Gold
COOLING PCE – GOLD REBOUNDS ON EXPECTATIONS OF FED POLICY EASINGIf the upcoming PCE report shows that inflation continues to cool or comes in below expectations (e.g., core PCE under 0.2% m/m), this could reinforce market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may have room to begin cutting interest rates sooner—potentially as early as September instead of year-end.
This would weaken the US dollar and push down Treasury yields, both of which typically support gold prices, as the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold decreases.
Short-term forecast:
Gold may rebound to the $3,330 – $3,340/oz range.
A breakout above the psychological resistance level of $3,345 could signal a medium-term uptrend.
Trading volume is likely to rise as ETF funds begin accumulating positions again.
Suggested strategy:
Buy XAUUSD around the 3310 – 3313 area
Stoploss: 3300
Take Profit 1: 3325
Take Profit 2: 3335
Take Profit 3: 3345
Gold Trade Setup – Tactical Short CallGold’s recent rebound appears corrective within a broader short-term bearish structure. Price action has stalled below the 200-period 4H SMA and key Fib resistance, signaling potential exhaustion.
🔎 Technical Confluence:
Rejection from descending trendline resistance
61.8% retracement of the latest drop capped upside near $3,315
Bearish RSI divergence on 1H and 4H
Weak momentum on MACD + low ADX signals lack of trend strength
📊 Macro Overlay:
Market remains cautious ahead of today’s Core PCE data (expected to cool slightly YoY).
Rising real yields and firm USD limit upside in gold, especially as risk-on tone returns temporarily.
Positioning data shows speculative longs remain elevated—raising vulnerability to profit-taking.
⚠️ Execution Note:
Patience is key—wait for confirmation via bearish engulfing or failure swing near $3,315 before engaging. Lower timeframes show consolidation; a breakdown below $3,290 will likely accelerate toward the $3,274 target.
Gold XAUUSD Move 29 May 2025Price Action: The price recently approached the 3,320-3,325 resistance zone (highlighted by horizontal lines) and rejected it, forming a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star / doji). This suggests strong selling pressure at this level.
Trendline: The trendline from the recent high shows a potential double top or head-and-shoulders pattern, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal.
Support Levels: Immediate support lies around 3290/80 (previous consolidation zone).
Volume (implied): A spike in selling volume at 3,320-3,325 could confirm the rejection.
Analysis: The rejection at 3,320-3,325, combined with the trendline break, indicates a potential sell-off. The market may be shifting from bullish to bearish momentum, especially if the price closes below the recent low.
Signal: Sell at 3,320-3,325 if the price rejects again with a bearish candle confirmation. Target 3,200-3,250, stop loss above 3,335.
Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard XAUUSD PLAN – Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard
After a sharp rebound candle yesterday, gold unexpectedly reversed in the Asian session, plunging over $30 as market participants rushed to exit positions ahead of the monthly close. The move reflects strong technical rejection and potential macro pressure.
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US-CHINA TRADE TENSIONS BACK IN FOCUS
Trade negotiations between the US and China are showing renewed signs of strain, especially around tariff policies.
The uncertainty has not triggered safe-haven flows into gold—a sign of waning momentum.
Dollar Index (DXY) remains range-bound, offering no clear direction.
Broad market sentiment indicates institutional cash-out behavior ahead of the weekly and monthly candle closes.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – BEARISH STRUCTURE STILL INTACT
Gold is respecting a downward sloping channel on the H1 timeframe.
Price failed to hold above EMA 200, reinforcing bearish bias.
EMA 13 – 34 – 89 – 200 are in bearish alignment, showing continued downside momentum.
Support at 3274 – 3276 is a key reaction zone for potential scalping opportunities.
🔑 KEY PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3322 – 3324
Stop-Loss: 3328
Take-Profit: 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3306 → 3300 → 3295 → 3290 → 3280
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3266 – 3264
Stop-Loss: 3260
Take-Profit: 3270 → 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290 → 3300
⚡ BONUS SCALP SETUPS
Support Zone 3274 – 3276 → Look for bullish rejection for a quick BUY SCALP (Target: 50 pips / SL: 50 pips)
Resistance Zones 3302 – 3304 and 3310 → Watch for early rejection to enter SELL SCALP, with extended downside targets.
