Gold: Technical & Fundamental SHORT to $1420Gold recently held the broken support as resistance at $1475 and moved lower well. There is an indication that it could slide through the support structure immediately at $1457 and then $1445.
Both Fundamentals and Technicals show a weaker gold market.
The wicks that formed at the $1475 resistance mean that the sellers are strong and not to mention the volume on the swings lower was strong than any rally. The market has recently formed a month-long downward channel that we expect to hold and break to the downside. The bottom end of the channel and target is $1420, below that a slip through could bring gold down to $1380.
From a fundamental standpoint, the gold price is correlated inversely to the USD. The USD price movement is based on the Federal Reserves Monetary Policy.
The Fed no longer has a mega dovish stance, and just because of that in the short term we can see a stronger USD into the new year. This puts downside pressure on the gold market. Helping the bears come in on strong volume.
Goldfutures
Homerun 2020 Trade - Long $ALTAI continue to sit on the bid in $ALTA and smelling jackpot any 'day' in the Juruena gold belt. The focus with this is Brazil and those following in the Telegram will know I am very bullish on Brazil economy and BRL:
A lot of progress on all fronts, however, the thesis is threefold:
(1) ...Firstly updates coming from contracts which have been signed with a local Brazilian gold mining group, these are the guys who install plants and expectations are now by mid 2020 ALTA will be drilling 700,000 oz at a grade of 1.2 g/t. This is obviously great for revenue and will bring ALTA at least another $2m.
(2) ...On the Western part of the belt they have another project on the belt with one of the largest gold mining producers in the belt, from early reports I have access to from mapping show 4x1km in size, with an average grade of 1.5 g/t. Permits coming in H120, and drilling starts in H220.
(3) ...While the last leg to the stool is coming from another 60km project with Gold and Copper. Again mapping and surface samples show a lot of Copper with trenching in 2020. Fundraising here is the key to take this last leg into production.
For those tracking the previous idea and levels, we are sitting at the lows right on time for a next round of funding and a key volatility event at the 0.50 level. With that in mind I will adjust the exits lower to allow breathing room as we pass through the noise in this funding chapter and extend targets for the after the fact announcement;
On the Gold front the flows I have previously covered here:
Three fantastic products which has potential of a portfolio of 15m oz, smart money smells the change and is time to start pricing.
Best of luck all those tracking $ALTA and mining exposure Brazil; as usual keep the likes coming and feel free to jump in with any questions or comments on this one.
GOLD, Where to open Sell?..The price comes to the lower border of the Range Channel.
It's a huge probability that it will be hitten.
I will open the Sell position only if the H4 candle will cross the border and close under Mirror Level 1480.8.
Potential profit will be in 3...5 times bigger than risk.
Before to trade my ideas make your own analyze.
Write your comments and questions here!
No need to write it in PM.
Thanks for your support!
GOLD (Prj.Y19.P2.E1).Downtrend.There is TA and there is the Global Market.
It seems those central banks are stocking up on Gold stealthily and probably have obtain enough gold for the time being.
Who knows what their 6 months plans. Having said that, here is TA based on some key fib.levels, etc.
Downtrend heading for the Daily 200 EMA.
0.5 or 0.618 fib retracement will play a key role. Just like BTC, the golden zone, 06.18 is to be watched.
If you been watching Bitcoin, this chart looks very similar in terms of the top and its decent to the middle level where BTC burst back up (at the 0.618 level)>
Gold more Likely to be ShortMarket Makers
as we see gold has risen since a bounce off support in Aug. We see peak A sell off
a bit to make peak B which was followed by two bear candles that seemed to hit our
support from peak A making a large green candle closing above peak A. Therefore
a natural reaction to Buy thinking its a strong side to the upside.
Bullish upside was rejected and fell past the previous low.
Seeing candle D with a long top wick going above the previous low
tells us the move downward was unexpected and price was forced
upwards on Candle D to cover loses. thus bears can continue down
in a fashion that can be projected by support and resistance.
Now to determine the length and actual confirmation of
our short position we will use the 100 Range chart. To
determine which way our position will go we will use the
predetermined length of the Range Bar. seeing as how our
bar doesn't have much left to move before a new one forms
and is red. we will draw a red perpendicular bar from the
high to the predetermined length. This will give us a confident
look at what price may fall too. Now before we enter our
short forsure we must check all options including the possibility
of an upside move. Draw a perpendicular line from the bars low
to the predetermined high giving us another good price range if
our short was wrong.
