THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the market to open, test the high and then give us the short trade into the lower red box levels. We gave the levels of 2775 and 2755-60 to traders for potential RIPs of which the 2775 region gave us the tap and bounce that we wanted to get that long trade.
We mentioned our target level of 2828 which was active and as we saw, it not only completed but was surpassed. During the week, we updated traders with the plans for pull backs and red box target levels, of which again, nearly all were completed. That along with another 8 Excalibur targets just on Gold!
An extremely decent week on the markets in Camelot, not only on gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re in a similar situation to the last two weeks, price has close high and it’s too risky for us to attempt long trades up here unless we’re scalping the red boxes. We have the immediate resistance level above of 2865-8 which is a potential opening target if they take this upside from the open. This is a key level and needs to be watched, if rejected this could be the first opportunity to short again into the lower levels of 2855-50 and below that 2830-35. If broken, we’ll look higher at the 2895-2902 (target region) level for another attempt.
On the flip, ideally we want to see this go down into the first region 2830-5 for the bounce, and then flip the resistance to continue the move downside into the lower support and red box levels which is where we will be waiting again to swing this long.
In summary, expect ranging first part of the week, potential for 2885 resistance and 2855 support which are the levels that need to break to determine the next move. Don’t get carried away with trading it to the moon or shorting it to the core of the earth. Trade it how you see it on the day, follow KOG’s bias of the day and the red box targets which are proven to be effective for day traders and scalpers.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2875 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2845 and below that 2835
Bullish on break of 2875 with targets above 2890, 2897, 2899 and above that 2902
RED BOXES:
Break below 2850 for 2847, 2844, 2839, 2835 and 2826 in extension of the move
Break above 2860 for 2865, 2872, 2874, 2890 and 2902 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Goldindicators
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
After another successful week on the markets, I would suggest traders take it easy on this one and let them do and take the market to where ever they want, we’ll find the better opportunities next week.
To start, looking at our indicators, we still have room for lower pricing, however, there is a key level above sitting around the 2903-10 region. So, we’ll start by saying if they push this up into that level and reject, as in wick, we feel that’s where a minor correction of the move up may start from. Support here stands at the 2860 level, if held that move may complete. Note, the weekly close is important, and If it want’s to close higher, they will need to hold this above the 2880 region, so if they want to break above we may only get scalps from there.
On the flip, if they take this down, we’re going to ignore the immediate levels and monitor the key levels below 2830-35 and below that on the break the level of 2810 and 2805. These lower levels are important for price to stay above and would represent opportunities to swing long.
Simple one this time, levels are on the chart, less experienced traders should definitely not get involved.
Red boxes:
Break above 2875 for 2883, 2887, 2900 and 2903 in extension of the move
Break below 2860 for 2855, 2850, 2835 and 2820 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the deeper pull back from the open and then hunt the long trades into the levels we published as our bias and red box targets. We managed to get the short early part of the week into the level we wanted 2730-35 giving us the long trade and a phenomenal pip capture.
We then published the FOMC KOG REPORT and stated a similar scenario, only this time expecting price to give us an undercut low before then resuming the move into all time highs. Price didn’t capture the liquidity from below enabling traders to keep positions from below and then carry trades up completing every target level down and up for the week!
A fantastic week in Camelot and for those who followed, not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade and analyse, completing 28 targets during and high volatility and demanding week. Well done to the team!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’re looking for two potential moves this week to start with. Ideally, we want to see the market open, test that high around the 2810-7 region and see a rejection there. If we can get that RIP there we feel the move downside can commence firstly into the 2775 region and below that 2755-60. That’s the level for us to watch for a potential long trade back up but we’ll treat it level to level unless the 2890-95 region is broken.
Our target level of 2828 is still active, however, we would again like to see a deeper pull back before attempting that long trade as we’re too high and It’s too dangerous up here.
On the flip, if we break above that 2810 level and can hold above it, we’ll be looking to complete our target level and based on a clean set up, a potential swing short for the bigger capture may come from up there.
Crucial level here is 2790 which has been circled on the chart, it’s likely they will use this level as a key level for this week.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2810 with targets below 2795, 2775 and below that 2755.
Bullish on break of 2810 with targets above 2820, 2824, 2828 and above that 2835
RED BOXES:
Break of 2810 for 2815, 2818, 2828, 2830 and 2834 in extension of the move
Break of 2790 for 2785, 2877, 2765 and 2755 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Ok team, a simple one for this FOMC as we're expecting a bit of a curveball which is going to make it difficult to hold trades. For that reason, we have plotted the extreme key levels on the charts, anything intra-day and immediate support and resistance has been removed as it’s simply irrelevant if we see aggressive volume.
We have the level below which is also the order region 2730-40, a spike there with rejection can give this the momentum it needs to break upside and attack that 2800 level which is ideally what we want to see if they’re going to attempt it. We’ll be waiting higher however for them to complete the move and confirm a reversal, only then will we want to attempt the short trade back down using the red boxes.
Below the order region is the key level 2710-03, a push down there with a confirmed rejection and reversal, we’ll decide on whether to long or not back up using the red boxes level to level. We’ve done well on the KOG Report, we’ve shorted, we’ve longed and we’ve closed nicely on the bias level targets this week. We’re suggesting our traders take it easy, instil some patience and discipline, wait for them to take the price to where they want, then hunt the trade.
RED BOXES:
Break above 2762 for 2775, 2782, 2790 and 2810 in extension of the move
Break below 2740 for 2730, 2720, 2710 and 2698 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking price to attempt the 2715 price point and if rejected we would be looking for the short into the lower red box but sticking with the bullish bias levels. We got the move exactly into the red box support we wanted initially giving us the move upside completing not only KOGs bullish above targets but also the red box targets and the Excalibur targets. We update traders through the week with the plan and continued to remain with the long of the lows up to where we ended the week.
A phenomenal week in Camelot on gold hitting 7 targets and the team completing about 12 targets on the other pairs we trade and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
It’s going to be a frustrating week of expected ranging and choppy price action for traders due to it being the last week of the month and with FOMC pending. For that reason, we will use this KOG Report for the first half of the week and then update traders with the KOG Report FOMC before the release.
For this week we’re not looking to long unless we get a deep pull back either into the order region 2750-55 or further below that the 2730-35 region. It’s actually this levels we will want to test the short trades in to from the higher red box regions. We do have a red box active now at 2827, however, due to where the price is at the moment we’re not comfortable to long up here. If we can open and stay below the 2777 level, we feel an opportunity to short is available into the first region of 2765 which needs to be monitored for the break, and level that the order region of 2750-55. That’s where we will want to test the first long trade, but, as we said above, due to FOMC we can’t expect a clean move.
We have the levels above now active at 2827-30 which we feel is where they may want to take this to open up the 2800’s. If we do continue higher, that’s where we will be watching for a RIP IF we get there!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2750 with targets above 2784, 2793 and above that 2810 pre-event
Bearish on break of 2750 with target below 2735
Red boxes:
Break above 2780 for 2793, 2795, 2806 and 2827 in extension of the move
Break below 2770 for 2765, 2757, 2755, 2750 and 2743 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said for the first half of the week we will be looking for the price to attempt the low-level support 2625-30 to complete the move from the week before which we achieved. We wanted this level to give us the bounce upside for the long, which was almost to the pip, hitting our target upside for another short completing the bearish targets.
We then updated traders with the long trade before NFP which we traded level to level until we released the NFP KOG Report on Friday. For this report we gave the levels of interest and our plan, and although we didn’t manage to capture the exact level for the long, some traders managed to get in on the move hitting the target on the nose. It’s at that red box level we then shorted again to close the week.
What a week in Camelot, not only a point to point moves across the week on Gold but we completed a whopping 22 targets across the other pairs we trade and analyse.
Well done to the community and traders.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we have the key levels above 2700 and above that 2710, which could be possible targets for bulls to attempt during the course of the week. Below, we have the key levels of 2665 and the key level 2650-55 which will be this week’s bullish above bias level. Ideally, on open we want to see a brief test of that high, if rejected we would like to see this come back down to complete the move downside from Fridays’ NFP. It’s these lower levels that need to be monitored, the 2665 region which is where if we want to go up, we don’t want to see a break below and below that, then the extension of the move into the 2645-50 region.
We’re a little too high to attempt the long and we’re also holding protected shorts from above, so a progressive move down would suit before then finding a base to attempt that long unless Excalibur says otherwise.
At present, we can not get to carried away with the long-term direction, a visit into 2700 with a strong break above 2720 is needed for this to continue the move upside, while a break below the 2640-45 region is needed for this to confirm the move further downside. It’s still possible we continue this range until a further breakout so for that reason we’ll play it intra-day for now following our trusted algo and additional tools we have in place.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2650 with targets above 2700, 2706 and above that 2716
Bearish on break of 2650 with targets below 2640 and below that 2635
RED BOXES:
Break above 2690 for 2700, 2703, 2706, 2710 and 2724 in extension of the move
Break below 2680 for 2667, 2665, 2655 and 2640 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
We’ve had an extremely decent week on the markets so please take it easy and remember the trade comes after they have made the move. Let them take it to where they want, wait for the exhaustion, identify the reversal, and then look for the trade. Most likely, the best trades come next week!
We have the breakout we were looking for out of the 2650-55 region which has now flipped. The resistance above is sitting at 2680-85 and above that 2695-2700. This level needs to be watched, a RIP here and we could see this come all the way back down into the order region again 2655-60 with extension of the move. This region for us would represent an opportunity to take the long trade back for the shorter capture.
On the flip, if they take this down during the move, we’ll be looking at the levels below shown on the chart, 2660-55 is a key level, our bias stands at 2645 in extension of the move. These levels may give us opportunities to then long back up if the higher levels are untouched!
Although all our bullish targets completed yesterday, we’ll share the Red box levels below as a guide for the intra-day strategy.
KOG’s Bias for the day:
Bullish above 2645 with targets above 2685, 2694 and 2700
Bearish on break of 2645 with targets below 2635
RED BOXES
Break above 2691 for 2700, 2702, 2710 in extension of the move
Break below 2675 for 2668, 2655 and 2645 in extension of the move
The circled question marks on the chart are our hot spots!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week's KOG Report we said we would look for two levels from the open to be attempted where we wanted to short the market. The first level of 2630-5 worked extremely well for us giving us a level to level, point to point short into the red box region and target level we had shared. This move completed a majority of our bearish targets apart from one, also giving us the opportunity to then long back up into the Excalibur targets we had above.
During the later part of the week we shared the updated chart and gave the levels again to attempt the short, and again, a pinpoint short came from the level we wanted and we closed the week with runners left on those trades.
Another decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but also the other pairs we trade and analyse giving us a 15 out of 16 targets completed.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
To start, we have NFP towards the end of the week, so we’ll use this report for the first half of the week and then release the NFP KOG Report with our view per-event. After the bearish move on Friday, we’ll be looking for a base during the early sessions, potentially deeper into the 2625-30 region before then attempting the long trade back up to target the resistance levels. It’s those resistance levels 2640 and above that again the 2650-55 region that need to be monitored this week for the break, if held, further opportunities may be available to short again unless broken. We’re still in the larger range with key level support 2605 and resistance sitting way up at 2670-75 so it gives us some idea of the play.
If we do break above that 2550 level and hold with a close, we'll look higher again into the range high trading level to level.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2630 with targets above 2650, 2655 and above that 2667
Bearish below 2630 with targets below 2624, 2620, 2610 and below that 2604
RED BOXES:
Break above 2640 for 2646, 2650, 2659 and 2670 in extension of the move
Break below 2625 for 2620, 2617, 2610 and 2604 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the levels of resistance above at the 2670-75 region where we anticipated the short trade to come from and the lower levels of support standing at 2630 where we wanted to see a reaction in price. We managed to get the short just below around the 2665 region giving us a nice start to the week in Camelot, targeting lower and breaking through 2630. We then continued to short completing the bias target levels as well as the red box targets which were shared with the wider community.
