Gold trading strategy today, short-term sell entryWorld gold prices today (May 29) increased in the context of a weakening USD, while investors are still waiting for US inflation data later this week to judge when the Fed will cut interest rates. .
The US Dollar Index fell 0.1% to its lowest in more than a week, making gold cheaper for holders of other currencies.
Investors will monitor the US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index published on Friday (May 31). This index is considered the main inflation measure of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Military conflicts taking place in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine war are continuing to cause geopolitical instability, reinforcing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Bob Yawger of Mizuho Bank said that according to some sources, a member of the Egyptian security agency was killed in a firefight with Israeli forces.
Additionally, central banks around the world have steadily increased their gold holdings over the past two years, with China's central bank being one of the most active buyers.
Goldidea
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold's correction to continue its uptrend💥The gold market is being greatly affected by the Fed's policy stance on the length of time it takes to cut interest rates. Experts say that US inflation reports are still not as expected. Thereby, the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut is unclear.
💥Gold's recovery over the past several months has been largely driven by central bank buying, especially demand from Chinese investors. However, gold becomes more difficult as central banks around the world are starting to diversify the USD with assets that have other redeemable values besides gold. These factors will certainly hinder the momentum for gold going forward.
💥In the long term, despite the Fed's tough arguments on monetary policy in recent times, gold will still maintain its upward momentum in the coming time. Analysts on Wall Street believe that the market must lose more time than expected for the Fed to determine for sure whether inflation has actually decreased or not. Therefore, gold will remain stuck in monetary policy for quite a long time.
💥Technically, gold is trading around EMA 34 of the D1 time frame, showing that the recent two-day consecutive price decrease has not completely reversed the main trend of gold. The strongest retracement level that can be reached today is 2305. In the opposite direction, gold price can be pushed to the highest level of 2370
Support: 2325 - 2311 - 2305
Resistance: 2355 - 2370 - 2397
Breakout and retest: 2374 - 2320
SELL price range 2370 - 2420 stop 2375
BUY price range 2321 - 2419 stop 2315 (scalping)
BUY price range 2305 - 2303 stop 2300
Gold trading strategy today, uptrendToday's gold price is trading at 2,352 USD/ounce, a sharp increase of 18 USD compared to the previous day's opening price of 2,334 USD/ounce.
World gold prices fluctuated in the context of data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC - US) showing that gold investment funds increased their buying positions by 194,000 contracts.
This information can make many investors expect the gold market to heat up. Therefore, they took advantage of putting capital into this precious metal. Gold price today has upward momentum.
On the other hand, the world geopolitical situation becomes more complicated as the military conflict between Israel and Hamas forces becomes increasingly tense. Since then, many financial institutions have increased their need to shelter capital in gold. Today's increase in gold prices in the world is understandable.
Optimistic about Gold, increased then decreased againWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 15 USD to 2,350.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,352.5 USD/ounce, up 18 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices increased slightly at the beginning of the week as investors expected an important inflation report released this weekend that would change the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) view on cutting cuts. interest rates.
Recently, the Fed's positive interest rate stance has caused great pressure on the precious metals market. According to UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, gold has suffered from more hawkish comments from Fed officials and better-than-expected US economic data. Bullion has lost $100 since the precious metal hit a record high of $2,449.89 an ounce last week.
According to the latest Fed meeting minutes, US Central Bank officials indicated that it may take longer than expected to bring inflation down to 2%.
According to FXTM market analyst Lukman Otunuga, in the current environment, the gold market will be sensitive to inflation data. Accordingly, if the report shows downward price pressure, it may arouse hopes of cutting interest rates by the Fed and boost gold prices. On the contrary, if PCE is higher than market forecasts, it will deal another blow to expectations of Fed interest rate cuts and cause gold prices to fall even deeper. This expert said that the downward momentum could bring the price to the support level of 2,300 USD/ounce or lower.