📌 STRATEGY NOTES
Priority: Short-term sell bias unless price reclaims 3310 with momentum.
Avoid trading in the mid-range; wait for price to reach key reaction zones.
Today’s structure favors liquidity sweeps, so patience and disciplined entries are crucial—especially during London and NY overlap.
Gold Technical Analysis - Bearish Reversal Confirmed?Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,270 area, exhibiting a bearish trend influenced by technical breakdowns and macroeconomic factors. Gold is currently under pressure, with technical and fundamental factors aligning to suggest potential for further declines. Traders should monitor key support levels and upcoming economic data releases for signs of a reversal or continuation of the bearish trend.
📉 Technical Analysis
Gold has declined from recent highs near $3,370 , indicating a loss of bullish momentum.
The price has broken below the $3,280–$3,295 support zone, now acting as resistance, suggesting potential for further downside.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance:
$3,280–$3,295: Immediate resistance zone.
$3,300–$3,310: Critical resistance area; a breakout above could indicate a bullish reversal.
Support:
$3,240–$3,245: Current support zone; a drop below may lead to further declines.
$3,200: Psychological support level; breaching this could accelerate bearish momentum.
🌐 Fundamental Factors
The U.S. dollar has strengthened due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate cuts, making gold less attractive as a non-yielding asset.
Economic Data:
Upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE data releases are anticipated to influence gold prices, with strong data potentially exerting further downward pressure.
Note
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Gold prices fell below for a weekly.Gold FX:XAUUSD prices fell below $3,310 an ounce on Friday, on track for a weekly decline of more than 1%, as investors remained cautious ahead of the U.S. PCE inflation report, which could provide new insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.
On Thursday, bullion prices rose nearly 1% after a federal appeals court allowed President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs to temporarily take effect, just one day after the U.S. Court of International Trade blocked their implementation, deeming the method used to enact them "unlawful." Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Thursday that policymakers could still deliver two rate cuts this year, as expected in March, but emphasized that rates should remain steady for now to ensure inflation is on track to meet the Fed’s 2% target.
XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Trading Strategy Around Price Levels:
SELL XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD around the 3326–3328 area
Stoploss: 3333
Take Profit 1: 3322
Take Profit 2: 3317
Take Profit 3: 3310
BUY XAUUSD around the 3278–3280 area
Stoploss: 3273
Take Profit 1: 3284
Take Profit 2: 3289
Take Profit 3: 3295
Note: Always set a Stoploss in all situations to ensure safety.
GOLD eases, fundamental support and technical momentumOANDA:XAUUSD fell in early Asian trading on May 30 after Thursday's gains, although it still had room to rise as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar and Trump's tariffs faced more uncertainty.
Gold recovered from a weekly low of $3,245 an ounce on Thursday to break above the $3,300 an ounce mark as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar.
As of press time, gold had fallen below the full price of $3,300, down $23 on the day and around 0.69% .
The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week, adding to pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates.
Data released on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, exceeding market expectations. The data showed initial jobless claims in the United States rose by 14,000 to 240,000 in the week ended May 24, compared with estimates of 230,000.
According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May 6-7 meeting, policymakers acknowledged that they could face "difficult trade-offs" in the coming months, as both inflation and unemployment rise, raising the risk of a recession. Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
Trump Tariff Ruling Overturned
A U.S. trade court ruled on Wednesday that the president lacked the authority to impose tariffs, blocking most of Trump's tariffs, but on Thursday a federal appeals court agreed to the Trump administration's request to suspend the court's ruling.
The U.S. government's request for an immediate administrative stay was granted, and the rulings and permanent injunctions issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in these cases will be temporarily suspended until further notice while the court reviews the relevant motion documents, the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit said in its ruling.
Investors will focus on the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, on Friday. Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation during times of economic uncertainty, and higher-than-expected PCE data would benefit the US dollar and reduce the appeal of gold, leading to a possible decline in prices. The opposite effect would be seen if PCE data were lower than expected, which would increase the likelihood of an early rate cut by the Fed, leading to a depreciation of the dollar and gold benefiting from expectations of a low-interest rate environment.
Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is down but currently the downside momentum has been limited by the initial support area which is the confluence of EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382%, this support area has been noted by readers in the publications since the beginning of this trading week.
Temporarily, gold does not have enough technical conditions to be able to increase in price in the short term, because it is still under pressure from the price channel. However, in terms of the overall and long-term trend, gold still has a main trend of increasing price, a trend noted by the price channel.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still holding above 50, with the current RSI position at 50 being considered as the nearest support in terms of momentum.
A sustained price action above the 3,300ISD price point would be considered a positive signal, while a break above the channel would qualify the bulls for a short-term target of 3,371USD.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish and the key points to watch are listed below.
Support: 3,292USD – 3,250USD
Resistance: 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3342 - 3340⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3334
↨
→Take Profit 2 3328
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
→Take Profit 1 3211
↨
→Take Profit 2 3217
GOLD Intraday Chart For H1 30 May 2025Good Morning Traders,
As you can see that there are some strong zones mentioned on chart,
For Intraday all eyes between 3280-3300 zone,
If market clearly goes below 3280 then it will move towards 3250 else market sustains above 3280 it will move towards 3300 and after clear breakout of 3300 then move towards 3325 initially
Furthermore you can read the chart details carefully, Remember, Always Trade with SL
Today US PCE PRICE INDEX due today
Monthly Closing Due Today as well
Disclaimer: Forex in Risky
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop from this level to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,237.46
1st Support: 3,239.71
1st Resistance: 3,415.22
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XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 3307.85, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3287.46, a pullback support,
The stop loss is set at 3321.98, an overlap resistance.
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GoldFxMinds – XAUUSD Battle Plan for May 30, 2025Hello, GoldMinds snipers!
Big news day ahead — Core PCE ). This is the kind of day where one news candle can change the whole game! Let’s get our sniper zones ready for both bullish rallies and bearish reversals.
⚡️ Macro & News Context
Core PCE is a Fed favorite: high-impact, high-volatility.
Gold just closed near 3317, high in premium territory — but market structure is coiled, not committed.
Any PCE surprise can send us flying… or dumping.
📈 If Price Stays Bullish / News is Dovish
3325–3335: First resistance, the "fortress wall."
If price clears and HOLDS above, next upside targets activate.
3348–3360: Next sniper zone above — historical supply, D1 OB, liquidity magnets.
A strong close above 3335 = bulls control. Watch for quick tests of this upper block.
If price breaks above 3360:
The next “wild zone” is 3378–3388 — untapped liquidity above all previous swings. Only super strong rallies reach here, so trail your stops tight if you’re long.
📉 If Price Reverses / News is Hawkish
3315–3305: Trap zone, choppy — avoid entries here.
3285–3295: Key H1 demand, look for bounce or structure reclaim.
3250–3260: Deep discount sniper zone.
Only buy if you see real reversal; if this breaks, expect panic to 3220 or even 3200.
🧠 Bias, Playbook, and Caution
Bias: Neutral but flexible.
Above 3335, bulls have momentum — look for breakouts.
Below 3285, sellers control the show.
Do not rush the first move after PCE.
Real direction comes after the volatility traps.
🏹 Battle Plan
Long only above 3335, with a confirmed breakout and volume.
Short only at supply zones (3325–3335 or 3348–3360) if you see strong rejection.
Never chase the spike. Wait for M5/M15 structure to confirm.
Trap zone (3305–3315): Sit on your hands. Let the bots fight.
🔥 Final Word
This is a two-way battle:
If gold rockets above, follow the flow — but don’t forget, every hero rally can be a trap!
If the bears win, be ready to strike on the drop.
Comment your bias (🚀 or 🔻), hit follow for the post-news recap, and trade like a sniper, not a gambler.
— GoldFxMinds 🟡🚨
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical & Fundamental UpdateOverview:
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD on the 4-hour chart is currently in a corrective phase after a recent bounce, but the overall structure remains bearish with clear downside risk.
________________________________________
Key Observations:
Price Action:
Gold is trading around $3,319 after a recent rebound from the $3,272–$3,243 support zone. The price is now testing a resistance area highlighted by the previous consolidation zone, suggesting that upside momentum is facing challenges.
