3.3 Gold has not broken 2800, shorting goldThe main idea of short-term gold trading this week is to follow the trend and go short. In the next trading rhythm, the upper short-term pressure will focus on the area around 2880-2890. As long as this pressure point is not broken, there will be room for continued decline. However, there is a possibility of divergence in the current indicators. In the short term, as long as the rebound exceeds 2880, it will drive the Bollinger Bands to close and there will be room for growth. Therefore, the current strong trend point is 2880. At the beginning of this week, you can rely on this position to see a rebound. If it does not break 2880, you should go short first.
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Gold
GOLD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 2,951.561 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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The bearish trend continues! 2895 continues to be bearish!On Friday night, the gold market was like a thrilling blockbuster with ups and downs. The gold price fell rapidly, and the big negative line fell directly to the 2830 line, as if a violent plunge was about to hit. However, the market did not fall all the way, and it was obvious that the power was not enough to achieve a deep plunge at the moment. From the technical analysis, at the daily level, the K line is a series of big negative line entities, the short-selling force is dominant, and there is no strong support below, and the subsequent decline may be brewing. Therefore, continuing the high-altitude operation strategy is a wise choice at the moment.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the gold price is firmly suppressed by the moving average. Every time there is a slight sign of rebound, it is like a fragile bubble, which is ruthlessly punctured by strong shorts as soon as it emerges. The upper 2895 and 2905 lines constitute obvious resistance levels. The rebound of the K line here is just a short respite, not a trend reversal. Below these two key resistance levels, the short-selling advantage is obvious. The strong degree of this wave of big short-selling market from the high of 2955 to the 2830 line is obvious to all.
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XAUUSD: 3/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 2892-2930, support below 2850
Four-hour chart resistance 2876-2892, support below 2832
One-hour chart resistance 2876, support below 2860
Gold news analysis:
Last Friday, gold technical pressure 2884 mark further ushered in a very weak unilateral adjustment downward trend, Asian, European and American markets successively under pressure to fall and fluctuate downward, the US market accelerated downward to break through the 2840 mark to reach 2832 and began to rebound, closing near 2860, closing with a decline for two consecutive trading days, short-term gold price encountered resistance at the 2950 mark ushered in a daily level adjustment, today's Asian market opened under the influence of weekend news, gold price quickly rushed up to pierce the 2876 mark, and then fell into a shock consolidation.
Gold operation suggestions: Today's upper short-term resistance is 2876-2892. Any rebound before the daily level breaks through and stabilizes at 2892 is a short-selling opportunity. Pay attention to the lower low support around 2825-30. Overall, rely on this range to participate in high selling and low buying, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 2870near SL: 2875
Sell: 2892near SL: 2897
Use small size to control risk
XAUUSD: Short-selling strategy preferred!Dear traders!
Gold prices are currently consolidating their recovery from the three-week low of $2,833, reached on Monday morning, as the market braces for a volatile week amid upcoming U.S. tariffs and ceasefire talks with Ukraine.
From a technical perspective, based on the EMA 34 and 89, along with the recent drop below $2,900, we continue to favor a short-selling strategy.
3.3-day gold latest trend analysis and online guidanceTrump's latest tariff speech overshadowed the impact of signs of economic growth slowdown, boosted the US dollar, and caused gold prices to continue to fall. As of now, the lowest is around 2833. If tariff measures trigger a full-scale trade war, the global economy may fall into recession, and gold as a safe-haven asset will also be supported in the long term. However, as countries reach an agreement through negotiations to ease trade tensions, risk aversion may weaken, the support for gold prices will decline, and gold may fall further in the market outlook.
Today, gold opened high, reaching a high of around 2876. It is currently in a state of shock. From a technical point of view, the gold market is currently in an extremely weak state in all cycles, especially the daily cycle has now fallen below the support point of the Bollinger middle track, and the K line has a large negative state. According to this state, gold has now turned from extremely strong to extremely weak. If it continues to fall, pay attention to the low point of last week near 2832, so at the beginning of this week, we need to pay attention to the continuity of the decline in the daily cycle.
After three consecutive trading days of decline last week, the lower Bollinger band opened. Logically, this strength should continue. The current rebound is suppressed near 2880. As long as this suppression point is not broken, there is room for continued decline, but the current indicators are likely to diverge. In the short term, as long as the rebound exceeds 2880, there is still room for the Bollinger band to close. Specific operation idea: first follow the trend and finish the short position. Although it opened higher on Monday, we will prompt the short position around 2865-2875 on the weekend. There is also a 10-point profit in the morning. The current low has stopped rebounding around 2832, which shows that this position still has certain support. At the beginning of this week, you can rely on this position to see the rebound. If it does not break 2880, it is still necessary to go short first. If it does not break 2880, you still have to go short first.
