GOLD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2789.95 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2789.95 is broken.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 2942.55 on 02/11/2025, so more losses to support(s) 2879.11, 2833.00 and minimum to Major Support (2789.95) is expected.
Supports and Resistances:
3000.00
2942.55
2879.11
2833.00
2726.10
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Goldlong
News affecting gold pricesNews:
Russia's nighttime attack damaged port infrastructure in the Odessa region of Ukraine.
Russian troops occupied Zelenpo and Dachne in eastern Ukraine.
In the past day, the Russian army lost about 1,200 soldiers, as well as 17 tanks, 16 armored personnel carriers and 81 artillery systems and other equipment.
Geopolitics is continuing to heat up, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise next week.
Viewpoint
The market is in a volatile range.
It is expected to show an upward trend in the next trading cycle.
Keep an eye on the subsequent sharing of views
XAUUSD – the dream run likely to continue .. the week of 17 Feb As my chart shows, price has been climbing steadily and comfortably, very ably supported by the 20ema and 50ema. The recent 4 weeks however have seen sideways price action as price bounced in a (wide) 590 pip range (see the pink box).
Earlier today (Fri) price tried to overcome the ATH at 2942.59 but seems to have encountered some serious profit taking and fell back down rather impulsively. We are now at the bottom of that range and also at a region that has acted both as resistance and (now) as support. This makes me cautious about an otherwise text book perfect buying opportunity but my bullish bias is intact. Price is also overextended (check how far above the MA(s) price has travelled) on the daily chart.
Because of these facts, I don’t want to rush into taking a long (also have an open trade already). Perhaps the current pullback will continue before the uptrend resumes. I will be monitoring price action on the H4 and H1 time frames to find bullish evidence and then take another position. The 1st target will be the current (ATH) all time high with a possible 2nd target at 3000.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
I t’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, but buying at the current levels carries high risk. We anticipate a price correction down to the identified support level, where we will look for potential buying opportunities.
The best approach is to wait for a correction before entering a buy position.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Momentum: Key Buy Zone & Targets Identify gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour chart indicates a strong bullish trend with a clear buying opportunity. Here are the key observations:
**Analysis & Key Levels:**
1. **Uptrend Formation:**
- The price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
- A trendline is supporting the move, confirming bullish momentum.
2. **Support & Buying Zone:**
- The chart highlights a **possible buy zone** around 2,930–2,920.
- This area coincides with a prior resistance-turned-support, making it an ideal re-entry for buyers.
3. **Resistance & Target Levels:**
- **1st target:** Around **2,943** – a short-term resistance level.
- **2nd target:** Around **2,960–2,970**, indicating a higher timeframe resistance where price might slow down.
**Trading Plan:**
- A potential buy entry could be near the **support zone (2,930–2,920)** if price pulls back.
- If the price remains above the trendline, the bullish move is likely to continue toward 2,943 and potentially 2,970.
- A break below the trendline could invalidate the bullish move, leading to a deeper correction.
Fundamentally speaking, WE ARE BULLISH !!!Due to tariff talks, Investors are trooping to Gold (safe haven asset), because these are times of uncertainty in the market and that's why sentimentally and fundamentally speaking, Gold is bullish.
How bullish you say ? I have no idea but I know for a fact that price is taking out the recent ATH just above where it currently is and if by some miracle price pulls back to grab the inducement below as liquidity then we can profit off the buy continuation.
use proper risk and money management,
"Waiting for a Pullback: Buy Setup at 2875 for 2900 Target!"📈 Waiting for a Pullback to Enter at a Discounted Demand Zone
After a sharp move on February 10, we are now anticipating a pullback to enter at a better price. The ideal demand zone to watch is around 2875, where we’ll look for a strong bullish confirmation—such as a big bullish candle on the 1-hour timeframe—before entering a long position.
🎯 Target: 2900
📍 Key Zone: 2875 (Waiting for a bullish signal)
Patience is key! Waiting for confirmation ensures a high-probability setup. Let’s see how it plays out! 🚀
XAUUSD - Possible Long Trade?Here is our quick view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a quick overview on the pair.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2900s .
As the price on XAUUSD has failed to break below 2880 , we are still overall bullish on OANDA:XAUUSD and due to this reason, and yesterdays news and statements, we are looking for further buys on the pair. Possible buys from this smaller KL (Key Level) at around 2908 with potential 2950 as a new ATH (All Time High) for our target. Stops would be around 2892 . Keep in mind we might get deeper pullbacks and further buys. This trade is only valid if we stay above 2910 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2908
- SL: 2892
- TP: 2950
Personal opinion:
XAUUSD has tried to break below 2880 and failed. Due to this reason from a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view, we are still bullish on gold. Golds drop yesterday was also faded out due to inflation. As Powell was speaking and said that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates faster.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD failed to break below 2880.
- Breaks below 2892 would result in deeper pullbacks.
- XAUUSD remains bullish.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
XAU/USD trade ideaWe are back!!!
So when we look at the chart we can see that the price is reversing off a zone that was support in the past already. We already have some candles that closed above that zone so for that reason it is also looking good.
I would either wait and see if we can drop a little and get a good price to buy of I would just risk it and go in now.
The fundamentals also look good for #Gold to go up so this could be a very good and profitable trade.
XAUUSD TODAY'S MAPPING IS HERE Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 15-M TF
Ascending triangle pattern: Trendlines indicating higher lows and a horizontal resistance level.
Breakout and retest: The price has broken above the resistance and appears to be retesting the breakout level.
Trade setup:
Entry Level: Near the breakout retest point.
Take-profit: Near 2951
Stop-loss: Around 2900
This analysis indicates a bullish sentiment, expecting gold to rise further if the breakout holds.
Gold Options Activity Point to Continuing RallyNot a single macro portfolio manager was fired for adding gold to their portfolio over the last two years. Such has been gold’s stunning performance. Will Gold’s ascent continue?
Narratives and numbers signal unstoppable and solid bull run in gold for now.
BULL CASE REMAINS INTACT AND IS INTENFISYING
This paper will not delve much into fundamentals. We have covered it previously in Gold to Shine Bright on Fundamentals, Seasonality & Sentiments . In that we highlighted the three main forces at play: (a) Continued central bank purchases, (b) Rising consumer demand in China & India, and (c) Trump administration’s fiscal policies favouring gold.
In addition to the above, US Dollar weaponization, De-dollarisation fears, and Tariff tensions, serve as additional tailwinds. TradingView Wizard, Konhow , has comprehensively covered the historical impact of tariffs on Gold in his recent paper and video .
SENTIMENTS HAVE SURRENDERED IN FAVOR OF RISING GOLD
This research note will not dive into the weeds of technical analysis either. TradingView’s Technical Analysis dashboard summarises it all elegantly.
TradingView
Momentum is in favour. Oscillators are neutral indicating little risk of price reversal. Overall, sentiment remains bullish gold.
Gold prices as represented by CME Micro Gold Futures front month contract formed a golden cross on 10th January 2025. Since then, prices are up 8.5% as of 13th February 2025. Current prices are well above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day DMAs.
RSI is in overbought zone. Expect some pull back in gold prices from time to time on profit taking. But the upward trend is undeniable. The MACD shows that Gold momentum continues to be on the rise but with waning bullishness.
Readers can access the entire library of technical ideas focussing on Gold on TradingView’s Gold Ideas Page ideas page .
OPTIONS MARKETS ARE SIGNALLING A SOLID BULL RUN AHEAD
This paper aims to unpack recent activity in CME gold options market and its impact on prices. No contrary signals there either. Options market also signal bullish gold.
QuikStrike is a free-to-use tool for registered participants on the CME Group website. The tool provides a vast range of analytics to guide portfolio managers & traders to better comprehend the underlying market. Each report comes with a helpful user-guide to describe the data covered within the report.
Some key takeaways below:
Open Interest Profile page shows that as of close of markets on 11th February 2025, total call open interest (“OI” for short) stood at 634,815 lots across all expiries and strikes. Aggregate put IO totalled up to 357,305 lots resulting in a put-call ratio (p/c ratio) of 0.56.
Calls are options contract that represent a bullish view. While puts are contracts representing bearish outlook. At 0.56 p/c ratio, there are twice as many bullish positions for each bearish one.
Source: CME QuikStrike
Most Active Strikes allow portfolio managers and traders to analyse top strikes with shifts in open interest. Table below shows top 10 strikes registering the largest change in open interest between 4th February and 11th February.
Starting first with the Calls (left section of the table below), participants have been building up open interest in strikes 4000, 3200, 3250, 4500, 4032, and 3,975.
Call options have also booked reduction in open interest at strikes 3000, 3075, 3100 and 3025. On a net-basis, open interest is up 10,312 lots across these top ten strikes over various expiries this year.
Source: CME QuikStrike
Puts (right section of the table above) shows rising build up in open interest for strikes ranging from 2740 to 2880.
Collectively, this indicates that market participants are rooting for gold prices to rise through USD 3,000/oz and to even rally past USD 4,500/oz. Will that happen? Only time will tell.
Given that risk managers are establishing puts at such high levels point to strong support for gold prices at current levels.
In a nutshell, current prices are not only formidably comfortable but the potential to rise is also highly probable.
Shifting the attention to volatility, the CME Group also offers CVol which is another free-to-use tool. Portfolio managers and traders can visualise implied volatility behaviour on this tool.
