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Goldenratio

ETH — Bull Flag or Trap? Trade Plan with TargetsETH is setting the stage for its next major move — and the chart is packed with clues. After completing Wave 3 at $2738.50, ETH has entered a corrective phase, forming what looks like a bullish flag. But beneath the surface, smart money levels are aligning: VWAP, Fibs, key levels, and liquidity traps are all converging around one high-probability zone. This analysis breaks down both the long and short setups, backed by real confluence and clean R:R opportunities. Whether you’re planning to snipe the reversal near support or fade the rally at resistance, you’ll walk away with a clear trade plan and deeper insight into how price reacts at precision levels. Let’s get into it. 🟢 Bullish Scenario: Long Setup with Deep Confluence After a fakeout pump into the golden pocket of this minor downtrend (typical for a Sunday), ETH rejected cleanly at the upper resistance of the bull flag channel. We're now watching for the swing low at $2406.63 to be swept, setting up a potential SFP (Swing Failure Pattern) at a highly confluent support zone: 🔍 Confluence at the $2390–$2360 Zone: Anchored VWAP from the Wave 3 origin at $1752 is sitting at $2390 Trend-Based Fib Extension 1:1 of the correction lands at $2386.84 Liquidity pool just under the recent swing low 0.382 Fib retracement of the entire Wave 3 at $2361.66 0.618 Fib Speed Resistance Fan intersects this zone Lower bull flag support line also aligns This makes the $2390–$2362 zone a high-probability bounce area. 📌 Plan: Laddered long entries between $2390–$2362, watching closely for a clean SFP or reversal signal. Target 1: $3000 psychological level Target 2: 0.618 Fib retracement at $3067.71 (potential Wave 5 top) Stop-loss: Below previous yearly open (can be tightened after confirmation) R:R: 1:5 or better after SL adjustment 🔴 Bearish Scenario: Short Setup at Key Rejection Zone If ETH makes a move up to complete the 5th wave, we monitor $3067.71 — the 0.618 retracement of the entire corrective leg — as a key resistance. If price rejects here with momentum loss or bearish structure: 📌 Plan: Short on confirmed rejection of $3067.71 Stop-loss: Above $3211 (above 0.666 Fib) Target: Previous high near $2700 or lower R:R: 1:2 or better depending on entry and structure 🧠 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Increases Probability Many traders chase setups based on single indicators. Real edge comes from stacking independent tools: VWAPs, Fibs, FVGs etc... When they align, the setup isn’t random — it’s high conviction. This strategy gives you a framework to anticipate where price is likely to move and why, rather than reacting emotionally. Patience and preparation will always outperform panic and reaction. Trade the plan — not the impulse. ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
20
HBAR Masterclass: Fib Precision + ConfluenceHBAR has been a dream to chart lately — beautifully technical, clean reactions, and a strong respect for structure. When a chart follows fibs this precisely, charting becomes fun — like solving a puzzle that pays. You stop forcing trades and start enjoying the process. Let’s break down where the next high-probability trade setup lies — and why. Elliott Wave Context HBAR recently completed a 5-wave impulse structure and is now unfolding a ABC correction: ✅ Wave A: Broke below Wave 4's low ✅ Wave B: Rejected cleanly at the 0.618 retracement of Wave A 🔄 Wave C: Currently unfolding, with price structure hinting at a Head & Shoulders forming to the downside Interestingly, HBAR has been bouncing between golden ratios like a Fibonacci pinball machine. — reinforcing how well this asset respects technical structure. 🟢 Long Opportunity: The Golden Pocket Zone By pulling Fibonacci retracement from the entire 5-wave leg (from $0.16941 to $0.22885), we uncover the golden pocket: 0.618 Fib → $0.19212 0.666 Fib → $0.18926 But what really strengthens this zone is the confluence: 📍 21-Day EMA → $0.19361 📍 21-Day SMA → $0.19229 📍 Anchored VWAP from the $0.15396 low → ~$0.19135 📍 4/1 Gann Fan support (if reached between May 15–17) Together, they form a tight support band between: 🎯 $0.195 – $0.18926 📐 How We Projected the 1.618 Target Here’s where the magic of planning comes in. If Wave C finishes within this golden pocket, we can anticipate the next move by applying a trend-based Fibonacci extension. This gives us a realistic projection for the next impulsive move: 📈 1.618 extension lands at → $0.28654 This level also aligns with the yearly level and previous key high — forming an ideal final target 📘 Educational Insight: Why Golden Pockets Matter In trading, the “golden pocket” — the 0.618-0.666 Fibonacci retracement zone — is often where high-probability reversals take place. It’s a zone where buyers (or sellers) return with conviction after a correction. When this area also aligns with EMAs, anchored VWAPs, Gann levels etc. and previous structure, it becomes more than just a level — it becomes a decision zone. This is where confluence transforms a trade idea into a trade setup. 