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Goldindicators

THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would anticipate a potential curveball and that being that price may just support on the open at the immediate support level and give the move upside into the 3010 and above that 3020 region which was achieved. We then updated traders with the FOMC report suggesting a further move upside into the 3050-55 region which is where we suggested the potential short will come from. After the push up into the level and then some accumulation, Friday gave us the volume we needed to break away from the range and complete the move downside to end the week. Again, nearly all of our bias level targets were completed, the bias level worked well, Excalibur performed well and the red box indi’s worked a dream, even in the choppy market conditions. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We have an issue with gold at the moment, although it’s broken the immediate range, it’s still above 3000 with a larger range low around the 2990 and below that 2970-75 region. That potential swing point below is an area of interest for us this week and leading up towards the end of the month. For that reason, if we can support at the first red box below, and continue the move that started on Friday up into those 3025, 3030 and above that 3035-7 price points we’ll want to monitor this careful for a reversal to form. If we can get it, an opportunity to add or take the short may be available to traders, this time in attempt to break below the 3000 level into those lower support level mentioned and shown on the chart, which also correspond with the red boxes. As many of you have seen over the last year or so, we’ve been sharing these indicator boxes on the 4H for the wider community for free, as they are extremely powerful in identifying turning points and entry and exit points for traders. So let’s keep an eye on them this week for the break and closes, RIP’s and rejections. We’re mostly looking for this one move to complete, however, there has to be a flip! This week, the flip is breaking above that 3035-37 level which will also be this week’s bias level. If we do breach, we’ll be looking at this to then continue higher, breaking 3050 and then resuming the move into the active Excalibur targets above which ideally, we don't want to see happen yet! So, we know we want higher, what we do want though is better entry levels for the longs, until then, if we can capture these short trades we’ll of course gratefully take them. KOG’s bias for the week: Bearish below 3040 with targets below 3010, 3006, 2997, 2985 and below that 2978 Bullish on break of 3040 with targets above 3050, 3055, 3063 and above that 3067 RED BOXES: Break above 3037 for 3040, 3047, 3050, 3055, 3063 and 3066 in extension of the move Break below 3010 for 3006, 3000, 2997, 2990 and 2985 in extension of the move This should give you an idea of your levels, please use them! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
12
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. While gold is relatively new to this range we have to entail some caution if we’re even going to consider trading this FOMC. Markets are a little fragile, we’re at ATH’s and the moves are extremely aggressive. So, we’ll highlight the red box levels and the potential move we’ll be looking for, sticking to the extreme and key levels, ignoring the intermediate levels. Looking at the chart we have a support region below 3010-15 which if spiked into and held can push this back up this time to break above 3030 and attempt to attack that 3050 region. That in our opinion would be the first point to start looking for price to exhaust, but it will only give us the flip so longer scalps are likely to be all we’ll get. If we break above the 3055 region we’re likely to go higher giving us a red box resistance level of 3065-75. It’s this level we would ideally like to target from a lot lower down if we can get that entry. For that reason, we have given the level below on the break of 3010 sitting around 2990-80, we’ll have to wait and see, but if we can get down there a nice swing could present itself. RED BOX INDICATOR: Break above 3030 for 3050, 3055, 3063 and 3070 in extension of the move Break below 3020 for 3912, 3006, 2996 and 2990 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
13
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said it would be a difficult one to decipher so we suggested traders wait for the break, trade into the levels given and then look for the RIPs. This worked particularly well for us giving us the move into the lower level as analysed on the break, using the red boxes for direction and then giving us the tap and bounce that we wanted to take the long trades back up into the new all time highs we witnessed towards the end of the week. We managed to compete all of our bias level targets, getting a pin-point move from KOG’s bias and on top of that completing Excalibur targets and the red box targets. Not a bad week at all on Gold. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we’ll be looking for a retracement on the move, however, we are not discounting a curveball move from immediate support to clear liquidity from above. We have the resistance level above 2990 and lower support 2980 which could be the play for the opening. If we break above 2995, we’ll be looking for price to attempt that 3010 and above that 3020 region before attempting to short it again. On the flip, if we do reject that higher level and can break below 2980, we’ll stick with the plan from last week where we’re looking to continue the retracement back down first into the 2965 level and below that 2950-55. If you look on the chart, we have highlighted a lower level which is sitting around 2935-20, an aggressive move downside can take us there on the manipulation move, so please trade with caution this week and keep an eye on the levels. KOG’s bias for the week: Bearish below 2995 with targets below 2970, 2965, 2955 and below that 2950 Bullish on break of 2995 with targets above 3003, 3006, 3010, 3016 and above that 3020 RED BOXES: Break above 2995 for 2997, 3003, 3009, 3016 and 3021 in extension of the move Break below 2980 for 2975, 2971, 2965, 2959, 2955 and 2945 in extension of the move Short and simple this week, let’s see how the week plays out and remember, your risk model is there to protect you, use it, keep your losers small and your winners big! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
28
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would wait for the 2847-50 level to confirm support, and if it did the opportunity to long the market following KOG’s bias level targets would be available to traders. This worked well during the early part of the week as we managed to complete all targets by Tuesday! Once price confirmed encroaching the resistance we decided not to attempt the swing short, instead, trade the choppy range on the indicators which also worked well for traders. Pre-NFP we released the KOG Report giving the idea to watch the support level 2910, if given the opportunity to long could be available into the higher levels on the boxes. Although we got the pinpoint long, the move did not complete after a 200pip+ capture, not a bad week at all, not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade and analyse in Camelot hitting a phenomenal 32 Take profit levels. Well done again to the community. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? It’s a difficult one to decipher this week with the previous weeks range holding into the close on Friday. We have support below at the 2895 with extension into 2885 and resistance at 2930-35 with extension into the 2945 region. We also have the range high and low which you can see on the chart with a slight incline! For that reason, we would suggest best practice for market open is to wait, wait for price to break out of the range with the key levels here being 2920 which needs to break upside to start the move into the 2935 level and above that 2950-55 which is where we may get that potential swing short opportunity from. Please note, here we need to see a daily close above the 2935 region to continue the move upside, ideally, we want to see tap and bounces from these higher levels. On the flip, if we see resistance at that 2920 level and get a close below our red box support level 2907-10, we can consider the level to level short trades downside targeting the 2885 and potentially below that 2970-75 for now. As above we'll keep it simple for now, we can’t magic up an idea and hope for the best, when price accumulates like this, we have a fair idea of what it can do, but we need that set up to pull the trigger. Until that comes we can we'll just simply play the range. You can see from past KOG Reports how extremely powerful the red boxes we share for free are, they almost play price to perfection. So, lets stick with them and let Excalibur lead the way for this week. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 2898 with targets above 2920, 2934 and above that 2945 Bearish on break of 2898 with targets below 2895, 2880, 2874 and below that 2868 RED BOXES: Break above 2916 for 2920, 2925, 2929, 2933 and 2941 in extension of the move Break below 2900 for 2885, 2876, 2870 and 2868 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
9
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Firstly, we would suggest traders stay away from this NFP altogether, the markets are very delicate and moving to extreme levels not only on Gold but most forex pairs. For that reason we’ll keep it simple and look at the key levels together with the structure formed. We have the higher resistance level here which is the previous order region 2930-35 which looks to be a potential region price may want to attack if they want to continue this move upside, above that is the extension of the move around 2945-55. Price needs to stay below this level, If we can reject and not break above these levels, an opportunity to see the market correct may be available back down in attempt to break 2900 level. On the flip, if they push price downside, we’ll wait, the range needs to be broken, price should want to retest the flip and then continue the move, that’s when we can start using the red boxes to target those lower levels and potentially look for the swing low from the circled hotspot. As above, keep it simple, the trade comes after the event and most accounts are blown during these events due to traders using large lots on small accounts attempting to capture the volume driven candles. Unless you’re already in and protected, the swing in the opposite direction can cause huge problems to less experienced traders. RED BOXES: Break above 2930 for 2934, 2940, 2944 and 2955 in extension of the move Break below 2910 for 2903, 2895, 2890 and 2879 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to tap into the lower red box region, give the long trade up into the red box resistance which was active and then give us the opportunity to short the market sticking to our bias and our bias target levels. Although we missed the precise entry by 30pips from the highs, we managed to get in and complete not only the bias target levels, KOG’s bias of the day target levels, Excalibur target algo levels and LiTE EA targets hitting 100% on those for the week. A fantastic week on markets on just on Gold but on the other pairs we trade and analyse as well. Well done to our traders and team. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? After the move we witnessed last week we would expect there to be some retracement on the horizon, however, it all depends on this lower level of 2850-47 holding price up in the early sessions. If we do see a clean set up here an opportunity to take that potential long into the level above 2865-70 should be available. It these level above that are concerning, they need to break above for us to confirm this as a short term low, however, unless broken 2875-80 and above that 2895-2900 should be decent target levels for the longs and also pivotal points to watch for reversal to continue the move downside. On the flip, we do have a level below sitting at 2805-10, which is also a bearish below level. If we continue this move downside from the opening, we’ll look to continue with the move downside on the daily red boxes and then look for an opportunity to take a swing long from lower down. Key levels this week: Resistance – 2890 / 2904 Support – 2850 / 2830 / 2810 Potential range – 2810 – 2880 KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2847 with targets above 2865, 2871, 2876, 2880 and above that 2904 Bearish below 2847 with targets below 2840, 2835, 2830 and below that 2810 RED BOXES: Break above 2860 for 2865, 2872, 2874, 2885 and 2900 in extension of the move Break below 2847 for 2840, 2836, 2831, 2823 and 2810 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
11
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the market to open, test the high and then give us the short trade into the lower red box levels. We gave the levels of 2775 and 2755-60 to traders for potential RIPs of which the 2775 region gave us the tap and bounce that we wanted to get that long trade. We mentioned our target level of 2828 which was active and as we saw, it not only completed but was surpassed. During the week, we updated traders with the plans for pull backs and red box target levels, of which again, nearly all were completed. That along with another 8 Excalibur targets just on Gold! An extremely decent week on the markets in Camelot, not only on gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we’re in a similar situation to the last two weeks, price has close high and it’s too risky for us to attempt long trades up here unless we’re scalping the red boxes. We have the immediate resistance level above of 2865-8 which is a potential opening target if they take this upside from the open. This is a key level and needs to be watched, if rejected this could be the first opportunity to short again into the lower levels of 2855-50 and below that 2830-35. If broken, we’ll look higher at the 2895-2902 (target region) level for another attempt. On the flip, ideally we want to see this go down into the first region 2830-5 for the bounce, and then flip the resistance to continue the move downside into the lower support and red box levels which is where we will be waiting again to swing this long. In summary, expect ranging first part of the week, potential for 2885 resistance and 2855 support which are the levels that need to break to determine the next move. Don’t get carried away with trading it to the moon or shorting it to the core of the earth. Trade it how you see it on the day, follow KOG’s bias of the day and the red box targets which are proven to be effective for day traders and scalpers. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bearish below 2875 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2845 and below that 2835 Bullish on break of 2875 with targets above 2890, 2897, 2899 and above that 2902 RED BOXES: Break below 2850 for 2847, 2844, 2839, 2835 and 2826 in extension of the move Break above 2860 for 2865, 2872, 2874, 2890 and 2902 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
15
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. After another successful week on the markets, I would suggest traders take it easy on this one and let them do and take the market to where ever they want, we’ll find the better opportunities next week. To start, looking at our indicators, we still have room for lower pricing, however, there is a key level above sitting around the 2903-10 region. So, we’ll start by saying if they push this up into that level and reject, as in wick, we feel that’s where a minor correction of the move up may start from. Support here stands at the 2860 level, if held that move may complete. Note, the weekly close is important, and If it want’s to close higher, they will need to hold this above the 2880 region, so if they want to break above we may only get scalps from there. On the flip, if they take this down, we’re going to ignore the immediate levels and monitor the key levels below 2830-35 and below that on the break the level of 2810 and 2805. These lower levels are important for price to stay above and would represent opportunities to swing long. Simple one this time, levels are on the chart, less experienced traders should definitely not get involved. Red boxes: Break above 2875 for 2883, 2887, 2900 and 2903 in extension of the move Break below 2860 for 2855, 2850, 2835 and 2820 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the deeper pull back from the open and then hunt the long trades into the levels we published as our bias and red box targets. We managed to get the short early part of the week into the