XAUUSD M15 Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
Gold
XAUUSD - Will Gold Hold $3,300?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If gold corrects towards the two demand areas, it can be bought with a risk-adjusted reward.
Following a tense market open yesterday, driven by escalating military tensions between Russia and Ukraine, the two sides concluded their negotiations in Istanbul. According to an Axios correspondent, Russia presented Ukraine with a formal peace proposal during the talks, outlining terms for a ceasefire and an end to the conflict.
Interfax reported that Russia issued an official memorandum listing its proposed conditions for achieving a ceasefire.
Key points in the document include:
• A full withdrawal of Ukrainian military forces from territories currently under Russian control, including Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson.
• The complete removal of all existing economic sanctions and a mutual agreement to refrain from introducing new sanctions.
• A proposal to reestablish economic relations, including the resumption of natural gas transit through Ukraine.
• A demand for Ukraine to reduce its military personnel and weaponry, along with explicit guarantees of its non-nuclear status and a strict ban on deploying any nuclear arms on its territory.
• The memorandum also calls for the termination of general military mobilization in Ukraine and the initiation of a demobilization process as part of the path toward a ceasefire.
On the other side, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Kyiv and Moscow have agreed to a prisoner exchange involving 1,000 soldiers from each side. This exchange includes an additional 200 individuals per side compared to previous agreements. Zelensky described the deal as “another step in the right direction,” and noted that the lists of detainees would be exchanged between the countries later this week.
In U.S. economic news, the latest update from the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model forecasts a 4.6% annualized growth rate for real GDP in the second quarter of 2025. This is an upward revision from the previous estimate of 3.8% released on May 30. The revision followed new data releases from the U.S. Census Bureau and the ISM. In particular, personal consumption growth was raised from 3.3% to 4.0%, while private domestic investment was adjusted from –1.4% to +0.5%.
On the trade front, according to a draft letter obtained by Reuters, the Trump administration has urged participating countries to submit their best trade proposals by Wednesday. The goal is to accelerate talks with multiple partners ahead of a five-week deadline.
This draft, issued by the Office of the United States Trade Representative, provides a glimpse into how President Trump plans to wrap up complex trade negotiations with dozens of nations. These negotiations began on April 9, when he temporarily suspended his “Freedom Day” tariffs for 90 days—until July 8—following turmoil across equity, bond, and currency markets in response to the broad scope of the tariffs.
According to the draft, the U.S. is asking countries to submit top-tier offers across key areas, including tariff and quota proposals for importing American industrial and agricultural products, as well as plans to remove non-tariff barriers.
Stuart Jenkins from Goldman Sachs stated that elevated tariffs on steel and aluminum have likely contributed to a weakening of the U.S. dollar. On Friday, President Trump announced that these tariffs would double starting Wednesday, reaching 50%. Although metals represent a relatively small portion of U.S. imports and the broader impact may be limited, Jenkins noted that this move illustrates the administration’s continued ability to impose tariffs, even in the face of potential legal challenges.
XAUUSD – Poised for a Major Breakout After ConsolidationOn the monthly chart, XAUUSD is forming an Inside Bar pattern, signaling that the market is compressing ahead of a potential strong move. May’s candle remains within April’s range – a classic setup that often precedes a decisive breakout.
On the H4 timeframe, gold has attempted to break above recent highs multiple times but failed, forming a series of lower highs, indicating a corrective structure. However, the recent rebound from May’s low suggests potential accumulation is underway.
Currently, price is hovering around a neutral zone. A clear break above the 3,400 level could spark a fast move toward the 3,500–3,600 range. Conversely, a drop below 3,120 would open the door for a deeper pullback toward 3,000.
From a macro perspective, long-term fundamentals continue to support the bullish case for gold, driven by dovish central bank policies, geopolitical risks, and concerns about USD debasement. Still, a confirmed technical breakout is needed to establish direction in the near term.
