Goldenratio
BTC!! breaking out of Wedge before completing the Golden Wave!Happy easter Monday to erbody in Aus!
instead of eggs I’ve been hunting the golden ratio.
As we can see here we have a nice Fibbonaci trend matching a 5 wave elliot with a WXY correction wave. In the Fibonacci B section I’ve shown the 3,3,3 pattern for you of a WXY correction, but it gets a little small in the d section to map out so you’ll have to trust me.
If the waves continue to line up with the Fibonacci date sequence we should see another low on May 5th. However, given the descending wedge building pressure at the end the cycle is going to break up or down. The consensus seems to be down, but I’m not so bearish.
Two signals showing reason to go long:
1) in Fib e, waves 2 and 4 close on or above the green trend line, being the average of the 10 close points it acts like a support and resistance for shifting trends.
2) the 3rd correction wave of the series closes above the x trend line.
I feel like BTC is our hero, hanging off the edge, And no matter how many times his fingers are trampled on, he doesn't let go. One hand slips, 4 fingers left, now 3, now 2? But we know our protagonist will be saved somehow!
*Disclaimer: don't take trading advice from anyone built on a narrative.*
Good luck and count those bull pins!
BTC!! breaking out of Wedge before completing the Golden Wave!Happy easter Monday to erbody in Aus!
instead of eggs I’ve been hunting the golden ratio.
As we can see here we have a nice Fibbonaci trend matching a 5 wave elliot with a WXY correction wave. In the Fibonacci B section I’ve shown the 3,3,3 pattern for you of a WXY correction, but it gets a little small in the d section to map out so you’ll have to trust me.
If the waves continue to line up with the Fibonacci date sequence we should see another low on May 5th. However, given the descending wedge building pressure at the end the cycle is going to break up or down. The consensus seems to be down, but I’m not so bearish.
Two signals showing reason to go long:
1) in Fib e, waves 2 and 4 close on or above the green trend line, being the average of the 10 close points it acts like a support and resistance for shifting trends.
2) the 3rd correction wave of the series closes above the x trend line.
I feel like BTC is our hero, hanging off the edge, And no matter how many times his fingers are trampled on, he doesn't let go. One hand slips, 4 fingers left, now 3, now 2? But we know our protagonist will be saved somehow!
*Disclaimer: don't take trading advice from anyone built on a narrative.*
Good luck and count those bull pins!
GBPJPY (Bullish Cypher Pattern) -4h ChartConfirmations for Cypher Pattern:
- A to B must touch 0.382 but cannot exceed 0.618
- B to C must touch 1.272 but cannot close below 1.414 (Trend-Based Fib Extension)
- C to D must touch 0.786 of X to C
- First TP at 0.618 of D to C (Fibonacci)
- Second TP at 0.382 of D to C (Fibonacci)
Look how X to B distance is 0.384 (around 0.382!)
A to C distance is 1.271 (around 1.272!)
X to D distance is 0.834 (around 0.786 - 0.886!)
B to D distance is 1.618 (exactly at 1.618!)
AUDUSD (Sell Breakout) -4h ChartI measured bearish impulse by placing 0.236 right below ABCs and we can see how price retraced around 0.618, at this point I expect to sell the breakout all the way to previous support where -0.27 is, with Trend-Based Fib Extension I confirmed area with 1.618 around -0.27.
MACD has a strong resistance at top, which confirms bearish impulse.
Good Trading. -4h Chart
EASY Daily TREND BUY OFF 61.8 GOLDEN RATIOwe have many reasons to enter an easy buy off gold, WE HAVE A HEAD AND SHOULDERS on a 4H, We have a trendline touch on the daily and off the daily we can come to the senses of the 61.8 touch and a engulfing candle on the daily meaning we still in a bullish trend and on that note we have a daily touch on the golden ratio which is the 61.8 which means we have a high probability of going to previous resistance and past that i say its a safe buy for the next day or two! happy trading
USDWTI (Oil)First we got a pretty good resistance with a double top, which means we have a possible 2618 trade:
- double top
- measure impulse
- wait for retracement at 0.618
Double top + 0.618 = 2618 technique
I measured bearish impulse so I could confirm areas with some Support & Resistance and we can see how each pattern or consolidation was formed around those areas, even fibonacci retracements respect those areas.
Also used some Support & Resistance on MACD to confirm divergence.
BAT PATTERN
-Left Leg
At first there's an ABCs formation right at where bearish Bat Pattern began, we can see how it went bearish forming an Elliott Impulse with 5 clear points and each consolidation that was formed respected fibonacci retracements.
-Right Leg
After an Elliott Impulse there's always some type of consolidation, which is exactly what we got with that double floor at the bottom, right after that retest it formed a pullback that I measured with Trend-Based Fib Extension, we can se how 1.618 - 1.414 area is exactly around bearish area.
We got 0.886 -0.786 area from Bat Pattern, 1.618 - 1.414 area from Trend-Based Fib Extension and 0.618 from 2618 technique all at the same area!!!
Good Trading. -1h Chart
Daily SAFE SELL! ABCD PATTERN OFF 61.8 BEAR PATTERNWe have on a daily time frame a sell order that will complete im sure to the 1.27 i usually like to reciprocate the 61.8 to the 1.618 how ever we still are in a bullish trend which will make the trend line and support area a hard area to break and i will expect it to retrace back into bullish before we can break into the 1.618 area which may take some time but i have no doubt that we will eventually get there but we did break previous low which gives us the short term sell for the next couple days, Its a safe SELL!
(FINALLY) A Live BTCUSD chart minus the auxillary indicators!I finally spat the dummy and just created a new chart layout without all the additional indicators displayed below the candlesticks.
Now we have some clarity at last!
If anyone has any idea how to publish an idea with displaying all indicators, please let me know!
As we can see from channels, yesterday we broke below the upwards channel drawn between Wave 4 and Wave 5 on a 'cycle' EW timeframe.
This wasn't maintained for long before a bounce back. I spent ~2/3 of my fiat account on various crypto's at this point - prepared for the price to not reach this low again, but also prepared to have some remaining funds for a further potential drop.
We are nearing the end of an ABC correction no doubts about it. What remains to be seen is if we are now beginning Wave 5 in a EW supercycle, or if this rally is temporary - a 'primary' Wave B within a 'cycle' Wave C, with a final (primary and cycle) Wave C drop yet to come, which would complete the correction before the supercycle Wave 5 begins.
In any case, my projection for bitcoin is $33,000 USD by March 2018. However, at this stage, this figure is a guestimate at best. I am constantly modifying my analyzes to account for the most recently available data.
The red box drawn still accounts for all my predictions and speculations on BTCUSD since 29th December 2017. I still believe we will see price move to within this box, but most likely not lower than $11,000 USD - price is unlikely to move within the lower half of the red box.
That being said, a foreseen future event often becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy - making it occur earlier than anticipated. We may well see this at play in the near future.
Clearer Bitcoin corrections and projectionsI've removed several tools I use to make this graph clear.
I've included my minimum target of 2.618 extension between wave 3 and 4 of the supercycle for the next high before we see a more minor correction.
This time-projection is derived from trend-based fibonacci time extensions, and fibonacci extensions.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: 13th JanuaryThis graph has been modified to reflect more accurately the ending diagonal pattern.
It also includes a comprehensive elliott wave count, up to the supercycle.
We are in Wave 4 of a supercycle, so can expect this correction to last a while longer yet - even if it does not retrace more deeply, to satisfy the EW principle of symmetry in time & price we would then expect a flat price for an extended time.
EURUSD Bearish setup against 1.1940 Technically I see the EurUsd unfolding a Triangle Wave 4 corrective pattern that is languishing in nature. The three way pattern we're are counting is expectedly in the wave (c) of a-b-c zig zag Wave C pattern down.
on the 30mins-1hr chart the five wave fall from 1.1961 we believe is corrected by an irregular flat (inblueonchart) that retraces from 1.1817 to 1.19408
The minimum target would be the A=C target of 1.1796 level.
The Next Target would be the A*1.382=C target at 1.1762
The Next Target would be the A*1.618=C target at 1.1707
Below this 1.1664 is of major interest because it was be the larger degree triangle C = (A*61.8%) Level.
We expect EURUSD to stay below 1.1940 and certainly 1.1961 and open Sunday dropping.
OMGUSD reversalForgot to press publish by a bit, so optimal entries are sadly fortfeit.
OmiseGo stalled previously and established a lower low in conjunction with BTC. Later a HL was established, which created a new trendline with pre breakout resistance and the previous low.
I have strong confidence in this new low for two reasons, which i will now detail.
4RSI has balanced out at a good 52, upholding the bull trend and giving lots of room to the upside.
Secondly, i have noted just since yesterday that some asian alts (namely IOTA, OMG, ANS and WAVES to some degree) react less to BTC dumping. I suspect this is due to BCH acting as a hedge, and an alternate foundation for the alt ecosystem.
When BTC pulls back these ALTS hold very well or even go up in their BTC pair.
Entry: ~2.65
SL: Trailing the pennant support line, Currently 2.6
TP 1: 3.16 (30%)
TP 2: 3.88 (30%)
TP 3: 4.4 (40%)
If signs of a bear break occur to me, i will share them in the Idea.
Thanks for viewing, and Happy trading!
NZD/USD - Bullish 5-0 + GOLDEN RATIO X3Hello traders!
I am SUPER excited about this set up. I have been keeping an eye on this since markets opened this week.
We are looking at a bullish 5-0 on the 4H chart with NZD/USD.
Given the Fibonacci measurements at C point, it has been measured to the GOLDEN RATIO not only once...not twice...but THREE TIMES!
I usually never trade this pattern down unless the first 4 measurements of a 5-0 match a shark pattern, but you cant ignore confirmation like this.
I'll be trading this pattern down until it hit D point (0.7010), closing profit and following it up with a long position back up to (0.7200).
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
Volkswagen - uptrendAfter the breakout of the price through the descending trendline, price moved constantly up and bounced back on the upper line of the ascending trend channel.
Two days ago, the price just responded to lower trendline of the channel and is probably going to continue this bullish movement, heading for the upper trendline where it is likely to reverse its direction again.
AUD/USD - Bullish 5-0 + GOLDEN RATIO X2 + ResistanceHere we have a bullish 5-0 on the 4H chart with the AUD/USD.
After the big jump to C point, we can look to watch price retrace from the resistance zone and make its way down to D point.
For even further confirmation, we are seeing the Golden Ratio 1.618 appear twice at B and C point.
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50