Gold consolidates. Changing trend?Asian market: Gold continues to rise, and the current highest is near the high of $3345.
The next trend is very critical, let's look at it from the 4-hour chart.
It can be seen that there is absolute suppression at $3340. It is just near the top of the trend line, and it is difficult to break through directly.
Therefore, it will definitely be maintained near $3340 for consolidation in the future.
In addition, from the 1-hour chart:
I think the most critical bottom support position today is $3315. As long as gold is above this point, it will be in a consolidation and rise, or it will be maintained at $3315-3340 for consolidation. The position above that needs to be paid attention to is near $3350. Once it breaks through $3340 and stabilizes above $3350, gold may rise further to test $3360-3370.
However, if gold falls below $3315, it may trigger a sharp decline.
Operation strategy:
I suggest you focus on the fluctuation range of 3315-3340 USD and buy low and sell high.
However, it should be noted that once the upper or lower range is broken, you should be alert to the possible trend change.
Goldinvesting
Is the gold price far from 3,400?Information summary:
The trade war is a continuous war, and it has just begun. During Trump's four years in office, trade conflicts will continue to occur. Trade conflicts are means, not ends. The goal of the United States is to transfuse blood to its own economy through trade negotiations.
In addition, US inflation fell to a historic low of 2.3% in April. The Federal Reserve has not cut interest rates on the grounds that inflation will rebound. The Federal Reserve can't hold on for long. Cutting interest rates is the only antidote to boost the economy, and it is also a special medicine.
Next, once the Federal Reserve releases the wind of interest rate cuts, the market's risk aversion will be ignited again. In June, 6 trillion US bonds will mature. Regardless of the result this time, market sentiment will be worried, which is the key to driving price fluctuations.
Market analysis:
The 1-hour gold price broke through yesterday's high of $3,320. The previous pressure formed a new top-bottom conversion position, and the strong market was only a small correction in the middle. There is no need to worry about whether it will peak, but there must be a standard for judging the peak; this standard is: breaking the support position before the last decline, and the second rebound does not set a new high.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around $3,330, stop loss at $3,320, and profit range at $3,365-3,380.
As gold's rally stalls, do bears have a chance?Technical aspect:
Gold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3310, and the short-term direction is not clear. However, the rebound potential is relatively weak, but for the London market, gold's willingness to retreat is not strong; however, from a technical perspective, the current gold structure is still biased towards bulls, and gold still has the potential to continue to rebound to the area around 3330, or even the area around 3350;
However, after the rise of gold stagnates, we still cannot aggressively chase gold in trading, one is to prevent technical retracement after the sharp rise of gold; the other is to prevent the retracement of gold in order to grab liquidity after the rise of gold stagnates. In the short term, the support area we must pay attention to is in the 3285-3275 area, followed by the 3260-3250 area. If gold cannot break through the 3320-3330 area in the short term, gold may still continue to test the support area.
Trading strategy:
1. If gold still cannot effectively break through the area around 3320 in the short term, you can consider trying to short gold in small quantities around 3310-3320; TP: 3280-3270, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to rise to 3330 or even 3350;
2. Consider going long on gold when gold retreats to the 3285-3280 area, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to retreat to the 3260 area.
Gold breaks upward, space opens up
📌 Driving events
Internationally, US media reported that US intelligence agencies found that Israel was preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities, and gold and crude oil both soared in the short term.
Recently, the Iran nuclear talks and the Russia-Ukraine talks were carried out simultaneously, and the market risk aversion sentiment fluctuated greatly
📊Comment analysis
While the medium and long-term outlook continues to be bullish on gold's performance this year, short-term operations are mainly based on news. Pay attention to light positions and maintain flexibility in short-term operations.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Buy Gold Zone: 3310-3315 SL 3307 Scalping
TP1: $3318
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3330
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3354-3356 SL 3361
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold breaks through 3300, where is the next stop
📌 Driving events
Beth Hammack, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stressed that the current US government's policies make it increasingly challenging for the Federal Reserve to effectively guide the economy and fulfill its dual mission of maintaining price stability and full employment. She also warned that the risk of a stagflationary environment (characterized by stagnant growth and persistent inflation) is rising. In contrast, Alberto Musalem, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, recently said that the current monetary policy stance is still appropriately adjusted.
Despite rising US Treasury yields, gold has struggled to gain support, indicating that higher yields alone are not enough to drive safe-haven demand under the current circumstances.
However, global monetary easing policies may provide support for this precious metal. In the latest moves during the Asian trading session, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) cut its benchmark interest rate, followed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unexpectedly cutting the cash rate from 4.10% to 3.85% - moves that usually support non-yielding assets such as gold.
📊Comment Analysis
Spot gold prices have extended gains in recent intraday trading, taking advantage of its stability above EMA50 and trading along a bullish trend line on a short-term basis, strengthening its ability to reach the main resistance level of $3,300 and break it. Some weak signals have appeared on technical indicators. We noticed that a negative overlap signal has formed on the RSI, and after reaching overbought levels, this indicates that a temporary adjustment is needed on the upward action. Therefore, gold has reduced some of its early gains and waited for clearer signals to continue the bullish trend.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3354-3356 SL 3361
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Continue to try to short goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has risen sharply in the short term and has broken through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260. The structure of the pattern has been biased towards the bullish pattern, and the successful construction of the triple bottom pattern has strengthened the effectiveness of the structural support below. With the rise of the structural low point, the short-term support area below will first focus on the 3260-3250 area, followed by the 3230-3220 area; in addition, after a sharp rise in the short term, gold is facing the 3290-3300 short-term resistance area and the 3215-3225 short-term resistance area above. So I think that in order to grab liquidity, gold may have a need to retreat to the 3260-3250 area in the short term, so we might as well try to short gold in small quantities.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to try to short gold in small quantities at 3280-3290, TP: 3260-3250
Gold Price Update: Strong Rally Surpasses $3,250 SupportGold is experiencing a sharp rally, breaking through the key support level of $3,250/oz and currently trading around $3,280/oz.
- The main drivers behind this uptrend include:
- Increased demand for safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainty.
- Fears of a potential recession and prolonged inflationary pressures.
- If gold sustains above $3,258, it is highly likely to continue its upward move toward the psychological level of $3,300.
- Should prices break above $3,300, the next potential target could be around $3,350.
📌 However, investors are advised to closely monitor key support and resistance zones to adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
📊 Short-Term Trading Strategy
🟢 Buy
Entry Price: $3,265
Take Profit (TP): $3,300
Stop Loss (SL): $3,245
🔴 Sell
Entry Price: $3,298
Take Profit (TP): $3,270
Stop Loss (SL): $3,310
Rationale: The $3,300 area is a strong resistance level, and a short-term pullback may occur.
Gold Under Pressure from USD and the FedThe gold market is currently under pressure due to:
- Recent statements from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
- A stronger U.S. dollar, which reduces gold’s appeal.
Previously, gold had been supported by:
- A weaker dollar following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating.
- However, increased interest in risk assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine have reduced demand for gold.
Key factors to watch going forward:
• Statements from the Fed
• Developments in trade negotiations
Possible scenario:
• The bearish trend remains dominant.
• A short-selling wave and a breakdown from the triangle pattern may occur.
• A further drop toward the 3150–3120 zone is possible.
Gold fluctuates, and the profit range is in this area
📌 Driving events
After a phone call with Trump yesterday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that efforts to end the war in Ukraine are on track and Moscow is ready to work with Ukraine on a memorandum of understanding for a future peace agreement. The United States has begun serious trade negotiations with the European Union, which has slightly improved investor sentiment. These negotiations broke the long-standing deadlock and brought some hope for more deals after Washington signed a framework agreement with the United Kingdom earlier this month. Trump had previously said that he could also reach an agreement with India, Japan and South Korea, but the negotiations with Japan seemed to be deadlocked over the issue of automobile tariffs.
📊Commentary Analysis
Gold prices fluctuated narrowly throughout the day, mainly due to the weakening of the US dollar and safe-haven demand after Moody's downgraded the US government's credit rating.
💰Strategy Package
For intraday short-term operations, pay attention to the 3200 area for long opportunities and defend 3193. Pay attention to the 3235 area for short opportunities and defend 3242.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Fed Signals No Rate Cuts Until Sept – Gold Under PressureFed’s Interest Rate Outlook:
- Two senior Federal Reserve officials – New York Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic – signaled that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates before September 2025.
- The Fed needs more time to assess the economic impact of new trade policies from the Trump administration.
- Trade tariffs and ongoing negotiations are creating major uncertainties, making it difficult for businesses and households to plan financially.
- The probability of a rate cut in June has dropped to just 10%, and expected rate cuts for 2025 have been revised down from four to only two.
Impact on Global Gold Prices:
✅ 1. Short-term – Downward Pressure:
Prolonged high interest rates → stronger US dollar → gold prices face downward pressure as gold yields no interest.
🔄 2. Medium-term – Mixed Outlook:
- If trade talks fail and tariffs increase, leading to economic and inflation risks → gold may benefit as a safe-haven asset.
- Conversely, if trade tensions ease and inflation stays under control, expectations for rate cuts will decline further → gold may continue facing selling pressure.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3249 - 3252
💰 TP : 3247 – 3242
🚨 SL $3257
BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3190
💰 TP : 3195 – 3200
🚨 SL $3185
Putin's phone call changed the market?
📌 Driving Events
Putin's "peace smoke bomb", gold is under short-term pressure
Just when gold was soaring due to risk aversion, a piece of news on Monday cooled the market instantly - after Putin and Trump talked on the phone, both sides released the signal that "Russia and Ukraine will soon ceasefire negotiations." Trump even announced loudly: "Russia and Ukraine will start ceasefire negotiations immediately!"
US President Trump said, "We will do everything we can to stop the conflict in Ukraine."
This news caused the market's risk appetite to rise briefly, and the gold price fell slightly to around $3,220 in the Asian market on Tuesday. But senior observers soon discovered that Putin's words were full of diplomatic rhetoric - he only said that the peace efforts were "on the right track" but did not promise a specific ceasefire time. Former Swedish Prime Minister Bilt pointed out: "This is Putin's victory. He successfully delayed the ceasefire pressure while continuing military operations."
Market truth: Geopolitical risks have not really subsided, and the safe-haven demand for gold is only a short respite.
📊Comment analysis
For investors, the question now is not "whether to buy gold", but "when to buy and how much to buy". At the moment when the global economic order is being reconstructed, the light of gold may have just begun to shine.
💰Strategy Package
Bullish breakout scenario: If the price breaks through the high of last Friday's rebound at $3,252 and continues to rise, you can go long with a light position near $3,260, targeting the $3,280-$3,290 range.
Bearish breakout scenario: If the price breaks below the key support level of $3,200 and further declines, you can go short near $3,190, targeting the $3,170-$3,160 range.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold still has the potential to rebound, continue to buy goldTechnical aspect:
Gold has just retreated to around 3217 and then rebounded again. It has now rebounded to around 3235. Although the rebound strength is a little weak, it has even hovered around 3235 for a long time. But structurally, gold did not destroy the rising structure during the decline, and the strength of structural support was strengthened after the effective retracement support. After being recognized and accepted by the market, gold will continue to rise with structural support. Once gold breaks through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260, it will continue to rise to 3280-3290, or even around 3320.
Trading strategy:
Before the short-term rising structure is destroyed, we can still continue to try to go long on gold in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3240-3250
Unlock XAUEUR Riches: Thief Trading’s Epic Long Setup!💎 Epic Gold Heist: XAUEUR Trade Plan💎
Greetings, Wealth Raiders & Market Mavericks! 👋🌍
Ready to pull off a legendary heist in the XAUEUR "Gold vs Euro" market? Our Thief Trading Style blends slick technicals with sharp fundamentals to unlock the vault. Follow this cunning plan, aim for the high-stakes Red Zone, and let’s swipe the profits! 🤑💰 This is a high-risk, overbought setup with potential for consolidation or a trend reversal—perfect for bold traders. Stay sharp, trade safe, and let’s get rich! 💪🎉
📈 Entry: Crack the Vault!
The bullish trend is ripe for the taking! 💥
Place buy limit orders at the most recent swing low or high within a 15 or 30-minute timeframe.
Pro tip: Set price alerts on your chart to catch the perfect entry.
