4.1 Analysis and Suggestions on Gold US Market Operation IdeasGold intraday interpretation
Gold failed to hit 3150 in the morning session. How will the subsequent market evolve?
It hit a high in the morning and then fell back to 3125-3130 to stop the decline and enter consolidation. If it fails to break through 3150 on Thursday, it will have a chance to enter a high-level adjustment, and the decline may reach 30-50 points!
Market sentiment has been brewing for a long enough time. Everyone should look at tariffs rationally. Even if there is no tax increase, there is no need to be too surprised.
Currently entering the triangle consolidation pattern, which is a type of relay pattern. The pattern is usually accompanied by a reduction in trading volume and resumes the original trend after breaking through.
Focus: 3150 key resistance. Don't chase north above 3140. If the intermediate form is used, the probability of breaking through 3150 during the day is not high. Mainly look at the ADP employment number on Wednesday. Beware of the US market retreating from 3113 to 3117 and then rebounding quickly.
Lower support: 3125 3113 3105
Upper pressure: 3150 3165
Goldinvesting
Gold Investors Beware: Bears Are Quietly AssemblingGold’s candlestick chart has displayed multiple upper shadows above the 3025-3030 zone, widely regarded as a clear rejection signal. With repeated failures to break through this resistance, gold is showing signs of forming a potential short-term top. This not only caps the upside but could also act as a key indicator of a possible bearish reversal.
Following the Asian session's opening, gold experienced a slight gap up but failed to sustain its momentum, maintaining a range-bound movement instead. The lack of strong bullish follow-through reflects weak buying interest.
Additionally, recent statements from Trump suggest a softened stance on tariff policies, with his rhetoric appearing less aggressive. If the tariffs are implemented in a more moderate manner or market reactions are less severe than anticipated, risk-off sentiment could subside, leading to a significant pullback in gold prices.
But given the presence of strong buying interest and bullish sentiment consolidation, expectations for an extensive decline remain limited. The primary support to monitor lies in the 3110-3100 range. If gold break below this zone, it may trigger an accelerated drop, with the next downside target at the 3095-3085 region.
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Monthly line saturated big positive line, gold and silver swordsYesterday, the gold market opened slightly higher at 3088 in the morning, and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 3076.5, and then the market rose strongly. After breaking the 3100 integer mark, the daily line rose strongly. The daily line reached a high of 3128, and then the market consolidated widely. The daily line finally closed at 3123.8, and then the market closed with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, today's market still has technical bullish demand. In terms of points, after the breakout of 2940 and 2958, the stop loss followed up at 2990. Today, the stop loss of 3110 is 3105, and the target is 3128 and 3132. The breakout is 3140 and 3150-3152.
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GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKGOLD 12H CHART UPDATE: 24th FEB 2025
Hello Everyone,
Here’s the latest 12H GOLD chart update, offering a thorough review of recent price movements and key insights for the upcoming sessions. Since October 2023, our careful tracking has maintained 100% target accuracy, as reflected by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s explore the highlights and what lies ahead.
* Gold touched ATH last week at 2954.81
* Gold price has been fluctuating between two weighted level above with a gap 2948 and with a gap below 2903 the whole week. The Resistance 2948 and support level 2903 reacted well.
What is next for GOLD?
* Resistance Levels: 2948, 2993, 3041, 3092
* Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2900, 2856, 2813, 2770, 2710, 2664, 2599
* FVG is providing strong support at 2920 which might push price bullish
EMA5 Behavior (Red Line):
Current EMA5: 2937.47
Bullish Targets
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2948, will open the following bullish target 2993
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2993, will open the following bullish target 3041
EMA5 cross and lock Above 3141, will open the following bullish target 3092
Bearish Targets
EMA5 hold and cross Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2856
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2856: will open the following bearish target 2813
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2813: will open the following bearish target 2770
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2770: will open the following bearish target 210
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2710: will open the following bearish target 2664 (Retracement Range)
Long-Term Outlook:
Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops.
Trade with precision, discipline, and confidence. Our accurate, multi-timeframe analysis equips you to navigate the market effectively. Stay updated with daily insights to remain ahead of market trends.
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4.1 Analysis of gold intraday short-term trendFrom the daily chart, the gold price fell slightly after breaking through the previous high of $3127.76, but it is still in a strong upward channel overall. The current price has been stable above the 5-week moving average for many consecutive weeks, indicating that the medium-term trend is still healthy. It is worth noting that from the low of $2536.68 to date, gold has risen by more than 23%, and it is necessary to be vigilant about the risk of short-term adjustments. The next target will point to the psychological level of $3200. Factors supporting this view include rising global uncertainty, increased expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and continued gold purchases by the central bank. In addition, the closing price needs to stabilize above $3135 to confirm the effectiveness of the long-term breakthrough. In this case, the price may accelerate upward, with a target of $3170.