Pre-FOMC we suggested traders pause and wait for the reversal which we managed to get based on the indicator and the FOMC report enabling us to capture the move upside into the close of the week, giving us a phenomenal pip capture on Gold. Add to that the other pairs we’ve traded and analysed through the week, and it was a nice end to week giving us an opportunity to now take it lightly for the remainder of the year.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we will be expecting thin volume so potential for ranging and slow movement with sudden burst of unexpected volume. We again have the key level of 2630-35 above which is a reasonable target region for the start of the week as long as the support level just below here holds us up 2610. If we can start the week with a move into that region we feel an opportunity to long is there with the first region being 2630 and above that 2635. 2635 is the level we’re anticipating a break of into the higher levels of 2650-55 and above that 2660-6, which is where we ideally want to be waiting for the short opportunity to take this back down into the lower levels with potential to then break below the 2600 level.
We say it a lot but this week and most probably for the remainder of the year we will be taking this level to level, hence the report is showing you’re the 4H red boxes which together with our 15min and 1H indicators work well to capture the moves for intra-day trading across all pairs.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2660 with targets below 2610, 2596, 2580 and 2578
Bullish on break of 2660 with targets above 2667 and above that 2670
RED BOXES:
Break of 2625 for 2630, 2635, 2645 and 2660 in extension of the move
Break of 2610 for 2606, 2590, and 2680 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Quick report this week with the key levels to look for during the rest of the day. We had the 2630-35 region hold price down, giving us the move into the lower target regions completing all the bearish targets for the week, so now we’ll look for a similar move, or, simply stay out of it.
We have the level of 2670 still active from the KOG Report, maybe they have held back all week to swoop that level, so for that reason, that is where we will look to for a RIP and possible short attempt.
Circled below is a key level, 2625, any attempts at that region with rejection can give that push upside, unless broken. We did say yesterday a break of support will take us into those lower levels of 2610-15 which has already happened, so a similar move can not be discounted for a potential bounce from below.
Due to the range, the movement can be extreme, so please be careful, remember the trade comes after the event, let them move price to where they want, look for a clean reversal and you can capture the reversal.
RED BOXES:
Break above 2650 for 2661, 2664 and 2670 in extension of the move
Break below 2625 for 2615, 2610 and 2695 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
I last week’s KOG Report we wanted the lower support level to hold 2710, give us the push up into the higher resistance level where we said watch 2720 and 2730 which needs to break above. It’s those higher levels, in particular 2750 we wanted to attempt that short trade back down into the lower levels. From the open, price resisted 2720, failed to break and gave us the red box trades down into the support levels.
We then had to switch to level-to-level trading due to the ranging which worked well, but we only managed 5 out of 6 Gold targets out of a combined 16 targets completed across the other pairs.
During the week we updated traders with the plans and managed guide them up from the lows to where we closed the week.
It was another successful and consistent week; however, the market didn’t move completely how we wanted it to. The Election special chart however, still on track and working well with our view from the start of November.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Ok, it’s going to be another choppy week, trades are most likely going to be again level-to-level on the red boxes which we will share with the wider community as and when we can. We have the level of 2670 sticking out as resistance with the support level 2650-55 being the key level. With NFP on Friday we would expect most of the movement during the early part of the week before they then settle pre-event into a small range. The weekly key level here is 2620 which will need to break for price to go lower.
We’ll start the week again looking for the higher levels 2662-5 and extension of the move into 2670, if held, an opportunity to short may be available into the lower support level 2650 and below that 2640. We need price to hold above the 2640 region in order to continue higher into the 2675 and above that 2678 price points, so please keep an eye on the support levels.
