Goldenratio
TEM eyes on $58: Double Golden fibs and obviously STRONG zone TEM has fallen to a Double Golden fib zone.
$58.10 is a Golden ratio of Top down wave.
$58.38 is a Golden Genesis fib (bottom up).
Key level here and a Do-or-Die for bulls.
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Previous Analysis that caught a bottom nicely
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QBTS eyes on $17.86: Golden Genesis fib a "lower high" of top?QBTS and all quantums have been on the rampage.
This one is currently testing a Golden Genesis fib.
Rejection here could mark a "lower high" of the top.
Break-and-Retest would start the next leg of uptrend.
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Previous Analysis that caught the Break Out:
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|Trifecta| The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's Ultimate Market Journal | Trifecta |🌌The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's🌠Ultimate Market Journal🎨
*Third times a charm. This Idea will allow me to update my Journal*
Hello Fellow Travelers
It's been some time since I've posted a Fresh Idea, though I've remained actively trading.
What better way to mark my TradView return, than to start an Ultimate Market Journal.
Financial Markets have taken my deep interest again recently, especially as we seem to be at a time of accelerating change and shifting regimes.
I believe many opportunities abound to those with open, flexible and creative minds.
A bit more about myself.
I've been involved with financial markets in one form or fashion for 18 years now.
I started out like most of us, approaching the game with fundamental analysis, only to later incorporate and then fully graduate to T/A.
I'm a natural Contrarian.
My brand of technical analysis is as much about aesthetics, creative expression, discovering hidden truths and applying Universal Principles as it is running the numbers.
I'm starting this off with Ultra Bond Futures, as UB's are the trading instrument I've come to specialise in, having had the most ongoing consistent success trading.
This by no means is going to be a "I bought here and sold there" type of Journal, as that's not my style.
Nor am I going to focus on a single market instrument, observation or style of analysis.
I'd like this to become a repository of accumulated wisdom and unique market perceptives.
I've just begun contemplating what this may evolve into in time, and I invite you to join me in taking this Leap
d-MR96nBa🌌
Concept
Inversion📈📉
Seek out and analyse whatever moves exactly inverse to what you intend to trade.
If you're having trouble discerning trend or observing price patterns, check the inverse.
This can be an excellent technique for exposing Bias.
This can work particularly well for currency traders, though can be Universally applied.
For US Ultra Bonds, the inverse is the US 30 Year Yield
Ultra Bond Futures
US 30 Year Yield
TLT
TBT
SPY
SH
QQQ
PSQ
Currency traders, say you're about to trade AUD/CHF
Check out the CHF/AUD chart first, if they both appear Bullish or Bearish, you've got a Bias.
AUD/CHF
CHF/AUD
GBP/JPY
JPY/GBP
EUR/USD
USD/EUR
Are there any examples of Inversion in Trading you'd like to share ?
What else is on my🧠
Well just casually, I believe we're currently witnessing Peak Bitcoin in it's Entire Life-cycle.
This is coming from a guy who previously recommend people buy BTC for retirement
Have we Bull Trapped & Breakaway Gapped on Berkshire Hathaway
Could Warrens Retirement mark the end of the Great US Bull Market
BRK.B
It's in the Detail
🔑
CRM watch $236.70-239.08: Resistance flip to support for bottomCRM looking weak along with the tech sector.
Watching a key support zone at $236.70-239.08
Look for Break-n-Retest or consolidation above.
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Previous Plots below:
Topping Call after Tariff Relief pump:
Bottom Call at $212:
Profit Taking levels after bottom pump
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BTC eyes on 104/105k: Near term retrace target that MUST hold Follow up to my bigger picture idea below.
We are retracing from the Genesis fib at 111.7k
It looks like to retest support below at 104/105k
Bulls MUST hold support or "top" will be the word.
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BTC Big Picture that said WATCH OUT at 111.7k:
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NVDA roadmap of Support / Resistance levels going into Earnings
NVDA earnings soon that the entire world will be watching.
Plotted are key levels mapped by its Genesis and Covid fibs.
Look for the move to stop and rebound at one of these zones.
$ 140.35-141.09 is the first resistance above.
$ 148.64-150.04 is the All Time High resistance.
$ 122.25 is a Golden Covid fib for bulls to hold.
$ 111.63-113.56 is pretty much Bulls' Last Stand
See "Related Publications" links to the right ----------->>>>
for previous plots that played out EXACTLY.
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OSK eyes on $88.82-89.24: Key Resistance to Tariff Relief bounceOSK bounced into a key resistance after Tariff pivot.
Mostly US based company so almost immune to tariffs.
Currently testing first fib support so maybe ready to go.
$ 88.82-89.24 is the exact resistance zone of interest.
$ 86.66 is first (minor) fib support for bulls to hold.
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ETH.usd eyes on $2613/23: Major Resistance break may be VIOLENTETH up against two major fibs in tight confluence.
Break should result in a violent explosion upward.
Ether's last chance to prove its not a "has been".
$ 2613-2623 is the exact zone of concern.
$ 2463.42 is first support but probably spent
$ 2125-2133 is the strongest support below.
Rejection here could be disastrous.
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Previous Plot that caught the last TOP
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BTC Trap & Reverse: The Power of SFPs in ActionBTC continues to chop in a tight range near its previous all-time high. While price action may appear messy at first glance, traders using a combination of structure, Fibonacci levels, and order flow tools are spotting clean opportunities — especially through Swing Failure Patterns (SFPs).
🔍 What Just Happened?
Bitcoin recently rejected from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level — a classic reaction zone. What made this move powerful was the SFP that formed at that level. Price swept above a prior high, triggering breakout buys, only to reverse. This type of move traps late longs and offers an ideal short entry.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Are One of the Best Setups
SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the highest-probability trades you can take for a few key reasons:
1️⃣ Liquidity-driven: They form where stop losses cluster — above highs or below lows — creating a magnet for price.
2️⃣ Clean invalidation: The wick high/low gives a natural stop-loss level, keeping risk tight.
3️⃣ Fast reaction: Once trapped traders are forced to exit, price often reverses sharply — giving you strong follow-through.
4️⃣ Confirmable with order flow: Using tools like Exocharts, you can see aggressive longs/shorts piling in just before the reversal. This adds conviction to the setup.
📏 Current Confluence:
Rejection from the 0.786 Fib retracement
SFP confirmed on high volume
1:1 trend-based Fib extension sits at ~$105,410
That level also lines up with the 0.666 Fib retracement
Anchored VWAP around $105K
Liquidity pool right at that zone too — a likely magnet
🎯 Trade Idea:
Short triggered at the SFP wick, stop just above it. First target: the 1:1 extension near $105.4K. Risk-reward is excellent with high probability if price continues to unwind late longs.
✅ Key Takeaway:
In ranges like this, you don’t need to guess direction — you need to react to structure. SFPs give you that edge. When paired with real-time tools like Exocharts and anchored VWAPs, these trades become sniper entries rather than coin flips.
Let the market show its hand — and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
📌 Summary:
This is how you avoid overtrading in chop: wait for key levels, watch how price reacts, and let trapped traders create the move. If BTC revisits the $105K region, it’s a major area to watch for reaction — or to take partials if you’re in a short.
The best trades come from patience + precision.
_________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
SPX500 watch 5900 then 6103: Double Golden zone Was/Will be TOP?SPX500 with a ferocious recovery after tariff relief.
About to test a most important zone of its lifetime.
Double Golden zone of a Genesis plus a Covid pair.
Such a tight confluence of two major Goldens is rare.
It warned us of a top BEFORE Trump even won (click).
The retest could form a "Wave B" or "Bull Trap" lower high.
It is PROBABLE that we "Orbit" these high gravity objects for a while.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we "Blast" by them but have to retest soon after.
It is POSSIBLE that "wave B" ends here and we drop deep for "wave C".
I am personally a bull, but we should be PREPARED for a BULL TRAP.
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Previous Plots below
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5901 TOP warning:
5668 Tariff warning:
5100 Tariff Relief Entry:
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TER watch $82.18/51: Significant Resistance to make Dip or BreakTER trying to break out of the range bound action.
Currently testing significant resistance $82.18-82.50
Look for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest for long entry.
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Previous Analysis that caught the local bottom:
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XAU.usd heads up at $3322: Serious Resistance may End our BouncePart of my ongoing analysis of Gold (see links below).
We got a perfect ABC dip and now an ABC bounce.
But the bounce could end at Genesis fib of $3322.95
If rejected, plan dip to Golden Covid fib at $3,222.15
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Previous Trade Ideas below (click)
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$2964 Dip to ATH trade call:
First Dip wave to 3322 projected :
Secondary Dip to $3100 hit PERFECTLY:
Hit the LIKE to encourage more Precision charts like these
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