[GOLD W4 Mar 2021]GOLD
Buy setup
Continuation trade:
💪🏼 GOLD as well has successfully made a rebound from the said 61.8% area and is approaching back to the 50.0% area. Noticed that market sentiment on retail traders are shorting the gold at the end of last week as price has approached so called 'resistance'.
2 major reasons why I'll be on the opposite side of the crowd:
1. Market usually oppose the market sentiment
2. Back in W2 MAR 2021, Ending diagonal was a success in the lower timeframe as mentioned here (), this pattern indicates a strong trend reversal.
Goldchart
GOLD W2 Mar 2021GOLD
Long Setup
👉🏻 Continuation trade from:
After a successful dump on the precious metal. Price has reached our previous said 61.8% Fibonacci area, It is advisable to wait for a reaction and enter on the pullback. Long positions would be favorable for investors in the market.
👀
Lower timeframe shows a potential ending diagonal. A long position may be placed after a significant break to the upside
$XAUUSD - Decisive level is being testedHi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 The tension around the stimulus bill rises as President Biden decided to imply stricter income limits on the next round of stimulus checks payouts. Under the new amendments, individuals who earn more than $80,000 per year, single parents earning more than $120,000 per year, and couples earning $150,000 will be disqualified from receiving the stimulus aid.
🔔 Recuperating labor market in the US, decreasing Covid-19 cases could be the main motivator for the Biden Administration to further imply limits to the stimulus bill. Stronger US Dollar resulted in a significant drop of Gold.
🔔 The Gold demand decreased drastially by the end of 2020. There was a full outflow in Gold ETF's on the US for the Q4 of 2020, while the European ETFs saw an inflow of 17 tonnes. The total number of investment shares of Gold Globally in Q4 2020 dropped by 71%.
🔔 As seen on the daily XAU/USD chart, Gold has touched the lower edge of the descending parallel channel, which acts as a great support.
🔔 The support can withstand the upcoming US Employment data which is expected to be worse than during the previous period, however for the longer term, Gold might continue the downtrend. In both previous severe drops, Gold rebounded sharply, see supports on August 12, November 30, current candle suggests that buyers are exhausted and the downtrend will continue.
🔔 Nevertheless, do not short until it closes below the dynamic support. Gold investors will be thoroughly watching the speech of the FED Chair Mr. Powell later today. Highlights on the economic state of the US could be decisive for the further trend continuation of Gold.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
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$XAUUSD - Gold must test the lower edge of the channelHi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 The stimulus bill proposed by President Joe Biden’s administration is getting closer and is set to be finalized next week according to the New York Times, Gold continues the downtrend. The bill is set to increase the inflation as planned by the FOMC, however as the bill acceptance gets closer, Gold which is traditionally an inflation hedge, loses its positions against the US Dollar.
🔔 More investors are looking towards Silver nowadays. Worlds largest asset management firm BlackRock sold SPDR Gold Shares worth $2.7 million, $471 million worth of GLD ETF, and purchased 1.18 millions of SLV (iShares Silver Trust) and $27 million worth of SLV ETF. Still the Gold share of BlackRock’s total assets remains larger than Silver-backed assets, such a switch could signal the consolidation of Gold price and an uptrend continuation of Silver.
🔔 From the technical point of view, XAU/USD remains bearish. The 4H chart of XAU/USD highlights the downtrend channel and support and resistance zone of the pair.
🔔 While RSI and MACD signal the retrace of Gold, I don't think that in this state, Gold will climb higher than $1790
🔔 The best price action for Gold is to hit the $1700 - $1710 levels, where the lower edge of the downtrend channel is then recover and move upwards.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
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GOLD W4 Feb 2021GOLD
Neutral setup
👉🏻 The precious metal has been dumping since the New Year from $1955. Now is seating, for the second time at the major 50% of $1451 and $2075. Friday's close was not a decent candle to go long on, price could break down further to test the 61.8% level. Of course any further bounce could be a favourable indication to go long to the previous highs.
📉 DXY:
The dollar has been in a downtrend after breaking the 95 level, and hovering around the 90 region ever since.
📰 Investors are not as interested in gold as much as previous years. Biden's $1.9 trillion care package is still in the talks to be approved and could be further bearishness on the Dollar if approved.
GOLD W3 Jan 2021GOLD
Short Setup
Price didn't manage to break the high of 1965.37. Could anticipate price to make lower movements
GOLD W4 NOV 2020GOLD
Short Setup
From the yearly lows of $1451.10, GOLD hasn't tested the 0.382 fibonacci retracement. With the price recently broken off a bearish flag pattern on the smaller timeframe, price is expected to test the said level soon.
38.2%-50.0% retracement level would be a favourable level for buyers to step in.
Gold's Nostalgia for the Twentieth CenturyMy name is gold and Im nostalgic for 1900s. A simpler time. The good old days. 1969 was a good year. But who knows. I might get the blues for darker days down in darker days. But were they that dark? Maybe hang out in the nostalgic sounds of 1950 maybe even 1994. But shake our brains and dream onto Mars, or sleep again to humble up, load the jets before more dime store bets. Gravity is tempting to believe in. If metals follow aggressively betting markets realizing profits up and down. The quick and the confident will face a Kangaroo in the ring. Equities was a bet. Crypto has many tables, but who's even the dealer? Gold taking 6 months delivery, rumor or podcast I can't remember. I got nothing. I'm watching Aussie... Gold 1969 tops? Short it to 1776 USA.
tbc...