On the flip, if we continue downside from the open, we will be looking at the 2640-5 region to hold, and if it does, an opportunity to long is on the horizon into the 2665 and above that 2675 region.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2640 with targets above 2655, 2665 and above that 2670
Bearish on break of 2640 with targets below 2635 and below that 2620-15
RED BOXES:
Break above 2652 for 2660, 2665, 2670 and 2675 in extension of the move
Break below 2640 for 2635, 2630 and 2617 in extension of the move
As usual, we will update traders through the week with KOG’s bias of the day and the Red boxes which have proven to work extremely well on not only gold, but also any other pair you wish to apply them to together with our basket of indicators.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we wanted higher pricing to short again into the lower targets 2665, 2650 and 2620. Unfortunately, we didn’t get the higher level we wanted, so instead, followed Excalibur and the red boxes not only completing the bias targets in one move, but also then completing numerous bearish targets on the week.
The bias was bearish below, the price, once settled moved well and allowed us to navigate the short trades and the bounce for the longs. Another good week in Camelot, completing a staggering 25 targets, 8 of those on gold alone.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re only looking for one move, and that’s for the price to attempt the retracement that is needed and stretching out traders. For that reason, we have the lower level of 2550-55 which if attacked and held during the early session may give traders the opportunity to long back up into the 2565-70 region and above that 2600-05 region initially. That’s the trade that we’re looking for early part of the week but please note, breaking below that 2550 level will give us a better opportunity from the 2530-35 region which is also shown on the chart.
Nice and simple this week, we’ll update as we usually do. Potential for more ranging on Monday so maybe best to let Monday play and then look for a decent set up for Tuesday onwards.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2575 with targets below 2555 and below that 2550
Bullish on break of 2575 with targets above 2595 and above that 2605
RED BOXES:
Break above 2575 for 2585, 2587, 2595 and 2610 in extension
Break below 2560 for 2555, 2551, 2541 and 2535 in extension
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL THE KOG REPORT:
This week’s KOG Report is a little different this week due to the upcoming elections. For that reason, we’re going to share the levels and potential movement since we are almost guaranteed to see some extreme movement over the coming sessions. The chart was shared in Camelot together with the analysis 4yrs ago which worked well.
On the left chart you can see the 2020 reaction to the elections giving a powerful movement across the markets and gold moving over 2000pips in days. We’ve shown this chart to make new and less experienced traders aware of what can happen based on any result! Price will whipsaw, they will chop and change direction and when they move, it will really move. IF, and it’s a BIG IF, you’re going to attempt to trade it, please make sure your lot sizes are sensible, and your risk model is flexible enough to adapt to sudden changes in direction.
Now the chart on the right. We have drawn a path, but it’s based more on a potential fractal rather than set in stone. The levels however are important, and potentially if targeted can give traders opportunities to capture the bounces or, give them a better understanding of where price can go before taking a breather. We’re close to the 2800 level but as you can see, we’ve struggled to break it, this usually just means that price has travelled enough to take a slight pause in direction, and requires a pullback, which is what we analysed and traded last week. How far thought, with extreme news and volatility entails caution, our immediate support and resistance levels hardly work in these scenarios.
So, when we look at extreme levels on the chart we can see the following:
We have resistance above on the daily at 2745 which needs a daily close above to go higher. This flips our support level into the 2715 level which looks like a decent level for price to attempt in the coming sessions. Our order region is sitting at the psychological level of 2700 with the extension of the move into the 2680-5 level. This, if attempted could give traders and opportunity to take the long back up towards the 2730-35 red box level which will have also flipped into resistance. This is the level currently in play and needs to be monitored as this is the order region they’re using to propel the price in either direction. It’s also the reason they’re accumulating here and start the pre-event range. Break above, and we should see bulls’ step in and force price higher, as shown in the illustration on the chart.
The range is big, the high in sight is the 2820-34 region, which if attacked and rejected can give us opportunities to capture the larger short trade, while the 2575-65 level is sticking out for the undercut low. To be totally honest, knowing what can happen and how price can move, it’s the same strategy as trading NFP and FOMC. Don’t trade the volume driven candles, wait for price to move, use the levels and the red boxes, and then, with a risk model in place take a sensible trade if you’re going to trade it.
The above is just our view and more for educational purposes. We will continue to use our proven red box strategy, indicators and our trusted algo Excalibur to guide us through the markets.
