 3 – Extreme Demand Sweep
📍 Entry: 2885–2895
🧠 Why: HTF demand zone + psychological 2900 + imbalance
🎯 TP1: 2950
🎯 TP2: 2980
🛑 SL: 2878
🧠 Perfect for the brave — sniper only on strong bounce confirmation (M5).
⚔️ Key Levels Recap:
🔸 3000–2980: Valid OB resistance zone
🔸 2960–2950: Discount reaction base
🔸 2915 / 2890: Deeper liquidity zones
🔸 3045: SL invalidation on bearish bias
🔸 2880: Final demand for aggressive longs
🧠 Strategy Notes:
Watch for manipulation moves into OB or imbalance before taking entries.
Wait for CHoCH or PA confirmation on M1–M5 before executing.
Don’t chase — sniper setups only.
💬 "Goldie might be emotional, but our setups aren’t."
🗣️ Let’s grow together!
🔥 If this sniper plan gave you clarity, drop a like & follow on TradingView 💬
Let’s grow a strong trading community built on structure, not signals.
Stay sharp & stay kind, legends! 💛
📌 No guessing. No chasing. Just smart money and structure.
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 2,984.73 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets with our Goldturn levels playing out and respecting in true level to level fashion.
After completing the Bullish target from the retracement range yesterday; we stated that we were now playing in a bigger range and if 2975 fails to lock and open the swing range, the retracement range should give bounces into our Goldturns above. This played out perfectly, as 2999 and 3015 was tested from the bounce. We will now like to see ema5 lock above 3015 for a stronger confirmation for a continuation into 3034 and potentially into 3055 to test the full range again.
However, if we see the break below 2975 retracement level; it will open the swing range, which always gives us a bigger swing action then our usual weighted level bounces. This is the main difference between the weighted level bounces and our swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update 4-8 : Counter Trend Bottom/RallyThis video was created to help you better understand why it is important to WAIT for the SPY Cycle Patterns to setup efficiently.
It is critically important that all of you learn the three basic rules of trading.
1. Never try to force a position/trade. If your research tells you some type of price event/trend is likely - don't jump into the trade too early. Wait for confirmation and wait for price to confirm your analysis is correct.
2. Start with a small position. Never GO BIG on your initial trade. If you are wrong, you can manage the trade with a small win/loss. If price moves in the direction you expect, you can add more once you get confirmation the trend will continue (potentially).
3. BOOK PROFITS early and keep BOOKING PROFITS as the trend continues higher. You can always get back into the trade with CALL/PUT options - but if you don't learn to BOOK PROFITS EARLY (20-30% profits in the trade), then you'll very likely FAIL to build your account efficiently.
(Trust me, #3 is VERY IMPORTANT)
Beyond these three simple concepts, one of the most important aspects of trading with my SPY cycle patterns is to learn to WAIT for the pattern to setup efficiently.
Today is a great example.
The BOTTOM/Rally Start pattern was in Counter-trend mode. Thus, I expected it to be INVERTED - turning it into a TOP/Selloff Start pattern.
In order for that pattern to play out, we needed to see the markets open higher (and potential trend higher for a bit of time), then roll over into a top pattern. After that tops pattern setup, the markets should continue to move into a moderate selloff trend (downward).
Think about it. Were you smart trying to SELL INTO the rally this morning or were you smart to wait for the ROLLOVER and sell into the breakdown trend?
IMO, smart traders waited for the top to setup/confirm and started selling as we got into the breakdown trend phase.
Again, I'm trying to help you learn to become a better trader.
I hope this video helps.
Get some.
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GOLD - Price can continue to decline to $2920 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price moved inside a rising channel, making higher highs and holding above support levels.
Later, Gold broke resistance and continued to rise, reaching the upper boundary of the price channel.
After touching $3076 zone, price turned around and exited the channel with a strong bearish impulse.
Recently, it made a breakout below $3055 level and bounced from the area without a strong upward reaction.
Now Gold trades below resistance zone and holds under broken channel, forming local bearish structure.
In my opinion, Gold can continue to decline and reach $2920 points during the next wave down.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4/8 : Bottom/Rally Start - CounterFirst off, today's pattern is in a COUNTER TREND mode. Think of that as the pattern being INVERTED to the current price trend.
Next, the Bottom/Rally Start pattern is usually a base/bottom type of pattern that prompts a fairly strong bullish/rally phase in price.