Strategy Summary
Buy zone to watch: 3,307 – 3,320
Bullish trigger: Holding above 3,300
Target: 3,435
Risks: False breakouts or failure to hold above the breakout zone
Evening gold analysis and trading point layout📰 Impact of news:
1. Fed's Goolsbee: Despite the unresolved tariff issue, it is still believed that interest rates are expected to fall in the next 12 to 18 months
2. May PMI data is positive
3. Russian media: Russia lists the full withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Russian territory as one of the ceasefire options
📈 Market analysis:
Judging from the 4H chart, gold is currently fluctuating around the 3370 line, and the bulls are still relatively strong. We should pay attention to the short-term support at 3365-3355 below, and the short-term suppression at 3385-3395 above. If it breaks through the upper suppression, we will pay attention to the 3400 line suppression position. The recent market fluctuations have been relatively large, so bros must set take-profit and stop-loss when trading independently!
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355
TP 3370-3380-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD/Gold on 3rd May 2025As yesterday I posted that golds is in major uptrend and it is still active. On daily timeframe gold made breakout upward direction of channel and 3382. As I said gold made gap wile opening on Monday so it was strongly bullish, now we want it to fill the gap. And did it is first rejection and coming down. No gold is trading at 3360-65 range, and it is support, soon if it get's break toward downward then price can surge to 3323-3330. Waiting for confirmation and then execute trade.
Key point.
Support - 3364, 3330, 3313
Resistance - 3386, 3400, 3414
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GOLD H1 Intraday Chart For 3 June 2025Hello Traders,
GOLD is in mid term Bullish Trend for now as we already captured nice pips yesterday with directional sequence
but now all eyes on 3400 Psychological Level Breakout once it will break market will move towards 3430
for market in is consolidation zone between 3340-60 and expected to move back towards 3380 or even 90
if market breaks 3330 successfully today then it will move towards 3330 Psychological Level
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Trade Idea: Long XAUUSD (BUY STOP)
Bias: Long
Order Type: Buy Stop
Entry: 3392.60 (above current swing high & clean momentum continuation)
Stop Loss: 3379.00 (below local support & M15 20/50 SMA)
Take Profit: 3430.00
Risk-Reward: ~2.7R
⸻
📈 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
H4:
• Structure remains bullish.
• Price is breaking out of a range with a clean reclaim of both SMAs.
• Momentum increasing, MACD histogram turning up, signaling trend continuation.
M15:
• Strong impulsive rally from ~3290s to ~3390.
• Higher highs and higher lows cleanly respected.
• Price consolidating at the highs—ideal for breakout continuation setups.
M3:
• Momentum is persistent with shallow pullbacks.
• Small flag forming near 3390 = ideal for a stop entry just above.
• RSI cooling off but still in bullish structure—no divergence yet.
⸻
🧠 Trade Logic:
This is a momentum continuation play after a clean intraday impulse. The market has shown strong upside commitment across all timeframes and is now pausing in a flag/pennant above the breakout zone. A buy stop avoids chasing and only gets triggered if the market confirms with new demand.
⸻
🛡️ Risk Management & Execution:
• Invalidation Window (SL-to-BE Zone):
Move SL to breakeven once price closes above 3401 on M3 with bullish structure.
→ This marks a clear micro higher high and exit from the current consolidation range.
• SL Placement Justification:
3379 is just below the M15 demand zone and SMA confluence—if price breaks below, momentum has failed.
• Entry Execution:
If the flag structure gets invalidated before entry (e.g., price dips sharply), cancel the buy stop.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold is Setting up for a Move! Could it be a big one?Looking for price to set up for a solid move. One thing is for sure we are waiting for the killzones before taking any action. The price action the last few days has been giving fake outs just before we roll into the killzone. Be patient. Wait for things to line up.
Gold H4 | Approaching a swing-high resistanceGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 3,431.43 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 3,530.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,324.07 which is a pullback support.
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Analysis strategy for the latest gold trend on June 2:
The strengthening of the US dollar suppressed the gold price: the US dollar index rebounded, and gold fell under pressure.
Impact of tariff policy: The tariff policy during the Trump period was restored, and the market risk aversion fluctuated, but it did not significantly boost gold.
Expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut: Weak inflation data strengthened expectations of interest rate cuts, but short-term support for gold was limited.
Key event risks:
Powell's speech (next Tuesday): The market is paying attention to his statement on interest rate policy.
