XAU/USD 4H – Retracement or Rejection? Key Levels to WatchGold bulls made a strong push out of the descending channel, but now the real test begins. The market is currently in retracement mode after a sharp impulse, and the next move will be decisive.
🔹 Channel Breakout & Retest in Play:
Price broke out of the descending channel with momentum and hit the $3,357 region before pulling back. We're now hovering around the 0.236 Fib at $3,331 — with the 0.382 and 0.618 Fib zones below offering potential long entry confluence.
🔹 Fibonacci Cluster Support Zone:
Between $3,314 – $3,287 lies a high-probability demand zone, where multiple Fibonacci levels converge with the broken channel top. This area also aligns with the 50 EMA, creating a pocket for bullish continuation — if held.
🔹 RSI Divergence to Watch:
RSI shows signs of slowing bullish momentum after peaking, which suggests this retracement could deepen toward the 0.5–0.618 levels before any meaningful bounce. A bullish RSI reversal in this zone would confirm re-entry.
📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:
Price finds support between $3,314–$3,287
Momentum kicks in for a leg up toward $3,388
Final TP at $3,427 (Fib -0.618 extension)
📌 Scenario 2 – Rejection and Deeper Drop:
Failure to hold the 0.5 zone flips the bias bearish
Watch for re-entry back into the previous channel
Next downside target: $3,251 and potentially $3,233–$3,221 (Fib + extension)
💡 Elite Insight:
The pullback is not the risk — entering without a plan is. This is the zone where patience meets precision. Let the levels do the work.
