XAUUSD – Market Update & Daily Plan May 14, 2025🧠 Macro Outlook – Eyes on Thursday
CPI is done. The next major catalyst? A full lineup of USD data + Powell speaking tomorrow, Thursday, May 15.
📊 Key Events – May 15 (NY Session)
🟩 Core PPI m/m → Forecast: 0.3% (prev. -0.1%)
🟩 Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.0% (prev. 1.4%)
🟩 Core Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.3%
🟩 Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 229K
🟧 Empire State + Philly Fed Manufacturing Indexes
🔴 ⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Speaks
This is not a light news day. It’s a full macro storm. Expect strong reactions from gold depending on how inflation, retail demand, and Powell’s tone align.
🔍 Market Flow – Price Action Overview
Gold remains in a retracement phase after bouncing cleanly from 3215–3225.
It’s now consolidating at 3244–3252, a mid-range supply zone. Above this, we track a clear mitigation path toward untouched OBs and FVGs.
No structure has broken cleanly to confirm bullish reversal yet — so we remain reactive, not predictive.
🧱 Sniper Mitigation Map
🔢 📍 Zone ⏳ Status ⚙️ Reason
1️⃣ 3244–3252 🔄 In play Mid-range supply zone currently in test
2️⃣ 3280–3288 ❗Unmitigated M30 OB + inefficiency pre-CPI
3️⃣ 3315–3320 ❗Unmitigated Asian session FVG / Gap
4️⃣ 3330–3338 ❗Unmitigated H1–H4 bearish OB (key reversal area)
5️⃣ 3350–3360 ⚠️ Only if structure shifts Upper OB — reserved for extreme flow
📌 Key Technical Zones
Zone Type Level Context
✅ Demand Zone 3215–3225 Confirmed post-CPI bounce zone
🔄 Active Supply 3244–3252 Current area of compression
🟧 M30 OB 3280–3288 Clean bearish OB not yet tested
🟥 FVG Magnet 3315–3320 Asia imbalance likely to attract price
🟥 HTF OB 3330–3338 Valid HTF reversal supply
⚠️ Upper OB 3350–3360 Only if 3338 breaks with strength
🧠 How to Use This Plan
Watch what price does at each zone, then build your own plan based on confirmations like BOS, CHoCH, rejection wicks, or liquidity sweeps.
Scenarios:
Tap & reject 3288? → Short scalp idea back to 3244
Break above 3288? → 3315–3320 becomes next magnet
Strong reaction at 3330–3338? → HTF sell zone in play
Powell hawkish? → Gold likely pressured down from OBs
Powell dovish? → Price may reclaim above 3338
📣 Final Note
Thursday = 🔥 Macro Meltdown Day 🔥
Powell + inflation + retail data = high-probability moves. Let price lead. Don’t force early entries into chop.
💛 Appreciate clean, structured levels?
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily updates — no fluff, just structure and timing.
— GoldFxMinds ✨📉
Gold
Bullish bounce off pullback support?XAU/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,202.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 3,151.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 3,344.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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XAU/USD: Gold will fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, after the price rose to $3248, it once again faced a correction and eventually closed at $3326. I expect that with the market opening, we’ll see further correction from gold, and the first potential target will likely be the $3213–$3216 area.
The key demand zones are $3253–$3274 and the $3313 level.
The key supply zones are $3355–$3369 and $3395–$3408.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAU/USD) Bullish trand line analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe, featuring key support and resistance levels, price action projections, and RSI for momentum evaluation. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Points in the Analysis:
1. Support & Resistance Zones:
Big Support / Buying Zone: Around 3,222 – 3,240. This zone has seen previous bullish reversals and is supported by the 200 EMA.
Intermediate Support Level: Around 3,270–3,290, where price might bounce before attempting a breakout.
Key Resistance Level: Around 3,350–3,365. Price must break this area to move toward higher targets.
2. Price Action Projections:
The analysis shows two bullish potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: Price breaks above the resistance level directly and moves toward the target point at 3,535.83.
Scenario 2: A retracement to the lower support or even the big buying zone before a bullish rally to the same target.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently near the neutral zone (around 49), suggesting there's room for movement in either direction.
No extreme overbought/oversold signals right now.
4. EMA (200):
The price is currently hovering above the 200 EMA (3,222.01), which acts as a long-term support and trend indicator.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary of the Trading Idea:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zones: Look for long entries at either the support level (3,270–3,290) or lower buying zone (around 3,222).
Target: 3,435.05 initially, then 3,535.83.
Invalidation: A clear breakdown below the 3,222 support level could invalidate the bullish bias.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD forms a DOUBLE TOP. Support 3200. Trend reversalGOLD is forming support for the double top reversal pattern
A break of 3200 will confirm the market's intention to reverse the trend and go downwards.
Scenario: There is a lot of important news from the US and Great Britain ahead. If the general fundamental background remains and the dollar continues its bullish trend, then we will be close to a breakdown of 3200.
Thus, a break of 3200 and consolidation below the level will be a signal that we are ready to go down.
Gold has recently broke through the call entry!Market Analysis Update: Gold Price Movement
Gold has recently broken through the Call Entry (CE) level of the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating a possible continuation of upward momentum in the short term. Based on current price action and technical indicators, we are expecting gold to continue moving higher. This move may potentially target the liquidity resting above previous swing highs, as traders' stop losses in those areas are likely to be triggered, fueling the upward trend.
Once this liquidity is cleared, there is a notable resistance zone marked in the 3270–3274 range, commonly referred to as the "black zone." This area is likely to act as a key decision point. If price reaches this zone and exhibits signs of bearish confirmation (such as rejection candles, divergence, or other reversal signals), there may be a potential selling opportunity from that level.
Additionally, it is worth noting that there is a trendline drawn below the current market structure, which may also attract price action. This trendline represents another area where liquidity might be collected before any significant directional move occurs.
Thank you for your attention to this analysis. If there is anything in the explanation that you find unclear or if you have questions about specific terms or concepts, feel free to ask for clarification.
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market:
Is this where we should be getting worried?
Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this;
🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop;
🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015;
🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range.
Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically):
Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities:
🎈elevated inflationary expectations,
🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments,
🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions,
🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying.
Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011.
Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction.
Did the BBC just signal the peak??
Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize.
Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction.
__________________________
OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing the bearish targets yesterday, confirmed by the EMA-5 cross and lock, we continued to buy dips. We noted that the swing range was active, but the full swing hadn't played out yet.
Today, that full swing completed, reaching 3254, marking a perfect move within the expected range.
Now, the price is likely to fluctuate between 3233/3201lower Goldturns and 3254 as the upper Goldturn.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3447
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3447 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3502
POTENTIALLY 3525
BEARISH TARGETS
3307 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3281 - DONE
3254 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE (SWING ACTION COMPLETE)
3233 - DONE
3201
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD XAUUSD oversold bounce after softer US Inflation dataGold recovers some of its early-week losses, trading around 3250 on Tuesday afternoon. A cautious market sentiment, combined with softer-than-expected U.S. April CPI inflation data, supports XAUUSD's stability.
Conclusion:
Gold remains resilient as easing inflation pressures and market caution provide a supportive backdrop.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3288
Resistance Level 2: 3320
Resistance Level 3: 3350
Support Level 1: 3200
Support Level 2: 3173
Support Level 3: 3150
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3211.4 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3239.5
Recommended Stop Loss -3197.1
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Market Update & Daily Plan – May 13, 2025🔹 Bias: Intraday bullish (HL forming)
🔹 Context: Price is reacting from the 3215–3228 zone (OB + discount) after confirming CHoCH at 3284.
We’re in a retracement phase — next move could target 3240–3280 if structure holds.
🔵 BUY ZONES (reaction areas, not sniper):
3215–3228
✅ Confirmed H4 OB
✅ Discount zone + EMA200 confluence on H1
✅ HL structure still valid
📌 If price retests with bullish confirmation → long toward 3240+ remains valid
3175–3195
🔵 Strong H4 demand zone
📌 Only if 3215 fails — last area to defend the bullish bias
Wait for structure to hold — don’t panic buy into weakness
🔴 SELL ZONES (broad reaction areas):
3285–3300
🔺 Previous high + unfilled FVG
🔺 Potential inducement zone before rejection
📌 If price rallies fast, watch for rejection — solid area for short pullbacks
3340–3355
🔺 Strong H4/D1 supply
🔺 Untested premium OB
📌 Only valid if price breaks above 3300 — aggressive short if NY overextends
🧠 Summary:
We’re in a bullish retracement.
If 3215 holds → price may push toward 3280+.
If that fails → 3175–3195 is the final defense zone before larger structure shifts.
Sell zones are reactive — wait for signals, don’t jump in early.