Short-term resistance: 3130 3150 3170
The market is changing with the trend, and it is recommended to adjust the strategy in combination with real-time data!
Multiple top signs appear, short gold!Although gold rebounded quickly after hitting 3100, it does not rule out the process of testing and confirming the top. I think that in the short term, we can still short gold in batches with the help of 3025-3035 zone suppression. Then wait patiently for gold to retrace!
If gold can fall below the 3100-3095 zone during the decline, gold may accelerate downward to the area around 3085 under the stimulation of selling. Let us wait and see!
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4.1 Technical analysis of short-term gold trading BUYGold is currently temporarily maintaining a high range oscillation in the 4-hour level trend, but the short-term moving average continues to maintain a strong trend, and a wave of bottoming rebound in the 4-hour level trend has basically completed the repair of the technical pattern. Pay attention to the secondary pull-up trend after the high-level oscillation repair is completed. The hourly level trend is currently temporarily maintained in a high-level oscillation, but the strength and continuity of the US market's retracement are not particularly large. The technical pattern of the small-level cycle trend has also been gradually adjusted and completed, and it tends to be able to continue to rise in the late trading.
Intraday short-term operation:
BUY: 3110 Stop loss: 3005-3100 Target 3125-3130
Expect gold to retreat to the 3100-3090 zoneOn a crazy Monday, gold fell back to around 3076 and then rebounded, and continued to rise to around 3128. It has now fallen back slightly and is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3120!
Although gold does maintain a strong position at present, what makes me more alert is that once gold retreats $3-5, it will be enough to make more buyers crazy and actively rush into gold long transactions. This is an extremely dangerous signal in my opinion! Because if with the withdrawal of large funds and panic selling, more bulls will be defeated.
So I explicitly refuse to chase long gold above 3120, because as gold rises rapidly, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating, so the liquidity of gold is gradually weakening, so gold may need to retreat more to increase liquidity before continuing to rise! And if the tariff policy introduced on April 2 is carried out in a more moderate way, then market sentiment will be greatly eased, and gold may also collapse.
So I think in short-term trading, we can still short gold in batches in the 3125-3135 zone, and expect gold to at least fall back to the 3100-3090 zone.
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levels 30-03-25Gold weekly forcast with both Buy and sell levels
gold in an uptrend all week from last weeks buy level it ran 553 pips wit little to no drawdown.
For this week we are looking at 2 levels for both buy and sell entries .
For a buy ill look at entering at 3091 expecting 3098 to 3100 as first resistance , if we brreak we can expect 3112 as next resistance on the way to 3136.
For a sell ill look at entering at 3076 expecting 3068 to 3066 as first support , if broke we can expect 3054 to 3050 as next support.
With these trades its best to just wait for levels for a conformation and the bigger moves.
last weeks buy are did not register until Thursday morning but when it hit there was no drawdown and closure at the high gave 533 pips.
As always with these trades wait for levels and secure on the way by either taking profit or reducing lot size.
Trade is based on support and resistance, trend lines and fibonacci levels from the higher time frame.
Ill update as the week progresses , stay safe
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold surged to a record high of $3,086 last week as investors dumped Equities and Crypto for safe-haven assets. With rising inflation concerns and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariffs, fears of a US recession or stagflation are driving the market.
📈 Will Gold continue its rally, or is a pullback coming? In this video, I break down my thought process and how I’m strategically positioning for the next big move.
#GoldPrice #XAUUSD #MarketAnalysis #GoldTrading #Forex #Inflation #SafeHaven #TradingStrategy
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
3.31 Gold officially breaks through 3100In the early Asian session on Monday (March 31), spot gold once again saw a surge in prices shortly after the opening. The most active gold futures contract in New York was traded in one minute from 10:22 to 10:23 Beijing time on March 31, with 890 lots traded, and the total value of the trading contracts was US$279 million. Affected by Trump's latest tariff news, spot gold maintained the current bull market trend. The gold price broke through the US$3,000 mark and broke through US$3,100 only half a month after breaking through the US$3,000 mark. As of 10:39 Beijing time, it was reported at US$3,105.23 per ounce.
