XAUUSD:21/10 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2750, support below 2685
Four-hour resistance 2733, support below 2721-14
Gold operation suggestions: Gold did not fall too much after opening on Monday, and continued to rise steadily, so the downward correction of gold will not be too large. If the correction is too large, it means that the rise of gold has ended. If gold falls slightly, it can continue to go long. The hourly moving average of gold continues to diverge upward. Gold fell back to 2613 several times on Friday night and began to stop falling and rise. Gold bulls continue to be strong, and gold falls back to continue to go long.
From the current market trend, today's attention is paid to the support of 2721-14 below, and the upper attention is still paid to the suppression of 2750. Gold is still in a long arrangement, the daily line has also formed a long arrangement, and the moving average system is also relatively perfect. Today we can choose to go short below the 2750 mark, and follow if the market falls. The support below the daily line moves up to the 2685-2700 mark, and wait patiently for the key points to enter the market.
BUY:2721near SL:2718
BUY:2714near SL:2711
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Goldlong
10.21 Gold Asian session longs,Gold did not fall back too much after the Asian session opened, and continued to rise steadily. Then the downward correction of gold would not be too large. If the correction was too large, it would mean that the rise of gold had ended. If gold fell slightly in the early trading, you could continue to go long.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continued to diverge upward. Gold fell back to 2713 several times on Friday night and began to stop falling and rise. If gold fell back in the early trading, you could continue to go long first.
Gold bulls continue to be strong, so gold bulls have not ended yet. Without a rapid upward surge, gold bulls will not end. Gold falling means continuing to go long.
Silver Shines Brighter: A Bullish Run to $39.62 After Rate Cut?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD
On the daily timeframe, silver has consistently traded above the EMA100, signaling a strong bullish trend. Additionally, it has broken through the upper trendline of a wide descending broadening wedge pattern . This breakout, confirmed by a bullish Marubozu candlestick, indicates strong buyer momentum. The MACD’s bullish crossover further supports the expectation of continued upward movement.
With these technical indicators in alignment, we anticipate silver advancing toward Target Area 1 at 36.76 and potentially reaching Target Area 2 at 39.62. However, the support level at 27.59 remains critical; a break below this level could invite bearish pressure.
In the broader macroeconomic landscape, central banks across multiple countries are enacting rate cuts to stimulate growth amid slowing economic conditions. Combined with declining manufacturing PMIs, geopolitical tensions, and the US-China economic slowdown, these factors heighten uncertainty. As a result, safe-haven assets like silver and gold are expected to benefit, as investors seek protection against market volatility. This influx of demand may provide further upward momentum for silver prices.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver.
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DXY - Bearish price action !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DXY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. After price filled perfectly the imbalance and rejected from bearish OB I expect to see bearish price action.
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Gold Prices on the Rise: What to KnowThe price of gold has hit a new record high, reaching $2,714.10 per ounce amid escalating geopolitical tensions and concerns about the global economy. The surge in gold prices has prompted investors to seek haven assets as they fear a potential recession.
The record high for gold prices comes as Russia continues its invasion of Ukraine, raising fears of a wider conflict in Europe. The war has disrupted global supply chains and led to a spike in energy prices, which has put pressure on businesses and consumers around the world.
In addition to geopolitical tensions, concerns about the global economy are also driving up gold prices. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that the world is facing a "polycrisis" of challenges, including inflation, rising interest rates, and debt distress. These factors have increased uncertainty and make investors more cautious.
The surge in gold prices has significantly impacted India, which is one of the world's largest consumers of gold. The Indian rupee has weakened against the US dollar, making gold more expensive for Indian buyers. As a result, gold prices in India have reached record highs in recent weeks.
The rise in gold prices has benefited gold miners and other companies in the gold industry. However, it has also put pressure on consumers and businesses that use gold in their products. For example, as prices have risen, jewelers and other retailers have seen a decline in demand for gold jewelry and other products.
The future of gold prices is uncertain. If geopolitical tensions and economic concerns continue to escalate, gold prices could rise further. However, if the situation improves, gold prices could fall.
Investors who are considering buying gold should be aware of the risks involved. Gold prices can be volatile, and there is no guarantee that they will continue to rise. It is important to do your research and to consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Here are some of the factors that could affect gold prices in the future:
• The outcome of the war in Ukraine
• The state of the global economy
• The level of inflation
• The interest rate policy of the US Federal Reserve
• The demand for gold from India and other major consumers
It is important to stay informed about these factors and to monitor gold prices regularly. By doing so, you can make informed decisions about whether or not to invest in gold.
GBPJPY outlookAs we have seen last week the British pound vs Japanese Yen pair was in consolidation phase now in current week we are expecting a bullish move on the pair the reason why is the pair is in bullish trend in H1 in other confluences it has formed a Bullish flag to extent it can consolidate here and can fly also the confluence is the pair has completed its manipulation phase and now could distribute after a liquidity grab
Gold Outlookcurrent week was almost a bullish week for Gold and we have seen New ATH (All time High) it was a situation gold was breaking its own Records Hour by Hour...
for next week we are expecting gold to see a new peak of 2725 to 2734 and the a Retracement for the previous ATH then new Highs can be seen as far the confluences are concerned we have Fibonacci extension of previous high to low move over the price discussed above also 50 SMA from Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 is the confluence for price remaining above and can see new high as we always mention trend is our friend so we are bullish with our higher TF trends
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold prices are about to usher in huge trading opportunities
Today our fast trading strategy sold from high and bought from low. All of them generated different profits. I believe that the members who followed the fast trading strategy have gained something. Just like I told them. Although the chance of making money from trading is high. But you need to take action. If you don't take action. Then the chance for you is 0. The trading opportunity of the New York market is about to come out. If you don't want to miss the trading opportunity of the fast trading strategy group. Stay tuned.
XAU ! 10/18 ! Weekend price increaseXAU / USD trend forecast October 18, 2024
On Thursday, the European Central Bank cut interest rates for the third time this year, the first consecutive cuts in 13 years, and signaled more reductions due to the worsening economic outlook. The Federal Reserve is also expected to lower rates again after a significant cut in September, while weak UK inflation data has strengthened expectations for more aggressive easing by the Bank of England.
price increase to create new ATH - continue to wait for new ATH at the end of the week. FOMO is huge
/// SELL XAU : zone 2723-2726
SL: 2731
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2696)
Safe and profitable trading
The 10.18 rally is not over yet and the highs will continue to bThe highest intraday rise was around 2714, and the new high was constantly being refreshed. Since the rise on Tuesday this week, the hourly line has basically rarely shown a negative line, and more of it has continued to close positively, and the overall rhythm is strong. After the morning rise, it turned negative and retreated after the afternoon trading. It was only two consecutive negative lines without much room to go down, so the US market continued to be bullish and continued to break highs!
Below we will analyze the real data behind the recent economic data released by the United States, the European interest rate cut, and the impact of various factors such as the "Trump deal" on gold:
First, the data released overnight showed that US retail sales increased by 0.4% month-on-month in September, higher than the expected value of 0.3% and the previous value of 0.1%; the year-on-year growth rate dropped to 1.7%, the lowest level since January. The US Census Bureau made the largest seasonal adjustment to this month's retail data in history. If the seasonal adjustment factor is excluded, retail sales in September actually fell by 7.5% month-on-month.
Therefore, the data does not necessarily indicate an economic recovery. Even if the US dollar and gold have strengthened recently, it is based on risk aversion factors. In addition, some data values released by the United States recently are greater than market expectations, which means that the US economy is not as bad as everyone thinks. However, after excluding some beautiful data, such as: child care is becoming increasingly unaffordable, the system is difficult to operate, high medical costs and energy prices, etc., the market environment still has downside risks.
Secondly, the European economy is under pressure. The central bank has recently cut interest rates, and the euro has continued to fall, boosting the trend of the US dollar; at the same time, the widespread economic weakness also has a risk-averse effect on gold.
Third, as we mentioned earlier, as the US election approaches, traders are gradually pricing in election risks, and there are signs that Harris, who had previously been strong, has been overtaken by Trump. The "Trump deal" has regained its previous popularity, and risky assets have been boosted.
Finally, from the perspective of gold technical patterns:
First, the stronger the market, the shorter the time for retracement correction, the smaller the retracement space, and the fewer times the negative lines appear. Since the price of gold started to rise from 2641 on Tuesday this week, especially from the 4-hour line, there have been callback K-line patterns in the process of continuous pull-up, but they are all single negative, and the entity is very small, and then continue to turn positive and rise; this is the recent trend of the strong pattern of gold prices.
Secondly, from the rhythm of intraday operation, there was a horizontal correction in the morning, and then it rose directly. There were two consecutive negative corrections in the European session. The support near 2702 is the support position of the lower trend line, and it has not even reached the high point of 2696.50 in the US session last night, so don't wait for too low positions in operation.
Thinking planning for the US session:
Due to the strong market trend, there are no excessive corrections and adjustments, and the strong rhythm of the day, the upper space is expected to continue to be released in the evening, so sideways or retracement is an opportunity to go long. The lower support is 2702. Even if it retraces again in the evening, it will continue to rely on this bullish trend. The upper resistance is around 2722 and 2730.
BUY: 2710 Target 2730
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Goes ATH Again, How to Work Pullbacks in Overbought MarketsGold Talking Points
The massive move in gold has continued to yet another fresh ATH this morning, even with the US Dollar continue its own bullish jump.
Trying to chase an overbought market like gold can feel like trying to jump on a rocket that’s already left the Earth, but that doesn’t mean that traders have the singular choice of fading it or avoiding it. There’s the potential for pullbacks such as I’ve been following in these articles over the past few weeks.
Gold continues its massive 2024 outing with yet another fresh all-time-high today. This might sound like Groundhog Day, but the yellow metal just continues to impress even with weekly and monthly charts in overbought territory. As I asked a few weeks ago, does that even matter? Well, by the looks of price it does not, at least not at this point.
As for explanations behind the move it’s been the Fed and other global central banks pushing towards rate cuts this year that’s propelled the breakout. And even in light of strong US data that, normally, would cause the FOMC to talk up rate hike potential, a hawkish Fed seems nowhere near, and markets are still leaning heavily on the expectation for the bank to cut through next year.
Making matters more interesting is the USD backdrop with which the recent trend has run. The USD was weak in Q3 and gold broke out in mid-August and continued to run. The USD has posed a stark turn-around so far in Q4 and still, gold has run higher.
At this point there’s no evidence to suggest that the run is finished. But that still doesn’t mean that chasing and hoping is a smart way to work with the move. There’s essentially two ways of working with the long side of an overbought market. One can use breakout strategies, which can be a challenge in and of itself. This opens the possibility of buying highs or selling lows, which can be painful ordeals. It’s not an impossible way to move forward, but traders need to have rigid risk management protocol to institute these types of strategies. Or – traders can wait and try to be patient, using pullbacks on shorter time frames. This still doesn’t guarantee success but at the least, risk can be managed in a more efficient manner by using prevailing price structure and if-then statements.
While the move in gold has continued to hasten, there have been pullback setups. There was a setup leading into CPI last week, and another shorter-term after the release of the data point but before the breakout was able to extend. And then this week, there was a test below 2650, buyers holding the line there with a shorter-term higher-low opened the door for another extension of the move.
Yesterday saw bulls push all the way up to the prior ATH at 2685, again, leading to a shallow pullback to the first support listed in the article at 2670. And that has since run into yet another fresh higher-high.
Gold Fresh Highs – What’s Next?
Human psychology has a funny role in markets as it often seems like the crowd gets most bullish at highs or near resistance and most pessimistic at tests of support. But there’s also the inter-play with psychological levels, as the price of 2600.01 can feel much more expensive than just two cents above 2599.99.
We saw that play out at the FOMC rate cut last month. Gold tested above 2600 after news of the cut made its way through markets, but that was brief and short-lived as a fast pullback soon developed. The pullback from that tested below a minor psychological level at 2550, with bulls soon returning to push price back above 2600.
At this point, we’ve seen continued reticence inside of 2700 so it seems as though bulls are shying away from a test from that price so far. But, if we do see that trade, that could be an open door for buyers to take profits, which can open the door for the next pullback. In that scenario, the prior ATH at 2685 becomes a point of interest for higher-lows. If that doesn’t hold and profit taking sets in a bit more, 2675 or 2667 become of interest. And technically, we could even see a pullback drive back down to 2650 while keeping the door open for higher-highs and lows on the daily chart.
--- written by James Stanley, Senior Strategist
XAUUSD Market Dynamics: Strategy AnalysisToday, XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar) exhibited a robust upward momentum, successfully breaking through the upper trend line. From a candlestick technical analysis perspective, XAUUSD still possesses upward momentum and a continuing bullish trend. Additionally, the uncertainties surrounding the U.S. presidential election and conflicts in the Middle East are driving investors to seek safe-haven assets. Coupled with a loose monetary policy environment, this will further support gold prices at elevated levels.
Following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates by 50 basis points last month, the market anticipates the potential for further rate cuts. The ongoing geopolitical uncertainties have collectively propelled gold prices up over 30% year-to-date, with the possibility of reaching new historical highs. Therefore, under the current market conditions, we recommend a proactive approach to building long positions at lower levels.