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The direction today is short!On Saturday, the United States and Ukraine had differences in their opinions on the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, which is definitely good for gold in the short term. The price rose in the early trading, which is a fermentation release of the news. After the price rush is over, the shorts will naturally turn back. Even if you want to short at a high level, the trend is tortuous. It is not that a wave of news can reverse the downward trend of gold prices. You must intervene at the key price and do it. At this time, you must dare to short. Today, the price is 2865-2875 and go short directly! The direction today is to identify the short! Many news in the short term are just smoke bombs, don't be affected!
Friends who have entered my bottom article have all obtained wrong profits as long as they follow my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to make making money a matter of course!
Follow me to short gold and earn your first pot of gold this weeThis week, Trump's latest tariff speech overshadowed the impact of signs of economic slowdown, boosted the US dollar, and caused gold prices to continue to fall. If tariff measures trigger a full-scale trade war, the global economy may fall into recession, and gold as a safe-haven asset will also be supported in the long term. Today, Monday, gold rebounded to a high of around 2877 at the opening, and then fell to 2865 and fluctuated. Over the weekend, we gave an analysis strategy for today's opening. Over the weekend, we analyzed that the upper short-term suppression was around 2880. If you followed my trading strategy, you would short gold around 2875-2877. I believe you have now made more than 100pips in profit. Congratulations on successfully getting your first pot of gold in this week's transaction!
Regarding the next trading rhythm, short-term suppression at the top will focus on the area around 2880. If gold does not break through 2880, then we will still focus on shorting gold.
Finally, whether you are a novice entry-level trader, or you want to maintain a stable trading win rate to obtain more generous returns, or you want to create a valuable and free life through trading, or you are now deeply troubled by losses, you can find what you need at the bottom of the article, and I wish all of us all the best in trading!
3.3-day latest gold trading analysis strategy
Gold technical analysis: From the current market perspective, even if gold prices are likely to decline in the short term, we must be wary of weak non-farm payroll data this week or slowing wage growth, which may reignite market expectations for the Federal Reserve to accelerate interest rate cuts and promote a rebound in gold prices. The short-term resistance target can be moved up to the range of US$2868-2888. If it breaks through US$2900, it is expected to restart the bullish trend. If the negative non-agricultural data will strengthen the Federal Reserve's stance of maintaining high interest rates, gold may be further pressured to test the support of $2,800. After the technical level breaks, short momentum may accelerate and the short-term downside risks will intensify.
From a technical perspective, at the weekly level, the weekly line closed with a large negative line with upper and lower shadows, breaking the 10 consecutive positive lines, completely engulfing the consecutive positive lines of the previous two weeks, which reflects the strength of the bears. Driven by this, it pierces the short-term 5-week moving average and continues to extend downward. Although it releases the momentum of the bears, other periodic indicators still maintain a long arrangement. In addition, the Bollinger Bands remain upward as a whole, and the MACD indicator continues to form a golden cross upward, so the weekly level decline is still a correction for the bulls.
From the daily level, the daily continuous negative pattern allows the gold price to effectively run below the short-term moving average and the Bollinger middle track, and drives the two to turn downward to form suppression respectively. In addition, other periodic indicators maintain a short arrangement, the MACD indicator crosses downward, and the RSI indicator shows sufficient downward potential, so it will be beneficial for the bears to continue to develop. However, the Bollinger Bands have begun to close as a whole, so the overall bearish view at the daily level needs to wait for a high level, and at the same time, we must also beware of a wave of high-level resistance in the gold price at any time.
At the 4-hour level, although gold prices hit a low of 2832 late last Friday and ushered in a rebound, as the price is still running below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and the short-term 10 moving average, and driving the short-term moving average downward to the 2866-2888 area, other cycle indicators remain unchanged The short positions are arranged, and the overall downward trend of the Bollinger Bands has intensified. However, the fast line of the macd indicator has turned upward, failing to give the short positions downward momentum. The RSI indicator has intentionally strengthened the upward potential above the 30 axis. Therefore, the overall 4-hour level can still see the gold price falling again after the short-term correction.
The 1-hour moving average is still in a dead downward bear arrangement, MACD is an underwater golden cross, and gold bears may not have turned the trend yet. As long as the rebound is not large, there is still room for gold to move downward. This week, gold will focus on the resistance near the moving average of 2877. As long as it is still under pressure and blocked below 2877, gold can still continue to be short. If gold breaks through 2880 strongly, then it is necessary to adjust its thinking. Taken together, in terms of gold's short-term operation today, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The upper short-term focus will be on the 2877-2885 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term will focus on the 2855-2850 first-line support.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT) Technical Analysis
1. 1H Chart (Higher Timeframe Trend)
• Downtrend Reversal: Price was in a strong downtrend but is now bouncing off a key support near 2827-2830.
