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2025 Gold Rush📈 Gold Investment Guide: Stocks, ETFs, Futures 🚀 (May 19-25, 2025) Gold’s shining bright at ~$3,203/oz! 📊 With prices eyeing $3,200-$3,300 next week, here’s how to invest via stocks, ETFs, & futures. Bullish vibes from central bank buying & geopolitics, but watch for pullbacks to $3,120-$3,167. 🧵👇 #Gold #Investing Best Strategy: Diversify! • 🪙 Miners (50%): Barrick Gold (GOLD HKEX:GDU1! CMCMARKETS:GOLDM2025 ), Agnico Eagle (AEM), Harmony Gold (HMY) for big gains. • 💰 Royalty (30%): Franco-Nevada (FNV) for stability. • 📈 ETFs (20%): SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) for simplicity. Pros: ✅ Miners crush it in bull markets (AEM: 401% Q1 earnings! 🔥) ✅ Hedge vs. inflation & chaos ✅ Easy to trade vs. physical gold ✅ Dividends from AEM (1.5%) & FNV (1.2%) Cons: ❌ Stocks swing 5-10% daily ❌ GLD: No dividends ❌ Miners face cost risks ❌ Dollar strength could cap gains Trade Setups (3:1 reward:risk): • GOLD: Buy @ $20 | Stop: $18.80 (6%) | Profit: $23.60 (18%) • AEM: Buy @ $106.45 | Stop: $100.06 (6%) | Profit: $125.61 (18%) • HMY: Buy @ $10 | Stop: $9.22 (7.8%) | Profit: $12.34 (23.4%) • FNV: Buy @ $130 | Stop: $122.20 (6%) | Profit: $153.40 (18%) • GLD: Buy @ $250 | Stop: $235 (6%) | Profit: $295 (18%) Futures (COMEX GC, ~$3,205/oz): • Buy @ $3,205 | Stop: $3,012.70 (6%) | Profit: $3,781.90 (18%) | ⚠️ High risk! Tips: 📲 Trade via brokerage; set stops/profits. 👀 Watch AEM’s Q2 earnings (7/30) & Fed moves. 📉 Resistance at $3,238-$3,501. Verify prices & consult advisors. Let’s ride this gold wave! 🌟 #GoldRush #Finance
COMEX_MINI:MGCM2025Long
by GambleEthos
1
XAUUSD - Critical Reaction Zone to Determine Next Major MoveGold is currently trading at $3,202.25, showing recovery momentum after forming a recent bottom near $3,120. The price action suggests a continued upward movement toward the highlighted "important reaction area" around $3,240-3,260, which previously served as both support and resistance in mid-May. There is a high probability that price will reach this critical zone given the current bullish momentum and the established pattern of higher lows. Once gold reaches this reaction area, traders should exercise patience and closely observe how price behaves – a decisive break above could trigger an extended rally toward $3,360 as indicated by the upper green arrow, while rejection might initiate a significant correction toward $3,140 as marked by the red arrow. The market's response at this important reaction area will likely determine gold's directional bias for the next trading period, making it essential to watch for specific candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or momentum shifts before establishing new positions. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by financialflagship
XAUUSD H4 OUTLOOK – “Bounce, Trap or Breakdown?🧠 Market Context: Gold is consolidating between a major bullish defense zone (3090–3110) and multiple bearish supply layers above. We remain below the last major lower high and within a bearish H4 flow, though macro HTF structure is still bullish. If 3090 fails, the next deeper demand blocks will be critical. 🔁 STRUCTURAL FLOW: Bias: Bearish ST | Bullish HTF Trend: Lower highs | Weak demand bounces Flow: Retesting internal supply | Reaction from demand confirmed 📍 SNIPER ZONES Type Price Range Description 🔴 Extended Premium Supply 3365–3380 HTF OB + imbalance + wick zone 🔴 Premium Reversal Block 3312–3325 Upper imbalance + internal LH supply 🔴 Mid-Term Supply 3275–3285 May 13 rejection zone 🔴 Internal Trap Supply 3240–3255 Retest of old OB + inefficiency 🟢 Reactive Demand Zone 3160–3172 Internal CHoCH + RSI confluence + bounce base 🟢 HTF Buy Block 3090–3110 Final CHoCH origin + strong rejection 🟢 Deep Discount Demand 3050–3072 Unmitigated WICK OB below liquidity 🟢 FVG-Demand Layer 2980–3000 Weekly imbalance + final LTF liquidity pocket 🟢 Weekly Strong Low Zone 2890–2925 Last major HL before macro expansion ⚠️ Notes: Above 3325, price would need a strong break in structure to flip bias short-term. Below 3090, watch for bounce reactions at 3050 or the full discount zone into 2980. Until then, internal traps are likely during news week flow. 