XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Goldidea
Thursday's profit signals and strategies
#xauusd
Today is Thursday, August 15, 2024.
Gold has insufficient upward momentum after the release of yesterday's CPI data. It fell from 2480 to 2438.
Combined with Monday's gold rise from 2423 to 2477. The fluctuations in the past few days are huge.
Today we still adopt segmented trading.
Buy and sell at specific prices. There are considerable profits.
Sell gold:
#xauusd
sell1 2456-2452
sell2 2464-2468
sell3 2480-2484
Buy gold
buy1 2433-2438
buy2 2420-2424
buy3 2408-2412
Combined with the chart. When the price reaches a specific area. We can try to trade and make a profit.
Note: Two red areas are marked in the figure. If the price breaks through the area, we should trade with a light position. And the price of gold will have greater momentum.
If you make a profit according to my trading price. Or my trading analysis is helpful to you, please like me and join me.
I wish you all a smooth trading
Gold recovers from the decline of the news☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices regained momentum in Asian trading on Thursday, reversing some of the previous day's sharp decline from a record high. The risk of a wider conflict in the Middle East, along with growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September, became key factors providing some support to the precious metal.
Meanwhile, expectations of a July rise in US consumer prices have forced investors to scale back their expectations for more aggressive policy easing. This has led to a further recovery in US Treasury yields, supporting the US dollar (USD) on an overnight rebound from a monthly low and could act as a drag on gold prices amid a generally positive risk-on sentiment.
☘️Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the overnight low, around the 2,438-2,436 region, now looks to protect the downside ahead of the $2,424 region or the weekly low hit on Monday. Some follow-through selling could leave Gold vulnerable to further weakness below the $2,400 level.
Meanwhile, the oscillators on the daily chart are holding in positive territory and supporting the bullish outlook. That said, any further upside move is likely to face some resistance near the $2,471-2,472 region ahead of the $2,483-2,484 region or the all-time high hit in July. A further rally above the psychological $2,500 mark would confirm a breakout through the wide trading range.
You should pay attention to the EMA critical zone around 2420, and pay attention to the zones for long-term gold BUY signals in the context of many economic and political fluctuations. Although gold has decreased, the RSI index is still in the positive zone and shows that the buyers are ready to return at any time.
SELL zone 2459 - 2461 stoploss 2465
SELL zone 2469 - 2471 stoploss 2475
BUY zone 2443 - 2441 stoploss 2437
BUY zone 2426 - 2324 stoploss 2420
Gold drops below $2,50 after CPIA break below $2,455 on a closing basis would help confirm the start of a fresh down leg within the range, thereby extending the sideways trend. If so, the price will probably move down to $2,400 or perhaps the range floor in the $2,390s. Due to the fact the range is tapering slightly, it might also be a triangle pattern in the final stages of development.
A decisive break above the range ceiling, however, would indicate the development of a more bullish trend. Such a breakout would probably follow through higher to at least $2,550, calculated by taking the 0.618 Fibonacci ratio of the range’s height and extrapolating it higher.
A decisive break would be one characterized by a long green candle that pierced clearly through the level and closed near its high, or three green candles in a row that breached the level.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold price analysis August 14Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some follow-through selling for the second consecutive day on Wednesday and moved further away from the monthly peaks retested earlier this week. A generally positive tone around equity markets dampened demand for the safe-haven precious metal, although geopolitical tensions stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East helped limit losses.
In addition, expectations of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, bolstered by signs of continued subdued inflation, acted as a catalyst for non-yielding gold prices. Traders also appeared reluctant to place positive bets, preferring to wait for further cues on the Fed’s policy path. As a result, the market’s focus remained on US consumer inflation data.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the recent bounce from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support and the positive oscillators on the daily chart favor the bullish traders. Therefore, any meaningful decline can still be viewed as a buying opportunity and remains limited. Gold prices appear to be preparing to retest the record high, around the $2,483-2,484 region and target the psychological $2,500 mark. Sustained strength above the latter would mark a fresh breakout through the wider trading range maintained over the past month or so and set the stage for a further near-term upside move.
On the downside, the $2,450-2,448 resistance level now looks to protect the immediate downside, below which gold could slide back to the weekly lows around the $2,424-2,423 region touched on Monday. The next relevant support level is anchored near the $2,412-2,410 region ahead of the $2,400 round-figure mark.
Canh Sell scalp 2485 - 2487, stoploss 2491
Canh Sell 2500 - 2502, stoploss 2506
Canh Buy scalp 2435 - 2433, stoploss 2429
Canh Buy 2426 - 2424, stoploss 2420
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Analysis August 12Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some dip buying near the $2,424 region on Monday and looked set to extend last week’s decent recovery from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support. Investors remain concerned about the possibility of a wider conflict in the Middle East, which is seen as a key driver for the precious metal. In addition, expectations of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) also provided additional support for the non-yielding asset.
However, the intraday rally lacked any bullish sentiment following the generally positive tone around the equity markets, which tended to weigh on the safe-haven bullion. Moreover, a modest appreciation in the US Dollar (USD) continued to limit the upside in XAU/USD. Traders also seem reluctant and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation figures - Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Technical Analysis
Gold is approaching the resistance point of 2441-2443 and we can set up a SELL signal in this area. GOLD is on an uptrend so we just look at the Scalping signal and look for a nice entry to BUY long term in line with the main trend of the market.
Pay attention to the support and resistance points to have a suitable trading strategy
Breakout upper border: 2434, 2446
Breakout lower border: 2421, 2416, 2400
Resistance: 2432 - 2442 - 2456
Support: 2421 - 2417-2407
SELL price zone 2442 - 2444 stoploss 2446
BUY price zone 2407 - 2405 stoploss 2401
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold price analysis September 8Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices eased from a three-day high near $2,430 but held above the key support level of $2,400. The near-term outlook for the precious metal remains solid amid speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates in September.
However, investors remain divided on whether the Fed will demonstrate its aggressiveness in its policy normalization by announcing a 50 basis point (bp) rate cut or a 25 bps cut.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices are in a strong bullish range with a narrow range around 2,418 and 2,434. Prices are trading strongly above the EMA and are poised to make further gains. The resistance levels of 2,454 and 2,404 act as key support and resistance, keeping gold prices steady over the weekend.
Resistance: 2432 - 2448 - 2454
Support: 2412 - 2407 - 2396 - 2388
Price ranges to note:
SELL scalp price range 2441 - 2443 stoploss 2447
SELL price range 2453 - 2455 stoploss 2459
BUY price range 2407 - 2405 stoploss 2400
BUY price range 2397 - 2395 stoploss 2391
XAUUSD Possible short term bounceXAUUSD after daily strong down trend the market started move slowly towards it's long term up trending direction. 15minutes timeframe has formed 2 strong doji with multiple rejection causing gold to bounce and it may continue to bounce to the next resistance at 2404.00 or up
Gold slightly increased on August 8☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices gained some positive momentum on Thursday and snapped a four-day losing streak, despite a lack of follow-through and remaining below the $2,400 mark heading into the European session. Meanwhile, the lack of bullish sentiment warrants some caution before positioning for any meaningful upside move, although the fundamental backdrop appears to be tilted heavily in favor of bullish traders.
Investors remain concerned about the economic slowdown in China and the possibility of a recession in the United States. This, coupled with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, will act as a bullish driver for Gold prices. Furthermore, expectations of more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) put US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive and confirmed the positive outlook for gold prices.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold continues to trade within the price range of 2380 and 2415. Gold needs more catalysts to break out of this price range. On the chart, we can see that the price is clinging to the EMA 34 in a downtrend. To achieve the bullish condition, gold first needs to close the candle above the 2400 area. Pay attention to the price reaction zones to have the best trading strategy.
Breakout upper band: 2391 - 2400 - 2406
Breakout lower band: 2381 - 2375 - 2365
Resistance: 2397 - 2400 - 2406 - 2420
Support: 2381 - 2375 - 2370 - 2365 - 2352 - 2345
SELL zone 2405 - 2407 stoploss 2411
SELL zone 2420 - 2422 stoploss 2426
BUY zone 2373 - 2371 stoploss 2367
BUY zone 2347 - 2345 stoploss 2341
Gold (08/07) Wide trading range in a week without important news☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some dip buyers near the $2,379-$2,378 region on Wednesday and rose to fresh daily highs heading into the European session. Weaker economic data from the United States in the coming weeks suggested that the world’s largest economy is slowing faster than initially expected. This, in turn, fueled speculations of more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), acting as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal.
In addition, concerns over an economic slowdown in China and the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also provided additional support for safe-haven gold. However, strong demand for the US dollar (USD), fueled by a further recovery in US Treasury yields, coupled with a generally positive risk sentiment, could keep a lid on any meaningful upside move for XAU/USD.
☘️Technical Analysis
There is not much important news this week so gold is trading in a wide sideway range. The two EMA lines are still showing that the sellers are dominating the market. The RSI in the short-term frame also wants to show that the recovery of gold is being limited by the RSI 50 level. In short-term time frames such as h1 h4, gold is in a downtrend and is ready for deeper pullbacks to the support zone of 2370-2355. The important level in the sideway range will be around 2415, the peak that gold reached yesterday. Breaking the level will form a new structure for the market.
On days when there is no news that has a big impact on the market, we can identify price range zones to trade.
Support: 2386 - 2381 - 2375 - 2366
Resistance: 2405 - 2415 - 2426 - 2430
☘️Trading signals
SELL zone 2414 - 2416 stoploss 2420
SELL zone 2428 - 2430 stoploss 2434
BUY zone 2365 - 2367 stoploss 2361
BUY zone 2347 - 2345 stoploss 2341
AUDUSD trading scalpingAustralian Dollar declines due to increased risk aversion, awaits US Services PMI
The Australian Dollar declines following the soft Purchasing Managers Index data release on Monday. Australia Composite PMI fell to 49.9 in July from 50.2 in June, with Services PMI decreasing to 50.4 from 51.8. The US Dollar lost ground as recent downbeat employment data boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
BUY AUDUSD now zone 0.64300-0.64100
↠ Stoploss 0.63900
→ Take Profit 1 0.64600
→ Take Profit 2 0.65300
GBPUSD scalping signalsGBP/USD: Bulls push to test the 1.2840 resistance
Instead of continuing to rise, the Pound Sterling (GBP) is more likely to trade in a range between 1.2740 and 1.2840. Downward momentum has slowed; any further GBP weakness is likely limited to a retest of the 1.2710 level, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
SELL Scalping zone SELL GBPUSD now zone 1.28000-1.28200
↠ Stoploss 1.28400
→ Take Profit 1 1.27700
→ Take Profit 2 1.27000
Good luck everyone
Gold fluctuations in the new weekFundamental Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) gained traction on Monday as the greenback weakened. The market is still digesting the dovish FOMC and a weaker US jobs report. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields and the US dollar (USD) are likely to remain under pressure, acting as a bullish driver for the yellow metal. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could continue to support traditional safe-haven assets like Gold.
Looking ahead, Gold traders will be watching the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) on Monday for fresh catalysts. The Services PMI is estimated to improve to 51.0 in July from 48.8 in June. In case the data is stronger than expected, the USD could rise and limit the upside in the precious metal.
Technical Analysis:
Gold after NF formed a fairly wide trading range. An upward price range was formed with the price range of 2475 and 2420. The h2 time frame gives an overview of the short-term fluctuations of gold during the day. The 2411 area on Friday formed a critical zone around it with a reaction of 30 prices. so it became a strong reaction zone when gold broke out of the price channel.
Resistance: 2466 - 2475 - 2480 - 2491 - 2502
Support: 2423 - 2412 - 2405 - 2394 - 2385
SELL GOLD 2465 - 2467 Stoploss 2471
BUY GOLD 2415 - 2413 Stoploss 2408
EURUSD Analysis week 32Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD gained on Friday after the Greenback was weakened by the poor US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data.
With the US economic data turning sour, investors extended their losses for two days on growing concerns about a broader recession in the domestic US economy, triggering a flight from risk assets and sending equity indices sharply lower.
Next week, the US will see the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July on Monday. Euro-wide retail sales for the year ending June are scheduled for release early Tuesday. This will give us a clearer picture of the current stage of the currency market.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD formed a wide range after the NF release with the nearest support resistance in the range of 1.094 and 1.082. On the H4 timeframe, EMA 34 is looking to surpass EMA 89 to escape the short-term downtrend of the past week. Specifically, it proves that the price line has broken out of the downtrend line. The uptrend may face the highest resistance at 1.098 when the price breaks out of the immediate resistance at 1.094. On the other hand, recovery is necessary in an uptrend. The price trend may retest the broken trend zone around 1.083 after some investors take profit. If the downtrend is established, the strong support zone next week will be 1.075.
Resistance: 1.094-1.098
Support: 1.083-1.075
Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD zone 1.075-1.073 Stoploss 1.071
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.098-1.100 Stoploss 1.102
XAUUSD Forecast ( Weekly )Pair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves creating Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame for Trend Reversal. Strong Divergence in RSI. If it Breaks Demand Zone with Strong Bullish Price Action then Possible it will Break all time High otherwise we can expect a Great Impulse ( Bearish )
Gold August 2. Approaching all-time high🌿Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices showed absolute strength in the European session on Friday ahead of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for July. The official jobs data will indicate the current state of the labor market, which will influence market speculation about the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates in September.
Investors will also focus on Average Hourly Earnings data, a key measure of wage growth that boosts consumer spending and ultimately drives price pressures.
Meanwhile, the deepening risk of an all-out war between Iran and Israel has improved Gold’s appeal as a safe haven. Iran has vowed to retaliate for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh with an Israeli airstrike in Tehran.
🌿Technical Analysis
In terms of Elliot wave, Gold may have formed wave 5 and is trading in an abc recovery wave. or a recovery could occur after Nonfarm pushing gold prices to the 2442-2430-2422 support zone to continue to return to wave 5 to break the all-time high.
The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is rising to near 60.00. If RSI rises above that level, the momentum will continue to increase strongly.
We will wait for recovery waves to buy gold today, or look for resistance zones to catch the recovery wave.
SELL zone 2472 - 2474 SL 2478
SELL zone 2482-2484 SL 2487
BUY zone 2433 - 2431 SL 2427
BUY zone 2422 - 2420 SL 2416
EURUSD Trading signalsBUY EURUSD now zone 1.08300-1.08100
↠ Stoploss 1.07900
→ Take Profit 1 1.08600
→ Take Profit 2 1.09300
EURUSD pair price is at the upper boundary of the price range.
After some CPI data released, the pair has a tendency to break the resistance level and close the m30 candle above the trendline resistance area.
The pair is still creating Dow to break out of the price range and form a short-term uptrend.