This time, because it is inverted (in Counter-trend mode) and is forming within the broad consolidation phase of the current EPP pattern, I believe this Bottom/Rally Start pattern will really be a Top/Selloff start type of pattern.
Where price will find resistance in early trading, form a rollover top, and start to move back downward towards the 500-505 level on the SPY.
I don't believe this downward price move will attempt to break below 480-485 today. I believe today's move will be a moderate pullback in the trend.
Although any BIG news could disrupt the current support near $480, so be aware that any big news event could crush the markets (again) and send the SPY trying to retest the $480 support level.
Gold and Silver appear to be basing - perfect. I'm watching for Metals to really start to reflect the FEAR in the markets and rally above $3200 (Gold)/$39 (Silver).
BTCUSD appears trapped in the breakdown stage of the current EPP Consolidation phase and the new CRADLE pattern. No matter how I try to identify if I'm wrong with BTCUSD, I keep seeing the breakdown as the more dominant trend.
Get some.
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Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Wave 1 'Impulse Move' has moved very nicely to the downside & more is yet to come. So far the Wave 1 sell off has consisted of a 2,100 PIP move to the downside.
I'm now waiting on a Wave 2 correction of some sort, weather that's a 'Simple 3 Sub-Wave' or 'Complex 5 Sub-Wave' correction. During this correction I can enter more sell positions on behalf of my Gold Fund investors.
Gold Jumps on Fresh Trade War WorriesGold rose above $2,995/oz on Tuesday, rebounding from a 4-week low as trade war fears fueled haven demand. Trump threatened a 50% duty on China starting Wednesday unless it drops its 34% tariffs, while the EU proposed 25% counter-tariffs on U.S. goods. Markets await Fed minutes (Wed), CPI (Thu), and PPI (Fri) for policy clues. Despite recent losses, gold is still up over 14% YTD.
Key resistance is at $3,050, followed by $3,085 and $3,105. Support stands at $2,956, then $2,930 and $2830.
Gold's HUGE drop - Where we going next?📉 Gold Market Update: Key Levels & Strategy Ahead
Gold has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 1,000 pips in just the past three trading days. Currently, we’re seeing consolidation just above the $3,000 mark, with the price struggling to hold this psychological level.
While the broader trend appears bullish, we are now in a range-bound phase, which often leads to false breakouts and stop hunts. Given the current conditions:
🔸 Short Bias: The overall setup favors short positions, but patience is key. Look for higher price levels to enter shorts with better risk-to-reward ratios.
🔸 Scalp Opportunities: If you’re considering a long position, it should be strictly short-term (scalping) and only from well-defined support levels.
🔸 Capital Protection: This is not the time to over-leverage or chase moves. Gold is known for volatility in tight ranges—stay protected and use tight risk management.
⚠️ Bottom line: Gold is in a bearish consolidation zone. The safest play is to wait for clearer setups, preferably at resistance for shorts or strong support for scalps. Avoid getting chopped up in the range.
If you found this breakdown helpful, don’t forget to give it a boost! 🚀
GOLD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,008.04
Target Level: 3,136.65
Stop Loss: 2,921.80
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU/USD) Bearish analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to be a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown
Key Elements:
1. Price Channel Break & CHoCH:
The price was in a rising channel.
A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred after the price broke below the structure, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
There's a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) highlighted in the yellow box around the 3,047–3,075 level.
The expectation is that price may retrace into this FVG before continuing downward.
Mr SMC Trading point
3. Target Zone:
A major demand zone or target point is marked around 2,940, indicating a potential bearish move of around -148 points (~4.8%) from the FVG.
4. EMA & RSI:
200 EMA is around 3,047, acting as dynamic resistance now.
RSI is below 40 and trending down, showing bearish momentum with slight bullish divergence, hinting at a short retracement before another drop.
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Summary of the Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Trade Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone (~3,047–3,075).
Look for bearish confirmation (like bearish engulfing or rejections).
Enter short with a target at 2,940, stop above FVG.
Let me know if you’d like help formulating a trade setup or risk management plan based on this.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,132.31
Target Level: 3,059.08
Stop Loss: 3,180.97
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower after experiencing extreme volatility the previous day. Following a gap-down open, the market attempted a bottoming process. However, the spread of fake news related to tariffs triggered a 10% intraday swing, making the Nasdaq trade more like an individual stock than a major index. Massive trading volume occurred due to margin calls from CFDs and hedge funds, and the market showed some signs of recognition around a potential short-term bottom.