💬 Stay calm, stay patient. Don’t trade the zones — trade the reaction.
🔔 Final Thoughts for Tuesday
The levels are marked. The structure is clear.
Now it’s up to you to stay calm and let price do the talking.
We don’t chase moves — we let the market knock on our zones.
📍 Whether you're buying from discount or selling from premium — let logic lead, not FOMO.
And remember: structure doesn’t lie... but your emotions might.
💬 Got questions? Drop them — this is a team effort.
Let’s stay sharp, focused, and prepared.
See you on the charts,
— GoldFxMinds 🧠⚔️
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3244.7
Stop Loss - 3252.6
Take Profit - 3230.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,237.87 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,220.77.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
CPI data released, golden day analysis and operation layout🗞News side:
1. CPI data is in line with expectations, short-term positive
📈Technical aspects:
As we wrote in the last post, from the 4H point of view, the oversold is serious, and there is a need for rebound correction in the short term. At present, the fluctuation of gold prices is mainly affected by news. Technical analysis and indicators can only be used as a side analysis guide and reference. Gold bottomed out in the morning and rebounded, and the European market continued to rise above 3250. This means that today is not a very weak bear. At the same time, the daily line touches the 30-day moving average support. There is a high probability of turning positive today. The overall idea is to treat the market as a shock.
Intraday gold operation suggestions:
🎁BUY 3240-3250
🎁TP 3260-3270
Looking further towards the 3277 line
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAU/USD – Things are waiting I’ve been quietly tracking XAU/USD, and something’s been standing out: no new high, no conviction, and no clear follow-through. That’s not weakness — that’s bait. It’s the kind of setup that shakes out the impulsive traders... right before the real move begins.
I’m not interested in chasing this range. The real opportunity — the one that matters — sits lower.
There’s only 2 zones I’m watching: the blue boxes.
That’s where I’ll position. That’s where the real story unfolds.
The market has been hovering just above a liquidity pocket, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a fast sweep, a volume spike, or even a CDV divergence down there. I want to see a reaction — not just a touch. A reclaim. A shift in control. That’s when I act.
This zone isn’t random. It’s built on order flow and inefficiency — where price previously moved too fast, leaving imbalances behind. If we return there with intent, the bounce could be aggressive.
“I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.”
That applies here too. If we never reach the blue box, or if the move back into it lacks confirmation — I don’t touch it. No signal, no entry. That simple.
🧠 If you ignore this zone and price rockets without you — that’s fine. But if it hits the blue box cleanly and you hesitate, that’s on you.
As someone who’s watched this pattern unfold more times than I can count… this is where smart money loads, not where it exits.
Let’s see if we get the dip. If we do, and it reacts the way I expect — this could be the move.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
GOLD Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,242.49.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,415.14 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-13 : Rally 111 PatternToday's RALLY pattern suggests we will see continued upward price trending in the SPY/QQQ (and possibly BTCUSD).
I believe the continued positive news/announcements by the Trump administration is adding fuel for the current rally phase in the US markets. It is hard to ignore his tactics (like them or hate them). He is able to get things done in a way that many believe is disruptive.
Still, from what I'm hearing, the Chinese trade deal is a very broad and advantageous deal that somewhat "resets" the disparity the US has experienced for the past 20+ years with China. Overall, that is a very positive advancement in global trade.
Now, we'll have to see how the markets react to this news and is the hype is as good as the final trade deal.
Overall, the US markets are still climbing up the current FLAGGING formation (still BULLISH).
I see another Island (GAP) type of price move, which may prompt some consolidation - we'll see how things play out.
Gold and Silver are setting up double/triple bottoms across support.
BTCUSD is rallying higher within a similar FLAG formation to the SPY/QQQ.
In my mind, the markets are back to nearly where they were prior to the tariffs and early breakdown in late-February 2025. This is the "make or break" time for the markets.
Either the SPY continues higher and attempts to break above resistance - or it will start to fail over the next 5-10+ days and break downward.
Buckle up... and GET SOME.
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Scalping and Swing Trading Strategies
A Guide to Optimizing on TradingView
Scalping and swing trading strategies are two popular trading approaches in Forex, OANDA:XAUUSD gold, and cryptocurrencies, enabling traders to capitalize on price movements for maximum profits. Scalping focuses on short-term trades with small gains, while swing trading targets longer-term trends. This article guides you on implementing these strategies on TradingView using tools like RSI, MACD, and Fibonacci. Let’s dive in to elevate your trading skills!