Fed officials have spoken intensively: This may affect the market's expectations of the pace of interest rate cuts.
1. Daily level
The closing price fell below 3300 (the middle track support of the Bollinger band), and the weekly decline exceeded 2.1%, with bears dominating.
Key support: 3250 (if it falls below, it may accelerate downward).
Key resistance: 3325 (if it breaks through, it may return to oscillating upward).
2. 1-hour level
The moving average is short-term, the 3325 resistance is strong, and the short-term rebound momentum is insufficient.
Friday's trend: The Asian and European sessions fluctuated downward, with the lowest at 3271. After rebounding, it fell again, indicating that the main force was washing the market.
Short-term trend: If it fails to break through the 3310-3313 resistance zone, it may continue to test 3250.
1. Short position layout (main strategy)
Entry range: 3308-3313 (rebound test resistance level)
Stop loss: above 3320 (prevent false breakthrough)
Target: 3295→3285→3250 (take profit in batches)
2. Long orders are carefully observed (counter-trend strategy)
Conditions: If it quickly drops to 3250 and stabilizes, you can go long with a light position (need to cooperate with oversold signals or US dollar pullback).
Stop loss: below 3240 (prevent further breakout).
Powell's speech: If a strong dovish signal is released (such as clarifying the time for interest rate cuts), the decline in gold may be reversed.
Geopolitical emergencies: If the situation escalates, safe-haven buying may push gold higher in the short term.
Dollar trend: If the dollar pulls back, gold may see a technical rebound.
Short-term trend: Bearish, pay attention to the pressure in the 3300-3313 resistance zone.
Trading strategy: Mainly short selling on rebound, strictly set stop loss, and avoid blindly buying at the bottom.
Medium- and long-term focus: Fed policy trends and economic data, if expectations of interest rate cuts heat up, gold may usher in a new round of gains.
(The market is changing rapidly, it is recommended to flexibly adjust strategies based on real-time data to control risks.)
Gold Rebounds Off 50-Day SMA Support in Bullish Continuation SetGold is reasserting its uptrend following a strong bounce off confluence support around the 50-day moving average and trendline:
Uptrend Intact: Price continues to respect the rising trendline and 50-day SMA (~$3,235), which acted as a springboard for the latest push.
Momentum Shift: The MACD has turned higher again after cooling off through April-May, while RSI is climbing toward the 60 zone, a constructive sign.
Next Resistance: A move above $3,400 would expose the all-time high region near $3,460.
Structure: This appears to be a textbook continuation pattern—higher lows and resilience above the short-term MAs indicate buyers remain in control.
A break below ~$3,230 would neutralize the bullish structure, but for now, bulls look reenergized.
-MW
Don't chase long positions easily during high-level adjustments📰 Impact of news:
1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation
2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports
3. May PMI data released
📈 Market analysis:
In the short term, the double high points above the gold price are suppressed at the 3365 line. The MACD indicators at the 4H and daily levels tend to form a golden cross, releasing bullish signals. In the short term, if you want to confirm a unilateral upward trend, you need to break through the 3365 line. Despite the strong bullish signals, as I just reminded you, the current technical indicators are close to overbought areas, and I still think there is a certain risk of a correction. In the European session, I will consider trying to short at the 3355-3365 line, and pay attention to the short-term support at 3340-3330 line below. Later, after the price gets some support at the support level, we can consider long trades.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3355-3365
TP 3340-3330-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
What to Expect After the Gold Breakout?In our earlier post titled “Bears Won the Battle for Gold”, the bearish momentum appeared dominant. However, that victory proved short-lived. A inverse head and shoulders pattern has now formed, and both this pattern and the downward trendline from the 3500 top have been broken. Despite this, the previous high at 3366 continues to hold, leaving the breakout unconfirmed for now.
The shift in fundamentals is notable. Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have re-escalated, with both sides accusing each other of violating the trade treaty, fueling risk-off sentiment and supporting gold.
Two key technical levels will now shape the short-term direction:
1- 3320 Retest: If gold retests and holds above the 3320 level, this would likely signal that another bullish leg is in motion.