Good luck for the week ahead!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2744 with targets below 2720, 2714 and below that 2702
Bullish on break of 2744 with targets above 2792 and above that 2803
Red boxes:
Break above 2744 for 2753, 2765, 2780
Break below 2730 for 2715, 2705, 2695
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wouldn’t be looking to long for the early part of the week, instead gave the path moving up into the 2727 and 2742 price targets where we wanted to attempt the short. This worked well during the early part of the week, but we didn’t get to complete the move, instead our red boxes kicked in and we continued to look upside into the 2739 and 2745 price point. We then updated traders with the hotspots at the 2750-55 region and suggested looking for a reaction in price there mid-week which was tapped into and rejected giving the lovely move down that we experienced completing the first red box target 2710 before the bounce upside.
It wasn’t an easy week, very choppy and frustrating with burst of volume but we didn’t do to badly completing 6 gold Excalibur targets on top of the bias level targets and the red box targets. Small stops and big captures should have given our followers a decent week on Gold moving level to level with the red boxes we share as well as KOG’s bias of the day. Excalibur performed again with 21 targets completed across the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re seeing a little more bullish movement on Gold but there’s a level above which needs to be watched and needs to be broken for us to go higher and target that 2800 level! So we’ll look for price to attempt the 2750-55 region during the early session and if rejected there is potential for the pullback to present itself into the 2735-32 red box defence. It’s this 2732-35 region we feel an opportunity to the long is available back up to attempt 2763 and above that 2765. Please note, 2765 is the level we need to break and hold above for us to attempt to target higher pricing for now.
Those looking to attempt the short trades should be looking at the levels of 2760-5 and if broken 2780-5 for opportunities to capture the pullbacks and maybe even a short swing.
Now, we have a slight issue here with the extension of the move this week and with a lot of news to come together with it being the end of the month, we’re concerned about profit taking and a potential sell off, so for that reason, we’ll play level to level on the upside picking the right levels and using the red boxes for our entries and exits which have proven to give the 50-70pip captures quite easily.
KOG’s BIAS FOR THE WEEK:
Bullish above 2730 with targets above 2755, 2762 and 2779
Bearish on break of 2730 with target below 2709
RED BOXES:
Break above 2755 for 2762, 2768, 2780
Break below 2742 for 2732, 2720, 2709
Good luck for the week.
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
KOG's RED BOXES - GOLDRed Boxes:
Break above 2755 for 2762, 2768, 2780
Break below 2742 for 2732, 2720, 2709
Many of us sit and wait for the perfect entry, I can tell you, unless you're scalping, this hardly ever happens. The key to get an entry is identifying your target region first! Once you have identified that target region, then start looking not for a precise entry, but a region or a zone you want to be testing your entry in. The skill is not getting in too early, and if you get in too late, you're usually going to be the wrong side of the market. So, use the bias and the red boxes, bullish/bearish above/below. Most new traders struggle with basic support and resistance or identifying zones; hence they’ll usually enter the market at the wrong time and place. This is where red boxes are really helpful, you can use them to identify key regions if you’re scalping or use the higher or lower ones for day trading and managing trades in-between.
KOG’s Red boxes are part of our strategy and are added to our targets to further fine tune our entries and exits. We also use them combined with our hotspots and Excalibur/LiTE targets to keep us in the right direction of the markets, allowing us to trade between the levels, scalp in ranges or in low volume periods as well as identify possible turning points on the pair we’re trading.
We’ve been using these now for a few years and they have proven to work extremely well when combined with our other strategy as well as a standalone strategy in itself, once you have experience. You need to have a plan and you will need to have basic knowledge of price action, you can add MA’s, indicators of your choice, and use these with your own strategy to limit your drawdown and identify when you may be in the wrong side of the market.
You will notice the boxes, just like usual support and resistance will give RIPs. Keep an eye on KOG’s bias of the day together with the targets as well as the analysis we share on the KOG Report updates. This will help you to make a plan for the day, then add the red boxes to your charts and hopefully you’ll notice a difference in your trading.
As always, trade safe.
KOG