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30/06 WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? ↗️GOLD PLAN – 30/06: WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? ☄️ ✅ Macro Context – Focus on USD Debt and Political Pressure Today marks the final trading day of June, and the U.S. faces a $6 trillion debt maturity from Covid-era borrowings, which may impact USD liquidity and market sentiment. During the Asian session, gold experienced a sharp drop to the 32xx area before bouncing back and is now hovering near last week's close. While the medium-term structure remains bearish, short-term signals suggest a potential reversal and recovery. ✅Political Catalyst: → Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to 1%-2%, stating he won’t appoint anyone unwilling to ease policy. → This raises expectations of future rate cuts, which could support gold prices in the near term. ✅ Technical Outlook – Multi-timeframe Structure On the higher timeframes, gold continues to correct lower. However, short-term candles are showing recovery momentum, with buyers absorbing around the 327x zone. Today’s strategy: prioritize short-term BUY setups aligned with the recovery wave. ✔️Key Resistance & Support Levels 🔺Resistance: 3283 – 3291 – 3301 – 3322 🔻Support: 3277 – 3271 – 3259 – 3247 🔖Trade Scenarios ✅Buy Scalping 🔺Entry: 3272 – 3274 🔹SL: 3268 ✔️TP: 3282 – 3288 – 3298 ✅Buy Zone 🔺Entry: 3249 – 3251 🔹SL: 3244 ✔️TP: 3265 – 3282 – 3295 – 3310 💠Sell Scalping 🔺Entry: 3298 – 3300 🔹SL: 3304 ✔️TP: 3292 – 3282 – 3270 💠Sell Zone 🔺Entry: 3327 – 3329 🔹SL: 3333 ✔️TP: 3322 – 3310 – 3298 – 3282 ⚡️ Final Note As this is the month-end session, expect possible volatility driven by USD flows and institutional rebalancing.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAUUSD 30/6 – 4/7/2025: Selling Pressure Builds - In the past week, gold OANDA:XAUUSD has been under consistent selling pressure due to the following key macro factors: - The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) TVC:DXY surged, raising the opportunity cost of holding gold and leading to widespread sell-offs. - 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hovered around 4.30%–4.35% , reinforcing expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer. - Core PCE data for June indicated that inflation remains elevated, reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. - Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have temporarily eased, diminishing gold’s safe-haven appeal in the short term. ➤ As a result, these combined factors are applying downward pressure on XAUUSD, especially after price decisively broke the 3,300 USD support zone. 1. Technical Analysis of XAUUSD – Daily Timeframe On the D1 chart: - Price has broken below the key support zone 3,300 – 3,331 USD, confirming a short-term bearish structure. - The Fibonacci retracement from the 3,399 peak to the 3,295 low has completed its pullback to the 0.5–0.618 zone (3,345 – 3,359 ) but was strongly rejected by sellers. - Price is now trading below both EMA20 and EMA50, indicating strong bearish momentum. - RSI has turned back under 50 and has not yet reached oversold territory, suggesting further downside potential exists. 2. Key Resistance and Support Zones for XAUUSD Technical Role ( 3,345 – 3,359 ) - Major confluence resistance (Fibonacci 0.618 + supply) ( 3,295 – 3,300 ) - Immediate resistance zone (post-breakdown retest) ( 3,260 – 3,235 ) - Short-term support and potential buy interest ( 3,223 – 3,205 ) - Strong medium-term support (Fibonacci 1.0 + April lows) 3. Trading Strategy for XAUUSD This Week (30/6 – 4/7/2025) Strategy 1 – Favor Short Positions Aligned with Bearish Momentum Entry: Sell near 3,295 – 3,300 (anticipating resistance retest) Stop Loss: 3,304 Take Profit 1: 3,290 Take Profit 2: 3,285 Take Profit 3: 3,275 Strategy 2 – Countertrend Buy at Key Support with Confirmation Entry: Buy near 3,235 – 3,240 only if bullish reversal candles (pin bar or bullish engulfing) appear on H4 or D1 Stop Loss: 3,230 Take Profit 1: 3,245 Take Profit 2: 3,250 Take Profit 3: 3,260 Ps : XAUUSD is currently in a downward correction phase, with the next target zone lying between 3,235 – 3,260 USD. The inability to hold above 3,300 confirms that sellers remain in control. The most favorable approach this week is to sell on rallies, especially near former support-turned-resistance zones. Stay vigilant, follow updated price action closely, and strictly manage risk to protect your capital. Follow for more high-probability strategies throughout the week – and save this idea if you find it valuable to your trading journey. Analysis by @Henrybillion
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Henrybillion
4
