XAUUSD: As explained in our previous ideas! Time to Buy! Dear Traders,
As we had explained in our previous chart analysis on Gold, price did exactly the way we expected. Now we can take swing buy entry, however, would advise you to wait until London session open on Monday. Enter with accurate risk management.
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Goldintraday
Analysis of gold price trend on MondaySpot gold fell slightly in the Asian market on Monday and is currently trading around 2383. The unexpected result of the French election over the weekend, the weakening of the euro, provided the US dollar with a rebound opportunity, and the London gold price was slightly under pressure. Gold extended its gains on Friday to its highest level in more than a month, reaching 2392, after key US employment data showed that the labor market was weakening, thus raising expectations of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
In the past week, the US economic data has been disappointing, the US dollar has fallen under pressure, and gold has risen strongly. Looking ahead to the next week, Fed Chairman Powell will testify in Congress for two consecutive days, and the US CPI data for June may affect the Fed's expectations of rate cuts. In Europe, the French election on Sunday (July 7) has attracted much attention. In addition, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce its interest rate decision. Given that it is expected to keep the interest rate unchanged, the market will pay attention to changes in its wording.
Investors need to pay attention to the further fermentation of the French election on this trading day. This week, focus on the congressional testimony of Fed Chairman Powell and the US CPI data for June, and pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation. Relatively speaking, the current fundamentals and technical aspects tend to support gold prices to break through the 2400 mark, and it is even expected to test the resistance near the historical high of 2449.
Technical aspect
Technical aspect: Gold closed sharply higher on the daily line. Bollinger Bands opened upward, MA10/7-day moving average opened upward and currently moved up to 2343/2355, and RSI indicator ran above the middle axis. Short-term four-hour chart formed a big positive line and broke through the moving average, keeping the opening upward and the price was on the upper track of Bollinger Bands, but RSI indicator reached 80 and entered the overbought zone, paying attention to the technical adjustment of the early week's high and fall. The trading idea of gold at the beginning of the week remains unchanged, and the idea of buying at a low price remains unchanged, supplemented by selling at a high price.
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2380-2382 long, stop loss 2371, target 2395-2405;
Short-term gold 2406-2408 short, stop loss 2415, target 2380-2390;
Note: The above strategy was updated on July 8. This strategy is an Asian strategy, please pay attention to the validity period of the strategy release, NY time strategy is waiting for update
XAUUSD: 4/7 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2370, support below 2340-20
Four-hour resistance 2370, support below 2350-32
Gold operation suggestions: Gold bulls pulled up yesterday, breaking through the 2340 line since the European session, and then continued to rise in the US session with the stimulation of data, reaching a high of around 2365. Judging from yesterday's trend, the European session rose and broke through, then the US session retreated after a breakout, and then broke through again. The continuous rise also gathered the energy of the bulls. The trend of today's Asian and European sessions is also the direction indicator of the US session, and the support below will also be maintained at the low point of 2353 after yesterday's breakthrough and retreat. This position will also serve as the watershed point of the day. Similarly, if the European session continues to rise during the day, the US session will still be a good opportunity to go long. For yesterday's breakthrough, the bulls still have room to rise.
Judging from the current gold trend, the lower support is at 2335-2343, and the previous high point and suppression point are around 2363-65. This position can also be used as the intraday long-short dividing line. If the rise is blocked for a long time, we can look for opportunities to short around 2370 before the US market.
BUY:2343near SL:2340
SELL:2370near SL:2373
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Analysis of gold price trend on FridayGold fluctuated in a narrow range in the Asian market on Friday, and is currently trading around 2364. On Thursday, the overall trend remained in a narrow range, while investors digested the remarks of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and looked forward to the US NFP employment data released later this week for more signals on US interest rate cuts.
The latest US employment data such as ADP and initial jobless claims in May performed poorly. The market generally expects that the US job market may slow down, which is expected to provide support for gold prices before the data is released. However, Israel will send a delegation to negotiate with Hamas to release the hostages, and the geopolitical situation is concerned; US job vacancy data performed strongly, and even if the non-agricultural performance is poor, it may be "buy is expected, sell is a fact", and it is still necessary to beware of the possibility of a sharp drop in gold prices.