Today's Trading Strategy: Establish long positions in XAUUSD around the 2700 level, with a profit target set at 2710.
The fast trading strategy makes a big profit againDear friends, under the guidance of our rapid trading strategy, are you aligning with my recommendations? Many have successfully generated profits, and the bullish momentum remains robust. Following the buy-in range of 2702-2698 has proven fruitful, as the upward trend continues to perform well.
This highlights the advantages of a swift trading strategy. I will continue to share upcoming trading plans, so stay tuned for more updates!
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold (XAU) Technical AnalysisGold Daily Chart – Breakout from Descending Broadening Wedge
The gold marketplace has damaged out of the descending broadening wedge sample at the each day chart. The charge keeps bullish momentum inside the ascending broadening wedge sample, with a goal variety of $2800-$3000.
Gold 4-Hour Chart – Price Target of $2,745
On the 4-hour chart, the charge is breaking above the midline of the ascending channel. This charge power suggests the short-time period goal of $2,745, measured from the ascending channel resistance line. The RSI tactics the overbought region. Therefore, expenses would possibly consolidate earlier than the following rally.
💎 TVC:GOLD sell 2710 - 2712💎
✔️TP1: 2690
✔️TP2: 2680
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2720
💎 TVC:GOLD buy 2690 - 2692💎
✔️TP1: 2710
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2683
Gold hits new high, but has not yet reached its peakIn the unilateral rise of the 4-hour chart of gold with the middle track of the Bollinger Band as the critical point of the bulls, this forced short-selling slow rise will continue before the high-rise falls back and loses the middle track. The correction indicator sets a new high. The short-term Asian and European sessions are still dominated by low-long intraday, and the US session combines the pattern to reverse after the high. The rise is a setback. The key to high-altitude low-long is the entry point. At present, the rising trend line and the support of the middle track overlap at 2670-2675. It is also the low point of the retracement last night. This position is today's defense point. The Asian session retreats to 2683-2680 and first defends 2672. The target is 2700-2705. After the high, combine the hourly chart pattern to close the bag in time.
From a technical perspective, the overall technical advantage of gold bulls in December is strong in the near future. The next upward price target for bulls is to make its closing price above the important resistance level of $2,750. The next near-term downside price objective for the bears is pushing futures prices below important technical support at the October low of $2,648.90. First resistance is seen at today's all-time high of $2,712.70 and then at $2,725.00. First support is seen at today's low of $2,688.20 and then at Wednesday's low of $2,674.90.
Gold Prices Surge: A Golden Opportunity for Investors
After a week of tug-of-war between bulls and bears, bullish forces have clearly outmatched bearish ones. Currently, after reaching a new high, gold prices have stabilized at the level of 2692.
The ongoing geopolitical tensions show a certain degree of persistence. As a highly sought-after safe-haven asset, the rise in gold prices is merely a matter of time.
After several hours of sideways consolidation, the gold market presents a new trading opportunity. Buying now is akin to picking up money; you just need to bend down.
Recommended buying levels for gold are between 2690 and 2685, with a take profit target above 2703 and a stop loss at 2675.
Investors interested in trading gold may find this information helpful.
EURUSD sellEur vs Us dollar we expecting a pull back to Daily Resistance trendline and as we are putting our idea EUR vs US dollar having a bull run over to its trendline we are expecting a rejection from there and a Drop to its Support under lying Suppot level remember its a Bearish trend and following its technical data
Dollar index LongYesterday everything was unexpected to some extent we will expecting gold to be bearish to its new previous all time high but the asain session rocked and Gold has gained new highs
Now taking turn towards Dollar index we are expecting a Bullish move in DXY to its global resistance price can Retest its previous Resistance became Support confluence is geopolitics and 50SMA and Resistance under american elections are also the big reason so we are bullish over dollar index and other co-relations will be bearish
XAU ! 10/17 waiting for new ATH 2712XAU / USD trend forecast October 17, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) continued its upward trend and retested its all-time high on Wednesday, driven by expectations of rate cuts from major central banks. Markets have fully priced in a 25 basis points cut by the US Federal Reserve in November. Additionally, weak inflation data from Europe and the UK has strengthened expectations for more aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and BoE. This resulted in lower yields, supporting the non-yielding gold.
Strong uptrend - H2 frame forms DOW theory for next new ATH opportunity: 2712
/// SELL XAU : zone 2712-2715
SL: 2720
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2685)
Safe and profitable trading