XAU/USD(20250416) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September lTechnical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary:
3224
Support and resistance levels:
3247
3238
3233
3215
3209
3200
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3233, consider buying, the first target price is 3247
If the price breaks through 3224, consider selling, the first target price is 3215
Goldinvesting
Gold bull market? 3300 is not far awayEvent summary:
Goldman Sachs releases another "gold bomb"! The Wall Street giant raised its gold price target for the third time, predicting that gold will soar to $3700 per ounce in 2025, and even warned that it may exceed $4500 in extreme cases! In just a few months, the expected price of gold has soared like a rocket, and the market is completely boiling-this is not an investment, but this time, it may be an unprecedented super market!
Level analysis:
The early fluctuations of gold were not large, and it has always shown a trend of oscillating sideways. However, the current surge has directly given everyone a big surprise. How should we view the upward trend?
The surge in gold directly broke through the oscillation area. The daily line continued to attack after a break. The trend is still in a strong form, so it is better to follow and do more in the short term!
Trading signal:
3240-50 long, stop loss 3230, take profit 3285.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, I hope you can achieve an investment breakthrough with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Gold hits a new all-time high, trend analysisEvent summary:
Tariff threats are still spreading further, and the EU expects US tariffs to continue because negotiations are progressing very slowly. At the same time, Trump administration officials hinted that most of the tariffs imposed on the EU will not be lifted.
These are the two phenomena we are currently seeing:
1. The rise in US bond yields is a typical panic, because maturing debts have to face renewal or repurchase, but in the current situation, it is obviously not possible without higher interest rates. If US bonds continue to rise, what can be used to make up for the interest gap?
2. The price of gold continues to break high, capital is seeking profits, and the US dollar credit system is further weakened. Then the alternative and safe-haven product is naturally gold. The flow of funds naturally promotes the space and possibility of gold to continue to rise sharply.
Level analysis:
After the gold surged, it continued to refresh its historical highs, and continued to maintain a high-level oscillating and strong trend along the short-term moving average on the daily trend. In the 4-hour level, the price began to break through the previous row of pressure belts, and the short-term moving average continued to diverge upwards and maintain a relatively strong trend. Pay attention to whether there is a secondary upward trend after the retracement confirmation during the day. In the short-term trend, pay attention to the support belt around 3240. The hourly level trend also maintains a good bullish divergence trend. In the current situation, try to focus on retracement and long positions. In the case of a strong market, the retracement may not be too strong. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Operation strategy:
3245-55 long positions, stop loss 3240, take profit 3275.
I am Quaid, turning every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Let us wait together for gold to break 3200
In terms of operation, short selling is still the main strategy, and short selling is still maintained near 3235. It is expected that gold will continue to adjust in the future, and 3200 will most likely be broken today.
Today's detailed operation strategy
Gold will go long at 3185, defend at 3175, and target 3200-3220
Gold will go short at 3235, defend at 3245, and target 3210-3180
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Do you think this is the final height of gold?
At present, affected by the global trade conflict, the price of gold is above $3,200. Although there was no accelerated rise on Monday, the retracement to confirm the position of $3,190 is also very perfect. I also emphasized the key position of $3,190 in the article last night. The gains and losses of this position will determine the direction of the short-term gold price.
Therefore, regarding the next target of gold in 2025, I think we should continue to pay attention to the target price of $3,318, and then adjust it according to the situation. What we need to do now is not to adjust the so-called target, but to understand the underlying logic of the deep-level gold rise when we encounter a callback in the middle!
Okay, let's talk about the gold market today.
On Monday, the price of gold opened slightly lower and pulled up to the previous high of $3,247, and then slid down in the European session. Many friends are worried about whether they will encounter Black Monday. My point of view is not speculation, but to see whether the key position of $3,190 will be lost. If it is lost, adjust the direction. Don't make too many assumptions before it is lost.
Today, gold continues to fluctuate at a high level. Two positions are focused on below. One is the support low point before the last 1-hour level pull-up at 3190, and the other is the top and bottom conversion position of the previous high point of 3167 US dollars.
As shown in the figure, the 4-hour gold price fell back to confirm 3190 US dollars last night, and then continued to climb steadily upward. The current focus is on the breakthrough of 3250 US dollars. Once it breaks through here, it will form a new pull-up. Fear of heights is the mentality of most people. They think that they will be trapped after the plunge if they chase high positions. In fact, as long as they fasten their seat belts, even if the plunge does not have much impact, people who are afraid of heights cannot make friends with the trend. They always think that a surge will definitely surge, which is a black-and-white thinking model.
Today, gold continues to rely on 3190 US dollars as the dividing point between long and short positions, and then go long after the callback. Pay attention to 3250-3265-3270 US dollars above. Break through 3190 US dollars and adjust the thinking to do a reverse hand!
Join me and I will guide you to a profitable trade 💵!
Is the gold price rally over?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 15), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,220/ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of 3,245 earlier in the session before falling back, closing down 0.85% at $3,193/ounce, as risk sentiment improved after the White House exempted most countries from high tariffs on electronic products. In addition, US President Trump hinted that imported cars and parts may be exempted from temporary tariffs.Continued uncertainty in trade and tariffs, a weak dollar and falling Treasury yields usually provide support for international gold. Goldman Sachs remains the most bullish major bank on gold, raising its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700/ounce, citing unexpected central bank demand and the increased risk of recession, which affects the inflow of gold ETFs. Gold investment is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This trading day mainly focuses on the US import price index in March and the New York Fed manufacturing index in April. Bank of America, Citigroup, United Airlines and other companies will release performance reports; investors also need to pay attention. Fed Chairman Powell's speech and retail data (terrorist data) came one after another on Wednesday, and investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations.
Technical Review:
Gold closed with a negative K adjustment on the daily line. The gold price rose and fell in the European and American markets, but did not effectively lose the 3200 and 3190 levels. The Bollinger Bands on the short-term hourly chart closed, and the four-hour chart moving average crossed at a high level. The technical side needs to pay attention to the possibility of the existence of a double top on the hourly chart of the previous high line of 3245. It is expected that the trend on Tuesday will pay attention to high-level fluctuations during the day. Before the trend is established and turned, the main idea is to pull back to a low level, and the rebound to a new high may be close to the previous high and high. After falling back to around 3210 yesterday, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous terraced support belt and began to gradually weaken in the short-term trend!It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3230 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the am20 moving average below is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3230, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retrace deeply to 3170-60. The daily line closed negative for the first time after three positive lines. The trend has not changed. However, in the short term, it at least shows that the suppression of 3245 is effective, but it is still oscillating above the upper line. Therefore, for the daily chart, time should be exchanged for space. Today, the daily chart is suppressed at the upper Bollinger line 3245, and the four-hour chart is weak and short. However, the price is still running in the upward channel, so it belongs to the high-level correction adjustment type. In the short term, it is suppressed at the upper line 3230, and the support is 3184!
Today's analysis:
From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then rose again, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall. There are signs of a pullback but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of selling on rebound. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average. If it closes with a long negative line, then it will pull back downward in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track. If it closes with a long lower shadow K, then it will not go down for the time being and will continue to consolidate at a high level.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3230-3240;
Sell short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3257, target at 3200-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3210, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3192
First resistance level: 3232, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3268
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
Last week, China imposed a 125% tariff on US goods in retaliation for the US's 145% tariff, but then hinted that it would not respond to any further escalation of tariffs. Last weekend, President Donald Trump proposed the idea of levying a separate 20% tariff on Chinese semiconductors and electronics, suggesting that his strategy may shift from comprehensive tariffs to more targeted trade measures.
