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GOLD | Bearish Reversal Pattern – More Downside Ahead?### **Analysis & Description:** This is a **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** from TradingView, highlighting a **bearish trend reversal pattern**. The price action forms a series of **lower highs and lower lows**, indicating a clear **downtrend formation**. #### **Key Observations:** 1. **Lower Highs & Lower Lows:** - The chart outlines a classic **bearish market structure** with multiple rejection points. - Each bullish rally is met with strong selling pressure, leading to a downward continuation. 2. **Momentum Weakness (MACD Indicator):** - The MACD at the bottom indicates **bearish momentum**, with both the MACD line and Signal line in negative territory. - This suggests that selling pressure dominates and further downside movement is likely. 3. **Price Projection:** - The final arrow suggests **further downside movement**, possibly breaking below key support zones. - If price breaks below the **$2,807 support**, it could accelerate selling toward **$2,780 – $2,750 zones**. 4. **Possible Trading Strategy:** - **Bearish Confirmation:** Traders should watch for a breakdown below **$2,807** for a short-selling opportunity. - **Bullish Reversal?:** If price forms a strong support at **$2,807**, we may see a bounce before further downside. ### **Conclusion:** Gold is currently in a **short-term downtrend**, and traders should be cautious of potential bearish continuation. However, **fundamental news events** could also impact price action, so it's essential to monitor economic data and market sentiment. #### **Key Levels to Watch:** - **Support:** $2,807 – $2,780 - **Resistance:** $2,846 – $2,880 📉 **What do you think? Will gold continue to drop, or will we see a reversal soon? Drop your thoughts below!** 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
2.28 Gold Trading Strategy Analysis On Thursday (February 27), gold accelerated its decline and once lost the 2870 mark, mainly under the pressure of a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, while investors awaited key inflation reports to assess the Fed's policy path. The U.S. dollar index rose 0.6%, further away from the recent 11-week low, after U.S. President Trump's vague promise to impose tariffs on the European Union and further postponement of tariffs on Canada and Mexico caused market volatility. Trump said on Tuesday that "the 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico will take effect as planned on March 4", and on Wednesday he changed his words and said "it may be postponed to April 2", while threatening to impose a 25% tariff on the European Union. The dollar rose slightly as U.S. President Trump's recent remarks on his trade policy plans have increased market uncertainty. Despite the rebound in the dollar, the market is still betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year (the first in July and the second in October) due to increasing concerns about economic slowdown. The U.S. consumer confidence index plummeted to 98.3 on Tuesday (expected 102.5), the biggest drop since August 2021. The rebound in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has reduced the appeal of non-yielding gold. A slight recovery in the dollar and Treasury yields has weighed on gold to some extent, but the overall uptrend in gold remains intact. Several Fed officials will speak later in the day to provide the market with more insights into possible rate cuts by the Fed this year. The market will next focus on the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, which will be released on Friday. According to a Reuters poll, the market generally expects the monthly PCE index to be 0.3%, the same as in December 2024. The market is currently very sensitive to growth concerns, especially after last week's dismal U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data. If the PCE result is stronger than expected and suggests that the Fed will not cut interest rates in the near future, it may have a negative impact on gold. Gold is seen as a safe haven against political risks and inflation, but higher interest rates will reduce the appeal of this non-yielding asset. Meanwhile, Russian and American diplomats will hold talks in Istanbul aimed at resuming their respective diplomatic missions, which is seen as a step towards ending the war in Ukraine. Gold market trend analysis: Gold technical analysis: Gold finally fell. From the trading strategy of last weekend, our team has been reminding people to pay attention to this week's big waterfall. Traders who follow our trading strategy have made enough profits. The whole day has been emphasizing that the top structure of gold has been built. Today, gold fell like a waterfall, breaking through the 2870 support line, and the top pattern was officially established. Gold is getting weaker and weaker, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts. Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward to form a dead cross. Gold has refreshed its low again. Gold's downward space has opened up again. Gold shorts have just begun, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts. On the whole, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends rebound shorting as the main strategy for short-term gold operations today, and callback longing as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2888-2890 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2830-2834 support line.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Caesar_Gorman1
Gold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pullback Before Resuming Uptrendhello guys. let's analyze gold Resistance and Pullback: The price recently tested a resistance zone around $2,900, which could indicate exhaustion in the current uptrend. The immediate pullback from this level suggests that buyers are taking profits, and the market may temporarily retreat. Support Zone: The blue support zone (ranging from $2,820 to $2,840) is crucial. This area aligns with the rising trendline, and it is expected to provide support. If the price reaches this region, it could trigger another round of buying, pushing gold higher once again. Next Move: If gold prices successfully hold above the support zone, we might see a continuation of the uptrend toward the upper boundary of the channel, potentially targeting $2,950 to $3,000 in the coming weeks. However, if the support fails, a deeper pullback could test the next key levels below $2,800 before the market can resume its upward trajectory. Conclusion: The pullback from the $2,900 resistance zone suggests a likely short-term correction. Gold prices are expected to test the blue support zone around $2,820 before potentially resuming the bullish trend toward higher levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
23
Gold’s Glimmering Pullback: A Strategic PauseIn recent weeks, gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a notable pullback from its record highs, influenced by a combination of technical indicators and fundamental factors. The emergence of a Shooting Star candlestick pattern at the peak suggests potential short-term bearish momentum, while overbought conditions indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) further support the likelihood of a temporary correction. Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cuts and escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have intensified gold’s rally. However, positive economic data has led to speculation that the Fed may slow the pace of rate cuts, contributing to the recent price decline. Despite this pullback, the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish, with analysts viewing the current dip as a strategic opportunity for investors to enter the market at more favorable levels. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
by KeN-WeNzEl
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great finish to the week with our level to level cross and lock confirmations allowing us to buy dips on the weighted level bounces. We like to always stay with long term trend and therefore our levels allow us to trade against the short term trend change. Start of the week we completed Bullish target 2950 and then confirmed the rejection with no lock opening all our bearish targets. Yesterday we stated that Ema5 cross and lock below 2903 opened the swing range and we got the swing range hit at 2884 and stated that we still had room for the full swing range test at 2861. - This was hit perfectly followed with a further cross and lock opening the secondary swing range, which is now also hit with room left for the full test. As you can see, the beauty of our system with every weighted swing range level providing the 30 to 40 pip bounce like we stated. We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 24 - Feb 28]OANDA:XAUUSD continued to increase for the 8th consecutive week, marking the longest increasing streak in many years. Opening the week at 2,886 USD/oz, gold price peaked at 2,955 USD/oz and closed at 2,936 USD/oz. The main reason is concern about US tariff policy causing economic instability, increasing global gold demand. In addition, many central banks, especially in the BRICS bloc, are also actively buying gold. Gold prices will have more room to rise higher due to the ongoing geopolitical and geo-economic instability, including the Trump administration's tariff policy and the risk of political instability in Europe. Additionally, demand for investing in gold-backed exchange-traded funds is also growing. The US PCE inflation report, released next Friday, may affect gold prices through FED interest rate adjustments. If PCE increases, the FED may delay cutting interest rates, which is detrimental to gold prices. On the contrary, if PCE drops sharply, the gold price could exceed 3,000 USD/oz. SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Tuesday morning will see the February US Consumer Confidence report, followed by January New Home Sales data on Wednesday. On Thursday, markets will receive preliminary reports on US fourth-quarter GDP, January Durable Goods Orders and weekly jobless claims, followed by US pending housing contract data later in the morning. However, the most important event of the week will be the US core PCE index on Friday, along with the January personal income and personal spending reports. This is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, helping gold traders gauge the outlook for interest rates in the near term. 📌Technically, although the gold price is still maintaining an uptrend, however, on the Weekly and Daily charts, some technical indicators such as MACD show signs that the price has diverged, the moving average lines (EMA34,89) are quite far from the price line, this shows that the gold price next week may face adjustment pressure before continuing to increase again, unless there are fundamental factors that have a strong impact on the gold price. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD Resistance: 2,946USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3001 - 2999⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3005 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2834 - 2836⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2830
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Analysis: Bearish Breakdown with Potential PullGold (XAUUSD) 4H Chart Analysis 📉✨ 1️⃣ Price Action Gold is in a downtrend, recently breaking below a key support zone (purple). It is trading below the 200 EMA (2,841.953), confirming bearish sentiment. A minor pullback to the broken support zone is expected before further downside. 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Resistance Zone: Around 2,875 - 2,900 (previous supply area). Immediate Support: 2,800 - 2,810 (highlighted demand zone). 3️⃣ RSI (Relative Strength Index) 📊 Oversold at 19.98 ⚠️ → This suggests a potential short-term bounce, but trend remains weak. 32.46 level is a key resistance on RSI; breaking above could signal a recovery. 4️⃣ Bearish Bias 📉 If price retests the broken support and rejects, we could see a drop towards 2,800. RSI suggests possible relief before further downside. Trading Outlook 🔥 ✅ Bearish Scenario: Sell on a rejection of the broken support, targeting 2,800. 🚨 Bullish Case: If Gold reclaims 2,850+, it might retest the 200 EMA and higher levels. Would you like an updated analysis if the price action changes? 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
Gold Price Analysis: Bearish Breakdown Below Key Support at 2888Gold (XAU/USD) has broken below the strong support level of 2888, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend. This breakdown suggests increasing bearish momentum, and traders should be prepared for further declines. Downtrend Scenario & Targets If the bearish pressure continues, gold is likely to move toward the following downside targets: ✅ Target 01: 2866 – A minor support level where price may consolidate before further movement. ✅ Target 02: 2855 – A stronger support zone that could act as a temporary stopping point for sellers. ✅ Target 03: 2835 – A key demand zone, where buyers may step in to slow the decline. Possible Retracement Before Further Drop Despite the bearish outlook, gold may experience a temporary pullback before continuing lower. A retracement toward the previous support-turned-resistance at 2888 or even 2898 is possible. If the price fails to break above these levels, it could serve as confirmation for further downside movement. Trading Strategy Considerations 🔸 Sell on Retracement: If gold retraces to 2888 or 2898 and shows rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, wicks, or resistance confirmation), it could provide a good short-selling opportunity. 🔸 Break & Retest Confirmation: If gold retests 2888 and fails to break above, it would signal further downside movement. 🔸 Risk Management: Set stop-loss above 2900 to manage risk in case of unexpected bullish reversals.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipsview_Analysis
GOLD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2845.5 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 2838.1 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 2860.5 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold’s Sell-Off Continues: Is 2850 the Next Target?It has been a rough week for Gold bulls. After reaching a new all-time high on Monday, Gold experienced a sharp sell-off, breaking multiple support levels—just as I highlighted in my recent analyses. Yesterday, I pointed out that the 2880 support level was unlikely to hold and that a drop toward 2850 was the most probable scenario. Overnight, Gold hit a low of around 2856, which now raises the key question: is the correction nearing its end, or is there more downside ahead? What’s Next? ✅ Bearish Continuation: Now the mid-term trend turned bearish. Gold is known for its strong directional moves, and history suggests that once momentum picks up, the asset rarely stops immediately. As long as Gold trades below 2880, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. ✅ Key Resistance at 2880: This level, previously a support, has now turned into a significant resistance zone. A retest of this area could present new selling opportunities for traders looking to join the trend. ✅ Potential Rebound from 2850: Although the trend favors further downside, the 2850 zone is a critical area of interest. Given the size of the recent decline—nearly 1,000 pips in just a few days—a short-term bounce cannot be ruled out. However, any bullish move would need strong confirmation before considering long positions. Conclusion: Selling rallies into resistance remains the safer strategy, while buyers should exercise caution and wait for clear signals before stepping in. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
SPY/QQQ Plan your Trade For 2-28 : Gap Up - LowerToday's pattern suggests the markets will open with a slight GAP UP (higher), then transition into a downward price trend throughout the rest of the day. After yesterday's deep selling, I suspect there may be a bit more of an uptrend in early trading. The 584-585 level on the SPY was hit. That was my original projected downside target for the Feb 21-24 breakdown in price. We've also seen Bitcoin collapse a little over 25%. I believe this deep selling in Bitcoin prompted a "sell-everything" type of breakdown in the SPY/QQQ and other assets (gold/silver). Once this move subsides/bases, I believe we'll see 2-3 days of basing/bottoming, then a reasonably strong reversion rally in the SPY/QQQ as the sell-everything fear settles. This would be a good time to look for initial "anchor" positions in certain assets related to a moderate recovery rally between now and March 11-14 - maybe a bit later. Overall, we are moving solidly into my expanding megaphone pattern and should continue to see increased price volatility. The next phase of the market trends is a moderate recovery rally. Then, as we approach the March 21-24 breakdown phase, we will see more selling. Get ready for a base/bottom setup. Then, we'll see the price move into a recovery phase, and the SPY may target 600 to 604 before topping again. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
2
GOLD - Price can correct to support area and then start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago, the price started to grow inside the wedge, where it immediately corrected from the resistance line to $2864 points. Then it turned around and started to grow inside the wedge, soon broke the $2885 level and continued to grow. Price later reached $2940 level and even long time traded near this level and later broke also broke it. But soon, Gold turned around and made a downward movement, thereby breaking $2940 level and exiting from a wedge. Next, price entered to triangle and continued to fall in it, and even reached a support level, after which bounced up. So, I think that Gold can bounce from support area and rise to $2920, exiting from a triangle. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
6
XAU/USD : 1000 Pips Down from ATH, What's Next? (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the one-hour timeframe, we can see that the price, based on the previous analysis, managed to rise by nearly 200 pips but then started to decline from the $2894 zone. Today, we witnessed a price correction down to $2859. This week, gold has experienced a 3.5% correction from its all-time high, with a decline of over 1000 pips. Currently, gold is trading around $2860. The attractive SELL zones are $2894, $2900, and $2906. The attractive BUY zones are $2820, $2833, and $2845. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
16
GOLD Drops $67 – Bearish Momentum Continues Below 2,859 GOLD Update – Feb 28, 2025 Gold dropped $67 from 2,918 to 2,859, as we expected! Now, the price is struggling below 2873, keeping the bearish momentum intact. 📉Bearish Scenario: Staying below 2,859 and 2,873 could push the price toward 2,840. A 1H or 4H close below 2,840 opens the door for 2,823 – 2,811. 📈Bullish Possibility: If 2,873 is reclaimed, expect some volatility between 2,873 and 2,880. Above 2,880, gold could rally to 2,895 – 2,905. 💠Key Levels: Resistance: 2873 | 2880 | 2895 Pivot: 2859 Support: 2840 | 2823 | 2810 Bearish Trend is Active while Below 2859 Bullish Correction to 2873 if Stabilized Above 2859
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
1
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 2,863.303. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2,902.672 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:GOLDLong
by SignalProvider
1
LONG ON GOLDGold has fell almost $100 or 1000 pips since Monday from its high. Its currently at a major demand level that was created 2/7/25 that caused it to rise $100 points to 2/24//25. History from 2/7/25 looks like it will be repeating itself. Dollar (DXY) looks bearish and PCE news comes out at 8:30 for Inflation which I believe will come out bad causing the dollar to tank and gold as well as the indices to rise. I will be buying gold looking to catch that $100 move or 1000pips. See you at the Top! OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BBIDF
2
GOLD → False breakdown before further declineOANDA:XAUUSD updating lows within the changing local trend structure. The price is currently testing the liquidity zone at 2852, with a potential rebound before further downside movement. Gold registered its lowest level in two weeks, dropping below $2,900 in Asia on Friday, breaking an eight-week bullish streak. The metal remains under pressure from the stronger U.S. dollar, influenced by Trump's tariff policies and U.S. economic conditions. Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled on March 4 and also threatened to impose a 25% tariff on European Union imports, along with an additional 10% on Chinese goods. Additionally, weak U.S. GDP data (2.3% in Q4) and rising jobless claims have further supported the dollar. Traders are now awaiting the U.S. PCE Price Index to assess the Fed's interest rate outlook and its impact on gold. A false breakdown at 2852 could trigger a retracement toward the 0.618 Fibonacci imbalance zone at 2877 or the 0.5 level at 2885 before resuming the decline. Given both weak fundamental and technical conditions, gold may attempt to retest its recent lows. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
GOLD is under great pressure by the US DollarThe US Dollar Index soared again, which put pressure on OANDA:XAUUSD adding momentum to the adjustment momentum taking place in recent days. Bloomberg said that after US President Donald Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week, currency traders bought the US Dollar, while currencies other than the USD were negatively affected, with the Canadian Dollar and Mexican Peso being hit the hardest. The soaring US Dollar is also detrimental to precious metals, commodities and digital currencies. Trump said 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico would take effect on March 4. He stated on his "Truth Social" account: "Drugs are still flowing into our country from Mexico and Canada in unacceptable quantities. We cannot let this scourge continue to hurt the United States, so until it stops or is tightly controlled, tariffs are proposed." with Canada and Mexico) scheduled to take effect on March 4 will actually take effect as planned." Trump also said he would impose "reciprocity" tariffs of 25% on cars and other European goods. OANDA:XAUUSD In recent times, it has still been going fast and strong, although fundamentally there are still many existing support risks, mainly due to profit-taking activities after a long period of price increases and the strong increase in the price of the US Dollar. Thanks to the influx of money into safe havens, gold prices hit an all-time high of $2,956.15 an ounce on Monday after a rapid downward correction. Gold prices are clearly fluctuating, short-term fluctuations and some profit-taking are just a normal part of the cycle Since the presidential election on November 5 of last year, the Dollar Spot Index has gained 6.62%. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD The medium-term uptrend of gold price is threatened when the sell-off momentum brings gold price below the price channel and EMA21, these are negative signals with the next support level being noticed at the price point of 2,835USD, more likely is the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. Currently, the $2,880 level is the previous support turned resistance with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement becoming the nearest resistance. On the other hand, the RSI tests the 50 mark. Once the RSI passes the 50 mark, this will be a warning of continued price decline because there is still room to fall with the RSI quite far from the oversold level. As noted to readers in previous publications and short comments during the day, the downward correction will not stop easily before the original price point of 2,900 USD, so you must always be ready for stronger corrections when gold has had a very long period of technical increase. Although gold has not yet formed a clear downtrend in the medium term, there is still room to fall ahead and notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,850 – 2,835 – 2,814USD Resistance: 2,868 – 2,880 – 2,900USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2911 - 2909⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2915 →Take Profit 1 2903 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2897 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2849 - 2851⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2845 →Take Profit 1 2857 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2863
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading