Shoulder on Shoulder - Need a dump this Week😥 The past week was complicated, and I don't want to bore you with all the political goings-on, which I hope you're already aware of. I'm a bit short on time right now, but I still wanted to share this perspective with you all.
💁♂️ It is Shoulder on Shoulder H&S everywhere!
💡 My concept of a plan:
🧗 Let's climb the Pinky way down
3289 - Actual Price
3271 - 🏁 S1
3232 - 🚪 Pink Neckline entry
3245 - 🤞 S2 & Head of White reverse H&S
3204 - 👀 Pink Start from Left Shoulder
3184 - 🎯 TP 1 - Fibo 1.272
3163 - 🎯 TP 2 - Fibo 1.414 or 3166
3134 - 🎯 TP 3 - Fibo 1.618 or 3154
3120 - 👀 Head of Yellow reverse H&S
3079 - 🎯 TP 4 - Fibo 2
🗣️ Important: FED Chair Powell speaking June 02 Mon at 1 PM EDT
What are your toughts about this? Please write it in the comments.
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold
Weekly Market Forecast: Stocks, Gold, Silver & Crude OilIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 2 - 6th.
Stock Indices are looking more bullish than bearish. Valid buys only!
Gold is moving sideways. Wait for confirmation before a buy/sell signal.
Oil prices may tick lower. Trade carefully.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
$BTC 12-Week Lead Correlation w/ Global Liquidity, M2, GOLD, DXYHere’s a look at Bitcoin's price action against Global Liquidity, Global M2, GOLD and DXY - all with a 12-Week Lead.
Notice GOLD has a bit more of a deviation from the BTC price than the others.
This is because GOLD is used as a store of value asset, whereas the others are predicated on Central Banks expanding and contracting their money supply and balance sheets.
The key here is to smooth out the signal and ignore the noise.
Notice the convergence between these metrics the past couple months.
Technical Analysis on XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) – Bullish Reversal📊 Chart Overview:
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on a lower timeframe shows a potential bullish reversal setup. The price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, but now a bullish momentum is building up, suggesting a possible breakout to the upside.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟠 Swing Points Identified:
The orange circles mark significant swing highs and lows, clearly outlining a recent downtrend.
The latest swing low (bottom-right) shows a strong rejection with a bullish engulfing candle forming, indicating buyer interest.
📦 Demand Zone (Support Area):
The grey rectangle near the lower region marks a demand zone where buyers have stepped in before.
Price has reacted strongly from this zone again, validating it as a key support level.
📉 Resistance Turned Potential Breakout Zone:
The red line (~3,291.416) represents a resistance level that was previously support.
Price has broken above it and now appears to be retesting it, indicating a possible retest-confirmation for a bullish continuation.
🎯 Target & Risk Management:
✅ Entry: Confirmed breakout and retest around 3,291.
📈 Target: 3,364.819 (green zone above), based on previous resistance.
❌ Stop Loss: Below 3,267.772, the recent swing low.
The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🧭 Projection Path:
The white arrowed path illustrates a likely pullback before continuation upward, suggesting a bullish structure if confirmed.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of a bullish reversal from a well-defined demand zone, with a potential rally toward the 3,365 area. A successful retest of the broken resistance as new support would strengthen the bullish bias.
📌 Watch closely for confirmation candles on the retest before entering.
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 2:
📌 Core view: short-term volatility is weak, but the medium- and long-term bullish logic remains unchanged
Key range: 3270-3325 (maintain high selling and low buying before breaking through)
Bull-bear watershed: 3325 (stand firm and turn strong, continue to fluctuate downward under pressure)
Market driving factors: Fed rate cut expectations + trade friction risk aversion + US dollar trend
📊 Technical analysis
1. Daily level
Trend: turn positive after consecutive negatives, but still subject to the pressure of 3325, and no strong reversal has been formed.
Key position:
Support: 3270-3280 (Bollinger middle rail + previous low)
Resistance: 3325 (see 3365 if breaking through)
Indicator signal:
KDJ dead cross is being repaired, and the short momentum is weakened, but it is still volatile before the golden cross is formed.
MACD shrinks, indicating that the downward momentum has slowed down, but it has not turned to bullish.
2. 4-hour level
Form: Bollinger Bands close, moving averages stick together (3280-3325 oscillation), waiting for a directional breakthrough.
Key observation points:
If it stands at 3310-3325, it may test 3365.
If it falls below 3270, it may drop to 3250-3230.
🎯 Trading strategy (June 2)
1. Short order strategy (main strategy) (short order invalidated if strong upward breakthrough)
Entry: 3310-3315 (close to the upper edge of the range)
Stop loss: 3325
Target: 3280 → 3260 → 3250 (step-by-step profit stop)
Logic: Short-term rebound of the US dollar + gold Before 3325 is broken, the probability of gold falling under pressure is high.
2. Long-order strategy (secondary strategy) (abandon if strong decline breaks)
Entry: 3270-3280 (close to support level)
Stop loss: 3260
Target: 3300 - 3325 (hold to 3365 if break)
Logic: bullish in the medium and long term, if it falls back to support in the short term, you can buy low and rebound.
⚠️ Risk warning
Fed policy changes: Many officials spoke this week. If dovish signals are released (such as confirming 2 interest rate cuts this year), gold may rise rapidly.
Dollar trend: If the dollar pulls back, gold will be supported, but we need to be wary of losses on short positions.
Geopolitical risks: Sudden news such as trade frictions and the situation in the Middle East may trigger safe-haven buying.
📌 Summary
Short-term operation ideas: short near 3315, stop loss 3325, target 3250 (if it breaks through 3325, go long).
Mid-term operation ideas: If it falls back to 3250-3230, you can arrange long orders, with the target at 3360-3400.
Long-term operation ideas: After the Fed starts the interest rate cut cycle, gold is expected to hit 3500+.
Key points: All transactions need to be combined with real-time data to flexibly adjust strategies and control position risks.
XAUUSD - Key Inflection Point AheadLooking at this gold spot chart, the precious metal appears to be consolidating within a defined range after experiencing significant volatility throughout May. The price is currently trading near the upper boundary of the marked support zone around $3,250-$3,260, following a recent pullback from higher levels. Given the technical setup and the proximity to this key support area, there's a strong probability that gold will retest this support zone in the coming sessions. This retest will be critical in determining the next directional move - if the support holds and buyers step in, we could see a bounce back toward the upside targeting previous resistance levels, potentially challenging the recent highs. However, if the support fails to hold under selling pressure, gold could continue its downward trajectory, opening the door for further declines toward lower support levels. The market's reaction at this support zone will likely dictate whether the current consolidation resolves bullishly or bearishly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 02 - Jun 06]During the week, OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuated in the range of 3,245 - 3,331 USD/oz and closed the week at 3,289 USD/oz. The reason for the sideways gold price was due to the lack of strong information. The US Court of International Trade's ruling on blocking the Trump administration's tariff policy was postponed, while the US PCE index in April increased by only 2.5%, down from the previous month, not enough to influence the FED's policy in the context of prolonged trade instability.
If the Court continues to block the tariffs, President Trump can still use several laws to maintain the tariffs:
🔹Section 122 - Trade Act of 1974: Allows for a 15% across-the-board tariff for 150 days; then requires congressional approval to extend.
🔹Section 338 - Trade Act of 1930: Allows for tariffs of up to 50% on goods from countries deemed to discriminate against the United States.
🔹Section 232 - Trade Expansion Act of 1962: Allows for the expansion of tariffs from items such as aluminum, steel, and automobiles to other industries on national security grounds.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that US-China trade negotiations are still at a standstill due to many complicated issues, requiring direct intervention from the leaders of the two countries. Although the tariff war is still complicated, the most tense phase has passed. Therefore, in the short term, gold prices are unlikely to exceed the $3,500/oz mark and will likely continue to adjust and accumulate in the $3,100-$3,400/oz range.
