The LTCBTC Cup and Handle may finally be triggeringThe cup and handle pattern we have been watching unfold on LTCBTCs chart may finally be triggering here as ltc seems to be legitimately breaking up from its current bull flag which ahs a target that should once hit make triggering the cup and handle pattern a sure thing and continuing its bullish momentum...however there have been a lot of fake bait pumps and bait dumps over the last few weeks so we must keep in mind this could potentially be the case again here as well...however with the 1 day golden cross on ltcbtc fully sustained now I think probability favors a legitimate breakout of the cup and handle pattern here.
Goldencross
2 BTC to 20 BTC Trading Challenge - Day 56 (0.466 BTC)Disclaimer: If you are primarily interested in copying other people’s trades then this is not for you. However, if you are willing to put in the work that it takes to learn how to trade for yourself then you have found the right place! Nevertheless please be advised that you can give 10 people a profitable trading strategy and only 1-2 of them will be able to succeed long term. If you fall into the majority that tries and fails then I assume no responsibility for your losses. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business.
Click here for my Comprehensive Trading Strategy | Click here for my Comprehensive Trading Process | Click here to learn about the 2 BTC' to 20 BTC' Trading Challenge
It looks like we are finally getting some volatility and this is very exciting. In order for me to succeed with this challenge I need a big trend that I am able to enter into early in the game. The chop that has occurred over the last two months has been very difficult to trade.
If USDTRY can resume it’s bullish trend then it is game on. I am ready to bet big on this one, but as always will be starting small. The 4h chart recently had a red 9 at support and that was a good opportunity for me to start building a position.
Next I am watching for a golden cross with the 50 and 200 EMA’s. After that I will be watching for the same golden cross but on the Daily. If that goes as expected then I will be building a long position of ~10 BTC.
If all goes according to plan and then my most conservative target gets hit I will be back in the green for this challenge. The chances of that happening are realistic but not necessarily to be expected. As long as I continue to diligently manage risk and wait for ideal entries then I am confident I can get this challenge going in the right direction in the allotted time frame.
The crypto markets are also very interested for the first time in months. It is right on the verge of making a big move as far as I can tell. To learn more about what I am watching for see the Watchtower below as well as the 335th day of the Bitcoin Daily Update .
Open Positions
Exposure: 0.14 lots (3.66 BTC)
Long USDTRY
Enter: $5.3107
Stop: $5.236
Risk: 1.39%
Watchtower
USDTRY
Notes: Price getting squeeze in between 50 & 200 EMA’s on 4h and D.
Gameplan: Add if 4h GC. Add on D GC if not too far away from price. Close > $5.56 is another signal to add
Target: $6.55 (ATH Retest) & $8.00 (Big W Target)
ETHBTC
Patterns: Descending triangle.
Notes: Getting squeezed between 50 & 200 D EMA’s with beautiful cupping pattern
Target: 0.07 if break triangle to upside
Gameplan: Waiting to see how market reacts to Hard Fork. The technicals are very bullish, but Hard Forks are generally a sell. This might be different since there is no alt token being created.
ETHUSD
Notes: First bullish crossover with 4 & 9 week EMA’s since April 23, 18. Only the 2nd since Feb 2017.
Gameplan: Same as above
LTCBTC
Notes: Weekly golden cross with price above 200 W EMA.
Gameplan: If BTC can close a daily above $3,922 then I will be looking for longs. Will enter on LTC if ETH hard fork hasn’t happened yet.
Bitcoin Daily Update (day 337)Disclaimer: If you are primarily interested in copying other people’s trades then this is not for you. However, if you are willing to put in the work that it takes to learn how to trade for yourself then you have found the right place! Nevertheless please be advised that you can give 10 people a profitable trading strategy and only 1-2 of them will be able to succeed long term. If you fall into the majority that tries and fails then I assume no responsibility for your losses. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business.
Click here for my Comprehensive Trading Strategy | Click here for my Comprehensive Trading Process | Click here to learn about the 2 BTC' to 20 BTC' Trading Challenge
Consensio: M MA > S MA > P > L MA
Patterns: Phase 7 Hyperwave | A&E | Bear Channel
Horizontals: S: $3,742 | R: $3,820
Trendline:
Parabolic SAR: W: $4,216
Futures Curve: Backwardation
Funding Rates: Longs receive 0.0183%
BTCUSDSHORTS: Rejected from 9 EMA. Will be interesting to see if it makes lower low
TD’ Sequential: Bullish price flip with todays close, current candle is trying to make bearish price flip
Ichimoku Cloud:.Watching for close above Tenkan-Sen
Relative Strength Index: Continues to support > 50
Price Action: 24h: +0.21% | 2w: +6.6% | 1m: +12.1%
Bollinger Bands: Continues to support > 50
Stochastic Oscillator: Monthly buy signal in confluence with weekly buy signal is very rare / powerful
Summary: In a Telegram conversation with Leah Wald I mentioned that “I can’t remember the last time I felt this bullish about crypto” .
This is only the second time we have gotten a monthly Stochastic buy signal < 20 and the first time it has been < 10. The last time we got that signal it called the bottom of the 2015 bear market. Just so happens that both occurred on a monthly red 8.
I do not think we have found the bottom due to lack of capitulation / FUD as well as Hyperwave theory, however I do feel very confident that we are in for a strong bounce over the next couple weeks / months.
First target is the top of the bear channel that is pictured above under ‘trendlines’. If we breakthrough there then I expect a $6,000 retest / rejection which leads to capitulation and a return to $1,000 / Phase 1. However everything hinges on closing above $4,200. That is due to the massive gap in the visible range volume profile.
If we breakthrough $4,200 on a daily closing basis then that is the final confirmation I will be waiting for. I have already started to build my positions and am ~30% entered. Will make sure that I am 100% entered if we close above $4,200.
My BTC forecast (NOT Professional)Once upon a time,
Based on my hypothetical assessment, this chart reflects the "starting point" of the triangle to be June 4, 2018 "DEATH CROSS". In light of the 200 Day EMA's current trajectory, and established LOW, it appears to support the few rejections aligning the top of the triangle nicely as noted by the yellow circles. As such, IF all things stay equal, my BTC forecast for the next few months are as follows:
+Best case scenario, BTC makes a significant trend change on/around April 20th;
+Worst case scenario, BTC makes a significant trend change on/around May 20th;
+Doomsday scenario, BTC breaks below 3,100 (YOU pick a day)
*The green lines are reasonable representations of the price channel BTC will bounce around-in, with "slight" deviations above/below it of course, until the significant trend change occurs (i.e. "GOLDEN CROSS").
The End.
Digibyte $DGB Expecting a BreakoutExpecting a breakout for DGB. Found support and has already broke of descending triangel, RSI divergence. Waiting a Golden cross soon, 50MA crossing over 100MA.
XRPUSD finds support on IH&S Neckline as 4hr goldencross begins.I'm leaning bullish here even though the 1 day candle closed just under the inverted head and shoulder patterns neckline we are now seeing a decent rebound back above the neckline on the current 4hr chart candle with 20 minutes left to go before the next 4hour candle and we can also see the 4hr golden cross is just now starting to set in. Boh bullish signals....however I'm leaving this idea neutral however because we haven't yet gotten a 1 day chart higher high on btcusd which we will need soon to continue the bullish momentum and hand control of the market over to the bulls. Even though the 4hr golden cross has just now started to occur...in this crucial window for at least the next 3-5 4hour candles it is a zone where a golden cross can end up being a fakeout...to sustain solidify and confirm the golden cross we will definitely need to see the inverted head and shoulder neckline maintain strong support as well as trigger the pattern. until we have confirmation a fakeout is still a possibility. Overall I have a slight bullish bias for now but wanna be prepared for a potential inverted head and shoulder fakeout or even a golden cross fakeou possibility. t
ADABTC @ precipice of ih&s brkout & both a 4hr & 1day goldncrossAll Ada has to do now is overcome the 1 day 200mas resistance(dotted blue line) if it can and flip it to support it will likely then trigger it's inverted head and shoudler breakout as well as both the 4hr golden cross and the 1 day golden cross which will extend it bullishly for quite sometime. Bst to stay reserved on ADA until we see it flip the 1 day 200ma to solidified support first though.
ETH on the verge of bullish greatness (1day goldencross+ih&s?) The recent 4hour golden cross has been very good for the ETHBTC pair and we can see it's now led to a bullish surge at just the right time to give a 1 day ethbtc golden cross a real possibility of happening...should it complete the cross and continue this bullish surge we can expect price action will almost certainly go high enough to trigger the current inverted head and shoulder pattern ethbtc finds itself in. looking at the date ranges here to see what kind of candles each of the 2 moving averages will be factoring out of their trajectory in the next few days there is a slight possibility that there could end up being a 1 day golden cross fakeout but it will likely take a big red candle 180 from here for a golden cross fakeout to happen. So there are a few bearish symptoms like the candles that are about to be factored out of each moving average and the fact that the 1 day stoch rsi is way over extended...but overall probability favors the bulls here.
Bitcoin Golden CrossThe tweet that I posted back in Dec. 2018 saying #BTC hit bottom and if that statement is true then were coming closer to be in a #bullmarket.
#Goldencross is coming soon June and/or July 2019. We all might be having a great 4th of July this year 2019. Just like I said back in Dec. 2018 (Christmas came early for all of us) twitter.com
Thanks!!!
Bitcoin Daily Update (day 327)Disclaimer: If you are primarily interested in copying other people’s trades then this is not for you. However, if you are willing to put in the work that it takes to learn how to trade for yourself then you have found the right place! Nevertheless please be advised that you can give 10 people a profitable trading strategy and only 1-2 of them will be able to succeed long term. If you fall into the majority that tries and fails then I assume no responsibility for your losses. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business.
Click here for my Comprehensive Trading Strategy | Click here for my Comprehensive Trading Process | Click here to learn about the 2 BTC' to 20 BTC' Trading Challenge
Consensio: Price being squeezed in between M EMA and L EMA. If breakthough the 50 EMA then a golden cross will follow / be a very attractive entry
Patterns: Phase 7 hyperwave | Starting to look like A&E especially on 3d and W | 4h bull flag
Horizontals: R: $3,650 | S: $3,569
Trendline: Keeping my eye on this bull TL
Parabolic SAR: $3,375 (right in line with the TL above)
Futures Curve: Backwardation with 0.78% spread
BTCUSDSHORTS: Watching for double bottom or new local low
Funding Rates: Longs pay shorts 0.01%
TD’ Sequential: R3 = R2
Ichimoku Cloud: Think cloud above 50 EMA represents little resistance if we can break that area.
Relative Strength Index: > 50
Average Directional Index: Pulling back from 25. Watching for support > 20
Price Action: 24h: 0.9% | 2w: +4.3% | 1m: -1.1%
Bollinger Bands: Flatten out / squeezing with P > MA
Stochastic Oscillator: Daily sell, weekly buy
Summary: What a day it has been for me! Around 2:00 this afternoon Leah Wald contacted me to ask if I wanted to be on the Hyperwave Podcast at 4:00 and asked me to prepare roughly half a dozen hyperwaves to discuss.
I was tremendously excited immediately accepted. Then I got quite anxious because this was the first time I have done something like that and I had very little time to prepare! When feeling that way I focus on getting into the moment, so I quickly decided to do some meditating, hit up the gym / steam room and eat some lunch before putting together a few charts to discuss.
I pride myself in thorough preparation and having less than 1 hour to put charts together made me feel very uncomfortable. However I think I pulled it off pretty well! Don’t think I can share a link so if you are interested go to the Hyperwave channel on Youtube and check out the episode titled: Sawcruhteez and Several Hyperwaves
Head is still spinning from that experience. As far as I can tell I am only the fourth guest they have had on the show. Following the likes of Tone Vays, Saifedean Ammous and Ugly Old Goat made me feel extremely honored! If you enjoy the show then be sure to let them know and they might have me on again!
Back to the charts…
Things have been starting to look more and more bullish over the last 24 hours. The chart posted today is the 4h and that is very interesting to me. Price is consolidating into a bull flag, above the 200 EMA while it postures for a golden cross with the 50 EMA. If that happens it will be the first such Golden Cross since September of 2018. That is the type of indicator that tells me we should be in for a large rally (dead cat).
ETH:USD is in a very similar posture but has already gotten the golden cross. This is coming after it appears to have broken through a 7 month bear channel / trend.
I added to my ETH long as soon as that golden cross happened and I am expecting it to lead the market into the next big move. XRP is also ripe to pop and either of those large cap coins could absolutely lead a charge that brings BTC back to the $5,200 - $5,800 area. On the other hand if we do not get a strong bounce from here then look out below!
TY1!: Bullish flag patternApologies if I have been focusing too much on the bigger macro picture but I am too busy with some projects to do individual stock screening. Nevertheless, if you have been following my posts, you would know I am of the view that we are in the midst of a major inflection point (check out the Preponderance of Evidence series and DM me for full written report if interested) so it is more important to get the big picture right.
Essentially, the TY1! has:-
#1 bounced off a key long-term support from 1999,
#2 had a golden cross (50-dma vs. 200-dma or 100-dma vs. 200-dma)
#3 been consolidating in a bullish flag which happens to be a continuation pattern.
I am using a version of Daryl Guppy Multiple Moving Averages ('MMA') to complement the bullish continuation flag pattern; The MMA utilizes 2 group of moving averages, 1 fast, 1 slow, to track trend changes as well as trend strength. In the TY1! case, the MMA long-term moving averages are not showing any signs of compression which suggest the up trend is intact.
Indicative ABCD upside potential is for a move up to $126.20.
Dash sees bullish surge after inv h&s/4 hour golden cross comboDash has had an incredibly bullish last 2 days after triggering a 4 hr chart inverted head and shoulders pattern and following it up soon after with a golden cross on the 4hour chart as well. Now may not be the best time to go long on Dash however as it is just now seeing a slight bit of red and seeing as how it has reached well above the inverted head and shoulder breakout target, a small retracement may be due before more upside...It's best if you aren't already in a dash position here to wait and see what its next move might be....the 4hr stoch rsi is definitely at its ceiling here but on a bull run that doesn't always matter. I will be watching to se whether or not it tries to complete a cup and then retrace to create a handle and also be keeping a close eye on the 1 day chart(not shown here) to see whether or not dash can get the coveted dashbtc 1 day golden cross...the 1 day golden cross has coincided with several other alts' bull runs the past few months so this will likely also be the case for Dash as well. A definite coin to watch...only reason this idea is neutral is because it is currently due for a small retrace. Jumping in on DASH slightly after the retrace seems like a good point to get in for anyone who isn't already in.. but its also possible that it may not retrace until it is finished forming the cup on the 1 day chart. If so patience and timing is key FOMOing in erratically is never a good idea. Just my opinion though so don't mistake this as financial advice :P It is -NOT-. Thanks for reading.
Binance Coin seeing flood of technical & fundamental bullishnessIt appears that binance's upcoming decentralized exchange will be using binance coin(BNB) as it's base pair an extremely bullish fundamental development for the coin. That coupled with the technical bullishness of the 1 day bnbbtc golden cross and the recent breakout from a 1 day head and shoulders pattern has BNB mooning with ease.
MYOS Running out of JuiceAlas, she couldn't break through the upper resistance trend line this time around. I think she's run out of gas and needs a pullback to refuel. RSX shows a sharp peak and rapid decline, and DPMO shows a textbook false top > actual top > crossover. The trend remains bullish but needs to cool down and give it the opportunity to gradually build some positive momentum.
If you're long or looking at opening a long position, watch out for the bear kiss (a quick price climb where the PMO line comes back and touches the signal line); this is typical of a price momentum reversal and could very well leave you bagholding for a while.
I foresee a small pullback (maybe to 1.60 or so), and a quick bounce near upper resistance (approximately 1.90) (this would give us the bear kiss on DPMO, and likely initiate the ttm squeeze), then a sharp drop to approximately the 0.786 fib level, followed by some more consolidation in the range between 1.34-1.59. I would love to see a double bottom at 1.29, then re-establish support on the SMA200 and eventually the SMA50. So long as these two don't cross back over each other, I'll remain bullish on this ticker over the medium- to long-term.
2-for-1 Bullish SetupThe daily chart offers two long setups with indicators firing almost simultaneously. On the top left, I hid the candles to display only the EMA20 (green), SMA50 (turquoise) and the SMA200 (red). You can see the price action on the top right chart with the TTM squeeze overlay included.
We've got a good old-fashioned SMA50/200 golden cross with support from the SMA200. MACD shows momentum trending upward again; the RSX indicates a strong positive trend but not yet overbought; and volatility has bottomed out and looks ready to bounce at just the right time.
The bottom line of the keltner channel is rapidly converging on the bottom BB, and the daily candles look ready to bust out of the top of the squeeze. Also, the A and C waves are positive and in agreement.
I'm going to wait on a market or limit buy in case this ricochets off the top band one more time for another wave of consolidation; however, to make sure I don't miss the boat, I'm setting a stop order to buy at 11.25. if you want to do the same thing and play more conservatively, you could set the stop at 11.50-11.60.
Diamond bottom has triggered with a 1hr chart goldencrossAlthough here on the 4hr chart the volume does not look notable, if you zoom into the 1 hr chart you will see a big volume spike that lines up exactly with the recent 1 hr golden cross. We have not yet hit our projected breakout target of the diamond bottom pattern which makes me think we have one more small bullflag breakout upward from here to around 3850 before we form yet another lower high and continue to the downside again. So I'm technically bullish here but very very temporarily. We have found a way to have price action crawl above the 1 day 50 ma and currently that ma is overlapping one of our horizontal teal trendlines so as long as the 1 day 50ma has flipped to solidified support it is likely a double reinforced support. One more bullflag break upward to 3850 will reach the diamond bottom target and will likely head downward from there considering we appear to be repeating the previous diamond bottom fractal from a week or two back. I am watching for 1 day 50ma to hold support if it doesn't then I think we could head immediately back down. If we hold the support I think one more bullflag leg up is likely but overall I think we are still heading back down ultimately even fi we do break one more leg up so because of that I will leave this idea neutral.
Verge on the precipice of an inv h&s golden cross combo breakoutI did not mark this idea long or short....we are simply on the precipice of either a huge bullish move for verge or a massive bulltrap fakeout. if btc breaks upward then xvg will likely trigger this inverted head and shoulder breakout which would lead to a golden cross on verge on the 1 day chart which has a breakout bull target of an over 50% increase, but if bitcoin breaks down it will be both a fakeout of the inverted head and shoulder pattern and likely the golden cross as well
see the blue line directly above the inverted head and shoulder pattern? thats the 1 day 200ma and we can see it already dealt a firm rejection to the priceaction earlier so which always increases the likelihood of a fakeout..not wise to buy verge here unless you see a breakout that flips the 200ma from resistance to support and also solidifies it as support as well if that happens and you see bitcoin have a bullish breakout too then its probably wise to enter a position on verge but until then expect a fakeout. Inverted head and shoulder patterns in a bear market are usually patterns painted by the bearwhales to set the ultimate bulltrap fakeouts with *not financial advice but simply self advice that anyone else is allowed to consider* thanks for reading!
inv h&s breakout on LTC. Could lead to 1day golden cross + c&hCheers to my friend @XPCollector7 for bringing this one to my attention. We can see Litecoin is now triggering an inverted head and shoulder pattern that will, if we can maintain support above the 1 day 200ma(in blue), continue much further upwards from here...the next big line of resistance is the turquoise horizontal line here but the inverted head and shoulder breakout target has us going well above that. that same horizontal line could be a rimline for a fairly large cup and handle pattern so hopefully we do reach the full inverted head and shoulders pattern as it would likely trigger a cup and handle breakout too. We can see that if we continue this bull momentum to that range the trajectories of the 1 day 50&200mas suggest a 1 day golden cross could be well on the horizon which would lead to even more upside. Currently however the 1 day stochrsi is nearing the overextended zone which may see the price consolidating sideways a bit until it can cool off the stochrsi for more upside...however I think the stochrsi currently has enough upward room left to maintain support above the 1 day 200ma which is crucial in order to trigger all the other bullish possibilities. Of course this is all just my view on it and not financial advice but I do thank you for reading and wish you all the best of luck with whichever strategy you decide to execute.