A close up of the bullflag forming above c&h rimline on total2The red line is the rimline of the Total2 chart’s cup and handle pattern that I made a post about a few days ago and will link at the bottom of this post. I thought it would be a good idea to include a close up of this bull flag that is forming with that redline mostly serving as support here so it would be easier for people to see when the breakout from the cup and handle will be validated. Once we have solidified the red line as support long enough we will validate the breakout from the cup and handle. One thing that will greatly increase the probability that w will validate that breakout is by first valdating the breakout up from this smaller bullflag pattern that has been forming here, you’ll notice that we are also about to have a golden cross (when the orange line crosses above the blue line ). We are now just one to two days away max from that cross happening and I would not be surprised if the pump up from the bullflag that validates it’s breakout occurs the same day the golden cross occurs, as I have already seen that happen immediately on the golden cross in two other chart recently, and it usually tends to do so once we have entered the parabolic phase of the bull market. If we do we will simultaneously validated both the breakout from this bull flag and mostly likely validate the breakout from the more macro timeframe Cup and handle pattern as well. I will link the chart I posted a few days ago showing the full cup and handle pattern down below. We’ve already seen a slight bit of a precursor already in the market but once the cup and handle validates its breakout, it is officially alt season. *not financial advice*
Goldencross
TOTAL cryptocap chart about to complete the handle on its c&h We can see price action is breaking up fro a bullflag that has a target of 3.33 trillion. In doing so we should also validate the breakout of the cup and handle pattern which will give ita breakout target around 4.6 trillion or so. Price action is currently very close to retesting the green rimline of the cup and handle pattern and completing the handle. If we were to look at the daily, this pupcoincided precisely with the daily chart’s recent golden cross(not shown here) *not financial advice*
Bullish time in CORN ahead \o/You can see here the CBOT:ZC1! price displayed in a line chart. After reaching its high in early 2022, the bears took control, driving the price down significantly until now.
The factors in play are as following:
Seasonality: Corn prices have historically shown strength from December through March, aligning with planting and crop cycles. This seasonal trend could provide a solid backdrop for a potential price recovery. (highlighted in green on the chart)
Interest Rates: We’ve reached a pivotal moment in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cycle. The rate hikes that began in March 2022 coincided with the start of the bearish trend, while recent rate cuts in September 2024 may support a rebound in commodity prices, including corn. This shift in monetary policy could act as a bullish catalyst for corn and other commodities. (highlighted in orange on this chart)
Technical Indicators: For additional confirmation, one could wait for a bullish crossover of the moving averages (a golden cross). Such a cross would reinforce the technical setup and definitively signal the onset of a new bull market in corn.
With these factors in play, corn could be setting up for a strong rally in the months ahead.
BTCUSDT Golden Cross Signals Strong BullishBINANCE:BTCUSDT daily chart shows a Golden Cross, a pattern that has historically been a strong indicator of bullish momentum. A Golden Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA 50, in purple) crosses above the 200-day moving average (MA 200, in blue). This crossover is generally viewed as a signal of a long-term trend reversal, suggesting that bullish momentum is building. Whenever this crossover has occurred in the past, Bitcoin has experienced substantial upward price movement in the following months.
Currently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken through broadening wedge resistance levels on the daily chart and is trading near $71,000. This price action aligns with the Golden Cross, reinforcing the potential for a continued bullish move. With BTC consolidating above key levels, a breakout above $70K could trigger further buying interest and sustain the uptrend.
If BTC can hold its position above the 200-day MA and breakthrough additional key resistance levels, the price could continue to climb. Potential targets range from 100-200% gains from this level, similar to past Golden Cross rallies.
Regards
Hexa
Golden Cross is forming on Bitcoin Weekly Charta Golden Cross is forming on the Bitcoin MACD Weekly Chart.
We saw what that did to the price of Bitcoin before as pointed in the chart.
Bitcoin is near the all time high price now and could make new highs any time soon.
Very bullish months to come for Bitcoin & the Crypto market!!
XRP LongXRP is finally having its rally. Saturday, 9/28, hit a milestone as it broke its previous high (resistance). It will most likely retest with a pullback balancing itself between 0.62 and 0.67 in the coming days. On the weekly chart, a golden cross formed on Monday, 9/15. 200 MA is playing the break. Resistance - $0.74 Support - $0.50
$ELF Bouncing Past the 9 & 21 Day Moving AverageNYSE:ELF On average, technical analysts often observe that when a stock crosses above both the 9-day and 21-day moving averages, there is approximately a 60-70% chance that the upward trend will continue. Conversely, when a stock crosses below both averages, there is about a 60-70% chance that the downward trend will persist.
Here are some general figures:
Bullish Continuation: 65% probability that the stock will continue an upward trend after crossing above both the 9-day and 21-day moving averages.
Bearish Continuation: 65% probability that the stock will continue a downward trend after crossing below both the 9-day and 21-day moving averages.
These figures are generalized estimates based on typical market behavior and may vary depending on specific stock characteristics and broader market conditions. Always consider conducting specific #backtesting and analysis for the particular stock or market you're interested in for more accurate predictions.
Bitcoin Golden Cross on 4Hr TimeframeBullish cross between 200MA and 50MA spotted on 4 hour timeframe and appearance of green cloud. This would suggest a short term bullish outlook for bitcoin for the coming days.
The golden cross on daily time frame could follow by 1st or 2nd week of September and would drive the price to 65k-70k level.
QQQ Intraday $100 to $2500 with options RECAPQQQ is shown here on the 15 minute time frame. Overlaid are a HMA 7 and SMA 5 to provide
moving average crosses. QQQ made a "M" pattern. Options charts are shown in the updates.
First Trade SQQQ is opened at 9:48 for $ 6.00 per call contract times 16 contracts. It is closed
at 10:05 less than 20 minutes later at $20.00 per contract. $96 dollars the only risk in the trade
is waiting to settle as is the $ 224.00 in profit. ( This is a same day expiration intraday trade)
Second Trade QQQ as QQQ has topped and is pivoting down. The second trade of the day
is not a same day expiration as it is now Friday afternoon, a put option in the direction of the
trend is taken for Tuesday the 20th, there being no puts for the Monday holiday.
The floating profit is $ 224 and the strike is set for below the money in the current direction of
the trend. A strike of $ 429 selected. The options chart is shown in the updates.
The premium was 0.37 so $37 per contract so six contracts were taken for a total of
which is $222 or slightly less than the profit on the first trade. The trade is taken at 14:47
market time and closed about 90 minutes later at 15:52 before the close.
The contracts sold at close for $ 1.41 each yielding $ 141 per contract or $ 2256 overall.
Between the two trades $100 was risked and $ 233 + 2256 or 2489 overall.
The Reward to Risk ratio was about 25. The profit and the initial $100 into the trades
awaits settlement after the holiday.
This trade was made to teach a mentee about the power of options leveraged with narrow
expirations to optimize profits and not spend a lot of time in the trade to minimize risk
in the market from any number of potentials. Alerts and notifications centered on moving
averages and rise or fall of intraday low time frame relative strength are used to lessen
screen time. Twenty baggers may not be everyday but then again with practice and patience
they can come along often enough.
Historically Warm Weather to Support Natural Gas PricesAfter the second quarter relief rally and the five-month peak, Natural Gas registered a four-week decline. This has shifted bias to the downside again, creating scope for further losses towards 1.940. However, a look at the daily chart shows that NGAS tries to react at the lower border of the Ichimoku Cloud. Furthermore, a Golden Cross (EMA50 crossing above the EMA200) has been formed, which is often viewed as a precursor of sustained growth.
This technical formation compliments the favorable fundamentals, as demand is set to increase this year, while key drillers lower their activity. Although the world shifts to renewables, Natural Gas is seen a bridge fuel facilitating this transition. Furthermore, it is heavily used in electricity generation, being the top source in the US and No2 globally. June was the thirteenth straight month of record high temperatures according to Copernicus, which can provide another tailwind for energy demand during the summer months. This in turn can increase Natural gas consumption and support prices.
As a result, NGAS can reclaim the EMA200 that would give control to the bulls and the ability to push for the June peak (3.164). The upside contains multiple technical roadblocks though and there are risks to the upbeat supply-demand dynamics.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Where bitcoin goes MARA follows - Current Macro developmentsHi guys! As usually i keep my eye open for macro changes or signals that may lead to major moves. Of which Marathon (MARA) has been on my radar.
This analysis is done on the 1 week timeframe.
We are currently attempting to get Above our Major level/ area around $18-20.
This area also coincides with the 21 EMA.
Which we are also ABOVE as we speak.
However, remember it has not yet confirmed that we managed to get Support from 21 EMA.
Also note that we recently tested Support on 50 SMA and have maintained it 6 weeks in a row. This fact makes me think, we will continue UP -> At the very least to the Upper range of the consolidation orange rectangle at $28.00
We have not yet printed a death cross which is a good sign indicating probabilities pointing towards continuation of Uptrend.
Pay attention to next weeks candle close for more clues.
Ive also highlighted our current price action to be part of a Consolidation range, from $15.00 to $28.00
I think it makes sense for us to be consolidating as we are making our way out of the bottom of the market for MARA. (around the 3.50 area) Since then we've already climbed roughly 1000% to our top around $34.
21 EMA and 50 SMA flattening out also supports the Consolidation occuring.
Consolidation is basically when an asset tries to digest rallies, trying to catch its breath.
And now we have to assess whether theres further momentum left to continue our Bull market or make our way back down.
If Bull market continues, we can make our way back to this Major Resistance lvl labeled. We have touched this line 3 times in history previously and it marks Blow off tops of Bull markets for MARA.
If we get rejected from this Major level, we can make our way back to the sloping Support trendline labeled below.
So to find a sense of whether or not MARA will continue or come down to test the lows, we look to 2 indicators that i love using to assess "momentum".
Notice the STOCH RSI.
Everytime we come down to the 20 lvl, we stay Below for extended periods ranging from 57 days to as much as 126 days.
When we cross Bullish and move UP Above 20 lvl, we tend to have Rallies UP.
1 pattern though, with STOCH is its relationship with Moving Averages 21 EMA and 50 SMA.
When Purple (21 EMA) crosses Below Green (50 SMA) Moving Average and there is a STOCH Bull cross, sometimes it doesn't impact big rallies.
BUT When Purple is on top of the Green Moving Average and STOCH crosses BUllish Above 20 lvl. This is a pattern seen in relation to big rallies UP
So if we can get a STOCH Bullish CROSS Above 20 level, while our 21 EMA is Above our 50 SMA, we can expect to see a continuation rally. Watch also for a break Up and confirmation out of the consolidation zone.
The MACD is currently ABOVE the 0 level, with waning or decreasing Bearish sentiment. This is seen from the print of the lighter red bar of the histogram. The Blue/Orange lines are also attempting to Curve Up and try to Cross Bullish.
If we continue to print smaller lighter Red bars, and then see a Green bar print, it is likely momentum has turned Bullish.
Bullish Crosses ABOVE 0 level, tend to rally Upwards.
A MACD and STOCH CROSS together would be even better sign of uptrend to be PROBABLE.
ANd if we Breakout of the consolidation rectangle we are currently in -> its likely we test "Major Resistance" at around $60.
Keep observing and paying attention.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on MARA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Campbell's ready to pop!Campbell's looks primed for a pump for a variety of reasons
Massive 336 day rounding bottom with rising momentum
Golden Cross on daily chart
Hit overbought during recovery
Staples sector showing recent strength
Moving into range where it previously gapped down, potential for sharp rise to top of the range
Bullish flag since mid April
Long term monthly chart we can shows CPB recovering from the 200 period moving average along a very lengthy uptrend.
Snowflake Ascending Channel bound, with upside potentialHi guys! So always looking for opportunities in repeating patterns/ macro developments.
SNowflake (SNOW) particularly stuck out.
This analysis is conducted in the 1 day timeframe.
Since June 2022, SNOW has been in a Ascending Channel with consistent Higher low prints.
This shows a reoccuring pattern of everytime we've made our way to the bottom of the channel to test Support, we've had bounces to the Upside.
We've had roughly 4 major moves highlighted with returns ranging from 40% to 80%.
We have in April made our way back to test Suppport on this channel.
Currently up roughly 10%.
We are also Above the 21 EMA, maintaining Support.
This is also a reoccuring sign of a rally to the upside.
Currently our 21 EMA is curving to the upside. The rallies that have occured in the past from touching the support line of channel have shown this sign as well.
FOllowed by a Golden cross, where 21 EMA maintains its position above 50 SMA.
Look for this signal to appear.
There is also potential for another test of Support on the lower border of channel. Keep this in mind as it is seen when you look at the previous data.
Remember it is bad practice to trade using a single indicator or tool. Always try to find overlap of signals. Look to updates ont his idea for more evidence to make informed decisions.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on SNOW in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Utilities setting up?The daily chart on XLU provides rationale to keep a place on our watchlist. Recently it made a golden cross and seems to have broken free of a downdraft in price. Now it looks like the RSI could be searching for overbought.
One option is a momentum trade targeting the $71+ price. Personally I'd like to see it hit overbought, then that a position of it pulls back down around the 50 & 200 day MSAs. Looks like with some patience there could be 15% out there depending on how things develop.
Disney Rejected 38.2% Fibo but Upside IntactStratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
THIS IS EXIDEIND FOR LONGTERM INVESTMENTAs we can see stock is not very bearish as per volume fall and price fall.
Stock trading above 20 50 100 200 ema on the day
on weekly and monthly chart double bottom formation
a bullish crossover on daily and weekly
Golden crossover on 20th Oct
1st-time breakout attempt with heavy volume but can not sustain about 175
2nd-time breakout rounding bottom with good volume and sustain above 175
RSI65,
stock can retest as shown in the chart plan accordingly. in the chart, there are two long positions you can make but you the different risk-to-reward ratios you'll get.
educational purposes only!