GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Haven't had time to update recently as I've been extremely busy, but either way Gold has been paying us in the background!
We got that rejection from Wave 2 & a huge melt back down again towards the bottom of this 'Flat Correction' channel which I called for you all. Now waiting on Wave 3 to make its huge move down📉
Gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-16: Inside BreakawayThis video highlights what I believe will be a rotating topping pattern setting up in the SPY/QQQ over the next 3-4+ days.
Traders should move away from risk headed into Christmas and the end of 2024.
Gold and Silver will likely make a move higher over the next 5+ days - attempting to recover lost ground from last week's selling.
Bitcoin rallied to key resistance and will likely move into a consolidated range (again).
This is the time to pull capital away from risks and sit tight through the Inauguration. I believe we'll be seeing lots of day trading opportunities with volatility - but I also believe the markets are setup for a downward price swing headed into the Inauguration.
Buckle up.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NEW IDEA FOR GOLD In the 4-hour chart of gold, it can be seen that the price of gold reacted positively at the support level of $2,644 and moved upwards by forming a price bottom. This support level has been well maintained so far, indicating the willingness of buyers to defend this level.
If the support level of $2,644 is maintained and the pressure from buyers continues, the probability of the price rising to the important resistance level of $2,717 will be very high. This resistance has acted as an important price ceiling in the past, and its failure could pave the way for further upward movements.
On the other hand, the existence of an upward trend line that started from the recent lows indicates the general market tendency for the price of gold to grow in the short term. Technical indicators such as the Ichimoku cloud also show that the price can strengthen its upward trend if it crosses the current resistance and enters the upper range of the green cloud.
Therefore, the bullish scenario remains valid provided the support at $2,644 is maintained and the resistance at $2,717 is broken, and further growth in gold prices can be expected.
GBPCAD Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = GBPCAD
Timeframe = H4
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBP is getting strong. Gradually buyers are increasing. GBPCAD is getting ready for a good bullish wave. Expecting 300 Pips + gain here in the move.
Bullish Target :-
1.83000
1.84000
GOLD → Correction before a possible fall FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid last week's economic data. The price is returning to the channel and in general confirms the bearish character on the market.
Markets are ready for a 0.25% interest rate cut, but traders are waiting for hints on the Fed's stance: whether the Fed will continue to cut rates, go into a wait-and-see mode, or hint at a rate hike based on last week's economic data. Traders are eagerly awaiting the Fed's decision, which will be announced on December 18. The gold price is also receiving support from renewed tensions in the Middle East and political turmoil in South Korea.
Technically, after the false breakout of 2721 a deep correction is forging, which generally develops into a localized downtrend. The price is approaching the panic zone 2615-2600. At the Asian session a correction is forming and it is worth paying attention to the key resistance zones
Resistance levels: 2667, 2675, 2685
Support levels: 2646, 2633
The price is heading towards the imbalance zone within the correction. A quick approach and retest of resistance could trigger a rebound. Traders may enter the phase of profit taking before strong news
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,658.744.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,675.908 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD still at the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up. Strong Buy.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 1-year Channel Up since the October 02 2023 weekly bottom. When it makes a technical Higher High and then pulls back, the pattern's Bearish Legs tend to be quite prolonged but at the same time always supported by the 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
The current Bearish Leg bottomed on the 1D MA100 on the week of November 11 2024 and made a technical Higher Low. Based on the previous two Higher Lows, the price may continue to consolidate until the end of the year before it breaks out again upwards but with the current level being so close to the 1D MA100, it makes it already a technical buy opportunity.
All previous Bullish Legs hit at least the 2.5 Fibonacci extension from the Higher High - Higher Low and the strongest rise has been +22.50%.
As a result, we can target $3100 as the Channel's next Higher High, which would be a +22.50% rise from the November bottom but still below the 2.5 Fibonacci extension.
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eurusd short/long +180/+180 swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today.
We are currently stuck in 180 pips high/low range, so it's best
to focus on selling high and buying low in current market conditions.
🔸Key levels for eurusd traders: 0420 s/r bulls, 0600s/r bears,
0600 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for eurusd traders: the sequence
is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 0600 SL 40
TP 0420 pips, this is the the reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls
at 0420 then flip long at/near 0420+-20 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +90
TP2 +180 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 0600. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GOLD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 2660.0 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2682.0
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Pan American Silver (PAAS) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Pan American Silver NYSE:PAAS , a leading precious metals producer in the Americas, is strategically positioned to benefit from the rising prices of silver and gold, driven by global economic uncertainties and inflationary pressures. As investor interest in precious metals grows, PAAS stands out for its robust operations and efficient portfolio management.
Key Catalysts:
Organic Growth Focus:
PAAS has increased its 2024 drilling budget to over 450,000 meters, highlighting management's confidence in its exploration prospects.
This aggressive exploration strategy signals long-term production growth and resource expansion.
Portfolio Optimization:
The company secured Investment Canada Act approval for the $245 million sale of its La Arena gold mine and La Arena II project in Peru to Zijin Mining Group.
This transaction demonstrates PAAS’s commitment to unlock value from non-core assets and focus on its most profitable operations.
Precious Metals Momentum:
Rising gold and silver prices, fueled by inflation concerns and economic uncertainty, enhance revenue potential for PAAS.
As a top-tier producer with diversified operations, the company is well-leveraged to capitalize on higher commodity prices.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We remain bullish on PAAS above the $20.00-$21.00 range, supported by strong fundamentals, rising metals prices, and a clear focus on organic growth.
Upside Potential: Our target range for PAAS is $34.00-$35.00, reflecting the company’s ability to grow production, optimize its portfolio, and benefit from favorable macroeconomic trends.
🚀 PAAS—Capitalizing on Rising Precious Metal Prices and Strategic Growth. #Gold #Silver #MiningGrowth
The downward space opens up. Trend analysisGold closed slightly higher last week, and gave up most of the gains of the previous four days at the end of the week. The 10/7-day moving average of the short-term four-hour chart opened downward at 65/70, and the RSI indicator was running on the lower track of the axis in the hourly chart and the four-hour chart, and the Bollinger band was running on the middle and lower track. Technically, the weak adjustment of gold on Friday changed the extremely strong gold bull structure. Wait for the rebound high to sell at the beginning of this week.
Gold bulls do not have any strong rebound now, and the short-term trend of gold is still short. The rebound is an opportunity for shorts. Gold is waiting for a rebound to continue to short. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to enter a downward dead cross pattern. If it continues to diverge downward, the gold short position will be further opened. Gold hit a new low in the Asian session. The previous low of gold at 2675 is now forming a counter-pressure. Sell at highs below the rebound of 2675. You can go short near 2670.
First support: 2640, second support: 2633, third support: 2620
First resistance: 2660, second resistance: 2672, third resistance: 2680
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2636-2638
SELL: 2670-2672
An exciting week with many important economic data.World gold prices decrease when the USD increases. Recorded at 9:40 a.m. on December 16, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,570 points (down 0.11%).
According to Naeem Aslam - investment director of Zaye Capital Markets, gold investors should mentally prepare for the possibility of gold prices weakening next week. The main reason comes from the US Federal Reserve (FED) reducing expectations about cutting interest rates, in the context of inflation still being "persistent".
Lukman Otunuga - market analyst at FXTM - gave a neutral comment on gold prices in the short term. According to him, the trend of this precious metal will largely depend on the policy message that FED officials give in the upcoming meeting. Otunuga emphasized that, if the FED continues to maintain its "hawkish" stance, this could limit the ability of gold prices to increase as investors gradually narrow their expectations for stronger interest rate cuts next year. 2025. On the contrary, if the FED signals to loosen policy in 2024, gold prices could increase to 2,700 USD/ounce or higher.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2656 - 2654🔥
💵 TP1: 2630
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2665
GOLD corrects in 2 days, still has bullish conditions next weekOANDA:XAUUSD fell as the USD held steady at its highest level in more than 2 weeks. However, the market expects the Federal Reserve will still cut interest rates next week and gold prices still have conditions for a possible increase in price.
OANDA:XAUUSD has broken multiple record highs this year, supported by Fed monetary policy, strong central bank buying and safe-haven demand.
Traders currently assess a 96% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its December 17-18 meeting.
Focus will also be on Chairman Jerome Powell's comments as market participants analyze US monetary policy in 2025, especially given President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans , is very likely to add to inflation.
Central banks often keep interest rates high to curb inflation, thereby increasing the opportunity cost of holding unprofitable gold.
Pay special attention to the upcoming Fed interest rate decision
The Fed's monetary policy statement next week could be the last major impact for gold this year outside of unforeseen geopolitical surprises.
Next Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after a two-day policy meeting. The Fed is expected to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. The Fed will also release a revised Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), known as a Dotplot chart.
In September, SEP showed that Fed officials' median forecast for the policy rate at the end of 2025 was 3.4%. If the 2025 interest rate forecast is revised downward, i.e. cutting interest rates by more than 100 basis points, it could have a direct negative impact on the Dollar and this would push gold prices higher.
Markets will also be closely watching comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. If Powell takes a cautious approach to further policy easing, emphasizing a gradual approach, the dollar is likely to remain strong as it remains supported by President-elect Donald Trump. On the other hand, the US Dollar will come under selling pressure if Powell expresses growing concerns about the cooling labor market and its potential negative impact on the growth outlook.
Data next week
Next Thursday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final revised data on gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter, and next Friday will release the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE).
The economic calendar needs attention next week
Monday: Empire State manufacturing survey, S&P flash PMI
Tuesday: US retail sales
Wednesday: Federal Reserve monetary policy decision
Thursday: Bank of England monetary policy decision; US weekly unemployment claims;
US Q3 GDP, Philly Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey, Existing Home Sales
Friday: Personal consumption expenditure index (PCE)
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold closed the week in a crucial position for upside as it still has bullish conditions.
Specifically, the daily chart still shows that gold prices maintain activity above EMA21 and above the technical level of 2,644 USD. Note to readers in the previous edition. In addition, the Relative Strength Index decreased but stayed above 50, which does not show any negative signals.
In the near term, if gold brings price activity back above the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the conditions to recover more to the $2,676 level in the short term, more than the 0.382% Fibonacci level and the original price point. 2,700 USD.
Overall, gold still has a bullish outlook. However, a negative situation is likely to appear once gold breaks below the 0.618% Fibonacci level because it will tend to retest the 0.786% Fibonacci level with a price point of 2,591USD. Therefore, open long positions will need to be protected when this situation occurs.
In the coming time, the technical chart of gold prices will be noticed by some notable patterns as follows.
Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD
Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2678⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2684
→Take Profit 1 2673
↨
→Take Profit 2 2668
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2617
→Take Profit 1 2628
↨
→Take Profit 2 2633
#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold futures: Neutral. Very strong rally Mo-Wednesday just to almost completely reverse and close the week 11 points above the open. Rallies getting stuffed hard now and bulls will only try so many times until we test lower prices. 2630 is the price for bears to break and bulls need anything above 2760 again. It’s much more likely that we close 2024 around 2700. Market has also formed another triangle on the daily/weekly chart, so don’t expect a trending market for the next 3 weeks.
Quote from last week:
comment : I won’t waste much time with this market this week. Clear triangle and market is in total balance around 2660. Wait for the breakout or play the range. My best guess would be that we both see 2600 and 2700 in the next 3 weeks.
comment : Quick and dirty again. Bulls had the perfect setup for 2800+ but blew it. Big bois selling the rips and market formed another triangle. I doubt it will go anywhere in the next 3 weeks. Likely yearly close around 2700. Play the range or don’t trade this at all.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 2620 - 2750
bull case: Bulls blew it. The setup from last weeks Friday was perfect and Mo-We we had amazing follow through. Thursday was a huge bear surprise and bulls just gave up on the rally. They got stuffed big time now two times over the past 5 weeks, which makes me believe that there are probably not many more bulls who want to try a third time. Sideways is the most likely and reasonable thing to expect here.
Invalidation is below 2630.
bear case: Strong bears selling the rips but I don’t expect them to really try and push this below 2600 again. 2630 was huge support the past weeks and even if they print below, they would still have to break through the big bull trend line from August.
Invalidation is above 2763.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral inside given range.
→ Last Sunday we traded 2659 and now we are at 2675. Market went much higher than expected but nowhere on the week, so outlook was ok.
short term: Neutral inside given range.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-07 : No bigger opinion on this for the rest of 2024. Market is in balance until we see a new impulse. Likely close around 2700.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
XAUUSD 15/12/24Coming into this week, we are observing a clear shift in market bias that occurred at the end of last week, transitioning from bearish to bullish. After running the highs and selling off, we are now looking to run the lows and then buy back into the same highs. This setup could shape up to be a strong week for longs in gold, potentially leading to a clean bull run as Christmas approaches and the market slows down.
Based on the content shown on our charts, we can see there was "money out" within our supply zone, which triggered the previous downward shift. Now, we are looking for "money in" within our entry timeframe, which is the 15-minute chart. Watch for a clear entry around the lows. Additionally, there is liquidity above the current highs, which could fuel the next upside move.
Trade safely and stick to your plan.
Gold Technical Analysis: Volatility Ahead of Fed Rate DecisionGold Technical Analysis
The market will remain volatile this week due to the impact of Fed Rate Decision and GDP data. Gold's direction will hinge on these events, particularly the Fed's stance on interest rates.
Bearish Scenario: Continuation
Conditions:
- Price needs to stabilize below 2653 (Pivot Point).
- A further breakdown and 1H or 4H candle close below 2638 will open the door to 2623.
- Bearish momentum could strengthen further if the Fed rate remains at 4.75% or signals a hawkish stance.
Bullish Scenario: Continuation
Conditions:
- A rate cut of 25 bps by the Fed will support bullish sentiment, driving prices upward.
- Price needs to break and hold above 2653, targeting resistance levels at 2665, 2678, and 2690.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2653
Resistance Levels: 2665, 2678, 2690
Support Levels: 2638, 2623, 2612
Trend Outlook
- Bearish: If the price stabilizes below 2653 and key support levels break.
- Volatile: Driven by the Fed's decision and market reaction to GDP data.
Summary
- Bearish Trigger: Close below 2638, targeting 2623 and potentially 2612.
- Bullish Trigger: Fed cuts rates by 25 bps, and price breaks above 2653, aiming for 2665 and higher levels.
previous idea:
EURUSD 15/12/24Starting this week the same way we always do—with our markup on EU. Following last week’s chart, we still maintain our bearish bias. This week, we’re focusing on the highs once again as a potential sell entry zone. As you can see on our chart, all key points are clearly marked, highlighting areas to aim for and areas to sell from.
Last week, we identified a money-out area, and price reacted perfectly to this zone, aligning with our bias as it has consistently for over a month now!
Don’t expect the market to shift its bias unless it provides a very clear reason to do so. For now, we remain patient and wait for potential entry opportunities.
Stick to your plan and always follow your risk management.