🟢 Long Trade Setup: Entry: Laddered between $0.195 – $0.18926 Stop-Loss: Below $0.185 Take-Profit: $0.28654 R:R: ~10:1 Potential Gain: ~+50% 🔴 Short Setup (If Rejected at Extension): If price hits $0.28654 and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal patterns (SFP, engulfing candle, volume spike), a short could be considered: Entry: ~$0.286 Stop-Loss: $0.2967 (better above $0.3) Target: $0.2622 R:R: ~2:1 HBAR is giving us a textbook case of structure, rhythm, and precision. Whether it’s the golden pocket, the 1.618 extension, or the alignment of multiple tools — this is how clean setups are built. Set your alerts. Trust the plan. Let the chart come to you. In trading, silence is a skill — knowing when not to act is as powerful as knowing when to strike. ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
37
XRP Correction Complete? — Long Setup Aligned with Fib & OBXRP has completed a 5-wave impulse move. As expected, XRP is now in a corrective phase, pulling back after rejecting from a key resistance — and it’s doing so with technical precision. The question now: where is the next high-probability long setup? Let’s break it down. 🧠 Market Structure & Key Zones Using Fibonacci retracement from the base of the 5-wave impulse, we now have a potential golden pocket target aligned with major confluence. 🔽 Support Zone 🔹 0.618 Fib retracement: $2.2982 🔹 Daily Bullish Order Block: $2.2949 🔹 Daily 21 EMA: $2.329 🔹 Daily 21 SMA: $2.301 🔹 Liquidity pool 🔹 0.786 Fib Speed Fan (only if price drops between May 17–18) This creates a high-confluence support cluster at ~$2.3 — a prime candidate for a long re-entry. 🟢 Long Trade Setup Entry: Ladder between $2.32 and $2.28 Stop-loss: ~$2.21 Target: $2.7175 (0.618 Fib retracement of the corrective downtrend) R:R: ~5:1 🔴 Short Setup (Conditional) Trigger: Rejection at $2.7175 Entry: ~$2.7175 Stop-loss: Above $2.8033 (0.666 Fib) → set at ~$2.811 Take Profit: ~$2.56 or lower R:R: ~2:1+ (dependent on entry confirmation and PA behaviour) Shorts only valid if a clear rejection or SFP pattern emerges. If momentum is strong, this level may break — so wait for structure to confirm. 📘 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Matters Too often, traders chase single-indicator signals. But real edge comes from confluence — when multiple tools (Fibs, MAs, Order Blocks, Liquidity, VWAPs, FVG, Speed Fans etc.) agree on the same zone. This alignment not only increases confidence in your entry, but also sharpens your risk management. Think of it as building a case — the more aligned evidence you have, the stronger your trade thesis becomes. 📌 Summary XRP is in a corrective phase after a 5-wave impulse Clean rejection from weekly resistance → continuation of bearish trend Long zone: ~$2.3 SL: ~$2.21 | TP: $2.7175 | R:R ~5:1 Optional short: $2.7175 rejection → SL $2.811 | TP $2.56 Precision isn’t about predicting — it’s about being ready when the chart speaks with clarity. Patience makes probability powerful. ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
11
BTC eyes on 111.7k then 117.9k: next two Genesis Fibs of concernShown here is a single fib series in 3 different timeframes. The Genesis Sequence has caught all major turns since 2015. If there is a "top" around here, it will be one of these fibs. $ 111,661.75 (Coinbase) is a minor ratio level $ 117,868.00 is the Semi-Major fib ratio ABOVE. $ 105,451.85 is the Semi-Major fib ratio BELOW. . ================== Previous Plots below -------------------------- $104k Top of 2024: $90k Dip call (scalp): $75k Bottom call: $69k Top of 2021: =============================================== .
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
UNH watch $288-297: Double Golden zone a serious Long Term Buy?UNH keeps getting bad news but may have bottomed. Wave may have tested Double Golden fibs successfully. Looking for some consolidation then launch of recovery. $287.91-296.92 (Gold) is the key zone of interest. $382.05-384.18 (Red) is the first long term target. $251.94-255.83 (Green) is the MUST_HOLD bottom. . Previous Analysis that caught the top EXACTLY Follow and Boost to encourage more such PRECISE charts. ================================================== .
NYSE:UNH
by EuroMotif
4