Gold price has moved slightly by 10 USD per day, and it is obvious that the bullish momentum has weakened. In the past three months, the price of gold has been adjusting and even has a peaking pattern. Everything depends on the direction given by today's NFP employment data.
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2350-2353 long, stop loss 2342, target 2370-2380;
Short-term gold 2368-2370 short, stop loss 2379, target 2350-2360;
Note: The above strategy was updated on July 5. This strategy is an Asian strategy, please pay attention to the validity period of the strategy release. Trading will stop at NY time.
XAUUSD: 1/7 Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2340, support below 2315-2277
Gold operation suggestions:
From the analysis of the 4-hour line, today's support below is around 2315, and the upper short-term pressure is around 2335-40. First, sell high and buy low in this range. In the short term, the gold price is likely to continue to fluctuate widely.
SELL:2340near SL:2343
BUY:2315near SL:2312
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
GOLD - rising after weak economic data🟢The global gold marketplace did now no longer differ tons in the course of the National Day holiday. Gold retained its preceding profits as expectancies that the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) could reduce hobby costs as early as September multiplied following vulnerable monetary statistics.
🟢In addition, currently launched statistics reinforces the opportunity of loosening economic coverage this 12 months and that may be a high-quality sign for gold. Data launched withinside the center of this week confirmed that the wide variety of packages for unemployment advantages multiplied, the wide variety of jobs withinside the personal quarter multiplied through most effective 150,000, tons decrease than forecast.
🟢Currently, the marketplace is watching for non-farm payroll statistics. This file can have a massive effect on gold expenses withinside the future. If gold falls after the file, traders have to see it as a shopping for possibility because the treasured metallic is on an uptrend and will reach $2,four hundred an oz. or greater pushed through sturdy demand. from principal banks and shelter-in-location shopping for because of issues approximately geopolitical tensions.
XAUUSD:28/6 Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2340, support below 2277
Gold operation suggestions: The overall price of gold has stabilized at the 2300 integer mark. At present, the technical side is likely to maintain a wide range of fluctuations in the 2300-2340 area.
From the analysis of the 4-hour line, today's lower support continues to focus on the neckline of yesterday's hourly line near 2313-2315. If it falls back during the day, we will first look at this position to rebound. The upper short-term pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2337-2340. We will rely on this range to maintain high selling and low buying during the day, and maintain the trading idea of range consolidation in the short term.
BUY:2313near SL:2310
SELL:2340near SL:2343
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Analysis of gold price trend on Friday Gold fluctuated in a narrow range in early Asian trading on Friday and is currently trading around 2323. Gold prices rose $30 from their lows on Thursday. As the dollar weakened, the market focus turned to key US inflation data for clues about the direction of Fed policy.
The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week, but continuing claims jumped to the highest level in two and a half years in mid-June, suggesting that labor market conditions are loosening amid slowing economic growth. Other data released on Thursday highlighted weakening economic momentum, with business equipment spending falling in May and a widening goods trade deficit due to falling exports. The series of weak data increased the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September after a sharp slowdown in economic growth in the first quarter.
The weak economic data supported expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates this year, putting pressure on the dollar, and gold prices rose sharply by nearly $30 after a sharp drop in the previous trading day. On Friday, investors will usher in the most important economic data of the week, the U.S. PCE inflation data, which is expected to cause sharp market fluctuations.
Friday is still based on the idea of wide range fluctuation. Technically, the daily line still maintains the discontinuous red and green alternating pattern, and the price returns to the MA10 daily moving average position of 2328, but the daily moving average does not form a golden cross and open volume, and the RSI indicator is still flat above the central axis. Similarly, the weekly line suppresses the MA10 daily moving average position of 2335, and the monthly line has the highest probability of closing at the cross line. Today's trading of gold will first see whether the long-short watershed of 2330 can stand firm!
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2310-2312 long, stop loss 2300, target 2330-2340;
Short-term gold 2330-2333 short, stop loss 2341, target 2310-2300;
Note: The above strategy was updated on June 28. This strategy is an Asian strategy, please pay attention to the validity period of the strategy, the US market strategy is waiting for update
XAUUSD: 27/6 Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2320, support below 2287-2277
Gold operation suggestions: The overall price of gold fell on Wednesday. The highest price rose to 2323, the lowest fell to 2293, and closed at 2297. Looking back at the performance of the gold market on Wednesday, the price fluctuated in the short term after the opening in the morning, and then the price fluctuated and fell. The price did not break the high point in the morning, so the overall price was weak. The second rebound in the US market continued to encounter resistance at the 2317 mark, ushering in an accelerated decline in shorts. Finally, the gold price accelerated downward to break through the 2300 integer mark and reached 2393. The weak rebound closed, and the daily K-line closed with suppression and fell, and the overall price formed a very clear short-term unilateral downward rhythm.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term bull-bear strength watershed is 2320. A breakout and stabilization of this position at the daily level represents the end of the decline.
SELL: Near 2340
SELL: Near 2320
SELL: Near 2287
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Is the expectation of gold's reduction to 22xx coming true?At the start of the buying and selling consultation on June 27 (US time), international gold expenses abruptly improved sharply after being "hurt" via way of means of a assertion from a US Federal Reserve (Fed) chief that prompted the USD to growth in value. , eliminating gold`s vast power.
Specifically, Ms. Michelle Bowman, a member of the Board of Governors of the Fed, stated that the Fed maintaining hobby charges unchanged for an extended time period can be sufficient to govern inflation, and the Fed may even growth hobby charges if inflation increases. emission keeps to growth.
FXTM senior studies analyst Lukman Otunuga affirmed that Michelle Bowman's assertion has prompted gold to be "hurt" as soon as again.
From every other perspective, traders are presently listening to americaA May inflation file posted later this month. They assume that when the file, the course of gold can be clearer.
Gold charge forecast
Mr. Lukman Otunuga stated that gold expenses can also additionally vary strongly withinside the last classes of this week. In the quick term, the guide stage for this valuable metallic is 2,three hundred USD/ounce and the resistance stage is 2,340 USD/ounce.
Although gold is suffering to keep the $2,three hundred/ounce mark, latest studies outcomes from State Street and the World Gold Council are expecting that the valuable metallic is attracting cash managers and hedge funds.
State Street professional Milling-Stanley has raised his gold charge forecast for the second one 1/2 of of the year. It is predicted that gold charge will variety from 2,two hundred to 2,three hundred USD/ounce.
World gold price dropped to its lowest level#GOLD ANALYSIS - June 27, 2024
⏬Sell Gold at fee variety 2315-2320
❌Stop location 2325
⏫Buy brief Gold at fee variety 2295-2300
❌Stop location 2285
🌐In the 4th session, yesterday. True to yesterday`s analysis, Gold fee persisted to weaken, attaining the bottom guide area of the day at 2294.
✅The promoting stress during the last few days has proven no symptoms and symptoms of ending, however, withinside the cutting-edge fee variety it is able to be taken into consideration a pretty critical guide area, so private opinion on this location the fee of gold might also additionally growth slightly. earlier than new developments appear.
✅Traders should purchase brief on the cutting-edge fee variety of 228x-229x and anticipate a brief growth all through the day to discover a Sell factor withinside the close to future.
--
Mr. Bart Melek, commodity strategist at funding financial institution TD Securities, stated that the gold marketplace can be reacting to the strengthening of the USD. According to Mr. Melek, americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) is not likely to alternate hobby fees in early summer.
The USD rose 0.4% to its maximum stage in almost months in opposition to different currencies. This made gold extra steeply-priced in opposition to different currencies, at the same time as US 10-12 months bond yields hit a almost -week high. Traders at the moment are looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week. The statistics ought to shed mild at the valuable financial institution`s hobby charge path.
In addition, the marketplace additionally centered its interest on US financial increase statistics and the critical debate among US President Joe Biden and Republican candidate Donald Trump taking location on June 27 nearby time.
Data launched on June 25 confirmed that US client self assurance fell in June amid worries approximately the financial outlook. However, families stay constructive approximately the hard work marketplace and assume inflation to mild subsequent 12 months.
