UPDATE GOld hit 1st target - 2nd Target ready to rally to $2,746Our gold anaslysis played out very nicely after the triangle formation, breakout and then run up to the first target at $2,236.
Now we have a new formation in the making - W FOrmation.
I do believe we will get some sideways movement to create equilibrium and prepare for the next run up.
So as long as the price is above the 20 and 200MA - it's good to go!
My second target is set for gold to $2,746
Goldbullion
AngloGold Ashanti making Diamonds! - New target to R451.84Diamond Formation (Broadening) has formed on ANG.
This is a rare formation that resembles a Diamond.
It's also a formation between a tug of war between the Bulls and the Bears, until there is a breakout.
Now either I'm a Gold bullion, or intution is just telling me we are in for a breakout to the upside.
And funny enough the indicators don't agree as they're mixed.
Price >20
Price<200MA
Target R451.84
FUNDAMENTALS WHY LOWER INTEREST RATES BOOSTS GOLD:
Now before I go I wanted to share my fundamental view on why I think gold is in for upside. And it's because of the idea that the Interest Rates will remain down and even be cut up to 125 BPS.
But why would lower interest rates lead to a gold run up?
Here is some food for thought.
Remember when it comes to interest rate cuts it means the following:
Stimulates economic growth
This makes borrowing cheaper as interest rates are lower.
And it encourages more spending and investments by individuals and businesses.
Boosts buying from consumers
Also, with low interest rates it entices people to buy more.
And this is because the cost of loans drops.
This leads to them buying more homes, cars, and other goods.
There are other elements, but you get the idea.
Now, lets consider why lower interest rates could mean the gold price will rally
Reason #1: Lower interest rates and a weaker US dollar helps the gold price
When interest rates drop, the yield on bonds and savings accounts typically declines.
And a weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for people with other currencies.
It's like gold goes on a global sale, and everyone wants a piece!
So, this will drive up its demand and the price.
Reason #2: Investors get out of low yielding markets and into gold
Remember that when interest rates are high, investors move to high yielding markets.
They like to keep their money in the banks, bonds, money market or any other high interest savings accounts.
But when interest rates drop, investors don’t make much of their money from these assets.
And so, they will look to invest in markets like gold, which will drive the price up.
Reason #3: The golden safe-haven will prevail!
With interest rate cuts, it normally signals signs of economic uncertainty or weakness.
And during these times, investors will often seek out safe-haven assets.
Gold is a classic example of a safe haven that investors will look to buy.
And this golden attraction will help push the price up.
We need to wait for the breakout to act though...
Until then, we can observe and share our biases.
DRD Gold just gave the golden BUY signal to R25.00DRD Gold has had a troubling year.
It's dropped from May 2023 from R25.35 down to R15.00.
There've been two strong tests at R15.00 which has helped form a major bullish W Pattern.
We just need the price to move up to break above the Neckline.
Once that happens, the next target will be back to the highs around R25.00.
The short term Moving Averages confirm with 7>21. And now the price needs to jump above the main 200MA. Then it will establish a Bull Market.
Gold itself is looking VERY bullish as you would know from my previous analysis with Gold.
And so Gold stocks are definitely quite safe to buy rather than sell right now.
Investors might feel safe to start accumulating from around these levels. I would prefer to wait for a break above the 200MA.
Did gold just to choose to shoot up to $2.169?Gold like many other markets have been in difficult territory to trade well this year.
We cannot predict but only probability predict. And with probabilities, things can change so quickly.
I am currently long a couple of gold stocks as of last week, and it looks like the direction is right for now.
And finally, the gold price is matching the drapes.
We are seeing gold stocks head on up along with the precious metal which is bringing somewhat a positive correlation.
If we look at the overall pattern, since March it's formed an unattractive Symmetrical Triangle.
And now the price has broken above the triangle, choosing a direction - UP
This is also coincidental as the world markets have broken down in their Sideways 1 year range. We can expect world markets to continue down, while gold is more likely to rally.
Could it be the safe-haven status market we need right now for when things are down?
With cryptomaniacs scared to invest based on what's happened over the last two years and with NFTs losing over 90% of their value.
It could be the best market to invest in at the moment.
Good old trustworthy boomer of an investment.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target $2,169