Goldforecast
XAUUSD Next Possible MovePair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Double Top
Impulse Correction
Break of Structure
Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame
Divergence
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves
XAUUSD Gold Next Possible MovePair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Bullish Channel in Long Time Frame as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Long Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line
Divergence
Double Top
Impulse Correction
Rejection from Resistance Level
Break of Structure
GOLD top-down analysis, UPDATED!!Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD top-down analysis,UPDATED!!Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD top-down analysis,UPDATEDHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD ForecastBased on the information provided, the gold price has been rallying due to fears of a global banking crisis, fueled by the Credit Suisse scandal. Although the situation has calmed down for now, the trust in banks has been severely damaged.
There are two possible scenarios for gold price moving forward, with the bullish scenario represented by the blue line and the bearish scenario represented by the red line. Based on the information provided, it seems that the bullish scenario is more likely.
One of the reasons for this is that despite hitting the significant sell-off area around $2000, we have not seen a significant pullback in the gold price. This suggests that buyers are still interested in gold and are willing to buy at these higher levels. Furthermore, the damage to trust in banks may continue to support the gold price as investors seek safe-haven assets.
However, it is important to note that market conditions can change quickly, and the bearish scenario should not be discounted entirely. Traders should continue to monitor the gold price closely and look for signs of a reversal, particularly if the price starts to break below key support levels.
In conclusion, the gold price has been rallying due to fears of a global banking crisis, and there are two possible scenarios for its future movement. While the bullish scenario seems more likely based on current market conditions, traders should be prepared for potential changes and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
XAUUSD top-down analysis,UPDATEDHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold: short, target 1920
Gold fluctuated in the box today, and the volatility was significantly lower than last week and the beginning of this week.
At present, it is the digestion stage after the sharp drop. If it can rise and break through the box, there is a high probability that it can touch the resistance near 1957-1961.
However, judging from the current situation, the possibility of a breakthrough is unlikely, but the probability of falling below the 1933 support level of the box is relatively high.
Therefore, in terms of trading strategy, I think shorting gold has a higher probability of profit. If you have sufficient funds, you can set the targets at 1928, 1923, and 1915 respectively.
How should gold be traded tomorrow?
On Friday, gold rose directly by more than $70 during the US trading session, closing around $1990, from its position around $1920 earlier in the day. During the US trading period, global stock indices fell across the board, with European and American stock markets experiencing continued declines. As a result, a large amount of safe-haven funds entered the gold market, ultimately leading to gold being the only asset that rose significantly. This has become the first "black swan" event since 2023. Gold rose significantly in the first period due to a surge in safe-haven buying, starting from $1810 and closing at $1870.
The second period of the rise began this week from $1870 and rose by nearly $200, which exceeded expectations. Many people thought that it had reached its peak, but it continued to break new highs. All of this is due to the market's chain reaction caused by the European and American banking crisis.
Judging from the 4-hour chart, gold is not overbought, but the price is much higher than the moving average, indicating that it needs to be adjusted. Meanwhile, the 20-period SMA has gained upward momentum, breaking above the 100-period SMA, which also edged higher. Overall, it is recommended to be bullish on gold on Monday, but not to chase the rise. Theoretical bulls are near the 1960 support, which is expected to be difficult to reach. It is safer to short near 2000, and it may be seen that it will open flat or slightly higher on Monday. Take profit can be set around 1975.
It is not to say that if the price rises too much, it must be the highest point, and if it is bullish, it will blindly chase the rise. It's not that the deeper you fall, it must be the lowest position.There is no market that only goes up but not down, and there is no market that only goes down but not up. If you blindly grasp the top and bottom and trade without careful consideration, you will suffer heavy losses.
Trading requires flexibility to respond to changes in market direction. If the market direction changes, you need to adjust your thinking quickly. Because prices are determined by the market, not by our forecasts. What we need to do is do our trading well.
When the market reached 1930 last week, the position had passed the previous high. Many friends predicted that this was the top, so they started shorting gold. I also tried shorting around 1930, some took profits around 1918, and some stopped losses when the resistance of 1933 was broken. After the stop loss, I started to go long, and took a profit around 1948. When it rose to the previous high of 1958, I shorted it again. As a result, it directly pulled up and broke through. When the resistance level in 1960 was broken, I stopped the loss. After the stop loss, I chose to go long again, and took a profit around 1975, which shows that there is no problem with the transaction itself. What matters is how we deal with our mistakes.
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XAUUSD top-down analysis,UPDATEDHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD next possible moveGold as per previous ideas did same move as i mentioned that Gold is safe heaven asset and after the fallout of SVB bank, it will fly and it did.
Now as we have seen major breakout above 1900$ like same move happened in March 2022. this time again gold is above 1900$. I am expecting gold to brace major resistance of 1950$ this week or next week before FOMC minutes. Lets see how market reacts. best wishes
Saibi_Fx
XAUUSD top-down analysis,UPDATEDHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD BUYWelcome . gold market . In very positive condition. With the price reaching the strong resistance level 1820 and breaking the pattern. Double bottom, with the descending flag breached, there is a lot of bullish pressure from the buyers. To 1845 levels in the first stage. And level 1870 good luck. Note: If you like this analysis, please
GOLD top-down analysis, UPDATED!!Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold forecast Pre FOMC & Post predictionGold has made breakout above major resistances after Jobs data weaker than previous and expected one, upcoming weak major players will be involved so be careful. SIVB bank collapse may badly affect the markets like in 2008 Lehman Brothers. Upcoming week will be important & surprising.
Best wishes
XAUUSD Gold Next MovePair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Break of Structure
Rejection from Fibonacci Level - 78.60%
Bullish Channel in Short Time Frame
Consolidation
Elliot Waves - Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and Corrective Wave " ABC "
Divergence
Breakout the Demand Zone and Completed the Retracement
GOLD possible buy zone!Instrument : GOLD
Possible direction : Bullish
Technical Analysis : Price has broken out of the daily resistance level during NFP release with a strong momentum creating a new local uptrend. It is highly likely price will continue to rise on the upcoming week as weekly price is also bullish with strong pin bar after grabbing liquidity from the weekly support level.
Possible trade recommendation : Bullish as per chart sketch
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XAUUSD top-down analysis,UPDATEDHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.