Gold price today: Create a new peak in 2005 USDHello, amazing friends of Karina!
Recently, gold has been facing difficulties in maintaining the peak of $2000. The upward momentum of gold has been hindered by various factors, including the loose monetary policies implemented by many countries around the world.
On the 1D chart, although the bullish trend is still supported and the parallel price channel has been broken, there are signs of a potential top forming at 2005. The current support level is around $1975. If this level is surpassed, it could cause gold to decline further, potentially reaching $1945, which coincides with a test of the gold's EMA.
Goldidea
Continuing the downward price channel, how far will Gold fall?World gold prices this morning tended to increase with spot gold increasing by 1.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 1,939 USD/ounce.
Last week, the gold market witnessed its second consecutive week of decline due to weak safe-haven demand while US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell took a hawkish stance on monetary policy.
According to City Index market analyst Fawad Razaqzada, Mr. Powell's hawkish stance was the main reason why gold prices weakened last week. In addition, investors' risk appetite has improved in the past few weeks as the Israel-Hamas conflict has not made much progress, also reducing demand in the gold market.
Gold bars have lost about 70 USD since reaching over 2,000 USD/ounce thanks to safe-haven demand due to escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Fed officials, including Mr. Powell, say they are still unsure whether interest rates will be high enough to end the war on inflation, pushing up 10-year Treasury yields and the U.S. index. The Dollar Index rose, thereby making non-interest-bearing gold less attractive to investors.
XAUUSD Pair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Rejection from Strong Support Level and Making Double Top Pattern as an Correction in Short Time Frame. Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wave and it will makes its Corrective Wave " abc " to Completed " 4th " Impulsive Wave in LTF
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Proper Rejection
Gold analysis 12 nov 23It was bearish in gold , after closing at 1938 gold had choch to a downtrend
I think gold will correct near 1960 then continue the bearish trend near 1920
Remember if Middle East tension get worse gold will reverse bearish suddenly so you have to keep an eye to the update and follow your risk management
Good luck and wish you a profitable week .
Pleases leave your opinion in comments .
XAUUSD Gold Pair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Making Impulsive Wave " 2 " After Corrective Waves " ABC ". Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame , Rejecting from Fibonacci Level - 50.00% to completed " 2nd " Impulsive Wave and Retracement for Break of Structure
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it complete Retracement and Rejection
GOLD continues to PLUMMET - SELLS ACTIVEHey guys what's up Brandon here, Ekatatrading. Today I wish to discuss my sell on GOLD. I sold because 1. Gold is a bearish market and my LAW says to never go against the momentum unless a reversal is clear
Reversal wasn't clear, momentum was bearish so sells it was. That being said around the time of me observing the GOLD market it was approaching the previous low, making me question if it was even a reversal off the previous low to begin with.
Unlikely.
Once I figured that it wasn't likely to reverse I began looking for sells as per my law and low and behold sell is exactly what it did - Thank God as I had lost a trade earlier this week (See Linked Idea). This trade made back pretty much everything I had lost and then some for me which is how I believe you should trade to begin with.
My reasons were simple...If the market wanted to buy it had to take out the stop below the macro zone - which means it has to sell in any event right? So long as the market didn't harshly reject that low or maybe even accumulated around that low I'd feel safe to consider sells.
Reason being - Why would the dealer stay at a low point for so long only to actually buy the market? Wouldn't he be giving the buyers a ridiculously good opportunity to buy? In my opinion that doesn't make sense from the dealer's perspective and further helped me to better understand what might be going on.
Once I found my entry it was just about figuring out where to put my stop loss. I put my stop loss in an area where I think it is so unlikely to be hit because..as much as using a tighter stop is very attractive for your risk reward - it means nothing if you cannot stay in the trade to see that reward in the first place.
As I am typing this I am still in the trade - I am about to have lunch and then pretty much relax for the rest of the day as I've cleared my day to get some rest so I can heal.
I hope you understood what I was trying to say and it made some sense to you.
Have a great rest of your day and an even better weekend - See you guys next week =)
Xauusd:Will it rebound again?
Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell spoke publicly again, saying that Fed officials are not sure that interest rates are high enough to end the inflation war, and that the help they can get in expecting improved supplies of goods, services, and labor to reduce price pressures may be nearing the end.
After Powell's speech, traders postponed their bets on the timing of the Fed's first interest rate cut from May to June next year.This has also boosted the trend of the US dollar and US bonds
Hawkish voices continue to appear within the Fed. Richmond Fed Chairman Balkin said that although “real progress” has been made on inflation, it is not yet clear whether the Fed needs to continue to raise policy interest rates to complete its work. He is not as optimistic about the rate of inflation decline as some others.
O'neal Pace, acting president of the St. Louis Fed, said he did not want to rule out the possibility of further interest rate increases if necessary.
(These all suggest the possibility of continued interest rate increases in the future)
Yesterday, gold was the same as I predicted. The data on unemployment benefits did not make gold fall below 1944, so it began to rebound, reaching a peak of 1965.
On the 1H chart, the downtrend line has been broken. Pay attention to the support situation after today's decline. If it does not fall below 1950, you can continue to watch the rebound continue.
We need to pay attention to the upper resistance point range:
1968-1972
1975-1980
Pay attention to the range of support points below:
1950-1953
1941-1945
1933-1938
So you can choose to buy around 1945-1952, observe the strength of the rebound, strictly set the stop loss, and gradually buy according to the funds, so that your success rate will be greatly increased
If you don't know how to trade, join me and let us learn together to improve the success rate
XAUUSD GoldPair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Break out of the Upper Trend Line and it is making its Retracement and " B " Corrective Wave after Impulsive Waves " 12345 ". Break of Structure / CHoCH
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Retracement and Rejection
Xauusd:It's the key choice point again
Due to the recent hawkish rhetoric of Fed policymakers, everyone hopes that the Fed can achieve its goal of suppressing inflation, so gold prices fell again on Wednesday.
Pay attention to the data on U.S. unemployment benefits today
Today, gold fell as low as 1945, and the position of 38.2% of the Fibonacci retracement in the upward period from 1810 to 2007 was near 1933. If it did not fall below this data, gold would not be considered a real complete decline.
The current trend belongs to a small cyclical decline in a large cyclical pullback. You may have discovered that if you have to wait for a rebound to sell, but gold can't reach the resistance range.
Today's entire golden state just happens to be bullish and dare not enter, bearish and dare not chase, coupled with the 4-hour divergence of the indicators RSI and MACD, I still think it is possible to rebound today and then fall.
The suppression point of the decline and rebound is near the mid-Bollinger band of the daily cycle 1970
We need to pay attention to the upper resistance point range:
1962-1970
1953-1958
Pay attention to the range of support points below:
1941-1945
1933-1938
When gold reaches the support range for the first time today, you can buy in small batches based on your own funds, set a stop loss, and increase your success rate of profit.
In a downtrend, you can sell when you reach the resistance range
If you don't know how to trade, join me and let us learn together to improve the success rate
Continuing the downward trend, can gold create a new bottom?World gold prices this morning reversed to increase slightly with spot gold increasing by 8.4 USD to 1,958.2 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,963.5 USD/ounce, up 5.7 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The slight weakening of the USD in the evening trading session of November 9 (Vietnam time) slightly increased the appeal of gold to buyers holding other currencies. Currently, the market is waiting for the speech of the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) for more clues regarding the Fed's future monetary policy roadmap. Along with interest rates, gold's safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions is also gradually drying up, making it difficult for gold to have a sustainable increase over the past week.
Looking at the long term, in a recent study by Capital Economics, experts said that, although geopolitical instability due to the conflict in the Middle East has created some positive fluctuations for the gold market, but prices will eventually move higher as the Fed begins cutting interest rates in 2024. Gold could end the year at $2,100 an ounce.
XAUUSD Pair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and it will complete its " A - 12345 " Corrective Wave at Daily Demand Zone or Fibonacci Level - 161.8% and it will also complete the Retracement for the Break of Structure / Bearish Channel at Same Area
Entry Precautions :
Wait for Proper Strong Rejection Price Action Confirmation
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD - Gold IdeaOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
⚠️ Disclaimer: The following insights reflect my personal perspective on the market, relying on publicly available information and historical data. While some opinions stem from my actual trades, others do not. I am not a financial advisor, and I bear no responsibility for your trading choices.
✅ Feel free to reach me out with any questions or recommendations. I am more than willing to assess and analyze any currency pair or index that piques your interest.
Xauusd:The U.S. may raise interest rates again
Kashkari, chairman of the famous hawkish Minneapolis Fed: If necessary, the Fed will take more measures on interest rates. The FOMC did not discuss the content of interest rate cuts.
Dovish representative Chicago Fed Chairman Goolsbee: If long-term Treasury yields remain at a high level, it is likely to be equivalent to tightening policy. The first task to change the interest rate stance is the progress of inflation.
The two relatively neutral ones are also very tough. Fed Governor Bowman: Further interest rate increases are still expected.Dallas Fed Chairman Logan: Inflation is still too high, and the data seems to be moving in the direction of 3% instead of 2%.
Judging from the voices within the Fed, it does not support the current view that the market expects to cut interest rates soon. Once this deviation is repaired, asset prices will also face significant fluctuations.
Today we want to focus on the speech of Fed Chairman Powell. If he sticks to his speech on the interest rate resolution last week, it will be another blow to the market.
Gold fell unilaterally yesterday, and the Asian and European markets once fell to 1957. After that, with the opening of the US market, the market flipped, and the closing basically held the position of 1970.
Judging from the daily line, yesterday's decline was not large, and in the end it did not fall below the important boundary point of 1953.
We need to pay attention to the upper resistance point range:
1981-1986
1972-1978
Pay attention to the range of support points below:
1960-1965
1953-1957
n trading, it is recommended that everyone pay attention to the opportunity to sell after the rebound, such as the resistance area above, which would be a good choice.
XAUUSD - GoldPair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Consolidation Phase as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame , It is Possible that it will Break the Lower Trend Line to Complete its " 12345 " Impulsive. If it Rejects from LTL then Buy. Completed Impulse and making " A " Corrective Wave
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it Breaks or Rejects LTL
Gold trading strategy, rising againGold futures price delivered in December 2023 on the Comex New York floor decreased by 15.1 USD, equivalent to a decrease of 0.76% to 1,973.5 USD/ounce.
Gold experienced an impressive October and a historic month for this market, closing at a record high with an increase of nearly 7%. However, according to analysts at the World Gold Council, this precious metal needs more motivation to create a sustainable push in the market.
In our view, a sustained rise in gold prices will require continued political risks or the currency, bond yields and the US dollar peak or equity markets end their consolidation. risk of economic recession revived.
XAUUSD - Gold is still in a downtrend, selling strategyAs gold retraces, attention turns to support zones around 1,953 to 1,947 and key moving averages, while investors watch for signs of recovery.
Gold confirmed a breakdown from its small rising trend channel today as it fell through the lower trendline of the pattern and yesterday’s low of 1,977. Weakness was further confirmed on a drop below last Wednesday’s minor swing low of 1,970. Support for the day was seen at 1,957, leading to a bounce to test resistance around the 1,970 level. Given the characteristics of the breakdown it seems likely that a deeper retracement is in the works before gold is ready to resume its ascent.
For the upside, given today’s price action it is looking like gold might continue to retrace or consolidate for the remainder of this week. We are already heading into mid-week and the retracement only got confirmed today with the rising channel breakdown. As it stands now, an advance above today’s high is short-term bullish with strength confirmed on a daily close above the high. And then further still above the two-day high of 1,993.
XAUUSD GoldPair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line , It will Completed its Retest from Previous Support or after BOS. Completed " 12 (123) Impulsive Waves. RSI - Divergence
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it Complete its Retracement and Reject
The US dollar has fallen and has continued to decline since lastThe dollar fell slightly in early European trading on Monday, extending last week's losses to a six-week low after the Federal Reserve became less hawkish.
At 03:20 ET (8:20 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of six other currencies, fell more than 1% last week, the biggest decline since the middle of last year. It fell 0.1% to 104.782. .
The dollar has fallen since last week's Federal Reserve policy meeting, when the central bank issued dovish signals about further interest rate hikes.
That trend was reinforced by Friday's official jobs report, which showed that U.S. nonfarm payrolls grew less than expected in October. This data suggests that the U.S. labor market is cooling. This was the main reason the Fed took a hawkish stance this year. Federal funds futures suggest there is about an 85% chance that the Fed will complete the rate hike cycle and an 80% chance that the rate hike cycle will begin in June.
At least nine Fed speakers are scheduled this week, including two appearances by Chairman Jerome Powell, with the second session on Thursday including a question-and-answer session.
EUR/USD rose 0.1% to 1.0743, pushing the euro up to levels last seen in September, driven by a weaker dollar rather than stronger regional economies. Which area?
German data factory orders rose 0.2% in September, stronger than the expected 1.0% decline, but still a significant decline from August's revised 1.9% increase.
Moreover, German housing construction suffered another wave of layoffs in October, according to a study published Monday by the Ifo Economic Research Institute. "The situation is getting worse as more projects fail due to rising interest rates and construction prices," said Klaus Wohlrabe, head of research at Ifo.
GBP/USD rose 0.1% to 1.2384, extending last week's strong gains ahead of the UK's fourth-quarter GDP figures due later this week.
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XAUUSD - Gold is decreasing, should I buy or sell gold now?Last week, gold fluctuated with a narrow range and regularly tested the psychological barrier of 2,000 USD/ounce. However, the metal still failed to hold this level as it was caught between conflicting factors between interest rate expectations and geopolitical concerns.
Among Wall Street analysts participating in the survey, 60% expect gold prices to move higher this week. 64% of retail investors participating in online polls have the same opinion.
Forecasting this week's gold price trend, Kitco News' weekly gold survey shows that analysts and retail investors are optimistic about gold for the week ending November 10. Experts expect the price to break out this week even though there is not much supporting information.
Adam Button, currency strategist at Forexlive.com, said that Friday's weak nonfarm payrolls report is a sign that the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle is over. momentum and the fact that gold remains near $2,000 an ounce even as the safe-haven push is weakening.
XAUUSD Gold Pair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and Corrective Waves " ABC ". Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Making its Correction / Retracement for Channel and Break of Structure
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Breaks or Reject LTL