Gold technical analysis: Gold closed higher with a big positive line last week, and after consolidating at a high level, it increased strongly and closed at a high level. The weekly K-line is still strong, with a big bald positive line. There will be further continuation this week. However, the monthly line closed today. After the volume is released, we must also be careful of the wash of the high and fall. The daily chart has continued to rise and set a new high. The Asian session is a slow consolidation and then a slow new high. The consolidation is not the high, and the volume is the top. At present, there is further rise in the short term. Gold was stimulated by risk aversion over the weekend. It opened high and fell back on Monday. However, gold fell back under pressure at 3100 in the short term. We must pay attention to adjustments. Then gold is just adjusting. Wait patiently for it to fall back before going long. The technical side of gold shows a strong upward trend. US$3070 has become a new short-term support level. The current upward momentum is sufficient and there is momentum for further rise. The influence of gold bulls on the current trend of gold has reached the highest level in history, but the trading scale and heat have not reached the most crowded range in history. There is still room for funds to further increase positions, which provides support for gold prices.
3.31 Gold Operation Strategy Reference:
Short Order Strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3100-3103, short (buy short) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3110, target around 3085-3075, and look at 3070 if it breaks; (Strategy is time-sensitive, more real-time layout strategies are announced in the channel.)
Long Order Strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold pulls back around 3070-3073, long (buy long) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3060, target around 3085-3095, and look at 3105 if it breaks; (Strategy is time-sensitive, more real-time layout strategies are announced in the channel.)
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
Gold prices in London hit a record high on Friday as U.S. President Trump's latest tariff policy sparked concerns about a global trade war, with investors flocking to safe-haven assets. Spot gold climbed 0.9% to its 18th record high of $3,086 this year. It rose 2.02% this week, rising for the fourth consecutive week.This round of international gold's rise is driven by market concerns that President Trump's new round of reciprocal tariffs, which will take effect on April 2, will push up inflation and undermine the stability of global trade. Gold prices have risen 2% this week and are expected to rise for the fourth consecutive week as investors turn to safe-haven assets amid growing uncertainty about the direction of U.S. policy.Next week will be Trump's tariff week, and countries are currently relatively tough. According to CCTV, Mexican President Sheinbaum said on March 28 local time that he opposed the United States' unilateral imposition of a 25% auto tariff. Mexico is developing comprehensive responses to strengthen the national economy and respond to unilateral behavior, while the negotiation process with the United States continues, striving to ensure stable employment and maintain investment while avoiding damage to U.S. and Canadian interests.
Technical Review: Gold has a high probability of rising overall on Friday due to the combined effect of market sentiment and capital flows in the evening. However, the market feedback after the release of PCE inflation data was poor, and the data was bearish. Gold failed to break through the high point and set a new high. Although the gold price rose and broke through the high point during the ten o'clock period, it was just a puncture! In the current market, perhaps the market needs further adjustment! Gold broke through the new high in the US market and fell back. It is not meaningful to chase high again on Friday night. It may rise and fall at any time. After all, gold may start to adjust at any time after rising today. The one-hour line rose twice to touch the high point of 3086, which will be the key resistance level. It is obvious that the gold price did not stand above 3086. Both times it fell rapidly after touching it. Before the gold price stood above 3086, it looked for adjustments during the session. The range was 3066-3086. Gold may have a double top starting from 30 minutes. Don't chase more for the time being. If you want to go long, wait patiently for a fall, otherwise the adjustment range at the high level may also be large.
Analysis for next week:
Gold is still just adjusting for now. Gold started to rise again in the second half of the night. Gold bulls are still relatively strong. There will be more gold if it falls back next week. After all, gold bulls are strong now. However, don’t chase more at high levels. Wait for it to fall back before buying more. Gold is still arranged with a golden cross upward bullish divergence in 1 hour. After the adjustment, gold bulls did not weaken, but continued to be strong. Then the decline of gold is just an adjustment. Gold will continue to buy after the adjustment next week. Gold hit the bottom of 3067 in the US market on Friday and then rose again. The gold moving average now supports the line around 3072. In this range, gold is still in the support area. So buy on dips when it falls back to 3070 next week.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3070-3073, stop loss at 3062, target at 3090-3100;
Sell short-term gold at 3103-3105, stop loss at 3114, target at 3080-3070;
Key points:
First support level: 3072, second support level: 3065, third support level: 3055
First resistance level: 3092, second resistance level: 3105, third resistance level: 3118
Summary of this weekThis week, the gold market continued its bull market, breaking through the historical high of 84 and closing. The gold price broke through the psychological barrier of 3,000. The market sentiment continued to be optimistic.
In this week's trading, we took the main approach of going long, holding long positions, buying back, and making significant profits, achieving the expected goals.
Next week, we will continue to make steady progress and formulate a more efficient profit plan.
If you also want to learn gold trading skills and profits in the market, then join my team.
Wish you all: Have a good weekend
Gold breaks new high again, the market waits for a pullback to gFundamentals: Gold hits a new record high today, and the market continues to hold a bullish view after the decline.
Gold is currently maintaining a relatively strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend, and the upward space in the large-scale cycle trend is likely to have not yet been completed. The daily level trend continues to maintain a relatively strong oscillating trend along the short-term moving average. The wave of decline before and after the European session has completed the repair of the technical form to a certain extent. The oscillating repair temporarily maintained at a high level in the hourly level trend currently has no particularly obvious trend. The range in the short-term trend may be compressed to the oscillating repair trend between 3060-85. Although there are some rebounds in the small-scale cycle trend, the strength and continuity are not too large. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair.
Operation suggestions:
Short near 3080-7, stop loss 3085.2,
Long near 3059-60, stop loss 3053.1.
Real-time market intraday guidance.
3.28 Gold breaks new high again, holding on is the keyGold price hits a new record high of 3086, and today's low is the key
Gold price hits a new record high of 3086, which is in line with our bullish thinking of restarting strength since Tuesday
Now the price has also broken through the upper track of the green channel line. The next focus is on keeping low. Keeping low and breaking high will accelerate. Breaking the low point will easily return to sweeping
Today's low point defense position has two, the first is the early trading low of 3054, because it is a direct rise in the early trading to break the new high, and the afternoon continues to break the new high. In this case, it is particularly important to hold the early trading low ;
The second is the position along the green channel line, 3063-3061, which is also the position of the acceleration starting point
Then, next, hold the position along the green channel line, and switch upwards for at least 50-70 US dollars, corresponding to the resistance of the 3100-3115 area
The key point is to hold low, hold low and break high to see acceleration, and break the low point to turn to sweep
As shown in the figure, this wave of confirmed support began to rise, starting from breaking through the green dotted line suppression. After the breakthrough, repeatedly stepping back to confirm the 3015 upper and lower areas Support, then stand up and stabilize in the 3033-3030 area, and start an upward breakthrough
In the process, it is accompanied by a deep squat of 18-20 US dollars. After the leverage is completed, it will rise by more than 40 US dollars to break the new high
For the market that directly rose in the morning, there was a second sprint to break the high in the afternoon, so refer to 3068-3066 as support to continue to layout the bullish sprint to the 3080-3082 area
The price also accelerated the sprint and rose, and slightly exceeded the range of 3086
: Suppression line Under pressure, enter adjustment, squat 18-20 US dollars, confirm the support and continue to pull up more than 40 US dollars (what needs to be considered and verified at this moment)
For this pressure position, the focus is on the 3082-3085 area (now the excess range has reached 3086), using this as a suppression to find a space range of 18-20 US dollars, corresponding to the 3062-3060 range
The short position in the 3082 area fell to 3072-3070 as expected
Verify the conjecture step by step, time is the best verification tool!
Today is Friday, still the old rules, only provide information reminders for cooperative friends, if you need, you can find us, looking forward to the good news you have received!
3.28 Gold Breaks Point, Falls Back to Support Long PositionsOn Thursday (March 27), affected by the news that US President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on imported cars, global trade tensions further escalated, market risk aversion heated up, and gold prices once again approached the record high set last week.
Fundamentals: Gold fell from its pre-US high. The decline supports the long position view.
The new US tariffs have exacerbated market tensions, and PCE data will become the next focus of attention.
The current market is active, and both long and short sides are engaged in fierce competition around key resistance levels. The dual drive of technical and fundamental factors has significantly amplified the volatility of gold prices.
The cumulative net inflow of gold ETFs in the first quarter of 2025 has reached 155 tons, and the total holdings have climbed to the peak since September 2023. In the previous trading day alone, the scale of a single-day increase of 23 tons set a record since 2022. The unexpected growth of central bank demand for gold purchases and the continued inflow of ETF funds together constitute the "two-wheel drive" for gold's medium- and long-term bullishness. If this trend continues, it will provide sufficient liquidity support for gold prices to break through historical highs.
The current price is close to the historical high, and some long profit-taking pressure is gradually accumulating. If the PCE data released on Friday is stronger than expected, or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, it may become the fuse to trigger a pullback
Trend: shock upward trend
Support: around 3033.00
Resistance: around 3055.50
XAU/USD(20250327) Today's AnalysisToday's long-short boundary:
3021
Support and resistance levels:
3040
3033
3028
3013
3008
3001
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3021, consider buying, the first target price is 3060
If the price breaks through 3013, consider selling, the first target price is 3010
Gold-----Buy near 3014, target 3026-3060Gold market analysis:
Recently, gold buying and selling has begun to play a game, with continuous cross stars on the daily line. Yesterday, we estimated that gold would fluctuate and repair in the first half of the week, and start to exert its strength in the second half of the week. During the fluctuation, we also grasped the rhythm of the fluctuation and intercepted the operation of buying and selling. Today's idea is to see whether it breaks through. Before it breaks, it is treated as a fluctuation. Note that the big trend is still buying. The possibility of pulling up after the fluctuation is greater, so we must be careful to sell and be beaten in the next two trading days. Gold stands firmly above 3000 with multiple fundamental supports, plus the continuous positive lines of the weekly line and the support of the big cycle. In the long-term trend, it is basically difficult for gold to change the long-term buying trend without breaking 2982.
Gold in the Asian session has begun to rise again. If it breaks 3033, it will not open up new room for growth. Pay attention to the fluctuation range of the Asian session, which is 3033-3010. Look for opportunities in this range during the day. In addition, if it breaks 3033, consider buying opportunities when it falls back. Chase one-way and wait for fluctuations.
Support is 3010 and 3000, pressure is 3033-3035, and the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 3020.
Operation suggestion:
Gold-----Buy near 3014, target 3026-3060
3.27 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsOn Thursday (March 27) in the Asian weekly session, the gold price (XAU/USD) was still consolidating around the $3,020 level, and the overall market sentiment was cautious.
Fundamental analysis:
US economy and Fed trends
Geopolitical and tariff uncertainties
Technical analysis:
Gold prices continued to consolidate at high levels after breaking through $3,000, and are still above the short-term moving average, with an overall bullish trend.
Moving average and trend: The moving average is in a bullish arrangement, indicating that the short-term and medium-term upward momentum has not been destroyed. The price fluctuates repeatedly between MA14 (3021) and MA200 (3017). If the market can stay above these two moving averages in the future, the upward momentum is expected to continue.
Key resistance and Fibonacci retracement: Fibonacci retracement 0.236 corresponds to around $3038, which also coincides with the high point formed in the previous period. If the price falls below the Fibonacci 0.618 position (about $3,000), we need to be alert to the risk of technical adjustments to find $3,000 or even deeper support.
Gold’s rebound is an opportunity for short sellingGold is still oscillating, and a rebound is an opportunity for short selling. Since gold is still oscillating within the box, you can go short if it rebounds to a high level. Gold is still oscillating within a large range for 1 hour. Since gold has not effectively broken through, you can continue to short after rebounding. If it breaks through the box shock, then gold will consider taking advantage of the trend and go long.
3.26 Technical analysis suggestions for short-term gold operatioIn the early European trading on Wednesday (March 26), spot gold continued to rebound in the short term, and the current gold price is around $3027/ounce.
Gold technical analysis, how to operate in the evening? ——
The daily chart of gold shows that gold prices are rising above all bullish moving averages, while setting higher highs and higher lows. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) has gained upward momentum and currently provides dynamic support around 2954.70. At the same time, after correcting the extreme overbought conditions, technical indicators resumed their upward trend within the positive level. From the 4-hour line, gold prices are fighting against the mildly bearish 20-period SMA, but are still well above the bullish 100-period SMA and 200-period SMA. At the same time, technical indicators are retreating from the midline and slightly lower within the neutral level. Overall, it is recommended to treat gold operations with a wide range of fluctuations today!
Gold operation strategy at night:
Short order strategy: short near 3031 above, stop loss 3040, target near 3010;
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Gold------Buy near 3013, target 3030-3040Gold market analysis:
Gold has been fluctuating this week, and daily buying and selling have begun to compete. I estimate that this week will fluctuate first, and the direction will begin in the second half of the week. Today has entered the end of the fluctuation. We will follow up with new ideas if it breaks through. The current large fluctuation range is 3000-3037. Yesterday, the daily line closed with a small positive, but the upper shadow line was relatively high. The daily line now has no obvious direction. The 5-day line and the 10-day line of the daily line have begun to merge. Today's Asian session will maintain a small range of fluctuations to treat both long and short opportunities. If it breaks through 3000-3037 at night, either side should actively follow. The current small fluctuations have not changed the buying trend of the large cycle, but the top is still very obvious.
In the Asian session, gold should first focus on the space between 3013 and 3035. If the Asian session falls back to 2013 first, look for buying opportunities. The low point of the Asian session is 3016. The support of the Asian session is around 3016-3013. The suppression position is the high point of yesterday. The volatile market must be controlled well, otherwise it is easy to get on the train midway and it is difficult to catch profits.
Support 3016-3013. Strong support 3000, suppression 3035-3037, the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3020.
Operation suggestion:
Gold------Buy near 3013, target 3030-3040