Supply and Demand Zones:
• There is a visible supply (resistance) zone around $3,320–$3,340, where sellers previously
stepped in.
• Multiple demand (support) zones are marked below, especially near the Fibonacci
retracement levels at $3,272 (38.2%), $3,243 (50.0%), and $3,214 (61.8%).
Fibonacci Levels:
The chart uses a Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high:
• 38.2% at $3,272
• 50% at $3,243
• 61.8% at $3,214
These levels are aligning with key demand zones, increasing their significance for potential bounces or reversals.
Trend Structure:
Despite the recent recovery, lower highs and lower lows dominate the chart, indicating a bearish trend. The failure to break above the $3,340 resistance keeps the downside scenario in play.
________________________________________
Fundamental Drivers
Safe-Haven Demand Weakening:
Easing tariff risks and improved global risk sentiment have reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The recent US court ruling against Trump-era tariffs and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later in 2025 are shifting market dynamics.
Macro Themes:
• A hawkish Fed or further de-escalation of geopolitical tensions could pressure gold lower.
• Persistent inflation or renewed global risks could limit the downside and trigger rebounds
XAUUSD: The LH trendline is the difference maker.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.327, MACD = 32.010, ADX = 35.582), staying under the high impact LH trendline that has been keeping the medium term trend bearish since the April 22nd High. As long as the price is under it, we are short, aiming for the S1 level (TP = 3,246) and not below it as the 1D MA50 offers long term support. If the price closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline, we will turn long and aim for a +7.39% rise from the bottom (TP = 3,485), which has already taken place twice in the past 30 days.
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Gold bounces sharply as dollar tumblesAfter I highlighted the potential for a short-term breakdown yesterday, the precious metal went on to break that $3,300 support and dropped a good $50 below it, before finding STRONG support at $3250 - a level that had not been re-tested yet after the upside breakout last week. Where do we go now, is the key question.
Well, gold is now near the resistance trend derived from connecting the recent lower highs, around the $3325 zone. A clean break above this trend could target $3,360 initially, ahead of $3,400 and then there's nothing significant until the all-time high at $3,500.
On the downside, the reclaimed support at $3,300 is now key. It needs to hold its own above this level to prevent a bigger slide down the line.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Even though Gold sellers dropped 490 PIPS last night on market open & pushed below last week's range low, we saw a complete reversal as Gold pushed back up 760 PIPS again today, back into the range.
Seems like Gold wants to range even more, which can open up the possibility of buyers reaching $3,373 & $3,417 in the mid term. Keeping an eye on price action.
GOLD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,315.81 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1H chart route map from yesterday.
Another great day on the charts with our analysis playing out like we said.
Yesterday we stated; no EMA5 lock above 3317, forcing a rejection back to the retracement range.
We then stated that we are expecting continued reactions within this retracement range, inline with our plans to buy dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels help us track downward movements and catch bounce setups.
- This played out perfectly with the reaction from the retracement range into 3317. We will now look for a lock above this level for a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection back into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We'll continue to buy dips using our key support levels, targeting 20 to 40 pip moves. As always, each level structure provides consistent bounce zones, offering great opportunities for both entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week over the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they work with or against short to mid term swings and trends.
