GOLD (XAUUSD) 4H Technical Analysis – Channel Breakout & Target🧠 Executive Summary:
The GOLD market has completed a key structural shift following a successful bearish trendline breakout, and is now trading within a well-formed ascending price channel. Price action has recently bounced from the channel support area, which aligns closely with a retested zone that was previously resistance. All signs now point to a potential continuation of the bullish leg—but only if the current structure holds.
This analysis outlines the technical foundation, key trading zones, price action psychology, and risk management factors that define this setup.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
🔸 1. Trendline Breakout – The Structural Shift
The bearish trendline, which previously capped multiple upside moves throughout June, has finally been broken.
The breakout was accompanied by higher volume and larger bullish candles, indicating momentum.
After the breakout, price pulled back near the trendline and respected the newly flipped support zone.
This forms a classic Breakout–Retest–Continuation pattern, one of the most reliable in trend reversal scenarios.
🔸 2. Formation of Ascending Channel – A New Bullish Structure
After the breakout, price action established a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows, confirming the birth of a new ascending channel.
The channel support (around 3,320–3,330) has been tested multiple times and held strong.
The channel resistance lies between 3,390–3,400, which is now the next short-term target if bulls maintain control.
The channel offers both trend direction and entry timing opportunities as price bounces between its boundaries.
🔸 3. Retest Zone – Buyer’s Territory
The price is currently bouncing off the mid-channel zone, where the previous downtrend resistance overlaps with current channel support.
This confluence area is where smart money often enters after institutional accumulation at the base (around 3,270).
The bullish wick rejections around this zone signal a likely continuation toward the upper channel.
📈 Price Behavior & Market Psychology
What’s happening here isn't just lines and candles—there’s a psychological story unfolding:
Fear drove the market lower, respecting the bearish trendline until late June.
Hope and buyer aggression surged once the breakout confirmed.
Now we’re in the "belief" phase, where traders await confirmation of the new trend.
Many are watching for entry confirmation at support zones, and as long as fear doesn’t return (i.e., price breaking below 3,320), the structure remains valid.
🧭 Key Technical Levels to Watch
Level Type Price Range Notes
Major Support Zone 3,270–3,285 Key buyer zone, invalidation of bullish case below this
Channel Support 3,320–3,330 Retest zone after breakout, current active level
Mid-Channel Area 3,350–3,360 Decision zone – price may build momentum here
Channel Resistance 3,390–3,400 First bullish target, potential breakout area
Breakout Target 3,420–3,440 If price breaks channel resistance with volume
🧮 Trade Setup Ideas (Educational – Not Financial Advice)
🟢 Long Setup Option 1:
Entry: Upon confirmation above 3,340–3,345 with bullish engulfing candle or breakout bar.
Stop-Loss: Below 3,320 or slightly below channel support.
Take Profit: Partial at 3,390 (channel top), full at 3,420–3,440 breakout zone.
R:R Ratio: 1:2.5+ (highly favorable)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Risk Management)
If price closes below 3,320 with momentum, expect a revisit to the 3,270–3,285 support.
This invalidates the current bullish channel structure and might bring in short-term bearish pressure.
Avoid long positions until new structure is formed.
🧠 Educational Takeaway for Traders
This analysis highlights the importance of:
Structure-based entries: Instead of chasing candles, you wait for confluence and entry triggers.
Multiple timeframe confirmation: Higher timeframes also show bullish bias, giving confidence to 4H trades.
Risk management: The current setup allows tight stop losses relative to potential reward, making it attractive.
By combining trendline breakouts, channel formations, and support/resistance flips, you significantly increase the probability of a successful trade.
📌 Final Thoughts:
Gold is giving traders a clean and structured opportunity. The market has shown strength through structure, not just random price spikes. With the ascending channel intact and price respecting support zones, there is a solid foundation for a bullish continuation toward 3,400 and beyond.
But as always, confirmation is key. Wait for price action to validate your bias, and never ignore risk management.
Goldforecast
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we saw gold reclaim the 200MA and push into the $3,352 resistance. Price remains supported above the $3,327 level, keeping the bullish structure intact for now.
As long as price holds above $3,327, bulls remain in control, and a breakout above $3,352 could open the path toward $3,364 and $3,383.
However, failure to hold above $3,327 may lead to another retest of $3,298, with deeper downside toward $3,270-$3,41 support zone if that level gives out.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400
Support:
$3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down last week’s gold price action and give you a detailed outlook for the week ahead. With gold closing around $3,260 and major macroeconomic shifts unfolding—including the Israel-Iran ceasefire talks, rising US dollar strength, and concerns over the US Q1 GDP contraction, we are at a turning point.
📉 Will weakening economic data force the Fed to pivot?
📈 Could this create a fresh bullish wave for gold?
Or will stronger job numbers and inflation data drag gold lower?
✅ What you’ll learn in this video:
✅Key fundamental drivers affecting gold (XAU/USD)
✅Important economic events to watch (Fed Chair speech, NFP, ISM)
✅My technical analysis of gold price levels to watch
✅How to read the current market sentiment like a pro
✅Strategic trading zones for bulls and bears
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Builds Bullish Momentum After $3,294.0 ReboundGold bounced from $3,294.0, forming a double bottom pattern as XAU/USD consolidates near $3,330.0. Stochastic has exited oversold territory, signaling strengthening bullish momentum.
If $3,294.0 holds as support, the uptrend may continue toward the $3,393.0 target.
