GOLDBREAK AND RETEST
PLAN:
1.WAIT for a 4hr close above resistance zone
2.WAIT for retest back into or close enough to the zone .
3.Wait for some sort of rejection on the 30min or hourly.
4. Wait for price confirmation
5. buy
The trend is your friend, it makes no sense to trade against it. my analysis is done according to momentum.
stops should be adjusted based on how and where the 4hr candle closes. so risk might increase or decrease.
Golden
GOLDTaking momentum into account and change of obvious market structure it only makes sense for my analysis to be bearish.
Ever heard of the phrase, trade with the trend? yup you should really use that phrase to your advantage.
PLAN:
1.Momentum is down so im looking for a break of support zone.
2.Preferably a close below the support on the daily but if i get 4hr closes below followed by 4hr retests that will still be valid for me.
3.Wait for key candles like bearish engulfing or a doji, anything to signify rejections or reversals.
4. Execute sells with propper risk management and 20-30pip stops.
Siamese Falling Wedges & a 4 Hour Golden CrossWe can see we will likely be getting a 4hr golden cros on the 4hr chart roughly 2 hours from now on Bitstamp(shown here). A quick look on the Bitfinex chart(not shown here) shows me a 4hr golden cross has already occurred on that exchange which could be why we are already seeing 3 nice green candles in a row here.Of coure it could also be in anticipation for the golden cross as well. Other bullish elements include the current falling wedge we are in(in yellow). It is nearing its apex and we can also see that it is overlapping with another falling wedge(in white). This overlapping wedge effect I haven't seen talked about before but the term I'm coming up with for it is siamese falling wedge because they are kind of fused together. Currently the most valid of the 2 wedges I believe is the yellow wedge and it is exciting to see price action trying to break above it...unfortunately right at the top trendline of the yellow wedge we currently have the historically strong teal horizontal teal line overlapping the trendline and creating a double reinforced resistance. Ultimately the kind of patterns eventually resolve bullishly so I anticipate we will inevitably break upward here...the 4hr stochrsi ah plenty of room to go up. However, I now think the breakout target is gonna be more for the wedge than it is any kind of long poled bull flag so I don't believe we will be breaking out of the bigger wedge above it necessarily but I do believe we will at least test it and we will hopefully finally break above the 1 day charts 50 ma for a bit which has been incredibly powerful resistance for a long time. Whether or not we will be able to sustain priceaction above the 1 day 50ma and flip it to solidified support I will have to wait and see how things look once we get there. For now I am at least in the immediate and semi short term long. Just my position though not financial advice by anymeans. Thanks for reading!
3 hour goldencross vs. potential h&s breakdownbull signal vs. bear signal on btc right now...because of that this idea will be listed as neutral. We can see we have the bullish case of a 3hour golden cross that has just occured...usually leads to a bullish outcome and we can also see the 3hr stochrsi has been skimming the bottom range for awhile which means there's more momentum available to go up than down. his is also the case on the 4hr stochrsi as well (not shown here). As for the bearish side of things we have a potential head and shoulder breakdown being threatened...however the volume on the candles below the neckline thus far has not been the type you would typically see with a legitimate breakdown suggesting it could be a fakeout...also the entire h&s volume profile from the left shoulder to the right is kind of suspect as well. I'm still anticipating a fakeout but if it does breakdown the target is right around the 3hour 200ma so I'm guessing we could easily bounce right back up odd that zone if a breakdown does occur. Of course, just above the bull flag we have been in we have once again met extremely strong resistance from the 1 day 50ma and the top trendline of the falling wedge we've been trapped in for awhile. So it wouldn't surprise me if the price action decided to continue back downward and retest the weekly 200ma. As always its wise to be patient and wait for a surge in volume confirming the break one way or the other before making a decision.
Augur behaving as expected after 1 day golden cross.My last idea on augur I posted I said it would continue its bullish climb if it could achieve the 1 day golden cross on the repbtc 1day chart and we are now seeing exactly that in the price action. This will most likely also lead to a golden cross before too long on the repusd chart as well. If we can sustaina golden cross on the USD pairs 1 day chart it's only gonna get exponentially better.