1. What is Scalping?
Scalping is a short-term trading strategy where traders execute multiple trades daily, capitalizing on small price movements (often a few pips). The goal is to accumulate small profits from numerous trades.
Timeframe: 1-minute (M1) or 5-minute (M5).
Suitable markets: Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD), gold (XAU/USD), or cryptocurrencies (BTC/USD).
Requirements: Quick reactions, strict risk management, and appropriate leverage.
Example: A scalper might buy EUR/USD when the price touches the lower Bollinger Band on an M5 chart and sell when it reaches the middle band.
2. What is Swing Trading?
Swing trading is a medium- to long-term strategy that captures “price swings” within larger trends. Traders hold positions for days to weeks to maximize profits from significant price movements.
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4) or daily (D1).
Suitable markets: Stocks, Forex, gold, and cryptocurrencies.
Requirements: Patience, trend analysis skills, and effective capital management.
Example: A swing trader might buy XAU/USD when the price hits the 61.8% Fibonacci level on an H4 chart and hold until it reaches the next resistance.
3. Why Use Scalping and Swing Trading Strategies on TradingView?
TradingView offers powerful tools to execute both strategies effectively:
Flexible price charts: Supports multiple timeframes and chart types (candlestick, Renko).
Technical indicators: RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci, and more.
Price alerts: Set notifications for when prices hit support/resistance levels.
Pine Script: Customize indicators or automate trading strategies.
Tip: Use TradingView’s “Replay” feature to test scalping or swing trading strategies on historical data.
4. Scalping Strategy on TradingView
4.1. Tools and Setup
Timeframe: M1 or M5.
Indicators:
Bollinger Bands (period 20, deviation 2).
RSI (period 14, overbought 70, oversold 30).
Trading pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, or XAU/USD (due to high liquidity).
4.2. Trading Rules
Buy signal:
Price touches the lower Bollinger Band.
RSI <30 (oversold).
Confirmed by a reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., Doji).
Sell signal:
Price touches the upper Bollinger Band.
RSI >70 (overbought).
Confirmed by a reversal candlestick.
Risk management:
Set Stop Loss 5–10 pips below the nearest support.
Take Profit at 10–15 pips or when the price hits the middle Bollinger Band.
4.3. Example
On an M5 EUR/USD chart, if the price touches the lower Bollinger Band at 1.0850 and RSI <30, enter a buy order. Set Stop Loss at 1.0840 and Take Profit at 1.0865. Exit when the price reaches the middle band.
Image illustration: EUR/USD M5 chart with Bollinger Bands and RSI (optimize alt text: “EUR/USD scalping chart TradingView”).
5. Swing Trading Strategy on TradingView
5.1. Tools and Setup
Timeframe: H4 or D1.
Indicators:
Fibonacci Retracement.
MACD (12, 26, 9).
Moving Averages (MA50, MA200).
Trading pairs: XAU/USD, GBP/USD, or BTC/USD.
5.2. Trading Rules
Buy signal:
Price hits the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci level in an uptrend.
MACD crosses above the signal line.
Price is above MA50.
Sell signal:
Price hits the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci level in a downtrend.
MACD crosses below the signal line.
Price is below MA50.
Risk management:
Set Stop Loss below the nearest support (20–50 pips, depending on the pair).
Take Profit at the next resistance or a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
5.3. Example
On an H4 XAU/USD chart, if the price hits the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $1,950 in an uptrend and MACD confirms a buy signal, enter a buy order. Set Stop Loss at $1,930 and Take Profit at $2,000.
Image illustration: XAU/USD H4 chart with Fibonacci and MACD (optimize alt text: “XAU/USD swing trading chart TradingView”).
6. Tips for Applying Scalping and Swing Trading Strategies
Combine with fundamental analysis: Economic news (interest rates, NFP reports) can impact prices, especially in Forex and OANDA:XAUUSD gold.
Backtest strategies: Use TradingView’s “Replay” mode to test strategies before live trading.
Manage emotions: Scalping requires intense focus, while swing trading demands patience. Choose the strategy that suits your personality.
Optimize costs: Scalping incurs high spread costs, so choose a broker with low spreads.
7. Conclusion
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GOLD Correction Complete - Rally Toward $3,450 AheadOANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling ongoing bullish momentum. The price has continued to respect the channel structure, printing higher highs and higher lows, a clear sign of an intact uptrend. The recent retracement represents a healthy correction, potentially setting the stage for another bullish leg.
Price is now approaching a key support zone, marked by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand area. If this zone holds, it may offer a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. The projected upside target is $3,450, which aligns with both the midline of the ascending channel and a previous resistance level.
As long as the price remains above the support zone and the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. A break below this level, however, could invalidate the setup and increase the likelihood of a deeper retracement.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
XAUUSD: Analysis and Signals for May 13Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3200-3167
Four-hour chart resistance 3284, support below 3200
One-hour chart resistance 3270, support below 3200
Gold operation suggestions: In the Asian market on Tuesday, spot gold fell to 3216 and continued to rise, eventually breaking through 3260 US dollars. From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the first-line support of the 3200 integer mark, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour level resistance 3270 and the four-hour level resistance 3284 near the suppression. The short-term long and short strength watershed 3284 first-line mark, before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, continue to maintain the idea of rebound selling unchanged.
Today's CPI data, the volatility of the US market has increased, reduce the transaction size, set stop losses, and prevent unilateral market movements.
Sell: 3283near SL: 3288
Sell: 3270near SL: 3275
Gold Price Analysis Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease🔥 Gold Price Analysis: Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease
Technical Analysis Overview:
Yesterday's sharp decline in gold prices suggests a temporary de-escalation in geopolitical tensions, particularly in terms of the ongoing conflicts and political uncertainties. The global situation seems to be calming down, which has had a significant impact on the market.
From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend seems to be rational, though nothing is set in stone. Key negotiations are still underway, and important agreements may still be signed. After the sharp fall, gold has found some recovery, especially as it returns to liquidity gaps to fill.
Current Viewpoint:
At this stage, I am still expecting a retracement in gold prices, which will present better selling opportunities. While yesterday’s outlook focused on selling, we successfully identified key levels for buying. Today, selling opportunities seem more favorable than buying.
We need a pullback to fill the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and yesterday’s gap, after which gold may undergo another significant adjustment. The political dynamics, along with potential delays in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, could push gold back to $3000 per ounce. If this happens, the rise in gold prices would be easy to foresee.
Short-Term Strategy:
In the short term, we will continue following the market’s wave of corrections. Short positions may be more sustainable, and holding onto them could prove more beneficial in the current environment.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 3264 – 3278 – 3307 – 3328
Support Levels: 3241 – 3207 – 3196 – 3172 – 3156
Buy Opportunities:
Scalp Buy Zone: 3196 – 3164
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220
Buy Zone: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190
Sell Opportunities:
Scalp Sell Zone: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240
Sell Zone: 3328 – 3330
SL: 3334
TP: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3312 – 3308 – 3300 – 3290 – 3280
Upcoming Key News:
In the US session, we are expecting the release of CPI data for this period. As this is a crucial data point for the month, traders should pay attention. Currently, there is not enough information to analyze the CPI in-depth, so I will update you on the developments at the end of the European session, as we head into the US market.
Important Notes:
Ensure that you manage risk effectively and stick to your TP/SL levels to safeguard your account. We are still in a volatile period, and as always, caution is key when navigating these types of market conditions.
Good Luck!
DeGRAM | GOLD trend line breakout📊 Technical Analysis
● Price printed successive lower highs (LH) inside the descending channel and has just broken back below the blue corrective trend‑line.
● Fresh acceptance under the 3 260 points to a slide toward the lower rail at 3 200, with scope to probe the March floor near 3 100; bias flips only on a 4 h close back above 3 300.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● A hotter‑than‑expected US CPI (3.5 % y/y) lifted 10‑yr yields to 4.50 %, reviving bets that the Fed may delay cuts, which firmed the USD and spurred ETF outflows from bullion.
✨ Summary
Lower highs + rising US yields favour a short‑term short in XAU/USD: targets 3 200 → 3 100, risk managed above 3 300.
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Gold’s Short-Term Setup!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall today after the news " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. "
Gold is moving near a Heavy Support zone($3,198-$3,136) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it appears that Gold has completed five downwaves , and we should expect Gold to rise at least to the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) .
It is possible that selling pressure on Gold will increase again with the opening of the US marke t. But this analysis is in the short term , and it is likely to hit Target before the US market opens.
The Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern can also be a sign of Gold rising , at least in the short term .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,241.890.
Note: Stop Loss(SL): $3204.820
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
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