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Gold continues to decline, can it still change the trend?Information summary: Will the Fed cut interest rates in July? The latest statements of Fed officials have released a heavy signal. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that as long as inflationary pressures remain moderate, she will support a rate cut at the next policy meeting in July. At the same time, Trump has continued to put pressure on the Fed. Next, investors need to pay attention to the testimony of Fed Chairman Powell on the semi-annual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee today. Market analysis: Gold fell sharply today, directly breaking the key support level of 3350. From a 4-hour perspective, the MA moving average shows a short trend arrangement, and the MA5\10 moving average crosses the MA20/30 long-term moving average downward, which indicates that the short force is dominant. In addition, the RSI indicator also fell rapidly and entered the oversold area, but this may also suggest that prices have a rebound trend in the short term. I think the current market price decline trend is more obvious, unless there is significant positive data, the gold price may continue to decline.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD 📉 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows). Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance. 🔻 Bearish Momentum: After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure. 📉 Support Level: Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.” This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again. 🔄 Minor Retracement Zone: Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward. This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip). 🎯 Target Projection: Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone. 📌 Conclusion: The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance. 📉 Bias: Bearish 📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD 📉 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows). Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance. 🔻 Bearish Momentum: After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure. 📉 Support Level: Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.” This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again. 🔄 Minor Retracement Zone: Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward. This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip). 🎯 Target Projection: Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone. 📌 Conclusion: The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance. 📉 Bias: Bearish 📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD
TVC:GOLDShort
by MrStellanSight
Iran and Israel ceasefire? Gold price falls and adjusts 📌 Gold information: Gold prices continued to be well supported during the North American trading session following the breaking news of Iran's retaliatory attack on the US military base in Qatar. The escalation was a response to Washington's weekend attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East dominated the headlines, investors largely ignored US economic data Macroeconomic indicators have taken a back seat as the intensification of the conflict has affected market sentiment. Arab TV cited Israeli media reports that Iran used missiles to attack US bases in Qatar, Kuwait and Iraq. In further escalation, Tehran approved the closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz and launched more missiles at Israeli targets, which amplified the safe-haven demand for gold. The situation in the Middle East has mixed signals. Trump announced a "stop" to the Iran-Israel conflict, while the exchange of fire between the two sides continued, and the proportion of gold longs fell back 📊Commentary Analysis Gold prices responded to the reduction of positive news on peace in the Middle East and continued to rise. 💰Strategy Package Short when the price rebounds to around 3370, stop loss at 3480, target at 3350-3388 points Long around 3310-3320, stop loss at 3300, target at 3360-3368 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
6.24 Gold safe haven fades and gold falls Technical aspect: After the gold price hit the 3400 integer mark overnight, it fell rapidly under the impetus of negative news. The overall fluctuation range is still within the 3330-3400 range we expected. This shows that the current market dominated by news lacks continuity. We make a golden section of the high and low points of the overnight decline to the current level, and the current position of 0.618 is 3370. Pressure level: 3370\3375\3400 Support level: 3330\3300
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
Israel and Iran have a truce. Gold fluctuates sharply.Information summary: Trump said on Truth Social that Israel and Iran have fully agreed and there will be a complete and thorough ceasefire. (About 6 hours from now, when Israel and Iran have finished and completed the last mission they are doing!). After 12 hours, the war will be considered over. Iran will start a ceasefire first, and after the 12th hour, Israel will start a ceasefire, and 24 hours later, the world will salute the official end of this 12-day war. Senior Iranian officials have confirmed that Tehran has agreed to a US-proposed ceasefire with Israel brokered by Qatar. Market analysis: From the current point of view of gold, the news market has been digested in the early Asian market, and gold has also fallen to around 3330. Now it is obvious that there may be a bottoming rebound. But from the trend point of view, gold is still in the short position, and 3380 and 3400 have not been stabilized. Judging from the current hourly chart, gold is likely to rebound to 3370-3380. Then it will quickly fall from this position to the early trading low of 3330. At the same time, we can also see that the trend near 3378 is at the Fibonacci 0.382 position. Moreover, the previous trend also rebounded from 3330 to 3380, and then fell back again. So we need to be patient and wait for the price to rebound before going short. Of course, we can also choose an aggressive long strategy. Of course, we can also choose an aggressive long strategy. Operation strategy: Short near 3380, stop loss 3390, profit range 3350-3330. Long near 3345, stop loss 3335, profit range 3370-3380.