Augur wins most bullish chart of the day. WIll continue.Augur started its bull impulse after breaking up out of an inverted head and shoulder pattern it then went well above the projected breakout target and it was at that moment you could tell it was going to at least aim for a cup and handle or a higher high. It has achieved that higher high and not only that the enxt high to reach is a considerable rung above here...I didn't have time today to buy into the initial bull breaks on augur bu am planning on buying in if it can maintain and solidify support right at the first horizontal teal trendline. If It can, I am confident we can see a golden cross on the daily for Augur as you can see it's already fairly close an this current bullish action ahs likely sealed the deal for the golden cross. If this happens expect augur to continue to go up even if btc goes down...the next target to watch for is the next horizontal teal line above this....if the golden cross occurs...I'm anticipating we find resistance there only to form a cup and handle and then continue even higher. I will be watching for a retest of this first horizontal teal trendline first and foremost though...we need to solidify that as support to ensure the golden cross will occur firstly. If so I am definitely bullish on Augur in the enar future. It is of course currently one of the most utilized erc20 tokens after all. Of course this is my own personal opinion and not meant to be financial advice. Best of luck and thanks for reading!
Tron's the most bullish lookin chart in crypto at the moment.The 1 day golden cross is inevitable the bullish breakout of the bull flag seems inevitable too which should then also make the cup and handle breakout occur as well. A perfect triad of patterns all combining with a daily stoch rsi that has lots of room to fly make this an easy long. Golden cross should occur in the next 3 and a half hours. If it hits the cup and handle breakout target it can almost double it's price but once again a reminder that this is not financial advice ;) thanks for reading!
Coin 2 Watch: Tron / Golden Cross, Cup & Handle, and BullflagDespite the current bearish outlook on bitcoin we can see that tron has a lot of exciting things currently going for it on the 1 day chart on binance. It has completed a cup and is now currently working on the handle which happens to be inside a very long bull flag. We can also see what appears to be an inevitable golden cross about to occur on the tronbtc pair which should be sustainable when you factor in the other bullish patterns that are about to trigger along side that golden cross..would not surprise me one bit to see tron stay resilient and even somewhat in the green during btcs next bear move. We can see the daily stochrsi has plenty of room to go up as well. Fundamentally this could be caused by a few different factors but I think the 2 biggest are that it was added as a pair with xrp on binance and also trx was named the first binance gold label project coin. There's likely other big developments recently too but I haven't had time to dig any deeper into the fundamental side of tron. Anyways I expect it to do very well in the following weeks if this golden cross occurs and the cup and handle triggers so while this is not financial advice I do recommend you keep an eye on it and make your own decisions on whether or not to grab any for yourself. Thanks for reading.
A quick short to 3.6k or so after diamond top appears.we have been forming a diamond top on the 2hr chart. The last break upward to 4.1k was assisted by a 2hr chart golden cross, but now that same timeframe is forming a diamond top with the trendlines following the candle bodies...there is a slightly more obtuse diamond top on the 4hr chart that can be connected by wicks....if the diamond top by candle bodies is the more valid pattern we will dip to at least 3.7k and if the diamond top charted by the wicks is more valid then we may dip to 3.6k or so....3.6k would make for an excellent top of the right shoulder for our currently speculative 1 day chart inverted head and shoulder pattern.....the projected top of the right shoulder seems like it will likely coincide with a golden cross on the 4hr chart but the inverted head and shoulder is currently still a speculative pattern only but still one worth keeping an eye on.
Will XRPUSD achieve the golden cross or just a fakeout?This is currently as close as we've seen a potential golden cross on the xrpusd chart. The question now is whether or not it will actually be sustainable or a fakeout. The next candle the 50ma will filter out is a red one but the next candle the 200ma will filter out is a red one that is twice as long...so It's still currently rather hard to say whether or not they will cross or bounce off and repell eachother instead. I've hodling this whole time and will continue to do so,unless I see a clear rejection but also a dip in the xrpbtc pair as well.