Trading strategy today, downtrendKitco News' latest gold survey shows more than three-quarters of industry experts believe gold prices have stabilized or will fall next week. Meanwhile, half of retail traders polled still believe the precious metal could move higher in the coming days.
ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that information in the Fed's meeting minutes has caused traders to push back the expected interest rate cut from September to November. This change has helped push Treasury yields and the USD higher and put pressure on precious metals.
Market strategist Colin Cieszynski of SIA Wealth Management is neutral on gold this week. He said that the gold market will be quiet this week without important events.
Reports released this week include: Consumer confidence report, preliminary report on GDP in the first quarter of the US, weekly unemployment benefit applications, pending home sales, Personal consumption expenditure reports along with personal income reports in the US
Gold is expected to be quiet this week, entry sell todayWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.4 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,335.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, world gold prices continuously "plunged" after breaking all the records conquered in April. Kitco News's latest weekly gold survey results showed that more than three-quarters of experts believe gold prices are stable or will fall in the near term, while half of retail traders still believe the precious metal could move higher in the coming days.
Looking at gold's fluctuations last week, senior market analyst Darin Newsom of Barchart.com said that gold is likely to decline this week.
Sharing the same view, Bannockburn Global Forex CEO Marc Chandler also sees further downside risks for gold in the near future. According to Chandler, the reason gold set a record high early last week at 2,450 USD/ounce was because the market reacted to information related to the accident that claimed the life of the President of Iran. However, the strength of the USD caused gold to be sold off and plummet to nearly 2,300 USD/ounce.
Besides, the decrease in demand for gold from Chinese investors is also a disadvantage for this precious metal. Chandler forecasts that gold's initial resistance this week is at $2,375/ounce. Support is in the range of $2,275 to $2,300 per ounce.
Market strategist Colin Cieszynski of SIA Wealth Management is neutral on gold this week. He said that the gold market will be quiet this week without important events.
GOLD price analysis week 22In the past week, Gold prices dropped sharply when the statements of FED members took on a "hawkish" tone. At the FOMC meeting
Many Fed members proposed raising interest rates if inflation remains high. Fed members said inflation data for the first quarter of 2024 was "disappointing".
According to a survey by global fund BOFA: Commodities had a record increase last month! This can be seen as an early prediction for PCE data to be released on Friday, May 31. A larger PCE data release will make traders bet on the Fed being more likely to change its initial interest rate cut plans in September and November.
Holding interest rates longer in terms of correlation will help the dollar and government bonds benefit, whereas investments that do not bring returns, in this case the precious metal Yellow, will be under selling pressure.
Notable economic data and events next week
Tuesday: -Consumer confidence index
Thursday: -Preliminary first-quarter US GDP
number of applications for unemployment benefits, pending home sales
Friday: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Revenue
U.S. Personal Income and Expenditures
Gold price chart view
On the daily time frame, Gold price closed close to the ichimoku kumo cloud and below the tenkan+ kijun line, it is worth noting that the chikou-span moved below the price line. The price trend is up, the nearest resistance area is around 2352$, rising and closing above this level, the price could move towards 2365$ (an important price level that determines the previous trend), the technical resistance area behind that would be 2375-2383$ . On the downside, $2325 is the closest support area the price needs to break, followed by $2313-2304 in the short term. In the long term, a break and close below the $2,300 area could usher in a more bearish trend. On the H4 time frame, the signal lines show us a bearish trend, after an increase the price "adjusts" back to near tenkan-sen to regain balance and eliminate the "oversold" state. Opening next week's session, if the price falls below $2,325, it will be an early warning that the "correction" has ended and the Gold price continues its previous trend. In the small frame H1, the downtrend has turned to a sideways state. It is necessary to monitor to identify early signals on this frame.
The downtrend is still dominant, open selling positions close to the technical resistance area should be given priority.
Resistance and support levels
resistance area: 2353-2363-2375-2385
Support area: 2313-2304-2290-2282
After the news, PMI continued to decrease and increase slightlyWorld gold prices continued to decline sharply with spot gold down 48.6 USD to 2,329.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,330.1 USD/ounce, down 52 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market continues to be under pressure to take profits and gold prices fall to the lowest level in a week, extending the decline for the third consecutive session, as investors become increasingly concerned about the timing of interest rate cuts. of America and the strength of American business.
According to the latest report, US business activity in May accelerated to the highest level in more than 2 years, showing that economic growth recovered in the second quarter. After the report, the USD recovered strongly, offsetting intraday losses. This has reduced the attractiveness of precious metals to buyers holding other currencies.
TD Securities commodity strategist Daniel Ghali said that although the greenback's recovery and the weakening interest rate outlook have triggered a sell-off in the gold market, the correction will be relatively shallow. According to him, gold is adjusting to the view that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, while at this meeting, the Fed mentioned the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation occurs. "persistent" development.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The decline is just the beginning, continue to short gold!Gold today maintained a volatile trend overall, and began to rebound with 2325 as support. It is currently trading near 2340. So after the sharp decline, has gold stabilized and rebounded?
Actually, I don’t think so. I said yesterday that since gold has not rebounded in retaliation after falling by $100, gold will only absorb the plunge in a volatile manner. Gold is currently performing very weakly during the rebound and cannot even break through the 2345 position. In addition, 2350 is the position where the decline accelerated after falling below the level yesterday. If gold cannot recover for a long time, there is still room for gold to continue to fall.
The current rebound of gold is not particularly strong. Gold may build a relay platform near the 2340 position, so I think the gold downward trend is far from over. After the end of the shock, gold will continue to fall, targeting 2300 or even the 2280 position area.
Gold is currently facing short-term resistance in the 2345-2350 area. In the next transactions, I will still focus on shorting gold, and then watch a new round of downward trend break out.
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Today's trading trends, buy gold strategyAt the beginning of the trading session on May 23 (US time), world gold prices were under strong selling pressure due to tough sentiment in the minutes of the May monetary policy meeting just announced. The minutes show that US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials are increasingly concerned about inflation.
The gold market is being greatly affected by the Fed's policy stance on the length of time it takes to cut interest rates. Experts say that US inflation reports are still not as expected. Thereby, the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut is unclear.
Experts from the World Gold Council predict that despite the Fed's tough arguments on monetary policy in recent times, gold will still maintain its upward momentum in the coming time.
Wall Street analysts said that it will take the market longer than expected for the Fed to determine for sure whether inflation has really decreased or not. Therefore, gold will remain stuck in monetary policy for quite a long time.
Gold is preparing for a new price increase💥Since the shock increase and decrease on Monday following the speeches of Fed officials, the gold price (XAU/USD) has had almost no significant fluctuations, fluctuating around 2,420 USD/ounce.
💥Gold is under profit-taking pressure after the precious metal hit an all-time high earlier this week. However, this precious metal still remains firmly above the level of 2,400 USD/ounce.
💥Gold is strongly supported in the context of geopolitical and economic instability. According to data from the World Gold Council, since the beginning of the year, gold prices have increased more than 16%, reaching a record high of over 2,400 USD/ounce in May. Gold may be ready for another price increase. Gold could reach 3,000 USD/ounce within the next 6 to 18 months.
💥Currently, gold price is trading within the triangle flag border. This accumulation price pattern will soon break and surpass notable hooks like 2407.2435. Wider trading ranges are located at 2402 and 2448 with solid support and resistance zones.
SELL price range 2440 - 2442 stop 2446
BUY price range 2409 - 2407 stop 2403
BUY price range 2402 - 2400 stop 2393
🚨Gold is Ready to Go Down🚨_Can Gold make New ATH again❗️❓✅ Gold managed to create a New All-Time High(ATH) at the beginning of the week.
🏃♂️Currently, Gold is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($2,450-$2,426) 🔴.
🌊According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has succeeded in completing main wave 5 by the Ending Expanding Diagonal .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
🔔I expect Gold to continue falling to at least the 🟢 Support zone($2,373-$2,353) 🟢.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
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Gold price entered the adjustment period after create a new peakGold prices continued to decline on Tuesday, completely covering the recovery phase after the pullback from the $2,450 mark. However, gold remains supported by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut, ongoing geopolitical tensions, along with strong demand from central banks and Asian buyers.
The daily chart of the XAU/USD pair favors an extension to the upside, as the pair trades above all of its moving averages. In fact, the 34 Simple Moving Average has modest upward traction at around $2,340, while the longer moving averages point further north than that. Furthermore, technical indicators are all moving higher near overbought levels with no signs of exhaustion.
Gold prices hit a new record high early Monday hitting $2,450. The precious metal fell in price during the US trading session, mainly due to profit-taking, as the USD did not fluctuate much. The USD traded gloomy on the foreign exchange board due to a lack of new information from the economic calendar.
Gold price is approaching the important level 2407 which determines the next trend of gold.
Plan May 21
Support: 2401 - 2391 - 2379
Resistance: 2431- 2442 - 2453 - 2458 - 2473
Breakout and retest: 2431 - 2407
SELL price range 2454 - 2456 stop 2460
BUY price range 2392 - 2390 stop 2386
Today's trading strategy, Gold trendGold prices fluctuated sharply when some US Federal Reserve (FED) policymakers recommended that the organization wait a few more months to ensure inflation really cools down, before starting to cut. interest rate.
Reacting to this information, the USD increased in price compared to the Euro and many other currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
Under pressure from the USD, speculators may worry that holding gold will reduce profitability. So in last night's trading session, when gold was trading in the region of 2,400 USD/ounce, they massively sold out.
Gold breaks current price channel, strategy to buy GoldWorld gold prices continued to decline sharply with spot gold down 42.7 USD to 2,378 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,382.1 USD/ounce, down 43.7 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world precious metals market continues to be pressured by the policy stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) after the meeting minutes ended earlier this month. According to the minutes, although US monetary policy has become a secondary factor in the gold market, persistent inflation could create some selling pressure as it could force the Fed to raise interest rates again. .
This view goes completely against the recent statements of members of the US Monetary Policy Committee when they said that although they are not ready to cut interest rates because inflation is still high, they will not raise interest rates. capacity.
According to experts, the minutes reflect growing disappointment that consumer prices have not returned to the 2% target as firmly as expected.
Recently, gold has been greatly affected by the Fed's "hawkish" policy stance. Despite fluctuations, gold is still considered an effective investment asset thanks to its role in preventing inflation and diversifying investment portfolios. Experts believe that the roles driving the recent increase are still being maintained and are unlikely to change in the future.
GOLD-Wednesday Analysis
The Fed will release minutes from its April 30-May 1 meeting on Wednesday, which may reflect more concerns about higher-than-expected inflation in the first quarter, as the meeting was held before the release of last week's consumer price inflation report. The Fed said at the meeting that it still prefers to eventually lower borrowing costs, but acknowledged that disappointing inflation data may delay rate cuts for a while. The minutes may also provide more details on the Fed's plans to slow the reduction of its balance sheet. It is worth mentioning that geopolitical concerns seem to have eased, with Israel reportedly reportedly reaching an agreement with the United States to shelve plans for a large-scale offensive against Rafah. But investors still need to pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation.
The highest reached around 2450 on Monday and fluctuated between 2433-2416 on Tuesday. Although it is not certain that 2450 is definitely the short-term top of gold, it is certain that it is difficult to break through. Yesterday, 1D closed with a red candle, which means that it is not an absolute strong rise at present.
If it reaches 2433-2436, you can choose to sell, SL: 2442, if you want to buy, you can wait for 2387-2392
The above strategies are for your reference, but the market changes quickly, and you need to change your strategies in real time according to the trend, so that your success rate will increase.
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Gold has not cooled down yet, enter to buy todayAfter reaching 2,450 USD/ounce in the previous trading session, today's gold price on the international market has cooled down but not significantly.
At 6 a.m. on May 22, the world gold price was trading at 2,422 USD/ounce, down 6 USD compared to the price at the same time the previous day which was 2,428 USD/ounce.
Analysts say international gold prices cool down as investors sell to take profits.
On the other hand, some officials of the US Federal Reserve (FED) continue to announce that interest rates will remain high for a long time. Since then, the USD has increased in value compared to many other foreign currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
Another development is that US stocks increased quite strongly. This has prompted many people to take interest in the stock. Accordingly, money flowing into precious metals is dominated. Today's world gold price inevitably cools down.
Trading strategy today, still in the bullish channelWorld gold prices decreased with spot gold down 5.2 USD to 2,420.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,425.2 USD/ounce, down 4.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
On May 21 (US time), gold was under profit-taking pressure after this precious metal hit an all-time high earlier this week. However, this precious metal still remains firmly above the level of 2,400 USD/ounce.
Recently, a number of US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have repeatedly expressed the opinion that they will not rush to start the easing cycle that many people expect. However, gold is receiving the information very positively and does not react much to this view that is considered less moderate.
In opening remarks at an online event hosted by the Peterson Institute, Fed Governor Christopher Wall said that the US Central Bank's restrictive monetary policy is cooling the economy and inflation, but still there is still much work to be done. He emphasized that all data must be considered before deciding whether to loosen monetary policy or not. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also made a similar point of view and emphasized the need to wait to make sure inflation returns to the 2% target mark before pivoting policy.
Today's trading trend, wait for a decrease to buyWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 9.2 USD to 2,425.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,430.3 USD/ounce, up 12.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Although the price of the yellow metal inched up slightly compared to yesterday morning, it has dropped sharply compared to the increase during the day. Previously, gold had conquered a new all-time high when inflation in the US showed signs of slowing down, increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would soon make its first interest rate cut. Spot gold has soared to 2,449.8 USD/ounce.
According to Capital.com financial market analyst Kyle Rodda, the main driving force for gold's strong surge at the beginning of the week was the weakening of the USD and expectations that the Fed will soon loosen monetary policy today. the more increased. Last week's data showed that inflation is showing signs of cooling down and traders now forecast about a 65% chance that the US will cut interest rates in September.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis said that, in addition to "persistent" inflation, the US public debt burden is also a factor driving gold's recovery. Pavilonis expects gold to increase to nearly 2,500 USD/ounce in the short term.
Gold rebounds strongly, should we chase long gold?Today we went long gold near the 2412 position and successfully hit TP: 2423. It was still a good trading profit. At present, gold has rebounded strongly to above 2430. The bulls have regained control of the situation. How much more can gold rise? Do we still want to continue chasing gold?
There may be many people who have this question, and many people have even chased long gold. In fact, relatively speaking, I think gold bulls have reached a certain stage now, and the probability of another violent rise should be low; and gold has formed long upper shadow lines many times during the rebound, so there is still a certain degree of resistance above.and the energy of the bulls has stagnated near 2430, so the short-term resistance faced by gold in the 2430-2435 area is still valid, and even if gold breaks through this area, I believe that with the current strength of the bulls, it will be difficult to break through the 2440 position.
So in terms of trading, I do not recommend chasing gold above 2430. On the contrary, we can consider shorting gold. Once gold falls below the 2405-2400 area, the space below will open further. Therefore, in the next transaction, we will mainly focus on shorting gold at high levels, focusing on the 2430-2435 area at the top; focusing on the gains and losses at the 2400 position below.
Trading requires courage and even more decisiveness. Execution is the only criterion for profitability.I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !