Strong USOIL Setup: Long from Support + 4.34 R/RHey Guys, hope you're all doing well!
I've placed a limit buy order on USOIL from a key support level. Below are the relevant levels for your reference:
- 🔵 Entry Level: 67.424
- 🔴 Stop Loss: 66.803
- 🟢 Target 1 (TP1): 67.908
- 🟢 Target 2 (TP2): 68.456
- 🟢 Target 3 (TP3): 70.036
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.34
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Gold
Smart 15-Min Entry on USDJPY – Clear Plan with 2.33 R/R📢 Hey Guys;
I've placed a buy limit order on USDJPY at a key support level.
🔵 Entry: 145.956
🔴 Stop Loss: 145.743
🟢 Targets:
• TP1: 146.069
• TP2: 146.232
• TP3: 146.468
📐 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.33
-------
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Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
GOLD SELL M15Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 9, 2025
The price is currently trading around the 3,295 level, after a recent Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The market has formed a consolidation zone (highlighted in purple), suggesting a possible bearish continuation setup. Price is expected to retest the supply zone and then move lower.
Sell Setup Details:
Entry Zone: Inside the purple consolidation range (~3,295–3,297)
Stop Loss (SL): 3,305
Target (TP): 3,282
Key Support Levels:
3,292.16
3,288.16
3,282.39 (Main Target Zone)
This setup anticipates a bearish move after a rejection from the supply area, aiming for the liquidity zone near 3,282.
BTCUSDT Short Position (25/Jul/9)Bitcoin, similar to the TOTAL chart, is showing weakness in its bullish momentum. However, unlike TOTAL, the divergence in Bitcoin is clearly noticeable. Additionally, within the marked zone on the Bitcoin chart, there is a possibility of a fake breakout and liquidity grab. I suggest entering only with proper confirmation.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 2025.Jul.9
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 1h Analysis (OANDA)Price Overview
Current Price: 3,286,190
24h Change: +15,525 (+0.47%)
Recent High/Low:
High: 18,286,420
Low: 12,284,465
Order Block (OB) Analysis
Profit Targets:
Multiple profit levels are identified, with the highest at 3,339,000 and the lowest at 3,279,000.
The price is currently between the 3,286,190 (current) and 3,279,000 (next profit level), suggesting a potential pullback or consolidation.
Entry & Stop-Loss:
Entry: 3,270,000
Stop-Loss (S/L): 3,270,000 (same as entry, indicating a break-even or tight risk strategy).
Key Levels (USD)
Resistance:
3,350,000 (major)
3,339,000 (immediate)
Support:
3,286,190 (current level)
3,279,000 (next profit target)
3,270,000 (critical support & entry)
Market Sentiment
Bullish Bias: Price is above the entry point (3,270,000) and showing a 0.47% gain.
Caution: Profit-taking may occur near 3,330,000–3,339,000. A break below 3,270,000 could invalidate the bullish setup.
Actionable Insights
If Long: Hold for targets up to 3,339,000, but monitor for rejection at resistance.
If Neutral: Wait for a break above 3,330,000 (confirmation) or below 3,270,000 (reversal signal).
Risk Management: Tight stop-loss at 3,270,000 protects against downside.
Gold’s Trap Above QML: Bearish Play UnfoldingHello Guys!
Gold appears to be forming a textbook Quasimodo reversal setup after printing a lower high into a key supply zone. Price aggressively tapped into the QML area (around 3,350–3,360), where sellers previously stepped in, and we’re now seeing signs of rejection.
The engulf zone marked earlier confirms bearish intent. It broke structure and flipped momentum. Price is currently retesting below that engulf level, likely as a last attempt to grab liquidity before heading down.
The projected move suggests a drop toward the next significant demand zone around 3,295–3,285, where the price previously found a strong bullish reaction.
Bias: Bearish below QML
Target: 3,295 zone
Invalidation: Above 3,368 (high of supply zone)
Gold (XAU/USD): Playbook in ActionHello guys!
We’ve seen a textbook QML (Quasimodo Level) setup play out beautifully on gold. Price pushed into a key supply zone and formed a QML structure, followed by a clean engulfing of the previous demand. confirming smart money involvement. As expected, the target of that QML has now been hit, tapping into the major demand zone below.
After the deep sweep and reaction from demand, price retraced upward into a potential lower high area. Based on structure and liquidity dynamics, two potential scenarios are in play:
We’re executing a two-step plan here:
Step 1: Short position from the QML + supply area, aiming for the next blue demand zone. Liquidity has been taken above the high, confirming the setup.
If we get a clean reaction near the blue area, that’s our signal to flip long. We expect a pullback toward $3310 area.
Analyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical AnalysisAnalyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical Analysis
In addition to technical analysis, it's important to consider fundamental factors that could influence the market. News releases, economic reports, and central bank decisions can significantly impact price movements.
Fundamental Analysis:
Keep an eye on major economic indicators like NFP, CPI, and interest rate decisions. These factors can drive the market and change its trend direction.
Technical Analysis:
Use tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action to confirm the trend and identify entry points.
For daily updates and comprehensive market analysis, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel, where I combine both technical and fundamental analysis to give you the most accurate insights.
Conclusion:
Identifying market trends in one day doesn’t have to be complicated. By using the right tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action on TradingView, you can make better trading decisions every day. To take your trading to the next level, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel for daily updates, real-time trend analysis, and expert trading signals.
Ready to start trading with precision? Join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel today for daily market insights and trading setups. Stay updated with real-time analysis, get actionable trading signals, and take your trading skills to the next level. Follow me now on TradingView!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Break : 3386
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( bearish Entry Detected )
GOLD → Readiness to test the local bottomFX:XAUUSD is under pressure from the rising dollar and uncertainty, breaking through support levels, which opens up a corridor for the market to fall to 3255 - 3246
The price of gold is consolidating around $3300 after falling more than 1% amid expectations of the Fed minutes and news about tariffs.
Investors remain cautious: the dollar is supported by hopes for US trade deals, while the threat of new tariffs from August 1 is holding back gold's growth.
Weak inflation data in China did not support the metal, while expectations that the Fed will not rush to cut rates due to inflationary pressure from tariffs are also limiting interest in gold. Traders are waiting for the Fed minutes and new statements from Trump to determine the further direction.
Technically, the market looks weak (on D1, the price closed below the key level of 3300 on Tuesday) and there is a chance of a further decline.
Resistance levels: 3300, 3311
Support levels: 3295, 3255, 3246
Consolidation below 3295-3300 could trigger a further decline to 3255, from which the market could react with a correction.
Buying can be considered if gold reverses the short scenario, manages to strengthen to 3311, and consolidates above this level. At the moment, the price is in the selling zone...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟
Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing.
Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis:
Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes.
Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry.
Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk.
Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉
Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈
Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward:
1. Trade-War Uncertainty
What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar.
Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid.
2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits
What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold.
3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning
What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions.
Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend.
🎯 Outlook Summary
Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints.
Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame
🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily)
Zone: $3,348 – $3,400
Why It Matters:
Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400.
📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups
Short at Resistance
Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,420
Breakdown Short
Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250
Targets:
TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,290
🔵 Potential Long Opportunities
Defensive Long (Aggressive)
Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290
Targets:
TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance)
TP2: $3,400 (key resistance)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,230
Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative)
Trigger: Daily close above $3,400
Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,450
TP2: $3,500+
Stop-Loss: Below $3,360
📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price remains capped under $3,400.
Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts.
A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026).
Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability):
Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally.
Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades.
Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside.
Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮.
Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅
We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈
Each one, teach one.
— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3397 (Wave 3).Dear colleagues, my previous forecast remains valid, but I have decided to update it.
At the moment, I still think that wave “3” of the medium order continues its upward movement.
At the moment, I think that the small correction in wave “2” is ending and we will see a continuation of the trend. I see the resistance area of 3397.94 as the target. The main thing is to overcome the local level of the small wave “1” at 3366.37.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
First Drop to 3307–3289, Then Buy for the Next UptrendOur system has identified a strong short signal across short-term, medium-term, and long-term timeframes as of July 3, 2025, with confidence levels above 89%. All durations are aligned, indicating a synchronized momentum shift.
Entry Point : 3354.43
Short-Term TP : 3334.30
Medium-Term TP : 3320.89
Long-Term TP : 3307.47~ 3289
📉 Based on the current market structure and signal convergence, TeconLab expects XAUUSD to drop into the 3307–3289 range, where a potential reversal zone is likely to form.
🛡️ Safest Entry for Buy: The 3289 level is considered the most favorable area for entering long positions after the expected correction completes.
📈 After reaching this zone, our system anticipates a new uptrend to begin, offering a fresh opportunity for upside movement.
The TP Zigzag path displayed on the chart outlines the projected decline with target steps, preparing for a potential bullish reversal afterward.
GOLD is in bearish conditions, pressured by aggressive tariffsOn Wednesday (July 9) in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the gold price just fell below 3,290 USD / ounce.
Although US President Trump announced that the first tariff letters had been sent to some US trading partners, the gold price fell below 3,290 USD / ounce due to the weakening demand for safe-haven gold. Trump postponed the tariff deadline to August 1, easing trade tensions.
The recovery in the dollar TVC:DXY and rising US Treasury yields also weighed on gold, sending prices sharply lower after hitting a high of $3,345 an ounce.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note TVC:US10Y rose to its highest in more than two weeks, making gold, which does not pay interest, less attractive as an investment.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 4.415%. The US real yield also rose 4 basis points to 2.073%.
TVC:DXY , which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, rose 0.20% to 97.70. The rise in the Dollar Index means that gold priced in dollars has become less attractive because they are inversely correlated.
Japan and South Korea said on Tuesday they would try to speed up trade talks with the United States in a bid to soften President Donald Trump's stance on new tariffs set to take effect on August 1.
But optimism about a trade deal boosted market risk appetite, limiting gold's upside.
Traders are awaiting the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting on Wednesday, followed by data on initial jobless claims for the week ended July 5.
Investors now expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year, starting in October.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold fell below the 3,300USD whole price point and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, which are the initial conditions for gold prices to have a prospect for a bearish trend.
Currently, with the position below 3,300USD, gold may continue to decline with the next target around 3,246USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The current resistances of gold prices are the pressure from the EMA21 line, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. These are also the resistance positions that readers paid attention to in the previous issue.
In addition, the RSI is pointing down from 50, currently 50 is considered the nearest resistance and the fact that the RSI is pointing down is quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline ahead.
During the day, although the trend is not yet completely clear, gold is showing conditions that are more inclined towards a decline, along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,292 - 3,246 USD
Resistance: 3,300 - 3,340 - 3,350 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3346 - 3344⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3350
→Take Profit 1 3338
↨
→Take Profit 2 3332
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3245 - 3247⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3241
→Take Profit 1 3253
↨
→Take Profit 2 3259
Trump "stirred up" GOLD recovery but limited by USD appreciationSpot CAPITALCOM:GOLD has rebounded strongly from yesterday's lows, currently trading around $3,333/oz. The main reason is that US President Trump announced a 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea starting August 1, which boosted safe-haven demand. However, the strengthening US Dollar has also limited the broader recovery in gold prices.
On Monday local time, US President Trump sent letters to 14 countries including Japan, South Korea and South Africa threatening to impose tariffs. He then signed an executive order to extend the suspension of "reciprocal tariffs" until August 1.
Trump announced that he would impose a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, effective August 1. In a letter to the leaders of Japan and South Korea, Trump said the tariffs would be imposed on August 1 because the two countries' trade relationship with the United States is "very unfair".
This is his first letter to major trading partners ahead of the July 9 deadline to reach a trade deal.
Trump said that despite the large trade deficits between the United States and South Korea and Japan, the United States has decided to continue to cooperate with the two countries. However, the United States has decided to move forward on the premise of more balanced and fair trade. Trump said that the trade deficit has posed a major threat to the US economy and even national security, so changes are needed. Starting August 1, 2025, the United States will impose a 25% tariff on all products from South Korea and Japan, regardless of the different tariffs by industry.
Additionally, any attempt to circumvent tariffs by shipping through a third country will also be subject to higher tariffs.
Trump said companies that choose to build factories or manufacture products in the United States will not have to pay the tariffs. Additionally, if South Korea and Japan decide to increase tariffs on the United States, the United States will impose additional tariffs of the same size on top of the current 25% tariff.
Official data released by the People's Bank of China on Monday showed that China's central bank increased its gold reserves in June, marking the eighth consecutive month of increase.
Bank of America said that central banks around the world are buying gold to diversify their foreign exchange reserves, thereby reducing their dependence on the US dollar and protecting against inflation and economic instability, and the trend is expected to continue.
Technical Outlook Analysis CAPITALCOM:GOLD
On the daily chart, gold has recovered from a key technical confluence area, which is the closest support area to note for readers in the weekly publication. The area from $3,292 – $3,300 is the confluence of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement with the lower edge of the long-term rising price channel. However, the temporary recovery is being limited by the EMA21, the current closest resistance, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level.
The recovery momentum is significant, but for gold to have enough technical bullish conditions, it needs to take price action above the EMA21, with a bullish breakout of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level then the prospect of a new bullish cycle will be opened.
If gold breaks above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it will have the next target at the raw price point of $3,400 followed by horizontal resistance at $3,430.
During the day, the current gold price should still be assessed as a sideways accumulation trend, when the Relative Strength Index RSI sticks around 50, showing the market's hesitant sentiment.
A strong enough fundamental impact to change the structure will give a more specific technical trend in the coming time, and the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,300 - 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 - 3,371 - 3,400 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3366 - 3364⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3370
→Take Profit 1 3358
↨
→Take Profit 2 3352
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
→Take Profit 1 3302
↨
→Take Profit 2 3308
Gold is at critical support for bullsGold is at a key trend line of support. Most of the world is watching the 3285 level near term, and a break of this level would put the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 3248 back in view. A break of this level would target the 3120 level once again. Bulls are nervous, but this key support will be watched carefully into the next trading session.
Gold will continue to fall today.Gold continued to fall in the US market after hitting a high on Tuesday and hit a recent low. Currently, there is a fierce competition between long and short positions. The repeated swings in the US tariff policy have caused fluctuations in risk aversion sentiment, and the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates above 95% in July has supported the US dollar. Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction today.
Thank you for your likes and support!
I will continue to share my views.
I wish you a smooth trading!
GOLD Long Inside The Range! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is stuck in a local
Range while still trading
In a strong long-term uptrend
So we think that this is an
Accumulation before the
Next leg up and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a retest and a
Rebound from the horizontal
Support below around 3259$
With the target of retesting
The horizontal resistance
Above around 3354$
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, projecting further downside after rejection from a resistance zone aligned with a descending trendline.
---
Analysis Summary
Trend Bias: Bearish
Current Price: ~$3,301.96
Structure: Price is respecting a descending channel, with multiple rejections from the upper boundary and key resistance zone.
---
Key Technical Insights
1. Resistance Zone & Downtrend Line:
Price was rejected from a resistance block near the EMA 200 (~$3,331) and descending trendline.
This level has repeatedly triggered strong downside moves (highlighted with red arrows).
2. EMA 200 Reaction:
The EMA 200 at $3,331.10 is acting as dynamic resistance.
Each time price reaches or crosses above this line, selling pressure increases.
3. Bearish Price Projection:
After recent rejection, the chart anticipates a pullback to the support zone between $3,248.26 and $3,245.71.
A deeper drop toward $3,159.13 is projected as a next major target, consistent with previous price moves.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI at 40.24 suggests bearish momentum is still in play but not yet oversold—indicating room for more downside.
---
Bearish Trade Idea
Element Level / Description
Entry Zone Below resistance: $3,310–$3,320
Target 1 $3,248.26–$3,245.71 (support zone)
Target 2 $3,159.13 (channel base / next support)
Stop-Loss Above $3,335 (above resistance zone)
---
Risk Considerations
Fundamental catalysts: Gold is sensitive to USD strength, interest rate decisions, and macroeconomic data.
Invalidation: A strong breakout and close above the descending trendline and EMA 200 would negate the bearish outlook.
---
Summary
This analysis outlines a bearish setup for XAU/USD, supported by trendline resistance, EMA rejection, and RSI momentum. If current structure holds, a move toward the $3,245 and $3,159 levels is likely.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CHF is the new gold? Safe-haven flows keep pressure on USDCHFBank of America argues that the Swiss franc has reasserted itself as the true safe-haven hedge.
BofA says the trend of the CHF being used more like gold, and a hedge against problems like rising US debt, could continue. Unlike the yen, which has lost much of its appeal as a pure haven.
Technically, recent candles might indicate buyers are attempting to build a base, but there’s no decisive reversal yet.
Should price fail to reclaim the 0.8030–0.8050 region soon, the broader bearish structure could resume - possibly testing fresh lows. Meanwhile, rallies in USD/CHF may face pressure as the franc’s macro backdrop continues to attract inflows.
Gold - The clear top formation!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) just created a top formation:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past four months, Gold has overall been moving sideways. Following a previous blow-off rally of about +25%, this cycle is very similar to the 2008 bullish cycle. Bulls are starting to slow down which will most likely result in the creation of at least a short term top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Bullish reversal off major support?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 3,301.09
1st Support: 3,280.12
1st Resistance: 3,343.92
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD NY SESSION FLOW – JULY 8→ 9 , 2025"Structure doesn’t lie. Price answered exactly where we expected it to."
Hey traders 👋
Let’s set the record straight after today’s precision bounce. We saw textbook price action across all sessions — Asia triggered the short from our 3344–3351 HTF supply, and both London and New York followed through with no hesitation, driving price down to 3287.
But here’s the key point:
🧨 3287 was just 10 pips above our clean 3286–3280 buy zone.
No mitigation. Just a front-run.
That’s what real liquidity does — grabs what it needs before the crowd gets in. Our zone is still valid… just untouched.
🔍 HTF BIAS & STRUCTURE UPDATE
📆 Daily Bias:
Structure is still bearish — lower highs, CHoCH, and soft RSI.
EMAs 5/21 are flat. No power for bulls unless 3351 breaks.
⏰ H4 Bias:
New lower high confirmed after rejection from our 3344–3351 zone.
Trend is still bearish unless we reclaim 3330+ with conviction.
Liquidity is driving movement, not news.
🕐 H1 Flow:
Bounce from 3287 = engineered reaction before real demand
Price now hovering above 3306, forming mid-structure
No trade in the middle. Let’s work the edges.
🎯 TODAY’S SNIPER ZONES
🔻 SELL ZONES
1. 3325–3330
Nearest short trap. OB + inefficiency + H1 rejection base.
If price returns, watch M15/M30 for CHoCH or BOS → entry.
2. 3344–3351
Our major HTF supply. Asia already reacted from top half.
If revisited, this zone remains the high-probability rejection zone.
3. 3380–3394
Premium OB + imbalance pocket.
Untouched zone far above — if tapped late in the week, watch for liquidity sweep → clean reversal potential.
🟢 BUY ZONES
1. 3297–3300
NY session bounce zone. Price tapped 3297 → pushed to 3306.
Still live for intraday reentry if price retests and confirms with BOS.
2. 3286–3280
Our true demand base. Price front-ran it by 10 pips — didn’t mitigate.
Still valid, still reactive. Don’t delete this zone.
3. 3263–3255
Last line of support. Deep zone — only comes into play if 3280 fails with conviction.
✅ EXECUTION REMINDERS
Price is hovering mid-range → don’t force entries
Only act if structure reacts at the edges (3325 or 3286)
3380–3394 may be a late-week trap if bulls get overconfident
📌 If this breakdown helped, hit 🚀 and drop a comment:
👉 Are you stalking 3325… or waiting for 3286 to finally wake up?
Let structure talk. You just execute.
GoldFxMinds 💭🔥
📢 Disclosure:
This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee.
⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.