level we wanted 2730-35 giving us the long trade and a phenomenal pip capture. We then published the FOMC KOG REPORT and stated a similar scenario, only this time expecting price to give us an undercut low before then resuming the move into all time highs. Price didn’t capture the liquidity from below enabling traders to keep positions from below and then carry trades up completing every target level down and up for the week! A fantastic week in Camelot and for those who followed, not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade and analyse, completing 28 targets during and high volatility and demanding week. Well done to the team! So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We’re looking for two potential moves this week to start with. Ideally, we want to see the market open, test that high around the 2810-7 region and see a rejection there. If we can get that RIP there we feel the move downside can commence firstly into the 2775 region and below that 2755-60. That’s the level for us to watch for a potential long trade back up but we’ll treat it level to level unless the 2890-95 region is broken. Our target level of 2828 is still active, however, we would again like to see a deeper pull back before attempting that long trade as we’re too high and It’s too dangerous up here. On the flip, if we break above that 2810 level and can hold above it, we’ll be looking to complete our target level and based on a clean set up, a potential swing short for the bigger capture may come from up there. Crucial level here is 2790 which has been circled on the chart, it’s likely they will use this level as a key level for this week. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bearish below 2810 with targets below 2795, 2775 and below that 2755. Bullish on break of 2810 with targets above 2820, 2824, 2828 and above that 2835 RED BOXES: Break of 2810 for 2815, 2818, 2828, 2830 and 2834 in extension of the move Break of 2790 for 2785, 2877, 2765 and 2755 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Ok team, a simple one for this FOMC as we're expecting a bit of a curveball which is going to make it difficult to hold trades. For that reason, we have plotted the extreme key levels on the charts, anything intra-day and immediate support and resistance has been removed as it’s simply irrelevant if we see aggressive volume. We have the level below which is also the order region 2730-40, a spike there with rejection can give this the momentum it needs to break upside and attack that 2800 level which is ideally what we want to see if they’re going to attempt it. We’ll be waiting higher however for them to complete the move and confirm a reversal, only then will we want to attempt the short trade back down using the red boxes. Below the order region is the key level 2710-03, a push down there with a confirmed rejection and reversal, we’ll decide on whether to long or not back up using the red boxes level to level. We’ve done well on the KOG Report, we’ve shorted, we’ve longed and we’ve closed nicely on the bias level targets this week. We’re suggesting our traders take it easy, instil some patience and discipline, wait for them to take the price to where they want, then hunt the trade. RED BOXES: Break above 2762 for 2775, 2782, 2790 and 2810 in extension of the move Break below 2740 for 2730, 2720, 2710 and 2698 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking price to attempt the 2715 price point and if rejected we would be looking for the short into the lower red box but sticking with the bullish bias levels. We got the move exactly into the red box support we wanted initially giving us the move upside completing not only KOGs bullish above targets but also the red box targets and the Excalibur targets. We update traders through the week with the plan and continued to remain with the long of the lows up to where we ended the week. A phenomenal week in Camelot on gold hitting 7 targets and the team completing about 12 targets on the other pairs we trade and analyse. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? It’s going to be a frustrating week of expected ranging and choppy price action for traders due to it being the last week of the month and with FOMC pending. For that reason, we will use this KOG Report for the first half of the week and then update traders with the KOG Report FOMC before the release. For this week we’re not looking to long unless we get a deep pull back either into the order region 2750-55 or further below that the 2730-35 region. It’s actually this levels we will want to test the short trades in to from the higher red box regions. We do have a red box active now at 2827, however, due to where the price is at the moment we’re not comfortable to long up here. If we can open and stay below the 2777 level, we feel an opportunity to short is available into the first region of 2765 which needs to be monitored for the break, and level that the order region of 2750-55. That’s where we will want to test the first long trade, but, as we said above, due to FOMC we can’t expect a clean move. We have the levels above now active at 2827-30 which we feel is where they may want to take this to open up the 2800’s. If we do continue higher, that’s where we will be watching for a RIP IF we get there! KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2750 with targets above 2784, 2793 and above that 2810 pre-event Bearish on break of 2750 with target below 2735 Red boxes: Break above 2780 for 2793, 2795, 2806 and 2827 in extension of the move Break below 2770 for 2765, 2757, 2755, 2750 and 2743 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
