HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined to the trend line and then at once rebounded from this line to support 1, which coincided with the support zone, breaking support 2. Then the price made a correction, after which reached the trend line and then rebounded and rose back to the support zone (2725 - 2715) and then dropped to the trend line. When the price fell to this line, it broke it and declined to the support zone, which coincided with support 2 and then started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, the price reached the support line and some time rose near this line and then bounced and in a short time rose to support 1. Soon, the price broke this level and continued to move up next and now it almost reaches the trend line. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will reach this line and then turn around and start to decline to support level inside an upward channel. That's why I set my goal at the 2715 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold
DeGRAM | GOLD continues to grow in the channelGOLD is in an ascending channel.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart has maintained an ascending structure.
We expect the growth to continue.
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EUR/USD : Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price finally hit the 1.044 target, delivering a 250-pip return. Currently, EUR/USD is trading around the 1.041 level. If a strong rejection occurs at this zone, we can anticipate a potential drop toward 1.035 as the first target and 1.025 as the second target. This analysis will be updated accordingly!
The Main Analysis :
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XAUUSD - Gold Awaits Weekend Data Releases?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises towards the channel ceiling and supply zones, we can look for short positions targeting the channel midline.
The gold market has kicked off 2025 with one of its best starts since 2023 and is on track to achieve its strongest monthly performance since September. Prices are currently testing the high range near $2,750 per ounce.
A fund manager noted that this robust start to January could signal another strong year for the precious metal, even after gold recorded a 27% price increase last year.
In his 2025 outlook report, Eric Strand, founder of the precious metals-focused AuAg Funds, projected that gold prices will surpass $3,000 per ounce this year. He stated: “We expect gold to break the $3,000 barrier during the year and possibly reach even higher levels by year-end, with a realistic target of $3,300.” Strand’s bullish target represents a 20% increase from current levels.
Strand suggested that the new Trump administration might usher in a period of more accommodative monetary policies and larger government stimulus programs. In his report, he explained: “Both Donald Trump and Elon Musk have built their empires on extensive borrowing while driving forward at full speed.
This approach will likely persist for the next four years as governments strive to avoid an economic downturn at any cost to create a positive boom. However, the price of this strategy will be monetary inflation. Such an inflationary boom creates a financial environment where commodity prices, including gold, rise significantly.”
As U.S. national debt has reached unprecedented levels, now exceeding $36 trillion, Strand highlighted that the United States is not alone in facing this challenge. He emphasized that governments worldwide continue to increase spending through deficit financing. He noted: “The amount of money circulating in the system is increasing without generating substantial real growth, which naturally means each unit of currency becomes less valuable.”
Meanwhile, gold prices remain near all-time highs against major currencies such as the euro, British pound, Chinese yuan, Canadian dollar, and Australian dollar.
Gold continues to stand out as a safe-haven global asset as the trend of de-globalization accelerates. Countries are moving away from dependence on the U.S. dollar and diversifying their currency reserves. (De-globalization refers to the process of reducing or reversing global integration, including less free trade, restricted capital flows, reduced interdependence, and a rise in nationalist and local policies.)
Strand stated: “We have seen the beginning of de-globalization, and it appears to be gaining momentum, particularly as the U.S. seeks to impose conditions that serve its own interests. Policies such as ‘America First’ and high tariffs may benefit the U.S. economy, but they also undermine trust in the country as a leader in free-market economies.” He added: “This new phenomenon is likely to create inflationary pressures and may lead to waves of currency devaluation in other nations as they attempt to offset the effects of tariffs.”
GOLD PRICES RETREAT AS STRONG DOLLAR PREVAILS AND ECONOMIC DATA Economic Data Impacting the Market
On December 12, 2024, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released important economic data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.4% in November, higher than the expected 0.2%, and showed a 3.0% increase over the year, marking the largest gain since February 2023. Additionally, the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, went up by 0.2% for the month and 3.5% annually. Initial jobless claims for the week ending December 7 reached 242,000, significantly above the expected 220,000, indicating rising unemployment. These mixed signals highlight ongoing inflation pressures alongside a weakening job market.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Shift
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has decreased to 96.70% from 97.50% a day ago, signalling changing market expectations.
Gold Today: Buy or Sell ?Hello everyone, what do you think—should we buy or sell gold today?
Currently, gold remains highly attractive to bullish investors, climbing to its highest levels in weeks, supported by a sharp decline in the USD Index, with prices hovering around the $2750 region.
On the 4-hour technical chart, gold consistently shows BOS (Break of Structure) patterns, signaling that the bullish momentum may continue for now. Key levels to watch are the $2760 resistance and $2720 support zones, which are critical areas for potential breakouts and strength for the metal.
Personally, I lean toward a buying strategy. What’s your take? Don’t forget to set your TP and SL when trading!
GOLD heads for all-time record levelsOANDA:XAUUSD held steady near record highs on Thursday (Jan. 23) as investors awaited further guidance from the new Trump administration on trade policies and potential tax cuts.
Gold prices remain near their highest levels since last October as investors consider the impact that President Trump's latest tariff threats against China and the European Union could have on with the global economy.
OANDA:XAUUSD currently trading at nearly $2,752, $40 below its all-time high and up about 2% in the week to date.
Gold was supported by safe-haven demand as investors weighed the new administration's stance on trade. US President Donald Trump has named China, the European Union, Canada and Mexico as potential import tariff targets, although there remains uncertainty about whether he will do so.
Trump said he is considering imposing a 10% tariff on goods imported from China starting February 1. He also promised to impose tariffs on imports from Europe but did not provide further details.
He had previously said that Mexico and Canada could face tariffs of around 25% on February 1.
The Federal Reserve will meet next week as economic growth continues and inflation declines but faces uncertainty from the new administration's policies. The central bank is expected to leave the key interest rate unchanged at its next policy meeting on January 28-29. High interest rates reduce the appeal of non-interest-bearing gold, but with the current market context, the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged is not a potential pressure for gold to adjust significantly.
European Central Bank policymakers unanimously backed further interest rate cuts on Wednesday, signaling that a rate cut next week is almost a foregone conclusion. will be implemented even as the Federal Reserve remains cautious.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold corrected very slightly but now it has all the conditions for expectations to reach an all-time high.
The main uptrend is reinforced by the break above the green price channel combined with price activity above the $2,750 level noticed by readers in yesterday's edition, along with that the Strength Index Relative RSI also shows that there is still room for price growth ahead.
Currently, the upside momentum is being blocked by the $2,762 technical level and once this level is broken gold could continue to rise with a subsequent target at the all-time high of $2,790.
As long as gold remains above the EMA21, and above the green price channel, it remains bullish in the short to medium term and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,750 – 2,730 – 2,725USD
Resistance: 2,762 – 2,790USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2776 - 2774⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2780
→Take Profit 1 2769
↨
→Take Profit 2 2764
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2720 - 2722⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2716
→Take Profit 1 2727
↨
→Take Profit 2 2732
Gold → A Bear Wedge Pattern is forming. What's Next?OANDA:XAUUSD consolidating above the 2715 level, while simultaneously a bearish wedge pattern maintains the recent upward trend. Theoretically, the price will break the support level, creating a breakout at the 2715 zone.
On the H1 timeframe, the support zone of 2715-2715 has formed and price is moving towards reacting at this support area. If buyers maintain this zone, price may retest the upper boundary of the rising channel or the important psychological level of 2748 before further decline. However, a breakthrough below this level will lead to an earlier price drop. Additionally, the USD is also consolidating above the support zone, creating a corresponding reaction in the gold market.
Resistance levels: 2738, 2748, 2758
Support levels: 2716, 2703, 2693
I expect a correction following the false break of the 2715 level. Price consolidation below this level will lead to a deeper decline.
GOLD → False or true resistance breakout?OANDA:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the previously broken boundary of the ascending channel. The struggle that has not ended creates risks for both buyers and sellers.
The weakening USD, coupled with the lack of clarity surrounding President Donald Trump's policy plans and ongoing trade wars, continues to provide support for gold.
Inflation expectations are rising amid a period of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, forcing the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain high interest rates for an extended period to control increasing price pressures. Since taking office, President Trump has provided little detail on his proposed tariffs, raising questions about the seriousness of these measures and their potential impact.
In the coming days and weeks, the precious metals market will be influenced by constantly shifting news from Washington.
Resistance levels: 2758, 2770
Support levels: 2750, 2745, 2730
Currently, prices are consolidating above previously broken resistance levels. If there is no bullish momentum and the price breaks through a false resistance channel, gold may decline toward 2745 - 2730.
However, a breakout above the local resistance level could trigger buying and push the price to the target: 2770.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Gold prices gain momentum from Trump's tariffsGold prices hit a more than 11-week high in afternoon trading on January 22, not far from last year's record, driven by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policies and a weak US dollar.
Spot gold rose 0.3% to $2,751.89 an ounce at 12:02 (Vietnam time), after hitting its highest since November 1 earlier in the session, and nearing a record $2,790.15 an ounce set in October 2024. US gold futures also rose 0.3% to $2,768.40 an ounce.
There is still some uncertainty regarding the timing of Trump’s tariff plans with major US trading partners, which has created uncertainty about the direction of the US dollar, which is the main short-term catalyst for gold prices, said Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at OANDA.
Gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge could be dented if Mr Trump’s policies, which are seen as inflationary, lead the US Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates for a prolonged period. Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of gold, which does not pay interest.
Gold H1As far as I know, trend lines and price action levels work in MACD as well. Right now, in this timeframe, we have this trend line in MACD and the most likely scenario is that MACD will turn above this trend line and regain upward momentum.
Unless the price starts a strong downward move in the near future, i.e. in the next few hours, MACD will break the trend line.
Let's see what happens.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed higher on news of President Trump’s plans to expand AI investments. It surged strongly to the upper Bollinger Band on the daily chart, lifting the MACD above the zero line. However, a gap formed due to Netflix's earnings report, and there is a possibility that this gap could be filled during future corrections.
While the signal line remains below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating the potential for a pullback, strong buying momentum on the 240-minute chart suggests the NASDAQ could rise further to the 22200–22300 zone. A sell-off might emerge only if the MACD on the 240-minute chart dead crosses the signal line, signaling a shift to a bearish trend. There is also upside potential to 22250, the upper boundary of the weekly chart, so it's wise to keep this level in mind.
For now, focus on buying dips, but keep an eye on the transition from an uptrend (positive alignment) to a downtrend (negative alignment) on the short-term charts. If the 240-minute MACD dead crosses, it could signal a correction, so monitor the price movements closely.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, consolidating in a box range near the $75 level. The large bullish candle from January 10 serves as a key reference point, with the midpoint of that candle acting as a support level.
For a rebound on the daily chart, a bullish candle needs to form. Currently, the MACD is closely aligned with the signal line. If the MACD avoids a dead cross and turns upward, there’s a high chance of a third bullish wave. Keep an eye on the upcoming crude oil inventory data to see if it triggers a trend reversal.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting to cross above the signal line in the oversold zone, showing a potential for a rebound. With prolonged consolidation around $75, a strong upward move could follow any breakout. Avoid chasing shorts, and if the price drops to $74, it could provide a great buying opportunity.
GOLD
Gold closed higher, breaking above the 2760 resistance level. This breakout opens the possibility of further gains to the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart, around 2780. However, the divergence between the MACD and the signal line on the weekly chart makes a further golden cross less likely, meaning a correction could occur in the next week or two.
On the daily chart, the bullish trend remains strong, making it advisable to avoid short positions. The 240-minute chart shows a third bullish wave following a golden cross of the MACD, supporting further gains. Ideally, continued strength above 2780 would prevent a divergence from forming on the MACD, which could lead to a sharp decline if unaddressed.
For now, use 2760 as support and focus on range-bound trading while monitoring for a potential breakout above key levels. Always be prepared for volatility and manage risk carefully.
Positive market momentum is being driven by new government policies and plans, including tariffs, the Stargate Project, and expanded AI infrastructure investments. These developments could act as catalysts for further gains. Stay updated on these issues, and as always, manage your risks carefully. Best of luck with your trading today!
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21920 / 21870 / 21790 / 21720
-Sell: 22035 / 22075 / 22135 / 22230
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 75.10 / 74.70 / 74.30 / 73.60
-Sell: 75.70 / 76.20 / 76.75 / 77.10
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2759 / 2754 / 2748 / 2738
-Sell: 2771 / 2778 / 2783 / 2794
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly inline with our plans.
After completing 2717 and 2737 bullish targets yesterday, we stated that we will now look for ema5 to lock above 2737 for a continuation into 2753. We got the lock confirmation giving us plenty of time to get in for the action and then BOOOOM!!! 2753 was hit completing this target.
We now have a break above 2753 leaving 2768 open. However, we will not chase this from the top due to potential corrections and as always safer for us to buy from dips using our Goldturn support levels.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2717 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2737 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2753 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2786
BEARISH TARGETS
2696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2675
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2675 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2661 - 2647
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2632 - 2618
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold : Bullish Outlook with Potential Correction Below 2757Gold Technical Analysis
The price has perfectly reached our target of 2757, as mentioned previously.
As long as the price trades above 2757, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward 2773 and then 2787 (ATH).
A 4-hour candle close below 2757 would indicate a potential bearish correction toward 2739.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2757
Resistance Levels: 2773, 2787 (ATH)
Support Levels: 2747, 2739, 2722
Trend Outlook:
Bullish Trend while above 2757
Bearish Trend if a 4-hour candle closes below 2757
previous idea:
Ascending Channel at Risk: Gold's Next Move!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($2,743-$2,700) , near the Upper line of the Ascending Channel and near the Important Resistance lines .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing microwave 5 of microwave c of the main wave Y . If the Uptrend lines break , we can confirm the end of wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks (Clear RD- in all indicators ).
I expect Gold to drop at least $2,710 in the coming hours after the breaking of the Uptrend lines . The next target can be $2,701 , and if the lower line of the ascending channel breaks , we can hope for the breaking of the Support zone($2,697-$2,689) .
If you want to see my analysis on the 4-hour time frame , take a look at the post I published on January 16, 2025 .
Note: If Gold goes above $2,750, we should expect more Gold increase and a new All-Time High (ATH) for Gold.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-22-25: BreakAway PatternToday's BreakAway pattern suggests the markets will attempt to move aggressively away from yesterday's closing price level. I do believe the markets are over-extended to the upside. Which is why I continue to warn traders that we may be nearing a top/peak price level and to prepare for a rollover type of top in the SPY/QQQ.
My broad cycle patterns suggested the markets would top near Jan 20-21. I believe we are seeing a type of carryover momentum move to the upside as a result of optimism related to the Inauguration.
Now that the Inauguration is complete, I believe the markets will start to "resettle" into reality.
The SPY/QQQ should move into a rolling type of top pattern over the next 3-5+ days, then trend downward into my Feb 9-11 DEEP-V Base/Bottom.
Gold and Silver are likely to move higher in an attempt to hedge against global risks and uncertainty.
BTCUSD is moving through the current EPP pattern as the flagging breaks down. This should prompt a move back to the 92k level, then a brief pause before trending further downward.
Remember, the markets are likely to stall out through H1:2025. Get ready for volatile price swings before we move back into trending near the end of 2025.
Get some.
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Analysis of the latest gold trend on January 21
Gold has been rising since the early Asian session today, and the high point of the European session has reached 2732. Combined with the current trend of the US dollar index, the rise of gold during the day is mainly due to the market's extreme bullish sentiment. However, this kind of extreme sentiment is not easy to control. In the future, a steady stream of bullish injections are needed for gold to remain strong. However, judging from the expectations of future fundamentals, this possibility is still relatively low, so for the current gold price If it is strong, you must still maintain a high degree of vigilance and do not blindly chase the rise.
Combined with the daily and hourly chart structures, the current gold trend is still beyond the normal operating rules, but there is also a fight around 2733 today, so we must also be wary of this pressure. The lower part of the U.S. market focuses on the competition for the 5-day line of 2710. Technically, we still hope that the market will fall back to the 5-day line and conduct a regular technical correction. Otherwise, the current emotional trend will still have a great unconventional risk.
For US market operations, it is recommended to sell short at 2730/2732, and look down to 2720 and 2712.