🔥 Follow @GoldFxMinds for sniper updates and market recaps 🧠 Which zone do you expect to be hit first: 3380 or 3050? Drop your thoughts below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 19 - May 23]During the week, OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuated strongly, falling from $3,292/oz to $3,120/oz and then recovering to $3,202/oz. The main reason was that the US and China reached a trade agreement, according to which the two sides agreed to significantly reduce tariffs from May 14, creating positive sentiment for the market. This week’s gold sell-off was the steepest since mid-June 2021, even steeper than the drop after Donald Trump’s election victory in November 2024. President Trump said there are currently about 150 partners who want to negotiate trade with the US, but the US cannot handle them all at once. In the next 2-3 weeks, the US will announce the export tax rates that partners will have to pay when selling to the US market. The Trump administration will impose specific tariffs on partners that have not yet negotiated with the US, at what level, has not been specifically announced. If the new tariffs remain as high as the initial list of reciprocal tariffs, there is a risk that many partners will retaliate, making the tariff war hotter, pushing gold prices up sharply. On the contrary, if the new tariffs are much lower than the initially announced tariffs, gold prices may only increase moderately, then continue to adjust. After the recent sharp sell-off, profit-taking sentiment is still dominating the market. However, safe-haven demand remains strong due to geopolitical tensions that have not yet ended and concerns about a global economic recession. 📌The gold price trend next week is likely to fluctuate in the range of 3,055 - 3,270 USD/ounce, with a slight decrease scenario being preferred due to profit-taking pressure and the potential recovery of the USD. However, if there is a positive signal from the Fed policy or increased geopolitical instability, the gold price may recover to the range of 3,260 - 3,270 USD/ounce. Investors need to closely monitor economic data and geopolitical fluctuations to make appropriate decisions. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,162 – 3,100 USD Resistance: 3,228 – 3,250 – 3,292 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3271 - 3269⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3275 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3054 - 3056⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3050
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 19, 2025“Between Bounce & Breakdown – Watch the Mid-Zone Traps 🎯” 🧠 Market Overview: Gold bounced last week from the 3160–3172 buy block, confirming demand at discount, but price remains stuck under multiple bearish supply layers. Until we reclaim structure above 3285, this is still a bearish pullback inside a bullish macro trend. → We’re now trading between sniper zones, where volume fades, fakeouts rise, and only confirmation wins. 🔍 STRUCTURE FLOW 🟩 3160–3172 → Confirmed buy zone from last week, clean bounce with CHoCH 🔴 3365–3375 → Daily rejection supply zone, created by imbalance wick & H4 OB 🟧 Price is now inside “mid-trap” territory (3205–3285) = avoid trading blindly 📌 KEY SNIPER ZONES (REFINED) 🔹 Zone Type Price Range Confluences 🟢 Buy Zone 1 3160–3172 OB + EQ liquidity + confirmed CHoCH (D1-H1 confluence) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 3212–3225 Internal FVG + H1 OB origin + 61.8% fib retrace 🔴 Sell Zone 1 3275–3285 Previous H4 OB + bearish NY reaction trap zone 🔴 Sell Zone 2 3312–3324 Internal liquidity sweep + imbalance fill 🔴 Sell Zone 3 3365–3375 Strong rejection + top of H4 imbalance ⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: EMA50/100 now sloping down = bearish short-term tone RSI near neutral (no divergence = trend-follow only) Daily candle closed inside mid-zone → no clear momentum = trade only on LTF CHoCH confirmations 🔔 RISK EVENTS (THIS WEEK) Thu, May 23 → Unemployment Claims + Flash PMIs + Housing Data Fri, May 24 → New Home Sales + FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative) → Expect fakeouts ahead of these. Stay reactive, not predictive. 🧭 DAILY PLAN 🔽 If price reclaims 3275–3285 and fails → sniper sell entry → TP 3225 / 3172 🔼 If price dips to 3212–3225 with M15 CHoCH → scalp buy to 3260–3270 ❌ Avoid entries in 3230–3265 → mid-zone chop trap 🧠 Final Thoughts: You don’t chase gold in mid-range. You don’t sell bottoms or buy tops. You wait at the edge of structure — with logic, confluence, and confirmation. That’s sniper mode. 🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper plans 💬 Drop your bias below — Break below 3172 or bounce back to 3320?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook | May 19–23, 2025“Sniper Zones Reloaded – Gold Pullback Season or Just a Tease?” 🔍 Macro View: Gold just closed a massive -3.6% weekly candle off the top at 3435 — a clear sign of rejection from a premium exhaustion zone. After weeks of uninterrupted bullish madness, we finally have signs of cooling. But is it the start of a deeper correction or just Friday’s fade? ➤ Dollar Strength picked up again after UoM Sentiment miss + sticky inflation expectations. ➤ FOMC minutes (Wed) + Unemployment Claims (Thu) = the potential catalysts for the next impulsive leg. 