• MACD: Histogram is reducing bearish momentum, suggesting a possible trend reversal.
• RSI (14): Rising from oversold conditions (~54.89), indicating bullish momentum building up.
2. 15-Min Chart (Intraday Confirmation)
• Reversal Pattern: A sharp recovery from lows around 2849, forming higher lows.
• MACD: Bullish crossover with histogram turning positive, confirming bullish momentum.
• RSI (12): Nearing overbought levels (~68.23), but still has room for continuation.
3. 3-Min Chart (Entry Timing)
• Pullback to Support: Price is consolidating after a strong breakout above 2862.
• MACD: Still showing bullish structure but a minor pullback is visible.
• RSI (10): Neutral at 50.89, meaning price is neither overbought nor oversold, ideal for a continuation entry.
Fundamental Analysis
• Gold Demand: Potentially rising due to economic uncertainty, with investors looking for safe-haven assets.
• USD Weakness: If upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, job reports) indicate a slowing U.S. economy, gold could gain strength.
• Market Sentiment: If risk-off sentiment continues, gold could push higher.
Trade Execution
Position: Long XAU/USD
• Entry: 2865 (After minor pullback confirmation)
• Stop Loss: 2855 (Below recent pullback low)
• Take Profit: 2890 (Near previous resistance level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2.5:1
Rationale
• The uptrend reversal is forming on the 1H and 15M charts.
• Momentum indicators (MACD & RSI) support a bullish move.
• Strong demand and potential USD weakness could fuel further upside.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Shorting Gold!Gold has been on a TEAR through 2025. Overextended in ATH territory and more expensive than ever before in history. Logically, we should expect a return to historically normal (still expensive) prices.
Daily chart is showing 3/3 sell signals
1. Price below 9 period MA
2. RSI bearish fanning beautifully from overbought levels
3. Average Daily Range expanding with volatility
I'm aggressively watching for shorts on Gold, Silver, and Copper in the weeks ahead. I've outlined 3 possible entries IF we're lucky enough to see some kind of relief from last weeks selloff. Should price proceed to fall, preparing smaller time frame short trades. I strongly believe we will see 2800. Strategy is invalidated if price breaches ATH's
XAUUSD on Drop As Market is on bearish cycle after break of 2880 structural support & gives closing of weekly below the previous week candle.
What scanario we have?
▪️ if H4 candle remains below the structure support at 2880 then Market will reamin on selling side towards 2850 and 2842 in extension.
▪️on the other hand, at moment all concerns about closing of H4 candles at 2880.if 2880 suffer and invalidated and closes above 2881-83 this chart will be invalid and wait the correction to buy.
Analysis of gold trend next week:
Gold is in a bearish trend. Have you seen the power of the trend in the past two days? Are you waiting for a rebound or are you buying the bottom? We have been emphasizing in the past two days that gold is currently in a short trend. The weaker the trend of gold, the stronger the short trend of gold. If it rebounds too much, the short trend may end and become volatile again. In the trading strategy analysis of the TradingView community that we gave before, we have been saying that rebounds are opportunities for shorting. Our team gave a trading signal to sell at 2863-2865 today, and then closed the position at 2833-2835, successfully making a profit of 300PIPS. Then, when the gold price began to stabilize and rebound, our team gave a trading signal to buy at 2838-2840, and then closed the order at 2851-2853, and successfully made a profit of 150PIPS again.
Technical analysis, the daily line closed with a real big Yin on Thursday, and the previous low of 2863 has been broken, so there is still room for further adjustment below. In the short term, the lower side can be seen around 2835-2813, and the upper limit is 2790, the previous top and bottom conversion position, which is also the support level of the 10-week moving average of the weekly line. The previous weekly line has been strong and unilaterally attacking, and the first test of the 10-week moving average will have relatively large support, and at least there will be a second pull-up momentum; if some daily reversal K appears at that time, our team will choose to try to buy the bottom. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross the short position and diverge downward. Gold continues to hit new lows recently. The short trend of gold is obvious. Any rebound is an opportunity for shorting. Gold can continue to short when it rebounds to 2852/2860.
How to Find Best Supply and Demand Zones/Areas in Forex & Gold
In this article, I will show you the strongest supply and demand zones.
These zones are called confluence zones.
I will teach you to identify these areas properly and explain how to apply it in Forex and Gold trading.
Let's start with a short but important theory.
In technical analysis, there are 2 types of supports and resistances.
Horizontal structures are supports and resistance that are based on horizontal key levels.
Vertical structures are supports and resistance that are based on trend lines.
A confluence supply or demand zone, will be the area of the intersection between a horizontal and vertical structures.
Look at GBPJPY pair. I underlined a significant horizontal support and a rising trend line - a vertical support.
We see a clear crossing of both structures.
The trend line and a horizontal support will compose a narrow, contracting area. It will be a confluence demand zone.
Within, with a high probability, a high volume of buying orders will concentrate, and a strong bullish movement will initiate after its test.
Above is one more example of a powerful demand zone.
It was spotted on a Gold chart.
Now let's discuss the supply zone.
There are 2 strong structures on GBPNZD: a vertical resistance - a falling trend line and a horizontal resistance.
These 2 resistances will constitute a confluence supply zone.
That is a powerful resistance cluster that will concentrate the selling orders. Chances will be high to see a strong bearish movement from that.
There is a strong supply zone on CHFJPY that is based on the intersection of a wide horizontal resistance and a falling trend line.
Supply and demand zones that we discussed are very significant. Very often, strong bullish and bearish waves will initiate from these clusters.
Your ability to recognize these zones will help you to make accurate predictions and identify a safe point to open a trading position from
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold price update: Sharp decline from all-time high!Dear friends!
Global gold prices have fallen to their lowest level in over a week, driven by the strengthening U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching key inflation data, which could provide important clues about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar has risen by 0.2%, pushing the USD Index (.DXY) further away from its 11-week low. This appreciation makes gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies.
On the other hand, U.S. President Donald Trump has raised hopes of a one-month delay in imposing higher tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, while also proposing a 25% tariff on European automobiles and goods. This uncertainty has driven investors toward the U.S. dollar, adding further pressure on gold prices, which were already facing profit-taking pressure after reaching record highs.
XAU/USD Breakdown – Key Support Levels Tested After Major Drop!### **Analysis & Description:**
This 1-hour chart of **Gold (XAU/USD)** from **OANDA** presents a strong **bearish move** following a key **liquidity grab and rejection** from the 2,942–2,950 resistance zone.
#### **Key Observations:**
- **Fair Value Gap (FGV 4H)**: The price initially tapped into the imbalance before facing a strong rejection.
- **Liquidity Sweep**: The sharp move up prior to the decline suggests that smart money may have induced liquidity before the major bearish move.
- **Bearish Break & Retest**: The price has broken through significant **support levels** around 2,892 and 2,878 and is now approaching the next support at **2,834**.
- **Fibonacci & Structure**: The Fibonacci retracement aligns with a deeper correction, with the price possibly targeting **2,820–2,800** if bearish momentum continues.
- **Risk-Reward Setup**: The risk-to-reward ratio in this trade setup suggests a well-executed short position, capturing nearly **3.70% downward movement** (approx. **-108 points**).
### **Potential Scenarios:**
🔴 **Bearish Case:** If the price sustains below 2,844 and fails to reclaim key resistance zones, further downside is likely toward **2,820–2,800**.
🟢 **Bullish Case:** A strong bounce from current levels (2,834) could trigger a short-term retracement before resuming downward momentum.
#### **Final Thought:**
Gold remains in a **strong downtrend**, and traders should watch for price action confirmation around support levels before considering further positions.
XAU/USD Bearish Retest in Play – More Downside Expected?### **Title: GOLD | Bearish Retest at Key Resistance – More Downside Ahead?**
### **Analysis & Description:**
This **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** presents a clear **bearish structure**, with price currently testing a key **support-turned-resistance zone**. The downward trajectory suggests a **potential continuation to the downside** after a minor pullback.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Break and Retest Pattern:**
- Price has **broken below** a critical support level and is now **retesting it as resistance** (marked by horizontal lines).
- This classic **bearish retest** setup suggests that sellers may step in to push prices lower.
2. **Two Possible Scenarios:**
- **Scenario 1 (Primary Bearish Case):**
- If price rejects this resistance, we could see **a strong continuation downward**, targeting **$2,820 – $2,780 levels**.
- This aligns with the **trend structure of lower highs and lower lows**.
- **Scenario 2 (Less Likely Bullish Case):**
- If bulls manage to reclaim and break above **$2,860**, we may see a short-term reversal, with the next resistance near **$2,880 – $2,900**.
3. **Trading Strategy:**
- **Short Setup:**
- Look for rejection signals at resistance (**$2,850 – $2,860**), such as bearish engulfing candles or wicks.
- Enter short positions with **stop-loss above $2,865**.
- Target price zones around **$2,820 – $2,780** for profit-taking.
- **Alternative Bullish Setup:**
- A confirmed breakout above **$2,860** could open the way for a short-term rally.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold remains **bearish**, and this current pullback into resistance could provide a **selling opportunity** if rejection confirms. However, traders should monitor key **economic news events** that could impact gold’s movement.
📉 **Do you think gold will continue dropping, or will bulls take control? Let me know in the comments!** 🚀
GOLD | Bearish Reversal Pattern – More Downside Ahead?### **Analysis & Description:**
This is a **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** from TradingView, highlighting a **bearish trend reversal pattern**. The price action forms a series of **lower highs and lower lows**, indicating a clear **downtrend formation**.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Lower Highs & Lower Lows:**
- The chart outlines a classic **bearish market structure** with multiple rejection points.
- Each bullish rally is met with strong selling pressure, leading to a downward continuation.
2. **Momentum Weakness (MACD Indicator):**
- The MACD at the bottom indicates **bearish momentum**, with both the MACD line and Signal line in negative territory.
- This suggests that selling pressure dominates and further downside movement is likely.
3. **Price Projection:**
- The final arrow suggests **further downside movement**, possibly breaking below key support zones.
- If price breaks below the **$2,807 support**, it could accelerate selling toward **$2,780 – $2,750 zones**.
4. **Possible Trading Strategy:**
- **Bearish Confirmation:** Traders should watch for a breakdown below **$2,807** for a short-selling opportunity.
- **Bullish Reversal?:** If price forms a strong support at **$2,807**, we may see a bounce before further downside.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold is currently in a **short-term downtrend**, and traders should be cautious of potential bearish continuation. However, **fundamental news events** could also impact price action, so it's essential to monitor economic data and market sentiment.
#### **Key Levels to Watch:**
- **Support:** $2,807 – $2,780
- **Resistance:** $2,846 – $2,880
📉 **What do you think? Will gold continue to drop, or will we see a reversal soon? Drop your thoughts below!** 🚀
2.28 Gold Trading Strategy Analysis
On Thursday (February 27), gold accelerated its decline and once lost the 2870 mark, mainly under the pressure of a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, while investors awaited key inflation reports to assess the Fed's policy path. The U.S. dollar index rose 0.6%, further away from the recent 11-week low, after U.S. President Trump's vague promise to impose tariffs on the European Union and further postponement of tariffs on Canada and Mexico caused market volatility. Trump said on Tuesday that "the 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico will take effect as planned on March 4", and on Wednesday he changed his words and said "it may be postponed to April 2", while threatening to impose a 25% tariff on the European Union. The dollar rose slightly as U.S. President Trump's recent remarks on his trade policy plans have increased market uncertainty.
Despite the rebound in the dollar, the market is still betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year (the first in July and the second in October) due to increasing concerns about economic slowdown. The U.S. consumer confidence index plummeted to 98.3 on Tuesday (expected 102.5), the biggest drop since August 2021. The rebound in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has reduced the appeal of non-yielding gold. A slight recovery in the dollar and Treasury yields has weighed on gold to some extent, but the overall uptrend in gold remains intact. Several Fed officials will speak later in the day to provide the market with more insights into possible rate cuts by the Fed this year. The market will next focus on the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, which will be released on Friday. According to a Reuters poll, the market generally expects the monthly PCE index to be 0.3%, the same as in December 2024. The market is currently very sensitive to growth concerns, especially after last week's dismal U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data. If the PCE result is stronger than expected and suggests that the Fed will not cut interest rates in the near future, it may have a negative impact on gold. Gold is seen as a safe haven against political risks and inflation, but higher interest rates will reduce the appeal of this non-yielding asset. Meanwhile, Russian and American diplomats will hold talks in Istanbul aimed at resuming their respective diplomatic missions, which is seen as a step towards ending the war in Ukraine.
Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: Gold finally fell. From the trading strategy of last weekend, our team has been reminding people to pay attention to this week's big waterfall. Traders who follow our trading strategy have made enough profits. The whole day has been emphasizing that the top structure of gold has been built. Today, gold fell like a waterfall, breaking through the 2870 support line, and the top pattern was officially established. Gold is getting weaker and weaker, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward to form a dead cross. Gold has refreshed its low again. Gold's downward space has opened up again. Gold shorts have just begun, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts. On the whole, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends rebound shorting as the main strategy for short-term gold operations today, and callback longing as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2888-2890 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2830-2834 support line.