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold is moving upward. Testing the ultimate pressure.Gold opened high at around 3397 and then quickly retreated. After hitting the lowest point of around 3346 in the European session, it continued to rebound. It fluctuated in a large range around 3360-80 many times, which also added a lot of confusion to the market. After retreating to around 3355 again, it continued to move upward, reaching a high of around 3389. At present, the market still has upward momentum, and the key pressure above is maintained at 3400, which is also the previous high point and the last line of defense for the bears. If this position continues to be broken, the bulls may continue to move upward without resistance in the later period, with the target price around 3430-3450. The key support below is still maintained in the range of 3355-3340. Judging from the current market, the short-term fluctuations may continue to expand, and the ultimate target above is maintained at around 3400. This position is likely to be broken, but the probability of continuing to rise is small. The current bulls may still be in a form of enticing more. Operation strategy: Short near 3395, stop loss 3410, profit near 3375. If it continues to break below 3370, it will be seen around 3340. If it breaks through the extreme pressure level of 3400, we need to consider stopping the loss in time. .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
6.24 Gold resistance strengthens + kinetic energy exhaustionGold prices have fallen under pressure near $3,380 several times, and this area gathers three technical resistances: 1. The daily Bollinger band middle track 3,375 and the upper track 3,450 form a suppression. 2. The previous high of $3,400 plus the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level constitutes a concentrated selling pressure area. 3. The previous high of $3,451 failed to break through effectively, forming a bearish structure with the second highest point moving down. Risk of breaking the shock range: Gold continues to trade sideways in the 3,300-3,450 range, but the K-line continues to close in a small real body alternating yin and yang pattern, indicating that the long and short momentum is exhausted. If it falls below 3,350 , a technical sell-off will be triggered, with the target pointing to 3,300-3,330! SELL: 3,388\3,393 Stop loss: 3,398 Target: 3,360 Profit point: 30
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
6.23 Gold Short-term Technical AnalysisStimulated by geopolitical conflicts such as the US airstrike on Iran's nuclear facilities on Monday, gold opened $24 higher at 3398 in the early trading. However, it failed to continue the upward trend and quickly fell back to the 3360-65 area. Retrieve all the gains! Technical analysis: 4-hour head and shoulders top pattern: right shoulder 3373 neckline 3340 MACD dead cross diverges downward Bollinger band opening expansion and price running near the lower track, short-term trend is bearish, and the daily line is still in the rising channel! Short-term operation: SELL: 3375\3385 Stop loss: 3390 $1:3360 $2:3340 BUY: 3338\3345 Stop loss: 3353 $1:3380 $2:3400 Operation suggestion: High-altitude is the main, low-multiple is the radiation
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
Insist on bullish trend and wait for upward trend Today's market analysis and interpretation: First, gold weekly level: Last week, it closed negative, and continued to follow the yin-yang cycle. This week, it is likely to close positive again, and rely on the short-term 5-day and 10-day gradual shocks and strength; the medium-term trend continues to be bullish, and the nine-week wide consolidation is about to end. In fact, the big positive K last week has ended the shock and is ready to move upward. However, under the gradual warming of the geopolitical situation last week, it fell back and closed negative. It is indeed unexpected. It belongs to the control period. The risk aversion will always come. Wait patiently Second, gold daily level: It closed with a long lower shadow cross K for two consecutive days. The lower track of the rising channel has always been effective support, including today, and it was only pierced, and it is still bottoming out and pulling up; the key point is When the closing price effectively stands on the 5-day moving average, then we should continue to attack upward to test the upper track of the channel, although the time cycle will basically approach 3490-3500; Third, the gold 4-hour level: opened high to 3396, then fell back with a big negative, and did not stand on the middle track. At this time, the European session bottomed out and pulled up, breaking through the middle track again. Once the closing at 22:00 is confirmed to be above the middle track, accompanied by the golden cross below the zero axis of macd, this cycle will begin to gradually strengthen; Fourth, the gold hourly level: the geopolitical situation is still fierce over the weekend and continues to heat up. Today's opening jumped high to 3396, then fell all the way back to 3347, and then stabilized and attacked to 3380. The overall situation is still discontinuous shock and the washing force is getting stronger each time, which shows that the competition between bulls and bears is becoming more and more intense, and they have been fighting for the gains and losses of the lower track of the daily channel; from the channel distribution, the key pressure is 3390. As long as it breaks through and stabilizes, it will be difficult to have a large-scale decline and wash; on the contrary, before 3390 breaks through and stands above, there is no need to rush to chase the rise for the time being. Pay attention to the support of 3360-65 and 3355-50. Continue to be bullish on dips and insist on pulling down and bullish. It is only a matter of time before 3390 breaks through or even stands above 3400, and this time is expected to be very near; because during the European session, the US dollar and gold continued to rise simultaneously, and gold performed quite resistant to declines, unlike last week, when it was suppressed immediately after a short sharp pull. This shows that gold's safe-haven properties are gradually recovering and returning.
