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Goldintraday

Gold closes higher and may fall back to peakThe gold hourly line has obviously reached the top. The K line rushed to around 2685, and then the big Yin line directly covered it and crushed it directly. It once fell by 30 US dollars. The top was obviously bearish engulfing. The moving average was directly bent and turned downward. Of course, the gold price deviated far from the moving average, and it was bound to return to the 50-day moving average. Detailed operations during the day: SELL: 2650------2645
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
Gold bulls are strong and aiming at 2700!At present, the support for the continuous rise of gold prices is still the strong demand of the Federal Reserve and other European countries for gradually loose monetary policies; coupled with the tension in Middle East relations, economic downturn and geopolitical relations, gold prices continue to rise. In terms of technical forms, the room for gold prices to retrace is limited, and the time for correction is also very short. The momentum of continuous rise is very strong, and the upward space is expected to continue to open up. The Asian session is corrected by the conversion of the hourly Yin and Yang lines. The European session began to rise. Even if economic data is released, it does not affect the bullish trend. There is not much room for recent corrections, especially in the European session. There is basically no retracement, and it continues to rise after the middle cross K pattern. Based on the above situation, even if the retracement relies on the top of the previous hourly line Yang line 2675, it will continue to be bullish. Resistance level: 2683 2690. Break to see 2700
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
Thursday Market Analysis and SignalsGold fluctuated in a narrow range in the Asian market on Thursday and is currently trading around $2,660/ounce. Although the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and geopolitical turmoil helped gold prices hit a record high of around $2,670 on Wednesday, gold prices then fluctuated and fell back as the decline in new home sales in the United States in August was smaller than expected, and Fed officials said inflation would not fall below 2%. The US dollar and US Treasury yields rose sharply, making gold bulls cautious. The price of gold continued to climb to a record high, driven by economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and global central bank demand. If the situation continues, gold prices are expected to continue to rise, even breaking through $2,800/ounce. However, there are variables in the future, and investors should act cautiously and pay attention to risk management. At the same time, strong demand for gold from global central banks and boosted consumer confidence also support the gold market. This trading day will release the changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, the initial monthly rate of durable goods orders in the United States in August, and the final value of the second quarter GDP in the United States. Investors need to pay close attention to them. In addition, this trading day will usher in speeches by many Federal Reserve officials, and investors also need to pay attention to them. In addition, it is necessary to pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation. Technically, as the RSI indicator of the short-term and monthly and weekly charts enters the high 80 value overbought signal, the price of gold has stagnated after yesterday's high of 2670. The US market formed a volatile downward test of the 50 mark support and made a wave of retracement. The short-term four-hour chart formed a high-level 50/70 range oscillation, the price retreated to the MA10-day moving average to stop the decline and rebound, the RSI indicator was below the high 80 value, the hourly chart Bollinger band closed, and the moving average was glued together. Let's look at the range oscillation during the day. Trading strategy: 2647-2650 long, stop loss 2639, target 2670-2680; 2670-2674 short, stop loss 2683, target 2650-2640;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-goldFX
1
9.26 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyThe gold four-hour line is a positive line throughout the whole process. Even if it closes with a negative line, it can still break through the positive line directly and close with a long lower shadow. The K line always stands above the moving average and always crushes the moving average. The bullish trend has not changed at all, and the support level has been constantly moving up. This is a super buying trend that continues to set new highs. Short-term operation in the Asian session: BUY: 2658 Target: 2670
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
9.26 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsGold rose again in 1 hour and is currently trading at 2660 without breaking a new high. At present, gold has begun to form a small double top. After continuous rise, the bullish momentum of gold has gradually begun to be consumed. A major adjustment is imminent. If the rebound of gold in the US market does not break a new high, it can still be shorted. On the 1-hour K-line chart, gold has risen. At this time, the Bollinger Bands began to close, and the gold price fluctuated and adjusted. As for the target position, we look at the 1-hour moving average Today's focus The number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of the week of September 21 (10,000 people) Detailed operations during the day: Sell: 2665 Target 2650-2645
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
9.26 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsYesterday, gold continued to break highs in the US market, performing extremely strongly. The early trading price was 2661. Yesterday, it rose by 30 US dollars and continued to rise to the 2670 line. There is no doubt that with the frequent breakthrough of high points, the rising gold bulls are coming, and the upward trend will accelerate. Bulls will be the main theme in the future; the correction action is presented in the form of shocks. "Although it has set new highs many times this year and outperformed major stock indexes, in the long run, gold still has room for further growth. Pay attention to the correction in the short term." In a low interest rate environment and geopolitical turmoil, interest-free gold is often the preferred investment. Today's operation: BUY: 2650 stop loss 2640 target: 2665-2675 SELL: 2680 stop loss 2685 target: 2660-2655
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
XAU/USD 25 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to surge printing all time highs as US economic data and geopolitical tensions have influenced market sentiment which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, we therefore have established an internal range. Intraday expectation: As price has made it's first indication of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH, this could potentially initiate H4 pullback phase with price pulling back to discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Yesterday's intraday analysis was correct as price did target weak internal high, printing a further bullish iBOS. Price is now contained within an internal range and is in discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high. Expecting reaction from discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