On June 25, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman stated that maintaining coverage hobby fees strong for some time can be sufficient to govern inflation, however emphasised that the Fed is prepared to boom borrowing expenses if necessary.
Analysis of gold price trend on Tuesday 6/25In early Asian trading on Tuesday, gold fluctuated and fell, currently trading around 2325. Gold prices rebounded 0.56% on Monday, helped by the dollar's retreat as Fed officials said the risk of rising unemployment was increasing. Investors began to wait for U.S. inflation data to be released later this week, which may affect the Fed's monetary policy path.
The dollar fell 0.3%, risk appetite deteriorated, and investors seeking safety bought gold, making gold attractive to holders of other currencies. It should be reminded that the U.S. dollar index showed a similar "engulfing" bearish candlestick combination at the daily level, and it is necessary to be vigilant about the further downside risk of the U.S. dollar index in the short term, which may provide further opportunities for gold prices to rebound.
The focus this week will be Friday's U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data, which is the inflation indicator favored by the Federal Reserve. Pay attention to the performance of the U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index in June this trading day. Also of concern are the speeches that several Fed officials will make this week, including Fed Governors Cook and Bowman.
Gold rebounded and adjusted in the late trading, the weekly MA10 was moving down, and the Bollinger middle track was moving up. The entire weekly trend trajectory was in line with the prediction last week, that is, the overall weekly trend was expected to be a contraction trend between the MA10 and the Bollinger middle track. The technical side entered into a shock consolidation again, and the daily line could not rule out the possibility of continuing to alternate between yin and yang. The high-altitude and low-multiple ideas are deployed during the day! First look at the 2326/2320 support and 2338/2343 resistance during the day.
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2315-2318 long, stop loss 2306, target 2335-2345;
Short-term gold 2335-2338 short, stop loss 2344, target 2320-2310;
Note: The above strategy was updated on June 25. This strategy is an Asian strategy, please pay attention to the effective time of the strategy
XAUUSD: 20/6 Thursday’s Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2350, support below 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: The overall price of gold is fluctuating in a narrow range at a high level. In the short term, the overall trend of gold is still suppressed below 2340, because the daily level has not yet stabilized at 2340. Before that, the daily level is likely to continue to fluctuate between long and short positions.
Today's lower support continues to focus on 2317-2315, and the upper pressure focuses on today's high point 2345. You can participate in the transaction by selling high and buying low in this range.
SELL:2345near SL:2348
SELL:2328near SL:2331
BUY:2277near SL:2274
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold rebounded after oversold
After the news was released on Friday, gold fell sharply. In addition, a large number of buy orders were traded in the market. The lowest gold price reached 2318, and the Asian market rebounded. The operation is still mainly buying at low levels. See if the position of 2332 stabilizes above. If it stabilizes, you can continue to buy.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! MCX:GOLD1! COMEX:GC1! NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:WTI1! MCX:CRUDEOIL1! NYMEX:MCL1! TVC:DXY BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD
Analysis of gold price trend on Monday 6/24Gold prices fell to hit 2317 in Asian trading on Monday. The dollar rose to its highest level in seven weeks, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, and U.S. Treasury yields also rose. Uncertainty about the timing of the Fed's rate cut.
In the short term, the outlook for gold appears bearish due to uncertainty about the timing of the Fed's rate cut. The stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields put additional downward pressure on gold prices. Traders should remain cautious and pay close attention to upcoming economic data, as any signs of strong economic performance could delay rate cuts and further depress gold prices.
Key U.S. economic reports this week include the second revision of gross domestic product (GDP), initial jobless claims, and core personal consumption expenditures. These reports, as well as speeches by multiple Fed speakers, could have a significant impact on gold prices. Traders should pay attention to signals on economic growth, inflation, and potential shifts in monetary policy.
In the golden triangle range, the gold price fluctuated and adjusted in the short term. The weekly chart turned from green to red, and the price fell back below the MA10-day moving average. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high 2346 dead cross opened downward, and the price fell to 2310 near the lower track of the Bollinger band. The RSI indicator broke through the middle axis 50 and turned downward. The strong bullish trend of gold ended on Friday. The first consideration for trading at the beginning of the week is the inertial rebound of the price after the oversold, and the short-selling pattern will be carried out after the rebound is blocked.
