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Go long gold, target: 3030-3040Gold tested the support of 2985-2975 again during the correction process, but did not fall below this area during the test. Combined with the structural lows of gold yesterday, they were 2970 and 2956. Today, gold did not fall below 2970, so it is very likely that gold will form a head and shoulders bottom pattern at the technical level, which will help gold to continue its rebound momentum with this strong technical support! So I think the short-term decline of gold is not a risk for us, but the best gift for us. So I advocate going long on gold from now on. After gold repeatedly tests the support, it will rise to the 3030-3040 area without hesitation. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
4.9 Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!Gold market analysis Gold idea: We need to pay attention to whether the daily line will rise after reaching a low. The daily line is hovering at the bottom. In a volatile market, we must find a range of volatility. Finding the rhythm is the most important thing. Yesterday, the daily line formed a cross star again. Today, the white market is expected to fluctuate. In addition, there are many fundamentals in the near future. The market has been led by the rhythm. Gold rose well before. The sharp drop was also due to Trump’s tariff policy. The global tariff war is inevitable in the future. It will support the US dollar in the long term and suppress gold. The short-term top of the weekly line may be a long-term top. Today’s idea: Let’s focus on the 2969-3022 volatility range. If the white market rebounds first and approaches 3022, go short first. On the contrary, if gold breaks and stands on 3022, it will also fluctuate, but the center of gravity of the volatility will rise to the 3000-3055 range. The volatility requires patience to wait for the position, and waiting is also part of the transaction. Support level: 2990-2969, Pressure: 3022 3035
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
4.9 gold rebound increases resistance level and continues shortiFundamentals: On Tuesday (April 8), the price of gold fluctuated slightly higher in the early US trading. The market is currently expecting a continuous decline, and at the same time paying attention to the logic of short selling at resistance points. After briefly hitting a four-week low on Monday, the price of gold rebounded quickly and rebounded strongly to above $3,000 in the Asian and European trading on Tuesday. Against this background, gold, as the ultimate safe-haven asset with "zero credit risk", has once again become the main allocation target of market funds. Every macro policy imbalance and external shock will bring cyclical buying to gold, and this time the intensity may be stronger. The current gold price has stabilized at the psychological level of $3,000 and is showing a short-term rising structure. From a technical perspective, the gold price in the daily chart quickly rose after stepping back on the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level ($2,956), showing the resilience of buying. If the gold price breaks through the short-term resistance of $3,020, the upward target will be the $3,055 and $3,080 areas, and further may rise to the $3,100 mark. The key support level below is still around $2956. If it fails, it may test the 50-day moving average support (about $2947). Once this level is lost, it may trigger more technical selling pressure. The biggest variable facing the current market is no longer inflation data, but the destructive impact of Trump's tariff increase on the global trade pattern. The Fed's policy space is opening up rapidly. Driven by the expectation of interest rate cuts and risk aversion demand, gold not only stabilizes the $3,000 mark, but is also likely to re-enter the main upward trend. Personal operation analysis: Trend: shock trend Support: 3000----2983------2965 Resistance: 3008-----3030-------3050 Strategy: Viewpoint logic: Short view near 3030, stop loss 3036, take profit near 3000----2970, and track stop loss 300 points.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
4.8 Gold continues to run at a low point!Gold stabilized and rebounded on Tuesday (April 8), with an intraday increase of nearly 1%, successfully recovering the losses of the previous trading day. The rebound ended the three-day correction trend, and the gold price rebounded significantly from the key support level of $2,955. The current market focus is on the evolution of the Fed's policy path and the geopolitical trade situation. Under the interweaving of long and short factors, the short-term volatility of gold has risen significantly. Fundamentals: The struggle between risk aversion and interest rate expectations The rebound of gold at the beginning of this week was mainly driven by two factors: 1. The escalation of geopolitical trade risks US President Trump's recent remarks on tariffs have triggered market concerns about the renewed tension in the global trade system. 