For the fearless, jump in at market price—the heist is LIVE! 🚀
🛑 Stop Loss: Guard Your Loot
Protect your stash with a Thief Stop Loss:
Set SL at the nearest/recent low on the 4H timeframe (~€2800.00 for swing trades).
Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders.
Stay disciplined—don’t let the bears snatch your gains! 🐻
🎯 Target: Grab the Gold
Aim for €3070.00 or exit early to secure profits.
Scalpers: Stick to long-side scalps with quick hits. Use trailing SL to lock in gains.
Swing Traders: Hold for the big score, trailing your SL to ride the trend safely. 💸
🧠 Why This Trade? Real-Time Data & Insights (May 19, 2025)
The XAUEUR market is riding a bullish wave, fueled by macro and fundamental drivers. Here’s the latest scoop:
Technical Analysis 📊:
Gold broke key support at $3200 (~€3000) last week but is showing signs of consolidation near €3050.
RSI indicates overbought conditions, hinting at a potential pullback or reversal. Watch for bearish traps at €3070.
4H chart shows a strong uptrend with support at €3000 and resistance at €3070.
Fundamental Drivers 📰:
US-China Trade Deal Hopes: Easing tensions are weighing on gold’s safe-haven appeal, pushing prices lower.
Central Bank Buying: Demand from China and emerging markets (1,136 tonnes in 2022) supports long-term bullishness.
US Economic Data: Mixed signals from April’s US CPI and a Q1 2025 GDP contraction (-0.3%) keep markets volatile.
Macro Economics 🌍:
Trump’s tariffs (25% on Mexico/Canada, 20% on China) are stoking inflation fears, which could boost gold if growth falters.
A weaker USD (down 3% from February highs) supports XAUEUR’s upside.
ECB may cut rates below 2%, weakening the Euro and lifting XAUEUR.
COT Report & Positioning 📋:
OANDA sentiment shows 73% of traders net-long on gold, signaling bullish bias but potential for a squeeze if sentiment shifts.
Comex gold inventories are rising, indicating arbitrage opportunities and strong physical demand.
Seasonal Factors 📅:
Gold typically sees strength in Q2 due to wedding season demand in Asia and safe-haven buying amid geopolitical noise.
May often marks consolidation after Q1 rallies, so watch for volatility.
Sentiment Outlook (May 19, 2025) 😊:
Real-Time Sentiment: Market mood is cautiously bullish, with 65% of analysts favoring longs but warning of overbought risks.
Risk appetite is improving due to trade deal optimism, but geopolitical tensions (e.g., EU-US tariff threats) keep gold attractive.
Social media buzz on gold’s resilience despite recent dips, with traders eyeing €3100 by June.
Future Trend Outlook Score ⭐:
Short-Term (1-2 weeks): 7/10 (Bullish with caution due to overbought signals).
Medium-Term (1-3 months): 8/10 (Supported by central bank demand and inflation fears).
Long-Term (6-12 months): 9/10 (Gold could hit €3200 if trade wars escalate).
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management
News releases can flip the market faster than a getaway car! 🚗💨
Avoid new trades during high-impact events (e.g., US CPI, Fed speeches).
Use trailing stop-loss orders to lock in profits and protect running positions.
Check economic calendars for updates—Thursday’s macro data could shake things up!
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Gold bottomed out and rebounded, US market ideas!
📊Comment analysis
During the European and American markets, the market rebounded to 3249. Before the rebound, it was mentioned that the first resistance today was around 3251, followed by the defense point of 3265. As expected, gold plunged slightly near the resistance level of 3251, and fell to 3227 at its lowest.
💰Strategy package
Short at the current price of 3239-40, add shorts near 3242 and 3245, stop loss 3253 target 3200-3165
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold fluctuates. Will it break through resistance and start to rWe analyzed the fundamentals and technical aspects comprehensively over the weekend, and the overall trend tends to be upward.
The Asian market opened, and the price rose to around $3,250 and fell back; in yesterday's analysis, I thought that the Asian market would rise rapidly after the opening due to the impact of the US sovereign credit rating. As I predicted, the opening in the morning quickly rose to the intraday high of $3,250, and then began to fall. Finally, it fell to $3,210 and strengthened again, and the trend was the same as my analysis.
From the current market, gold continues to fluctuate greatly. It is relatively strong at present, but it is suppressed by the $3,250-3,255 area. Therefore, it is expected that the price will continue to rise after adjustments below $3,250; if the price stabilizes above $3,210, there is still room for the price to rise. Below this, it will start a downtrend that could potentially hit last week’s cycle low of $3,150.
In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support level of $3225. If it breaks through the resistance level of $3250-55, it will open up room for growth. We will further pay attention to the high point of $3270-3290.
Until the price breaks through the upward resistance zone of $3250-3255 with a strong force, it is recommended not to adopt a long strategy.
Gold price outlook: short term increase📝 NEWS
Gold Prices Rise as Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating
- Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing concerns over high public debt and unsustainable fiscal spending.
- The move boosted demand for safe-haven assets, leading to a weaker U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields.
- Spot gold prices rose 0.5% to $3,217.49/oz, while June gold futures gained 1% to $3,220.17/oz.
- Other precious metals also saw modest gains:
- Silver +0.5% to $32.530/oz
- Platinum +0.1% to $991.50/oz
Market Outlook
- In the coming week, the market will closely watch a busy U.S. economic calendar, including:
- Speeches from Federal Reserve officials
- Preliminary PMI data
- Key housing indicators
- These events are expected to influence short-term monetary policy expectations.
Technical View: Gold Poised to Continue Rising
⚠️ Gold is expected to continue its upward trend amid rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China, with little progress in ongoing tariff negotiations.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
🚨 SELL XAU : zone 3247-3250
SL: 3255
TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips
🚨 BUY XAU : zone 3188-3191
SL: 3183
TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips
Gold Price Trading Around 3,200 Points
📌 Gold Information
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from recent losses, trading around $3,230 per troy ounce during Asian trading hours on Monday as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing concerns about the US economic outlook and fiscal sustainability. The rebound follows Moody's decision to downgrade the US credit rating by one notch, from Aaa to Aa1, citing growing debt and the burden of interest payments. This follows previous downgrades by Fitch and Standard & Poor's in 2023 and 2011, respectively. Moody's now forecasts that the US federal debt will surge to around 134% of GDP by 2035 from 98% in 2023, due to ballooning debt servicing costs, expanding entitlement programs, and shrinking tax revenues - all of which have heightened investor concerns and provided new support for gold prices.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price fluctuated around 3200 at the beginning of the week. There was not much news and it continued to go sideways.
💰Strategy Package
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3259-3261 SL 3266
TP1: $3250
TP2: $3240
TP3: $3230
🔥Buy gold area: $3192 - $3190 SL $3185
TP1: $3200
TP2: $3210
TP3: $3220
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold is rising strongly? Beware of a sharp rise to the high poinThe US sovereign credit rating was downgraded from AAA to Aa1; affected by this, gold opened sharply higher in the Asian market on Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250.
However, 3250 is not the high point at present, and it is only warming up in the Asian market. The important thing should be in the European and American markets. Such a major breaking news must be seen in the US stock market.
If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later. It is not ruled out that the Asian market will continue to fluctuate sideways in the short term, but I think it will still rise. The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time.
From the 4-hour chart:
This K line is very strong. Once this K line closes above 3230, the highest high point can be seen from the 4-hour chart here.
Judging from the current trend, I think the gold price is bullish as long as it is above 3200 in the Asian market. The lowest price in the Asian market in the morning retreated to around 3210, so it is not known whether it will retreat to around 3200.
Then, for the short-term strategy, you can go long around 3210, with 3200 as the stop loss position. As long as the upper target stands at 3250, you can continue to see the profit range of 3280-3300.
Moody's downgrades US credit rating, will gold be affected?Information summary:
At about 4:43 pm on Friday (the last minute before the market closed), Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "surge in debt and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies.
Perhaps considering reducing the impact, Moody's announced this news after the US stock market closed. But at this time, gold, foreign exchange and other markets still have more than ten minutes of trading time. The 10-year US Treasury yield once rushed from 4.44% to 4.49%, the US dollar index fell, and gold rushed up.
The downgrade is a super-class data, which may cause gold to rebound in stages, but not continuously. If nothing unexpected happens, after the adjustment, gold may continue to retreat in a trend.
Technical analysis:
Next week, gold may rebound in stages to 3330-3340. Then there may be a trend decline again, and I estimate that it may test around 2950 below. As for why it went to 3330-40, here is an analysis:
I think the current gold trend is very similar to the holiday trend in Asia from May 1st to 5th. It also fell sharply, then bottomed out and rebounded, and then stretched up again. I also drew it in the picture, which is basically consistent with the current trend. If the next market trend is copied from the previous paragraph, then I think it should test the 3330-40 point.
Gold forecast for next week
Before the fishermen went out to sea, they didn't know where the fish were? But they still chose to go because they believed they would return with a full load. When you invest, you don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try. Success is not something that will happen in the future, but from the moment you choose and decide to do it, you will gain something if you insist on believing. The same is true for gold investment. You may still be losing money at the moment, but as long as you find me, all losses will be solved!
Views on the trend of gold next week!
Gold continued its downward trend on Friday. In the morning, there was another long-short wash and returned to the 3200 mark. The daily line closed with a small negative line. Then we have to consider a problem now, that is, whether the daily line will form a continuous decline. In the daily rhythm, we can see that the position of the high point has been declining, which means that after the top resistance level of the three-point line is blocked, it is easy to form a secondary turning point of the trend downward, which means that next week we still have to look at the retracement.
As for the future market direction, the short-term bearish trend will continue to be the theme! On the whole, the gold price rebounded in 4 hours and made a backtest. If the rebound does not break the resistance, it will continue to fall, and the direction of the decline will continue! After the short turning point turned downward from the high point, the current short trend is still extending downward, that is to say, before the short reaches the key node and the long builds a bottom, the rebound is still the main rhythm!
Gold: Enter short orders near 3212 next week, defend 22, and target 3180-60!
Gold Price Analysis and OutlookOver the past week, the global gold market experienced its steepest correction since last November. Investor sentiment shifted sharply, sending gold prices (XAU/USD) into a freefall and erasing most of the gains accumulated in previous weeks.
📉 Gold Price Movements
- Gold ended the week at around $3,201 per ounce, plunging nearly $122 compared to the previous week — marking the largest weekly drop in six months.
- The decline came as global markets pivoted toward riskier assets following a trade agreement between the U.S. and China, which brought renewed optimism to investors.
- The easing of geopolitical tensions, along with expectations that interest rates will remain steady or rise slightly, led to a waning demand for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset.
🔮 Outlook: Temporary Correction or Start of a Bearish Trend?
- Despite the sharp decline, many experts believe this may only be a technical correction, driven by profit-taking after a strong upward rally in recent weeks.
- Factors such as persistent inflation, rising global debt, and underlying macroeconomic uncertainties continue to support gold’s role as a hedge in investment portfolios.
- In the short term, the gold market will remain sensitive to policy signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve and volatility in the bond market.
🧭 Conclusion
Gold has just endured its worst week in half a year, but that doesn’t necessarily signal the end of its long-term bullish trend. For cautious, long-term investors, the current correction phase could present a valuable opportunity to reposition portfolios at more attractive price levels.
Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again?
The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key.
The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line.
Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall.
If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
Bullish Momentum Builds as Gold Trades Within 3200–3250 RangeSHORT-TERM GOLD ANALYSIS – XAUUSD
🟢 GOLD SURGES TO $3250 FOLLOWING FED CHAIR'S SPEECH
Gold prices spiked to the $3250 region after a reassuring speech by the new Fed Chair, which helped calm market sentiment. The move reflects renewed demand for safe-haven assets.
📉 Currently, XAUUSD is trading around the 3220 area, testing short-term resistance levels and potentially building momentum for another upward push.
🔎 Key short-term price zone:
In the short term, gold is likely to range between $3200 and $3250, forming a short-term trading zone where accumulation and directional moves may develop.
✅ Short-Term Trade Setup
🔹BUY:
Entry: 3205
Take Profit (TP): 3210
Stop Loss (SL): 3200
🔹SELL :
Entry: 3241
Take Profit (TP): 3236
Stop Loss (SL): 3246
⚠️ Notes:
These setups are best suited for short-term traders using lower timeframes (M15–H1).
Monitor price action closely around 3200 and 3250 for confirmation before entering trades.
Always apply proper risk management to avoid overexposure, especially with ongoing market reactions to Fed news.