📊Commentary and analysis
Although there was a technical correction in the 1-hour gold trend, gold once retreated below 3197 to around 3195, but soon it was supported by bargain hunting again, suggesting that the underlying logic of this century's market is rock solid. When Fed officials are about to speak intensively, March PPI data hides inflation mystery, and geopolitical black swans continue to hover, every pullback of gold is accumulating power for the next round of charge. Historical experience shows that when there is a century-long divergence between physical assets and financial assets, it often indicates a large transfer of wealth at the civilization level.
Therefore, the gold price and the buying volume are maintained, and the upward trend continues: 3250, 3260
💰 Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time: Continue to go long near 3220
Take profit near 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Gold weakens in the short term, backhand shorts
Gold is still in a strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend. From the trend, the short-term moving average begins to diverge downward, and the price begins to slowly fall below the previous row support band and gradually weakens in the short-term trend. Pay attention to whether there is a small rebound in the late trading to confirm the secondary decline trend. In the hourly trend, the current small arc top pattern has emerged. The K line begins to slowly stick to the short-term moving average to maintain a good oscillating downward trend. Pay attention to the support band around 3170 in the short term. Pay attention to the adjustment and repair of the short-term trend. For operation, refer to the short-term opportunity near 3215-6, and stop loss at 3221.8.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260Gold market analysis:
Now everyone is waiting for a sharp drop in gold, because the previous strong bottom pull did not leave too many people with the opportunity to step back. There are many sell orders in the market. I still think that individual investors should not hold on to it. I have not seen an individual investor who holds on to it and makes a profit. Gold has risen to the highest record in history, and it is also the time point with the largest fluctuation in the past year. Many newcomers basically find it difficult to escape such a big market. Newcomers hold on to it and increase their positions when they are wrong. Veterans run faster than rabbits when they are wrong, and they hold on to it when they are right. Last week's gold weekly line was again a big positive, and the K-line moving average broke up again. There is no top to the weekly line. The indicator shows that the next target of the weekly line is 3400. In the short term, we need to find a good rhythm and opportunity to follow the buying.
The gold chart shows that the short-term moving average has begun to rise, and the buying pattern support has reached around 3209. Today's Asian market prices are strong above this position. The short-term moving average support is around 3218. In addition, the suppression of 3245 is also obvious. If it breaks, it will pull up a lot of space again. Those who like to see 3245 in the Asian market are an opportunity. If you want to follow the trend, you have to give up. The short-term retracement is our opportunity to get on the train again.
Pressure 3245, big suppression is invisible, small support 3218 and 3209, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3209.
Fundamental analysis:
Previous CPI data also showed that gold suppressed the US dollar. This week, the market will rest on Good Friday, and Powell will speak.
Operation suggestions:
Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
The international gold investment market performed well this week, with spot gold starting its upward journey from about $3,050/ounce on Monday. At the beginning of the week, market concerns about global trade uncertainty provided mild support for international gold prices, and spot gold rose to the $3,100/ounce mark on Tuesday. On Wednesday, the US dollar index fell below 102.00, and Trump's tariff remarks exacerbated market anxiety, and the London gold price accelerated upward, breaking through $3,150/ounce. On Thursday, the risk aversion caused by the situation in Russia and Ukraine further pushed up gold prices, and spot gold hit the psychological mark of $3,200/ounce. Gold prices reached a climax this week on Friday, with spot gold hitting a high of $3,245/ounce during the session, as factors such as increased Sino-US trade tensions and a weak dollar disrupted global markets, sparked concerns about a recession, and prompted investors to turn their attention to gold, which is seen as a refuge from uncertainty. Since January, gold prices have risen by about 23% due to geopolitical uncertainties, central banks' demand for increased holdings, and increased inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds. In a world upended by Trump's trade war, gold is clearly seen as the most popular safe-haven asset. As confidence in the United States as a reliable trading partner has waned, the dollar has depreciated and U.S. Treasuries are being sold off sharply. Looking ahead to next week, gold prices may fluctuate between $3,200 and $3,300 per ounce. It is necessary to pay close attention to the trend of the U.S. dollar, U.S. economic data and the latest developments in the global situation to determine the next direction of gold prices. The attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset is difficult to shake in the short term, and market volatility may continue.