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2307-2309 long, stop loss 2298, target 2330-2340;
Short-term gold 2335-2337 short, stop loss 2346, target 2320-2310;
Note: The above strategy was updated on June 24. This strategy is an Asian market strategy, please identify the strategy release time
Gold price today (June 24): "Hold your breath" waiting for the sWorld gold charge today
World gold costs have a tendency to boom with spot gold growing via way of means of 3.2 USD in comparison to final week`s ultimate degree to 2,323.2 USD/ounce.
After a unstable week, the sector gold marketplace is predicted to stabilize this week with few essential statistics launched withinside the center of the week. The maximum awaited records via way of means of the marketplace is the center private intake expenditure index document (americaA Federal Reserve's (Fed) favored inflation measure) predicted to be posted on the quit of the week. Some reviews say that this document is predicted to create fluctuations withinside the marketplace. Weaker statistics ought to boom the chance that the Fed will reduce hobby charges in 2024, and that situation might aid the yellow metal. On the contrary, inflation "hotter" than predicted will motive gold to fall deeper.
Although the upward momentum has slowed, many analysts agree with that the elements which have supported gold these days have now no longer disappeared. Accordingly, worries associated with geopolitical instability remain, mainly beforehand of americaA election in November. Additionally, the USD's role as the sector's reserve forex is still challenged. focus and the danger of worldwide inflation remains.
According to the World Gold Council's latest annual Central Bank Gold Reserves Survey, the ones are the pinnacle motives why each retail traders and important banks flip to gold.
XAUUSD:19/6 Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2328-40, support below 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold technically fell first and then rose, ushering in a strong bull bottoming out and rebounding deep V rebound. The price of the Asian and European sessions was under pressure and fell back to the 2325 mark, and then weakened and further pierced the 2310 mark to reach 2306 and stabilized and rebounded. The price rushed up first in the late trading, and was blocked at the hourly starting point of 2324, and then quickly fell back and fell. Then, it repeatedly oscillated around the 2315-2318 area and formed a strong bottoming out and rebounded to break the high. The daily level continued the long and short yin and yang oscillation cycle rhythm.
Judging from the current gold trend, today's support is around 2318-15. If it returns to this position during the day, you can try to go long. The upper pressure is around 2335-2340. Rely on this range to maintain a high-sell and low-buy cycle during the day.
SELL:2334 near SL:2342
BUY:2277 near SL:2270
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
GOLD -cannot return to the 22xx area due to huge buying pressureJohn Williams - President of the New York Fed - stated hobby costs will steadily lower over time, however he refused to mention whilst americaA significant financial institution may begin loosening economic policy.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors expect a kind of 67% threat the Fed will reduce hobby costs in September. Lower hobby costs lessen the possibility fee of retaining non-hobby-bearing bullion.
Currently, Fed officers are touchy to the difficulty of cooling inflation. Any uncommon symptoms and symptoms from the hard work marketplace will have an effect on the choice to reduce hobby costs on the cease of the year. Investors additionally centered on weekly jobless claims and buying index.
Gold costs reduced 6% from the file excessive of 2,449.89 USD/ounce on May 20, specifically stricken by the sturdy USD, excessive hobby costs, and Fed policies.
In addition, the Chinese significant financial institution`s suspension of gold purchases in May endured to weigh at the marketplace.
However, in its annual survey, the World Gold Council stated that many significant banks are pushing beforehand with gold reserve plans notwithstanding growing treasured metallic costs, in part because of political and macroeconomic instability. .
Spot silver fell 0.4% to $29.forty an ounce, platinum fell 0.4% at $968.fifty nine and paladin rose 0.1% to $887.67.
Regarding the gas marketplace, Brent crude oil rate elevated 2 cents to 85.35 USD/barrel, at the same time as US WTI crude oil reduced 6 cents to 81.fifty one USD/barrel. Oil costs remained solid withinside the buying and selling consultation on June 19 because the marketplace taken into consideration escalating conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, and involved approximately gas call for after an surprising growth in US crude oil reserves.