Gold Drops Sharply as Risk Appetite ReturnsGlobal gold prices extended their sharp decline into the final trading session of the week, sliding more than 1.5% and pausing around $3,274/oz as safe-haven sentiment continues to erode. 📰 What’s driving the sell-off? The primary trigger is the official signing of a trade agreement between the US and China, marking the end of a prolonged trade standoff. US Commerce Secretary confirmed that more agreements will follow before the July 9 deadline, including a commitment by China to supply rare earths to the US. This announcement sparked broad optimism across global markets, significantly reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Geopolitics also turned more constructive. Iran has expressed diplomatic goodwill, with its UN representative stating the country is ready to negotiate a regional nuclear coalition if a deal with Washington is reached. Meanwhile, Al Arabiya reported that the Israel–Gaza conflict may conclude within two weeks, further lowering geopolitical tensions. On the data front, US economic indicators continue to surprise to the upside. Core PCE rose 2.7% YoY in May, beating forecasts, while durable goods orders and jobless claims both reflected strength in the US economy. Still, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari reiterated that two rate cuts are likely in 2025, suggesting the Fed remains open to easing once inflation cools further. 🔍 Technical outlook Gold has broken below the key $3,330 support, confirming a short-term bearish structure. If the correction continues, the next levels to watch are $3,245, and more critically, the $3,200 zone. In the short term, gold faces downside risk due to improving global economic sentiment and easing geopolitical threats. However, over the medium to long term, Fed policy shifts and unforeseen geopolitical events could still reverse the current trend. Stay alert, watch the charts, and trade smart. Have a great weekend, everyone! 🌍📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Edward_TradingFX
XAUUSD Analysis – June Monthly CloseGold starts the week with a weak bounce attempt after a strong bearish momentum on Friday, which pushed the market below the key 3254 support. The downtrend structure remains valid with a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows on the 4H chart. At the moment, price is trapped inside the 3254–3295 range. Despite the strong bearish pressure, we have yet to see a meaningful correction after the sharp drop on June 28th. This opens the door for a potential intraday pullback to test minor supply and moving average resistance near 3291–3297. However, today is monthly candle close, which means increased volatility and possible false breakouts—especially during US sessions. Traders should be cautious with breakout traps, especially around 3305–3310, where stop hunting might occur. The bigger picture still favors the bears unless gold manages to break and hold above the descending trendline and the EMA cluster. 📌 Trade Setup (Short Bias – Intraday Correction) SELL zone: 3291 – 3297 SL: 3303 (Above supply & EMA test zone) TP1: 3278 TP2: 3255 TP3: 3215 This is not a high-conviction swing setup but a tactical short based on potential rejection from previous supply and dynamic resistance. Small lot size is recommended due to the wider stop-loss and low R/R reward unless high volatility plays in our favor. 📊 Key Intraday Levels R3: 3342 R2: 3322 R1: 3295 Pivot: 3254 S1: 3214 S2: 3180 S3: 3123
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
Navigating Gold Futures: Support, Resistance, and ProjectionsCOMEX:GC1! The chart appears to depict a clear five-wave pattern: I, II, III, IV, and V. Waves I to III show strong upward movements, indicating bullish sentiment. Wave IV looks like it could be a corrective phase, with a potential dip before another upward movement in Wave V. Support and Resistance Levels: The horizontal lines around 2,800 and 2,575.3 indicate critical Fibonacci retracement levels (38.20% and 50%). If the price approaches these levels during the correction, they could serve as support, making it a potential buying opportunity. RSI Indicator: From the bottom indicator (RSI), we can see fluctuations in momentum, which can aid in timing trades. Look for interpretations of the RSI: if it trends towards the extremes (overbought/oversold), that could signal reversal points. Future Projections: Should the market respect the outlined support levels, Wave V could potentially push towards a new high above 4,000 as indicated by the upward projection. Market Sentiment: Overall, the pattern suggests a bullish outlook long-term, but caution is warranted during corrective phases as prices might retrace towards support levels.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Trwin
