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GOLD is Parabolic but about to break down soonXAUUSD has been trading inside a Parabolic Channel for 2 months. Such patterns technically end with a break down of the formation and pull backs to lower MA periods and Fibonacci levels. The parabolic state of Gold is evident on the overbought technicals both on the 1D and 4H time-frames (4H RSI = 72.910, MACD = 14.330, ADX = 59.897). The 4H RSI in particular shows clear exhaustion technically. At the moment the 4H MA50 is rising almost parrallel to the bottom of the Parabola. A crossing below it targets the 0.382, where the first (short-term) buyers can be found. The 0.5 Fibonacci is a strong Support candidate since it has been a Resistance level three times and Support two times and is very likely to make contact with the 4H MA200 and 1D MA50 there. If the fall is more aggressive contact with the 1D MA50 could be made on the 0.618 Fibonacci, which is the golden ratio and strong medium/ long-term buying accumulation should be witnessed. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
5
XAUUSD: 1D Golden Cross happened but important Resistance above.Gold formed today the first 1D Golden Cross since February 10th 2022, which led to the Ukraine/Russia war top. Based on the structre though (1D RSI = 67.910, MACD = 26.210, ADX = 46.359), it looks more similar to the Golden Cross of June 23rd 2021, which was also formed on a strong rally following a 240 day Bear Market. During that past Golden Cross, the market was rejected just a few days before the formation on the 0.618 Fibonacci level and turned sideways for a long period of time until the war. Both led to the 0.618 within a Channel Up. At the moment the 0.618 Fib is at 1,898 and until it breaks, we shouldn't be very optimistic about today's Golden Cross, which is otherwise a bullish pattern. If the 0.618 Fib breaks, we expect the Channel Up to target the next Fib level of 0.786 (1,974). If rejected and the price breaches below the Channel Down, the technical support is the 1D MA50 (blue) and the 0.236 Fib, which is where the 2021 pattern found the first support, is at 1,723. It is important to also mention the 1D RSI pattern during that Channel Up, which is a Channel Down, i.e. a strong Bearish Divergence. The structure is so far supported by a Higher Lows formation started on the September 23rd Low. Hence breaking below can be the first sign of a pull back. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by InvestingScope
Gold to shine in 2023?After beating Bitcoin in 2022, many investors wonder whether 2023 is the time for gold to shine. Last year, central banks accumulated 663 tonnes of physical gold in the first three quarters, making it one of the biggest buying sprees among central bankers (even with no data available for Q4 yet). Overall, the gold market experienced a relatively good year compared to the rest of the market, which saw significant declines across the board. Furthermore, the stock market's uncertainty and the prospect of a recession in 2023 helped to drive gold demand substantially higher from the preceding year (2021). As a result, we continue to be bullish on gold. However, we are worried that if the stock market starts selling again, it might put a temporary lid on the price of XAUUSD. In addition to that, large holdings by central banks give them the firepower needed to dampen price increases if necessary. Due to that, we will stay cautious and observe market developments very closely in the coming months. We will be vigilant around FOMC meetings which are planned for the following dates in 2023: January 31 - February 1 March 21 - March 22* May 2 - May 3 June 13 - June 14* July 25 - July 26 September 19 - September 20* October 31 - November 1 December 12 - December 13* (*monetary policy decision) Illustration 1.01 Interestingly, in November 2022, gold returned to the wide range that it constituted in 2021 (and stayed within for the most part of that same year). Then today, it broke above it, which is bullish. We will watch the gold’s ability to hold above the range's upper bound. If gold manages to hold above this level, it will bolster the bullish case for it. Technical analysis Daily = Neutral/Slightly bullish Weekly = Bullish Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of gold’s RSI. To further support a bullish thesis, we would like to see the RSI resume a rise and break above 70 points. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tradersweekly
20
Long Term analysis of XAUUSD, Seems to have last cycle left Long term movement of XAUUSD as its last wave cycle of seems to be start soon and we can face prices around 6K to 7K for over 10 years later!!! Not so great move but still about 5 times growth investment is not so bad, but more important thing than investing money in GOLD for about 10 years and counting its beneficial statement, It is about how economical parameters need to change over a decade in future!!! Seems its time to fasten our seat belts!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AtareumFX
4
GOLD: Rising Wedge still holdingExcellent confirmation of our short-term buy trade as, following the lower than expected U.S. CPI, Gold skyrocketed above the 4H MA50 (1,788.91) broke above the 1,808 (August 10th and Dec 5th Highs) Resistance and made a Higher High on the Rising Wedge pattern (started on November 15th) at 1,824.50. With 4H but mostly 1D technicals still bullish (RSI = 63.776, MACD = 25.400, ADX = 28.407), the price is now long-term bullish targeting the 1,860 - 1,880 zone (1,880 is the June 12th High). However, ahead of today's critical Fed Rate Decision, we have to be extra careful with our positioning. I am looking to buy again (slightly) below the 4H MA50 at 1,785 and target 1,820 intra day only. A break below 1,777 is a bearish break-out call towards the 4H MA200 (1,739.22 and rising). Beyond that, I will wait for a clear 1D MA50 test in the following days to get my long-term buy, if not and we close above 1,825 first, then I will enter a buy on the spot, which is possible if the DXY continues to sink while also the US10Y goes for a Lower Low. Those indicate a strong bullish long-term trend for Gold. Previous Gold chart:
