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Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025FX_IDC:XAUUSD 📰 The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. 📈 Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future. **Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** 🕊️ ceasefire negotiations. Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty 🌫️ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter 😬, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout". Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 💥 Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow. Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. 🚀 Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. 🙏 The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" 🎉 He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.🤝 Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory – a common move to satisfy their citizens. 🏅 Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close – but it's a welcome outcome! 🙏 **Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** 💹🏛️ The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. ⬇️ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market. The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. 🎤👨‍⚖️ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. 🤷 However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! 😮 ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 India / Pakistan Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week. Outlook 🔮: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions. Gaza Conflict Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked. Outlook 🔮: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access. Russia / Ukraine Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages. Outlook 🔮: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains. U.S. – China Trade War A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors. Outlook 🔮: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI. 🌐 Global Trade War Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented. Outlook 🔮: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism. Trump vs. Powell Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him “stubborn” and demanded immediate easing. Outlook 🔮: The Fed’s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow. 📈 U.S. Inflation Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth. Outlook 🔮: A rate cut later in 2025 is possible—if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive. ## Technical View 📐📈 **Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400. **ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:** * **Market Structure:** The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside. * **Order Blocks:** Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range. * **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range. * **Liquidity Pools:** Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone. * **Session Analysis:** The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines. * **Smart Money Concepts:** Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase. **Gann Analysis:** * **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:** The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25²) and support at $3,249 (57²). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July. * **Gann Levels:** * Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59²) * Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025 **Fibonacci Analysis:** * **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):** * 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance) * 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone) * 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level) * 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance) * 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest) * **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):** * 127.2%: $3,245 * 161.8%: $3,195 * 261.8%: $3,095 * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025. **Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:** * **Key Institutional Levels:** * Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional) * Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster) * Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone) * Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area) * **Volume Profile Analysis:** * High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area) * Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone) * Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330 **Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:** Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250. **Cycle Timing Analysis:** * **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):** Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle. * **Medium-Term Cycles:** The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation. * **Seasonal Patterns:** July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally"). **Trading Strategy & Levels:** * **Bearish Scenario (Primary):** * Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone. * Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150. * Stop Loss: Above $3,380. * **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):** * Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation. * Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400. * Stop Loss: Below $3,230. **Key Events to Watch:** * **US PCE Data:** Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release. * **Fed Communications:** Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold. * **Geopolitical Developments:** Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand. **Conclusion:** The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement. **Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** 🗓️🌍 🗓️ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT) * ** Sunday , June 29, 2025** * 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5 * ** Monday , June 30, 2025** * 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5 * ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025** * 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9% * 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4 * 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M * ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025** * 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K * 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M * ** Thursday , July 3, 2025** * Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) 🇺🇸⏰ * 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4% * 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K * 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K * 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2% * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7 * ** Friday , July 4, 2025** * All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day 🎆 **Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** 🔮💰 Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.🔽 However, fresh news can always flip the script! 🔄 As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. 🤞 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
Silver-The Next Gold?The precious metals market is abuzz with a compelling question: Is silver poised to become the next gold? As gold continues its record-breaking ascent, investors and analysts are turning their attention to silver, which has demonstrated remarkable performance and potential in 2025. Let’s dive into the factors driving silver’s price, expert forecasts, and what the future may hold for this dynamic metal. Silver’s 2025 Surge: Outpacing Expectations Silver prices have surged impressively in 2025, recently trading above $34 per ounce—a 14% year-to-date increase that outpaces many other commodities. This rally is not just a speculative spike; it’s underpinned by robust fundamentals, including: Gold’s record run, which historically pulls silver prices higher due to their strong correlation Persistent supply deficits, with 2025 marking the fifth consecutive year of market shortfall Soaring industrial demand, especially from the green technology and electronics sectors Renewed safe-haven buying amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties #commodity #silver #gold #xau #metals #finance #market #trading #portfolio #analysis
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
by signalgo
MACRO 3-Drive Pattern on Bitcoin | Major Reversal Ahead?Is Bitcoin completing a massive 3-drive structure on the macro chart? Three clear pushes higher, each with fading momentum, are flashing a major reversal signal. This could be the final phase before a long-term shift — are you ready for what’s next? 📚 3-Drive Structure Trading Strategy — Full Breakdown The 3-Drive Pattern is a powerful reversal-based price structure used to spot major turning points in trending markets. It works by identifying three consecutive drives (or pushes) in one direction, typically ending with exhaustion and a high-probability reversal. Each drive forms a new high or low, but with weakening momentum — especially visible using RSI, MACD, or volume divergence. 🔍 What is the 3-Drive Pattern? 3 consecutive higher highs (or lower lows) Each drive followed by a shallow pullback Momentum weakens on each push (divergence forms) Fibonacci symmetry often present: - Drive extensions: 127.2%–161.8% - Pullbacks: usually 61.8% 📉 Bearish 3-Drive (Reversal from Uptrend): Drive 1: Price makes a higher high with strong momentum Drive 2: Another higher high, weaker strength Drive 3: Final high with clear divergence Reversal: Entry when price breaks below structure 🎯Entry Criteria: Wait for all 3 drives to form Confirm with divergence on Drive 3 Use a confirmation candle or structure break Stop-loss: just beyond the 3rd drive’s high 🎯 Targets: Conservative: Return to Drive 2 base Aggressive: Full trend reversal (50%–100% Fib retracement) 🧠 Pro Tips: Best on 4H, 1D, 3D or 1w timeframes Confirm with RSI, MACD, or volume divergence Combine with key S/R or supply-demand zones 💡 Summary: The 3-Drive pattern is one of the most reliable reversal structures when combined with divergence and Fibonacci symmetry. It's especially powerful at market exhaustion zones and works best with confirmation-based entries.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MartyBoots
23
Gold Rebounds After Filling Gap >> Bullish Continuation in SightHello guys! Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of strength on the 4H chart after filling a key gap around the $3,290 level and bouncing off it with bullish intent. 🔹 What I see: – Price previously broke out of a broad descending channel, flipping the structure bullish – After forming a rising wedge, Gold corrected lower and filled the gap – The zone around $3,290 acted as solid support, and the current bounce suggests bulls are regaining control 📈 Outlook: If this bounce holds and momentum builds, the next area of interest is clearly marked: 🎯 First Target: $3,466 – an area of prior structure and possible supply 📍 Current Price: $3,329 🟢 Bias: Bullish (above $3,290) 🔴 Invalidated below: $3,244 This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity if the structure continues holding. Keep an eye on price action near the recent local highs for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
25
Gold may bounce up from support line of channel to 3330 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Previously, the price broke out of a symmetrical triangle and moved confidently toward the seller zone. However, it failed to consolidate there and formed a downward channel, where price action has remained since. The movement inside this channel has been consistent, respecting both the resistance and support lines. After reaching the lower boundary, the price bounced up and approached the resistance area (3290 - 3300), which now acts as a key short-term obstacle. This zone was tested multiple times and served as support earlier, making it a strong technical level. Currently, the price is trading just below this zone and forming a base for the next move. I expect a possible retest of the support line of the downward channel, which may provide the impulse needed for a new upward move. In my opinion, the price will rebound from the bottom of the channel and start to grow toward the current resistance level at 3300. If this level is broken and confirmed via a retest, I expect continued movement toward the channel’s upper resistance line. That’s why I set my TP 1 at 3330 points, right near the resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
20
SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX) In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character. Change of Character relates to market trend analysis. In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis. 🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market. They believe that the trend is bullish , if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them. The market trend is considered to be bearish , if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them. Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice. One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs. According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs. 🔘Of course, trends do not last forever. A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading. Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation. 📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high. While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish . However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal, it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend. In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern. Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold. After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave. 📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish. A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern. Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below. In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal. Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know. First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
7
XAUUSD D1 Forecast: Gold at Pivotal 325x Support What's Next for the Yellow Metal? Today, we're zooming out to examine the broader picture for Gold (XAUUSD) on the Daily (D1) timeframe. Our latest analysis indicates that Gold has encountered a very strong, critical support level around the 325x region. This is a pivotal point that could significantly influence Gold's medium to long-term direction! 🌍 Macroeconomic Landscape: The Underlying Forces Influencing Gold While we've observed a degree of USD weakness stemming from speculations around the Federal Reserve (such as the rumours regarding Jerome Powell's replacement) and expectations of interest rate cuts, these factors haven't fully countered Gold's recent decline on the daily chart. Furthermore, the sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran continues to temper Gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Nevertheless, the current price action at the robust 325x support level presents a significant technical signal. The impact of forthcoming US macroeconomic data (particularly the PCE Price Index on Friday) and speeches from FOMC members will be crucial in confirming or negating our projected movements for Gold. Should positive news for Gold align with this support holding, it could act as a potent catalyst. 📊 XAUUSD D1 Technical Analysis: Projecting Gold's Next Move Given that Gold has reached strong support at 325x, we can anticipate the following scenarios: Bounce from 325x (Potential Upside Phase): If the 325x area (which reinforces the 3264.400 support from image_e9d325.png) holds firm, we expect a strong reaction and an upward move for Gold. The initial target for this bounce would be the 332x region, aligning with resistance levels 3313.737 - 3330.483 from our previous analysis. On a broader timeframe (as illustrated in image_83845c.png), this corresponds to the resistance zone around 3326.022. This 332x area might represent a continuation pattern, suggesting it could be a corrective rally before the resumption of the larger trend. Resumption of Downtrend (After Reaching 332x): Once Gold reaches and tests the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and exhibits bearish confirmation signals (e.g., a strong bearish engulfing candle, a pin bar, or a clear top formation), we anticipate a resumption of the downward movement. The next major target for this decline would be the 317x area, which correlates well with the strong support at 3173.052 on the larger timeframe (as depicted in image_83845c.png). 🎯 XAUUSD D1 Trading Plan: Your Long-Term Strategy Ahead! Considering the current D1 analysis, here's our actionable plan: 1. BUY PHASE (Bounce from Support): Entry: Observe price reaction in the 325x - 326x zone (specifically 3264.400). Only consider buying if there are clear bullish confirmations (e.g., a confirmed bullish pattern on the daily or 4-hour candle, a strong bounce from the zone with significant volume). SL (Stop Loss): Position just below the 325x support zone (e.g., 3245-3240, depending on confirmation). TP (Take Profit): 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3313.737 - 3320 - 3326.022 (key 332x zone). This will be our primary target for the potential bounce. 2. SELL PHASE (Downtrend Resumption): Entry: Once the price reaches and tests the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and shows bearish confirmation signals (e.g., a strong bearish engulfing, pin bar, or clear top formation). SL (Stop Loss): Position slightly above the 332x zone (e.g., 3335-3340). TP (Take Profit): 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 - 3200 - 3173.052 (final 317x target).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold is coiling for a breakout... All eyes on the next move!📉 Gold is currently moving within a minor descending channel. In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out the potential for a drop. Now, after a period of range-bound movement, I expect a breakout from this channel and a return to the main trend. 🎯 The first target on a reversal would be the top of the minor channel. Keep a close eye on price action here — this zone could be key for the next move OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by erfan_shakori
1
GOLD 4H: structure broken - phase reversal beginsTwo key directional signals were recorded on the gold chart: first, a breakdown of the ascending channel, followed by a confident downward exit from the triangle with a clear fixation under the $3297 boundary. Both figures worked independently, but consistently - and strengthened the impulse towards selling. The price has already gone beyond the lower boundary of the triangle ($3297), confirming the bearish scenario. Candlesticks closing under the level and local consolidation from below is a characteristic formation before the momentum continues. Technical parameters: - Channel breakout: completed - Triangle breakout: $3297 level - Retest from below: expected as confirmation - EMAs reversed downwards, structure broken - Volumes strengthened at the moment of breakout Tactical plan: - Sell after retest of $3297 - Targets on the move: $3248 and $3201 - Stop: above $3305 (above the area of false outs). The current structure indicates the end of the accumulation phase and the beginning of the downward momentum. As long as the price holds below $3297 - shorts are the priority.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325–3340 was absorbed — classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control. Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke — and the market is telling us where it's heading. Tactical plan: — Entry at market or on a retest of $3325–3335 — Targets: $3293 → $3250 → $3195 — Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline) When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isn’t golden — it’s a trap for late bulls.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
XAUUSD : Ready for More Upside Before Another Fall ?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price initially followed our bullish scenario, climbing 140 pips up to $3336. However, after hitting that level, gold reversed and entered the bearish scenario, dropping below $3300 and eventually finding support around $3255. This area acted as a strong demand zone, and we’ve since seen a rebound. Currently, gold is trading around $3273, and as long as price holds above the marked demand zone (Bullish Rejection Block), we may expect another bullish move before price potentially targets the liquidity below $3245 and $3203. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
13
Gold: Market analysis and strategy for June 27Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level 3250 4-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3245 1-hour chart resistance level 3300, support level 3280 Technical indicators show that the 4-hour moving average system shows a dead cross arrangement, and the MACD indicator dead cross continues. The gold price has fallen below the lower track support of the Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Channel is narrowing. The short-term price is in a low-level weak consolidation pattern. The 1-hour chart price broke the previous low of 3295, but the price is oversold and may rebound in the short term. The short-term support level below is around 3280. If it falls below, continue to look at the 3271-3245 range; the important pressure level is around 3300! If there is a short-term rebound before the NY market, wait until the rebound before continuing to sell! The current minimum is 3279. After the short-term stabilization, refer to the resistance of 3300/3310 to sell. Sell: 3300near Sell: 3310near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish MomentumXAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish Momentum" – Where Are the Opportunities? Hello TradingView Community! Hot news from the Gold (XAUUSD) market today! We've just closely analyzed the Daily Chart and spotted a crucial signal: Gold's downward momentum is extremely strong and clear! This indicates that the short-term trend may have shifted, or selling pressure is currently overwhelming other supporting factors. 🌍 Current Macroeconomic Context (A Multi-faceted View): Previously, we discussed how a weaker USD might support Gold. Indeed, concerns about the Fed's independence (due to rumors of Powell's replacement) and expectations of Fed rate cuts have pushed the USD lower, typically a positive for Gold. However, the market isn't driven by just one factor. The sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran is reducing Gold's safe-haven demand. It appears that, at present, factors like decreased safe-haven demand and potentially strong technical breakdowns are prevailing, creating significant selling pressure on the daily timeframe. We also need to emphasize that the market remains very cautious about confirming a bottom for Gold, and we are still awaiting crucial US economic data (especially PCE on Friday) and FOMC speeches. ➡️ In summary: While a weaker USD theoretically supports Gold, the price action on the daily chart clearly shows bears are dominating. We must respect this signal and adjust our strategy accordingly. 📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis (Focus on Daily Chart - Strong Bearish Momentum!): Based on the strong bearish signal from the Daily timeframe and key price levels from the chart (image_e9d325.png): Primary Trend on Daily: Clearly strong bearish momentum. Large, consecutive bearish candles breaking previous support zones indicate overwhelming selling pressure. Resistance Zones (Potential SELL Opportunities - where price might retrace before falling further): 3313.737 - 3315: This is the nearest and most important resistance area. If the price retraces here, it could present an opportunity to sell. 3321.466 - 3330.483: A stronger resistance zone, if price retraces deeper. 3341.947: Extremely strong resistance, unlikely to be reached in this context unless there's a major trend-reversing news event. Support Zones (BUY Opportunities - extremely cautious, only for Scalp or clear reversal signals): 3294.414: Immediate support, but could be easily broken if bearish momentum persists. 3276.122: The next support area if the price continues to fall. 3264.400: This is a very strong support and a potential downside target if bearish momentum holds. Consider BUYs here only if price hits this level and shows clear reversal patterns on smaller timeframes. 🎯 Updated XAUUSD Trading Plan (Prioritizing SELLs): Given the strong bearish momentum on the Daily chart, we will prioritize active SELL entries and approach BUY scalps with extreme caution, only at very strong support levels or with clear reversal confirmations. 1. ACTIVE SELL TRADES (Priority): SELL ZONE 1 (Selling at near resistance): Entry: 3313 - 3315 (If price retraces to this area and shows bearish rejection candle patterns on H1/H4) SL: 3320 (Just above the nearest resistance) TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 - 3276.122 (Next target according to the chart) - 3264.400 (Final target if strong bearish momentum continues) SELL ZONE 2 (Selling at stronger resistance - if deeper retracement): Entry: 3331 - 3333 (If price retraces deeper and shows reversal signals) SL: 3337 TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3294.414 2. CAUTIOUS BUY TRADES (Only for Scalp/Clear Reversal Signals): BUY ZONE (BUY SCALP AT STRONG SUPPORT): Entry: 3266 - 3264 (Only buy if price hits this zone and shows clear reversal signals on M15/M30, such as reversal candle patterns, RSI divergence, etc.) SL: 3260 (Very tight, acknowledging higher risk) TP: 3270 - 3276.122 - 3280 - 3284 - 3290 (Aim for short TPs, no expectation of prolonged uptrend in strong bearish conditions) INTERMEDIATE BUY SCALP: Entry: 3284 - 3282 (If price has broken down through here and retraces, wait for confirmation) SL: 3278 TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 (Short-term targets only) ⚠️ Crucial Factors to Monitor Closely Today: Price Action at Resistance/Support Levels: How price reacts at these key marks will dictate the next move. US Macro Data (especially PCE on Friday): Any surprising news can rapidly reverse the current trend. FOMC Speeches: Can induce significant volatility in USD and Gold. Geopolitical Situation: Although currently optimistic, any unexpected developments could reignite safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A fantastic close to the week as our analysis once again played out level to level with precision! As a follow-up from yesterday's post: - The swing range completed the move into 3348, as expected. - However, we had no further EMA5 lock above, confirming rejection back into the swing range. - This was followed by an EMA5 cross and lock below 3306, opening the secondary swing range. - That range played out perfectly today, hitting both 3288 and 3271 targets. We’re now seeing a bounce off those levels giving the 20 to 40 pips, and we will now be observing to see if the full secondary swing is completed. It's Friday, and it's been a PIPTASTIC week across the board. Well done to everyone following the plan and sticking to the levels. QUICK RECAP BULLISH TARGET 3376 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 3348 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3330 - DONE 3306 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3288 - DONE 3271 - DONE We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
Nasdaq Hits New ATH at $22,570 – Eyes Now on $23,200 and $24,000By analyzing the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index followed our previous analysis perfectly, hitting the $22,400 target and printing a new all-time high at $22,570! Momentum remains strong and bullish, and we expect price to continue climbing toward the next targets. Based on the original projection, upcoming targets are $23,200 and $24,000. Stay tuned for the next update! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
3
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3270.6 pivot level. Bias - Bullish My Stop Loss - 3260.7 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 3289.4 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD - Gold Bearish Bias Remains StrongXAU/USD remains under bearish pressure on the 4-hour timeframe. Until price breaks and closes above $3,336 with strength, selling the rallies remains a preferred strategy. However, watch for potential bounces near support zones, especially if momentum weakens or reversal candles appear. The price is currently trading below both the 50, 100 and 200 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend. The recent price action has respected the trendline resistance and failed to break higher, reinforcing sellers’ control. Price structure has formed a descending channel, which often signals a bearish continuation. However, if price finds a strong reaction from support, a temporary rebound could occur before further downside. Overall sentiment is cautious due to recent geopolitical de-escalation between Iran and Israel, which reduced gold’s safe-haven demand. Dollar strength, driven by hawkish Fed tone, continues to pressure gold. Key Support Levels : $3,295 – A minor support where previous candles showed buying interest. $3,289 – Critical horizontal support and psychological level. $3,270 – Next significant support if $3,289 breaks. $3,240 – Major support zone, last line before larger downside moves. Key Resistance Levels: $3,310 – Near-term resistance and EMA zone. $3,320 – Price rejection level from earlier 4H candles. $3,336 – Strong resistance with previous swing highs. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
This Trendline Has Held Since January, Will Gold Finally Break?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a key ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support since early 2025. Today's price action shows strong bearish pressure, but confirmation is still needed as the daily candle has not yet closed below the trendline. A decisive close beneath this level would signal a potential shift in market structure and open the door for further downside. Fundamentally, mixed U.S. data adds to the uncertainty—while Personal Income (-0.4%) and Spending (-0.1%) came in below expectations, the Core PCE Price Index rose to 0.2%, suggesting lingering inflationary pressure. If price breaks and closes below 3,260, I’ll consider a bearish continuation toward 3,200, 3,120, and possibly 3,000. However, if bulls defend this zone and reclaim 3,300+, a short-term bounce could still play out. For now, I'm staying patient and waiting for the daily close to confirm direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DNP-FX