Short-Term Targets for Gold After Breaching $2,650 Short-Term Targets for Gold After Breaching $2,650
1. Immediate Downside Targets:
$2,600: Minor support level; likely to be tested soon.
$2,575–$2,550: Stronger support zone; potential area for profit-taking or reversal.
$2,500: If momentum remains bearish, this could be the extended target.
1. Entry Point:
Enter a sell position $2,650
2. Profit Targets:
First Target (T1): $2,600 (close part of the position).
Second Target (T2): $2,575.
Final Target (T3): $2,550 (full exit unless trend remains strong).
3. Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss just above $2,660–$2,670 to protect against a false breakout or rebound.
Risk Management
Avoid over-leveraging; short-term gold movements can be volatile. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold
XAUUSD: 17/12 Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2673, support below 2627
Gold operation suggestions: Gold is currently in a volatile situation. As for the current trend, the two consecutive days of retreat last week have basically destroyed the previous upward trend. The daily short-term moving average has also formed a suppression pattern. The previous support level is also likely to be converted into top pressure, forming a suppression effect. In terms of operation, it is still treated as a rebound short.
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance continues to focus on the NY market high of 2662 last Friday. The intraday pullback relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. Pay attention to the short-term support of 2640 below, and focus on the support of 2627.
BUY:2645near
BUY:2627near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAU/USD : LONG, SHORT, LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price failed to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday. With news favoring the dollar index, gold experienced further declines, reaching $2664 so far. Now, we can expect an upward correction, likely followed by another drop before gold resumes its rally towards levels above $2700. This analysis will be updated further, so stay tuned and follow step by step!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Today's trading range is 2643~2664Gold closed higher on the daily chart, but the price still closed below the MA10 daily average of 2660. The RS1 indicator was adjusted at the middle axis, and the daily Bollinger Bands gradually narrowed. The short-term four-hour chart fell into a shock adjustment around the 43/64 range, and the moving average closed. The hourly chart Bollinger Bands closed, and short-term trading was still the main focus during the day, with shocks and sideways trading!
Gold was still in a shock repair market yesterday, but it eventually fell under pressure. Gold was still in a bearish shock overall, and the rebound was still an opportunity to continue to be short!
The gold 1-hour moving average was still a dead cross downward short arrangement, and the gold adjustment has not ended. Gold fell under pressure at 2665 yesterday, indicating that gold is still in a strong resistance zone above 2660, and it is still selling at highs under pressure at 2665.
First support: 2648, second support: 2643, third support: 2631
First resistance: 2660, second resistance: 2667, third resistance: 2678
GOLD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly falling on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 2,662.621 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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Gold H1 | Potential bearish breakoutGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a potential breakout level where the strong bearish momentum could drive it lower.
Sell entry is at 2,646.55 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 2,670.00 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 2,617.47 which is a swing-low support.
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XAUUSD (XAU/USD)📉 Sell Signal for XAU/USD
✅ Suggestion: I expect a drop for gold. You can enter a market sell position.
🎯 Target Area:
1️⃣ 2643.654
📊 This is a great opportunity to capitalize on the downward move. 🚀
💬 To manage this signal effectively and receive more signals:
1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊
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GOLD stable, pay attention to data and upcoming eventsOn the Asian market on Tuesday (December 17), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable, gold price is currently around 2,651 USD/ounce and there are almost no significant fluctuations.
In the coming days, the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Bank of Japan will hold monetary policy meetings to decide on interest rates, while also hinting at what 2025 might hold.
The Fed is expected to cut base interest rates by 25 basis points. The change has long been priced in, meaning the focus will be on the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), or Dotplot chart, in which policymakers detail their expectations on inflation, growth, interest rates and employment. These will have a significant impact on the US Dollar.
CME's "Fed Tracker" shows traders see a 95.4% chance the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday.
Today (Tuesday), the US Census Bureau will release retail sales data for November, which is expected to trigger market volatility during this trading day.
Surveys show U.S. retail sales are expected to rise 0.5% monthly in November, after rising 0.4% in October.
US retail sales data typically has a greater impact on financial markets, potentially influencing the trend of assets such as the US dollar and gold.
If US retail sales data is stronger than expected, the US Dollar could strengthen, thus pushing gold prices back down; On the other hand, a weaker-than-expected retail sales report will stimulate a recovery in gold prices.
In addition, on the same day, the NAHB home price index in the US will be announced for December, which is expected to increase slightly to 47 from the previous value of 46.
In terms of technical structure, not much has changed so readers can review the previous weekly publication linked below.
In the coming time, the technical chart of gold prices will be noticed by some notable patterns as follows.
Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD
Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2678⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2684
→Take Profit 1 2673
↨
→Take Profit 2 2668
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2617
→Take Profit 1 2628
↨
→Take Profit 2 2633
Gold: Bullish Move AheadThe gold market has been exhibiting bullish momentum, supported by an upward trendline. After reaching a recent low at approximately 2,611.93 USD, the price has shown signs of a rebound near key Fibonacci levels. The key support area around 2,610.00 USD (0.786 retracement level) is holding strong, and gold is now approaching the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level at 2,669.02 USD.
If the price manages to break above the 2,669.02 level, the next target would be near the 0.236 level around 2,699.16 USD. The bullish trend could accelerate further if gold surpasses the 2,726.10 USD resistance zone.
Key Levels:
Support: 2,611.93 USD
Resistance: 2,726.10 USD
Fibonacci Retracements: 2,655.54 (0.618) and 2,669.02 (0.50) act as significant levels for potential breakouts.
Forecasting the direction of gold for the rest of this yearAt the beginning of the trading session on December 16 (US time), world gold prices increased. The market expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on December 17-18 (US time). Investors took advantage of buying gold to get ahead of the uptrend after the Fed's decision.
