GOLD - Price can little correct and then continue grow in wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price bounced from $2720 resistance level and tried to grow, but failed and started to decline inside wedge.
In wedge, price broke $2720 level and dropped to support line of wedge, breaking $2595 level as well.
After this, price made upward impulse to $2720 level, breaking $2595 support level again and then made correction.
Gold rose to resistance level again and then corrected to support level, where some time traded near.
Recently, price started to grow from support line of wedge and I think it can make correction movement.
Then Gold can turn around and continue to move up to $2690 resistance line of wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Gold
XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after revisiting the supply zone of $2,633 to $2,652, the price faced selling pressure and corrected over 140 pips to $2,624. Currently, gold is trading around $2,626. If the price manages to hold below the $2,633 level, we can anticipate further declines. This analysis will be updated.z
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an UP trend channel and is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an Ascending channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance area, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
XAUUSD - Gold reached its previous day's target!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term bullish channel. The correction of the price of gold towards the demand zones will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward.
In the early days of 2025, gold prices surged by over $40, regaining some of the losses from December and once again capturing investors’ attention. Although December’s decline in gold prices was not significant, it was disappointing for many investors—especially considering the positive news at the start of December 2024 that the Chinese central bank had resumed its gold purchases after a months-long pause.
Several key factors are currently shaping the outlook for the gold market. First, the release of China’s economic data on January 7 is expected to play a crucial role in influencing the market. Second, the weak start to 2025 for Chinese equities and domestic investors’ disappointment with the lack of tangible economic stimuli, particularly in the consumer sector, have acted as supportive factors for gold.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s interest rates and the strength of the US dollar remain important elements to watch. While US bond yields dipped slightly today, the dollar remains strong. For gold to replicate its impressive 2024 performance, a reversal in the dollar’s upward trajectory will be essential.
Gold had a very strong performance in 2024, but it now appears to be entering a phase of range-bound movement for a period. Historically, gold has exhibited back-and-forth fluctuations, and with US interest rates continuing to rise, this trend could work against it. Analysts estimate that the $2,500 level could serve as a price floor in the first quarter of 2025. Any price dips are likely to attract buying pressure, though a significant upward breakout is not expected. A key factor that could support gold would be a decline in the 10-year US Treasury yield.
For instance, if the 10-year yield drops below 4%, it could trigger a significant rise in gold prices. However, there is little interest in selling gold under current conditions.It is predicted that gold’s behavior in 2025 will resemble its performance in 2021, where buyers were present but no substantial upward movement occurred.
Should gold break above the $2,800 level, this could trigger major changes and push prices toward the $3,000 mark. It would not be surprising if this happens at some point during 2025. However, the first few months of the year are expected to favor range-bound price movements.
GOLD → Breaking the resistance level. Growing interestFX:XAUUSD enjoys interest despite the growing dollar. Geopolitical and economic crisis is the reason for seeking safe harbor. The price is breaking resistance and trying to renew local highs
On the first trading day of the new 2025, gold rose along with DXY amid escalating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and eastern Europe and rising tensions around the upcoming policies of Trump and the Fed.
Traders are awaiting US manufacturing PMI data from ISM and the Fed President's speech due later on Friday for more trade stimulus for the gold price.
Support levels: 2649, 2639
Resistance levels: 2675, 2690
A false breakdown of key support areas is possible. If after the false breakdown the bulls hold the defense above 2639 - 2649, gold may strengthen to 2675 - 2690 in the short term.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on GOLD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 2,576.872.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD soars on positive conditions, despite USD strengthOANDA:XAUUSD continued to increase after a strong increase in yesterday's trading day. Gold price is currently at about 2,663 USD/ounce. Despite the strength of the US Dollar, spot gold still rose to its highest level in more than two weeks, due to safe-haven buying and falling US bond interest rates. The market is rushing to open positions before the Trump administration's tariff and trade policies are introduced.
US media exclusively reported: Biden discussed a plan to attack Iran's nuclear facility before Trump took office
US President Joe Biden has discussed plans to attack Iran's nuclear facilities before Trump's inauguration on January 20 if Tehran accelerates its development of nuclear weapons, US website Axios reported.