On the weekly chart, the index rebounded but was resisted at the 3-week moving average. On the daily chart, a doji bullish candlestick with strong volume formed, suggesting the market may attempt another rebound. However, since volatility from the bottom remains significant, if you’re planning to enter long positions, it's best to buy as close to the bottom as possible. If the market continues to form a base, a rebound toward the 5-day or 10-day moving average on the daily chart is possible.
On the 240-minute chart, the market is still in a death cross and remains oversold. Still, it's showing signs of forming a base around the 16,500 level, so it's better to avoid chasing short positions during any pullbacks that could form a double bottom. In this oversold environment, a buy-on-dip approach near the lows is favorable for a technical rebound. But since volatility remains high, make sure to set clear stop-loss levels for both long and short trades.
Crude Oil
Crude oil experienced a gap-down on the daily chart and closed lower after hitting resistance at the 3-day moving average. On both the daily and weekly charts, the $57–$59 zone appears to be a short-term support level. If the price dips into this zone, it may offer a buying opportunity. Yesterday’s candle was resisted at the 3-day line, so if a bottoming pattern forms today, a rebound toward the 5-day moving average could be anticipated. However, since the MACD has just issued a sell signal near the zero line, it's better to treat any long positions as short-term trades.
On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal is still valid, and the market remains in oversold territory. Watching for a potential double bottom formation before entering long positions is recommended. That said, if market sentiment continues to accept economic recession as a given, oil prices could keep falling. There's also the risk of a one-way downward move, so if you're going long, ensure tight stop-loss levels are in place.
Gold
Gold saw sharp volatility and closed lower after being rejected at the 5-day moving average. Due to the weaker dollar from U.S. tariff announcements, the attractiveness of gold has diminished in the short term. On the weekly chart, gold is still forming a range-bound movement near the 10-week moving average, with support appearing near the $2,975 level. On the daily chart, the lower Bollinger Band and the 60-day moving average are rising and beginning to converge.
These overlapping indicators could form a strong support zone, so if the price drops into this area, it may present a good opportunity to buy the dip. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal lines have both dropped below the zero line, and the RSI has entered oversold territory.
While this could lead to further accelerated selling, it is also a zone where a rebound from oversold conditions could easily occur. It’s best to avoid chasing the downside and instead focus on buying during pullbacks near strong support zones.
Market volatility is increasing, but this is also a zone where technical rebounds are likely due to excessive declines. While confirmation of a bottoming pattern is needed, in this kind of market, it's safer to focus on one direction rather than trying to trade both ways.
Long positions currently offer a better risk-reward ratio, so it’s advisable to enter at the lower end of the range. Reduce leverage as much as possible and always set stop-loss levels to ensure safe trading in these turbulent conditions.
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For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
GOLD H2 Outlook: Correction in progress 2900 USD in sight🏆 Gold Market Update (April 8th, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️5 wave impulse completed
▪️Correction as expected previously
▪️currently trading at 3 000 usd
▪️Profit taking in progress now
▪️Price Target BEARS 2850/2900 USD
▪️Strategy: SHORT SELL rips/rallies
▪️target is 2900 USD
📢 Gold Market Update – April 2025
📈 Gold hits all-time high above $3,100/oz
🚀 Surge driven by Trump’s new global tariffs and rising trade war fears
🌍 Investors seek safety amid geopolitical uncertainty
📉 Pullback follows rally
💸 Sharp drop due to profit-taking and risk sentiment rebound
🔁 Analysts remain bullish as Fed rate cuts and tensions linger
🏦 Central banks keep buying
🛡️ China & others increasing gold reserves to hedge inflation & currency risks
Where will gold go after the sharp drop?The gold daily line decline structure continues to fluctuate downward, the moving average opens downward, and the RSI indicator runs below the central axis. The rise is not continuous, and the tariff policy still has an impact on the market. Yesterday, the market reported a 90-day tariff suspension. It can be seen that US stocks, crude oil, gold and silver are all rising rapidly, and then it is confirmed to be false news, and then they fall back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to sell.