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
2
6.23 Gold Short-term Technical GuidanceThe current price is in the double-line interval of 3350-3375 on the hourly chart. Please note that the four-hour lifeline 3368 is also the resistance point determined by the last rebound in the Asian session. The Asian session fell under pressure and returned to the sweeping range. It was treated as a sweep. The European session was able to hold the 3350 mark. Look up to find the 3368 area, followed by 3375 and 3385-3388. If the European session falls below and closes below 3350, the short-selling forces are dominant. The four-hour lifeline 3368 is used as suppression. Look down to find 3333-3331, followed by 3320-3315
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold Falling Toward 3345 Support📊 Market Overview After failing to break the 3,389 resistance zone this morning, gold remains under pressure from profit-taking and a stronger USD. The price has dropped to around $3,360/oz, reflecting defensive sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 📉 Technical Analysis • Key Resistance: 3,389 – 3,400 • Nearest Support: 3,345 – 3,324 • EMA-09: Price is below the EMA-09 on the H1 chart → short-term bearish trend • Candle Patterns / Volume / Momentum: o M15 & H1 candles remain bearish o RSI hovers around 45 → indicating continued correction o No clear reversal signals yet 📌 Outlook Gold may continue to decline slightly in the short term if the USD stays strong and no geopolitical surprises arise. However, the 3345 support zone could attract dip buyers. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,360 – 3,365 🎯 TP: 3,335 – 3,325 ❌ SL: 3,372 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,320 – 3,324 🎯 TP: 3,340 – 3,344 ❌ SL: 3,310
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold price 15 days, will the gold price rise or fall? 📣 Macroeconomic data and central bank policies 1. Iran launched a large-scale missile attack on Israel: This morning, Iran launched about 27 to 30 ballistic missiles at Israel, targeting Tel Aviv, Haifa and Ben-Gurion International Airport. Israel's "Hammer" air defense system intercepted multiple incoming missiles, but still caused about 20 to 86 injuries, and some residential houses and infrastructure were damaged. Subsequently, the Israeli Air Force launched a retaliatory strike on military targets in western Iran, destroying two Iranian F-5 fighters and multiple missile launchers and military bases. The large-scale military conflict between the two sides further exacerbated tensions in the Middle East. 2. Iran plans to block the Strait of Hormuz, a major oil route in the Middle East: After the United States bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, the Iranian parliament immediately approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and is currently awaiting approval from the highest authority. The Strait of Hormuz is known as the mouthpiece of oil. About a quarter of the world's seaborne crude oil trade passes through this place, and the oil exported by the Gulf countries through the strait accounts for 20%-25% of the world's total oil output. Once the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, the global oil supply will be severely impacted, triggering violent fluctuations in the energy market. This will not only exacerbate inflation expectations, but also make the economic outlook more uncertain. In this case, gold, as an important tool to combat inflation and economic uncertainty, will significantly increase its attractiveness, which may trigger a large number of investors to buy, thereby driving up gold prices. 3. The Fed maintains interest rates unchanged, and internal differences increase: In the early morning of June 19, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced that it would maintain the target range of the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.5%, which is the fourth consecutive month that it has maintained this interest rate level. In this statement, the unemployment rate was slightly adjusted. Although the uncertainty of the economic outlook has been reduced, it is still at a high level. The dot plot shows that the Federal Reserve maintains its forecast of two interest rate cuts this year, but has raised the median forecast for the interest rate in 2026. Judging from the attitude of officials, the number of people who support two rate cuts this year is basically the same as those who support maintaining the current interest rate, which indicates that the differences within the Fed on the direction of monetary policy are increasing. ​ 🎈Technical factors Support and resistance From the technical chart, gold currently forms a double bottom support at 3340 in the hourly cycle, showing that this position has a certain support strength. If the gold price can hold the 3340-3350 first-line support in the next 15 days, it is expected to rebound on this basis. The short-term resistance above is 3385-3390, which is the previous trading concentration area. If gold can break through this resistance