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Goldforecast

XAU/USD | Gold has been a good journey, next month however...I will try to keep this one short.. Hi everyone, it has been some time (7 months) since I posted my first idea stating Gold's potential. Gold reached the target 2700$ last week. However, during this week or next week possibly, I am expecting a solid change in direction that will start a short-term consolidation phase. Don't get me wrong, Gold is extremely bullish on the long-term, forming this cup & handle like formation. But throughout the next month, I believe gold will fall around ~2600$, in the worst case around ~2500$. My reasoning is as follows, Looking at the Monthly Chart, Gold's bullish rally carried Gold above the approximately 10-year trend, this is expected to some extent, because Gold has a lot more buying power than it had years before and there is literally a war going on, this too puts pressure on bull side. However, one thing especially caught my attention, RSI is again over 80, which indicates Gold is overbought. In most of the cases where a stock is overbought a consolidation phase is inevitable. Looking at Gold's history, when RSI pushed these levels, in every single case, price dropped. I've added a view that shows the whole history of Gold. And I think this view also suggest sell pressure around the current price. Note that blue marked zone is an approximation because not any information from the past is present. To be able to keep track, I've added this view of the last 4 years. This view also indicates a lot of sell pressure for the short-term. I will update this view from time to time as Gold plays out. Overall, lots of indications, RSI being the most solid one, show that Gold is looking for a consolidation before moving forward with the bull rally. My only concern right now is, Is gold going to push more before consolidation starts? To be honest, It is not easy to comment on that. Least we can do is wait until a solid reversal on a hourly chart. I wouldn’t suggest shorting in situations like this without waiting for confirmation... Please do your own analysis before taking risks, Stay safe...
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kivvwi
GOLD | XAUUSD Weekly Outlook Oct 21st: Keep BUYING!This weekly forecast is for Oct. 21 - 25th. Gold is still bullish, and BUYS are still the best bet. The formation of a +FVG will support higher prices, and we may get that on Monday's close. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
XAU/USD 14 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 13 October 2024. As mentioned in my analysis dated 09 October 2024, price could print lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action, as the previous CHoCH positioning was quite distant. This is exactly how price has moved. Price is currently positioned in the premium above the 50% equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following last week's bearish iBOS, price did not target weak internal low with price printing bullish iBOS. This is in line with H4 bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Should price print bearish CHoCH we would have a confirmed internal range which will be significantly narrower than previous internal ranges. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of bearish pullback phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Systematically price should either react at discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand level to target weak internal high, however, due to significant narrowing of the internal range, coupled with the fact that price is in premium of 50% EQ of the H4 internal range, I would not be surpised if price printed a bearish iBOS. M15 Analysis:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK