XAUUSD H1 Outlook – April 21, 2025🧭 Market Overview:
XAUUSD just printed new ATH at 3396, with price now pushing again into premium, currently testing 3392.7–3393.6 — a zone with weak high inducement. Price action is extremely vertical, with no clear pullback since 3285.
📈 H1 Structure:
Bullish CHoCH and BOS series from April 9
Trend is vertical, clean impulsive waves
No internal sign of exhaustion — yet
🧠 Context:
H1 candles show price slowing slightly around the weak high area. Smart money will look to trap late buyers above 3396 if price does not break cleanly.
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🧲 Weak High Zone 3393.6–3396.0 Current zone – may act as final inducement trap
🎯 Fibo 1.0 Extension 3405–3415 First proper extension level for late buyers’ liquidation
🚨 Fibo 1.272 Zone 3445–3455 If we spike irrationally → this zone becomes the macro reversal trap
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Micro Demand 3340–3345 Small M15 OB zone – valid for reaction scalps only
🟢 Confirmed OB Zone 3284–3288 Last valid H1 OB + FVG confluence → strong buy reentry
⚓️ Macro Demand Base 3220–3235 Institutional reaccumulation zone from previous rally
🎯 H1 Bias:
Still bullish — but close to final exhaustion levels.
📌 Look for LTF reversal signs around 3393–3405 to consider safe short entries.