level, the long volume will really start to exert force and look further to a higher position. If the gold price falls below 3340, the key support level, it may trigger further selling, and the bottom may test $2941. Gold price trend forecast and operation suggestions for the next 15 days: Based on the above factors, there are several possibilities for the gold price trend in the next 15 days: Optimistic outlook (probability 40%) If geopolitical conflicts further escalate or US economic data, such as consumer confidence, are not as expected, leading to further strengthening of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, gold prices are expected to stabilize and rebound around $3340-3350, and retest the previous high of $3450-3470. In terms of operation, investors can buy on dips when the gold price falls back to the support level, set a reasonable stop loss, and look at the resistance level. Neutral scenario (probability 50%) The price remains in the range of $3350-3385, waiting for the Fed's policy signals and macroeconomic data to guide the direction. In this case, investors can adopt a high-sell-low-buy operation strategy, buy at the bottom of the range, and short at the top of the range, strictly control positions and stop losses, and avoid large losses due to emotional fluctuations. Pessimistic scenario (10% probability) If the US economic data is strong, indicating stable economic growth, or the geopolitical risks suddenly ease, and the market risk aversion sentiment cools down significantly, the gold price may fall below the key support level of $3,340 and seek support at $2,941. At this time, investors should stop losses in their long orders in time, and even consider shorting at highs, but pay attention to market changes and control risks. Overall, the gold market is full of uncertainty in the next 15 years. When investing in gold, investors must pay close attention to changes in macroeconomic data, central bank policies and geopolitical situations, combine technical analysis, reasonably control positions, set stop losses, and make investment decisions with a profit-taking spirit.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
GOLD/USD Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialChart Analysis: The chart illustrates a Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal setup typically signaling a breakout to the upside. 📌 Key Observations: 📉 Downward Channel: Price has been compressing within a falling wedge (highlighted in blue), indicating potential exhaustion of sellers. 💪 Support Zone: Strong support observed near the 3,340 level, with price rejecting this zone multiple times (highlighted with orange circles). 🔼 Bullish Signals: Price recently tested the lower wedge boundary and bounced, suggesting potential reversal. 🎯 Breakout Target: Projected target after breakout is around 3,453.453 USD, aligned with previous resistance zone. 🟢 Buy Pressure Arrows: Green arrows signal previous bullish reactions from similar demand zones. 📈 Conclusion: If price breaks above the wedge’s upper boundary with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward 3,453 is expected. Keep an eye on breakout retest for entry validation. ✅ Trading Plan Suggestion: Entry: On breakout above wedge resistance SL: Below recent swing low (~3,330) TP: 3,453 zone 🎯 🔔 Note: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering to avoid false signals.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
Middle East war, gold breaks through 3400 early next week Hello everyone: Let's analyze the gold price next week (June 23, 2025 to June 27, 2025) 📌Gold information: Gold prices held steady on Friday, hovering around $3,369, and are expected to fall nearly 1.90% this week as the market digests U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to abandon immediate military action against Iran and turn to diplomacy. As of writing, XAU/USD fell 0.11%. While easing geopolitical tensions helped boost risk sentiment, concerns that the United States may restrict allies operating semiconductor factories in China put additional pressure on gold, according to Bloomberg. Trump's restraint on Iran encouraged risk appetite and suppressed the appeal of this safe-haven metal. What has President Trump been busy with in the past 24 hours? (2025-06-22) 1. Announced the successful airstrike on Iran's three nuclear facilities - Trump issued a message saying that he had successfully launched attacks on Iran's three nuclear facilities, including Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. The main target Fordow nuclear facility was bombed with a full load of bombs. All fighter jets are returning safely. Iran's Fordow (nuclear facility) no longer exists. 2. Was willing to go to Turkey to negotiate with Iran in person - According to the AXIOS website, sources said that when Trump attended the G7 summit last Monday, Erdogan called and proposed to hold talks between US and Iranian officials in Istanbul the next day to explore diplomatic solutions to the war. Trump agreed, and he was willing to send Vice President Vance and White House envoy Vitkov, and even if necessary, he was willing to go in person. But it was later cancelled because Khamenei could not be contacted. 3. Threatening to strike Iran again if the conflict does not stop - According to Reuters, US President Trump said in a telephone interview that tonight was a stunning success and Iran should immediately achieve peace and stop the war, otherwise they will be hit again. 4. Saying that Iran will either usher in peace or fall into tragedy - Trump said that the US goal is to destroy Iran's nuclear enrichment capabilities and stop Iran's nuclear threat. Iran's facilities have been completely destroyed. Iran will either usher in peace or fall into tragedy. Many goals have not yet been achieved. Tonight's strike is the "toughest target". If peace is not achieved in the future, other targets will be accurately struck. 5. Warning Iran not to retaliate - Trump posted on social media: "Any retaliatory action by Iran against the United States will lead to a military response 'far beyond what we saw tonight.'" 6. US Democratic lawmakers call for Trump's impeachment - On the evening of June 21, local time, according to NBC, New York Democratic Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said that President Trump's decision to attack Iran without the authorization of Congress "absolutely and clearly constitutes grounds for impeachment." She said that the US President's disastrous decision to bomb Iran without authorization was a serious violation of the Constitution and Congress' war powers. 📣Personal analysis: Tensions in the Middle East escalate, and gold prices will continue to rise above 3400 at the beginning of next week 🔥 Technical: Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices on the 4-hour chart, Labaron identified the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3395, $3448 Support: $3302, $3255 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Gold Rebounds from Support, Eyes Breakout Above 3,370📊 Market Dynamics: – Gold briefly dipped to 3,344 this morning before rebounding to 3,355 as of now. – The USD is steady after cautious Fed commentary, while geopolitical tensions continue to support safe-haven flows into gold. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key resistance: 3,370 – 3,380 • Immediate support: 3,344 – 3,340 • EMA: Price remains above EMA 09, signaling continued short-term bullish bias. • Patterns / Momentum: A bullish engulfing pattern formed on the H1 chart at 3,344. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to rebound toward 3,370–3,380 in the short term. A break above 3,380 could open the path to 3,400. 💡 Trading Strategies: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,375 – 3,380 🎯 TP: 3,355 – 3,360 ❌ SL: 3,385 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,344 – 3,348 🎯 TP: 3,365 – 3,370 ❌ SL: 3,335
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
2
Perhaps 3300 or even 3280 is foreseeable!Obviously, gold is currently fluctuating downward, and in the short term, there is a certain support in the 3340-3330 area, so gold will not fall below this support area in one fell swoop, and it is still possible to rebound to the 3360-3370 area with the support of this area. If gold encounters resistance and retreats again after touching the 3360-3370 area, if there is no major good news, gold is likely to fall below the 3340-3330 area. After gold falls below this support area, the 3300 and 3280 areas are foreseeable. So according to the above logic, I still hold a long position executed near 3345, and I am very much looking forward to gold reaching the 3360-3365 area; If gold continues to rebound to the 3365-3375 area, I will try to short gold again; and look forward to the accelerated downward movement of gold! The above is a preview of the performance of gold. There may be some deviations in the specific execution of transactions, because in short-term transactions, it is necessary to judge the true breakthrough and false breakthrough in advance, but I will still roughly follow the above preview process to execute the transaction! I also hope that this can provide some reference for everyone!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Gold Gains Ahead of Fed📊 Market Overview • Reason: Gold is trading around ~$3,380–$3,400/oz, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates before potentially cutting later this year. • Weak U.S. economic data (retail sales, housing, industrial production) also adds to safe-haven demand, providing further support for gold prices. 📉 Technical Analysis • Key resistance: $3,410 – $3,465 • Nearest support: $3,340 – $3,300 • EMA 09 (short-term): Price remains above the 09 EMA, rebounding from ~$3,366 and holding above the 50 EMA → indicates a bullish trend is still intact. • Candlestick patterns & volume: Bearish engulfing appeared on June 17 but lacked follow-through. Lower volume suggests range-bound movement ahead of the Fed announcement. 📌 Outlook Gold may continue to rise modestly (bullish) in the short term if: • The Fed keeps rates unchanged or takes a moderately hawkish stance, • Geopolitical risks persist, • U.S. economic data continues to show weakness. However, a surprise from the Fed or a strong USD could lead to a pullback. Watch key levels: $3,340 (support), $3,410 (resistance). 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry zone: $3,410–$3,420 • 🎯 TP: ~$3,390 – $3,400 • ❌ SL: ~$3,430 • 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry zone: $3,340–$3,350 • 🎯 TP: ~$3,360 – $3,370 • ❌ SL: ~$3,330
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
GOLD/USD Support Retest & Breakdown SetupGOLD/USD Support Retest & Breakdown Setup 📉🔍 🔹 Overview: The chart indicates a potential bearish continuation pattern on GOLD/USD as the price is approaching a key support level at 3,335.305. Previous price action shows multiple rejections from the resistance zone (~3,435), followed by lower highs – a sign of weakening bullish momentum. 📊 Technical Analysis: 🔺 Resistance Zone (~3,435) Multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows) indicate strong supply pressure. Price has failed to break above this area thrice, forming a clear ceiling. 🔻 Support Zone (~3,335) Marked as the target for a short setup. Price is testing this level again after forming a minor consolidation below lower highs. A clean break below this purple zone may trigger a continuation to the downside, targeting the broader support range below (~3,240). 🟠 Bearish Structure: Series of lower highs (highlighted with circles). Breakdown pattern is developing with declining bullish momentum. 📈 Potential Play: A confirmed breakdown below 3,335 could lead to a drop toward the next major support. If support holds, short-term bounce is possible but limited by the dominant resistance. 📌 Conclusion: GOLD/USD is currently in a bearish setup, with the market eyeing a potential breakdown below a critical support zone. If this level fails to hold, we could see accelerated bearish momentum toward the lower support range. 💡 Caution: Wait for a confirmed close below support before entering any short trades.
TVC:GOLD
by MrStellanSight
Is 2025 the right time to make plans?Market news: On Thursday (June 19) in the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,380/ounce. As an important safe-haven asset in the global financial market, the price fluctuations of international gold are often affected by macroeconomic policies, geopolitical situations and market sentiment. Recently, the gold market has shown a complex and eye-catching trend under the dual influence of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.The Federal Reserve decided to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% at its meeting on June 18. This decision was in line with market expectations, but its subsequent statement brought new uncertainty to the London gold price market. This cautious stance weakened the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's rapid easing, causing gold prices to fall 0.57% on Wednesday to close at $3,369/ounce.The current gold market is in a complex environment with multiple factors intertwined. The Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy stance and inflation expectations caused by tariffs have brought short-term pressure on gold prices, but geopolitical tensions and signs of economic slowdown have provided potential upward momentum for gold prices. Pay attention to the dynamic changes in the global economy and geopolitics to seize investment opportunities in the gold market. Technical Review: Gold fell to the MA10-day moving average of 3662 in the early morning and counterattacked 3380 in the Asian session. The Asian session will continue to look at the rebound strength. The gold price will continue to fluctuate and adjust. The large range is 3408/3343, and the small range is 3390/3360. The daily chart fell back to the 10-day moving average at 3362, and the MA5/7-day moving average was suppressed at 3385/90. The RSI indicator continued to flatten the middle axis. The short-term four-hour chart price is running in the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band! This week, gold rose sharply to 3450 at the opening, and gradually fell slowly to 3365, with a strength of 100 US dollars. Although the main strength in the first two trading days was a decline, the buying trend remained unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. So this week's idea continues to maintain short-term selling and long-term buying. Today's analysis: After the Fed's interest rate decision, the Fed kept the interest rate unchanged as expected, which was in line with market expectations. Gold continued to fluctuate and fall in the short term, and there was no obvious upward momentum for buying. Even if it was a risk aversion, it might be careful of the trend of rising and falling. Since gold was under pressure at 3400, it continued to sell at high prices when it rebounded under pressure at 3400 during the day.The gold 1-hour moving average continued to sell downward dead cross patterns, and the gold buying rebound was weak. It was under pressure at 3400 for many times in the past two days and began to fall. The short-term 3400 line of gold has become a strong resistance. If gold buying cannot break through 3400 strongly, then gold buying will be difficult to improve. It is likely that it will still be the main venue for gold selling. Gold rebounded at 3400 during the day and continued to sell at high prices. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3365-3368 buy, stop loss 3356, target 3390-3440; Short-term gold 3395-3398 sell, stop loss 3407, target 3370-3350; Key points: First support level: 3368, second support level: 3354, third support level: 3333 First resistance level: 3396, second resistance level: 3408, third resistance level: 3420
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NuggetsWarriors
Data is stable. Will the price go down?Information summary: The Fed kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, and did not make a rate cut decision for four consecutive meetings, which was in line with market expectations. The Fed said that uncertainty about the outlook has eased, but it is still at a high level. The Fed lowered its GDP forecast for 2025 to 1.4%, while raising its inflation forecast to 3%. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, which may suggest that the pace of future rate cuts will slow down. Market analysis: From the current 4-hour chart: The price has fallen below the key support level of 3380. If it returns to below 3370 again, it is very likely to reach today's low. The low point of the downward trend is at the extreme position of 3350-3330. From the hourly chart, the downward range has also been broken. The early rebound in the Asian market also failed to stabilize above the support level. Then from the hourly Fibonacci, the 0.382 position below is around 3350. Therefore, if it goes down, the first target is also around 3350. Operation strategy: Short around 3380, stop loss at 3390, profit range 3350-3330.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Interest rate decision bearish Today, the focus is on the Fed's latest interest rate decision, which will be announced on Wednesday. The market generally expects that it will maintain the policy rate range of 4.25%-4.50%. Trump recently asked the Fed to cut interest rates by one percentage point immediately, but the market reacted cautiously, believing that a sharp rate cut may increase inflation risks, especially in the context of Middle East conflicts pushing up oil prices. Fed Chairman Powell's statement at the press conference will become the focus of market attention. The market expects the Fed to maintain a cautious and patient tone, and the guidance on the interest rate outlook may be vague. Technically, in terms of support, the 10-day moving average and the 20-day moving average form important support near 3464/3463 and 3445 respectively. In terms of resistance, yesterday's high near 3403 constitutes a key resistance above. If gold prices want to reverse the current weak pattern, they need to successfully break through this resistance level to open up upward space. Today's detailed operation strategy Short gold rebounds near 3400, defense 3410, target 3380-3364 Long gold falls back near 3364, defense 3356, target 3380-3400
TVC:GOLDShort
by jiqeu1
2
Data is about to be released. Will it affect the trend of gold?Information summary: The Federal Reserve is about to announce the latest interest rate decision, and the market generally expects it to maintain the policy interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% unchanged. Trump recently asked the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by one percentage point immediately. However, the market reacted cautiously to this, believing that a sharp interest rate cut may increase inflation risks, especially in the context of Middle East conflicts pushing up oil prices. Fed Chairman Powell's statement at the press conference will become the focus of market attention. The market expects the Fed to maintain a "cautious and patient" tone, and the guidance on the interest rate outlook may be vague. Market analysis: Technical indicators, from the daily chart, the support level is near the 10-day moving average and the 20-day moving average, and the 3365-3345 range forms an important support. In terms of resistance, yesterday's high near 3405 constitutes a key resistance above. If the price wants to reverse the current weak pattern, it needs to break through this resistance level strongly to open up the upward space. From the 1-hour chart, the price started to fall after reaching a high point, and maintained stability in the upper and lower ranges; it is now close to the low point in the early trading, and the trend is relatively slow. In the absence of an upward or downward breakthrough, we still follow the strategy of selling high and buying low. Short around 3400, stop loss 3410, profit range 3380-3365; Long around 3365 when the price falls back, stop loss 3355, profit range 3380-3400.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1