Reuters reported that Russia carried out drone attacks in Kiev early Wednesday morning, causing damage to two areas, while Israel attacked a community near Gaza City. The market at the beginning of the year will pay close attention to the development of geopolitical risks. Any sign of tension in the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine could send the price of gold, the traditional safe haven, higher.
Gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical instability and discovery risk, but because it doesn't earn interest, it does better in a low interest rate environment.
The latest report from Britain's Reuters today (Friday) said that Gaza authorities said an Israeli air strike on Thursday killed at least 68 Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, including a tent camp and people standing head of the Hamas-controlled police force in the Gaza Strip. His deputy and nine evacuees died there.
The attack took place in the Al-Mawasi area, which was previously designated a humanitarian zone for civilians during the 14-month war between Israel and Hamas, which rules Gaza.
According to the Hamas-controlled Interior Ministry, Gaza police chief Mahmoud Salah and his assistant Hussam Shahwan were killed in the attack while they were checking in refugees.
The Gaza Interior Ministry added in a statement: "By committing the crime of assassinating the Gaza Strip police chief, the occupiers are determined to spread chaos in (the enclave) and deepen the suffering of people."
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
After struggling for quite a while in the area of the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level yesterday, since gold broke this important confluence around 2,634 USD, it has had bullish conditions in the short term.
The area of POC Volume Profile with EMA21 and Fibonacci 0.618% now becomes a short-term support area.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index also rose above the 50 level, which should be considered a positive signal as the current 50 level also becomes support for the RSI in the short term. Temporarily, the gold price chart is limiting its upward momentum by the 0.50% Fibonacci level and if gold continues to break this level it will tend to increase further with the next target being $2,693 which is the position of the upper edge of the triangle. purple price tag.
Thus, the intraday trend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following levels.
Support: 2,634 – 2,640USD
Resistance: 2,664 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2694 - 2692⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2698
→Take Profit 1 2687
↨
→Take Profit 2 2682
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2629 - 2631⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2525
→Take Profit 1 2636
↨
→Take Profit 2 2641
2025-01-02 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold - Bullish. Clear breakout on the 4h tf and market looks like it wants to retest 2700. The triangle is the dominant pattern for now and there is no more resistance until 2700 for the bulls. Market kept above the 1h 20ema since the breakout and any long close to it is reasonable until it’s clearly broken. Bears need something below 2650 again and make the market go sideways for longer to turn it neutral again.
comment: Bullish breakout and very strong close at the high. Clear buy signal and market turned bullish again. 2700 is the next big target for the bulls and best case for them would be to keep the 1h 20ema support. Bears need a strong move down to get below 2650 again and then sideways for many bars to turn it neutral again.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 2560 - 2760
bull case: Bulls want 2700 next but I doubt they will get much higher than that. Longing any pullback for target 2700-2720 is reasonable for now. The last time bulls printed two consecutive strong bull bars on the daily chart was in mid December when we moved 120 points up. A measured move from the past 2 days brings us to 2730ish and close enough to the lower highs around 2740/2760.
Invalidation is below 2640.
bear case: Bears were nowhere to be found today. They could not print 1 decent 1h bar and that is why I think today’s price action is so strong. Every small dip was bought and volume is also picking up again. Bears would need something below 2640 again but for now the best they can hope for is to stay below 2700 and go sideways.
Invalidation is above 2710.
short term: Bullish. Want to see 2700 and markets reaction there. Depending on the next pull-back, this could continue to 2740+ and break above the bear trend line but for now I look for longs for target 2700.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-02: If we break strongly above 2700, we will likely retest 2740-2760 and depending on that move, we will either stay inside the big range 2560 - 2760 or retest 2800 or even higher.
current swing trade : None
trade of the day: Buying near the 1h 20ema.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe Date: January 2, 2025Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe
Date: January 2, 2025
Technical Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown significant bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking above its previous resistance zone of 2645. This breakout indicates potential for further upside movement, with key targets outlined in the upcoming sessions.
Potential Scenarios:
Upside Target
The price is likely to aim for the range between 2685 and 2690 over the next 24–48 hours. This zone represents a significant resistance level, making it a critical area for observation.
Retest of Support Zone
Prior to a continuation of its bullish trend, the price may retest the 2655–2645 support zone. Such a retest could offer a low-risk entry for buyers, provided the zone holds strong and shows a rejection to the downside.