XRPUSD Pair about to trigger a gldncross on the 1 day & inv h&sTake a look at this picture perfect inverted head and shoulder setup on xrpusd's 1 day chart. Also take a look at how close the 50ma(in orange) is to rising above the 200ma(in blue) for a 1 day golden cross. Now factor in how the stoch rsi indicator has plenty of room to head upwards and is already suggesting its ready to do so. Lastly, factor in that we have already triggered a golden cross and inverted head and shoulder breakout on the xrpbtc pair...the golden cross on the xrpbtc pair has been sustained and didnt become a fakeout which is leading to huuuge leaps and gains over ethereum and btc...all this considered means the golden cross on the xrpusd pair should be sustained with similar results as well. While the rest of the crypto market has been in a free fall..XRP hs held steady making those gains against btc. Yet it hasn't been able to break out of the 48 cents-50cent range yet...once it sustains the golden cross on the usd pairing however we will definitely see it start to make 50-100% gains. First resistance will be back at the inv h&s neckline at 54-55 cents....once we break up from there the next target is the 75 cents range. This is of course just my opinion though so don't take it as financial advice for a financial advisor I am not. Thanks for reading!!
A look at the XRPUSD pair almost at golden cross!Normally my xrp charts are looking at the XRPBTC pair...but with more and more exchanges now enabling the XRPUSD fiat pair I think it's important to factor that in as well. We are currently right around 49 cents but will likely be heading upward soon...you can see the price action has been consolidating in a falling wedge which most of the times break upwards...you can also see here that if we were to break up from the falling wedge at this point where we are now testing its top trendline...the breakout target price would conveniently be right at the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders pattern now forming on the chart as well..We seemed destined to trigger the inv head and shoulder pattern on the xrpbtc pair so I think the xrpusd pair will inevitably trigger its inverted head and shoulder in the near future as well. So I think probability favors XRP breaking bullishly upward from this falling wedge fairly soon as well as a golden cross happening as soon as the next day candle to 3 days from now. Overall very bullish looking indeed.
Potential inv h&s breakout to consider on xlm.If this inverted head and shoulder pattern is valid, price action should climb to this price target seen here. However with the confluence of xlm haviong a golden cross on both the 1 day and 4hr charts it would probably reach this target even without a valid inverted head and shoulder pattern. just my hypotheticsl thoughts could be wrong so no financial advice.
Stellar achieves a gldncross! Rches brkout target of fllngwedgeFor those of us who were already holding some xlm the slight fomo above the breakout target that created the current candles bullwick would have been an excellent place to take some profit. Props to anyone who acted quick enough to take advantage of that. We can ee here though that much like XRP, Stellar has also triggered a golden cross on the 1 day chart and shortly thereafter has broken bullishly out of the falling wedge it was in. Now is a good profit taking zone because the target has been met , but for anyone thinking of adding stellar and the long term hodlers of stellar there is more bullish action to come after this current consolidation if probability wins out. The golden cross on the 1 day chart is an extremely bullish sign. I of course always wanna be prepared for the exact opposite outcome should this be a golden cross fakeout. If I was adding to my position here I would wait for an indication it will continue to break upward. If it starts to consolidate into a bull flag I would then wait for the clear break up of the bullflag to add to my position. for now I think I'm gonna trade my previous holdings into BAT and XRP since BAT has been listed on Coinbase and XRP has had a slight consolidation dip that to me is a smart buy zone considering it seems like it will sustain it's golden cross and the bullish news about r# and SBI. I will always try to retain a small foundational amount of stellar though as I believe it will likely serve as xrp's competition with xrp having the verizonesque dominance of the market and stellar being the more affordable less desirable alternative (TMobile).
Golden Cross on 1 day chart official on XRP. The golden cross is now being shown on the 1 day chart. We also closed the last 1 day candle above the top trendline of the bull flag we have been consolidating in. I anticipate a confirmation of a bullish breakout of the bull flag on the current 1 day candle. We also have closed above a 4hr chart inverted head and shoulder pattern that had developed inside the 1 day bull flag. This is also bullish...but of course with both the flag and the inverted head and shoulder patterns we need confirmation on the next candles and also bullish volume to go with those candles as well. There is still a low probability chance that we could get trapped with a fake out but odds of that are very low. Worth being prepared for all the same though.
Golden Cross has occurred but not reflected on 1 day chart yet.So even though it doesn't appear like we have crossed ont he 1 day chart yet if I were to flip this to the 4hr chart you can see that the current 4 hr candle is definitely over where the intersection point of the 2 ma's is so even though the 1 day chart is not yet reflecting it, the golden corss has now occured and you will see it reflected on the 1 day chart in roughly 9 hours from now.
XRP Golden Cross Trajectory Bumped up a day to November 1st.As we can see we are still inside the bull flag on the 1 day chart with the 1 day 50ma(in orange) acting as strong support and the 200ma(in blue) as resistance...based on the upward angle of the 50ma I have a feeling it will maintain support and ultimately push the price action above the 200ma and cause a nice bullish breakout from the bull flag which in turn should provide great rocket fuel for the golden cross. Currently because the prce action has remained above the 50ma it has risen the 50mas trajectory enough to bump the expected golden cross up 1 day from November 2nd to November 1st....At this point only a massive dip could prevent this cross. So there is a very high probability the cross will occur...however we need to remember that even though those are far more often bullish, there have been a couple instances in the past where the price has fallen after a golden cross and it ends up being a fakeout that just goes right back into a death cross a few days later. I'm pretty confident this golden cross will be sustained but will be prepared in case I see signs of a fakeout. You choose your own path as this is not financial advice and simply my own personal gameplan. Thanks for reading!
XRP nearing what appears to be an inevitable golden cross. Moon?As the price action on the daily char continues, we can see the bull flag xrp is in is looking very likely that it could break upward. For many many days now the price has been moving steadily sideways keeping the trajectory of the 200ma(in blue) and the 50ma(in orange) completely in tact...I haven't had to readjust the angle of either of their hyphenated projection lines practically at all in many many days and now that the current price candle seems to be wanting to finally break upward above the bullflag, it only instills more confidence in me that we will see a golden cross occur either by the current trajectory of November 3rd or possibly even sooner if this flag breaks upwards. A golden cross has been very very bullish for XRP and the last 2 golden crosses we experienced on the 1 day chart happened right before the last 2 all time highs. So I'm fairly confident with a golden cross occurring here in early November that the next all time high will likely follow it. Of course we need to keep in mind that there have been 2 incidents int he past where shortly after a golden cross we nullified that cross soon there after with a death cross so it is indeed possible but there is far more probability we can sustain the golden cross once it occurs. Smart to be prepared for either outcome. 2 ways we wouldn't see a golden cross by early November would be 1. if the price suddenly plummeted exponentially(highly unlikely) or 2. If it somehow rose high enough to flip the 200ma's trajectory upward enough that the 50ma's trajectory couldn''t catch up to it(almost impossible) So overall probability favors moon time! Of course that's just my opinion not financial advice. Thanks for reading!
BTC forming a very standard bull flag on the 1 day chartWe can see on the 1 day chart so far the pattern appears to be a very run-of-the-mill bull flag. However the pole on this flag is immense and if we do indeed break upward the momentum could take us back above the 1day 200ma(in blue) and up to the 7.2k region. Currently we can see the 50ma(in orange) has taken a slight downward trajectory, while the 200ma has started going sideways making our current chances of a golden cross at this trajectory not possible anytime soon with out an enormous bull surge in price action. Hopefully we will get one of those before year's end. Either way probability favors a break upward but we will have to wait and see what this bull flag wants to do before we can figure out which way its headed it could throw a few fakeouts along the way and even morph into a descending, ascending, or symmetrical pennant as the days progress. With such a long pole though it can continue sideways for quite some time as well before making its decision. Have patience and wait for a clear breakout that is backed by a surge in volume one way or the other. Good luck and thanks for reading! **not financial advice**