xauusd what is happening?Gold (XAU/USD) Market Overview – April 22, 2025
🧨 Geopolitical & Trade Tensions
Ongoing US-China trade disputes and President Trump’s tariff policies continue to amplify uncertainty.
Market chatter on platforms like X (formerly Twitter) reflects investor anxiety over potential global trade disruptions, increasing gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
💵 US Dollar Dynamics
The US dollar remains weak, partly due to Trump’s continued criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his calls for rate cuts.
A weaker dollar supports gold by making it more attractive to international investors.
🏦 Institutional & Central Bank Demand
Strong ETF inflows: Over 23 tonnes added in a single session, suggesting large-scale accumulation.
Central banks, particularly China, continue adding gold to reserves—contributing to bullish long-term sentiment.
🧯 Macro Environment
Persistent inflation concerns and dovish central bank policies are reinforcing gold's status as an inflation hedge.
Markets await US retail sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which could introduce volatility or direction.
📊 Technical Analysis of XAU/USD @ $3,424
📈 Trend & Chart Structure
Gold is trading in a well-defined ascending channel, with a recent breakout above $3,400 confirming bullish structure.
However, the presence of a rising wedge pattern and overbought conditions warns of a potential short-term correction.
🔐 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Type
Level
Notes
Support 1
$3,400
Psychological level & prior breakout point
Support 2
$3,320–$3,325
Fibonacci zone and fair value gap
Support 3
$3,296–$3,284
April 18 low; deeper support
Resistance 1
$3,445
Immediate resistance
Resistance 2
$3,500
All-time high; psychological milestone
Long-term
$3,550–$3,637
Medium-term upside targets
📟 Indicators & Volume Analysis
RSI: >70 on short-term charts → Overbought, suggesting risk of pullback.
MACD: Bullish crossover intact, but declining momentum is a caution flag.
Moving Averages:
Price is well above the 30-EMA ($3,265) and 200-EMA ($3,163) — strongly bullish.
Volume: Recent rally on declining volume = possible divergence, implying weakening buying strength.
📌 Trading Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case
If XAU/USD holds above $3,400 and breaks $3,445, next targets = $3,500 → $3,550 → $3,600.
Entry: Wait for a pullback to $3,400–$3,405 or bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, rising volume).
Stop Loss: Below $3,390
Rationale: Strong uptrend + safe-haven flows + USD weakness = sustained bullish bias.
🚫 Bearish Case
If price breaks below $3,400 with momentum, correction toward $3,325 or $3,296 is likely.
Entry: Below $3,400 after confirmation (e.g., high-volume bearish candle)
Stop Loss: Above $3,430
Rationale: Overbought RSI + volume divergence → short-term profit-taking or macro catalyst risk.
📈 Volatility Note
Recent daily swings around 2.25% — use tight stop-losses and risk/reward ≥ 1:2.
📅 Key Events to Watch
US Retail Sales Data
Fed Chair Powell’s Speech
US-China trade news
Dollar index (DXY) movement
📅 Medium-Term Outlook (1–3 Months)
Projected move toward $3,600+ remains valid due to:
Global uncertainty
Persistent inflation
Central bank buying
Key swing support: $3,137
Upside resistance: $3,500 → $3,600
⚠️ Risks & Reversals
Risk Factor
Impact on Gold
US-China Trade Deal
↓ Demand (safe-haven outflows)
Strong US Economic Data
↑ Dollar → ↓ Gold
Hawkish Fed Comments
↓ Gold
Continued Overbought Status
Pullback/Cool-off likely
🎯 Conclusion
Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong long-term uptrend, currently consolidating near $3,424. While bullish fundamentals support a move toward $3,500–$3,600, technical overbought signals and volume divergence suggest caution in the short term.