-LNP Investmemts
NICE GOLD BUY OPPORTUNITYFORECASTING THAT GOLD MOVES UP FROM HERE AS WE ARE NOW AT THE BOTTOM OF THE ASCENDING PARALLEL CHANEL AND JUST OUTSIDE THE REGRESSION TREND (BUY SIGNAL). A MOVE BELOW TODAY'S LOWS MAY INVALIDATE THE THESIS. LOOKIG FOR GOLD FUTURES CONTRACT TO HIT INITIAL TARGET PRICE OF $1613
AMEX:JNUG AMEX:NUGT AMEX:GDX AMEX:GDXJ AMEX:GLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX_IDC:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUEUR TVC:GOLD NYSE:GOLD
GOLD GLD XAU - Monthly Chart - worst case scenario for bulls!I'm bullish on gold long term, so here's some high time frame analysis while Peter Schiff rattles off on Bitcoin again.
Bullish scenario - Price pumps up to 1600 and then finds support on 1575 (price has to close above 1575)
Bearish target - momentum and volume slows down bringing price to supports at 1425 and even as low as 1330. Excitement will increase at the discount and buyers will take charge again.
FAKE GOLD BARS FOUND! JP MORGAN..BUY STOCKS, SELL GOLD!After reading the fraud taking place within the GOLD market with fake GOLD bars being found with possibly thousands or maybe even millions more yet to be found, in our opinion, you are playing a very dangerous game buying GOLD now!
Read Story...JP Morgan gets hit with Fake GOLD bars...
Exclusive: Fake-branded bars slip dirty gold into world markets
www.reuters.com
TO BE ON THE SAFE SIDE, WE WOULDN'T TOUCH GOLD RIGHT NOW...NOBODY KNOWS HOW MANY FAKE GOLD BARS ARE FLOATING AROUND
THESE BARS ARE NOT ONLY FAKE, THE GOLD WITHIN THE BARS IS DIRTY GOLD, NOT PURE...THIS IS EXTREMELY ALARMING IN ITSELF!
CHINA IS PROBABLY TRYING TO TANK THE GOLD MARKET JUST LIKE THE WAY THE DIRTY COUNTRY MANIPULATES THEIR CURRENCY...AND CORRUPT DEMOCRATS, DIRTY POLITICIANS AND DUMB LIBERALS DON'T WANT TARIFFS ON CHINA..???? STUPID FOOLS...!!
IN 2012, A GUY WAS PRINTING FAKE BILLS. HE WAS PRINTING SO MANY, IF HE CONTINUED AND DIDN'T GET CAUGHT, HE COULD HAVE CRASHED THE WORLD ECONOMIES...READ..
www.businessinsider.com
THIS IS WHAT WE SEE HAPPENING NOW WITH FAKE DIRTY GOLD BEING DISCOVERED...CHINA IS FLOODING THE GOLD MARKET WITH FAKE GOLD BARS ...
JUST LETTING EVERYONE ON THIS BOARD KNOW...
BEST OF LUCK WITH YOUR TRADES!
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Gold SPRD Trust ETF. Gold XAUUSD forecast and technical analysisIf you are looking to trade Gold SPDR Trust ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) or Gold XAUUSD cash market, the long term Gold GLD forecast is bullish. Gold ETF has been rallying for the last weeks creating new strong impulses on the weekly timeframe showing more strength on the bull side.
Currently we have a weekly supply imbalance in control around $126. As supply and demand beginner traders, we should not be trading against such an imbalance in control. Last time that imbalance was tested price dropped strongly for some weeks. We should be looking of long positions. There is a strong demand imbalance created lower around $121. Trading Gold ETFs like GLD SPDR trust is no different to trading any other precious metal. All precious metal futures follow the supply and demand principles that tell us we shouldn’t be buying after a very strong rally or selling after a very strong drop. Trading is all about waiting for the right scenario before pulling the trigger blindly.
As a swing trader, you should not be looking to go long now on GLD SPDR trust or Gold XAUUSD. Watch GLD SPDR trust video analysis below for full details.
SPX DownTrend to Correction OR Crash; Oil/Gold Divergence!Looks like a crash setup. Powerful bearish divergence in oil - dropping while gold rockets. Last seen this divergence in 2000, 2008 just weeks before the crashes.
Probably not a good idea to sell puts short right now... Fool's rally going for a day or two; if we see a pinbar that would be identical confirmation pattern we saw in Aug 2008.
Rally could get as high as 26200 Dow, near 2880 SPX; or just get rejected from the down channel TL. Getting long in here is pretty risky. Scalp if you dare! GLTA!
MW Article: www.marketwatch.com
The Chart of Divergence: ei.marketwatch.com