Although gold prices are currently stuck in a range, the US economic data released next week, especially the May non-farm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, could cause a sharp move. The NFP is forecast to come in at 130,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. If true, this could reinforce expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates to support the labor market, thereby supporting gold prices. Conversely, if the NFP is stronger than expected, especially higher than last month, the Fed could keep interest rates unchanged, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold prices are almost moving sideways in a narrowing range, the resistance level is established around 3325 while the support level is around 3245. Next week, gold prices are likely to increase slightly if economic and geopolitical factors continue to support, corresponding to the H1 technical chart, gold prices will increase to 3365-3415 if the price breaks through the Downtrend line and breaks the resistance zone of 3325. In case the gold price falls below the support zone of 3245, the gold price will reverse and decrease.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,250 – 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3327 - 3325⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3431
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3305 and a gap below at 3271. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3305
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3334
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3359
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3359 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3271 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3227
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3227 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3314 and a gap below at 3248. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3314
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3314 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3363
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3363 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3412
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3412 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3468
BEARISH TARGETS
3248
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3248 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3194
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3194 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3130
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3012
2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here's an update on the daily chart setup we've been tracking and trading successfully over the past few weeks.
As anticipated, price action rejected off the midline of the channel and produced a strong bounce, exactly as we had analysed. This move reached the 3272 Goldturn level and closed above it, opening the path for a potential test of the channel top near 3433. We captured a solid move of over 600 pips, aligning perfectly with our strategy of buying the dips for the ideal swing setup.
The channel half line continued to provide support and bounces, with a gap left above at 3433. Our channel top also falls in line with this level.
Please note that the gap remains open, but we are not looking to chase from the top. We'll continue to focus on buying pullbacks for better entries.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalise on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here’s our latest weekly chart update. Once again, the Goldturn Channel continues to prove its reliability, with price action unfolding just as anticipated.
Last update on this chart, we noted multiple failed attempts to break above the channel top, each confirmed by the EMA5 being unable to close through resistance. This led to a pullback as low as 3189, nearly touching the 3094 level right near the channel's half line, a key support zone we've been closely monitoring.
This week, we saw the rejection from the channel top. The channel top gave the rejection into the lower 3281 axis level. Despite the drop, there was no close below 3281, which has provided continuous bounces on the smaller timeframes. Price action is now playing between the 3281 level and the channel top.
We’ll be watching closely for a decisive break on either side to determine the next directional move. The 3387 gap also remains open and in play.
As long as price remains above the channel half line and especially now above 3281, we will continue looking for dip buying opportunities on retracements, using our intraday levels for targeted 20 to 40 pip moves. If the price pulls back below these key levels, we’ll reassess for potential downside toward the lower boundary of the channel.
This is exactly why we stick with our Goldturn Channel methodology, our proprietary system based on weighted averages. It cuts through the market noise, distinguishes real breakouts from fake outs, and empowers us to trade with confidence and clarity.
Thanks again for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean a lot.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
Gold XAUUSD Weekly forecast 2-6 June 2025Observations:
Price has been respecting a clear descending trendline since late April, with multiple touches and rejections.
A significant supply zone around the 3,330 level aligns with the trendline resistance, increasing confluence for a potential reversal.
The market has formed lower highs consistently, suggesting bearish pressure is building up.
A horizontal demand/support level around 3,125 (previous swing low) is the primary target in case of a bearish breakout.
Volume and structure suggest distribution, further supporting bearish continuation.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price retests and rejects the 3,330 resistance level again next week, especially with a wick rejection or bearish engulfing candle:
Expect downside continuation toward 3,125, aligning with a ~1500 pip target.
This move would represent a ~5% drop from current levels.
Trading Plan / Signal:
Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: Between 3,320 – 3,330 (upon bearish confirmation e.g., bearish engulfing or shooting star)
Stop Loss: Above 3,350 (just above trendline and invalidation zone)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,250
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,200
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,150/25
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3+
Invalidation:
Clean breakout and retest above 3,350 would invalidate the setup and may suggest a reversal toward 3,500.
Fundamental Consideration:
No major geopolitical or macroeconomic shocks should occur to maintain this bearish bias. Any high-impact news could cause volatility, so monitor the economic calendar closely.
Please follow, like, comment and share.
Gold Analysis
Last week's movement so far on the chart moved as expected. To continue this week's path, expect another step to correct to two support areas, first the 3264-3255 range, and if lost to the support area 3265-3232. It can be considered that from one of these two supports, the upward movement for the liquidity above it will continue. The resistance/support areas will change their nature if lost.
BREAKOUT SOON | $3700 - $3800 As illustrated, I’m visualising the next potential bullish continuation impulse that would take gold near the $4000 projected price.
In this idea, the path projected is based on the breakout of a rising symmetrical triangle that price formed; a strong bullish pattern that tends to be very effective when price successfully breaks out with strength.
On a fundamental aspect, things continue to hold the yellow metal on a positive route to maintain its bullish momentum and direction. Fed rates decision is getting close, and that is just the tip of the iceberg that’s going to move gold to record highs within weeks.
A key and major pivot area is near the $3200 - $3250 price range; so it’s possible we have one more attempt to break $3200.
—
GOOD LUCK
persaxu
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support : Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important supports & resistances for Gold for next week.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3238 - 3286 area
Support 2: 3122 - 3179 area
Support 3: 2957 - 2982 area
Resistance 1: 3353 - 3366 area
Resistance 2: 3427 - 3425 area
Resistance 3: 3483 - 3501 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: falling trend line
Vertical Resistance 1: falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD H1 Outlook – Monday, June 2, 2025“Equilibrium Loading — Breakout or Breakdown?”
👋 Welcome back traders — let’s decode the H1 battlefield together.
Gold is currently consolidating just under the 3290–3300 magnet, after a slow Friday close. The chart shows clear lower highs and rejection from premium, with multiple CHoCHs confirming bearish intent. However, price hasn’t fully broken below key H1 structure yet, holding just above equilibrium support.
We’re sitting in a coiled market — liquidity has built on both sides. Monday will likely give us the breakout.
🔹 Current Bias
🔻 Bearish bias while under 3308
📉 Structure shows CHoCH → BOS → LH, all under premium
🧭 Price is compressing between 3300 resistance and 3270 support
🔹 Refined Structural Zones (Realistic Width)
🔺 Key Resistance Zones (Upside)
Zone Price Range Context
🔺 Minor OB Rejection 3295 – 3308 Local OB + premium zone → first reaction area
🔺 Inducement Trap 3315 – 3335 Clean liquidity pocket → likely wick spike trap if retested
🔺 Extended Premium Zone 3340 – 3360 Final resistance from May → only valid if HH breaks
🔻 Key Support Zones (Downside)
Zone Price Range Context
🔹 Equilibrium Hold 3270 – 3250 Current floor. If broken, momentum shifts hard down
🔻 CHoCH + FVG Fill 3235 – 3212 BOS zone + inefficiency. Logical sell-side draw
🔵 Discount Demand Zone 3185 – 3160 Last HL + OB. Major reaction zone for swing reentry
🔹 EMA Flow (Momentum Outlook)
❗ Price is below all EMAs (5/21/50/100/200) = bearish stacked pressure
EMA100/200 are bending — momentum is confirming bearish tilt
Only a sharp move above 3308 will flip momentum short-term
🧠 Tactical Scenarios for Monday:
🔻 Sell Bias Active:
Rejection from 3295–3308 = possible LH → short down to 3250
Break of 3250 → continuation leg toward 3212 and 3185
🔁 Trap and Flip (Low Probability):
Price breaks above 3308 and holds → possible squeeze into 3335
Confirm with BOS + bullish PA on M15-H1
🔚 Summary:
Gold on H1 is coiled tightly inside mid-premium, and structure is now pointing slightly bearish. If we stay under 3308, the path of least resistance is down. If bulls trap sellers and break above, 3335 becomes the target.
Let price reveal its intent — you trade from clean structure, not from bias.
💬 Was this helpful?
📍 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry levels, bias shifts, and clean trade maps
👍 Like if you're waiting for confirmation before reacting
👇 Comment below: Will we flush into 3212 — or spike 3335 first?
See you in the charts.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025"Premium Exhaustion, CHoCH Confirmed — Is the Reversal Loading?"
👋 What’s up, traders — let’s break down the 4H structure for Monday flow.
The 4H chart shows gold consolidating tightly around equilibrium (~3289) after a failed attempt to reclaim the premium zone. Price created a Lower High (LH) at 3360 and printed multiple CHoCHs + BOS to the downside. We are now seeing short-term distribution inside a narrow range, with supply active around 3296–3302 and liquidity building below.
The market is showing signs of internal weakness: smart money has absorbed buyers in premium, and price is rotating lower, looking for fresh liquidity.
🔹 Market Structure (H4)
Structure Element Level / Detail
Trend Shift Bearish (CHoCH + LH)
Current Price ~3289 (equilibrium)
Major LH 3360
Confirmed CHoCHs Multiple — last seen on May 30
Short-Term Flow Bearish compression toward discount
🔹 Key H4 Zones (Refined)
📍 Zone Name Level (Rounded) Confluence
🔺 H4 Supply Block 3296 – 3302 OB + internal FVG rejection zone — short trigger area if retested
🔺 Final Inducement Trap 3326 – 3340 LH zone — liquidity inducement if price spikes early in the session
🔹 Intraday Support Zone 3274 – 3270 EQ edge – support under current price, bounce or break zone
🔻 Breakout Sell Zone 3244 – 3232 CHoCH/BOS zone → clean sell-side continuation if broken
🔵 Discount Buy Area 3188 – 3172 Deep FVG fill + May structure low → possible long reentry zone
🔹 EMA Flow (5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200)
⚠️ EMA5 crossed under 21 + 50 → short-term bear confirmation
✅ Price is under EMA21 and EMA50 — bearish control
🛑 EMA200 (3172) sits near discount demand → strong reaction likely if reached
🔹 Game Plan for Monday (Execution Bias)
🔻 Sell Setup #1 (Scalp to Swing):
If price retests 3296–3302 → look for bearish PA → short toward 3244
If that breaks → continuation target = 3188
🔺 Buy Setup (Low-Probability Until Reclaim):
Buy only valid below 3188 on strong bullish PA or LTF CHoCH
Aggressive long possible only above 3340, but that invalidates LH
🔚 Summary:
Gold on the 4H is rotating bearish — premium has rejected, CHoCHs confirmed, and EMA structure is rolling over. Price is compressing just under supply, signaling a potential breakdown to clear sell-side liquidity.
Your edge this week lies in patiently waiting for retests of broken structure or rejection from clean OB zones.
💬 If This Helped You:
💡 Drop a LIKE if this gave you clarity on the H4 rotation
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for real-time execution plans and sniper entries
👇 Comment your view: Will 3244 break first — or are we bouncing at 3270?
Let’s stay tactical this week.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – June 2–6, 2025“Lower High Locked In – Is Gold Ready to Retrace?”
👋 Hello traders — welcome to a new week with GoldFxMinds.
After weeks of strong bullish momentum, gold finally showed its first real sign of weakness. Price reached a weekly high of 3356 but failed to continue higher toward April’s ATH at 3500, forming a clean Lower High (LH). The weekly candle closed with a long upper wick and bearish body — a strong signal that buyers are losing steam inside the premium zone.
We now shift into a corrective posture, watching closely to see if gold wants to rebalance down into true structure zones.
🔹 Market Context & Structure
📍 Detail Status
Macro Bias Bullish (ATH = 3500, April)
Current Trend Weakening – LH formed last week
Weekly Close 3289, under EMA5
Momentum Shift First rejection after vertical rally
Structure Warning Clean LH under ATH confirms retracement probability
🔹 EMA Overview (5/21/50)
✅ EMA Stack: Bullish
⚠️ Price closed under EMA5 (~3288) = first warning
📍 EMA21 near 3076 — next key level for reaction
🛑 Below EMA21 → full retracement likely toward 3040–3038
🔹 Refined Weekly Zones (Precision-Mapped)
📍 Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Rejection Zone #1 3335 – 3348 Last week’s wick area — short-term supply, expect reaction if retested.
🔺 Inducement Zone 3368 – 3405 Unfilled FVG + internal liquidity. Valid only if HH forms.
🔹 Support Zone #1 3112 – 3098 Monthly PNL + OB. Watch for intraday bounce if price flushes.
🔹 Support Zone #2 3062 – 3040 Clean weekly OB + FVG. Strongest buy zone if retracement deepens.
🧭 Under 3040 = next macro structure at 2638 (last HL)
🔹 Weekly Game Plan
If early spike into 3335–3348 → monitor for rejection wick → possible short setup
Break of 3245 (last weekly low) → opens path toward 3110 then 3062
Entry on 3062–3040 → valid only if PA confirms (rejection wick, BOS on LTF)
Continuation long only if 3368–3405 is broken and held → target ATH (3500)
🔚 Summary:
Gold printed a Lower High last week — the first since the macro breakout. That’s a critical signal. With premium already tapped and liquidity cleared above 3300, price may now retrace into real structure, offering better long setups lower.
Let the market come to you. Don’t force buys near distribution zones. Watch the 3110 and 3062 areas — that’s where clean structure begins.
💬 If You Found This Helpful:
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry updates, macro-to-intraday zone breakdowns, and real-time structure shifts
👍 Tap a LIKE if you’re ready to let price come to your level, not your emotions
💭 Comment below: Is this Lower High the start of June’s retracement?
Let’s stay focused and trade with intent.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025"Momentum Meets Maturity: Gold Faces Its Final Trap?"
🔹 Overview:
Gold has delivered an explosive rally through Q1–Q2 2025, breaking all structural ceilings and printing a new All-Time High (ATH) at 3500 in April. May followed with aggressive bullish continuation, but failed to break that high, closing with a strong body but signs of momentum cooling. We are now trading inside a premium liquidity zone, where retracement becomes increasingly probable.
🔹 Monthly Structure & Bias
🔎 Component Status / Detail
Current Price Range 3285–3310
Market Bias Bullish, but overextended
ATH Confirmed 3500 (April 2025)
May High 3435 – did not break ATH
Structure HH + BOS above 2108 = bullish macro
EMA Trend Full EMA 5/21/50/100/200 bull lock
RSI Likely near overbought (watch June)
🔹 Refined Monthly Zones – GoldFxMinds Precision
📍 Zone Type Key Levels Explanation
🔺 Premium SELL Zone #1 3335 – 3368 First rejection layer inside premium. Previous wick reactions.
🔺 Premium SELL Zone #2 3368 – 3405 Final inducement from May. Ideal for stop hunts and traps.
🔺 ATH Trap Zone 3405 – 3500 Full liquidity cluster around ATH. Extreme caution here.
🔹 Local Monthly Support 3112 – 3098 Minor support below May’s PNL. First reaction floor.
🔹 FVG/OB Buy Zone 3060 – 3038 Valid monthly FVG + OB zone. Stronger confirmation area.
🔵 Macro Swing Support 2638 – 2612 Monthly OB and last HL before the 3000+ breakout. Solid base.
🔵 BOS Origin / HL Base 2592 – 2570 True origin of macro bullish structure. Swing trader interest.
⚫ Equilibrium Major #1 2280 – 2265 Fibonacci 50% of full macro range + EMA50. Potential macro reentry.
⚫ Equilibrium Major #2 2245 – 2212 Liquidity from past accumulation zones (2023–2024).
🔹 Fibonacci Context
Full swing: 1045 (2015 low) → 3500 (ATH April 2025)
Price is now pressing between the 1.618 and 2.0 extension zone, ideal area for macro distribution.
The 50% equilibrium of the macro range sits at ~2240, aligning with EMAs and historical demand.
🔹 Liquidity Analysis
✅ Buy-side liquidity swept at every major milestone: 2108 → 2500 → 3000 → 3300
🎯 Final liquidity pool lies above 3435 into 3500 → this is where many late buyers could be trapped.
💧 Sell-side liquidity sits cleanly around 3110 → 2590 → 2240 — these are the likely draw targets if correction begins.
🔹 Macroeconomic Context (May–June 2025)
📰 Federal Reserve: Markets expect a possible rate cut in Q3, which still supports gold, but with less surprise.
🌍 Geopolitical Risks: Persistent global instability continues to back the gold rally.
🧮 Equity Overextension: Rotation from risk assets to safety could fuel one more push — or trigger a sharp correction.
💹 Inflation Outlook: Any spike in CPI may trigger further bullish flows — but positioning is already saturated.
🔚 Summary – What's Next?
✅ Trend: Still bullish, but at the final stages of maturity
⚠️ Risk: Sharp rejection likely near 3435–3500
📌 Scenarios to watch:
Push into 3435–3500: Final inducement → possible sharp rejection
Break below 3110: Opens path to 3038 or even 2630
Major swing buys only valid around 2638 or 2240, if macro retracement triggers
🧠 GoldFxMinds Final Word:
The monthly chart shows strength, but we are now deep inside premium, under the shadow of a freshly printed ATH. If June opens with a wick or false breakout above 3435, expect a high-probability retracement toward 3110 or deeper.
This is not the time to chase buys blindly — but rather to position smartly at real OBs and FVGs, where structure confirms.