[GOLD W2 Jan 2022]👉🏻 Swing trade. With the FED hiking interest rates, we could possibly see some money flow from risky assets into gold.
Goldchart
Gold May Drop Nearly $1835/$1800, Before It Pull Back to $1900+The price of gold is about to enter a much deeper consolidation, where gold prices may continue lower until they reach support from previous levels of the $1830/$1800 price zone.
The market behavior comes when bulls cannot go any higher due to lack of demand. Selling pressure also comes into play that makes them pause before re-engaging with buyers again.
The daily chart shows the market stuck in a triangle and gold price holding nearly descending resistance areas.
As long as gold price holds below the $1876 price zone, it means there will be no rallies up onto new highs without major catalysts causing panic sellers once more.
Technically, it is clear that gold is stuck in a triangle, and gold price holds nearly a resistance area. So, it is expected that the gold price may correct the downside, And that is happening.
There are fundamental reasons too. The hawkish Fed expectations and a stronger US dollar keep the gold market in check. The Fed funds futures indicate an eventual rate hike by July 2022, with high chances for another one by November.
According to Governor Christopher Waller's comments, the US central bank should speed up tapering if they want more leeway when it comes time to tighten policy again.
The prospects of early tightening continue acting as tailwinds on Treasury bond yields which could provide support at lower prices ahead.
So, if the gold price drops for the technical perception, gold may not fall below the $1830 price zone. Instead, gold may go up again to the $1865/1870 price zone again.
On the other hand, gold is dropping for both fundamental and technical both. As a result, gold has a high chance to drop nearly the $1800 price zone.
We also should keep in mind that from December to February, most of the time, gold prices always rise for many reasons. We can discuss this fact in another article. So, if we find gold nearly at the $1800 price zone just keeping 300 pips stop loss, I think we may get 1000/1200 pips.
Gold Sell Signal Only Valid, If Market Breaks Below $1787/1780In the H4 chart, gold is still in an uptrend. Next Thursday, the USA will publish its quarterly advanced GDP report. Unfortunately, the report forecasted slower than the last report. Usually, October was not a good month for gold for many years, and we have been watching it. But this year, it didn't happen.
So, if this and next month gold's price doesn't drop, it is problematic that gold price will drop from December to February next year. From my personal experience and view, before gold's price rises again, gold will fall below $1700 because investors don't like buying any asset class products in the higher range.
I am also waiting to buy gold on any deep correction to the downside. SO, from the present rate, if the gold price falls below the $1787/1780 price zone. We may go for a short-term sell entry. Our first target is the $1750/1745 price zone. And breaking below $1745, our last target is the $1720 price zone.
On the other hand, if the gold price breaks above the $1835/$1842 price zone, we should consider a long-term buy. The upside target will be nearly $1900 price zone.
$XAUUSD - Time to hedgeHi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 There is a breakout confirmation from the falling wedge on a 4 hour Gold chart. The price broke the resistance and retested it as a support.
🔔 The situation around Evergrande and negative NFP and employment data in the US will increase the uncertainty in the markets. Several Central Banks, including the Bank of Japan increased their Gold purchases in August and September. This week might be very volatile especially when it comes to the Non-farm payroll data release.
🔔 The bullishness of Gold is supported by both RSI and MACD indicators. MACD has already crossed the signal line, indicating a further upside continuation, whereas RSI remains in mid-level since June on a daily chart. If the uncertainty grows, the risk of rate hikes and there are signs of a crisis backed by Evergrande, then it will be the time for Gold to continue the climb.
If breakout is confirmed. The continuation of a bullish run.
🔔 If gold is able to close above $1849, watch for the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
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[GOLD W3 Sept 2021]GOLD
Short Setup
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 Mentioned last week that 1795 can be an area to enter long, but Friday's break below 1791 could mean otherwise. With the possible gains mentioned in DXY, we could see a selloff to at least 1760 area which is also the 50% retracement level.
1690 area marks is the yearly lows, doubt it will reach close to that, yet breaking it.
[GOLD W3 Aug 2021]GOLD
Long Setup
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 Critical candle formed on the weekly chart. Monday's selloff have left price breaking below the weekly trendline and tagged the yearly lows of $1680, but bounced back off the 61.8% again to close the week with a ~1% gain. A long position may be considered IF pullbacks occur to $1760 level.