🔄 Weekly Market Structure: ✅ BOS to the upside still valid – no CHoCH printed yet on W1 📍Current candle printed a clear top wick rejection after liquidity sweep 🕳️ Internal structure on LTFs is bearish – signaling potential deeper pullback 🧭 Key Weekly Zones (Sniper-Ready): Zone Type Price Range Description 🔻 Supply #1 3435–3465 Premium FVG top + rejection wick 🔻 Supply #2 3285–3320 Imbalance left behind on the last push up 🔻 Sell Zone 3210–3240 Mitigated OB, possible retest 🟩 Buy Zone #1 3095–3120 Weekly FVG + Fibo 38.2 retrace 🟩 Buy Zone #2 2980–3030 Unmitigated demand block, old resistance turned demand 🟩 Buy Zone #3 2850–2890 Weekly CHoCH zone & deep Fibo retrace 📈 Fibonacci Extensions (from last major HL–HH): FE 100% = 3435 ✅ hit FE 127% = 3580 (remains next upside target IF retracement holds at key support) FE 161.8% = 3720 (only if we reclaim 3435 cleanly) 🔺 Weekly Bias: Short-Term: Bearish pullback (especially early week if no bullish LTF CHoCH) Mid-Term: Bullish continuation still valid if 3090–3120 holds 🧠 Key Notes: Expect trap zones and tricky NY opens if no clean confirmation 3210 = likely re-entry point for bears if price retraces 3090–3120 = key defensive line for bulls; invalidation of this = possible slide to 2980 If 3435 gets swept again with strength and closes above → bullish continuation unlocked 🧨 High-Impact Risk Events – This Week 📅 Thu, May 22 📉 Unemployment Claims – 2:30pm 📊 Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI – 3:45pm 🏠 Existing Home Sales – 4:00pm 📅 Fri, May 23 📊 New Home Sales – 4:00pm 📑 FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative) 📌 Gold Weekly Outlook – “Sniper Zones Reloaded 🔫” After weeks of pure bullish momentum, gold finally showed signs of exhaustion with a clean weekly rejection from the premium zone. Is this the start of a real pullback? Or just another fakeout to shake out retail before continuation? We’ve mapped the structure: 🟥 3435 is the stronghold 🟩 3090 is the battlefield With Unemployment Claims, PMIs, and housing data lined up this week, expect volatility — but don’t force entries. Trade light. Stay patient. Let the sniper setup come to you. 🎯 🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for sniper-level breakdowns 💬 Drop your bias below — correction or continuation? 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3236 and a gap below at 3184. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3236 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3278 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3308 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3343 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3373 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3418 BEARISH TARGETS 3184 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3146 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3103 3069 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3030 2981 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
30
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone, Please see the daily chart update. As shown, the Goldturn channel is still being respected by price action. After a failed breakout attempt above the channel alongside the EMA5, we saw a rejection back toward the channels half line, a level we've identified as a potential support zone. This support held, resulting in a bounce that aligns with our strategy of buying dips. As long as price continues to hold above this level and the EMA5 remains supportive, we could see a gradual move back toward higher levels. However, if the midline is retested and fails, and the EMA5 crosses below the half line, this could signal a potential move toward the lower boundary of the channel. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders. Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings. Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Here’s our weekly chart update. Once again, the Goldturn channel is proving reliable, with price action unfolding as expected. Over the past few weeks, we saw multiple attempts to break above the top of the channel, but each was rejected , confirmed by the EMA5 failing to break through. Following this, price dropped to as low as 3189 and nearly reached 3094, aligning closely with the channels half line, a key support level we've been monitoring. We caught an early bounce there and capitalized on it using confluence from our lower time frame analysis, also shared with you all, on our 1h and 4h chart ideas. As long as price holds above the channels half line, we’ll continue to look for bounce opportunities using levels from our smaller time frame setups. However, if price crosses and holds below the half line, it may open the door for a move toward the lower boundary of the channel. As always, patience and precision are key. We'll continue using the 1H and 4H timeframes to buy dips on retracements into these support zones, targeting clean 20–40 pip moves. These levels and pullbacks offer ideal opportunities, especially in ranging conditions where our Goldturn method truly shines. This is exactly why we rely on our Goldturn Channels, our proprietary system built on weighted averages. It filters the noise, helps us spot real breakouts vs. fake-outs, and gives us the confidence to act with clarity and discipline. Thanks again for all the support, your likes, comments and follows. MR GOLD GOLDVIEWFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
HelenP. I Gold can break resistance level and continue move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. At the moment, price is forming a tightening triangle structure, and the market appears to be respecting both the horizontal support levels and the rising trend line that frames the lower boundary of this pattern. After bouncing strongly from the support zone around 2970 - 2940 points, the price rebounded right off the trend line, confirming it once again as a key structural level. Recently, XAU approached the resistance zone between 3205 and 3230, which has acted as a cap for the price several times before. But this time, the move into resistance comes from a place of strength. Momentum is building steadily after each pullback, and buyers have consistently stepped in near the ascending support. Given the context sustained higher lows, compression within a triangle, and a base forming just under resistance, there’s a strong chance the price could push through the 3205 level on a renewed attempt. A clean breakout above this resistance, followed by a retest, would offer strong confirmation that bulls are ready to extend the move. That’s why I’ve set my current goal at 3320 points, which almost aligns with the upper range of the triangle projection. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
2
XAUUSD MONTHLY OUTLOOK — MAY 2025🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly 📍 Current Price: 3204 📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral 📏 Trend: Long-term bullish | Near-term exhaustion 🔎 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW ✅ HTF Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above 2075 (2020/2022 resistance) ✅ Sustained higher highs + strong impulse candles since Oct 2023 ⛔️ Price just wicked into Monthly FIB Extension Zone (1.618–2.0) = 3440–3500 ⚠️ Bearish wick formed near 3500, suggesting premium rejection 🧠 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES (Monthly) Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Premium Supply 3440–3500 Monthly FIB Extension zone + rejection wick + final extension of long-term bull leg 🔼 Resistance 3222–3242 Previous OB and last BOS area before wick spike — possible retest point ⚠️ Mid-Zone 3160–3185 Equilibrium / liquidity trap area seen on H4/D1 🟩 Monthly Demand 2960–3050 Large unmitigated zone + FVG + consolidation base before impulse 🟦 Discount Range 2800–2950 Key reaccumulation blocks from 2023 rallies 🔮 MACRO + MARKET CONTEXT 💬 Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing inflation concerns and Fed credibility under fire after CPI/UoM combo 📉 UoM Sentiment: Dropped below expectations = recessionary anxiety 📊 Inflation Expectations: Came in hotter = market confused, no clean direction 🗣️ Powell speech + May FOMC aftermath = market lacks conviction, stuck in uncertainty 🧭 STRATEGIC SCENARIOS ✅ Bullish Continuation (if retracement holds above 3160–3180) Potential reentry toward 3240–3250 and re-test upper wick zone >3440 Must see H4 CHoCH + volume confluence ❌ Bearish Retracement (if lower timeframes lose 3160) Deeper move likely toward 3050–3080 = Monthly demand base Below that = consolidation back to 2960 ⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION Applied from breakout leg Oct 2023 (Low ~1810 to High ~2222 → projected from pullback at ~1984) Extension targets: 1.272 = ✅ Reached 1.618 = 3440 = tapped 2.0 = 3500 = wick rejection We are now reacting inside a fully extended bullish range, which supports a monthly cool-off. 