#xauusd #gold #usd #tariff #tradingview
Gold
GOLD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price is
Making a local bearish correction
So after it retests the horizontal
Support level below around 3344$
We will be expecting a rebound
And a further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Levels So Clean, They Might Just Slap Your Algo🔥 “Gold Levels So Clean, They Might Just Slap Your Algo 🤖💥”
📅 Daily XAUUSD Plan – April 23, 2025
🎯 Structure & Key Levels Only – Just Real Market Logic
🧭 MARKET CONTEXT
HTF Bias: Still bullish, but currently in corrective phase after blow-off at ATH
LTF Flow: Bearish (M30–H1 CHoCH + BOS confirm premium-to-discount transition)
Current Price: 3379
Macro: No major USD catalyst today – price driven by structure, liquidity, sentiment
🔻 SELL ZONES – PREMIUM
Zone Price Range Type Confluences
💣 3448–3455 Major HTF OB Zone Extension Trap Fibo 1.618 + Premium OB + Liquidity above Weak High
🧨 3415–3422 LTF OB + Trap Zone Retest Area Last mitigated OB + NY Session liquidity grab
⚠️ 3385–3395 Intraday Flip Zone Bull/Bear Pivot EMA5 Lock + Rejection Block + Mid-Structure Flip
🟢 BUY ZONES – DISCOUNT
Zone Price Range Type Confluences
🟢 3365–3372 LTF Demand Zone Current Price Demand + RSI bounce + Reaction Box
💚 3333–3340 Valid HTF OB High Confidence Unmitigated OB + HTF FVG + Historical Support
🔋 3284–3288 Sniper Reentry HTF Demand Base Previous buy zone + Structure Support + Clean OB
🧱 3220–3235 HTF Reversal Area Extreme Discount Long-term support + Weekly structure demand
🔍 STRATEGY INSIGHT
3385–3395 = the line between bull & bear → key for session reclaim or rejection
3415–3422 is the best intraday sell if price spikes fast — protect with structure
3333–3340 holds real weight → HTF bounce territory for potential reversal
If price nukes to 3284, expect serious buy interest (structure-supported reentry zone)
💬 Final words :
“Clean structure. Clean zones. Clean mind.
Gold doesn’t wait. Know your levels. React smart. 🧠✨
If this helped, drop a comment or follow – more sniper plans daily.”
J.P. Morgan joins the $4K gold clubJ.P. Morgan now forecasts gold to average $3,675 per ounce by year-end and joins Goldman Sachs in projecting a move beyond $4,000 next year.
Spot gold has gained 29% year-to-date, setting 28 record highs and briefly surpassing $3,500 for the first time yesterday.
According to the bank, the main downside risk remains a sudden decline in central bank demand. Key support has potentially shifted higher, with $3,286 now seen as a potential pivot—aligned with both the 50-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-22 : EPP StructuresThis video highlights why the Excess Phase Peak pattern is so important for traders to understand and follow.
Imagine being able to see into the future and to be able to plan/project price action in a way that is like putting together building blocks (or Leggos).
That is what the Excess Phase Peak pattern represents for all traders.
Once you understand it and learn to use it, you'll see how it presents very clear opportunities for you to plan and execute fantastic trades in any market.
Fibonacci Price Theory, Energy Cycles, & The Excess Phase Peak patterns are really the core structures of price.
Elliot Wave is fantastic for "after the fact" type of analysis. IMO, you don't really know how the EW count is truly structured until after the current major wave structure is complete (meaning you are 2-3 waves into the new (counter-trend) structure.
Watch this video and try to think about how I'm taking the EPP patterns to learn to plan out opportunities for price based on STRUCTURE - not indicators or averages.
This is how the markets work.
Pay attention and GET SOME.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Gold - Just Half Way To The Target!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) still has a lot more upside potential:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we saw an almost incredible breakout rally of about +75% on Gold. However, looking at technicals, there is a quite high chance that Gold will actually rally even more and retest the next upper resistance trendline, which would mean another pump of about +75%.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025✅ XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025
🧭 Market Context & Trend After a powerful continuation post-holiday, Gold smashed through the previous ATH and is now trading in a vertical, parabolic leg — with minimal structure below and zero resistance above.
💣 Middle East tension + macro safe-haven flows = strong fuel for this spike. But we’re now in a price zone where traps and liquidation are very likely.