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by InvestingScope
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION#XAUUSD According to the analysis we gave to XAUUSS earlier, GOLD went UP very fast in the previous weeks, BREAKING the TREND LINE. Due to this US10Y went down. The main reasons for that were the REPUBLICANS winning, and US CPI DATA being NEGATIVE. But since RETAIL SALES was POSITIVE the other day, GOLD was slightly SELL yesterday. It is definitely a very important indicator for the FED. Currently, MARKET RISK is being ON. Therefore, USD WEAKNESS is seen today. We have some very important NEWS coming to USD this week. Be sure to keep an eye on it. Anyway, since US10Y is going up with RETAIL SALES UP, GOLD is going down quite a bit right now. Anyway, we expect that GOLD will go up to 1875 LEVEL. Before that, GOLD may go down to the 1783 level with the FOMC UPDATE. Be careful.. gold
OANDA:XAUUSD
by benny_marshall
20 REASON FOR SELL GOLD 🤑TOP DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW🤑 biggest time frame yearly base on yearly gold is in a bull trend but current in a corrective phase 🧐Eagle eye: bull Monthly: higher low /lower low formatted bear trend current candle is a retracement candle and also filled out discounted area of monthly time frame weekly: extremely bearish in weekly now in a corrective phase and also fill out extream Imbalance area or FVG gap take a resistance here and also formed and key reversal weekly candle bear trigger event also occurred everything favour of bear right now even no volume on the weekly chart 1 Structure analysis time frame: h4 2 target time frame: h4 3 Current Move: impulse for h1 4 Entry Time Frame: h1 4.1 Entry TF Structure: bear 4.2 entry move: wait until 1752 and wait for some bearish signals 5 Support resistance base: weekly order block resistance and FVG resistance 6 FIB: trigger event Ok 7 candle Pattern: momentum Engulfing bull 8 Chart Pattern: higher low 1752, reversal start 9 Volume: no volume Compare to the whole move 10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: Range shift for sideways 11 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: Squeez break out /head-fake/walking band 3 signals 13 Sentiment ROC: weaker than USD 14 final comment: sell right now 15 : decision: sell 16 Entry: 1752 17 Stop losel: 1758 18 Take profit: 1730 19 Risk to reward Ratio:1:6 Excepted Duration: 2 days
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Optimum369
1
GOLD Minor technical correction before 1800-1820Gold has been pulling back since the Nov. 16 top, which was made below the 1D MA200 (red line) as well as the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the March High. The price is now below the 4H MA50 (blue line), which was supporting since Nov. 04. Having a Support at 1615 and a Higher Highs Resistance with teo tops, it looks as if the long term trading pattern is an Ascending Triangle. The longer the price remains below the 4H MA50, the more likely it is to extend the correction as it did in October. The technical medium/ long term Supports are the 4H MA200 (orange line) and the 1D MA50 (green line) respectively. Until the 4H MA50 breaks, those latter MA levels are more likely to get hit. If however the 1D RSI hits its Higher Lows Support first and rebounds, then it will be a stronger buy signal. Obviously the buy target is the 1787 Resistance and if the 1D MA200 breaks, then the Higher Highs Resistance, which is likely to get hit near the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TheCryptagon
gold 1hour: if you dont have open sell , put sellstop in lowmy sell still open from high ,,, if you dont have sell,you can put sell stop in low if gold go up on news near fibo 61 after pinbar come on higher time pick sell let look gold futures daily candels and AC indicator and big banks net order on gold futures COT data good luck see you in 1730 if you are in mobile always use google chrome / desktop view then you can zoom in zoom out pro trader never use mobile for trade, in mobile you cant see many detail,support,pinbar and will harm you , i never install trade app or metatrader in mobile , windows desktop is best for trade www.tradingview.com
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ramin_trader2006
1
gold 1 hour : it is in double 3angel but trend is to 1700as predict yesterday gold touch support and fibo61 then pullback now i am waiting for break trendline for pick buy and hold it 3-4 day put buystop sellstop in 3 angel possible but very very low size and with SL note :1639 is golden place for pick buy and hold 3-4 day to new high like near 1700 note: break red trend line is very important ean big +up trend will start note:AC indicator in daily chart is red now,if gold break high 1657 it will turn green = powerful +up trend signal wish you win
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ramin_trader2006
2
Gold is still an inflationary hedge asset, why?My answer is definitely a Yes! But why many say no. It is because they are looking at Gold from a very microscopic view; into its day-to-day to week-to-week movement. But if we analyse Gold from a macro perspective, we will able to appreciate Gold better, that it is still an inflationary hedge asset. And from today’s case study, we will also learn why it is time to get into Gold again at around this price. Content: • Gold is still an inflationary hedge asset, why? • When to enter into the Gold market again? For investor, you can invest into the physical Gold, Gold ETFs, funds and even those mining stocks that pay dividend. For traders, I would like to trade into Futures. COMEX E-Mini Gold Qo1! 0.25 per troy ounce = $12.50 1.00 = $50 1650 to 1750 = 100 x $50 = US$5,000 COMEX Micro Gold MGC1! COMEX Regular Gold GC1! Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Stay tuned for our next episode in this series, we will discuss more on the insight of inflation and rising interest rates. More importantly, how to use this knowledge, turning it to our advantage in these challenging times for all of us. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!
by konhow
20
GOLD broke M-neck @1678; will 1590 or 1428 be the bottom?Gold has been on a downfall since it broke the 2018 uptrendline last June 2022. It attempted to rally but was rejected 2x at 1815 & then 1730, both along the black downtrendline from 1078 April 2022 top. For last 5 weeks, it has been chopping around 1678, the neckline of a big M-pattern started from the July 2018 low of 1169 up to the ATH @2e20890c1d4645f3b11848906a7713 BEARISH BIAS: It already broke the weekly wma200 & is now supported by the monthly mma50 line. If gold fails to recover wma200 & break above 1678 neck & the downtrendline this week, then most probably the recent low at 1622 will also fail. The next 2 supports are 1590 & 1428. WATCH OUT: gold cannot recover with the dollar index DXY still continuing higher. The DXY may peak out once the FED pivots to less aggressive hikes after confirming a lower CPI data for Oct. As for now investors are still selling equities & parking into dollar. Not trading advice
COMEX:GC1!Short
by xtremerider8
Gold - Looking for signs of decouplingTo our surprise, gold has been holding up very well after the last FED decision, which we thought would weigh on the gold market and potentially drag it toward 1600 USD. In our previous ideas, we said that we were growing increasingly anxious about gold's performance in the short-term while staying bullish in the long-term. Additionally, we stated that the current and (a potential) future weakness could bring an excellent opportunity for investors to add gold to their portfolios. Despite that, we remain somewhat cautious as the gold market has been highly correlated to the stock market. Indeed, at the moment, the stock market undergoes relief after marking new lows for the year, and gold enjoys a time of comfort with it. However, we expect the selling pressure to return in the stock market and potentially drag gold lower. However, we also consider decoupling between the stock and the gold markets over time. For that reason, we will closely monitor the price action, volume, and fundamental factors driving the market. We will update our thoughts as time progresses. Illustration 1.01 We will pay close attention to the 50-day SMA as it currently acts as the critical resistance level. If the price manages to break above it, it will be bullish; however, the failure will suggest otherwise. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI and Stochastic are bullish. MACD points to the upside but stays in the bearish area. DM+ and DM- performed a bullish crossover. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is slightly bullish. Stochastic and MACD are neutral. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame gives mixed signals. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tradersweekly
9
Gold - The FED to weigh on gold priceWe have been growing increasingly anxious about gold for the past several months. Indeed, we repeatedly reiterated our worries about the prospect of people selling their gold to cover losses elsewhere (especially in the case of the selloff in the stock market). Currently, as the odds of this action continue to increase, we also continue to maintain a bearish view of gold (in the short-term and medium-term). Our beliefs are influenced by a combination of fundamental and technical factors, which will continue to weigh on XAUUSD in the foreseeable future. Accordingly, we await gold to drift lower after the FED's decision; in particular, we are looking for 1600 USD. However, we are very optimistic about gold in the long run and think the impending selloff will provide excellent opportunities for acquiring gold (for long-term investment). Therefore, we will closely monitor the market and look for potential buying opportunities. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels for it. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
19
Gold - The market's weakness weighs on goldIn our last idea, we outlaid how we grew increasingly bearish on gold in the short term while maintaining a bullish stance in the long term. We stated that our short-term view was influenced mainly by fundamental factors, which will continue to weigh on the global economy and lead to further weakness in the stock market. Furthermore, we also said that gold would likely drop toward the 1600 USD price tag in such a scenario. Since then, gold has dropped to the vicinity of 1650 USD and confirmed our bearish worries. Because of that, we still stick to the bearish short-term narrative. Accordingly, we will pay close attention to the FED meeting, which will likely impact the price of gold and the stock market. We will update our thoughts before the meeting. Illustration 1.01 The daily chart of XAUUSD shows two simple moving averages, 20-day SMA and 50-SMA, which are in a bearish position. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. The same applies to DM+ and DM-. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows XAUUSD in the downward sloping channel. The upper bound acts as the resistance, and the lower bound acts as the support. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
39
GOLD 1 hour : it break trendline and low gold break low and trendline and force me close all my buys .... now it has sell signal can go to fibo 161% 1600 area under red arrow we must pick sell after pinbar comes on 1hour or 4hour or daily chart then near 1604 after buy pinbar comes we must pick buy and hold it 20-25 day to new high AC indicator daily is red mean downtrend can start if you dont close your buys in up ,you must close or hedge them under red arrow and wait gold go down and back to up and break SMA200 1hour close sell frist then on high close buys good luck stand on very low size ,here big patient mean big profit www.tradingview.com
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ramin_trader2006