2. The Fed's interest rate expectations fluctuated sharply The interest rate futures market has undergone dramatic changes this week: On Monday, the market once bet that the Fed would cut interest rates five times in 2025, a significant shift from the expectation of "one or no interest rate cut" a week ago. 3. The coordination of the US dollar and capital flows The US dollar index weakened slightly on Tuesday, reducing the cost of holding gold for non-US investors. Technical aspect: Attack and defense of key support level From the perspective of the market structure, the trend of gold this week showed typical "sharp drop and slow rise" characteristics: Support confirmation: On Monday, the gold price accurately tested the support of $2955 and then rebounded. This position corresponds to the neckline of the platform that broke through in mid-March, and formed a double defense line with the 55-day moving average (US$2930). The intraday lows were densely bought, indicating that medium- and long-term investors viewed the correction as an opportunity to build positions. Resistance distribution: The first resistance above is at US$3040 (daily line R1), and after breaking through, it may test US$3057 (March 20 pivot point) and US$3097 (R2). The historical high of US$3167 is still a psychological barrier, but it is difficult to challenge it directly in the short term. In the short term, the trend of gold will depend on two major catalysts: 1. The minutes of the Fed's March meeting on Wednesday: If the minutes suggest an open attitude towards rate cuts, it may push gold prices to test the $3,050-3,070 range; conversely, if the emphasis is on inflation stickiness, it may trigger long profit-taking. 2. Progress in trade negotiations: Any substantive implementation or easing of tariff policies may trigger fluctuations of more than 5% in gold prices. In the medium term, the upward trend of gold has not been broken. Institutional research reports show that the current global central bank's demand for gold purchases is still at a historical high, and in the downward cycle of interest rates, the relative attractiveness of interest-free assets will continue to stand out. If the technical side breaks through $3,057, it will open up space for the impact of the previous high; the defense strength of the $2,950-2,930 area needs to be closely monitored below.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold has won two consecutive games, continue to short?Gold continued to be in a dead cross downward short position at 1 hour. The strength of gold short positions has not diminished. Gold fell near the resistance of 3017, and the gold moving average resistance has now moved down to near 3021. After gold rebounds, it is still mainly short selling. Trading ideas: short gold near 3015, stop loss 3025, target 2990 The above is only a sharing of personal opinions and does not constitute investment advice. Investment is risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal
Gold----Sell near 3013, target 2980-2960Gold market analysis: The gold market has been fluctuating a lot in the past few days because of the tariff issue, which has led to too much uncertainty in the market. Gold closed with a large tombstone candlestick pattern on the weekly line, which means that the top has appeared. Short-term buying is not as strong as those. Yesterday, gold hit a new low again. The daily cross star has a very long upper shadow. Today, we are more inclined to sell in the face of large fluctuations. Gold may continue yesterday's fluctuations. Today, we need to focus on finding the rhythm. It swings up and down by dozens of points. Buying and selling games are used to intercept the range. 3055 is already a new large suppression position. Today, 3055 is weak below. If it breaks, we will see a new buying momentum. In the Asian session, we focus on the small suppression in the 3013-3016 area. This position is the bottom of yesterday's small shock. In addition, the indicator suppression position is 3008-3010. The Asian session is rising strongly. The 4H is expected to close with a big positive. You can decisively sell at the suppression position. Even if it breaks, there will be a large-scale retracement. If gold stands near 3016, it may return to the oscillation range of 3016-3055. Suppression 3013-3016, strong pressure 3045 and 3055, support 2986, 2971, 2956, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 3000. Fundamental analysis: The US tariffs on the world are still brewing, which has also led to a sharp drop in global stock markets, and the market is not optimistic about expectations. Later this week, we will focus on the heavyweight CPI data. Operation suggestions: Gold----Sell near 3013, target 2980-2960
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
4.8 Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!Spot gold rebounded slightly during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 8), once rising above the 3,000 mark, and is currently trading around $2,995.51 per ounce. Spot gold may rebound to $3,049 per ounce, as the price has previously completed a five-wave cycle starting from $3,168. Analysts pointed out that the peak of wave d is around $3,049, which can be used as a rebound target. It is still difficult to judge whether this cycle is an impulse wave cycle or a correction wave cycle. If it is an impulse wave cycle, it means that the downward trend will extend to well below $2,950. The correction wave cycle shows that despite the sharp drop from $3,168, the upward trend from $2,831 remains intact. The information shown on the daily chart is very clear. The sharp drop in the past few days seems to be driven by wave (4), which may end near the strong support level of $2,970. The next wave (5) will push the upward trend above $3167. Resistance level: 3015----3038-----3050 Pressure level: 3000---29833-----2970
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