📈 Trend:
• H4: Strong bullish BOSs since April 10
• No valid H4 CHoCH yet — structure remains bullish
• Price is deep inside unmitigated premium, with signs of slowing momentum intraday
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🔻 Premium Sweep Zone 3395–3405 Key area around ATH for possible fakeout/sell trap setups — watch for M5/M15 CHoCH or BOS here
🧱 Ultimate Spike Zone 3415–3425 High-impact inefficiency from lower timeframes + round number zone – ideal for stop hunts
🚨 Extreme Spike Risk 3435–3455 No structure here — only if geopolitical tensions worsen
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Intraday Buy Zone 3333–3340 Minor FVG + OB zone – valid only for scalps or continuation if PA confirms
🟩 HTF Demand 3284–3288 Strong OB + FVG + clean H4 CHoCH base – valid for swing longs if dump occurs
⚓️ Institutional Support 3220–3235 Last clean unmitigated H4 demand + equilibrium from macro breakout zone
🧠 Trading Considerations
🔻 SELL setups only valid with clear bearish confirmation (M5/M15 CHoCH + momentum shift) inside the 3395–3405 zone. No blind shorts — the trend is still active.
🟢 BUY setups are cleaner from 3284+ or deeper — chasing now is extremely risky unless price builds structure above 3400.
📉 A fast spike followed by breakdown could signal a swing reversal from this premium zone.
🎯 H4 Bias:
Cautiously Bullish — structure is clean, but price is hyperextended. Best setups will come after liquidity is taken.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,419.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,458.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,355.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.9% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold chart showing interesting dataInteresting chart on GOLD futures.
Always wise to WAIT until end of day/week.
Daily Chart
Heavy selling has not meant much BUT the movement today is....... different.
Weekly Chart
RSI is not bad but it is weaker than Oct 24.
$ Flow is down a significant amount compared to last top.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min bearish Breaks 3442 – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 3442
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🩸 15M Time Frame Analysis
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab
—
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3440
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3470
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3240 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3200 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥Key Level / Equal Area
—
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3195
Key Level / Equal High Formation - 3245
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3239
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3212
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today. After completing our 1h chart route map yesterday, we moved onto our 4 chart route map.
On this chart idea, we got our Bullish target at 3330 hit, followed with candle body close gaps to 3372 and 3414, as ema5 didn't catch up due to momentum. However, the body close breaks on each level still gave us enough time for the confirmation before being hit.
We then managed to get ema5 cross and lock above 3414 opening 3457, which was also hit perfectly, completing this target with confirmation. No further lock above 3457 confirmed the rejection. However, we now have a body close above 3457 with a gap to 3503, which just fell short by a few pips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3457 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3457 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3224
3190
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3190 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3131 - 3077
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD: Trend Remains Strong as Price Holds Above Key SupportThe XAU/USD market continues its impressive rally, recently reaching a new all-time high at 3500 before pulling back toward support and the previous day's high. The price action completed an ABC structure prior to this retracement.
Currently, the market may be forming a triangle or flag pattern, similar to past consolidation setups. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and the critical 3400 support level, the probability of a trend continuation remains high. A retest of the ATH level followed by a move higher is likely, with the next target at the resistance zone around 3520
The latest operation layout of gold,long is still the main trendGold once touched the 3,500 mark today, setting a record high, with an intraday increase of more than 2%. Today, gold once started to rise from the early trading low near 3413, reaching the highest level near the 3500 mark. But then the trend suddenly changed, and the European and American markets have been in a correction and retracement. So far, gold has hit a low near 3410, and is currently correcting to maintain a correction near 3430.
From the trend of 3285 to 3500, we can see that 3420-18 is exactly the 61.8% support position of the Fibonacci dividing line.
The upper area near 3450 is currently the moving average suppression position, and there may be a correction here. If gold cannot close above 3450 tonight, then it is estimated that there is a possibility of a fall later. However, once it continues to stand firm at 3450 tonight, it will continue to test 3500 or even a new high. Therefore, for subsequent operations, I suggest that we can rely on 3430-20 to enter the market and do long, and the target is 3450-60.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD/GOLD Intraday Move 22-04-2025📊 XAUUSD Trade Setup – April 22, 2025
Analysis: Price is currently in a corrective bearish move after a strong bullish rally. We're seeing clear signs of a potential bullish reaction around key support zones. Two major demand zones are identified:
Zone 1: 3430 – 3435
Zone 2: 3405 – 3410
These zones align with previous consolidation areas and coincide with the lower Bollinger Band, increasing the probability of a bounce.
Expected Price Action:
A potential drop into the 3430–3435 zone may trigger a bullish reaction.
If this level fails to hold, the second strong buy zone lies between 3405–3410.
From either zone, a reversal and bullish continuation towards the 3460–3475 region is expected.
📈 Buy Signal:
Buy Entry #1: 3430–3435
SL: 3417
TP: 3460
Buy Entry #2: 3405–3410
SL: 3393
TP: 3460+
🔁 Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) before entering.
Kindly hit like, follow, like and comment.
XAUUSD: 22/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Four-hour chart resistance: 3500-3550, support: 3400-3380
One-hour chart resistance: 3500, support: 3430
30-minute chart resistance: 3480, support: 3440.
Tariff policy drives gold up, and it is clear that the recent technical analysis of gold trends has failed. Just follow the market. London market/NY market pays attention to the trading range (3430-3480), first sell high and buy low at the edge of resistance and support, and if the resistance and support are quickly broken, follow the trend.
Buy: 3430near SL: 3425
Sell: 3480near SL: 3485
Use small size transactions.
Gold target: $3500The structure of the bullish trend of gold remains unchanged, so don't guess the top. From 2600 points at the beginning of the year, gold has been rising all the way yesterday. Gold is now very volatile. In fact, it is easy to fluctuate by 20 to 30 US dollars. The current market is a new high every day. The bullish trend of gold is beyond doubt, but you still need to wait patiently. Recently, the trend of gold in the Asian session has been mainly rising. Gold will continue to be bought after it falls back.
Gold is currently maintaining a high-level oscillation and strong trend in the daily trend, and there is no sign of peaking yet. The 4-hour level trend has been repeating the sideways trend after the rise, and then the continued upward trend after a slight decline.
The current trend can no longer be viewed with conventional thinking, and the high point cannot be judged. It is completely driven by emotions. Do a good job of risk control in the short term to follow the operation. The technical side is not of much reference significance. As long as the tariff policy is not relaxed, it will be difficult for gold to fall and pull back!
Gold has hit a record high driven by the weakness of the US dollar and risk aversion. In the short term, the bullish momentum is still strong, but the overbought signal prompts that we need to be alert to the risk of pullback. The medium-term trend will depend on the evolution of trade negotiations and geopolitical situations. $3,500/ounce is still the target of market attention.
In the short term, it has risen three times during the day, so you can't chase more. If you want to go up more, you need to wait for the support level to retrace. You can pay attention to the MA10 and MA20 support on the hourly line to go long. Too much rise is not a reason to fall. You just need to pay more attention to risks as you go up, and keep buying in the short term. The next big target is the 3,500 mark.
Key points:
First support: 3426, second support: 3414, third support: 3400
First resistance: 3477, second resistance: 3486, third resistance: 3500
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3417-3420, SL: 3408, TP: 3490-3500;
Buy: 3400-3396, SL: 3387, TP: 3430-3440;
Has the Gold Rush Only Just Begun? A Bitcoin StoryIt is starting to look like we have entered a new trend on gold. Breaking out of the bullish trend, into a steeper one. The chart reminds me of the 1970's. Not the same but similar.
1970's US goes off the gold standard, money is now debt, USD becomes worthless when compared to gold (the time tested store of value that it is, of course)
Money printer go brrrr...
Now 2019. COVID, shut down the world, DWARF ALL OTHER LIQUIDITY INJECTION EVENTS COMBINED! I'm sensing a pattern.
It has amazed me at what we have got away with so far. Considering the magnitude of what Covid and the following response was. I honestly thought it would be much worse, but I don't think we have seen the full impact yet. I think it may take a decade or more before we see the extent of the fallout. Heck, or this could just be another step in the wrong direction that just continues us down the road of financial repression. Devaluing our currencies until they look closer to the yen while a majority of the population ie: the working class has no clue. Populism will continue to rise as people try to find the common enemy to blame/ hate because of their pent up rage, due things completely out of their control. The worst part is that they don't even know the real reason why this is happening.
Printing money (debt creation) is robbing from the future. Governments around the world have been stealing for decades. I only see one path ahead, and it's only going to get worse. The pot has been heating up, we are getting close to the boiling point. People are starting to realize how hot its getting.
I see, in the not to distant future, the possibility of a melt up in nominal terms. Time will tell, we will see how well the world governments handle this. Maybe they can manage this better than I expect. But if they cannot and the pace of the bull markets pick up into a parabolic trend due to the miss-management of debt. What goes up must come down. Asset bubbles will form and burst, as they do.
We are in a diabolical game of musical chairs.
All paths lead to Bitcoin, a redistribution of wealth to those willing to learn.
GOLD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,430.01 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,480.61 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 22, 2025Structure: Premium rejection after ATH 3500 | Intraday bearish | HTF bullish trend
📉 Trend & Bias
Macro (D1–H4): Bullish trend remains intact, but price rejected perfectly from the confirmed ATH at 3500, creating a bearish engulfing on H4 and Daily.
Short-term (H1–M30): Bearish bias for intraday plays, confirmed by clean CHoCH and BOS on H1 + M30.
🔻 SELL SCENARIO #1 – RETEST OF LAST M15/H1 OB
Entry Zone: 3485–3492
SL: 3501 (above ATH wick and OB invalidation)
TP1: 3450
TP2: 3425
TP3: 3405
Confluences:
Last valid OB on M15 before the drop
FVG + imbalance above
Weak high at 3492
Premium zone sweep
Rejection from HTF ATH zone
🔻 SELL SCENARIO #2 – LIQUIDITY FAKEOUT ABOVE 3465
Entry Zone: 3463–3467
SL: 3474
TP1: 3435
TP2: 3415
TP3: 3400
Confluences:
M5–M15 LHs and CHoCH
Bearish reaction candle after multiple taps
Previous imbalance and minor OB
Trap area if price fails to break cleanly
🟢 BUY SCENARIO #1 – REACTION FROM CLEAN FVG + LIQUIDITY SWEEP
Entry Zone: 3405–3412
SL: 3395
TP1: 3440
TP2: 3460
TP3: 3480
Confluences:
Clear FVG chain (H1 + M30)
Deep discount sweep
Liquidity below 3405
Structure support + RSI oversold bounce potential
🟢 BUY SCENARIO #2 – FVG BOUNCE AT EQ ZONE
Entry Zone: 3414–3420
SL: 3404
TP1: 3450
TP2: 3475
TP3: 3495
Confluences:
EQ of M30 range
Base of unfilled FVG
Strong reaction last time from this zone
EMA21 support
🔍 Key Zones & Market Notes
Type Level Description
🔺 ATH 3500 Confirmed all-time high (April 22)
🔻 OB Sell 3485–3492 Last clean M15–H1 OB
⚠️ Weak High 3492 Inducement zone – watch fakeouts
🟩 FVG Buy 3405–3412 Strong FVG + liquidity sweep zone
📉 H1 BOS 3456 Intraday momentum shift
🔻 CHoCH 3440 Confirmed lower structure
🟦 Major Support 3362–3368 Valid HTF demand if price breaks down
🔲 EMA Zones EMA21/50 H1 Near 3415–3430 – dynamic support
🧠 Summary
Gold is rejecting heavily from the new ATH at 3500. Intraday structure broke bearish (CHoCH, BOS on H1/M30), and price is now trading between premium OBs and deep FVGs. Both buy and sell sniper entries are available depending on how price reacts to 3465–3485 or if it sweeps the 3405–3412 liquidity area. HTF trend is bullish, but NY could bring a deeper correction if 3400 breaks.
🧠 Stay sharp. Avoid random entries. Stick to clean structure zones.
📊 Drop a like, leave a comment, and follow @GoldFxMinds for daily precision trades!
SPY Plan Your Trade For 4-22 : Breakaway In Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets are moving in a counter-trend mode and that we may see a Breakaway type of price bar.
The current trend is Bearish. Thus, I believe the current Counter-Trend is Bullish.
As many of you already know. I picked up some Calls off the lows yesterday after noticing a complete EPP pattern (Ultimate Low) setup about 75 minutes before the end of the regular trading day on 4-21.
My opinion, overall, is that we are still stuck within a consolidation phase. But that doesn't mean we can't see the SPY/QQQ move higher (toward the upper consolidation high) or roll back downward (toward the lower consolidation low).
I do believe we are moving into a moderate upward price trend over the next 3-4+ days where price will attempt to retest the 525-535+ level on the SPY, then ROLL into a top and start a sharp downtrend.
This volatility presents an incredible opportunity for traders. Staying ahead of these trends is key to improved success.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are fairly clear. We've moved into consolidation, and the price is very volatile. The Counter Trend pattern today may setup a 3-4+ day minor rally in the SPY/QQQ.
But, ultimately, I believe the SPY/QQQ will roll downward into the May Cycle lows - just as I have been predicting for the past 45+ days.
Don't get greedy. Play the immediate trend and learn to identify the EPP patterns on 5-minute charts.
Today should be a very good day for traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
How will gold behave?In the early Asian session on Tuesday, gold continued to rise, once setting a new historical high. Gold prices rose nearly 3% on Monday, rising above $3,400 and reaching a high of $3,460. The weakening of the US dollar and the uncertainty of the impact of international trade tensions on the economy stimulated safe-haven demand.
There are relatively few economic data on this trading day, but several Fed officials will give speeches, and investors need to pay close attention. Pay attention to the World Economic Outlook report released by the IMF, and pay attention to further news on the international trade situation and the performance of the Asian market.
In the previous trading day, the US dollar index fell below 98, which indirectly benefited gold. Gold fluctuated higher from $3,329 in the early trading, and rose to around $3,460, with a daily increase of nearly $100. The daily line closed with a big positive line again, the Bollinger band opened upward, the TRIX trend indicator golden cross, the KDJ indicator golden cross, and the turning head ran in the overbought area. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines golden cross above the 0 axis, and the red bullish momentum increased. The daily trend is still dominated by bulls.
In 2 hours, gold was seriously bullish in the Asian session, rising to $3444.4 and then falling to $3411.2. TRIX trend indicator dead cross, KDJ indicator dead cross at high level, turning downward, MACD indicator fast and slow lines dead cross above 0 axis, green short momentum increase, short-term trend is relatively bearish. Combined with the daily trend, since the daily trend is currently dominated by bulls, gold intraday operations tend to fall back to long orders, and pay attention to the 3400 whole level and the 2-hour middle track 3368 US dollars support.
Operation strategy: Buy in the range: 3402--3405 SL:3390
TP: 3440--3460
Gold accelerates thanks to US-China tensions and a weakening USDGold prices continued to show their strength when breaking through the old peak of 3,434 USD and moving up to 3,460 USD/ounce, equivalent to an increase of more than 61 USD in less than a day, showing that safe-haven buying is overwhelming the entire market. On the 1H chart, the bullish structure is clear with EMA34 and EMA89 maintaining a strong slope, the price continuously increased after short technical corrections, confirming that the uptrend is still very sustainable. In terms of news, gold is being supported by two factors: trade tensions between the US and China escalated after Beijing decided to sharply reduce crude oil imports from the US and shift to Canada, increasing global risk concerns.
At the same time, global stock markets fell sharply, while President Donald Trump's controversial statement asking the FED to immediately cut interest rates sent the USD to a 3-year low. The combination of political uncertainty, risk aversion and a weak greenback has created a strong catalyst for gold to continue to be sought after by investors. In the short term, the $3,440–$3,450 zone could be new support, and if it holds above this zone, gold could continue to extend its rally towards the psychological $3,500 level.