After a series of unusual developments in gold in recent times, experts are still cautious with the precious metal in the short term. Some investors are tending to sell to take profits in the last weeks of the year.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, said that the direction of gold depends on the Fed's decision. Gold is at risk of falling to the $2,600/ounce mark if the Fed signals a smaller reduction or stops cutting interest rates next year.
Forecasts that the US economy will likely be more stable and stronger next year. This means the Fed has little reason to lower interest rates, and gold prices may not receive as much support as this year.
Gold price forecast December 17, 2024World gold prices increased slightly as the USD dropped. Recorded at 9:45 am on December 17, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,470 points (down 0.08%).
The gold market is cautious as investors prepare to receive the decision of the US Federal Reserve (FED), which is expected to reduce interest rates with a "hawkish" message after the monetary policy meeting. last of the year.
Although gold prices maintained a sideways trend ahead of Wednesday's decision, one analyst said the message from the Fed could lead to a larger correction in the precious metals market.
This medium-term upward trend is mainly driven by new economic policies, including deeper corporate tax cuts and increased tariffs on imports to the US. These policies could cause inflation to increase in 2025 and beyond.
Wong also highlighted that real yields on the 10-year note have rebounded sharply after testing the 1.9% support level last week. If it increases to 2.29%, the opportunity cost of holding gold will be higher, making gold less attractive to investors.
GOLD - Falling Wedge ABCD PatternGOLD has broken down from bearish rectangular consolidation. Prior to bearish rectangle, a falling wedge was formed from recent highs. Now it seems falling wedge is part of ABCD pattern, which means there is one more leg downwards to go.
In ABCD pattern, the size of the second move downwards is very much the same as first move (either in $ or % terms). The projected price of completion of this falling wedge with ABCD pattern is between 14 and 14.50 because this coincides with:
- a number of trendlines and major support zone from Weekly timeframe meet between 14 and 15
- gap fill is at 14.66
Also, if we look at price range of first wedge pattern drop, it was about 22% (from point A to B). With the formation of ABCD, the second wedge pattern price drop is also likely to be about 22% from point C to D of ABCD pattern.
Price is below SMA 20, 50 and 200
Buy around 14.50
Is Gold About to Make a Big Move?Here’s What to Watch:
If Gold Breaks Above $2,721:
We could see it climb to $2,900 or even $3,000!
If Gold Drops Below $2,600:
It might fall to $2,500 or even $2,400 before finding support and bouncing back.
The Upside:
If gold pushes past $2,721 and holds strong, it could mean big gains ahead. Keep an eye out for a run toward $3,000, but watch for pullbacks near that level.
The Downside:
A drop below $2,600 could mean trouble in the short term, with possible dips to $2,500 and $2,400. These levels might give gold a chance to settle before making its next move higher.
Wellness Tip:
Trading can be stressful, so don’t forget to take a break! A quick 5-minute breathing exercise can work wonders—breathe in for 4 seconds, hold for 4 seconds, and exhale for 4 seconds. This helps clear your mind and keep you focused.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
AUDJPY - Growing SHORTS! Big Move Ahead!In one of our last AUDJPY analysis, we indicated that price looked foppish. Since then, we've had almost a 2000pip drop!
That big drop can be marked as wave 1 in our new bearish impulsive trend.
We are now in Wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have completed Wave A (3 waves). We are now in Wave B (3 waves). We're currently in subwave b of wave B. Expecting subwave c to appear very soon.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframe
- You can use trendline break, fibs or BOS to find the reversal point
- When entered, put stops above subwave B.
- Target: 91 (750pips)
4Week Chart
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below:
XAU Gold 30MinIchimoku Cloud
The red cloud indicates a prevailing bearish trend in the past.
Flat areas of the cloud highlight potential future resistance zones.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Key Support (Orange Line): Around 2,649.77
Important Resistances (Yellow and Green Lines):
First Resistance: 2,655.39
Second Resistance: 2,667.41
Risk and Reward Area
The red area below the chart represents the Stop Loss zone (loss area).
The green area above indicates the Take Profit zone (profit area).
A trade has been executed with a balanced risk-to-reward ratio.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Current RSI value: 47.58
RSI below 50 indicates relative market weakness in the current state.
Green Arrows
The green arrow at the bottom of the chart suggests a potential bullish reversal from the key support level.
Analysis Conclusion:
The recent downtrend has tested the support level at 2,649.77.
If the price stabilizes at this level and breaks through the first resistance at 2,655.39, there is a possibility of growth towards the next resistance at 2,667.41.
The RSI needs to cross above 50 to confirm buyer strength.
Otherwise, breaking the support level may lead to further decline.
XAU Gold 4H TradeFriends, the first trade on gold begins. I’m taking a long position on gold with a 4-hour timeframe, which I believe will show results in the next three to four days. There will be daily updates added to the analysis based on 30-minute intervals, so it’s a good idea to follow me to also see trades on lower timeframes.
For this trade, I’ve hypothetically invested $500 with 20x leverage. You can adjust these amounts based on your own strategies and techniques. The main goal is to identify trends in gold across various timeframes and share insights.
If you have any thoughts or suggestions, I’d be happy to hear them in the comments.
Thank you!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to our 1H chart idea playing out as analysed although price still remains within the first range.
We started with our bearish target at 2645 hit with no cross and lock below confirming the rejection for the push up for our Bullish target at 2666, which fell short and still remains open.
We will continue to see price play between both these weighted levels until we see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2666
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2666 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2682
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2682 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2697
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2697 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2719
BEARISH TARGETS
2645 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2645 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2628
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2628 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2606 - 2586
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX