Tariffs are on the rise again, gold is jumping.Information summary:
The Trump administration has once again launched a tariff war, threatening to impose a 50% tariff on the EU from June 1, and said that the negotiations between the United States and the EU have made no progress. Because the timing of this threat is quite delicate. Just earlier this week, the EU just submitted a new framework proposal to the US to restart bilateral trade negotiations. This directly led to a jump in gold.
Faced with the tough stance of the United States, the EU is not without countermeasures. It is reported that the EU has formulated a contingency plan. If the negotiations fail, it will impose additional tariffs on US exports worth 95 billion euros in response to Trump's "reciprocal" taxation and 25% tariffs on automobiles and some parts, which will inevitably cause further impact on the market.
Market analysis:
Today, the European session was under pressure at 3335 and the correction method was adopted. This correction method can better show that the price is strong, and the bulls are not willing to give the bears too many opportunities. Therefore, the layout should be aggressive. The stronger the market, the less likely it will fall back. At the same time, the correction of the strong market will definitely not break the low for the second time.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3375, stop loss at 3380, and target 3350-3340.
The price fell back to around 3335, and we will adopt a long strategy based on the downward trend.
Goldinvesting
Tariff threat. Gold prices rose sharply?Information summary:
Gold prices climbed in the short term during trading after Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on the European Union, as this increased market uncertainty and increased demand for safe-haven assets. Trump said in a post on Truth Social that he suggested a 50% tariff on the European Union starting June 1, and complained that trade negotiations were stalled.
After the news came out, gold prices rose rapidly, breaking the $3,345 resistance level, but did not stabilize above the $3,365 resistance level I predicted in the morning; it reached a high of around $3,360 and then fell back slightly.
I think the short-term gains have been too large, and if there is a rapid adjustment, the amplitude will also be large.
Technical analysis:
From the 4-hour chart, gold prices continue to trade above all moving averages, and the 20-day moving average has broken through the 100-day and 200-day period moving averages. At present, indicators show that the upward momentum is not very strong.
If the price breaks through the 3365 resistance level strongly, it may hit the cycle high of around 3380.
Because of the weekend, if the resistance level fails to be broken strongly, the price may adjust in the range of 3360-3330 US dollars, and a new trend needs to be found.
Will gold continue to rise? Be alert on Friday.On Thursday, the US dollar rebounded after three consecutive days of decline and once returned to above the 100 mark, but failed to stand firm here. It is still maintaining at the 100 mark for consolidation. Due to the strengthening of the US dollar, gold began to retreat after hitting a high of 3345 yesterday, and once lost the 3300 US dollar mark, with the lowest reaching around 3280.
First of all, from the current 4-hour chart of gold:
In the Asian session, the lowest gold touched around 3290, and then rebounded. As of now, the highest reached around 3330. At present, 3310 should be a relatively important support position for gold. If it can be maintained above 3310, then gold may continue to rise. It can also be seen from the figure that once it continues to rise, 3345 is likely to be refreshed, and the highest should be around 3360.
From the 1-hour chart:
3280-3330 range, around 3310 is exactly the current 618 position. Therefore, if gold cannot pull back below 3310 again, it is highly likely that it will continue to reach a new high.
Secondly, as time goes by, the early low of 3290 can no longer be touched, and the current support is already near 3300. That is to say, it cannot fall below 3300 again. Once it falls below 3300, gold will refresh the low of 3280 and continue to fall.
Operation strategy:
If it can retreat to 3310 and stabilize, then we will go long at 3310.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3310, then we will focus on 3300. Once it falls below 3300, the trend will go down.
Then you can short at 3290-3300, and the profit range is around the early intensive trading area of 3260-3250.
Gold May Continue Rising – Signs of Short-Term Recovery EmergingGold is showing a strong recovery from the recent low of $3280/oz and has now surpassed the key resistance at $3325, currently trading around $3330. The upward momentum remains intact as gold continues to trade above the EMA 09, indicating that bulls are still in control in the short term.
There is a possibility that gold could retrace slightly to the $3310 zone to gather momentum before pushing higher toward the next resistance at $3350.