At present, the market is in a two-way power game between the selling of risky assets and the rising demand for risk aversion. Although gold is a safe-haven asset, it is also facing the pressure of liquidity withdrawal. In the context of the unclear Fed policy and the continued escalation of global trade concerns, the gold price may continue to maintain a volatile pattern, and the main idea is to sell at a high level!
However, the current fluctuation is too fast and the amplitude is too large, so short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, and the entry point is secondary, which means that gold will continue to fall sharply. Gold hit 2956 and then bottomed out and rebounded, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuation is relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is in a large range of fluctuations, but overall, shorts are still dominant.
Yesterday's Asian session had a new low, and NY time had another new low. In such a market environment, new lows continue to appear, which is a short market. When the 3000 point fell below, many investors' faith collapsed, and they firmly believed that they could hold the 3000 mark and break it at this moment, which means that the current downward trend has not ended yet, and they continue to sell with the trend.
The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross downward, and the downward momentum has not weakened; the rebound continues to sell. Although gold rushed up after filling the gap in 1 hour, it fell down quickly. Overall, it is still weak, and the short-term resistance is around 3030!
Today's rebound is under pressure near 3030, but you can still continue to sell. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it eventually rises and is blocked and then falls. Gold is still the home of short sellers, but now it is more volatile. Be patient and wait for a rebound. You can sell near the resistance level. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound and sell near the resistance level.
Key points:
First support: 2978, second support: 2963, third support: 2955
First resistance: 3000, second resistance: 3013, third resistance: 3030
Operation ideas
Buy: 2975-2978, SL: 2966, TP: 3000-3010
Sell: 3030-3033, SL: 3042, TP: 3010-3000;
Fundamental support remains stable, GOLD is losing some elementsIn the Asian trading session on Tuesday (April 8), spot OANDA:XAUUSD recovered in the short term after a sharp decline in the previous trading day. Gold prices just touched $3,000/ounce, having increased by nearly $20 during the day. Concerns about the escalation of the trade war have increased the risk-off sentiment in the market.
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that he will not suspend the policy of "reciprocal tariffs", although many trading partners want to avoid them
According to a statement posted on the website of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce on Tuesday, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce made a statement on the US threat to increase tariffs on China. The statement pointed out that China noted that on April 7 Eastern time, the US threatened to impose an additional 50% tariff on China, and China firmly opposes this. If the US escalates the tariff measures, China will resolutely take countermeasures to protect its own rights and interests.
The US threat to increase tariffs on China is a mistake that has been compounded, once again exposing the US's blackmailing nature. China will never accept this. If the US insists on pursuing its own way, China will fight to the end. Such statements usually boost the market's risk-off sentiment, contributing to a short-term recovery in gold prices. Gold is a safe investment during times of political and financial uncertainty.
Last Thursday, gold hit an all-time high of $3,167.57/oz, driven largely by geopolitical uncertainty and strong central bank buying. And the gold market remains exposed to significant volatility in the short term, with a number of potential fundamental surprises, most of which are likely to support price gains.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is struggling to maintain its price action within the main price channel, however, the recovery momentum is also limited by the $3,000 price level which is currently acting as the nearest resistance.
For now, gold is losing important support at the EMA21 and now the EMA21 has become a resistance level. For gold to have the conditions for a bullish possibility, gold needs to bring the price action back above the $3,000 level, then the target is $3,019 and maintain above this level.
The relative strength index RSI has some minor reaction at 50, which is considered a momentum support level on the RSI tool. But the signal is not significant.
Overall, the expectation for gold is to resume the uptrend but at the time of writing, the conditions are not yet sufficient. Meanwhile, a drop below $2,956 would bring the risk of further declines with the next target around $2,927 in the short term.
In the day, the notable technical positions will be listed as follows.
Support: $2,956 – $2,954 – $2,927
Resistance: $3,019
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3064 - 3062⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3068
→Take Profit 1 3056
↨
→Take Profit 2 3050
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2932 - 2934⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2928
→Take Profit 1 2930
↨
→Take Profit 2 2936
Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level.
Technical Outlook:
Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity.
1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence.
Targets:
– TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level
– TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support
$3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation.
Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025):
Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact
Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:
– Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization
– Real yields remain negative across key regions
– Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure
Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility
– Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing
– Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)
– Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises
Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential
– BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution
– Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving
– Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold
Conclusion:
Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback.
$3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside.
Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg.
Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200:
Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):