46
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said for the first half of the week we will be looking for the price to attempt the low-level support 2625-30 to complete the move from the week before which we achieved. We wanted this level to give us the bounce upside for the long, which was almost to the pip, hitting our target upside for another short completing the bearish targets. We then updated traders with the long trade before NFP which we traded level to level until we released the NFP KOG Report on Friday. For this report we gave the levels of interest and our plan, and although we didn’t manage to capture the exact level for the long, some traders managed to get in on the move hitting the target on the nose. It’s at that red box level we then shorted again to close the week. What a week in Camelot, not only a point to point moves across the week on Gold but we completed a whopping 22 targets across the other pairs we trade and analyse. Well done to the community and traders. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we have the key levels above 2700 and above that 2710, which could be possible targets for bulls to attempt during the course of the week. Below, we have the key levels of 2665 and the key level 2650-55 which will be this week’s bullish above bias level. Ideally, on open we want to see a brief test of that high, if rejected we would like to see this come back down to complete the move downside from Fridays’ NFP. It’s these lower levels that need to be monitored, the 2665 region which is where if we want to go up, we don’t want to see a break below and below that, then the extension of the move into the 2645-50 region. We’re a little too high to attempt the long and we’re also holding protected shorts from above, so a progressive move down would suit before then finding a base to attempt that long unless Excalibur says otherwise. At present, we can not get to carried away with the long-term direction, a visit into 2700 with a strong break above 2720 is needed for this to continue the move upside, while a break below the 2640-45 region is needed for this to confirm the move further downside. It’s still possible we continue this range until a further breakout so for that reason we’ll play it intra-day for now following our trusted algo and additional tools we have in place. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 2650 with targets above 2700, 2706 and above that 2716 Bearish on break of 2650 with targets below 2640 and below that 2635 RED BOXES: Break above 2690 for 2700, 2703, 2706, 2710 and 2724 in extension of the move Break below 2680 for 2667, 2665, 2655 and 2640 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
17
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. We’ve had an extremely decent week on the markets so please take it easy and remember the trade comes after they have made the move. Let them take it to where they want, wait for the exhaustion, identify the reversal, and then look for the trade. Most likely, the best trades come next week! We have the breakout we were looking for out of the 2650-55 region which has now flipped. The resistance above is sitting at 2680-85 and above that 2695-2700. This level needs to be watched, a RIP here and we could see this come all the way back down into the order region again 2655-60 with extension of the move. This region for us would represent an opportunity to take the long trade back for the shorter capture. On the flip, if they take this down during the move, we’ll be looking at the levels below shown on the chart, 2660-55 is a key level, our bias stands at 2645 in extension of the move. These levels may give us opportunities to then long back up if the higher levels are untouched! Although all our bullish targets completed yesterday, we’ll share the Red box levels below as a guide for the intra-day strategy. KOG’s Bias for the day: Bullish above 2645 with targets above 2685, 2694 and 2700 Bearish on break of 2645 with targets below 2635 RED BOXES Break above 2691 for 2700, 2702, 2710 in extension of the move Break below 2675 for 2668, 2655 and 2645 in extension of the move The circled question marks on the chart are our hot spots! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week's KOG Report we said we would look for two levels from the open to be attempted where we wanted to short the market. The first level of 2630-5 worked extremely well for us giving us a level to level, point to point short into the red box region and target level we had shared. This move completed a majority of our bearish targets apart from one, also giving us the opportunity to then long back up into the Excalibur targets we had above. During the later part of the week we shared the updated chart and gave the levels again to attempt the short, and again, a pinpoint short came from the level we wanted and we closed the week with runners left on those trades. Another decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but also the other pairs we trade and analyse giving us a 15 out of 16 targets completed. So, what can we expect from the week ahead? To start, we have NFP towards the end of the week, so we’ll use this report for the first half of the week and then release the NFP KOG Report with our view per-event. After the bearish move on Friday, we’ll be looking for a base during the early sessions, potentially deeper into the 2625-30 region before then attempting the long trade back up to target the resistance levels. It’s those resistance levels 2640 and above that again the 2650-55 region that need to be monitored this week for the break, if held, further opportunities may be available to short again unless broken. We’re still in the larger range with key level support 2605 and resistance sitting way up at 2670-75 so it gives us some idea of the play. If we do break above that 2550 level and hold with a close, we'll look higher again into the range high trading level to level. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2630 with targets above 2650, 2655 and above that 2667 Bearish below 2630 with targets below 2624, 2620, 2610 and below that 2604 RED BOXES: Break above 2640 for 2646, 2650, 2659 and 2670 in extension of the move Break below 2625 for 2620, 2617, 2610 and 2604 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
25
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the levels of resistance above at the 2670-75 region where we anticipated the short trade to come from and the lower levels of support standing at 2630 where we wanted to see a reaction in price. We managed to get the short just below around the 2665 region giving us a nice start to the week in Camelot, targeting lower and breaking through 2630. We then continued to short completing the bias target levels as well as the red box targets which were shared with the wider community. Pre-FOMC we suggested traders pause and wait for the reversal which we managed to get based on the indicator and the FOMC report enabling us to capture the move upside into the close of the week, giving us a phenomenal pip capture on Gold. Add to that the other pairs we’ve traded and analysed through the week, and it was a nice end to week giving us an opportunity to now take it lightly for the remainder of the year. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we will be expecting thin volume so potential for ranging and slow movement with sudden burst of unexpected volume. We again have the key level of 2630-35 above which is a reasonable target region for the start of the week as long as the support level just below here holds us up 2610. If we can start the week with a move into that region we feel an opportunity to long is there with the first region being 2630 and above that 2635. 2635 is the level we’re anticipating a break of into the higher levels of 2650-55 and above that 2660-6, which is where we ideally want to be waiting for the short opportunity to take this back down into the lower levels with potential to then break below the 2600 level. We say it a lot but this week and most probably for the remainder of the year we will be taking this level to level, hence the report is showing you’re the 4H red boxes which together with our 15min and 1H indicators work well to capture the moves for intra-day trading across all pairs. KOG’s bias for the week: Bearish below 2660 with targets below 2610, 2596, 2580 and 2578 Bullish on break of 2660 with targets above 2667 and above that 2670 RED BOXES: Break of 2625 for 2630, 2635, 2645 and 2660 in extension of the move Break of 2610 for 2606, 2590, and 2680 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Quick report this week with the key levels to look for during the rest of the day. We had the 2630-35 region hold price down, giving us the move into the lower target regions completing all the bearish targets for the week, so now we’ll look for a similar move, or, simply stay out of it. We have the level of 2670 still active from the KOG Report, maybe they have held back all week to swoop that level, so for that reason, that is where we will look to for a RIP and possible short attempt. Circled below is a key level, 2625, any attempts at that region with rejection can give that push upside, unless broken. We did say yesterday a break of support will take us into those lower levels of 2610-15 which has already happened, so a similar move can not be discounted for a potential bounce from below. Due to the range, the movement can be extreme, so please be careful, remember the trade comes after the event, let them move price to where they want, look for a clean reversal and you can capture the reversal. RED BOXES: Break above 2650 for 2661, 2664 and 2670 in extension of the move Break below 2625 for 2615, 2610 and 2695 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: I last week’s KOG Report we wanted the lower support level to hold 2710, give us the push up into the higher resistance level where we said watch 2720 and 2730 which needs to break above. It’s those higher levels, in particular 2750 we wanted to attempt that short trade back down into the lower levels. From the open, price resisted 2720, failed to break and gave us the red box trades down into the support levels. We then had to switch to level-to-level trading due to the ranging which worked well, but we only managed 5 out of 6 Gold targets out of a combined 16 targets completed across the other pairs. During the week we updated traders with the plans and managed guide them up from the lows to where we closed the week. It was another successful and consistent week; however, the market didn’t move completely how we wanted it to. The Election special chart however, still on track and working well with our view from the start of November. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Ok, it’s going to be another choppy week, trades are most likely going to be again level-to-level on the red boxes which we will share with the wider community as and when we can. We have the level of 2670 sticking out as resistance with the support level 2650-55 being the key level. With NFP on Friday we would expect most of the movement during the early part of the week before they then settle pre-event into a small range. The weekly key level here is 2620 which will need to break for price to go lower. We’ll start the week again looking for the higher levels 2662-5 and extension of the move into 2670, if held, an opportunity to short may be available into the lower support level 2650 and below that 2640. We need price to hold above the 2640 region in order to continue higher into the 2675 and above that 2678 price points, so please keep an eye on the support levels. On the flip, if we continue downside from the open, we will be looking at the 2640-5 region to hold, and if it does, an opportunity to long is on the horizon into the 2665 and above that 2675 region. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 2640 with targets above 2655, 2665 and above that 2670 Bearish on break of 2640 with targets below 2635 and below that 2620-15 RED BOXES: Break above 2652 for 2660, 2665, 2670 and 2675 in extension of the move Break below 2640 for 2635, 2630 and 2617 in extension of the move As usual, we will update traders through the week with KOG’s bias of the day and the Red boxes which have proven to work extremely well on not only gold, but also any other pair you wish to apply them to together with our basket of indicators. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we wanted higher pricing to short again into the lower targets 2665, 2650 and 2620. Unfortunately, we didn’t get the higher level we wanted, so instead, followed Excalibur and the red boxes not only completing the bias targets in one move, but also then completing numerous bearish targets on the week. The bias was bearish below, the price, once settled moved well and allowed us to navigate the short trades and the bounce for the longs. Another good week in Camelot, completing a staggering 25 targets, 8 of those on gold alone. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we’re only looking for one move, and that’s for the price to attempt the retracement that is needed and stretching out traders. For that reason, we have the lower level of 2550-55 which if attacked and held during the early session may give traders the opportunity to long back up into the 2565-70 region and above that 2600-05 region initially. That’s the trade that we’re looking for early part of the week but please note, breaking below that 2550 level will give us a better opportunity from the 2530-35 region which is also shown on the chart. Nice and simple this week, we’ll update as we usually do. Potential for more ranging on Monday so maybe best to let Monday play and then look for a decent set up for Tuesday onwards. KOG’s bias for the week: Bearish below 2575 with targets below 2555 and below that 2550 Bullish on break of 2575 with targets above 2595 and above that 2605 RED BOXES: Break above 2575 for 2585, 2587, 2595 and 2610 in extension Break below 2560 for 2555, 2551, 2541 and 2535 in extension Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL THE KOG REPORT: This week’s KOG Report is a little different this week due to the upcoming elections. For that reason, we’re going to share the levels and potential movement since we are almost guaranteed to see some extreme movement over the coming sessions. The chart was shared in Camelot together with the analysis 4yrs ago which worked well. On the left chart you can see the 2020 reaction to the elections giving a powerful movement across the markets and gold moving over 2000pips in days. We’ve shown this chart to make new and less experienced traders aware of what can happen based on any result! Price will whipsaw, they will chop and change direction and when they move, it will really move. IF, and it’s a BIG IF, you’re going to attempt to trade it, please make sure your lot sizes are sensible, and your risk model is flexible enough to adapt to sudden changes in direction. Now the chart on the right. We have drawn a path, but it’s based more on a potential fractal rather than set in stone. The levels however are important, and potentially if targeted can give traders opportunities to capture the bounces or, give them a better understanding of where price can go before taking a breather. We’re close to the 2800 level but as you can see, we’ve struggled to break it, this usually just means that price has travelled enough to take a slight pause in direction, and requires a pullback, which is what we analysed and traded last week. How far thought, with extreme news and volatility entails caution, our immediate support and resistance levels hardly work in these scenarios. So, when we look at extreme levels on the chart we can see the following: We have resistance above on the daily at 2745 which needs a daily close above to go higher. This flips our support level into the 2715 level which looks like a decent level for price to attempt in the coming sessions. Our order region is sitting at the psychological level of 2700 with the extension of the move into the 2680-5 level. This, if attempted could give traders and opportunity to take the long back up towards the 2730-35 red box level which will have also flipped into resistance. This is the level currently in play and needs to be monitored as this is the order region they’re using to propel the price in either direction. It’s also the reason they’re accumulating here and start the pre-event range. Break above, and we should see bulls’ step in and force price higher, as shown in the illustration on the chart. The range is big, the high in sight is the 2820-34 region, which if attacked and rejected can give us opportunities to capture the larger short trade, while the 2575-65 level is sticking out for the undercut low. To be totally honest, knowing what can happen and how price can move, it’s the same strategy as trading NFP and FOMC. Don’t trade the volume driven candles, wait for price to move, use the levels and the red boxes, and then, with a risk model in place take a sensible trade if you’re going to trade it. The above is just our view and more for educational purposes. We will continue to use our proven red box strategy, indicators and our trusted algo Excalibur to guide us through the markets. Good luck for the week ahead! KOG’s bias for the week: Bearish below 2744 with targets below 2720, 2714 and below that 2702 Bullish on break of 2744 with targets above 2792 and above that 2803 Red boxes: Break above 2744 for 2753, 2765, 2780 Break below 2730 for 2715, 2705, 2695 Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