XAUUSD and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD Price Forecast: Is the Pullback Over? | Weekly OutlookWill XAUUSD resume its bullish trend, or is more downside ahead?
In this video, I break down last week’s gold price movement and the current market reaction to rising geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, now with the U.S. joining the conflict. We also assess the impact of the Fed’s recent rate hold, weak retail sales, and upcoming high-impact U.S. economic events like PMI, GDP, and Core PCE.
💡 Here’s what you’ll learn:
✅What caused gold’s pullback last week
✅Why institutional traders shake out retail buyers
✅Key fundamentals driving gold right now
✅How to position yourself smartly for the upcoming trading week
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Drop to daily support?XAUUSD After testing the daily resistance market has managed to reject with a momentum to daily 20ema early today. As we can see series of lower low and lower highs, price may continue to drop to daily 20ema again as, from weekly perspective we can see that price is pushing down to potentially to weekly key level of resistance.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Bouncing back to 3450?3380.27, 3383.94 and 3386.08 three daily consecutively candlestick patter with continuted series of higher low formed the daily support. Previous daily candle just closed at support with an ATR of 1.1ATR, which is quite large in the opposite direction of the major trend while the price is trading above 10ema in the daily.
In 4h there is also 3 ATR ( overall) bearish move is spotted giving a high probability for this market to bounce back to the daily resistance to the major direction of the trend.
We have a buy position at this level and will keep you posted for more updates!
Gold Technical & Fundamental Outlook for Next WeekIn this video, I break down the recent surge in gold prices, what drove the momentum, including rising tensions between Israel and Iran, and the impact of weaker U.S. inflation data that’s pushing Fed rate cut expectations.
Gold is now sitting just below the all-time high of around $3,500. With major U.S. economic events like Retail Sales and the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision coming up, this is a key moment for us to prepare.
💥 Will we see a breakout above resistance, or is a healthy dip on the cards before the next move? I’ll walk you through the key levels, the market psychology, and how I’m planning my trades this week.
💡 Make sure to like, comment, and subscribe for more weekly gold and forex market insights.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
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#TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #FOMC #FedRateDecision
#RetailSales #SafeHaven #GoldBreakout #TradingStrategy #ForexMentor
Gold's Wild Ride: Must-Know Price Predictions for Next Week!I can write a lot of smart words but lets make it short, like and sub from you for that)
3 options that i can see:
1- dump to Gap at 3292 then bounce target PWH or higher
2 - move a bit lower till PWL and then all the way up till PWH or ATH
3 - cancel all longs, move down below , break 3250 lvl with fvg and second shift on 4h time frame and then gold will keep going lower all the way down to 3k (Low-probability)
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD 200 pip FVG drop?XAUUSD Finally started to break below to the major direction of the trend. After crossing the daily high, price started to break below upon retest of the neck line of the 4H head and shoulder.
As the market has got rejected from daily resistance we see possible drop back to daily low or even test of the strong liquidity zone on the monthly support level.
Upon price action confirmation, a sell trade is high probable
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis – From Bullish Momentum to Target🔍 Overview:
Gold has officially broken its ascending trendline, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This trendline acted as dynamic support for days, but its breakdown has opened the doors to potential downside movement. We're now in a phase where lower highs and lower lows are forming — a classic bearish signal.
📌 Key Levels & Price Zones:
🔻 Trendline Breakdown
A strong upward trendline was broken, confirming that bullish momentum has weakened. The trendline break was followed by aggressive bearish candles, signaling that sellers are gaining strength.
🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~3,322 – 3,330)
This area once acted as strong support and has now flipped to resistance. It’s a key level to watch for rejections or false breakouts. As long as the price stays below it, the bias remains bearish.
🔽 Mini Support Zone (~3,345 – 3,350)
A weak support area that could be retested. If price fails to hold above it, sellers will likely take over again.
⚠️ Minor CHoCH (~3,290)
This level marks the short-term structure shift. A breakdown here will confirm continuation to the downside. A short opportunity might present itself below this zone.
🌀 Next Reversal Zone (~3,275 – 3,280)
A potential demand area. Watch how the price reacts — this is where bulls might step in temporarily for a bounce or consolidation.
🚨 Major CHoCH (~3,265)
This is a critical support level. If it breaks, the entire bullish structure from early June is invalidated, opening the door to deeper retracement.
📈 Forecast Path:
Based on the price projection:
Expect lower highs to form.
If bearish momentum continues, we could see a breakdown below Minor CHoCH, targeting the Next Reversal Zone.
A clean break below 3,265 would signal a major trend change, confirming bearish control.
📊 Trade Ideas:
🔻 Short-Term Bearish Scenario:
Look for price to reject the SR Interchange or Mini Support zones.
Entry: After confirmation below 3,330
Targets: 3,290 → 3,275 → 3,265
SL: Above 3,350
🔼 Bullish Bounce Scenario:
If price reaches 3,275 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence), we might see a short-term reversal.
Entry: On bullish candle close from support zone
Target: Back to 3,322 or higher
📅 Upcoming Events to Watch:
There are several U.S. economic data releases coming this week (marked on the chart). These can create sharp moves in XAUUSD, so manage your risk wisely.
✅ Final Thoughts:
Gold is at a key turning point. The breakdown from the trendline is significant, and structure now favors sellers — unless bulls reclaim critical levels. Wait for confirmation before entering, and always trade with proper risk management.
📌 Follow for more clean chart breakdowns, updates, and trade setups!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.