Key Strategy for Traders:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Before taking a position, switch to a lower timeframe (e.g., 15 minutes or 30 minutes) to assess the structure and ensure a clean entry. Look for signs of a change of character, such as strong bullish candles or a rejection wick, to confirm the upward move.
Low Drawdown Entry Points:
Identify entry points where potential drawdown is minimal. This approach reduces risk while maximizing reward potential. Waiting for the price to consolidate or retest support before entering can improve the likelihood of a successful trade.
Risk Management and Discipline:
Use proper risk-to-reward ratios to manage capital effectively.
Avoid impulsive trades and focus on clear signals. Making no money is better than losing money.
Final Thoughts:
The overall trend suggests high probabilities for an upward continuation. However, patience and confirmation are key. Conduct thorough analysis before taking any long position and always prioritize protecting your capital.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Use your own expertise and strategy to make trading decisions.
Gold BULLISH SCENARIO .read description .gold View for BULLISH SCENARIO . might be the next ATH ?
going to sweep the marked tops by closing above 2627.3
then we expecting a retrace around 2664 .
based on what we get on the way we will update the view .
but overall closing above 2715 for few days should take us to ATH as shown in prev idea .
(( this is only for BULLISH SCENARIO )) - for bearish one if we closed below the last low 2540 we going down deep 2471 .
Analysis of the latest trend of gold market:Analysis of the latest trend of gold market:
Analysis of gold news: At the end of the U.S. market on Tuesday (December 31), spot gold fluctuated and rose, currently trading around $2,624.57/oz. The price of gold fell 0.6% in quiet trading on Monday. It fell below the 2,600 mark to US$2,595.98 per ounce during the session, and closed at US$2,605.62 per ounce, below the key position near the 100-day moving average of 2,619. The U.S. dollar index once hit a new weekly high, keeping gold prices under pressure. Press. However, most traders awaited new catalysts, including next week's U.S. economic data, which could influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook in 2025, as well as incoming President Trump's policies.
Market participants will focus on upcoming U.S. economic data to assess whether the economy is slowing, allowing the Fed to continue to cut interest rates. Earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said U.S. central bankers "will remain cautious about further cutting interest rates." This statement came after the expected 0.25 percentage point rate cut in December. Despite quiet trading this week, traders will be watching next week's U.S. job openings data, the ADP employment report, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, and the U.S. employment report, which could provide important clues about the health of the world's largest economy. Looking ahead, the factors supporting gold prices in 2024 remain - central banks continue to buy gold to diversify their reserves, and continued interest rate cuts in the United States support investment demand. In 2024, gold prices have risen by about 27% and hit an all-time high of $2,790.15 on October 31. As Trump prepares to return to the White House in January 2025, the market is preparing for major changes in U.S. policy in 2025, including potential tariff adjustments, deregulation and tax changes. Gold is seen as a safe-haven asset against economic and geopolitical turmoil.
Gold technical analysis: Gold still repeatedly rose and fell as expected. The energy of yesterday's rebound was somewhat strong. So far, it has not refreshed yesterday's low, which means that this situation of gold will continue, but there will not be a surge in the market. The market is closed today, and the trading volume yesterday was relatively sluggish, so shock is still the main trend at the moment! However, the market does not last, and it does not strongly break through the 2628 rebound position on Monday and fall back under pressure, so gold is still in a weak market, and gold is still under the control of short sellers. Then gold is still in a weak market, and gold is still under the control of the bears. The market is changing rapidly.
Since the gold bulls can't go up, it means that the gold bulls are still powerless, and the gold rebound still continues to give opportunities to the bears. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold on Thursday is recommended to rebound shorting as the main, and callback longing as the auxiliary.
Gold operation strategy:
1. When gold rebounds, sell short at the 2632-3635 line, cover short positions near the rebound at 2640, stop loss at 2647, target the 2610-2605 line, and look at the 2598-2600 line if the position breaks;
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day the charts with our chart idea playing out in usual fashion.
After completing our bearish target on our last update, we stated that price was heading towards 2629 to complete the Bullish target that was left short by a few pips previously.
- 2629 bullish target was hit perfectly followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 2655. This target is now also complete, which gave plenty of time from confirmation to getting hit .
We will now wait for a cross and lock above 2655 for further continuation or failure to lock above will see price reject and find support at the lower Goldlturns for a reaction.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2629 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2655 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
BEARISH TARGETS
2600 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2561
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2519 - 2486
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Its NYE today and the markets closed tomorrow. Looking forward to another smashing year. Wishing you all a blessed year ahead!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Follow up on the current strategy I employed for XAUUSDAs mentioned in previous post, I tried to keep it simple and further trust and learn the system I currently uses. From my perspective, one should trust their system, the most lethal of technical aspect is not fully understanding the potential of your system.
Trade results from my recent buy bias for XAUUSD.
Volume, Trend, Impact - determine these areas and you will surely get as much higher percentage of winning.
Gold Trend Analysis and Free SignalsDon't chase the rebound high easily now. Continue to short the Asian session rebound. The 4-hour moving average of gold is still in a downward dead cross. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to around 2645. As long as gold does not break through the upper resistance of the shock, it will continue to be short. Gold has been under pressure near 2640 and has fallen back many times. If there is no strong breakthrough above 2640, gold may still be blocked and fall back.
First support: 2620, second support: 2613, third support: 2605
First resistance: 2638, second resistance: 2645, third resistance: 2653
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2619-2617
SELL: 2638-2640
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-2-25 : Inside Pause PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will stall a bit after the overnight reversion move.
If you were following my research, you already knew I was expecting the markets to rally a bit over the past 3-5 trading days. But that didn't happen as the low liquidity end of year trading prompted another downside price event.
In my opinion, this was all due to a lack of market liquidity. When there is very low liquidity, the MMs can move price more easily as the number of buyers and sellers drops (creating a wider price spread). It is also the type of market environment where FLASH CRASH types of events can take place.
Now that we are into early 2025, liquidity will deepen (more active traders) and this will result in a possible reversion event (upward) in price leading to the Inauguration event (IMO).
Just like I've been suggesting over the past 2-3+ weeks.
Gold and Silver are recovering nicely. I believe Gold and Silver will move back towards their recent highs over the next 30+ days.
Bitcoin is still struggling just below $100k, but I believe the ultimate move for Bitcoin will be a retracement to the downside before finding support near $72k and then starting a bigger rally above $120k.
In 2025, I've made a commitment to do more to help more traders. I'm working on new TIMING tools to assist in developing better analysis for everyone. If this research/work plays out well, I'll try to make these new tools available to everyone.
Remember, trading is all about managing capital, expectations, and risks. If you are still struggling with your trading - follow my research and learn how to time/execute better trades.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
XAUUSD Forecast: The Bulls Are Gaining Momentum!
We're seeing some impressive price action on XAUUSD! 📈 The market is currently respecting a strong 4H trendline, showcasing the power of the ongoing bullish momentum. The technicals are aligning, and the market seems poised to continue its upward push.
Keep an eye on this setup—it’s looking like an excellent opportunity for those riding the trend! Don't miss the chance to capitalize on the next move. 💰
GOLD WANNA FALLING ONCE AGAINAs i published an idea that gold will fall, and gold fall my entry was at 2637, stop loss was 2651 and target was 2585, but that setup gave us 450 pips.
Now I'm back with another idea, my idea is gold will fall when it touches the price 2632.80
Lets see what will happen. Gold moving crazy since last week its moving up and down.
ENTRY POINT : 2632.80 at the area of OB H1.
STOP LOSS : 2641.40 and Target is 2611.50
PLEASE USE STOP LOSS AND TP ON YOUR EVERY TRADE. DONT FORGET TO SHARE YOUR IDEAS ON THIS POST, PLEASE SHARE YOUR IDEAS.
STAY TUNE FOR EVERY UPDATE.
GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY.
XAUUSD:2/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2640, support below 2600-2580
Operational suggestions: The current price of gold on Thursday is around 2635. On Tuesday, the bulls bottomed out and rebounded strongly in the volatile trading. The US market stepped back and tested twice, and stabilized at the 2605 mark and continued to rebound. The US market accelerated to break through the 2620 mark and closed strongly. The daily chart rose strongly and engulfed. The overall gold price stabilized at the 2595 mark in the short term, continuing to fluctuate widely. In the short term, it still failed to break the recent oscillation pattern.
From the 4-hour analysis, we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 2608-10 below, and pay attention to the important suppression of 2640 above. The operation is mainly to step back and do more, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2618near
SELL:2640near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.