Gold retreats as expected, how to trade in the future📰 News information： 1. Geopolitical situation 2. PMI data 3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting 📈 Technical Analysis： Our short orders have achieved profits. I closed the position near 3337, turning losses into profits. Interested friends can follow my previous post. In the short term, I am still optimistic that gold will retreat below 3335-3325. Today, gold rose sharply, and the rebound momentum was strong, while the short-term correction was slightly weak, so the space for a second decline in the short term will be limited. If it falls to the 3333-3323 range during the day and gets effective support, you can consider going long. The short-term upper resistance is 3360-3375. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3333-3323-3315 TP 3341-3355-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold Breakout Retest – Will PRZ Trigger the Next Rally?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) as I expected in yesterday's idea . Gold seems to have broken the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) and Resistance lines and is pulling back to this zone. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed wave 3 and is currently completing wave 4 . I expect Gold to have a chance to rise back to the Resistance zone($3,394-$3,366) after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,297=Worst SL Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
1
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,344.54 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,389.14 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take prpofit: 3,294.89 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our analysis playing out to perfection!!! After hitting 3300 target yesterday, we stated that we would now look for ema5 cross and lock above 3300 to open 3324. This was locked and loaded and we got the target hit at 3324. This followed with a further ema5 cross and lock above 3324 opening 3354, which was also hit perfectly completing this range. We are now seeing a perfect rejection from this level and unless we get a ema5 cross and lock above this level for a continuation, we are likely to see the lower Goldturns tested for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3300 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3300 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3324 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3354 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3383 BEARISH TARGETS 3271 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3239 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3239 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3213 3179 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD Massive Short! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3350.4 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 3363.2 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 3328.2 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
BTC/USD Fake out before Pump | Bullish Flag formationBTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025 Introduction BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone. Context 1: Key Zones Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K Context 2: Technical Confluence Liquidation Zone: 106.2K Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K Context 3: Market Structure Pattern: Bullish flag Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K Bullish Scenario Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone) Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low Retests resistance for continuation Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest Bearish Scenario Breaks below 106.2K and flag support Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone Summary BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.
Long
by King_BennyBag
5
XAU/USD Start July 20251. i start after XAU/USD break previous High and correction (fibbo 32.0) respected. based on elliot wave strategy we can targeting end of wave 3 at 3353 area and than correction wave 4 (target at fibbo 32.0 - 50.0). after target correction, continue wave 5 at target 3403 area. 2. fundamentally speaking, new months new quarter. there ins't new catalist and sentiment. Macro Economic this week focus on labour market at US and FED projection to cut rate. 3. War at Iran and Israel, Russia and Ukraine, India and Pakistan, Trade War case, etc,. 4. Will be update
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RumahCandle
XAUUSD Analysis – 01/07: Gold Sees a Rebound Amid USD WeaknessXAUUSD Analysis – 01/07: Gold Sees a Rebound Amid USD Weakness – Is a Recovery on the Cards? As we enter the new month, gold prices are showing signs of recovery after a significant drop, primarily driven by the weakening of the US Dollar. However, despite some positive momentum, the path to sustained growth remains uncertain. 💵 USD Weakness Fuels Gold's Potential Rebound Recent US economic data shows a slight decrease in consumer spending, which has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve may ease interest rate hikes in the near future. This, in turn, has contributed to a weaker USD, providing an opportunity for gold to recover slightly. ⚖️ The Federal Reserve's Role Remains Critical The markets are awaiting further clues on the Federal Reserve's next moves, especially with the ongoing debate about the potential direction of interest rates. While the recent economic data isn't weak enough to force a policy reversal, it hasn't been strong enough to give the Fed the confidence to continue its hawkish stance either. 🧠 What Does This Mean for Traders? Gold is responding to macroeconomic factors but still lacks a clear, strong trend. Volatility remains high, with sharp price fluctuations occurring after key economic and political announcements. This uncertainty suggests gold might not yet have the momentum for a definitive break-out or trend reversal. 🔶 Summary: Gold is starting to recover after a tough month but the outlook remains cautious. Buyers are hoping for a Fed rate cut, while sellers are banking on the USD's strength. Traders should stay vigilant, waiting for clear confirmation before making major moves. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 3358 – 3360 – 3364 – 3375 – 3380 Support Levels: 3300 – 3290 – 3280 – 3275 🎯 Trading Strategy: 🔵 Buy Zone: Entry: 3310 – 3315 SL: 3300 TP: 3320 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 🔴 Sell Zone: Entry: 3370 – 3375 SL: 3380 TP: 3360 – 3350 – 3340 – 3325 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: With USD weakness persisting, gold may continue its rebound, but the market remains uncertain. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data and geopolitical events, as they will likely shape gold's next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Tests 6-Month TrendGold is attempting to find support at the yellow trendline below, which has held since late December. At today’s open, gold quickly found support at that level, which is a bullish signal. However, it may not be over yet. For gold to recover meaningfully, it needs to break above the 3300 resistance first, followed by 3345 to confirm a move higher. This week, the U.S. Senate will discuss the "Big, Beautiful Bill," which markets expect will widen the deficit, despite Trump’s claims to the contrary. Regardless of the outcome, the discussion could provide gold with the fuel it needs to rebound after its weak performance in the second half of June.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ftdsystem
Gold, GC!, Sideway to the Downside (Long Term)06/30/2025, 10:30 PM PT GC! is currently at its max around 3,500. On the Weekly MACD, the crossover between MACD lind signal line already happened. There is also a bearish divergence on weekly chart. On the Daily chart, RSI just crosses below 50 on RSI, and MACD shows weakness on the bull (it still not in the bear's territory just yet). Reversasl to bear side may happen if price stays below 3,200 Bullish will continues if price break out of all time high Current range for big timeframe from 3,200 - 3,500 Plan for swing trade: Bullish Case (short term): break trendline. If hold above 3,360, price could go up to 3,400 -> 3,450 Bearish Case (short term): If price rejects and stays below 3,360, price could go down 3,310 -> 3,280 ***Disclaimer: This analysis and trade plan are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by haytinnhau123
XAUUSD – Technical Outlook 4HXAUUSD is currently undergoing a corrective move after last week's bearish continuation. Price is now testing the minor resistance zone of 3295–3322, and could potentially extend the correction to test the descending trendline near 3333–3342. The overall market structure remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows clearly intact. Price has yet to break above the dynamic resistance trendline or the key swing high at 3366 — making any bullish move at this stage corrective, not a reversal. Unless we see a strong bullish break and close above 3366, we expect sellers to return once price reaches the trendline or supply area around 3333–3342. 📌 Trade Plan (Sell on Pullback) Sell Limit: 3333–3342 SL: 3368 TP1: 3296 TP2: 3255 TP3: 3220 📊 Key Levels: R2: 3342 R1: 3322 Pivot: 3295 S1: 3254 S2: 3214 S3: 3180 Summary: Wait for bearish confirmation at the supply zone before entering. Bias remains bearish until proven otherwise by a structural break above 3366. Use smaller lot size or scale in slowly if price approaches the sell zone with weak bullish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
Gold corrective pullback support at 3245The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 3245 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 3245 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 3310 – initial resistance 3320 – psychological and structural level 3340 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 3245 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 3220 – minor support 3205 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3245. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation