BTC headed to 59.3k for "Bullish Retrace"? or 57.7k not so bullPart of my ongoing analysis, see links below.
We may have bottomed at 57k with a strong bounce.
But we are now retracing and hopefully almost done.
EW theory shows a 5-wave bounce with 3 wave retrace.
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Previous plots that lead us here (click the links):
- 73k Top Call no one expected
- Retrace Roadmap of Support zones
- 52.8k imagined but not believed
- Impulse Redux confirms the targets
- Fine tuned plot calls 56,8k bottom
Goldenratio
Gold big picture: 2400 was "a" top? One more push to 2700 ?We appear to be in an Elliott "Wave 5".
Wave 5's in commodities tend to extend.
Likely a pullback first then next/last leg?
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Here is a Near-Term plot of possible retrace to $2307
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SPX500 headed to 4900 after a bounce? Retrace Road Map per FibsFollow-up to my previous 5137 Top Call (click).
Markets appear to be retracing finally.
This could be just the start of correction.
Minimum next leg depicted goes to 4900-ish.
$ 5109-5137 is major resistance that may be retested.
$ 5044-5049 a minor support that will hopefully bounce.
$ 4896-4924 is next major support and BEST GUESS target.
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MCD eyes on $269: MickeyDee's needs to bounce hereMCD has been retracing from $300.
Now at a major support around 269.
Strongest support above the 250 area.
$ 268.98 - 269.67 is the exact zone of interest.
$ 250.05 - 251.41 is the next strong support below.
$ 273.05 - 274.41 is the immediate resistance above.
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Gold near term: eyes on 233x then 2307 for uptrend supportsCurrently at a support going into weekly open.
Last wave has been retraced to its Impulse Core.
If any energy left in this wave, it should be here.
Otherwise, next support is a MAJOR fib at $2307.19.
If that fib breaks, then bulls will be done for a while.
If risk-off remains the sentiment, look for $2700 next.
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SMH heads up at $209.43: Golden Genesis fib may Break-n-RetestSMH just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $209.43.
That fib is reinforced by a Covid Stimulus fib.
This is a major landmark in this ETF's history.
$ 209.43 - 212.89 is the immediate resistance.
$ 236.36 - 238.96 is the next major resistance.
$ 191.21 - 191.90 below is the first good support.
It is PROBABLE that we orbit this zone for a while.
It is POSSIBLE that we break and retest for late buy.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we get a pullback here and now.
Here is a full view of the Genesis Sequence:
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BTC Binance FUD - 20k or Bear-trap?Bitcoin has fallen over 6% in mere hours after the announcement that one of the largest crypto exchanges, Binance, is being sued by the SEC. Now seems the best time for me to put in buying orders at certain support price levels.
I see three Scenarios:
1.The news that SEC is suing Binance will have no short term aftereffect on the Bitcoin price. The price will recover quickly. This seems unlikely based on negative historical BTC events, which are usually followed by heavy panic selling and bear whale market manipulation. I expect the price to be pushed down lower than here. No Plateau continuation likely.
2. I expect the price to be pushed by the bears, towards the Golden Ratio of the Fibonacci Retracement, at which point we will see a hard support level. At this point, the FUD has been likely exhausted and the bulls are back in play. We might Plateau here for a while at 24-25k (+/-0.3k). High probability scenario.
3. We see more/new FUD, which sends the panic selling into overdrive. The Golden Ratio support does not hold. The BTC price will take a hit and I expect this will push the price down to the low 20k's (+/-0.3k). Unlikely, but possible scenario. Next support level will be at 20 - 17k.
MATIC.usd stuck between the proverbial Rock and Hard PlaceMATIC currently range bound by major fibs.
Break in either direction should pop violently.
Golden fib above is stronger than blue support.
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DOGE.usd eyes on 14.6c for support, 16.7c resistance to breakDOGE is currently floating on a substantial support.
Good chance for bulls to paint a third "higher low".
Need to break two serious resistances to call bottom.
$ 0.14432 - 0.14637 is the immediate support to hold.
$ 0.15777 - 0.15779 is the first strong resistance above.
$ 0.16612 - 0.16703 is KEY zone to break and mark bottom.
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RATS,usd Heads Up at 17.75k then 20k round: pullback to enter?Strong leg up but nearing a proven fib resistance.
2.236 is minor ratio but this one is recently proven.
2.618 above will be much tougher, marking 20k round.
Looking for break and retest or pullback to lower fib.
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PEPE.usd eyes on 55.182k Golden fib for Retest entryMeme coins peaked and correcting.
PEPE has been a fib compliant champ.
Look for pullback now or from next fib.
Breakout was best entry but we missed it.
All the Pings (exact ricochets) confirm fibs.
So we can expect a reaction at each level.
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META eyes on $489.06: Golden fib, Double Top? or Pop to 564 ?META is pounding on a Golden Genesis fib at 489.06.
Notice the bottom EXACTLY on a Golden fib at 87.47.
Also see the peak at 198.47 and orbit around 309.57.
It is PROBABLE that we orbit this fib a few times.
It is POSSIBLE we have topped, at least temporarily.
It is PLAUSIBLE that it breaks and pops to the next fib.
Here is a full view and explantion of the Genesis Sequence:
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SPX500 heads up at 5100: major fib cluster with 5137 the keySPX500 has just hit a massive resistance zone.
Cluster includes Genesis, Covid, and other fibs.
Expecting a reaction here, perhaps a local top?
5109 - 5166 is the exact zone of interest.
4896 - 4901 is the first good support below.
5429 - 5493 is next major resistance above.
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ZRX.usd Correction done? ABC wave looks completeThis is a follow up to my $1.375 Top Call (click).
Retrace has painted a nice ABC corrective wave.
The ratios and fib action suggest retrace is done.
At the very least, we should get a decent bounce.
$ 0.6033 - 0.6172 is the immediate support.
$ 0.3954 - 0.4201 is the next major support.
$ 0.8983 - 0.9076 is the first major resistance.
INTC critical support at $37: need a Dead Dinosaur bounce hereIntel may now be the Dinosaur of the industry.
Just hit a major support that bulls must hold.
Expecting at least a small bounce if not bottom.
$ 36.56 - 37.03 is the critical support to hold.
$ 31.30 - 31.88 is the next strong support below.
$ 41.08 - 41.24 is the minimum bounce needed.
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BOBA.usd heads up at 1.3111: if not top, then a major landmarkQuick post to alert of BOBA at a major fib..
Golden fib at $1.3111 is a major landmark.
What happens here will offer some clues.
It is PROBABLE that we get a pullback.
It is POSSIBLE to break and retest to fly.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we have "the top".
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XBI eyes on $87.87 for support: Biotech due for a bounce?Biotech is still near its Covid lows.
This etf is about to test a key level.
Expecting a bounce here, lets see.
$ 87.87 - 88.99 is the immediate support.
$ 79.23 - 80.50 is the next strongest support.
$ 93.15 - 93.21 the first major resistance above.
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CRSP eyes on $64 for MAJOR support, Bounce Now or Break to DoomMapped are the key zones to watch.
Currently at a MAJOR support zone.
Expecting bounce, maybe the bottom.
$ 62.34-64.03 is the immediate support.
$ 42.00-44.01 is next major support below.
$ 95.23-96.40 is the major resistance above.
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