2- Breakout of 3366: A clear move above the previous top would provide further confirmation of bullish momentum.
On the flip side, a sustained break below 3320, especially if accompanied by a de-escalation in trade tensions, progress on trade deals involving the U.S., China, or the EU would favor a bearish reversal.
For now, gold traders should stay alert to news headlines and closely monitor 3320 and 3366 as key decision points.
GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS & DOLLAR FATIGUE SUPPORT GOLDMACRO CONTEXT – GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS & DOLLAR FATIGUE SUPPORT GOLD
US-China trade friction is heating up, and ongoing tax negotiations with the EU have stalled. Investors are growing wary of prolonged policy uncertainties.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has pulled back from recent highs, with market expectations cooling on aggressive Fed policy.
Gold is regaining safe-haven status amid rising geopolitical noise and weakening risk appetite early in June.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – STRUCTURE FLIP & RETEST POTENTIAL
A clear breakout above the descending trendline and multiple moving averages (EMA 13–34–89–200) confirms strong short-term bullish structure.
Institutional footprints likely evident from the Asian session impulse candle.
The next upside targets lie at 3,348 and 3,361, with high probability of a retest toward breakout zones.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES & STRATEGY
🟢 BUY ZONE ON RETEST:
Entry: 3,325 – 3,322
Stop-Loss: 3,317
Take-Profit: 3,330 → 3,340 → 3,348 → 3,361
🔴 SELL ZONE (OVEREXTENSION SCENARIO):
Entry: 3,361 – 3,364
Stop-Loss: 3,370
Take-Profit: 3,355 → 3,348 → 3,340 → 3,330
📌 STRATEGIC NOTES
As long as 3,322 holds as support, buyers remain in control.
A clean retest of this zone may present a prime long opportunity.
Failure to hold may lead to a drop toward the EMA confluence between 3,301 – 3,294, where buyers could reload.
✅ Conclusion: Gold has flipped bullish with a convincing breakout. Traders should favor buy-the-dip setups while monitoring resistance at 3,348 – 3,361 for potential profit-taking or short-term reversals.
Gold INTRADAY Bullish breakout continuationGold continues to exhibit a bullish overall sentiment, supported by a well-established rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action has transitioned into a consolidation phase, signalling temporary indecision following the latest bullish move.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3250 – Critical near-term support; also the previous consolidation zone. A successful retest here would reinforce bullish structure.
3220 – Secondary support; a break below 3250 may prompt a move towards this level.
3200 – Major downside support; a breach would suggest a broader corrective phase.
Resistance:
3345 – Initial upside target if bullish momentum resumes.
3367 – Intermediate resistance; a break here would strengthen the bullish breakout.
3410 – Longer-term resistance; a target for sustained bullish extension.
Technical Outlook:
A corrective pullback toward 3250, followed by a bullish reversal, would confirm a continuation pattern and open the way toward 3345/3367/3410 over a medium to longer-term horizon. Conversely, a daily close below 3250 would invalidate the bullish bias and expose the metal to further downside toward 3220 and 3200.
Conclusion:
Gold remains bullish overall, but near-term direction hinges on the 3250 level. A bounce from this support reaffirms the uptrend, while a break below it warns of deeper correction. Traders should monitor price action closely around 3250 for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD - Gold is on the verge of a very important week!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I predict the path ahead for gold to be upward and if the resistance level is broken, we can look for buying opportunities. If gold corrects, we can also buy it with a reward at an appropriate risk.
Gold prices experienced a mild decline over the past week, with market sentiment shaped less by fundamental shifts and more by mixed messages and scattered commentary around tariffs.Despite the noise, many traders chose to rely on data and technical charts rather than reacting emotionally—data that painted a more subdued picture than the headlines suggested.
Rich Checkan, CEO of Asset Strategies International, responded confidently in a recent survey, predicting further gains in gold. “The trajectory for gold is clearly upward. Prices have stabilized around the $3,300 level and appear ready for a new rally, especially if the appellate court’s ruling on tariffs is upheld,” he said.
Checkan also pointed to another macroeconomic factor that could support gold: “A new tax bill, described as large and costly, is set to be voted on in the Senate soon. If passed, it will likely widen the budget deficit, which historically leads to increased liquidity and rising inflation—a favorable environment for gold.”
On Friday, the PCE inflation report showed easing price pressures, though not enough to put the Federal Reserve at ease. Core PCE (excluding food and energy) rose by 0.1% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year in April—matching expectations and slightly down from 2.7% the previous month. The headline PCE also increased 2.1% annually, just below the forecast of 2.2%.
The key point: these data reflect the first month in which Trump’s new tariffs were active, yet there’s little evidence so far that they’ve caused inflation to rise. Still, the disinflationary trend remains sluggish and distant from the Fed’s 2% target. In its latest minutes, the Fed warned that inflation may prove more persistent than previously thought.
Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal, despite the seemingly positive PCE numbers, issued a cautionary note with four key insights:
• The inflationary impact of tariffs is expected to begin showing up from May and be fully reflected in June’s data. This could accelerate goods price increases and disrupt the path of disinflation.
• Last year’s monthly PCE figures were particularly weak (May: 0%, June: 0.1%, July: 0.2%). As these drop out of the annual calculation, even if monthly gains remain steady, YoY rates could rise mathematically.
• The three-month average for Core PCE from May to October 2024 was only 0.1%. If upcoming monthly figures hit 0.2%, annual disinflation could stall or even reverse.
• While the latest report is encouraging, the effects of tariffs and the removal of last year’s weak data could complicate the inflation trajectory.
Looking ahead, market attention will focus heavily on a suite of crucial U.S. labor market indicators. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) is due Tuesday, private sector employment data (ADP) on Wednesday, and jobless claims on Thursday. However, the most anticipated release will be Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for May—widely viewed as a key factor influencing rate expectations.
Alongside labor data, markets will also watch other critical economic reports. The ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday and the ISM Services PMI on Wednesday will offer broader insight into U.S. business activity. In the realm of monetary policy, interest rate decisions from the Bank of Canada (Wednesday) and the European Central Bank (Thursday) are expected to trigger notable movements in the currency and gold markets.
GOLD H1 Chart Update For 2 June 25As you can see that there are some important zones mentioned on the chart
First read all details carefully market is in sideways for now once market will break 3330 level then it will move further higher towards 3360 even 3370
3300 Psychological Remains in focus once market breaks 3300 then it will try to fill the OPENING GAP which is due on 3289
for today if market sustains below 3280 level then it will move towards 3240-50 zone
Scalping or shorter term range in 3295-3320
Remember always use SL
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 02.06.2025Huge push up on Gold on market open due to Russia - Ukraine war tension.
Option 1: Gold rejects from CMP and drops lower towards $3,270.
Option 2: If Gold closes bullish above $3,330 then $3,370 is the next major bullish target.
Which scenario do you find more likely?
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on the 1-hour timeframe, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea and trading scenario:
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Overall Idea: Bearish Continuation
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Market Context
Current Price: $3,291.99
EMA 200: $3,297.69 (acting as dynamic resistance)
Trend: Price is within a descending channel, respecting both downtrend and uptrend lines
Directional Bias: Bearish unless a breakout occurs
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Key Zones
1. Resistance Level (Sell Zone)
Around $3,320–$3,340
Price rejected this level multiple times → strong supply zone
2. FVG Level (Fair Value Gap)
Around $3,305–$3,315
Price tapped this area and showed rejection
Identified as a "seller zone" – price likely filled imbalance and now resuming trend
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Projected Move
Price is expected to:
1. Reject EMA and FVG zone
2. Continue downward movement
3. Target support around $3,244.95
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Indicators
EMA 200: Above price → bearish pressure
RSI (14): ~46.78 → no extreme reading, but leans bearish; room for further downside
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Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Sell Entry: ~$3,300–$3,310 (already triggered)
Stop Loss: Above $3,320
Target: $3,244.95 (demand zone / previous low)
Risk/Reward: Favorable (~1:2+)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Warnings
Multiple economic event icons are marked (bottom of chart) → potential high volatility, especially around NFP/FOMC-related news
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pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)