Update the latest gold price today. Today, gold prices rebounded, climbing over $48.4 to reach $2,708.8 per ounce. This rally, a gain of more than 1%, was fueled by a weaker U.S. dollar and the anticipated 0.25% rate cut announced by the Federal Reserve on Thursday.
Currently, the market is pricing in the possibility of another 25 basis-point cut in December. However, if former President Trump returns to office, future rate cuts might face hurdles. Concerns over rising prices and persistent inflation could compel the Fed to keep a restrictive monetary policy longer than desired.
This outlook poses a challenge for gold. If inflation worries prevent the Fed from lowering rates, prolonged high-interest rates would diminish gold's appeal compared to interest-bearing assets, adding downward pressure on its price.
Goldidea
Gold price analysis November 8Fundamental Analysis
After Trump took office, hopes that his policies would boost economic growth and inflation, to a greater extent, overshadowed the dovish outlook of the Federal Reserve (Fed), which helped revive demand for the US Dollar (USD). In addition, a generally positive risk tone undermined the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, falling US Treasury yields could keep US bulls from placing aggressive bets and help limit any further downside in non-yielding Gold prices. However, XAU/USD, for now, appears to have stalled its nice recovery from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support, or above the three-week low touched on Thursday, and remains on track to post a second consecutive weekly loss.
Technical Analysis
If the correction of gold fails to exceed the 2690 zone, the recovery may last until the beginning of the US session. Our target is around 2676 at this signal. Today's main port area is noted around the bottom of the 2650 correction wave. When gold breaks 2690, wait for a retest and BUY to the 2710 and 2730 zones.
Gold price analysis November 7Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) extended losses for a second straight session on Thursday. The dollar-denominated precious metal faced downward pressure from a stronger US dollar (USD) following former President Donald Trump’s victory in the US election.
Gold prices are under pressure as safe-haven flows ease amid market optimism and the “Trump trade”. The move was driven by the apparent victory of the president, while the market had previously anticipated a controversial outcome.
The US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy decision will be in focus on Thursday. Markets expect a modest 25 basis point rate cut this week. This could be supportive for Gold as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. The CME FedWatch tool shows a 98.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points in November.
Technical Analysis
After yesterday's sharp decline, Gold is being adjusted slightly higher at the beginning of today's Asian trading session. Pay attention to the 2677 port area for SELL strategies in the Asian and European sessions. The 2625 and 2603 support areas become key support levels and also become TP zones for SELL signals. The psychological port breakout zone of 2700 becomes an important resistance zone at the moment when Gold prices have some retests.
Gold's Slide: A Deep Dive into Today’s Sharp DeclineGold prices took a steep hit today, plunging below the critical $2,700/ounce mark and trading around $2,655, shedding over 800 pips from yesterday’s levels.
This sharp decline is largely driven by the strength of the U.S. dollar and the Federal Reserve's high interest rates, which have dampened gold's appeal for investors. The rising rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, nudging capital flows toward higher-yield assets.
Forecast Should the downward trend persist, gold may test lower support levels near $2,607, following a Fibonacci retracement. Investors are advised to consider short positions while closely monitoring market fluctuations in the near term.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD - Stable transactions around 2750 USDOn the 1-hour chart, gold is currently trading around 2,745 USD/ounce, testing a key resistance zone (highlighted in yellow). This level has been challenging to break, indicating that selling pressure remains strong in this area.
Key Points to Note
Resistance and Support: The current resistance at 2,748 USD is proving difficult to surpass. If gold fails to break above this level, a correction down to the support zone between 2,732 - 2,728 USD is likely.
Short- and Long-term EMAs: The EMAs indicate that the bearish trend remains in place, with selling pressure still dominant in the market.
If gold fails to break through the 2,748 USD level, we could see a drop towards the support area at 2,732 USD. However, if it manages to break past this resistance, the next target on the upside would be around 2,756 USD.
Gold Price Today: Short-Term Sell Opportunity ?Hello everyone, let’s dive into today’s gold price analysis!
I’ll be focusing on the 1-hour chart to analyze and strategize. Currently, gold is trading around the $2,733 mark, showing a gradual downward trend.
The downtrend is further confirmed as the price moves within a descending wedge, with lower highs and lower lows forming consistently. Additionally, the 34 and 89 EMAs provide strong signals favoring sellers.
In my view, a short-term sell strategy seems promising. What do you think?
Share your thoughts in the comments below!
XAUUSD GoldXAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves, " A " Corrective Waves and making its " B " Corrective Wave in a Consolidation in Short Time Frame. Strong Bullish Divergence in RSI. Need to wait until it Breaks and Retest its Extreme Point of Interest ( POI ) and Complete its Order Block
EURUSD analysis 11/1EURUSD is recovering gradually after a long period of weakness. 1.082 is considered the immediate support zone of the pair and the next support zone at 1.077 is the expected two hooks to BUY in today's nonfarm. The uptrend will be limited by the border zone of 1.095 and 1.100. Wish you a favorable trading day with my analysis.
Nonfarm Trading PlanFundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve (Fed) meets next week and announces its monetary policy decision on Thursday, November 7. The odds of a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut are 94.5%, down slightly from 95.5% last week. However, market players are still weighing whether a Republican victory in the upcoming presidential election could force the Fed to slow its easing.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to keep its interest rate target unchanged at 0.25% on Thursday and reiterated its forecast for inflation to remain near its 2% target. The announcement weighed on the Japanese Yen (JPY), supporting the US Dollar.
Asian and European stock indexes fell sharply, leading Wall Street to a second straight day of declines. Focus now shifts to the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, due out on Friday. The economy is expected to add 113,000 new jobs in October, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%.
Technical Analysis
After a sharp drop in gold prices last night in the US session, gold recovered from the 2730 area. The 2732 area is considered an important session port area when the market's momentum begins to jump into the market. The Asian breakout zone is also noted around 2744 for scalping around the European session when selling pressure returns. Currently, gold cannot break 2754, so gold will have a push to 44 and 30 before Nonfarm. According to this scenario, Nonfarm gold will continue to sweep down first and it will be difficult to push up after Nonfarm. Pay attention to the 2720 and 2710 zones when nonfarm is announced. If gold breaks to the 2754 zone, it will be pushed back to the 2761 and 2773 zones to execute the SELL plan.
Gold prices continue to rise steadilyGold prices continue to rise within the parallel channel on the 1D chart, currently trading around 2785 USD.
The precious metal has now reached its highest level in trading history; however, in terms of trend analysis, gold has approached the channel limit and may undergo a correction as it establishes a new high and tests the 34 EMA.
We will prioritize a selling strategy as long as the price channel remains intact. Conversely, we will continue buying if the metal breaks out.
Happy trading, and may your profits be plentiful!
Gold prices continue to explode, confirming new record levelsCurrently, gold prices have risen slightly to around $2,777.88 per ounce, marking a 0.12% increase from yesterday. This upward trend is primarily fueled by heightened demand for safe-haven assets as geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures continue to influence the market. Additionally, investments in gold-backed ETFs and growing demand in regions like the Middle East have provided further support for the metal’s price.
Furthermore, while U.S. bond yields remain high—typically a competing factor for gold—investors continue to lean toward gold as a safety net, which has helped sustain its recent gains.
Looking forward, gold prices may see further increases if global economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks intensify, bolstering the demand for safe-haven assets. Conversely, should the market stabilize and the U.S. dollar maintain strength, gold could experience a mild pullback in the short term, though this is not likely to be a significant concern.
Gold price analysis October 30Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices rose to a fresh record high in Asian trade on Wednesday as uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election and Middle East conflicts continued to boost demand for traditional safe-haven assets. Additionally, a slight decline in US Treasury yields and weak US Dollar (USD) price action benefited the precious metal. The supportive factors, to a large extent, overshadowed the bullish market sentiment, which tends to weaken the commodity.
Even expectations of fewer rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and higher US Treasury yields could not mask the underlying bullish sentiment surrounding non-yielding Gold. However, it remains to be seen whether buyers can build on the upside momentum amid mildly overbought conditions on the daily chart and ahead of key US macro releases. The data could provide signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook and determine the next step in the directional move for XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold is at an all-time high with expectations of retests to continue buying in line with the trend. The first areas of interest are the breakout zone at 2770, the next around 2761 and the last area of interest around 2745. These are the 3 important support areas with the aim of reaching the 2800 round port. Only consider scalping in the psychological price zones of 2785 -2790-2800.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 29 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 October 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists amid the Fed’s dovish tone and heightened geopolitical tensions, solidifying its safe-haven appeal.
Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling, but not yet confirming, the start of bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation: Despite the bearish CHoCH, price has yet to pull back into the internal 50% EQ discount. We could see a reaction at the H4 supply level before any confirmation of bearish pullback initiation.
Technical Note: The strong high at 2,758.525 is anticipated to remain protected. However, with CHoCH positioning on the daily timeframe somewhat distant, price may print a bullish iBOS in the near term to align with the daily timeframe’s movement.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 24 October 2024.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase.
As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance.
Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also react at nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Rebounds as Bulls Seek New Highs Amid Market ShiftsAt the start of the week, gold has quickly regained its upward momentum, aiming for new highs. Currently, the precious metal is trading around $2,731, with the bulls firmly in control of the market.
On Friday, gold saw an influx of buying interest, which slightly eroded the previous day’s gains as the USD weakened. This shift was supported by expectations of a less aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve.
Additionally, a generally positive tone in the stock market has somewhat dampened demand for this safe-haven asset. However, ongoing political uncertainty in the U.S. ahead of the November 5 presidential election, persistent geopolitical risks from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, and further declines in U.S. Treasury yields are providing solid support for gold prices.
Gold Price Analysis for the Past WeekOver the past week, the gold price has experienced significant fluctuations. After a sharp decline, the price rebounded and is currently at 2,747.215 USD according to the chart. Here is a detailed analysis of the factors affecting gold prices, technical chart patterns, and projections for the upcoming trend.
1. Price Fluctuations Summary for the Week
Early in the Week: Gold prices began to rise sharply due to increased demand for safe-haven assets amidst negative global economic news.
Midweek: Gold faced downward pressure as the USD strengthened but remained within strong support levels.
End of the Week: Gold prices recovered due to expectations of interest rate cuts from central banks and concerns about an economic recession.
2. Factors Affecting Gold Prices
Economic Concerns: Reports indicate that the global economy is struggling, driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold.
Low Interest Rate Expectations: Central banks are inclined to maintain or lower interest rates to support the economy, fueling upward momentum for gold prices.
Weaker USD: A slight depreciation of the USD supports gold prices by increasing purchasing power for those holding other currencies.
3. Technical Analysis
Short-Term Uptrend: The chart shows that gold has broken through a symmetrical triangle pattern, confirming the potential for further price increases.
Support and Resistance Levels: Currently, the primary support zone is at 2,733 - 2,736 USD. Gold has bounced strongly from this area, indicating a good buying zone. The next resistance area is around 2,755 - 2,760 USD.
Moving Averages: The 50 and 200 MA lines on the 1-hour chart indicate a bullish signal as the short-term MA crosses above the long-term MA, reinforcing the current upward momentum.
4. Gold Price Forecast
Based on news factors and technical patterns, gold is likely to continue its upward momentum toward the 2,760 USD resistance area and potentially higher if this level becomes a new support for XAUUSD.
Weekly Forex Forecast OCT. 28: BUY GOLD | XAUUSD!This weekly forecast is for Oct 28 - Nov 1st.
Gold is still bullish, and BUYS are still the best bet. The formation of the highlighted Weekly and Daily +FVGs confirm the bullish order flow. Buys are in order.
I will be avoiding sell setups in this market.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.