Technical Review:
The three consecutive positive daily lines of gold directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the previous period. Now the positive line breaks the upper Bollinger track and pulls up the moving average. Then, gold has entered an extremely strong state of bullish trend. Although bulls dominate in the short term, gold prices are already at historical highs, and the potential risk of a correction cannot be ignored. Both the RSI and CCI indicators are at high levels, close to the overbought area, suggesting that there may be a technical correction in the short term. If there are signs of easing trade tensions or hawkish remarks by Fed officials, gold prices may fall. 4-hour level, this wave of rise is extremely strong, climbing all the way without callback. Now it has crossed last week's high and stood firmly above 3200. The technical indicators are golden cross rising, and there is no sign of stopping. After accelerating, we need to pay attention to the width of the sideways consolidation. On Friday, it directly rose to a historical high of 3245, but there was a slight decline at the close. Next week, we will focus on whether gold will open high and cover. If there is a decline, it is also an opportunity for us to buy in.
Next week's analysis: Given that the current news is good for gold prices, our prudent idea next week is to wait for a callback before going long and bullish, and not guess the top above. Specifically, we can wait until the gold price callbacks to 3200 to go long and look at the two target positions of 3250 and 3298 above. If you want to sell, you can make plans after the high rush is weak. 1-hour moving average of gold is still a golden cross upward bullish arrangement, and the strength of gold bulls is still relatively strong, but now the gold price is too far away from the moving average, and the deviation rate is too large, so pay attention to the next adjustment. Then the adjustment is either space for time or time for space. Either way, you need to wait! If gold uses space to complete the rapid adjustment, then gold should pay attention to the support of 3185 below, and then gold will fluctuate widely to complete the adjustment. If time is exchanged for space, then gold may maintain a narrow range of fluctuations above 3200, and then seek a breakthrough. In this case, gold is still in a strong form, and there will be a rapid rise after the adjustment.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3240-3250;
Sell short-term gold at 3277-3280, stop loss at 3288, target at 3240-3220;
Key points:
First support level: 3220, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3188
First resistance level: 3248, second resistance level: 3262, third resistance level: 3280
4.11 Interpretation of gold technical ideas4.11 Interpretation of gold operation ideas: Gold prices rose sharply to a new high. How to trade next?
The daily line closed with a big positive line, and the closing price was far away from the previous high. This is a truly effective breakthrough!
There are two types of breakthroughs: 1. The amplitude and strength of the breakthrough! 2. The closing price after the breakthrough!
At present, the intraday pattern of gold prices is unbalanced. The rise and fall depends entirely on the international situation. The US dollar has fallen below 100 points, which has led to panic selling by investors and a sharp rise in gold prices. Therefore, if the situation eases, we must be wary of a rapid decline in gold prices. After a wave of accelerated rises in the morning, today's main focus is on the trend of the afternoon and US markets.
At present, the price of gold is hovering in the 3210 range. If it falls back, it is expected to rebound in the 3200-3190 range. If the European market breaks through the high for the second time and continues to strengthen during the day, then the US stock market will usher in a bullish opportunity again.
The market is always full of opportunities! The above strategies are for reference only, and personal opinions are for reference only. The specific operation is subject to real-time operation. If you want to obtain core member signals and increase account profits, please contact Ailen❤️❤️❤️
Gold buying momentum is off the charts!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Friday (April 11), spot gold continued to rise, reaching a high of $3,220/ounce, setting a new record high. The unexpected slowdown in US inflation dragged down the US dollar, and the international trade war continued to push investors to safe-haven gold. As trade tensions intensified, market risk aversion suddenly heated up, and the price of gold in London soared by more than $200!The first monthly price decline in nearly five years released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday also showed that demand was weak amid growing concerns about a recession caused by tariffs, which also led financial markets to expect that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 100 basis points this year. After the release of the U.S. CPI data, traders bet that the Federal Reserve will resume rate cuts in June, and may accumulate a 1 percentage point cut by the end of this year. Low interest rates are usually good for international gold because gold does not pay interest. As the situation of declining confidence has already formed, Federal Reserve officials are worried that this will further suppress consumption and investment. This week, Fed policymakers said they still believe that tariffs are a blow to economic growth and increase the risk of rising inflation, putting monetary policy at a difficult crossroads. Several Fed officials will still speak on Friday, and investors need to pay attention to them. In addition, they need to pay attention to the performance of the March PPI data, the international trade situation and the changes in market risk aversion.
Technical review:
The gold daily line closed with a big positive line with a gain of more than $100 yesterday. This single-day gain is extremely rare in more than 10 years. The market has been extremely crazy with a rise of $200 in two trading days. On Thursday, gold hit a new high in the US market. Market sentiment completely followed the tariff war. Technical analysis is pale and powerless to grasp it. We can only control risks and reduce positions to operate. The gold price stood on the middle track and the short-term moving average 5MA, that is, the 3030-3040 line, and the closing price was just above the MA10 daily line. This morning, gold continued to rise strongly relying on the MA10 daily line, and the current highest has reached the 3220 line. With such a strong impact, the rapid decline in the three trading days on the daily line has turned into a bottoming out and rebound. Whether it continues to break high or buy correction, it is just that the impact of the tariff war has accelerated the amplitude and time. According to the previous large rise, if the buying sentiment continues to be high, the next position is 3300.
Today's analysis
Gold has risen strongly, continuously setting new historical highs, and the buying momentum is strong! At the 4-hour level, the support level has moved up. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross upward buying arrangement, indicating that gold buying still has the power to rise further. At present, the gold price has set a new historical high, and it is not advisable to rush to chase the rise at this time. The short-term operation strategy can wait for the price to step back, and after stabilizing below, buy in combination with the support level. Today, the highest gold in the Asian session has risen to 3220, and the demand for risk aversion has increased. Most people have a high degree of attention and willingness to buy gold. Judging from the market trend, gold has already stood firm at the previous high of 3167, and the buying trend has continued. In the past few days, the daily increase in gold has exceeded 100 US dollars. I believe that the increase in gold prices today will not be too small, and today's gold is expected to further move towards the 3300 mark. Wait for a correction during the session and buy on the trend!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3177-3180, stop loss at 3168, target at 3220-3230;
Sell short-term gold at 3233-3236, stop loss at 3245, target at 3200-3190;
Key points:
First support level: 3200, second support level: 3185, third support level: 3170
First resistance level: 3223, second resistance level: 3236, third resistance level: 3250
Gold V-shaped reversal breaks through new highs to usher in a buFundamental analysis:
The erratic tariff plans of the US administration have shaken the entire global market, with market participants scrambling for direction and certainty. This is usually supportive for gold, which has risen 18% so far this year. Gold has also been boosted by expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve and central bank purchases.
Technical interpretation:
From the 4-hour chart, spot gold has completed a typical V-shaped reversal pattern, rebounding strongly after a deep correction. After hitting a low of $2,956.67, gold prices launched a counterattack, breaking through the suppression of multiple moving averages in one fell swoop, and finally stood firm at the key resistance level of $3,100. It is worth noting that gold prices are currently running above the rising trend line, which indicates that the short-term trend has clearly turned bullish.
The MACD indicator shows a strong bullish signal, with the DIFF line and the DEA line forming a golden cross, and the DIFF value is 13.58 and the DEA value is -1.55, indicating that the upward momentum is accumulating at an accelerated rate. At the same time, the MACD bar chart continues to expand, further confirming the strengthening of bullish power.
Although the daily MACD indicator temporarily shows signs of high divergence, the DIFF value is 35.22 and the DEA value is 40.67, but both are at high levels, indicating that the medium- and long-term momentum is still strong. The daily RSI is 62.58, which is in a moderately strong area and does not show obvious overbought. The daily CCI is 74.30, which also shows that the medium-term upward momentum is still continuing.
Analysis of short-term operation ideas:
After the gold price broke through the key resistance of $3,100, the technical side showed a clear trend of strengthening. If it can stand firm at this level, the next target will point to the historical high of $3,167.60, and a new round of upside will be opened after the breakthrough. In terms of support, $3,060.00 (previous breakthrough position) will provide effective support. If it fails, it may pull back to the lower track of the rising channel near $2,968.00. Recent US inflation data and trade situation developments will become key catalysts for short-term trends.
Bull market hides falling crisis!Gold rose sharply to around 3170 in the short term. Gold is in an obvious bull market. I think we should not be too optimistic! Don't blindly chase gold in trading!!!
Although it is only one step away from the previous high, it not only faces the psychological resistance of 3200, but also multiple integer resistance. After the fundamental positive factors are exhausted, it is difficult for gold to have enough power to continue to rise and break through the heavy resistance.
So the sharp rise of gold is likely to be a bull market trap, in order to confuse more people to chase gold, and large institutional funds take the opportunity to sell! So in terms of short-term trading, I still will not vigorously chase long gold, I will start to short gold gradually in batches! The faster gold rises, the faster it may collapse!
Bros, I am not afraid of shorting gold now. I think short trading can also bring me huge profits. The retracement target first focuses on the area around 3135.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Gold continues to strengthen and fluctuates widely in the short Gold stabilized near the 200-period moving average at the beginning of this week, and the current upward trend is supported by the daily chart oscillator indicators. Both the daily RSI and MACD remain in the bullish range, with obvious momentum;
The upper target is concentrated in the 3167-3168 US dollar line, which is the historical high set at the beginning of this month; if it successfully breaks through this area, the gold price may enter a new upward channel.
In the short term, the support level below $3100 is concentrated in the 3065-3060 US dollar range, and a break below it will open a downward channel to $3000. The $3000 mark coincides with the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart, which is the key long-short dividing point;
If it falls below this point, it means that gold has entered the correction stage, and bulls need to remain vigilant; but the current fundamentals and market sentiment still strongly support the gold price to maintain high volatility.
Gold price rally resumes?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Thursday (April 10), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $3,085/ounce. International gold staged a "violent rise" on Wednesday, soaring more than 3% in a single day, the largest increase since March 2020, and approaching the $3,100 mark during the session. Behind this epic market is the Trump administration's decision to raise tariffs on Asian giants to 125% - the market panic index instantly exploded, and investors once frantically sold stocks and industrial commodities, pushing gold to the safe haven throne.The capriciousness of the US government's tariff plan has shaken the world, and investors are looking for direction and certainty. This generally supports gold. Although the 90-day tariff suspension order has caused the London gold price to fall slightly to $3,082, traders' fingers are still hanging on the buy button: the current gold price has soared by $400 from the beginning of the year, and is only one step away from the historical peak of $3,167 on April 3! All eyes are on Thursday's US CPI data - if inflation exceeds expectations again, the market's fear of the Fed's "longer and higher" interest rate will send gold prices to $3,200; if the data is weak, the expectation of an early rate cut will trigger more crazy safe-haven buying. In addition, it is necessary to pay attention to the changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States. Several Fed officials will speak on this trading day, and investors also need to pay attention.
Technical Review:
Market news influences everything, tariffs are escalated again, and gold rose sharply to 3099.4 in the late trading, close to the 3100 mark, and retreated sharply by more than $50 to 3048 before closing. The daily line turned from negative to strong positive and closed. The New York closing price on the daily chart once again stood on the MA10-day moving average, and the one-day trend was broken and the volatility was quite large. Be alert to the market's extreme volatility again, closing strong at a high level in the early morning. From the short-term trend, the bulls have the upper hand, showing an extremely obvious strong pattern. Therefore, the focus of the day needs to be on whether this rising trend can continue. After the correction during the day, participate in the low-price buying layout. If there is no correction during the day and the 3100 mark is broken first, pay attention to the opportunity to buy at a low price after the 3100 mark is broken.
Today's analysis:
At present, gold continues to rebound, and the previous view remains unchanged. The general trend is buying, but it is currently in the mid-term adjustment period. As emphasized earlier, after the previous sharp drop in gold, it is still necessary to continue to be bullish without directly changing the current strength. This is why I have been suggesting buying in the past two days. From a technical point of view, the rebound to 2956 at the beginning of the week ushered in a rebound, and the lows gradually moved up. On Wednesday, the daily line closed with a big positive line, so the previous 2956 position formed a bottoming performance, and the Bollinger closing became more and more obvious. The technical conditions for this wave of bottoming have been met, so there was a bullish outbreak in the US market on Wednesday. As long as the current gold market stands firmly at 3100, it can continue to look up to 3136 or even 3167 or higher. In the 4-hour chart of gold, we can see that the market has been advancing all the way, forming a head and shoulders bottom pattern at 2955 and 2970. In the short term, we will first see whether it can stand above 3100, and then see whether it can form a unilateral surge and reach a new high. Therefore, trading should still be mainly based on buying, waiting for the trend to rise. The support below can refer to the 3062 and 3035 positions of the US market retracement on Wednesday to continue to be bullish, and make effective buy orders above these positions respectively. If it breaks, wait for the next support position to continue buying. As long as these two positions are maintained, the short-term bullish trend will remain unchanged.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3062-3065, stop loss at 3053, target at 3090-3100;
Sell short-term gold at 3133-3136, stop loss at 3145, target at 3100-3080;
Key points:
First support level: 3073, second support level: 3062, third support level: 3050
First resistance level: 3100, second resistance level: 3116, third resistance level: 3136
Gold continues to rise and break through!Gold was driven by risk aversion news, and soared more than $100 in a single day yesterday, with a huge positive line on the daily line! At present, it has broken through the 3100 mark. It is difficult for gold to continue to be long and short. The next step is more of a big sweep!
At present, the 3100 mark will be the key to the next long and short positions. It is under pressure to continue to be bearish. The key 3055-50 area below is the long breakthrough point, which is also the support area for the two declines in the US market. Once it breaks down, it indicates that the rise started at 2970 yesterday has ended and returned to the short position.
If gold breaks upward and stands above the 3100 mark with the help of news, the long position will gradually rise to 3115-20 and 3135-40 (last Friday's high point) and even test the historical high of 3167 to build a daily double top!
Intraday operation:
The 3100 mark is used as a long-short boundary. If it breaks through, you can consider short-term long positions. After pulling up, refer to the above target position, which is also a resistance position, and arrange short positions again.
XAU/USD(20250410) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Only 13 hours after it came into effect, Trump announced the suspension of the reciprocal tariff policy for most economies for 90 days for negotiations. Trump also said that he had been considering the suspension in the past few days. He now suspends the reciprocal measures because he feels that everyone has overreacted, and seems a bit panicked and a bit scared. He will consider exempting some American companies; the White House said that a 10% global tariff will still be imposed during the negotiations, and previously announced industry tariffs such as automobiles, steel and aluminum are not included in the suspension.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3050.81
Support and resistance levels:
3179
3131
3100
3001
2970
2922
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3100, consider buying, the first target price is 3131
If the price breaks through 3050, consider selling, the first target price is 3001
Gold bulls are in the driver's seat, beware of a pullback!Fundamental analysis:
A new round of tariff shocks has become a core factor affecting the trend of gold prices. "The rebound in gold reflects the market's growing concerns about tariff threats and the possible reshaping of global trade norms."
Technical interpretation:
The 4-hour chart shows that gold prices have now formed a clear upward channel, with support and resistance lines connecting lows and highs respectively. Recently, the price came near the MA200 moving average, and at the same time found buying near the key support level of $3015.00. From the MACD indicator, the DIFF line (0.41) and the DEA line (-8.65) have formed a golden cross, and the bar chart has turned red and the volume has increased, suggesting that upward momentum is accumulating. The RSI indicator is at the 60.47 level, close to but not yet in the overbought area, indicating that there is still room for upward movement. The CCI indicator is at 150.94. Although it is in the overbought area, the trend is strong and no obvious top divergence has yet to appear. It is worth noting that the recent price has not fallen below the lower track of the rising channel during the decline, indicating that bulls are still dominant.
Operational analysis:
The gold price is currently at a key technical position and has just retested the support level near MA55. If it can stand firm at this position, it is expected to retest the resistance level of $3090.00, and further breakthroughs may challenge the previous high of $3167.60. The short-term MACD golden cross signal strengthens the bullish expectations, but if the support of $3015.00 cannot be maintained, it may fall back to $2980.00. The lower track of the rising channel will be the key line of defense for the long-short boundary.
Will gold hit a new record high again?Gold rose to the 3040-3050 area as expected. The tariff issue also stimulated the bullish sentiment in the gold market. The current price is not a good entry point for both long and short parties.
Another point that everyone must be more concerned about is whether gold will rise again and break through and set a new high! I think it is not easy to draw a conclusion at present, because there is still resistance in the 3060-3075 area above. Only if gold successfully breaks through this resistance area, then gold will have the possibility of continuing to rise and set a new high;
At present, the gold bull-bear dividing line is in the 3060-3070 area. When gold touches this area, we can start to try to short gold; the first focus below is the 3025-3015 support area. If gold falls back to this area first, we might as well try to go long gold again in small batches.
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Technical analysis of short-term operations in the US market on 4,9 US trading operation interpretation ideas:
Today, there was a bottoming out and rebound. In the morning, it first went south and then north. It fell sharply to 2970 and then quickly counterattacked 3000 after entering the Asian session! I emphasized in the morning that the gold short may be coming to an end! It will enter a short-term sharp decline and then rebound! But the current trend is obvious that today's increase has exceeded expectations!
We must beware of the possibility of a V-reversal in the US market! Although the large-scale purchase of gold caused by the selling of US bonds is still difficult to confirm the long position in the US market!
The intraday increase is close to 90 points! There may be two emotions.
1: The market impact after the tariffs are implemented has not been eliminated
2: If the bullish trend continues in the US market, it may retreat to around 3045 in the future, and continue to be bullish later!
Short-term support: 3045---3030----3000
Pressure level: 3075---3080---3100---3135
4.9 Gold price trend after the Fed meetingIn the early European session, spot gold maintained its amazing intraday gains, and the current price is around $3046/oz, up $64 on the day.
Gold's latest technical trading analysis:
Gold's recent sharp decline from its all-time high has stalled near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the February-April rally. The support level is around the $2957-2956/oz area, or the multi-week low hit on Monday, followed by the 50-day moving average (currently around $2952/oz). If gold falls below the latter, it will be seen as a new trigger by bearish traders and drag gold to the next important support level around $2920/oz, and then all the way down to $2900/oz.
On the other hand, the momentum of gold breaking through the overnight high (around the $3023/oz area) could push gold prices to the $3055-3056/oz barrier. Some follow-up buying should pave the way for gold to return to the $3,100/oz mark, with some intermediate barriers around $3,075-3,080/oz.
Support: 3,030 3,018 3,000
Resistance: 3,045 3,068 3,080
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