Key factors supporting the short-term bullish outlook:
• The US dollar has temporarily weakened after economic data came in less impressive, giving gold room to rise.
• Gold demand has seen a slight rebound from ETFs after recent sell-offs.
• Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and cautious sentiment in equity markets continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
• Price remains above the EMA 09, indicating the bullish trend is still intact.
• Nearest support: $3310 – could be an attractive entry point for buyers.
• Next resistance: $3350 – serves as the immediate upside target.
• Bullish candlestick patterns are forming with no strong reversal signals so far.
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy (Short-Term Bias: Bullish):
• BUY XAU/USD at 3310 – 3312
🎯 TP: 3325 – 3327
❌ SL: 3307
• BUY XAU/USD at 3320 – 3322
🎯 TP: 3335 – 3337
❌ SL: 3317
How will the price of gold go? Prospect analysis is here.In the Asian session, spot gold rebounded modestly after a sharp drop in the previous trading day, and the price of gold is currently around $3,330.
Gold prices lost some upside momentum on Thursday, but downside remains limited. Gold prices suffered a correction on Thursday, ending the previous three consecutive trading days of gains, mainly due to the rebound of the US dollar and traders taking profits after the price of gold hit a two-week high. Spot gold closed down $20.14, or 0.61%, at $3,294.81 per ounce on Thursday.
We see gold encountering some profit-taking selling pressure after its recent gains, while a stronger U.S. dollar index is another bearish factor. However, affected by the turmoil in the global bond market, the gold market continues to be bullish and the decline is limited.
Short-term technical analysis:
Looking at the gold daily chart, the high point of gold prices on Thursday moved up from the previous trading day, while the low point moved down. Buyers continue to defend on the downside near the flat SMA 20-day, which provides support near $3,288.00. The 100-day and 200-day moving averages continue to move upwards at levels well below current gold prices, consistent with the dominant bullish trend. Finally, technical indicators have lost bullish power but are flat within positive levels, limiting the possibility of further declines.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, there is no sign that gold will fall further. Gold prices continue to trade above all its moving averages, with the 20-period SMA crossing above the directionless 100-period SMA and 200-period SMA. Meanwhile, technical indicators are moving lower, but with limited downside power, they remain above their midlines.
Short-term focus on important support and resistance levels:
Support: $3,290; $3,270; $3,250.
Resistance: $3,325; $3,345; $3,360.
I hope my analysis can help you make profits easily in the trading market.
Gold starts to go down? Double opportunities.Analysis of Asian market trend:
To summarize the short-term trend, "continue to step back and continue to seek key support". Gold rose and then fell in the Asian market yesterday, and the final rebound stopped at 3350. The trend is in line with our short-term bearish expectations. As for the market falling and breaking, it is a normal market. This means that the adjustment needs to continue. Today, the main focus below is still the support level of 3280. The early decline has approached this point, but it has not been completely touched; if this position is not broken, the bullish rebound is still there and it will rise at any time.
Operation adjustment, mainly low and high, supplemented by high and low, look at the shock sideways, wait for the market to break through the range and gradually look down; then the two main points of short-term focus, if the downward trend does not break 3280, then the rebound will first look at the high point of 3320. Strong breakthrough and stabilization at this position, if it does not break through yesterday's high point, it will continue to be mainly shocking; at the same time, unlike the previous consecutive rises in the past few weeks, this week's trend is slightly weak, and it is almost the weekend, so let's look at the amplitude of the range trend first.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3320, stop loss at 3328, target at 3290;
Long around 3280, stop loss at 3270, target at 3315.
Short-term trading is temporarily operated in this range, and a new layout will be made if it breaks.
Dangers and opportunities for gold? Trend change?In early Asian trading, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,300. After rising in the first three trading days of this week, gold prices briefly hit a two-week high of $3,345 in Asian trading on Thursday, then fell sharply and finally closed around $3,294. This rapid change hides the fierce struggle between the strengthening of the US dollar, the turmoil of US bonds and geopolitical changes.
The rebound of the US dollar is the biggest pressure for the rise in gold prices.
Another major pressure on the gold market comes from the sharp fluctuations in US bond yields. The 30-year US bond yield hit a 19-month high, reflecting the market's deep concerns about the $3.8 trillion in new debt. The cold auction of $16 billion in 20-year US bonds on Wednesday further confirmed the judgment that the demand for sovereign bonds is undergoing structural changes.
The current gold market is being pulled by multiple forces. In the short term, the technical rebound of the US dollar and the selling of US bonds do pose pressure. But in-depth analysis shows that the pressure of currency depreciation brought by the $3.8 trillion fiscal expansion, the safe-haven demand caused by the damaged credit of US debt, and the risk of stagflation are three factors that are building long-term support for gold.
I think the shadow of global bond market turmoil will become a potential factor for the bullish gold market.
There are relatively few economic data during Asian trading hours. The focus should be on the annualized total number of new home sales in the United States in April after seasonal adjustment and the speeches of Federal Reserve officials, as well as news related to the geopolitical situation and the international trade situation.
I will also analyze the latest international news and its impact on gold prices for you as soon as possible.
Short-term operation strategy:
First rise: short near 3345, stop loss 3255, profit range 3280-3270.
First fall: long near 3275, stop loss 3265, profit range 3300-3310.
Gold Remains Under Pressure – Further Decline Likely Not OverGold has touched the key support level at $3290/oz as expected and is now hovering around $3295, indicating that the downward momentum remains intact. Recent U.S. economic data has been positive for the U.S. dollar, adding to short-term pressure on gold.
➡️ The strong data reinforces the Fed’s hawkish stance , increasing expectations that interest rates will remain elevated for longer. As a result, both the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields have risen, weighing heavily on gold prices.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
• Price is tracking below the EMA 09 , suggesting the downtrend is still in play.
• The $3290 support has been tested; a break below this level could open the door to the next target at $3225.
• A consistent bearish candlestick pattern shows no clear signs of reversal.
• Lack of strong buying interest at current levels suggests further downside is likely.
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy (Short-Term Bias: Bearish):
• SELL XAU/USD in the $3294 – $3297 zone
🎯 TP1: $3275
🎯 TP2: $3225
❌ SL: $3305
• BUY XAU/USD only if price pulls back to the $3225 zone with clear support signals
🎯 TP: $3260 – $3270
❌ SL: $3210
Gold is going down? Is the trend going to change?The previous rally continued in the early Asian session on Thursday, reaching a high of around 3345.
However, it then began to fall rapidly. So far, gold has fallen below the 3300 mark again, with the lowest point reaching around 3280.
From the daily chart:
Gold is currently at 3280, which is the moving average support position. If it falls below 3280, the market will test 3250-3260 below. This position is not only the current daily moving average support position, but also an important barrier position in the past. This is an important suppression position for the upward trend of gold this time.
Similarly, if it wants to fall, 3250-60 is also an important support position.
Secondly, let's look at the 4-hour chart:
If it really falls below the bottom of the range at 3280, then as I said above, it will test 3250-3260. However, if it fails to break the support near 3280, it is very likely to maintain consolidation in the 4-hour range.
And from the range point of view, the fluctuation range is very large. It is basically maintained in the range of 3320-3280, which is about 40 US dollars. I suggest that we should still pay attention to whether the support here at 3280 can stabilize. If it can stabilize at this position, and there is a bottom signal at 3280, then you can go long near 3280. Sell high and buy low according to the range of 3280-3320.
On the contrary, if it falls below the support of 3280, don’t go long. It is very likely to directly test the support position of 3250-60 later.
Gold Shows Clear Signs of Weakness – Short-Term Downtrend LikelyGold is showing clear signs of weakness after failing to break the strong resistance level at $3350/oz. Bullish momentum has faded as gold broke below the $3325 support and continued its decline, now trading around $3310. Current technical signals indicate that the downtrend remains dominant, and there is a high probability that gold will continue correcting toward the $3290 support level, possibly even testing the $3225 area if the bearish pressure persists.
📰 Key Economic Data Scheduled for Today (U.S.):
• Unemployment Claims
• Flash Manufacturing PMI
• Flash Services PMI
These reports could trigger strong short-term volatility, especially if the data is positive and strengthens expectations that the Fed will maintain a tight monetary policy. This scenario could put further downward pressure on gold, as the USD strengthens and Treasury yields rise.
⚠️ Recommendation: Investors are advised to avoid trading during news releases to minimize risk from high volatility.
🔍 Short-Term Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3350 – remains unbroken, confirming weakening buying power.
• Nearest Support: $3290 – crucial level to monitor if the downtrend continues.
• Deeper Support: $3225 – could be tested if no strong rebound occurs.
• Short-Term EMA: Price is currently below the EMA 09, signaling further downside momentum.
• Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Series of long red candles reinforce the ongoing bearish trend.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3325$ - 3328
💰 TP : 3310 - 3313
🚨 SL $3335
BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3288$ - 3290$
💰 TP : 3313 – 3315
🚨 SL $3283
Gold consolidates. Changing trend?Asian market: Gold continues to rise, and the current highest is near the high of $3345.
The next trend is very critical, let's look at it from the 4-hour chart.
It can be seen that there is absolute suppression at $3340. It is just near the top of the trend line, and it is difficult to break through directly.
Therefore, it will definitely be maintained near $3340 for consolidation in the future.
In addition, from the 1-hour chart:
I think the most critical bottom support position today is $3315. As long as gold is above this point, it will be in a consolidation and rise, or it will be maintained at $3315-3340 for consolidation. The position above that needs to be paid attention to is near $3350. Once it breaks through $3340 and stabilizes above $3350, gold may rise further to test $3360-3370.
However, if gold falls below $3315, it may trigger a sharp decline.
Operation strategy:
I suggest you focus on the fluctuation range of 3315-3340 USD and buy low and sell high.
However, it should be noted that once the upper or lower range is broken, you should be alert to the possible trend change.
Is the gold price far from 3,400?Information summary:
The trade war is a continuous war, and it has just begun. During Trump's four years in office, trade conflicts will continue to occur. Trade conflicts are means, not ends. The goal of the United States is to transfuse blood to its own economy through trade negotiations.
In addition, US inflation fell to a historic low of 2.3% in April. The Federal Reserve has not cut interest rates on the grounds that inflation will rebound. The Federal Reserve can't hold on for long. Cutting interest rates is the only antidote to boost the economy, and it is also a special medicine.
Next, once the Federal Reserve releases the wind of interest rate cuts, the market's risk aversion will be ignited again. In June, 6 trillion US bonds will mature. Regardless of the result this time, market sentiment will be worried, which is the key to driving price fluctuations.
Market analysis:
The 1-hour gold price broke through yesterday's high of $3,320. The previous pressure formed a new top-bottom conversion position, and the strong market was only a small correction in the middle. There is no need to worry about whether it will peak, but there must be a standard for judging the peak; this standard is: breaking the support position before the last decline, and the second rebound does not set a new high.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around $3,330, stop loss at $3,320, and profit range at $3,365-3,380.
As gold's rally stalls, do bears have a chance?Technical aspect:
Gold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3310, and the short-term direction is not clear. However, the rebound potential is relatively weak, but for the London market, gold's willingness to retreat is not strong; however, from a technical perspective, the current gold structure is still biased towards bulls, and gold still has the potential to continue to rebound to the area around 3330, or even the area around 3350;
However, after the rise of gold stagnates, we still cannot aggressively chase gold in trading, one is to prevent technical retracement after the sharp rise of gold; the other is to prevent the retracement of gold in order to grab liquidity after the rise of gold stagnates. In the short term, the support area we must pay attention to is in the 3285-3275 area, followed by the 3260-3250 area. If gold cannot break through the 3320-3330 area in the short term, gold may still continue to test the support area.
Trading strategy:
1. If gold still cannot effectively break through the area around 3320 in the short term, you can consider trying to short gold in small quantities around 3310-3320; TP: 3280-3270, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to rise to 3330 or even 3350;
2. Consider going long on gold when gold retreats to the 3285-3280 area, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to retreat to the 3260 area.
Gold breaks upward, space opens up
📌 Driving events
Internationally, US media reported that US intelligence agencies found that Israel was preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities, and gold and crude oil both soared in the short term.
Recently, the Iran nuclear talks and the Russia-Ukraine talks were carried out simultaneously, and the market risk aversion sentiment fluctuated greatly
📊Comment analysis
While the medium and long-term outlook continues to be bullish on gold's performance this year, short-term operations are mainly based on news. Pay attention to light positions and maintain flexibility in short-term operations.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Buy Gold Zone: 3310-3315 SL 3307 Scalping
TP1: $3318
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3330
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3354-3356 SL 3361
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold breaks through 3300, where is the next stop
📌 Driving events
Beth Hammack, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stressed that the current US government's policies make it increasingly challenging for the Federal Reserve to effectively guide the economy and fulfill its dual mission of maintaining price stability and full employment. She also warned that the risk of a stagflationary environment (characterized by stagnant growth and persistent inflation) is rising. In contrast, Alberto Musalem, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, recently said that the current monetary policy stance is still appropriately adjusted.
Despite rising US Treasury yields, gold has struggled to gain support, indicating that higher yields alone are not enough to drive safe-haven demand under the current circumstances.
However, global monetary easing policies may provide support for this precious metal. In the latest moves during the Asian trading session, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) cut its benchmark interest rate, followed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unexpectedly cutting the cash rate from 4.10% to 3.85% - moves that usually support non-yielding assets such as gold.
📊Comment Analysis
Spot gold prices have extended gains in recent intraday trading, taking advantage of its stability above EMA50 and trading along a bullish trend line on a short-term basis, strengthening its ability to reach the main resistance level of $3,300 and break it. Some weak signals have appeared on technical indicators. We noticed that a negative overlap signal has formed on the RSI, and after reaching overbought levels, this indicates that a temporary adjustment is needed on the upward action. Therefore, gold has reduced some of its early gains and waited for clearer signals to continue the bullish trend.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3354-3356 SL 3361
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Continue to try to short goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has risen sharply in the short term and has broken through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260. The structure of the pattern has been biased towards the bullish pattern, and the successful construction of the triple bottom pattern has strengthened the effectiveness of the structural support below. With the rise of the structural low point, the short-term support area below will first focus on the 3260-3250 area, followed by the 3230-3220 area; in addition, after a sharp rise in the short term, gold is facing the 3290-3300 short-term resistance area and the 3215-3225 short-term resistance area above. So I think that in order to grab liquidity, gold may have a need to retreat to the 3260-3250 area in the short term, so we might as well try to short gold in small quantities.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to try to short gold in small quantities at 3280-3290, TP: 3260-3250
Gold Price Update: Strong Rally Surpasses $3,250 SupportGold is experiencing a sharp rally, breaking through the key support level of $3,250/oz and currently trading around $3,280/oz.
- The main drivers behind this uptrend include:
- Increased demand for safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainty.
- Fears of a potential recession and prolonged inflationary pressures.
- If gold sustains above $3,258, it is highly likely to continue its upward move toward the psychological level of $3,300.
- Should prices break above $3,300, the next potential target could be around $3,350.
📌 However, investors are advised to closely monitor key support and resistance zones to adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
📊 Short-Term Trading Strategy
🟢 Buy
Entry Price: $3,265
Take Profit (TP): $3,300
Stop Loss (SL): $3,245
🔴 Sell
Entry Price: $3,298
Take Profit (TP): $3,270
Stop Loss (SL): $3,310
Rationale: The $3,300 area is a strong resistance level, and a short-term pullback may occur.
Gold Under Pressure from USD and the FedThe gold market is currently under pressure due to:
- Recent statements from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
- A stronger U.S. dollar, which reduces gold’s appeal.
Previously, gold had been supported by:
- A weaker dollar following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating.
- However, increased interest in risk assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine have reduced demand for gold.
Key factors to watch going forward:
• Statements from the Fed
• Developments in trade negotiations
Possible scenario:
• The bearish trend remains dominant.
• A short-selling wave and a breakdown from the triangle pattern may occur.
• A further drop toward the 3150–3120 zone is possible.
Gold fluctuates, and the profit range is in this area
📌 Driving events
After a phone call with Trump yesterday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that efforts to end the war in Ukraine are on track and Moscow is ready to work with Ukraine on a memorandum of understanding for a future peace agreement. The United States has begun serious trade negotiations with the European Union, which has slightly improved investor sentiment. These negotiations broke the long-standing deadlock and brought some hope for more deals after Washington signed a framework agreement with the United Kingdom earlier this month. Trump had previously said that he could also reach an agreement with India, Japan and South Korea, but the negotiations with Japan seemed to be deadlocked over the issue of automobile tariffs.
📊Commentary Analysis
Gold prices fluctuated narrowly throughout the day, mainly due to the weakening of the US dollar and safe-haven demand after Moody's downgraded the US government's credit rating.
💰Strategy Package
For intraday short-term operations, pay attention to the 3200 area for long opportunities and defend 3193. Pay attention to the 3235 area for short opportunities and defend 3242.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Fed Signals No Rate Cuts Until Sept – Gold Under PressureFed’s Interest Rate Outlook:
- Two senior Federal Reserve officials – New York Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic – signaled that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates before September 2025.
- The Fed needs more time to assess the economic impact of new trade policies from the Trump administration.
- Trade tariffs and ongoing negotiations are creating major uncertainties, making it difficult for businesses and households to plan financially.
- The probability of a rate cut in June has dropped to just 10%, and expected rate cuts for 2025 have been revised down from four to only two.
Impact on Global Gold Prices:
✅ 1. Short-term – Downward Pressure:
Prolonged high interest rates → stronger US dollar → gold prices face downward pressure as gold yields no interest.
🔄 2. Medium-term – Mixed Outlook:
- If trade talks fail and tariffs increase, leading to economic and inflation risks → gold may benefit as a safe-haven asset.
- Conversely, if trade tensions ease and inflation stays under control, expectations for rate cuts will decline further → gold may continue facing selling pressure.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3249 - 3252
💰 TP : 3247 – 3242
🚨 SL $3257
BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3190
💰 TP : 3195 – 3200
🚨 SL $3185
Putin's phone call changed the market?
📌 Driving Events
Putin's "peace smoke bomb", gold is under short-term pressure
Just when gold was soaring due to risk aversion, a piece of news on Monday cooled the market instantly - after Putin and Trump talked on the phone, both sides released the signal that "Russia and Ukraine will soon ceasefire negotiations." Trump even announced loudly: "Russia and Ukraine will start ceasefire negotiations immediately!"
US President Trump said, "We will do everything we can to stop the conflict in Ukraine."
This news caused the market's risk appetite to rise briefly, and the gold price fell slightly to around $3,220 in the Asian market on Tuesday. But senior observers soon discovered that Putin's words were full of diplomatic rhetoric - he only said that the peace efforts were "on the right track" but did not promise a specific ceasefire time. Former Swedish Prime Minister Bilt pointed out: "This is Putin's victory. He successfully delayed the ceasefire pressure while continuing military operations."
Market truth: Geopolitical risks have not really subsided, and the safe-haven demand for gold is only a short respite.
📊Comment analysis
For investors, the question now is not "whether to buy gold", but "when to buy and how much to buy". At the moment when the global economic order is being reconstructed, the light of gold may have just begun to shine.
💰Strategy Package
Bullish breakout scenario: If the price breaks through the high of last Friday's rebound at $3,252 and continues to rise, you can go long with a light position near $3,260, targeting the $3,280-$3,290 range.
Bearish breakout scenario: If the price breaks below the key support level of $3,200 and further declines, you can go short near $3,190, targeting the $3,170-$3,160 range.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold still has the potential to rebound, continue to buy goldTechnical aspect:
Gold has just retreated to around 3217 and then rebounded again. It has now rebounded to around 3235. Although the rebound strength is a little weak, it has even hovered around 3235 for a long time. But structurally, gold did not destroy the rising structure during the decline, and the strength of structural support was strengthened after the effective retracement support. After being recognized and accepted by the market, gold will continue to rise with structural support. Once gold breaks through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260, it will continue to rise to 3280-3290, or even around 3320.
Trading strategy:
Before the short-term rising structure is destroyed, we can still continue to try to go long on gold in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3240-3250
Unlock XAUEUR Riches: Thief Trading’s Epic Long Setup!💎 Epic Gold Heist: XAUEUR Trade Plan💎
Greetings, Wealth Raiders & Market Mavericks! 👋🌍
Ready to pull off a legendary heist in the XAUEUR "Gold vs Euro" market? Our Thief Trading Style blends slick technicals with sharp fundamentals to unlock the vault. Follow this cunning plan, aim for the high-stakes Red Zone, and let’s swipe the profits! 🤑💰 This is a high-risk, overbought setup with potential for consolidation or a trend reversal—perfect for bold traders. Stay sharp, trade safe, and let’s get rich! 💪🎉
📈 Entry: Crack the Vault!
The bullish trend is ripe for the taking! 💥
Place buy limit orders at the most recent swing low or high within a 15 or 30-minute timeframe.
Pro tip: Set price alerts on your chart to catch the perfect entry.
For the fearless, jump in at market price—the heist is LIVE! 🚀
🛑 Stop Loss: Guard Your Loot
Protect your stash with a Thief Stop Loss:
Set SL at the nearest/recent low on the 4H timeframe (~€2800.00 for swing trades).
Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders.
Stay disciplined—don’t let the bears snatch your gains! 🐻
🎯 Target: Grab the Gold
Aim for €3070.00 or exit early to secure profits.
Scalpers: Stick to long-side scalps with quick hits. Use trailing SL to lock in gains.
Swing Traders: Hold for the big score, trailing your SL to ride the trend safely. 💸
🧠 Why This Trade? Real-Time Data & Insights (May 19, 2025)
The XAUEUR market is riding a bullish wave, fueled by macro and fundamental drivers. Here’s the latest scoop:
Technical Analysis 📊:
Gold broke key support at $3200 (~€3000) last week but is showing signs of consolidation near €3050.
RSI indicates overbought conditions, hinting at a potential pullback or reversal. Watch for bearish traps at €3070.
4H chart shows a strong uptrend with support at €3000 and resistance at €3070.
Fundamental Drivers 📰:
US-China Trade Deal Hopes: Easing tensions are weighing on gold’s safe-haven appeal, pushing prices lower.
Central Bank Buying: Demand from China and emerging markets (1,136 tonnes in 2022) supports long-term bullishness.
US Economic Data: Mixed signals from April’s US CPI and a Q1 2025 GDP contraction (-0.3%) keep markets volatile.
Macro Economics 🌍:
Trump’s tariffs (25% on Mexico/Canada, 20% on China) are stoking inflation fears, which could boost gold if growth falters.
A weaker USD (down 3% from February highs) supports XAUEUR’s upside.
ECB may cut rates below 2%, weakening the Euro and lifting XAUEUR.
COT Report & Positioning 📋:
OANDA sentiment shows 73% of traders net-long on gold, signaling bullish bias but potential for a squeeze if sentiment shifts.
Comex gold inventories are rising, indicating arbitrage opportunities and strong physical demand.
Seasonal Factors 📅:
Gold typically sees strength in Q2 due to wedding season demand in Asia and safe-haven buying amid geopolitical noise.
May often marks consolidation after Q1 rallies, so watch for volatility.
Sentiment Outlook (May 19, 2025) 😊:
Real-Time Sentiment: Market mood is cautiously bullish, with 65% of analysts favoring longs but warning of overbought risks.
Risk appetite is improving due to trade deal optimism, but geopolitical tensions (e.g., EU-US tariff threats) keep gold attractive.
Social media buzz on gold’s resilience despite recent dips, with traders eyeing €3100 by June.
Future Trend Outlook Score ⭐:
Short-Term (1-2 weeks): 7/10 (Bullish with caution due to overbought signals).
Medium-Term (1-3 months): 8/10 (Supported by central bank demand and inflation fears).
Long-Term (6-12 months): 9/10 (Gold could hit €3200 if trade wars escalate).
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management
News releases can flip the market faster than a getaway car! 🚗💨
Avoid new trades during high-impact events (e.g., US CPI, Fed speeches).
Use trailing stop-loss orders to lock in profits and protect running positions.
Check economic calendars for updates—Thursday’s macro data could shake things up!
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