Remember:
Swing ranges yield bigger bounces than weighted levels — that’s the key difference.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we’ll keep you all updated with real time analysis and management of active setups throughout the week. Thank you for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean a lot!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on May 29:
Focus on core contradictions
New trend of long-short power game
The sharp contrast between the 5% surge last week and the 1.25% plunge this week reveals that the market has huge differences on the value center of $3,300
The negative correlation between the US dollar index and gold has increased (the recent correlation coefficient has reached -0.82), and the key watershed of the US dollar index of 102.5 needs to be monitored simultaneously
Ranking of the influence of macroeconomic data
Priority ①: Friday core PCE (the most favored inflation indicator by the Federal Reserve, expected to be 4.6%)
Priority ② :Revised GDP value on Thursday (previous value 1.6%)
Priority ③: Initial jobless claims (four consecutive weeks above 210,000 indicate a cooling of employment)
Three-dimensional positioning of technical aspects
Multi-period resonance analysis
Weekly: 5-week moving average (3282) and Bollinger middle rail (3265) form a support belt
Daily: MACD column shrinks but does not cross, suggesting adjustment rather than reversal
Key price matrix
Strong and weak boundary: US$3,300 (trading concentration area in the past 20 trading days)
Attack and defense space:
Upward: 3325 (Fibonacci 38.2%) → 3365 (weekly previous high)
Downward: 3280 (May option biggest pain point) → 3250 (200-day moving average)
Trading strategy
Scenario 1: Pre-data shock (probability 65%)
Operation: 3285-3325 interval grid trading
Buy strategy : Long at 3288-3290, stop loss at 3278, target at 3318
Short strategy: Short at 3320-3325, stop loss at 3332, target at 3292
Position management: No more than 3% per transaction, profit and loss ratio 1:3
Scenario 2: PCE data breakthrough (probability 35%)
Bull breakthrough:
Confirmation condition: 30-minute closing above 3330
Chasing strategy: Add positions after falling back to 3315, stop loss at 3300, target at 3360
Short breakthrough:
Confirmation condition: Hourly line falls below 3270
Chasing strategy: Short at rebound at 3280, stop loss at 3295, target at 32 30
Risk warning system
Black swan monitoring
Geopolitical risk indicators: observe the dynamics of the Russian-Ukrainian front + Middle East tanker premium rates
Liquidity risk: track the 3-month LIBOR-OIS spread (currently 26bp)
Trading strategy recommendations:
Algorithmic strategy: adopt a mean reversion + momentum breakthrough combination strategy
Asian session: RSI (14) 30-70 range shock trading
European and American session: Bollinger bandwidth breakthrough strategy
Hedging plan: buy gold volatility ETF (GVZ) to hedge unilateral risks
The current market is in a wait-and-see state before major data, and it is recommended to maintain a position below 50%. Medium and long-term investors can establish bottom positions in batches in the 3250-3280 area, and short-term traders focus on reverse trading opportunities after the 3315 false breakthrough. Remember: before the Fed's policy shift is confirmed, every deep adjustment of gold is a strategic position building opportunity.
Top and bottom conversion, short position continues?📰 Impact of news:
1. The International Trade Court ruled that Trump exceeded his authority, and the previous tariffs may be suspended
2. Ukraine submitted a ceasefire document to Russia
3. Pay attention to the initial jobless claims data during the US trading session
📈 Market analysis:
The U.S. Court of International Trade in Manhattan blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” trade measures, ruling that Trump had overstepped his authority by imposing sweeping tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import without authorization from Congress. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended. But at the same time, the recent geopolitical impact cannot be ignored. In addition, the initial jobless claims data will be released during the U.S. trading session today. Independent traders must set stop losses.
From a technical point of view, the 1H level chart of gold shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is near the lower track, showing a weak pattern in the short term. Considering that 3285 is the previous low point, there is also a possibility of suppression at 3285. Therefore, we should pay close attention to the resistance range of 3285-3295. If the gold price in the Asian and European sessions can stabilize below 3295, then we can rely on the 3285-3295 range to enter the market and short. On the contrary, if the pullback today stands above 3300, then we should not chase the short easily.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3285-3295
TP 3270-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Analysis and layout of gold trend in the US market📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data is positive
2. The White House is tough on the court ruling: Trump will win! Three trade agreements are close to being reached
📈 Market analysis:
I think the current rebound should not be directly judged as a unilateral trend. From a technical point of view, in the 4H cycle, the upper 3320-3325 line has a certain suppression force in the short term. If the gold price runs below 3325, we need to be alert to the risk of a high rebound. We can try to arrange short orders based on the 3320-3325 range, and bet on the high selling opportunities in the volatile market. Independent trading with a good stop loss. However, it should be noted that if the price quickly breaks through the 3330 line in the short term and stands above it, it is expected to rise to the 3340-3350 area. At the same time, I think the support below can first look at the 3300 line, with a focus on the 3290-3285 line support.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3320-3325
TP 3310-3300
BUY 3295-3285
TP 3300-3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.