BTC Trap & Reverse: The Power of SFPs in ActionBTC continues to chop in a tight range near its previous all-time high. While price action may appear messy at first glance, traders using a combination of structure, Fibonacci levels, and order flow tools are spotting clean opportunities — especially through Swing Failure Patterns (SFPs).
🔍 What Just Happened?
Bitcoin recently rejected from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level — a classic reaction zone. What made this move powerful was the SFP that formed at that level. Price swept above a prior high, triggering breakout buys, only to reverse. This type of move traps late longs and offers an ideal short entry.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Are One of the Best Setups
SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the highest-probability trades you can take for a few key reasons:
1️⃣ Liquidity-driven: They form where stop losses cluster — above highs or below lows — creating a magnet for price.
2️⃣ Clean invalidation: The wick high/low gives a natural stop-loss level, keeping risk tight.
3️⃣ Fast reaction: Once trapped traders are forced to exit, price often reverses sharply — giving you strong follow-through.
4️⃣ Confirmable with order flow: Using tools like Exocharts, you can see aggressive longs/shorts piling in just before the reversal. This adds conviction to the setup.
📏 Current Confluence:
Rejection from the 0.786 Fib retracement
SFP confirmed on high volume
1:1 trend-based Fib extension sits at ~$105,410
That level also lines up with the 0.666 Fib retracement
Anchored VWAP around $105K
Liquidity pool right at that zone too — a likely magnet
🎯 Trade Idea:
Short triggered at the SFP wick, stop just above it. First target: the 1:1 extension near $105.4K. Risk-reward is excellent with high probability if price continues to unwind late longs.
✅ Key Takeaway:
In ranges like this, you don’t need to guess direction — you need to react to structure. SFPs give you that edge. When paired with real-time tools like Exocharts and anchored VWAPs, these trades become sniper entries rather than coin flips.
Let the market show its hand — and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
📌 Summary:
This is how you avoid overtrading in chop: wait for key levels, watch how price reacts, and let trapped traders create the move. If BTC revisits the $105K region, it’s a major area to watch for reaction — or to take partials if you’re in a short.
The best trades come from patience + precision.
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Goldenratio
ETH.usd eyes on $2613/23: Major Resistance break may be VIOLENTETH up against two major fibs in tight confluence.
Break should result in a violent explosion upward.
Ether's last chance to prove its not a "has been".
$ 2613-2623 is the exact zone of concern.
$ 2463.42 is first support but probably spent
$ 2125-2133 is the strongest support below.
Rejection here could be disastrous.
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Previous Plot that caught the last TOP
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TSLA eyes on $350: not just a round number bot also Genesis fib TSLA has been butting up against $350 for a reason.
The round number is further reinforced by fibs.
Look for Break-n-Retest or Dip-to-Fib for entry.
$349.99 happens to be a Genesis fib (minor ratio)
$340.59 is a Golden Covid fib, another strong one.
$331.57 is a semi-major Genesis fib for support.
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Previous Trade Calls below
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$205 bottom call
Trump Pump dip buys
$294 Dunk then Break
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NVDA roadmap of Support / Resistance levels going into Earnings
NVDA earnings soon that the entire world will be watching.
Plotted are key levels mapped by its Genesis and Covid fibs.
Look for the move to stop and rebound at one of these zones.
$ 140.35-141.09 is the first resistance above.
$ 148.64-150.04 is the All Time High resistance.
$ 122.25 is a Golden Covid fib for bulls to hold.
$ 111.63-113.56 is pretty much Bulls' Last Stand
See "Related Publications" links to the right ----------->>>>
for previous plots that played out EXACTLY.
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QBTS eyes on $17.86: Golden Genesis fib a "lower high" of top?QBTS and all quantums have been on the rampage.
This one is currently testing a Golden Genesis fib.
Rejection here could mark a "lower high" of the top.
Break-and-Retest would start the next leg of uptrend.
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Previous Analysis that caught the Break Out:
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SPX500 watch 5900 then 6103: Double Golden zone Was/Will be TOP?SPX500 with a ferocious recovery after tariff relief.
About to test a most important zone of its lifetime.
Double Golden zone of a Genesis plus a Covid pair.
Such a tight confluence of two major Goldens is rare.
It warned us of a top BEFORE Trump even won (click).
The retest could form a "Wave B" or "Bull Trap" lower high.
It is PROBABLE that we "Orbit" these high gravity objects for a while.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we "Blast" by them but have to retest soon after.
It is POSSIBLE that "wave B" ends here and we drop deep for "wave C".
I am personally a bull, but we should be PREPARED for a BULL TRAP.
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Previous Plots below
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5901 TOP warning:
5668 Tariff warning:
5100 Tariff Relief Entry:
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TER watch $82.18/51: Significant Resistance to make Dip or BreakTER trying to break out of the range bound action.
Currently testing significant resistance $82.18-82.50
Look for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest for long entry.
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Previous Analysis that caught the local bottom:
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XAU.usd heads up at $3322: Serious Resistance may End our BouncePart of my ongoing analysis of Gold (see links below).
We got a perfect ABC dip and now an ABC bounce.
But the bounce could end at Genesis fib of $3322.95
If rejected, plan dip to Golden Covid fib at $3,222.15
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Previous Trade Ideas below (click)
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$2964 Dip to ATH trade call:
First Dip wave to 3322 projected :
Secondary Dip to $3100 hit PERFECTLY:
Hit the LIKE to encourage more Precision charts like these
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CDNS watch $325.10: Golden Genesis Fib ceiling for over 2 yearsCDNS has topped here many times over the last 2 years.
Golden Genesis fibs are massive landmarks for any asset.
This one has marked THE TOP for over 2 years thus far.
It is PROBABLE that we "Orbit" this a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we reject for another top.
It is PLAUSIBLE to Break and run to new ATH.
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TEM eyes on $58: Double Golden fibs and obviously STRONG zone TEM has fallen to a Double Golden fib zone.
$58.10 is a Golden ratio of Top down wave.
$58.38 is a Golden Genesis fib (bottom up).
Key level here and a Do-or-Die for bulls.
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Previous Analysis that caught a bottom nicely
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CRWV eyes on $96.08: Golden Genesis fib Ends 60% trade now DIP? Our last plot (see below) gave a nice 66% gain.
Now looking for a decent dip to re-enter longs.
Each fib below is of interest, especially Goldens.
Previous trade that just closed with 66% gains
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OKLO eyes on $30.95: Golden Genesis fib that might cause a Dip OKLO getting a lift along with the nuclear sector.
We have just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $30.95.
Look for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest for entry.
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Previous Analysis that called last years TOP:
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URNM eyes on $36.07: Golden Genesis to Mark Bottom or End BounceURNM trying to recover from a strong downtrend.
Currently testing a Golden Genesis fib at $36.07
Look for a Break-and-Retest to mark the Bottom.
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Last Plot that called the TOP:
Also a Golden Genesis that marked the top.
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