Source: CME CVol
The GCVL which is the Gold CVol index shows implied volatility at 17.65 and with a positive skew of 1.08. Implied volatility easing even at an elevated prices indicates that market participants are comfortable at current price levels and do not foresee immediate large price moves.
Skew on the CVol tool is defined as Up Var minus Down Var. Up Var is the likelihood of the price rising while Down Var measures the likelihood of prices falling. A positive skew shows that the market is pricing a higher likelihood of rising prices relative to a down move.
FUND FLOWS INTO GOLD ETF IS UP 47% YOY
Among its rich set of features, TradingView also shows daily ETF fund flows . GLD is the prominent ETF commanding assets under management (AUM) of USD 80.65 billion.
This time last year, GLD ETF showed AUM of USD 54.77 billion. Fund inflows have spiked 47.25% over the past 12 months.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
With fundamentals, sentiment, options market, and fund flows all pointing to a price that is set to rise, this paper posits a long position using CME Micro Gold Futures expiring on 28th April 2025 (MGCJ2025) based on the following entry, exit levels and the reward-to-risk ratio:
• Entry: USD 2,900/oz
• Target: USD 3,100/oz
• Stop: USD 2,800/oz
• P&L at Target (USD per lot): +2,000 ((3,100 – 2,900) x 10)
• P&L at Stop (USD per lot): -1,000 ((2,800 – 2,900) x 10)
• Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 2x
Please note that Each Micro Gold Futures contract provides an exposure to 10 troy ounces.
Both standard-sized gold futures (GC) and the newly launched 1-ounce gold futures offer avenues to express bullish sentiment on the yellow metal. This comprehensive suite of gold futures is tailored to enhance flexibility and precision, empowering investors to capitalize on market opportunities effectively.
CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers.
Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures.
In collaboration with the CME Group, TradingView has launched The Leap trading competition. New and upcoming traders can hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group using virtual money and real time prices.
The competition lasts another 15-days. Please join the 48,000+ others who are actively honing their trading skills using virtual money. Click here to learn more.
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Gold and Silver Out of Sync-Extreme Sentiment and Runaway Movesgold and silver futures chart analysis and why gold may no longer predictably be used to time the silver moves at this period in time; though there are several ways for silver to reach 37-43 and ultimately 50, as gold is likely set to overshoot 3000.
XAUUSD Bearish SetupThe has arrived at the previous strong support zone when we expand this expand zone we see a clear FVG. Gold has tapped the FVG and started to move bearish. Plus for verification we also added the Fibonacci confluence we can enter the trade and can book some good profit.
Follow for more updates
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
XAUUSD trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now XAUUSD ready for buy trade XAUUSD buy zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
enter point (2882) to (2880) 📊
First tp (2889)📊
2nd target (2894)📊
Last target (2900) 📊
stop loss (2874)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Tariff policy can increase inflation in the USDespite turning down today, world gold prices still maintain an upward trend due to concerns about global trade conflicts provided by US President Donald Trump's new tax regimes.
Gold price on February 12: Suddenly plummeted, buying price of gold pieces decreased by 1.3 million VND/tael photo 2
World gold price chart on December 2. (Photo: kitco.com)
Currently, gold is still affected by tariffs and statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman (FED) Jerome Powell.
US President Donald Trump's announcement of 25% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, produced without exceptions or exemptions, has raised the stakes on conflicting trade stocks.
The FED Chairman said that the FED is in no hurry to cut interest rates when the economy is still strong and inflation is still above the target level of 2%.
🔥 GOLD SELL 2890 2892 🔥
✔️TP1: 2880
✔️TP2: 2870
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2901
XAUUSD Trade Log
🚨 XAUUSD Long Zones: High-Probability Entries 🚨
Gold has been on a strong move, but smart money doesn’t chase— TDV traders wait for prime entries.
🔴 First Long Entry: A swing long opportunity where I’ll get in but move to break-even fast. Why? The real opportunity is lower.
🔴 Bad Boy Entry: This is where I’ll scale in aggressively, with:
✅ Daily discount level
✅ Weekly Break of Structure (BOS)
✅ Confluence of daily & hourly levels
For risk:
⚡ 2% for prop traders
⚡ 5% for personal equity accounts
This is how TDV plays the game—strategic, calculated, and ahead of the herd.
Bullish Gold (XAUUSD)The following are my reasons to buy:
* Bull Trend;
* Price is seating at a strong support between 2.882,46 - 2,890 levels following with wick rejections on H4;
* Price is above 50 on RSI;
* On the LTF (30min) the price crossed up on MACD ;
* USA yields are pushing lower, since Gold is a safe heaven, it will tend to go up.