🧠 FINAL WORD Gold hit the monthly moonshot. Now it’s all about real structure and rotation: 💡 Watch how price respects the 3160–3180 range. Lose that — and we dive back toward 3050–3080. Hold it — and we reload for the final frontier above 3440. Gold’s Monthly Jetpack Ran Out of Fuel at 3500 🚀🔥 — Now It’s All About Gravity and Structure." From FIB extensions to wick rejections, this is not the time to chase... it’s the time to react. Comment, follow, and stay sharp — sniper mode never sleeps. — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD consolidated below a key level on FridayGold is in a downtrend forming a counter-trend correction. Friday's trading session closes below the key level of 3203-3205. Buyers are weaker than sellers. But, before the continuation of the fall MM is quite likely to test the resistance to provoke ordinary buyers before the fall Scenario: the growth attempt may turn out to be false. A retest of 3203 resistance, a false breakout and price consolidation below 3203 is a sell signal. Additional scenario: MM trap to provoke buyers to buy. A retest of the far resistance 3230, a false breakout and a price fixing below 3223 could start a decline
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
4
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week Here is my latest structure analysis and important supports & resistances for Gold for next week. Support 1: 3120 - 3167 area Support 2: 2957 - 2982 area Resistance 1: 3193 - 3238 area Resistance 2: 3427 - 3425 area Resistance 3: 3483 - 3501 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold Continues Ultra-Bearish —SHORT\Sell Easy Win, Easy ProfitsWith a lower high confirmed and a classic ABC correction developing, the situation for Gold (XAUUSD) is dismal. The bearish bias is confirmed. Recently a bounce happened at the 0.382 Fib. retracement level. This is normal and standard but not bullish. The bounce happens because this is a strong support zone, but as soon as the bounce is over the resumption of the bearish move will happen. What is more relevant here is the lower high and the very strong rejection after the big green session here marked as (B). The strong green candle produced the highest close ever, the second highest price after the All-Time High. The ATH happened on a wick. In both instances, the market followed up with strong bearish action; that's the signal. The signal is bearish because each time Gold reached high enough, the bears counteracted with massive selling. Notice the two big red sessions, the last two before the current one. It is pointing lower. The decreasing volume is an additional and supporting signal for the bearish perspective. This is not a short-term drop, it is a major correction developing. SHORT/sell. Easy win, easy profits. Namaste.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MasterAnanda
2
Critical Reversal or Breakdown? | XAU/USD at Make-or-Break Zone📉 Chart Overview: Instrument: XAU/USD (assumed from chart context) Timeframe: 4H or Daily (based on candlestick size) Indicators Used: 📏 EMA 50 (Red): 3,247.86 📏 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,221.42 🔍 RSI (14): Currently at 45.90 (below midline, showing weak momentum) 🔎 Key Zones: 🧱 Support Zone: ~3,180 – 3,220 Price is currently sitting on this key demand zone. Price previously bounced here sharply ➡️ indicating buyer interest. 📦 Resistance Block: ~3,260 – 3,280 Short-term resistance, price has been repeatedly rejected from here. 🎯 Target Zone: ~3,420 – 3,460 If price breaks out from the support-resistance squeeze, this is the potential bullish target 🎯. 🧭 EMA Analysis: EMA 50 is still above EMA 200 ➡️ Golden Cross formation (medium-term bullish bias) ✅ However, price is currently below both EMAs, signaling short-term weakness ❌ 📉 Bearish Scenario (📍Blue Arrow Down): If price breaks below the support zone at ~3,180, we could see a sharp drop toward the next support at ~3,032 🔻. RSI is trending down near 40, close to oversold territory ⚠️ 🚀 Bullish Scenario (📈 Blue Arrow Up): A successful retest and bounce from this support area (currently forming a rounded bottom 🥄) could lead to a bullish move toward the target zone. This is further supported by the potential RSI bounce from the 40 area, signaling renewed momentum 🔋. ✅ Bias & Conclusion: Neutral-to-Bullish Bias 🤝: As long as the price holds above the major support zone (~3,180), buyers have a chance to reclaim higher levels. Look for confirmation breakout above the local resistance (~3,260) for a move toward 3,400+ 🚀. A breakdown below support would invalidate the bullish thesis and target 3,030 instead 📉. 🛠️ Trading Plan (not financial advice!): Long Entry: On bullish breakout & retest of ~3,260 ✅ Stop-Loss: Below ~3,180 ⚠️ Target: ~3,420 – 3,460 🎯
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
13
GOLD (XAU/USD) Bearish Play Setting UpHello guys! Gold is currently respecting a bearish descending channel, forming clean lower highs and lows. After tapping into the supply zone around 3,285–3,295, the price is showing signs of exhaustion. Now, a potential rejection from this zone could trigger another leg down targeting the demand zone around 3,060–3,080. 🧠 What I see: 🔹 Bearish channel = trending lower 🔹 Clean retest of supply block 🔹 Price respecting midline resistance 🔹 Momentum favors sellers 🎯 Bearish Trade Idea (Not financial advice): Entry zone: 3,240–3,260 (on confirmation candle) TP1: 3,110 TP2: 3,072 (demand zone) 📐 Risk/Reward: 1:2+ potential 💡 Watch for confirmation candlesticks near the supply zone for safer entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
9
Gold’s Make-or-Break Level: $3167 Is the Key to the Next MoveGold Spot is sitting at a critical inflection point — and if you’ve been watching the charts, you know exactly where the pressure is building: the $3167 zone. This level has acted as a mid-term support floor, cushioning gold’s recent corrections and providing bulls with a lifeline. But that cushion is now getting thinner, and if price action breaks below this area decisively, the implications could be sharply bearish. 👀Why $3167 Matters👀 Take a look at the recent structure. Every bounce, every bullish attempt in the past week, has leaned on $3167. It's not just some random line — it’s where buyers have consistently stepped in to defend. But now? The bounces are getting weaker. Volume’s fading. And price is consolidating right above support — never a good sign. If gold breaks $3167 and closes below it, expect an acceleration to the downside. Momentum traders will likely pile in, and we could see a quick slide into the $3075–3052 zone, where the next real demand sits. ✨What I’m Watching✨ A clean hourly candle close below $3167 — ideally with follow-through volume. Any retest of $3167 after a breakdown could offer a textbook entry for shorts. 🎁The Bearish Scenario If the break happens, I’ll be targeting $3052 for the first bounce. That’s where previous accumulation kicked in — and it lines up with a cluster of reaction lows from late April. It’s also a psychological round number and a potential spot for intraday reversal plays.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
9
GOLD → The fight for 3,200 continuesFX:XAUUSD has recovered after a bearish distribution. The price has returned to the range but continues to test the fundamental threshold of 3200. The fundamental background has been gradually improving recently, which is putting pressure on the gold market, increasing the profit-taking ratio and the level of sales. After the resolution of the tariff war, all attention has shifted to the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, and de-escalation could also reduce economic risks. As well as the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East... Technically, the price is returning to the range after a deep false breakout but is facing strong resistance and pressure from sellers. Further developments depend on the 3200 level, which is of fundamental importance. Resistance levels: 3225, 3236, 3257 Support levels: 3204 - 3200, 3194 The battle for the 3200 area continues, with bulls likely to try to keep the price above 3200, in which case the market may test the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci zone. However, given the recent improvement in fundamentals, the price may return from these zones of interest to 3200 with the aim of continuing the assault to break through and continue the downtrend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
EUR/AUD: Rebound or Continuation of the Drop?EUR/AUD is in a critical situation after a strong bearish trend that pushed the price into a key support area. Analyzing the daily chart, we can observe that the price is testing a strong demand zone, highlighted in blue, from which a potential rebound towards the upper supply zone (in red) could emerge. The retail sentiment confirms strong short pressure, with 82% of traders positioned on the downside. This excess pessimism suggests, from a contrarian perspective, a possible rebound. Additionally, the oscillator indicates an oversold condition, reinforcing the hypothesis of a correction. From an institutional point of view, the COT data shows a slight reduction in long positions for both EUR and AUD, but with one detail: speculators remain predominantly long on EUR and short on AUD. Meanwhile, hedgers continue to protect themselves against a possible decline in the euro, demonstrating caution. In terms of seasonality, May has historically been a weak month for both currencies, but in the last two years, EUR has shown a slight recovery, while AUD has demonstrated signs of stability. Trading Strategy: Monitor the reaction to the support zone carefully. A bullish signal in this area could pave the way for a rebound towards the upper resistance. However, a bearish breakout would confirm the ongoing downward trend.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 16: 1. Core driving factors of fundamentals Weak US economic data strengthens expectations of interest rate cuts PPI and retail sales data fell beyond expectations: US PPI fell 0.5% month-on-month in April (expected +0.2%), retail sales growth dropped sharply from 1.7% in March to 0.1%, and manufacturing output fell 0.4%, indicating that the pressure of economic slowdown has intensified. This data directly led to a sharp drop in US Treasury yields (10-year yields fell 11 basis points to 4.435%), and market expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts increased (the probability of a rate cut in September is expected to rise to 75.4%). Weak US dollar: The US dollar index fell 0.2% to 100.82, and the real interest rate (TIPS yield) fell below 1.8%, providing pricing support for gold. Geopolitical risks escalate Russia-Ukraine peace talks are deadlocked: Putin refused to attend the Turkey talks and only sent a low-level delegation. Ukrainian President Zelensky called this move "disrespectful". Market expectations for the progress of the peace agreement have cooled significantly, and safe-haven demand has surged. Uncertainty in the Middle East: There are still differences in the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations. Although Trump said it was "close to being reached", internal news in Iran showed that key issues have not been resolved and the risk of geopolitical conflict continues. Trade situation and long-term support factors The pressure of easing tariffs between China and the United States has been exhausted: Although the China-US tariff agreement has eased trade frictions in the short term, the market's focus has shifted to economic data and subsequent policy impacts. In the long run, global central banks continue to buy gold (more than 1,000 tons of gold in 2024), stagflation risks (high inflation and low growth coexist) and weakening US dollar credit still support gold. 2. Key technical points Support level: Short-term: US$3205-3210 (psychological barrier and 4-hour Bollinger band middle track). Medium term: $3160 (trend line support and 60-day moving average). Resistance level: Above: $3260-3270 (high pressure zone 4 hours ago). Long-term target: $3330-3350 (gap filling and historical high range). Technical signal: Daily MACD bottom divergence, RSI rebounded from the oversold area, indicating strong short-term rebound momentum. If it breaks through the $3260 resistance, it may start a new round of rise; if it falls below $3200, it may fall back to the $3160 support. 3. Optimal trading strategy Short-term operation (intraday to intraweek) Long opportunity: Entry conditions: Gold price pulls back to the $3205-3210 range to stabilize, or the US dollar index does not break through the 100.50 resistance. Target: $3260-3280, stop loss set below 3180. Short opportunities: Entry conditions: Gold price rebounds to 3260-3280 range and encounters resistance, or the US dollar index stabilizes at 101. Target: 3220-3200 US dollars, stop loss set above 3290. Medium-term strategy (monthly level) Bullish logic: Central bank gold demand, stagflation risk and normalization of geopolitical conflicts support long-term upward trend. Entry time: If gold price falls back to 3160-3180 area without breaking, long positions can be opened in batches, stop loss 3130, target 3330-3350 US dollars. Risk control points Strict stop loss: short-term stop loss does not exceed 2% of the total position, medium-term stop loss does not exceed 5%. Event avoidance: Pay attention to today's Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and import price data in the United States, and reduce positions before the data is released. IV. Summary and risk warning Core contradiction: Short-term economic data and geopolitical risks dominate fluctuations, and medium- and long-term structural benefits remain unchanged. Potential risks: Policy changes: If the Fed releases hawkish signals or Russia-Ukraine negotiations make unexpected progress, it may trigger a sharp correction. Technical overbought repair: Gold has risen too much in the short term, so we need to be wary of profit-taking pressure. Operation principles: light positions, strict stop losses, and give priority to the breakthrough direction of the 3200-3260 US dollar range, and follow the trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX