Happy New Month: -1-APRIL-2025Good morning Traders! Happy New Month! Improve your trading strategy with our Gold zones. Understand market dynamics and make informed decisions.
Gold
Gold over-extendedthe price of Gold has reached to the level ( white trend line ) that Ive been talking about for a long time. This trend line is likely rejecting the price on weekly time frame.
short 3145 with 2tp legit 3005 after trump tlk abou tarifffor me its clear here.
its a classic buy the rumour sell the news
so when Trump will talk about tariff psssssss it will back down a lot
also it go far up so fast and a legit good correction is welcome
also high price made many as electronic and other goods ewpansive
Bearish Projection - XAUUSD📉Bearish Projection - XAUUSD
📌On the 4-hour timeframe, the recent bullish trend appears to have completed its fifth wave, reaching the upper boundary of the structure. Additionally, Fibonacci extensions have surpassed the 2.618% level, indicating a potential retracement or corrective phase. Given the strong rally from $2832 to $3146, we anticipate a pullback toward the $2990 - $2945 zone, aligning with the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
The recent surge in gold prices, driven by escalating trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty, has led to significant resistance breakouts across multiple timeframes. With the US Jobs data release** scheduled this week, we could see increased momentum supporting a bearish correction for XAUUSD.
➡️Daily Support - 3010-3000
➡️Key Level - 3056-3044
➡️Expected Price Region - 2990-2945
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
Gold is Confusing-Physical is Simple Gold may have put in an IC top, or we could be early on a missed ICL
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower with a gap-down amid growing recession fears. Although it did not reach the 20-month moving average (MA) on the monthly chart, last month’s long bearish candlestick has resulted in a sell signal on the monthly futures chart—the first time in three years since February 2022. From a monthly perspective, the 16,900–17,500 range appears to be a good buying zone, but it is important to monitor whether the index reaches this level within this month’s candle. The 20-month MA is likely to be briefly breached, even if a lower wick forms.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq is currently finding short-term support around 19,000, but given the large gap between the 3-week and 5-week MAs, a rebound remains a possibility. On the daily chart, a sell signal has not yet been confirmed. If further declines confirm a bearish crossover, the Nasdaq could enter a third wave of selling, with a target of 17,300. The key question is whether the market experiences another sharp drop.
However, given the significant distance from the 5-day MA, the more likely scenario is sideways movement for a few days, allowing the moving averages to catch up before a potential further decline. In this case, it is advisable to trade within the range but always use stop-losses. The 240-minute chart also shows strong downward movement. While the market is in oversold territory, making short-selling more favorable, there is also the possibility of a range-bound pattern forming on the daily chart. If taking buy positions at the lows, strict stop-loss management is essential.
Crude Oil
Oil closed higher following news of tariffs imposed on Russian oil. The price successfully broke above the key resistance at $70, also surpassing the 240-day MA. On the monthly chart, oil has now entered a range where further upside potential exists, and there is a possibility that the MACD could attempt a bullish crossover with the signal line.
On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the zero line, pulling the signal line upward. If the price stays above the 240-day MA, it may form a strong trend reversal pattern with accelerated gains. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and is crossing above the signal line, indicating continued buying momentum.
Overall, it is best to focus on buying dips, as April’s first trading session could see the price gapping above the 240-day MA. Holding overnight short positions carries risk, so caution is advised.
Gold
Gold closed higher, driven by strong demand for safe-haven assets. On the monthly chart, gold formed a long bullish candlestick. However, given the large gap between the price and the 3-month & 5-month MAs, a pullback remains a possibility. The key question is whether gold will continue rising before a correction or correct first before resuming its uptrend. It is best to monitor the price action closely.
On the daily chart, the MACD is forming a third wave of buying pressure, opening the possibility for a price target around 3,216. Thus, it is advisable to focus on buying dips, while being cautious about chasing highs due to potential volatility. The 240-minute chart indicates that strong buying momentum continues, as gold remains in overbought territory.
Since this is the beginning of a new month, key economic reports—including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the U.S. Jobs Report—could significantly impact gold’s volatility. For both buy and sell positions, it is essential to set stop-loss levels, as increased volatility is expected.
With Trump’s tariff policies increasing the risk of a global recession, liquidity in global equity markets is drying up, reducing the attractiveness of stocks. The clear contrast between Nasdaq and gold’s performance is likely to persist for some time.
As we enter April’s first trading session, trade cautiously and adapt to market conditions.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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GOLD surges above $3,100 as April 2 approachesThe international OANDA:XAUUSD has jumped above 3,100 USD for the first time in this trading day, as concerns about US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and its possible economic consequences, along with geopolitical uncertainties, have prompted a new round of safe-haven investment.
As of press time, spot OANDA:XAUUSD was up 0.86% at $3,111/oz, having earlier hit an all-time high of $3,111.55, surpassing the all-time high set last Friday.
Trump signed a proclamation last week imposing a 25% tariff on imported cars, and markets are bracing for so-called “reciprocal tariffs” that the White House is expected to announce on Wednesday.
Gold has hit a record high and is up more than 18% this year, cementing its status as a hedge against economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Earlier this month, gold prices broke through the psychological $3,000 mark for the first time, a milestone that reflects growing market concerns about economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and inflation that will continue to drive gold higher.
Since taking office, Trump has pushed through a series of new tariffs to protect U.S. industry and reduce the trade deficit, including a 25% tariff on imported cars and parts and an additional 10% tariff on all imports from China. He plans to announce a new round of reciprocal tariffs on April 2.
In addition to trade tensions, strong central bank demand for gold and inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will continue to support the incredible rally in gold prices this year.
In short, until there is a resolution to this back-and-forth tariff war, the tariff issue will continue to push prices higher in the near term.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has achieved a key bullish target at the confluence of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension with the upper edge of the price channel. Once gold breaks this level (3,113 USD), it will be eligible for further upside with the next target around 3,139 USD in the short term, which is the price point of the 0.618% Fibonacci extension.
In the meantime, the steep RSI remains active in the 80-100 area but shows no signs of weakening or correction, so in terms of momentum, the bullish momentum remains very strong.
As long as gold remains within the channel, it has a medium-term bullish outlook, otherwise the channel will become a short-term bullish trend channel.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted by the following technical levels.
Support: 3,086 – 3,057 – 3,113 USD
Resistance: 3,139 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3140 - 3138⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3144
→Take Profit 1 3132
↨
→Take Profit 2 3126
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3081
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3099
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 31 - April 04]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply from 3,003 USD/oz to 3,087 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,085 USD/oz.
The reason for the sharp increase in gold prices is that US President Donald Trump decided to impose a 25% tax on imported cars into the US. This seems to go against Mr. Trump's previous statement about "easing" tariffs, causing investors to worry that US partner countries will retaliate, making the global trade war more intense.
Some countries, such as the UK and Japan, have taken some steps to appease and actively negotiate to avoid US tariffs, while many other countries have announced their readiness to retaliate against US tariffs. Therefore, many experts believe that the tariff policy announced by Mr. Trump on April 2 will be very unpredictable.
If Mr. Trump still decides to impose tariffs on many countries, the gold price next week may continue to increase sharply, far exceeding 3,100 USD/oz. However, if Mr. Trump narrows the scale of tariffs as announced and does not impose additional industry-specific tariffs on lumber, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, the gold price next week is at risk of facing strong profit-taking pressure, especially when the gold price is already deep in the overbought zone.
In addition to the Trump administration's tax policy, investors also need to pay close attention to the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report to be released next weekend, because this index will directly impact the Fed's interest rate policy.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
The most notable economic news in the coming week will be the US implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday, along with the March non-farm payrolls report due Friday morning. Experts warn that both events could increase the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. In addition, a number of other important US economic data will be released, including the ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job vacancies on Tuesday, the ADP employment report on Wednesday, along with the ISM services PMI and weekly jobless claims on Thursday.
📌Technically, short-term perspective on the H1 chart, gold price next week may continue to surpass the 3100 round resistance level, approaching the Fibonacci 261.8 level around the price of 3,123 USD/oz. The current support level is established around the 3057 level, if next week gold price trades below this level, gold price is at risk of falling to around the 3,000 USD/oz round resistance level.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,057 – 3,051USD
Resistance: 3,100 – 3,113USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3133 - 3131⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3137
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2999 - 3001⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2995
Gold – Key Buying Zone at 3,090 for a Target of 3,157Why is $3,090 a Great Buying Area?
Support within the Channel – The price has been respecting the lower boundary of the channel, and 3,090 aligns with this trend structure.
Volume Profile Confirmation – Visible volume accumulation around this level suggests it has strong support. Buyers previously stepped in here, making it a logical point for re-entry.
Trend Continuation Setup – The overall bullish structure remains intact, making pullbacks like 3,090 a low-risk buying area for continuation toward the target of 3,157.
Why Not Short Here?
The trend is clearly bullish, and there are no reversal signals.
Even if a pullback occurs, it should be seen as an opportunity to buy rather than an indication to short.
The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, but until clear bearish signals appear, betting against the trend is risky.
Conclusion
A pullback to 3,090 should be considered a buying opportunity for a move toward 3,157. As long as the price remains within the channel, the primary focus should be on buying dips rather than looking for short entries.
GOLD - New Week, New Month, New Quarter! = Opportunity Gold has not been moving how I feel it normally should. The last 2 weeks have been extremely bullish with no significant pullbacks. I believe they wanted to close last month completely bullish before they offer the solid pullback that we are looking for. Also this is a new quarter. Taking it easy as we come into this new quarter but keeping a eye on all the signs for direction.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update : Rejecting The BreakdownDoes this big rejection bar mean the selling trend is over?
I doubt it.
In my opinion and experience, big rejection bars like this reflect a critical price level where the markets will attempt to REVISIT in the near future.
Normally, when we get a big rejection bar, like today, we are testing a critical support/resistance level in price and you can see the difference between the SPY, DIA and QQQ charts.
The QQQ price data is already below the critical support level and barely trying to get back above the rejection level. Whereas the SPY and DIA are still above the rejection lows.
I see this as a technology driven breakdown and because of the continued CAPTIAL SHIFT, we may move into a broader WAVE-C breakdown of this current trend.
I see the SPY already completing a Wave-A and Wave-B. If this breakdown plays out like I expect, we'll see a bigger breakdown in price targeting $525-535, then possibly reaching $495-505 as the immediate ultimate low.
If you follow my research, there is a much lower level near $465-475 that is still a likely downward target level, but we'll have to see how price reacts over the next 2+ days before we can determine if that level is still a valid target.
Watch for more support near recent lows tomorrow, then a potential breakdown in the SPY/QQQ/DIA.
Get some.
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Gold - They All Call Me Crazy!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is just starting the next rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Gold perfectly broke out of the long term rising channel formation. After we then witnessed the bullish break and retest confirmation, it was quite clear that Gold will head much higher. This just seems to be the beginning of the next crazy major bullrun.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold Price Surges Amid Market Uncertainty – What’s Next?The late Friday session on March 28, 2025, ended with a strong rally in gold, as multiple price candles attempted to push higher. By 10 PM CET, gold had settled at $3,085.345, reflecting significant bullish momentum.
As the market reopened on Monday, the gold price gapped up by approximately +$12.5 , opening at $3,097.978 .
This type of price gap typically occurs when buyers are willing to pay more than the previous session’s close, signaling strong demand.
What’s Driving the Gold Rally?
The answer lies in a mix of tariffs, war, and recession fears. The global financial landscape remains highly unstable, and in times of uncertainty, gold historically acts as the preferred safe-haven asset. Investors are flocking to the precious metal as a hedge against economic instability.
Adding fuel to the fire, on April 2nd, additional U.S. tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump are set to take effect. This move could further disrupt markets, potentially driving even more capital into gold.
The Interest Rate Factor – A Hidden Risk?
While gold is surging, there’s a crucial factor to watch: Federal Reserve policy. So far, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has maintained a cautious stance on interest rates. However, if the situation deteriorates, the Fed might be forced to cut rates earlier than expected to stabilize the economy.
This could create a paradox for gold traders. While rate cuts typically support gold in the long run, a sudden policy shift could trigger a short-term sell-off as investors adjust their positions. If that happens, gold could see a sharp correction before resuming its trend.
Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, but traders should stay cautious. If the Fed pivots and announces rate cuts sooner than expected, we could see a pullback in gold before the next leg higher. The coming days will be critical – keep an eye on April 2 and any shifts in Fed policy that could shake up the market.
👉 Will gold continue its rally, or are we facing a major pullback? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)My bias from Friday's video analysis still remains the same. We are OUT OF GOLD SELL'S for the time being. We will only enter swing sell's, once market structure breaches the previous Wave 3 high's at $3,057 & gives us a structure shift to the downside, turning the market bearish. Until then we're out of the market & letting Gold run higher if it chooses to.
As soon as Gold CLOSES BELOW $3,057 & gives us a 'selling confirmation', then we can put our 'Invalidation Level' above the previous high.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A fantastic start to the week with our chart idea playing out perfectly inline with our trading plans.
We started the day with our Bullish target 3090 hit, followed with 3103 and then cross and lock confirmation to complete 3117. We also got the cross and lock above 3117 to open 3128 and just fell short of a pip. We will keep this full gap in mind, as we continue with our plans to buy dips
Rejection at this level will see lower Goldlturns tested and likely continue to see bounces on the weighted Goldturn levels, which we can use inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3090 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3090 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3103 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3103 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3117 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3117 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3128
BEARISH TARGETS
3074
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3074 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3055
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3039
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3039 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3020
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3020 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2999 - 2985
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD/XAU - what's your plan?EQH for GOLD is made and that suggests that a small steep fall, Blocks of order mentioned!!
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3120.98
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3135.5
Recommended Stop Loss - 3113.1
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD - Daily, Gold’s Next Big Move: Be Ready!XAUUSD - Daily Update 📈
With most analysts focusing on Gold’s bullish momentum, let’s step back and analyze where we are in the bigger picture and where we should secure profits before a potential correction.
Gold has been in a strong uptrend since the $2,000 zone, forming three major bullish legs as highlighted in the chart:
🔹 First leg correction: ~$150 drop
🔹 Second leg correction: ~$250 drop
🔹 Third correction may be deeper, so caution is needed in the target zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Potential Target Zone: $3,050 - $3,150
✔️ Measured Move: Previous legs suggest an extension into this zone.
✔️ Liquidity Grab: Gold tends to hunt liquidity over round numbers—just as it did at $2,000 → $2,060, it may break $3,050 before reversing.
✔️ Ascending Channel: The price is approaching the top of the channel, where market makers may trigger a fake breakout before a significant pullback.
🚨 Trading Strategy:
Swing traders: Secure profits near $3,050 - $3,150.
Daily traders: Use pullbacks as short-term profit opportunities.
💸 If you missed this rally, stay ahead for reversal signs & upcoming moves! Follow for more insights! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Bias with Key Support at 3085Trend Overview:
Gold maintains a strong bullish trend, with recent price action confirming a breakout above a previous consolidation zone, now acting as key support at 3085.
Key Levels:
Support: 3085 (key level), 3070, 3057
Resistance: 3143, 3160, 3200
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback to 3085, followed by a bullish rebound, would confirm the support level and signal further upside potential. A breakout above 3143 may extend gains towards 3160 and 3200 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 3085 would invalidate the bullish outlook, increasing the likelihood of a retracement toward 3070, with 3057 as the next downside target.
Conclusion:
Gold remains bullish above 3085, with potential upside targets at 3143, 3160, and 3200. However, a break below 3085 could shift momentum to the downside, targeting 3070 and 3057. Traders should watch price action around 3085 for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
HelenP. I Gold is still rising and can reach 3115 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago, the price tested Support 2 at the 2985 level, which coincided with the support zone between 2985 and 2976 points. This area provided strong support, resulting in a bullish reaction that pushed Gold significantly higher. After bouncing from this key support zone, the price began a steady upward movement, eventually breaking above Support 1 at the 3055 level. This breakout was an important signal, as buyers continued to dominate, driving Gold further up. Following this breakout, the price continued its bullish momentum, clearly holding above the trend line, which has repeatedly acted as reliable support during this rise. Recently, Gold reached the support zone at 3055-3065 points again, retested it, and confirmed the strength of the buyers with a quick upward reaction. Currently, the price is trading comfortably above this support zone and remains firmly bullish in structure. Given the recent bullish impulse, the successful retest of the support zone, and the continuing hold above the trend line, I expect the price to move upward toward my current goal at 3115 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,118.23.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,093.41 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold rose more than 1% in a single dayGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the daily chart is 3150, and the support level below is 3060
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3150, and the support level below is 3078
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3130, and the support level below is 3098
Risk aversion and policy expectations jointly push up the price of gold. After stabilizing at $3100, the next target is $3130-3170; if the NY market data is negative or a technical correction occurs, it is necessary to pay attention to the effectiveness of the support near 3100.
Comprehensive consideration is mainly to buy at low levels, focusing on the breakthrough signal of $3130, the 4-hour rising channel is intact, and the rising channel that breaks through 3130 will move towards the 3150-3170 range
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-31 : Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to carryover Friday's selling trend.
I do believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find some support as we move into a Temp Bottom pattern tomorrow. So be aware that the SPY/QQQ may attempt to find support near 535-540/450-455 over the next few days.
I would also urge traders to not get very aggressive in terms of trying to pick a bottom in this downtrend.
In my opinion, I don't see any reason why anyone should be buying into this breakdown unless you are prepared to take a few big lumps. Just wait it out - wait for a base/bottom to setup.
Gold and Silver are moving higher and I believe this trend will continue for many weeks/months.
BTCUSD should continue to move downward - trying to establish the Consolidation Phase range.
As we move into trading this week. Be aware that Tuesday/Wednesday of this week are more ROTATION type days. They may be wide-range days - but they are still going to be ROTATIONAL.
Get some.
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