USD/JPY : Bulls are coming back?! Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that the price precisely hit our previously forecasted target of 148.65 before declining further to 146.5. Following that, USDJPY rallied back up to 151 and is currently trading around 150.680. Should the price manage to stabilize above 150.5, we can anticipate further gains in this pair. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
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Gold
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyAs global economic uncertainty intensifies and gold prices hit record highs, investors are seeking safe-haven assets. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week.
In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound.
Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year.
In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2.
In conclusion, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
EUR/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has moved exactly as expected since our last analysis. After reaching the supply zone between 1.083 and 1.093, the pair began a correction and is currently trading around 1.079. Keep in mind, only if the price stabilizes below the 1.080 level can we expect further downside from this pair.
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Gold - Price is at resistance with bearish RSI divergencePrice is at resistance with bearish RSI divergence (overbought at 72.39) and a potential double top forming. Volume is declining, indicating weakening momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 1, 3): The Stochastic is at 90.48, well into the overbought territory (above 80). This indicates that the price may be overextended and due for a pullback.
Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14): The RSI is at 72.39, also in the overbought zone (above 70). Additionally, there’s a bearish divergence—while the price made a higher high near $3,135.060, the RSI made a lower high, signaling weakening momentum.
Simple Moving Average (SMA, 14, 2) on RSI: The RSI’s SMA is at 68.05, showing that the RSI is still elevated but trending downward, supporting the bearish divergence.
Resistance Rejection: The price is failing to break through the $3,132.528–$3,135.060 resistance zone, as evidenced by the red circle showing a sharp rejection.
Bearish Divergence: The RSI (72.39) shows a bearish divergence, indicating that the upward momentum is fading despite the price hitting a higher high.
Overbought Indicators: Both the Stochastic (90.48) and RSI (72.39) are in overbought territory, suggesting the price is overextended and likely to correct.
Volume Decline: Decreasing volume on the recent push to resistance indicates a lack of buying conviction, increasing the likelihood of a reversal.
Double Top Potential: The price action near $3,135.060 resembles a double top pattern, a bearish reversal setup, especially with the rejection at this level.
Monitor for Confirmation: Watch for a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing) on the 5-minute chart to confirm the reversal before entering the trade.
Risk Management: Only risk a small percentage of your account (e.g., 1-2%) on this trade. Adjust position size based on the stop loss distance.
+400 pips EURUSD swing trade setup V-shape recovery BUY LOW🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 0680
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 1180
🔸Status: pullback in progress
🔸0660/0680 normal pullback
🔸BULLS still maintain control
🔸Price Target Bears: 0660/0680
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1160/1180
📊 Forex Market Highlights – April 2nd, 2025
🚨 Traders await Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff
reveal at 20:00 GMT – markets holding breath
as global trade tensions escalate.
💷 GBP/USD Sluggish Above 1.2900
📉 Cable struggles to gain upside as USD
safe-haven demand kicks in pre-announcement.
🇪🇺 EUR/USD Pressured Below 1.0800
🔽 Euro weakens amid risk aversion and strong
dollar flows — key support at 1.0760 in focus.
🥇 Gold Shines Bright
🚀 Hits ATH above $3,100 amid rising risk-off
mood & global uncertainty. Safe haven demand surging.
🔔 Stay sharp — volatility ahead.
GOLD: The rally is getting stronger. Growth after a false crashOANDA:XAUUSD breaking upward and attempting to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of the adjustment process. This will serve as an ideal support level for buyers. The price increase, against the backdrop of political and geopolitical issues, only intensifies.
Tariff increases are driving gold demand higher. Trump has rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary has named 15 countries on the list for new measures. This has weakened the dollar and increased concerns about stagflation, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset.
Additionally, tariff tensions are unlikely to end after April 2, especially with auto tariffs taking effect on April 3, and this combined with growth uncertainty will keep buyers interested in gold if prices decline.
Technically, we have a strong upward trend, selling carries risk, and we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if prices consolidate above 3127 or after breaking through the false 3119/3111 levels.
Before continuing growth, there may be adjustments to key support areas to normalize market imbalances and capture liquidity. Consolidation above levels after false breakouts will be a positive signal for growth.
But! There is upcoming news and high volatility potential!
Has gold entered a downward channel?Gold ended its continuous rise. The daily chart was blocked and fell back, falling to 3100. Technically, the gold price is still above 3078/3095 of MA7 and 5-day moving average. At the same time, MA10/7-day moving average still remains open upward, and the price is running on the upper track of the Bollinger Band.
The short-term four-hour moving average narrowed, and the price was running near the MA10-day moving average at 3123. The price retreated to the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 3101/3104. The RSI indicator turned downward after touching the overbought value above 80 yesterday. The hourly moving average is glued together, and the price returns to the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band. Gold is expected to continue to expand its operating range during the day. It is recommended to buy at a low level after the correction and be cautious in chasing the rise. Consider selling after the key resistance level or historical high.
Once Trump's tariff policy is implemented, pay attention to the high and low prices in the gold and silver market, which may usher in a substantial downward adjustment. On the contrary, if Trump continues to announce new tariff policies on the basis of the original tariff policy, gold needs to pay attention to triggering risk aversion and causing a sharp rise or a record high again.
Gold surged higher in the US market yesterday and is stagnant. Bulls are under short-term pressure and may enter an adjustment cycle. In the short-term, gold is expected to fall and adjust! Yesterday, gold rose first and then fell, rising to 3149 and then falling. The European market fluctuated narrowly. From the technical indicators, the 2-hour moving average has formed a dead cross, MACD dead cross and large volume, and the Bollinger band closed. The US market continued to decline after the shock, and currently fell below the 3120 intraday watershed. In the short term, it means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and started to retrace and adjust.
After yesterday's retracement, today's Asian market quickly rose to 3135.7. With the increase in volume on the hourly chart, it corrected the decline with 3150 as the high point. The fluctuation range was large and the adjustment speed was fast. The current position is too risky to chase the rise. Although shorting is against the trend, the implementation of technically overbought tariffs will also be realized, and there will be more room for profit-taking and downward adjustments. Buying and selling opportunities coexist.
Key points:
First support: 3115, second support: 3102, third support: 3093
First resistance: 3138, second resistance: 3150, third resistance: 3200
Operation ideas:
Buy; 3110-3113, SL: 3102, TP: 3140-3150;
Sell; 3143-3145, stop SL: 3154, TP: 3120-3110;
UPDATE XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025🦍 XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025
Feed: VANTAGE | Based on Price Action, SMC, OB, FVG, Liquidity
🌍 Macro & Political Context
📰 Geopolitical tension remains high: war in Ukraine, Trump tariffs = gold stays strong as safe-haven
💸 Inflation concerns + central bank demand continue fueling bullish pressure
🧠 Gold printed an ATH @ 3148, but market is now reacting with clear Smart Money footprints
🧠 SMC Structure Overview
🔺 3335–3340 → Liquidity/Accumulation Zone → Not a sell zone
🔻 3107–3115 → Strong rejection zone → Valid demand
📊 Price is compressing between a major supply and key liquidity below
📌 Smart Money may grab liquidity below before making the next bullish move
🎯 TRADE SCENARIOS – SNIPER SETUPS
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 1 – Trend Continuation Entry
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 3115 – 3120
Confluences:
Bullish OB on M15
FVG in discount
Strong reaction from this zone yesterday
Sell-side liquidity swept at 3112
Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH + engulfing on M5
SL: Below 3107
TP1: 3135
TP2: 3145
TP3: 3150+ (ATH retest)
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 2 – Deep Discount Entry
Bias: Bullish (Liquidity grab + imbalance fill)
Entry: 3085 – 3092
Confluences:
H1 FVG + unmitigated OB
FIBO 61.8%
Below key liquidity at 3100
Confirmation: M1/M5 reversal pattern + CHoCH
SL: Below 3075
TP1: 3115
TP2: 3135
TP3: 3148+
🔴 SELL SCENARIO 1 – Fakeout Above ATH
Bias: Short-term reversal
Entry: 3146 – 3150
Confluences:
Sweep of ATH @3148
H4 supply zone
Possible overextension / inducement
Confirmation: M5 rejection + CHoCH
SL: Above 3155
TP1: 3130
TP2: 3115
TP3: 3100
🔴 SELL SCENARIO 2 – Break in Structure Setup
Bias: Trend shift / Lower High
Entry: 3127 – 3132
Confluences:
LH formed under 3140
BOS on M15
Rejection from OB retest
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + rejection wick
SL: Above 3136
TP1: 3112
TP2: 3092
TP3: 3080
🧲 Key Liquidity & Imbalance Zones
Zone Type
3335–3340 🔒 Liquidity / Accumulation
3148–3150 💥 Buy-side Liquidity (fakeout)
3107–3115 🟢 Demand zone (bullish base)
3085–3092 🔵 Imbalance + OB + 61.8% FIBO
3075 🧨 Stop hunt / liquidity clearance
🧘 Final Notes
📌 Patience > Prediction
🧠 Wait for confirmation. Don’t force the entry.
🗞️ News and Trump can still throw wild cards — stay reactive.
👍 Found this plan helpful? Smash that like ❤️ and follow for sniper updates daily.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SniperTrading #FVG #OrderBlocks
Gold waited for a clear move!Currently, gold prices are attracting some dip buyers after the previous day's pullback from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns over a global economic downturn due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of a Fed rate cut and the lack of USD buying interest provide additional support for FX:XAUUSD
From a technical perspective, we see the Bollinger Bands showing signs of price narrowing, indicating that long-term buying or selling at this moment is risky. We are looking for key areas to buy or sell as the main trend remains sideways. For instance, if the price drops below 3145, we might consider selling, while a rise above 3105 could signal a buying opportunity.
Happy trading, and may your trades be profitable!
Middle East heats up, GOLD rises more than 20 USDIn the Asian trading session, the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly jumped by more than 20 USD in the short term and the gold price just touched 3,135 USD/ounce. The situation in the Middle East suddenly became tense and the US Department of Defense sent more aircraft carriers and bombers to the Middle East, increasing risk aversion, which boosted the demand for safe havens.
The latest news from Bloomberg News in the US said that in the context of the US declaring to continue the fight against the Iran-backed Houthi rebels and escalating tensions with Iran over Iran's nuclear program, US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth ordered the dispatch of more troops to the Middle East, including the USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier strike group and many fighter jets.
The Carl Vinson will arrive in the region after completing the Indo-Pacific exercise. Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell said in a statement Tuesday that the Defense Department will also extend the deployment of the USS Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group in the region. The rare deployment of two aircraft carriers echoes a show of force last year under the Biden administration.
"Secretary Hegseth made clear once again that if Iran or its proxies threaten U.S. personnel and interests in the region, the United States will take decisive action to protect our people," Parnell said.
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Monday that any attack by the United States or Israel would be met with "decisive retaliation." US President Donald Trump has previously threatened to bomb Iran if it does not sign a deal to give up its nuclear weapons.
Last week, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said there would be no direct talks with the United States as long as the Trump administration continued its "military threats." "If there is no deal, the bombing will come," Trump warned in an interview last weekend.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold tested the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level and declined slightly after receiving support from the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level. As we have communicated to our readers in previous publications, given the current fundamental context and technical chart conditions, further price declines are possible, but should only be considered as short-term corrections and not a trend. Or we can consider the downward corrections as another buying opportunity.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, there is still a long-term main uptrend, with the main support from the EMA21 and the short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel.
For now, gold is capped by the $3,135 level, once this level is broken above gold, there will be conditions to continue to refresh the all-time high set on yesterday's trading day with the next target being the $3,172 price point of the 1% Fibonacci extension.
During the day, the bullish outlook of gold will be highlighted by the following technical levels.
Support: $3,108 – $3,100 – $3,086
Resistance: $3,135 – $3,149 – $3,172
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3171 - 3169⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3175
→Take Profit 1 3163
↨
→Take Profit 2 3157
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3081
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3099
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures:
Resistance 1: 3149 - 3151 area
Support 1: 3099 - 3104 area
Support 2: 3048 - 3057 area
Support 3: 3024 - 3036 area
Support 4: 2997 - 3001 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Gold accumulated motivation for promising increasing!Today, gold continues to attract some buyers after yesterday's retreat from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns about a global economic recession due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of Fed rate cuts and lack of interest in buying USD provide additional support for XAU/USD.
Currently, the metal is moving around $3,130 and upside potential remains highly rated as the EMA 34 and 89 lines continue to act as dynamic support levels. Additionally, historical bullish patterns are repeating themselves, suggesting that after this period of retreat and consolidation, an impressive upward movement is expected.
INTRADAY MOVEMENT EXPECTEDi can see still there is liquidity above at the poc of the weekly volume
but if the price can cross up the level it can visit the next resistance above
so if the price at london session cross down the value area i will expect visit the levels shown on the chart as support and make the rejection
so we have to follow the plan and and use the levels on the chart risk management safe the profit secure the orders after the price move stop at break even
we wish happy trade for all
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 3,127.89
1st Support: 3,084.91
1st Resistance: 3,146.14
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XAUUSD M15 | Bearish Fall Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 3133.65, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 3119.35, a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 3150.50, which is above the swing high resistance.
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. Although a sell signal briefly appeared in the previous session, the MACD failed to form a bearish crossover with the signal line, instead finding support and rebounding. The index strongly bounced from its low, reaching the 5-day moving average (MA) before closing with an upper wick.
Since the MACD is supporting the signal line and potentially resuming an upward trend, the key level to watch is whether the price can break through the strong resistance at 19,625–19,675. As long as the MACD does not confirm a bearish crossover, it is advisable to trade within the range.
On the 240-minute chart, the index rebounded from the bottom while generating a buy signal. However, with strong resistance around 19,675, if the price pulls back once more, it could either form a double bottom or resume a strong upward move from a single-bottom structure.
Although the MACD has crossed above the signal line (golden cross) on the 240-minute chart, it is still far from the zero line, suggesting that further pullbacks may occur after additional gains. It is important to avoid chasing the price and instead focus on buying dips at key support levels while maintaining a range-trading approach.
Crude Oil
Oil closed flat, facing resistance at $72. On the daily chart, the price broke above the 240-day MA and is now testing resistance from a previous supply zone. It is likely to consolidate within a range while pulling up the short-term moving averages.
The daily MACD has moved above the zero line, lifting the signal line as well. If the price remains in a range-bound consolidation, the signal line will eventually rise above the zero line, further supporting a bullish structure.
Key upcoming events include today’s oil inventory report and tomorrow’s OPEC meeting, which could act as catalysts for either a continuation of the rally or a pullback. Since there is still a gap between the 3-day and 5-day MAs, range trading remains the best approach.
On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, but given the heavy supply at previous resistance levels, a period of sideways movement or a pullback is likely.
If a bearish crossover occurs on the 240-minute chart, oil could drop below $70. For now, monitor whether the uptrend can hold, and if it does, consider trading within the range while managing downside risks.
Gold
Gold closed lower after an overshoot to the upside. On the daily chart, the price was in an overextended high position, with a significant gap from the 3-day and 5-day MAs. After a brief rally, selling pressure emerged, leading to a bearish close.
Since gold has yet to properly test the 5-day MA, a pullback to this level remains a possibility. However, the daily MACD is still trending upward, and liquidity remains strong, increasing the likelihood of a one-way rally unless the 10-day MA is broken. Short positions should be approached with caution.
On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover has occurred, leading to a pullback from the high. However, since the uptrend remains intact, even if the MACD crosses below the signal line, the fact that it is still above the zero line suggests a potential rebound.
The best strategy is to focus on buying dips at key support levels, as the market is likely to consolidate before resuming a trend move. Be cautious when trading within a range-bound market.
With Friday’s U.S. employment report approaching, market volatility remains elevated. Trump’s tariff policies are increasing concerns about inflation and a potential economic slowdown. The interpretation of upcoming economic data will be crucial in determining market direction.
Risk management remains essential, so trade cautiously and stay prepared.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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Gold running out of Gas to keep pushing up!I have been waiting for a solid pull back. Price looks like it wants to give it up. But since it is so bullish I have to wait for it to show its hand first before assuming. If price wants to continue with the strong bullish action I feel they need to come back and correct some of the price action first. Looking for signs they want to continue for Asian Session.
GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025👇
🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆
📍 Macro & Political Context
🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue.
💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀
🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend: Bullish HTF ✅
Current Price: $3,113
All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!)
Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃
📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences
🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below
📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level)
🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG
🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up
🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone
📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100
🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse
🔺 Premium Rejection
🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone
✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken
🎯 Plan of Action
🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone
"Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸
Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095
Confluence:
Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA)
Imbalance zone
FIBO 61.8% + structure break
Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep
SL: Below $3,078
TP1: $3,130
TP2: $3,145
TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again)
🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+
Catch the premium short 🧨
Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148
Confluence:
All-time high sweep (liquidity trap)
HTF OB rejection
Weakness shown on M15
Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing
SL: Above $3,155
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,100
TP3: $3,085
🧠 Final Notes
📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs
📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise
🧘♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common.
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