6
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we wouldn’t be looking to long for the early part of the week, instead gave the path moving up into the 2727 and 2742 price targets where we wanted to attempt the short. This worked well during the early part of the week, but we didn’t get to complete the move, instead our red boxes kicked in and we continued to look upside into the 2739 and 2745 price point. We then updated traders with the hotspots at the 2750-55 region and suggested looking for a reaction in price there mid-week which was tapped into and rejected giving the lovely move down that we experienced completing the first red box target 2710 before the bounce upside. It wasn’t an easy week, very choppy and frustrating with burst of volume but we didn’t do to badly completing 6 gold Excalibur targets on top of the bias level targets and the red box targets. Small stops and big captures should have given our followers a decent week on Gold moving level to level with the red boxes we share as well as KOG’s bias of the day. Excalibur performed again with 21 targets completed across the other pairs we trade. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we’re seeing a little more bullish movement on Gold but there’s a level above which needs to be watched and needs to be broken for us to go higher and target that 2800 level! So we’ll look for price to attempt the 2750-55 region during the early session and if rejected there is potential for the pullback to present itself into the 2735-32 red box defence. It’s this 2732-35 region we feel an opportunity to the long is available back up to attempt 2763 and above that 2765. Please note, 2765 is the level we need to break and hold above for us to attempt to target higher pricing for now. Those looking to attempt the short trades should be looking at the levels of 2760-5 and if broken 2780-5 for opportunities to capture the pullbacks and maybe even a short swing. Now, we have a slight issue here with the extension of the move this week and with a lot of news to come together with it being the end of the month, we’re concerned about profit taking and a potential sell off, so for that reason, we’ll play level to level on the upside picking the right levels and using the red boxes for our entries and exits which have proven to give the 50-70pip captures quite easily. KOG’s BIAS FOR THE WEEK: Bullish above 2730 with targets above 2755, 2762 and 2779 Bearish on break of 2730 with target below 2709 RED BOXES: Break above 2755 for 2762, 2768, 2780 Break below 2742 for 2732, 2720, 2709 Good luck for the week. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
KOG's RED BOXES - GOLDRed Boxes: Break above 2755 for 2762, 2768, 2780 Break below 2742 for 2732, 2720, 2709 Many of us sit and wait for the perfect entry, I can tell you, unless you're scalping, this hardly ever happens. The key to get an entry is identifying your target region first! Once you have identified that target region, then start looking not for a precise entry, but a region or a zone you want to be testing your entry in. The skill is not getting in too early, and if you get in too late, you're usually going to be the wrong side of the market. So, use the bias and the red boxes, bullish/bearish above/below. Most new traders struggle with basic support and resistance or identifying zones; hence they’ll usually enter the market at the wrong time and place. This is where red boxes are really helpful, you can use them to identify key regions if you’re scalping or use the higher or lower ones for day trading and managing trades in-between. KOG’s Red boxes are part of our strategy and are added to our targets to further fine tune our entries and exits. We also use them combined with our hotspots and Excalibur/LiTE targets to keep us in the right direction of the markets, allowing us to trade between the levels, scalp in ranges or in low volume periods as well as identify possible turning points on the pair we’re trading. We’ve been using these now for a few years and they have proven to work extremely well when combined with our other strategy as well as a standalone strategy in itself, once you have experience. You need to have a plan and you will need to have basic knowledge of price action, you can add MA’s, indicators of your choice, and use these with your own strategy to limit your drawdown and identify when you may be in the wrong side of the market. You will notice the boxes, just like usual support and resistance will give RIPs. Keep an eye on KOG’s bias of the day together with the targets as well as the analysis we share on the KOG Report updates. This will help you to make a plan for the day, then add the red boxes to your charts and hopefully you’ll notice a difference in your trading. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10