Potential Elliot Wave Count
GOLD W2 Aug 2021GOLD
Short Setup
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 With the recent dump due to NFP, price could be forming a huge WXY correction, with a 3-5-3 move. An extension of ABC in the Wave-Y is possible.
📰 Investors are also keeping an eye on Wednesday's CPI data.
Zones
[GOLD W1 Aug 2021]GOLD
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 Price found resistance again at 1830 region, hence, safe to say that price is just moving sideways in between 1790 and 1830 now. Waiting for further structures to be broken. The retail shorts sentiment are slightly higher with 51%, and usually it would be more profitable the other way.
GOLD W3 July 2021GOLD
Long Setup
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 Price has successfully broke the H1 and H4 OB as forecasted. We could see some minor pullback at least to the 1792 area which is also the 50.0% retracement level. Price should be entering some sort of minor corrective movement first before seeing some bullishness.
GOLD W1 July 2021GOLD
Long Setup
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 NFP did brought a bullish impulse off 1860 level, but yet to break the previous structure. Price is still within this corrective move/reversal pattern, yet to be confirmed unless broken out of. My confirmation will be some sort of break above 1797 level and a retest, before going long. This will be in my top watchlist which I will enter personally next week.
[GOLD W5 June 2021]GOLD
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 Price is still consolidating at this key levels of 1760 and 1780. Personally holding 2 entries with reasonable stop losses. Traders may enter after price breaks either direction.
[GOLD_3 W3 JUNE 2021]GOLD
Long Setup
👉🏻 My personal level to go long was indeed on 1760-1780 level, after witnessing yesterday's FOMC statement. What wasn't expected was for it to happen so quickly. I do not see the dollar has long term gains over the period.
💎 Dollar Cost Average will be done over levels 1780 and 1760. Anything below 1750 will be analysed further in the future. I think 1760-1780 level is a very favourable are to go long from.
❗️Not signal/financial advice. This is just my personal trade ideas. Members will be provided with specific signals in the near future.
[GOLD W3 June 2021]GOLD
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 1900 remains a huge psychological barrier for the bulls. Pretty much ranging at this previous set target of 2.618% extension. Below shows my EW count on this precious metal
If price holds here, an ABCDE triangle formation will be formed, usually indicates the 4th wave. Entry would be a break above Wave-D.
[GLD W1 Jun 2021]GOLD
Long Setup
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 As mentioned in my very first post here on this very bull run, price is just making series of HH and HL. We are in the middle of a Wave-3 here, which is endlessly impulsive. 2.618% level has been broken, next target is of course 3.618% with a resistance in play also at the very same level of $1965.
🤤 Members have entered last week with a very good entry, running around 0.5R now. Entry was well below 1900 ;)
$XAUUSD - Importance of $1798 Hi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Some data to consider: Several Central Banks, including CBs of Hungary, Japan, Turkey and India have increased their Gold reserves in March, total purchases of all banks exceeded 172.2 tones. Central Bank of Hungary purchased 63 tones of gold to hedge from the US inflation, while Turkey, India and Japan CB's are most likely to hedge the risk of the devaluation of their local currencies.
🔔 Gold's been bullish since April, after retest of the early March support, forming a double bottom pattern, however the weak impulse didn't let Gold to close above the resistance at $1798.
🔔 Gold will resume the bullish sentiment only if closes above the aforesaid resistance for now. There also is a strong barrier represented by MA100. This Moving average also lays above the $1798 resistance.
🔔 If Gold fails to break above MA100 and $1798, and moreover closes below EMA50, we might witness another heavy drop as we witnessed in late January 2021.
🔔 Bullish continuation of Gold might be backed by the rarpidly growing US economy, which leads to the anxiety of the interest rate hike, geopolitical tensions and the spread of coronavirus.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
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Gold- Time travel setup with fxsniperhi hope you are all doing good this is update from my previous chart so what i am expecting is consolidation for some time ranging from 1752-1834. every level will play its part so currently i am looking for shorts for target 1777. i will keep updating when its time to go for long . if you like my setups do not forget to give it a thumbs up. Good luck