Gold price plummets by $100!Market news: In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 8), spot gold fluctuated widely and is currently trading around $2,995/ounce. Gold prices fell nearly 2% on Monday, falling for three consecutive trading days. The lowest intraday price hit $2,956/ounce, a drop of nearly $100. London gold bulls suffered a bloodbath. After the United States' comprehensive tariffs triggered concerns about a global economic recession, investors turned to the US dollar as a safe haven. However, given the grim economic situation, there is still a certain amount of bargain hunting to support international gold prices.Trump refuted rumors of a 90-day suspension of tariffs, pushing the US dollar index to rebound. When the US dollar appreciates, gold becomes expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. Amid market turmoil, investors turned to cash and safe haven assets such as the Swiss franc and the yen, which raised the risk of a deeper correction in gold prices. It should be reminded that although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell did not say that the Fed was eager to resume rate cuts, federal funds rate futures traders increased their bets on the number of rate cuts the Fed will make this year. This week’s U.S. economic focus will be the March consumer price and producer price reports, which will be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Data from last Friday showed that employers added more jobs than expected last month, but the unemployment rate also rose! Technical Review: The gold daily line structure continued to fluctuate downward, the moving average opened downward, and the RSI indicator ran below the middle axis. The rise was not continuous, and the tariff impact remained. Yesterday, the market reported a 90-day tariff suspension. It can be seen that U.S. stocks, crude oil, gold and silver all rose rapidly, and then it was confirmed to be false news, and then fell back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to sell. The market is currently in a two-way power game between the selling of risky assets and the rising demand for risk aversion. Although gold is a safe-haven asset, it is also facing the pressure of liquidity withdrawal. In the context of the unclear Fed policy and the continued escalation of global trade concerns, the price of gold may continue to maintain a volatile pattern, and the main idea is to sell at a high price! However, the current fluctuation is too fast and the amplitude is too large, so short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, followed by the position, which means that gold will fall sharply. Gold hit 2956 and then bottomed out and rebounded, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuation is relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is caught in a large range of fluctuations, but the overall trend is still selling. Today's analysis: Yesterday's early trading had a new low, and another new low in the evening. In such a market environment, new lows continue to appear. This is a weak market, and this is a selling market. When the 3000 point fell below, the faith of many investors collapsed. They wanted to stand firm at the 3000 mark, but it broke at this moment, which means that the current downward trend has not ended yet, and continue to sell along with the trend. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross downward and sell, and the selling force has not weakened; the rebound is still short. Although gold rushed higher after filling the gap in 1 hour, the upper shadow line came down quickly. The overall trend is still weak, and the short-term pressure is around 3030! Today's rebound is under pressure at the resistance of 3030, and it is still possible to continue selling. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to have rebounded strongly, it eventually rushed up and fell back. Gold is still the main place for selling, but now it is more volatile. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound, and the volatility should not be underestimated. However, the idea is to continue to sell at a high price. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 2975-2978 buy, stop loss 2966, target 3010-3020; Short-term gold 3030-3033 sell, stop loss 3042, target 2990-2980; Key points: First support level: 2978, second support level: 2963, third support level: 2955 First resistance level: 3000, second resistance level: 3013, third resistance level: 3030
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
4.8 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideasGold price has fallen below the previous row support band in the daily trend. The K-line continues to be under pressure from the short-term moving average and maintains a weaker trend of shock. In the short term, pay attention to the pressure band around 3030. In the 4-hour level trend, the K-line is currently under pressure from the short-term moving average and is maintaining a low-level shock repair. The strength and continuation of the intraday rebound are not too large. Pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. At present, after continuous shocks in the small-level cycle trend, the technical pattern has begun to gradually adjust. The K-line has begun to slowly stand on the short-term moving average and tends to have a certain rebound space in the short-term trend. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment. Operational suggestions: Short near 3017-8, stop loss 3023.9, or long near 2945-6, stop loss 2939.1. Real-time market intraday guidance. We will update regularly every day to introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
4.8 Gold Bollinger Bands bearish signal appearsRecently, the spot gold price once fell below the psychological barrier of $3,000, triggering technical concerns in the market about whether the gold bull market has reached its peak. On Monday (April 7) in the North American session, spot gold is currently trying to recover to around $3,030, but the technical indicators have shown obvious divergence. Fundamental analysis The market's concerns about US inflation continue to ferment, and the intensification of global trade frictions is driving the market's concerns about economic stagflation. The Fed's policy stance has also undergone subtle changes. The market has begun to price in five possible interest rate cuts this year. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut in May has soared from 33.3% last Friday to 49.3%. At present, traders are turning their attention to the US inflation data to be released this week, which will provide important clues for assessing the US economic situation. Technical analysts' interpretation: Bollinger band breakthrough signal indicates a short-term correction On the daily chart, gold prices have formed a clear upward channel since mid-March, but recently touched the upper track of the Bollinger band and began to fall. It is worth noting that the middle track of the Bollinger Band 3006.13 has become a key support level. After breaking through the historical high of 3167.60, the price has shown a typical upward exhaustion pattern. The MACD indicator shows DIFF: 43.46, DEA: 48.65, MACD: -10.39, and the green kinetic energy column has begun to expand, indicating that the short-term downward momentum is accumulating. RSI indicator shows overbought correction The 120-minute chart shows that the RSI indicator has fallen from the overbought area to a neutral level of 40.37. At the same time, the CCI indicator has dropped to -45.05, further confirming the trend of short-term overbought correction. Key support and resistance level analysis The current gold price faces multiple technical resistances, among which 3055.00 and 3085.00 constitute the main resistance range for short-term rebound. The lower support levels are mainly concentrated at $3005.00 and $2971.31, and these two levels will determine whether the gold price can remain above the psychological level of $3,000. In particular, the $2971.31 level, as a recent low, may trigger a deeper adjustment if it is lost. From the long-term daily chart, gold prices formed an accelerated upward channel after breaking through $2950.00. The recent high of $3167.60 is just at the upper track of the channel. This trend of peaking and falling is in line with the classic channel trading theory. Outlook Bull Outlook: If the US inflation data exceeds expectations, the market's expectations for a more aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve will be further strengthened, and gold prices are expected to re-challenge the high of $3167.60 after a correction. Technically, gold prices need to return to above $3055.00 to reactivate upward momentum. The widening of the Bollinger Band width indicates that volatility is increasing, which provides potential trading opportunities for bulls. Bear Outlook: In the short term, the downward divergence of the upper track of the Bollinger Band indicates that gold prices may face further corrections. The MACD histogram turned green and continued to expand, suggesting that downward momentum is accumulating. If the gold price falls below the key support of $2,971.31, it may trigger a deeper adjustment, and the next target will be $2,950.00 or even $2,920.00.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
Gold is still weak, rebound can still be shortedThe 1-hour moving average of gold still continues to cross downwards, and the strength of gold shorts has not weakened; gold rebounds are still mainly short selling. Although gold rose after covering the gap for one hour, the upper shadow line soon fell. Gold is still weak overall, and gold is under pressure near 3050 in the short term. Trading idea: short gold near 3042, stop loss 3052, target 3022 The above is purely a sharing of personal opinions and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal
Crude oil------sell near 62.20, target 60.00-58.00Crude oil market analysis: Trump's tariff policy has greatly stimulated crude oil, causing it to plunge all the way. At present, it has fallen to the bottom of the previous plunge again. We estimate that there will be a small counterattack at this position. The rebound is our opportunity to sell again. The idea of ​​crude oil follows the general direction. Pay attention to the suppression near 62.20. The daily line shape shows that it will go down. Operational suggestions Crude oil------sell near 62.20, target 60.00-58.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by BraveTigercat
4.7 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideas! US market4.7 Interpretation of gold late trading operation ideas: Falling more than 70 points in the morning, it quickly rebounded and reversed! How will gold evolve tonight? This V-reversal market frequently appears in these three trading days. It is difficult for us to encounter it once or twice a month. This increases the risk of trading. Once you make a mistake, it will be a reversal of dozens of points! When trading, you must strictly use the "stop loss". We note that the three V-reversals in this stage have common characteristics. The stop in the last trading intensive period means that "3130" can be used as a reference for stage support and pressure. Then these three are: 3130, 3050, 2970---2980 The decline caused by the backlog of sell orders and insufficient liquidity! For gold, it will cause multiple stimulations, panic selling, and funds leaving the market for a short time to avoid risks. Selling gold to fill the gap in other markets and many other factors, and the central banks around the world that intend to reserve gold will not wait! They will still buy strategically, so the trend determines that the decline is limited. 2880 and 2630 are the two main observation positions. After the small-cycle funds rebounded in the morning, the market entered a triangular consolidation state, the highs were gradually decreasing, and the lows were flattening. This is an obvious sign of market wait-and-see sentiment. The probability of a V-reversal phase or a continuous unilateral trend in the evening increased! If you follow this logic, gold should be under pressure around 3035-3038 during the rebound phase of 16-18 points! And then continue to fall. Of course, if the EU further expresses its tariffs! It may cause the short-term volatility of the market to intensify! Any unilateral trend needs to be confirmed in the US market. In the evening, whether it is a V-reversal from north to south or a continuation of the Asian and European market, it is normal. The overall framework will not deviate from the framework of 3130, 3050, 2980! We will update regularly every day to introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Explosive gold prices!【Market News】 On Monday (April 7), spot gold continued to fall in the Asian market, once losing the 3,000 integer mark, and refreshed the low since March 13 to $2,976/ounce. As concerns about international trade intensified, US stock index futures continued to plummet, and Japanese, Australian and New Zealand stock markets also followed the decline. Investors continued to sell gold to make up for their losses in the broader market collapse. Last Friday, European and American stock markets plummeted, and investors had already sold gold at that time, causing spot gold to plummet by 2.47% last Friday! After the plunge on Thursday and Friday, global markets fell further on Monday, and may have the worst three-day plunge in history. Investors who had been expecting some kind of reversal in tariff policy throughout the weekend realized that this was impossible, so they sold all kinds of assets after the opening of Monday. It should be reminded that investors still need to pay attention to the support of bargain hunting and safe-haven buying in London gold prices. Driven by strong central bank purchases and its overall appeal as a safe hedge against economic and geopolitical uncertainties, international gold has still risen by more than 13% this year. After the dramatic events surrounding US tariffs, the US schedule this week is relatively dull. The most important events are the release of the Fed's March meeting minutes on Wednesday, the release of US CPI and weekly unemployment benefits on Thursday, and the subsequent US PPI, University of Michigan consumer confidence and inflation expectations. Technical Review: The tariff policy has been implemented. Buy the expectation and sell the fact. Gold was sold off on Friday. Gold is under pressure from the upper track of the rising trend line channel at 3160/65. The current correction is gradually approaching the lower track of the rising channel line at 2980/70. The daily line closed with a big negative structure. The New York closing broke through the MA10 daily moving average at 3070. The RSI indicator continued to be overbought at a high level of 80 values ​​in the early stage, and then turned down and fell back to the 50-value central axis!The weekly RSI indicator turned downward and the price lost the MA5-day moving average in the early trading. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high 3125 dead cross remains open downward, currently moving down to 3063/75, the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the hourly and four-hour chart Bollinger bands open downward. In the early trading, gold continued to fluctuate downward in a weak bearish trend. The trading idea at the beginning of the week continued to be mainly high-altitude, with low-long auxiliary cooperation. Today's analysis: Gold once again opened a dramatic crazy mode last Friday, with buying and selling back and forth, large fluctuations, and finally selling was slightly better. The daily line closed in the long Yinxian form of upper and lower leads, which can be said to be an eye-opener for the market. With the increase in the base of gold prices, large fluctuations are also commonplace. The large fluctuations in the last second and the next second make the market uneasy. In the face of the sharp decline last Friday, gold may continue to maintain a downward trend in the later period, and the short-term bottom position below will be maintained at the 3000 integer level! This position is also the bottom and starting point of the previous period. There is a high possibility of a pullback, while the upper pressure is maintained near the top and bottom conversion of 3054-57, which is also the top position of the last big Yinxian last Friday. This position will be an ideal short-selling point on Monday. Once the pressure is effective, it may still fall again in the later period. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a dead cross downward, so there is still motivation for selling gold. The short-term trend of gold can only be a rebound. After the rebound, gold will continue to sell, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, it is more advantageous to sell in the short term. Unless there is a big profit to buy, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form a short-term suppression. The resistance of gold rebound is 3054. If it is under pressure, then gold will continue to sell at highs after the rebound. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 2983-2985 buy, stop loss 2974, target 3010-3030; Short-term gold 3051-3054 sell, stop loss 3063, target 3000-3010; Key points: First support level: 3000, second support level: 2990, third support level: 2976 First resistance level: 3040, second resistance level: 3054, third resistance level: 3068
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
4.7 Gold short-term operation technical strategyLast week, gold and Dow Jones started to plummet across the board, and the short-selling of the band was a carnival. First of all, our initial short-selling target of 38,500 under the Dow Jones 45,000 has been completed. The only key support is the 36,300 line, and gold has also fallen to the 2970 line. There is no bottom at present, but there is a rebound in the key support level, so don't chase the low in the morning! From the closing point of view, the weekly line finally closed with a long upper shadow line and a quasi-inverted hammer pattern. After the end of this pattern, the market has been in the short stage this week. The intraday rebound is still mainly high-altitude. The market has a large amplitude, and the small stop loss has lost its meaning. At this time, the entry position is very important. In terms of points, the intraday rebound 3045-55 area continues to be high-altitude. Short-term support: 3038, 3018, 2980, 2960 Do a good job of pushing the position protection! ! !
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
XAU/USD(20250407) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3063 Support and resistance levels: 3183 3138 3109 3017 2988 2943 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3017, consider buying, the first target price is 3063 If the price breaks through 2988, consider selling, the first target price is 2943
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
4.7 Gold opened lower and continued to fall!!!Gold fell sharply again at the opening of the morning session. The root cause is that the United States imposed tariffs on many countries and the countermeasures of various countries have triggered panic in the global financial market. The U.S. stock market fell sharply and the U.S. dollar index fluctuated. This macroeconomic uncertainty has increased the safe-haven demand for gold, but the liquidity problems caused by market panic may cause investors to sell gold in exchange for cash, so it will suppress the price of gold. The overall market sentiment is relatively complex, and the long-short game is fierce. From the disk, gold has gradually turned short! In the current situation, don’t expect gold to rise sharply in a short period of time to form a rebound. The gold content of following the trend is still rising. We will go short in the morning when we wait for a rebound! The upper pressure level focuses on the closing price of 3036 last week, and the further pressure level is the top and bottom conversion level of 3054! You can ambush and short near 3050 in the morning! The falling market is all the way down, don’t blindly guess the bottom! Specific strategy Gold 3050 short, stop loss 3056, target 3000
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: This week, the international gold price staged a "roller coaster" market. Spot gold continued to rise from Monday to Thursday, and on Thursday (April 3), it hit a record high of $3,167/ounce, but on Friday (April 4), it plummeted by more than $75 in a single day, falling to a low of $3,015, a drop of 2.44%, and finally closed at $3,038/ounce, narrowing the weekly increase to 1.2%. Precious metals such as silver and platinum fell simultaneously, among which spot silver fell by 7.2% in a single week, the worst performance since September 2020.      This sharp fluctuation stems from two key events: Trump's tariff policy has caused global concerns to heat up, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's unexpected turn to hawkish monetary policy. The market liquidity crisis caused investors to sell gold to make up for stock market losses, and the US dollar index strengthened by 0.9%, further suppressing international gold prices. The better-than-expected non-farm payrolls report released by the United States on Friday was another reason for the blow to gold prices. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that after seasonal adjustment, non-farm payrolls in March recorded 228,000, an increase higher than the market expectation of 135,000. Non-farm payrolls data will help the Federal Reserve postpone interest rate cuts. International gold usually performs well in a low interest rate environment. Looking ahead to next week, investors need to focus on the verification of inflation expectations by the U.S. CPI data in March (April 10), the market reaction after the tariff measures are officially implemented, and whether the speeches of Fed officials will release more policy signals. Technical Review: After a series of large negative declines, gold is currently in a short-term trend that is bearish. The daily line has a large negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a bearish signal of Yin Bao Yang engulfing. In the short term, it may rely on the middle track support to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The trend is bearish and downward. The gold market on Thursday and Friday this week can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 200 points in two days! The gold market has changed suddenly, and there has been an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. At present, the daily gold line has risen and fallen. The sharp rise in the early trading did not continue. It was under pressure at the high of 3168 and quickly entered an adjustment, with a downward adjustment space of more than 100 US dollars. After the high-level fluctuations of gold in the past two days, gold finally broke down on Friday night. In fact, the market was too active in the past two days, and the overall volatility was large. In fact, it was still a little difficult to operate. Although the overall outlook was bearish, the rebound amplitude was not small each time. Now sometimes it rebounded by more than 20 US dollars in a few minutes, so it may appear that it will continue to fall after a just loss. Now the high level of the gold daily line is covered by dark clouds, so how to operate next week? Next week's analysis: From the overall trend, the weak pattern of gold is beyond doubt, and it is reasonable to continue to be under pressure and downward. Therefore, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3050-3054 area next week, and continue to look at the 3060-3070 area above. The support that needs to be focused on is the 3000 mark shown by the weekly 5-day moving average slightly moving down. Above it, it will rebound, and breaking it will open a new round of downward space. The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold bears still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. After the gold rebounds, it will continue to sell, and then gold will enter a shock. After the gold falls sharply from a high level, it is more advantageous to sell in the short term. Unless there is a big profit to buy, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form a short-term suppression. The gold rebound resistance is 3076. If it is under pressure, then the gold rebound will continue to sell at highs. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3013-3015, stop loss at 3004, target at 3050-3060; Sell short-term gold at 3063-3065, stop loss at 3075, target at 3020-3030; Key points: First support level: 3015, second support level: 3000, third support level: 2988 First resistance level: 3048, second resistance level: 3056, third resistance level: 3074
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
Non-agricultural gold is expected to fall sharply. On Friday (April 4), at 20:30 Beijing time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the highly anticipated March non-farm payrolls report, which put pressure on gold. Fundamentals: Today, gold is expected to fall sharply. The market continues to short at resistance points. Market volatility is expected to increase during the period. The long-short game of the US dollar index near the 102 mark will determine whether it can continue to rise. If it breaks through 103, it may further suppress gold and non-US currencies. Gold is looking for direction in the range of 3080-3100 US dollars/ounce. If risk aversion picks up, it may retest the 3100 mark; on the contrary, if the US dollar continues to strengthen, breaking through 3080 will open up downside space. The decline in US stock futures may continue until early next week.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
4.5 Gold falls off a cliff and waits to stabilize! ! !Gold 4-hour level: The last wave of pull-up started from the low point of 2999 to 3167. Yesterday, it fell back and tested the 618 split position 3063. The current support is still valid, which is also the MA66 day position; From the perspective of macd, it is still short-selling and has not been fully repaired. Wait until it crosses below the zero axis, and then slowly stabilizes and tends to golden cross in the future market, then a wave of trend pull-up will gradually form, and it will take time; if 3063 cannot be maintained, the two split positions below are 3035 and 3018, and attention should be paid to stabilization. Intraday support: 3035 3018 3005 Resistance: 3045 3070 3100
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
4
4.4 Gold is low and long, wait for non-agricultureYesterday, the gold market opened at 3134.1 in the morning. The market first fell back to 3122.6 and then rose strongly. After breaking the previous high, it reached a high of 2167.9. After that, the market began to fall under the cooperation of fundamentals and technical profit-taking. The intraday low was 3053.6. After that, the market rose strongly and reached 3135.8 before consolidating. The daily line finally closed at 3114.1. The daily line closed in a spindle shape with a very long lower shadow. After this shape ended, after the break of 2940 and 2958, the long positions were reduced, and the stop loss was followed up at 3050. If it falls back to 3082 first today, the long stop loss is 3075. The target is 3115 and 3132. If it breaks, the target is 3140 and 3150.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1