9.25 Gold short-term operation analysis strategyIn the early Asian session on Wednesday (September 25), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range near its historical high and is currently trading around $2,660.16 per ounce. Gold prices rose by $30 on Tuesday and hit a record high of $2,664, continuing the recent rally. The daily line closed with a big positive, with basically no leads. In addition to the tensions in the Middle East that have enhanced the safe-haven appeal of gold, the US consumer confidence index has recorded the largest drop in three years, and concerns about the labor market are growing. Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in November have increased, and the US dollar index has recorded the largest single-day drop in nearly a month, which also provides momentum for gold prices to rise. Gold is undoubtedly strong at present, whether from a short-term or long-term perspective, especially in the 4-hour period, which basically starts to rise as soon as it steps back on the moving average, and there is basically no retracement. Although gold is undoubtedly strong, this round of gold has risen by nearly 200 points in just two weeks, so the risks of peaking and retracement that I have been emphasizing in my previous articles are needed. Of course, we have no idea where the top is. We all have guessed the top, but the current price is already in danger. When it reaches our position, we can still participate in short orders. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short at 2665, defense at 2670, target 2650-2640 Long at 2635, defense at 2628, target 2650-2660
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
2
9.24 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2621.6 in the morning, then the market rose slightly to 2131.6, and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2613, then the market rose, and the daily line reached a historical high of 2635.2, and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2628.2, and the daily line closed with a spindle pattern with equal upper and lower shadows. After such a pattern ended, today's market still has bullish demand. In terms of points, the long positions of 1996 and 2028 below are followed by stop loss at 2350. After the long positions of 2601 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss was followed by 2601. Today's market operation: 2615 long stop loss 2609, target 2635 2640 short stop loss 2645 target 2620
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsThe bullish market sentiment after the Fed's rate cut last week and geopolitical tensions pushed up gold prices. Gold hit a new record high yesterday, reaching 2634, and then began to fall slightly, closing the daily line with a small positive. However, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and Ukrainian President Zelensky said that the Russian-Ukrainian war was "close to the end". Everyone still needs to beware of the risk of a short-term correction in gold prices. Gold hit a new high again, and the high point was constantly refreshed, from 2500 to 2634. In the short term, it is still dominated by a bullish trend. The weekly level broke through strongly last week. The current market is running on the upper track of the long-term channel. At present, it is necessary to focus on the support near 2600. The gains and losses of this position are related to the trend guidance of gold bulls and bears. If this position is broken, gold is likely to have a large retracement. It is still expected to fluctuate during the day. In the short term, if gold wants to completely get out of the strong pattern, it still needs time to exchange space. I have repeatedly emphasized that the current point chasing long profits and risks are not proportional. The operation is around the 2600-2635 range during the day. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short gold at current price 2633, defense 2638, target 2620-2600 Long gold at 2600, defense 2594, target 2610-262
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
XAU/USD 23 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish. Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Since previous analysis price has continued bullish, as a result, CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to recent price action. Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a double bullish iBOS since last analysis. Internal range is now established since price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearing pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50% EQ of M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Analysis of gold price trend on FridayGold fluctuated at a high level on Friday and is currently trading around 2597. Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, reaching an intraday high of 2594, approaching the historical high set on Wednesday. Although the performance of U.S. initial jobless claims was good, which once put pressure on gold prices during the session, the Federal Reserve launched a monetary easing cycle, which still attracted bargain-hunting buying to support gold prices, and data showed that the U.S. real estate market was still struggling; in addition, the escalation of the conflict between Israel and Lebanon attracted safe-haven funds to support gold. The U.S. dollar fell in volatile trading on Thursday, providing support for gold prices. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.38% to 100.64 on Thursday after reversing the early gains; the market struggled to digest the Federal Reserve's sharp 50 basis point interest rate cut and the shift to an accommodative monetary policy stance. If you combine geopolitical risks with our current deficits, coupled with a low-yield environment and a weaker U.S. dollar, the combination of all these factors is the reason for the sharp rise in gold. It should be noted that data showed that the number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week fell to the lowest level in four months, and the number of people continuing to receive unemployment benefits fell to the level since early June, suggesting that employment growth in September was solid and confirming that the economy continued to expand in the third quarter. This may limit the upside of gold prices. Investors need to pay attention to the interest rate decision of the Bank of Japan on this trading day, pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation and speeches of Federal Reserve officials. Technical side, gold has experienced a roller coaster ride and then rose sharply on Thursday, with prices rushing back above 2590. The daily line pattern is quite ugly, forming a red and blue alternation. The daily chart ended with a strong positive, and the price once again stood above the MA7/10 daily moving average at 2574/55. The price stood on the middle of the Bollinger band again and was in the current upper track channel. The RSI indicator was adjusted above the middle axis. Considering the large amplitude of the adjustment range, Friday's trading reference 2570/2600 intraday shock layout Asian trading strategy: 2570-2573 long, stop loss 2562, target 2590-2600; 2596-2600 short, stop loss 2609, target 2580-2570;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-goldFX
9.20 gold short-term operation technical analysis Gold reversed in a deep V yesterday. Gold fell back to support and then rose again. It seems that gold bulls still have the momentum to continue to rise for the time being. Go long first when gold falls back in the early trading. Gold's 30-minute moving average entered the golden cross pattern. Gold rose after falling yesterday. Gold bulls once again accumulated momentum to rise. It is still expected to continue to challenge new highs. Gold fell to 2569 last night and then rose directly. Gold is currently high. After the Fed's interest rate decision, it adjusted deeply. Gold rose again. After the adjustment, gold fell back to support and continued to rise. There was no further decline, indicating that it is still in the stage of bull accumulation. Gold is expected to continue to rise; after breaking through the new high, it will accelerate. Today's operation strategy 2595 short stop loss 2600. Target 2580-2570 2572 long, stop loss 2562, target 2590-2600;
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
Gold: Corrective Rebound Expected Before Further Decline Yesterday, gold experienced extreme volatility, surging before a sharp sell-off. Today, the market should see less fluctuation as much of the news has been priced in. However, another key report is expected during New York trading hours, and I believe short positions will be more favorable following its release. Before the data comes out, a long position could be effective, given the steep decline yesterday. There is likely to be a corrective bounce as buyers step in to capitalize on the sharp drop, so I see going long ahead of the news as a good move.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Wealth_Waves
Analysis of gold price trend on WednesdayGold is now priced around 2570. Gold prices fell slightly from their all-time highs in the previous trading day as the U.S. retail sales monthly rate in August was stronger than market expectations, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields rebounded, and some traders took profits on long orders in preparation for the Fed's possible rate cut decision this week. The unexpected growth in U.S. retail sales in August, with the decline in auto dealer sales overshadowed by strong online shopping, showed that the U.S. economy remained solid for most of the third quarter, which put pressure on safe-haven gold. The previously released retail sales data was better than expected, which seemed to support the Fed's less aggressive stance. It is widely expected that the Fed will announce its first rate cut in more than four years. The last time the Fed cut interest rates was in March 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. It should be reminded that the market has partially digested the Fed's expectation of a 50 basis point rate cut on Wednesday, so whether it is a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut, investors need to beware of the emergence of a "boot landing" market, when a large number of long orders may take the opportunity to take profits, thereby dragging down the price of gold. Similar market conditions have occurred many times in history: before the Fed cut interest rates, gold prices continued to rise due to the expectation of interest rate cuts, but after the Fed actually cut interest rates, gold prices fluctuated and weakened. Technically, gold has not changed much, and it still fluctuates widely. The daily chart is adjusted at a high level, and the indicators are repaired. MA10/7/5 day moving averages still open upward. The short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart RSI indicators have been overbought for a long time and then returned to the central axis for repair and adjustment. The four-hour Bollinger Bands closed, and the price was consolidated around the middle track. Gold bottomed out and rebounded, and the intraday trading idea is to sell high and buy low. Please do not trade when the news is released! Trading strategy: 2560-2562 long, stop loss 2551, target 2580-2590; 2585-2587 short, stop loss 2596, target 2560-2570;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jun-goldFX
8
9.19 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyThe Fed's interest rate decision will be announced in two hours. Will gold hit a new high or a correction? On the 1-hour chart, you can see that there is a minor resistance level near the 2575 level, and there is also a downward trend line converging. If the price pulls back to this resistance level, sellers may intervene, aiming to fall to the 2548 support level. On the other hand, buyers want to see prices break higher to increase bullish bets and pursue new highs , if the Fed eventually chooses to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the market may react quickly, causing the US dollar to rebound. But if the Fed is as dovish as the market expects, cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, and sends signals of more interest rate cuts in the future, the US dollar will weaken further, pushing gold prices higher again, even breaking through the $2,600/ounce mark. Although the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates, there is still uncertainty about the magnitude and subsequent policy guidance. If the rate cut is only 25 basis points, it may suppress the short-term demand for gold, and investors will turn to wait and see. If the Fed's policy tends to be cautious, the safe-haven demand for gold may weaken, leading to a short-term sell-off in the market. If the Fed eventually cuts interest rates significantly and signals further easing in the future, gold will benefit from the continued weakening of the dollar and break through historical highs. At the same time, global economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks will continue to provide long-term safe-haven demand support for gold.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.18 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyGold rebounded from a high level and built a top. Don't chase long easily. Gold rebound is an opportunity for shorts. The Fed's interest rate decision and the expectation of interest rate cuts are about to be fulfilled. The positive news for gold is fulfilled and it may rise and fall. Gold broke down after repeated fluctuations at a high level in 1 hour. The top structure is obvious. The gold 1 hour moving average also began to turn around. The gold 1 hour moving average formed a dead cross, so there is more room for gold to fall and adjust. Gold rebounded last night but did not break through the resistance of 2582. In the morning, it continued to go short at highs under the resistance of 2582. Strategy: SELL: 2575 stop loss; 2582
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy